CFB Pre-Season Magazines offer wagering intrigue

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LOKI
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CFB Pre-Season Magazines offer wagering intrigue

An annual right of summer is to gather the various college football magazines and go over the predictions from each conference. As a writer and sports handicapper, I have been pouring over data for months now and have strong feelings and opinions about how the various conferences races could play out. Part of winning college football wagers is having the necessary information to place your self into a position to win. This is why I annually make pilgrimages to the various book stores to purchase all the magazines containing college football material.

The reasons for doing this are attaining knowledge and giving myself the best chance to win. First, I?m seeking information on the coaches and teams I may have missed in my own personal research. No matter how hard or far you dig, you will always find other useful nuggets. Next, is learning about all the players, particularly the difference-makers on each team, which is a powerful tool to understand if a team may be over or underrated before the season starts. Lastly, just to see what other so-called experts believe in making predictions. For example, in the Big East, FIVE DIFFERENT teams have been chosen to finish first and earn the BCS berth, talk about a difference of opinion! This is worth reading to understand why these publications would have such varying of beliefs. You can judge for yourself if the points are valid or just nonsense. Plus this allows one to find strong situations to place futures wagers at places like Sportsbook.com on particular teams.

Listed below is the accumulation of all the conferences and the teams ranked in order, taking all the pre-season publications that were acquired, along with further analysis. Today we will at the ACC, Big East, MWC, Big 12, WAC, C-USA and Independents.

ACC -Atlantic
1) Florida State
2) Clemson
3) N.C. State
4) Wake Forest
5) Boston College
6) Maryland


ACC ? Coastal
1) Virginia Tech
2) Georgia Tech
3) North Carolina
4) Miami
5) Virginia
6) Duke

Analysis- Virginia Tech ended the ACC?s eight-year BCS bowl drought with 20-7 win over Cincinnati in the Orange Bowl last season. Now, coach Frank Beamer wants to climb back into the national spotlight and an opening game victory over Alabama could do just that. Virginia Tech is unanimous choice to play in ACC title tilt. Georgia Tech has 17 starters back and is thought to be the only team in the Coastal Division to give the Hokies a run. Butch Davis is acquiring more talent annually in Chapel Hill; however the offensive losses hold North Carolina back. Florida State was almost everyone?s pick to capture the Atlantic Division, as talent is getting back towards the glory years, still with quite a ways to go. Clemson and North Carolina State are the most likely contenders to take down the Seminoles. Both have offensive weapons, which are curtailed with defensive deficiencies. The Nov. 14 contest in Raleigh could be meaningful. Its clearer today why Tom O?Brien left Boston College, as the Eagles could be grounded. This conference has a great deal of ground to makeup to be in elite status, but should be competitive. They must find the right place for ACC title game, since the crowds are embarrassment to league.

Big East
1) West Virginia
2) South Florida
3) Rutgers
4) Pittsburgh
5) Cincinnati
6) Connecticut
7) Louisville
8) Syracuse

Analysis- Conference?s that are not particularly outstanding will talk about having balance. This can make for extraordinarily entertaining football on the campuses involved, but it plays havoc trying to pick a winner. In reviewing the different college football magazines, the Big East stood out with five different teams chosen to finish atop the conference. Here is the other really crazy aspect, four of the top five listed above were also picked to finish 5th. (Rutgers was exception, there lowest rating was 4th) What makes this conference so confounding is every positive is outweighed by a negative. New quarterbacks, changing defenses and sometimes questionable coaching, suggest this league is ripe for underdogs to flourish.

Mountain West
1) Utah
2) TCU
3) BYU
4) Air Force
5) Colorado State
6) UNLV
7) New Mexico
8) San Diego State
9) Wyoming

Analysis ? Utah completed second unbeaten season in five years, with big time blowout win against Alabama in the Sugar Bowl. The Utes might not have finished with a perfect record, since they hosted nearest competitors TCU and BYU in Salt Lake City. Everything won?t be quite so easy in 2009, having to play those teams on the road in what should be three hotly-contested affairs between the best three squads in the Mountain West. The Horned Frogs are more settled on offense and has better athletes on defense than BYU, giving them slight edge. The rest of the conference will have three new head coaches and the chasm between the top teams and the rest is roughly about the length of the Continental Divide across the western United States.

