- CHAMPIONSHIP ROUND -

the addict

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Almost end of the year which sucks, but been a great one so far.

Lookin at next week games, one play stood out, and already locked it in so posting now!!!



GL


PLAYS:

PITT +4
PACK +4
7 PT TEASE SPORTSBOOK has em both at -3

PITT -3

PACKERS -3.5

SANCHEZ over 19.5 completions +115

BEN FIRST PASS COMPLETE -150

STEELERS -7.5 +165

SCORE IN FIRST 7 MINUTES YES -115

BOTH TEAMS MAKE A 33 OR LONGER FG NO -170
 
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BigGaycapper

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Pound the Pack -3 its gonna be at least a pt higher by Sunday, wouldnt surprise me if they were -6 by then.

*Pack roll Sunday in my opinion as of right now 8:35 pm Sunday January 16th

*subject to change
 

the addict

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I made the bet as well and did it at 6.5 points since a push is a loss anyway...so I have Pitt and pack +3.5

Pound the Pack -3 its gonna be at least a pt higher by Sunday, wouldnt surprise me if they were -6 by then.

*Pack roll Sunday in my opinion as of right now 8:35 pm Sunday January 16th

*subject to change

glad we all agree.... zamo smart move gettin em at better price.

BGC with ya man....think packers win it going away
 

the addict

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already on the steelers -3, and shuolda jumped on packers when i did. its now 3.5 everywhere. I think packers roll, but if im wrong, which is a lot of the time, then that half point could bite me in the ass in a close game.

still gonna play em, and hope to god im right and its a 10+ pt win. hope the half doesnt cost me.


GL:

ADDING:

PACKERS -3.5

STEELERS -3 (played em earlier and didnt post but would still play em now at 3.5)


worst case i think a split. one of the favs will win and cover, and honestly i think great chance they both do, as i think both favs are clearly the better teams.

GL
 

hogman14

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Addict,

Sorry for the Jets loss last week. Shoulda stuck with the ol' gut.

I think the Steelers are the better team and they roll. Have them capped at -7, so I'll lay the 3.5. Nice 3 you got there.

On the other side though, I have this closer to a pick/Chi-1. I think Vegas wants to see how much action they can get on the Packers without tipping their cap to the wiseguys and going too high. I doubt it moves off a 3.5, but time will tell.

No opinion on the total in the Pitt game yet, but really like the Under in the GB/Chi game. This may be my strongest play all weekend.

Good Luck.
 

the addict

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Bummed were on opposite sides...

Addict,

Sorry for the Jets loss last week. Shoulda stuck with the ol' gut.

I think the Steelers are the better team and they roll. Have them capped at -7, so I'll lay the 3.5. Nice 3 you got there.

On the other side though, I have this closer to a pick/Chi-1. I think Vegas wants to see how much action they can get on the Packers without tipping their cap to the wiseguys and going too high. I doubt it moves off a 3.5, but time will tell.

No opinion on the total in the Pitt game yet, but really like the Under in the GB/Chi game. This may be my strongest play all weekend.

Good Luck.

ldabdou - ya me too man hate going against solid cappers.....gl man

and hogman damn man i know i said i hate doing that shit and second guessin myself and switchin bets, and well that s why.......GL man
 

Zamo

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Hey Addict....why not pay extra vig to buy down to -3??

I think they roll as well but since 3 is such a big #, may be worth it!! :shrug:
 

the addict

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Hey Addict....why not pay extra vig to buy down to -3??

I think they roll as well but since 3 is such a big #, may be worth it!! :shrug:

you read my mind already did it earlier today, but was after i put a unit on 3.5 and posted....

at first the half wasnt bothering me, but the more i thought about it, the more the half made me nervous just incase the game is closer then what i expect. I played another unit with it at 3...

thanks for the help though man GL too ya zamo like i said glad were on the same page!
 

the addict

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good luck addict!!! will coat tail ya!!!:toast:

alrighty lets cash em Kazaam. :toast:

I am seein a lot of good arguments made for both sides, but I strongly feel that atleast one fav will cover for sure. I am hoping for a split worst case, but have both games capped with favs covering and thnk we have a great oppurtunity too cash both or else i wouldnt be playing them obviously. I know that my predictions mean nothing as noone can predict the future, but really feel confident in both plays.

GL man hope too see ya at the window:0074
 

Kazaam

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After reading up on the Pitt vs Jets first game, Jets were given free points, 9 of them. Miller and Pomamalu were out also. This has to factor into Pitt covering. Sanchez also has had problems with teams that put pressure on him, Blitzburgh will be coming after him all day.Ryan is a good coach but so is Lebeau. Pitt will have to give this game away to looooooose!!!

My local already has it Pitt -4.5
 

the addict

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After reading up on the Pitt vs Jets first game, Jets were given free points, 9 of them. Miller and Pomamalu were out also. This has to factor into Pitt covering. Sanchez also has had problems with teams that put pressure on him, Blitzburgh will be coming after him all day.Ryan is a good coach but so is Lebeau. Pitt will have to give this game away to looooooose!!!

My local already has it Pitt -4.5

agree with what your sayin man..


and ya im guessin local around here will have it around there...

all steelers fans around here, he knows jets wont get much action
 

the addict

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ADDING:

STEELERS -7.5 +165

SCORE IN FIRST 7 MINUTES YES -115

BOTH TEAMS MAKE A 33 OR LONGER FG NO -170
 

the addict

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props are all half unit for fun mostly


SANCHEZ over 19.5 completions +115

BEN FIRST PASS COMPLETE -150
 
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