championship round.....
- Thread starter AR182
- Start date
thanks guys...appreciate the comments....
5*seattle...ml
i rarely bet moneylines on games, it's just not my style.....but did it on this game out of respect for carolina's history for covering as a dog.....i also like that seattle is 21-4 su in their last 25 home games..
i took seattle last week as a 10* because i thought that the situation was very favorable for them over wash. & think today's situation also favors them....
i'll repeat what everybody knows....
this is carolina's 4th straight do or die road game & 5th road game in 6 weeks....& the fact that carolina has to cross the continent for this 4th game, after playing a very physical game should take it's toll on them as the game goes on......this week i heard steve young state that he doesn't care who you are or what game it is the cross country trips has to wear you out..
looking at carolina's last 3 games....
they played a disinterested atlanta team with a mediocre (imo) qb...
they played a giant team with a young inexperienced qb & a stubborn coaching staff who refused to adjust their srategy during the game...
last week carolina again played against an inexperienced qb with an inexperienced coaching staff that also refused to alter their ingame strategy.....
so imo, carolina was very fortunate to have faced these last 3 opponents....
today i believe will be a different story.....
seattle is an experienced team that beat a good wash. team last week by 10 points without their best runner & committing 3 turnovers. they have a top notch qb,a quality runner & a coach who is playoff tested. without foster,holmgren & his staff should be able to neutralize smith better than the previous 2 teams that carolina faced.....
a few people have said that carolina will not miss foster that much because goings has rushed for over a 100 yards last year in a few games...that is true but he still is their 3rd string back & he is a career 3.7 ypr runner..compared to foster's 4.4 ypr...& i think with pepper hurting & morgan (middle linebacker) also hurting, seattle will be able to out rush carolina.....
this year seattle is 12-1 su & 10-2 ats when they have been able to outrush their opponent....
also playoff road teams , off b2b road games where they combined to score 50 > points in their last 2 road games are 1-12 su & 2-11 ats.....
here are the 2 angles that i posted earlier in the week supporting this play.....
play against any playoff team that won last week (a playoff game), but allowed 21 or more pts in that win.
This angle is 17-4-1 ats (80.9%) playing
against that team since 1995, including 1-0 last year after indy lost to new england after beating Denver 49-24.....
play against carolina....
play against any team that is on the road for at least 3 consecutive weeks.
Record: 23-8 (74%)
If opponent is .800 or better the record moves to 7-1 including a win this weekend with seattle.
both seattle and denver are .800 or better.
good luck.
5*seattle...ml
i rarely bet moneylines on games, it's just not my style.....but did it on this game out of respect for carolina's history for covering as a dog.....i also like that seattle is 21-4 su in their last 25 home games..
i took seattle last week as a 10* because i thought that the situation was very favorable for them over wash. & think today's situation also favors them....
i'll repeat what everybody knows....
this is carolina's 4th straight do or die road game & 5th road game in 6 weeks....& the fact that carolina has to cross the continent for this 4th game, after playing a very physical game should take it's toll on them as the game goes on......this week i heard steve young state that he doesn't care who you are or what game it is the cross country trips has to wear you out..
looking at carolina's last 3 games....
they played a disinterested atlanta team with a mediocre (imo) qb...
they played a giant team with a young inexperienced qb & a stubborn coaching staff who refused to adjust their srategy during the game...
last week carolina again played against an inexperienced qb with an inexperienced coaching staff that also refused to alter their ingame strategy.....
so imo, carolina was very fortunate to have faced these last 3 opponents....
today i believe will be a different story.....
seattle is an experienced team that beat a good wash. team last week by 10 points without their best runner & committing 3 turnovers. they have a top notch qb,a quality runner & a coach who is playoff tested. without foster,holmgren & his staff should be able to neutralize smith better than the previous 2 teams that carolina faced.....
a few people have said that carolina will not miss foster that much because goings has rushed for over a 100 yards last year in a few games...that is true but he still is their 3rd string back & he is a career 3.7 ypr runner..compared to foster's 4.4 ypr...& i think with pepper hurting & morgan (middle linebacker) also hurting, seattle will be able to out rush carolina.....
this year seattle is 12-1 su & 10-2 ats when they have been able to outrush their opponent....
also playoff road teams , off b2b road games where they combined to score 50 > points in their last 2 road games are 1-12 su & 2-11 ats.....
here are the 2 angles that i posted earlier in the week supporting this play.....
play against any playoff team that won last week (a playoff game), but allowed 21 or more pts in that win.
This angle is 17-4-1 ats (80.9%) playing
against that team since 1995, including 1-0 last year after indy lost to new england after beating Denver 49-24.....
play against carolina....
play against any team that is on the road for at least 3 consecutive weeks.
Record: 23-8 (74%)
If opponent is .800 or better the record moves to 7-1 including a win this weekend with seattle.
both seattle and denver are .800 or better.
good luck.
adding...
5*teaser
u 48.5 pitt/denver
seattle+4....
i already gave my reasons for seattle....
i like the under in the first game because both teams are basically running teams with quick defenses....i read on another site that pitt. will surprise denver by come out throwing more often than usual....that won't be a surprise since pitt. did that against indy last week.....i also read that if n.e. can gain over 400 yards vs. denver then pitt. should be able to.....pitt's run offense first is completely different than n.e.'s pass offense first....
a couple of trends....
pitt. has 2 overs to 8 unders in their last 10 road games...
denver has 1 over to 4 unders in their last 5 games....
good luck.
5*teaser
u 48.5 pitt/denver
seattle+4....
i already gave my reasons for seattle....
i like the under in the first game because both teams are basically running teams with quick defenses....i read on another site that pitt. will surprise denver by come out throwing more often than usual....that won't be a surprise since pitt. did that against indy last week.....i also read that if n.e. can gain over 400 yards vs. denver then pitt. should be able to.....pitt's run offense first is completely different than n.e.'s pass offense first....
a couple of trends....
pitt. has 2 overs to 8 unders in their last 10 road games...
denver has 1 over to 4 unders in their last 5 games....
good luck.
Last edited:
thanks guys...
will be adding more to the moneyline on seattle right before the game....
good luck.
will be adding more to the moneyline on seattle right before the game....
good luck.