Big 12 North
1) Nebraska
2) Kansas
3) Missouri
4) Colorado
5) Kansas State
6) Iowa State

Big 12 South
1) Texas
2) Oklahoma
3) Oklahoma State
4) Texas Tech
5) Baylor
6) Texas A&M

Analysis ? The quarterback position in the Big 12 won?t have the same depth as last season; nevertheless the conference should feature more than enough firepower from its field generals. Current Heisman Trophy winner Sam Bradford returns to Oklahoma, just not with the same cast on offense that averaged video game-like 51.1 points per contest. The Sooners defense should be considerably tougher with nine starters back and they picked up a few first place votes over favored Texas. In almost any other year, Colt McCoy would have won the Heisman himself, after completing NCAA record 76.7 percent of pass attempts. The Longhorns only weak spots are finding every down running back and defensive linemen to chase down talented signal callers. Oklahoma State should break into top three in the South, with QB Zac Robinson, RB Kendall Hunter and WR Dez Bryant leading the way. In the North Division, Nebraska has few more talented football players than Kansas; however don?t count the Jayhawks out with Todd Reesing at the controls. Missouri will fall without Chase Daniels around. Colorado is sleeper pick (in this case good or bad), with 10 offensive starters back and home games against Kansas, Missouri and Nebraska. Buffs have only four starters returning on defense that ranked 78th in 2008.

WAC
1) Boise State
2) Nevada
3) Louisiana Tech
4) Fresno State
5) Hawaii
6) San Jose State
7) Utah State
8) Idaho
9) New Mexico State

Analysis- Last season was to be rebuilding year for Boise State and all they did was finish 12-0 and lost 17-16 to very good TCU outfit in the Poinsettia Bowl. Now the Broncos are still relatively youthful with a ton of experience and everyone?s choice to win the WAC yet again. In the unlikely event Boise State stumbles, look for Nevada to be ready to step in. The Wolf Pack has quarterback Colin Kaepernick, who plays like the Pistol offense was made for him. Louisiana Tech with 17 starters back in the fold and a running game that averaged 4.65 yards per carry could make noise in the WAC. If the Bulldogs should upset Nevada on the road in October, mark down Nov.6 as the biggest day ever potentially in Ruston, LA, with Boise State coming to town. Fresno State and Hawaii are middle of the pack in the WAC, with San Jose State the best of the rest.

Conference USA East Division
1) East Carolina
2) Southern Miss
3) Memphis
4) Marshall
5) Central Florida
6) UAB

Conference USA West Division
1) Houston
2) Tulsa
3) UTEP
4) SMU
5) Rice
6) Tulane

Analysis- The Big 12 offenses last season averaged a college football best 439.6 yards per game, guess who was second? That?s right football wizard, Conference USA at 401.8 yards per game. Every one has to find their niche in life and after much turmoil; C-USA is attracting offensive talent, which just isn?t determined good enough for the bigger conferences. It was also a banner postseason for the conference with 4-1 SU and ATS record. Houston has unfinished business of losing the West Division in last regular season contest to city rival Rice. Nearly everyone figures quarterback Case Keenum will finish the deal in 2009. Tulsa and UTEP are next in line, but several paces behind. In the East Division, a slight edge goes to East Carolina, being the surprise defending conference champions, with 18 regulars back in Greenville. Southern Miss is loaded as well, with 16 starters and they visit ECU on Nov. 28. The only true unanimous choice in C-USA action is UAB will finish last.

Independents
1) Notre Dame
2) Navy
3) Army

Analysis- Being the football coach and quarterback at Notre Dame are always pressure-packed positions, but maybe never more than this year. It?s BCS or join the unemployment line for Charley Weis in South Bend. Most magazines have Jimmy Clausen rated 13th to 23rd best quarterback in the country, if he?s not in Top 10 by season?s end, he and the Irish will have failed. The beat keeps rolling along for the Navy, with another winning season and minor bowl to compete in. Normally conservative Army stepped out of character and brought in Rich Ellerson to change results of 12 straight losing seasons. Ellerson was known innovator at Cal Poly and will install triple-option offense with passing efficiency a real key.
 

Lumi

LOKI
Forum Member
Aug 30, 2002
21,104
58
0
58
In the shadows
CFB Pre-Season Magazines offer wagering intrigue - Part 2

CFB Pre-Season Magazines offer wagering intrigue - Part 2

CFB Pre-Season Magazines offer wagering intrigue - Part 2


In part two of our article about college football pre-season magazines, we?ll take a look at the other five conferences, the Big Ten, Pac-10, SEC, MAC and Sun Belt. Three of the five leagues and or divisions have unanimous choices and it doesn?t take brain surgeon to figure what teams those are, with a few others up for grabs. Read on to learn more and start preparing to place your bets.

Big Ten
1) Ohio State
2) Penn State
3) Michigan State
4) Iowa
5) Illinois
6) Michigan
7) Wisconsin
8) Minnesota
9) Northwestern
10) Purdue
11) Indiana

Analysis- Here?s a surprise; Ohio State and Penn State are the favorites to win the Big Ten. Well, not really. The Buckeyes reload with the best of them and they will find out early where they are on national scope, hosting USC. Honestly, not sure why the Nittany Lions are rated this high with all the personnel losses and they haven?t recruited like the other top schools in the country. This also might be indictment of Big Ten. Michigan State continues to improve under coach Mark Dantonio, however quarterback and running back positions must be filled. Iowa could finish higher if lines on both sides of the pigskin dominate. Illinois could be most explosive offense in the conference and they might need to be, with so many new faces in back seven of defense. Rich Rodriguez better have a winning record in Ann Arbor, or fans of the Maize and Blue will really become restless. Minnesota opens new outdoor venue, but also has trips to Penn State and Ohio State that will impede progress. The rest of the teams have more holes than a Dunkin Donuts. Another so-so year in Big Ten Country.

Pac-10
1) USC
2) California
3) Oregon
4) Oregon State
5) UCLA
6) Arizona State
7) Stanford
8) Arizona
9) Washington
10) Washington State

Analysis ? When somebody raises the bar to a new level, aren?t those chasing the lead dog supposed to at least catch them in time, if not surpass their efforts? In spite of only having 12 returning starters (three on defense), USC is the unanimous choice to repeat as Pac-10 champs. Besides Pete Carroll?s ability to fill a three-deep roster with incredible talent, this happens to be the year the Pacific 10 is quarterback poor. Only Washington and Oregon have field leaders that can be counted on to start the year. If one team has legit shot at the Trojans this year, it is California. If Kevin Riley improves accuracy to receiving targets, the 15 other Bears? players that started last season should be even hungrier. Cal will know where they stand by early October with games at Oregon and USC, the first two on Pac-10 slate. Oregon has new coach in Chip Kelly needing to rebuild O-Line. Oregon State will have several fresh eager Beavers on defense. The rest are trying cover up weakness, with the Washington universities trying to lay foundation.

SEC East
1) Florida
2) Georgia
3) Tennessee
4) So. Carolina
5) Kentucky
6) Vanderbilt

SEC West
1) Mississippi
2) Alabama
3) LSU
4) Arkansas
5) Auburn
6) Mississippi State

Analysis ? In the East Division, Florida is the hands-down choice to be play for SEC title again and is most everyone?s No.1 team to start the season. Georgia has just the kind of team that excels when in this position. Coach Mark Richt?s best teams have been those with lower expectations. Tennessee?s Lane Kiffin will eventually have to stop talking and coach, trying to bring in players that can knock off the Gators and Bulldogs. Steve Spurrier has found out top recruits like Gainesville better than Columbia, SC. As mundane as the East appears, the West Division should be rollicking fun. Ole Miss has gathered the most first place votes, with a talented squad led by QB Jevan Snead and Oxford will play host to Alabama, LSU and Tennessee, with Florida or Georgia nowhere in sight. If Greg McElroy is as prepared to lead the Crimson Tide as he believes, those that choose Bama to win the West should be correct. Coach Les Miles has always been unafraid of change and brought in top notch coaches like John Chavis (14 years at Tennessee) to improve his defense. Check with Sportsbook.com for the latest odds. These Tigers will be trouble. This is still the best conference in football by fair margin.

MAC-East
1) Buffalo
2) Bowling Green
3) Temple
4) Ohio U
5) Akron
6) Kent State
7) Miami-O

MAC ?West
1) Central Michigan
2) Western Michigan
3) Northern Illinois
4) Ball State
5) Toledo
6) Eastern Michigan

Analysis- The MAC conference has its up and down years and this could be one of the not so great years with five new coaches among the 13 universities. What last season proved is mediocrity or losing, won?t cut it in the MAC anymore. This conference needs to put fannies in the seats and have teams that play well with all it?s weekday televised games during the course of the season. Buffalo created vast excitement, winning the East Division and is the odds-on choice to repeat, with Bowling Green and Ohio U. snagging first place votes. In the West Division, the two best quarterbacks in the league reside on that half of the ledger. Dan LeFevour will once again be at the helm for Central Michigan, while Tim Hiller is under center for Western Michigan. None of the rest of the squads are presumed to compete for West crown. Everyone is still scratching their heads at Ball State, why Brady Hoke left his alma mater to coach San Diego State. At best a lateral career move for Hoke.

Sun Belt
1) Troy
2) Arkansas State
3) Florida Atlantic
4) Middle Tennessee State
5) UL-Monroe
6) Florida International
7) Louisiana- Lafayette
8) North Texas
9) Western Kentucky

Analysis- Maybe it?s the nickname Trojans, but Troy has the same appeal in the Sun Belt Conference that USC has out West, being unanimous choice. Troy joined the Sun Belt in 2004 and has won three championships in a row. Coach Larry Blakeney recruits well, sets high expectations and hits the road to play top teams like Florida this season. The league as a whole is improving and Arkansas State and Florida Atlantic are part of that development. The Red Wolves are loaded at skill positions, while the Owls are flying with confidence, having won six of last seven contests a year ago, including the Motor City Bowl upset of Central Michigan. Middle Tennessee State has 19 starters back, however many played as freshmen and sophomores. The Blue Raiders have upset potential if Dwight Dasher emerges as quarterback. The remaining group will try to avoid last place, hoping its newest member Western Kentucky, will occupy that spot in 2009.
 
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