Looking back, just over a month ago the Pat's closed as a 1 pt fav in Denver, if anything has changed it's that the Pat's have gotten better and Denver may have fallen back towards the pack but now Denver is giving more than a FG.
:0003
Game was in New England, bro. It opened at Denver -1 (translating to Denver -7 at home) and closed at Pats -1 (translating to Denver -5).
Re: your earlier post... it's hard to believe because it is wrong. Denver will roll here. I guess I shouldn't be surprised though, seeing how wrong the sharp money was on Carolina too. If Denver was the "sharp" play, as you indicated... the line wouldn't have plummeted like it did. There isn't much of any public money coming down on the opener.
My opinion - that perception that you are talking about from last week, could have let them open it at Denver -4, BUT they didn't. For a reason. Pats beat a crappy Colts team at home, and Denver struggled against a peaking SD team, that they always struggle with. I was shocked it got hit so hard because I think Denver is at least 3 points better than the Pats, and should be at least -6.
Sour grapes, Laugh the fuck out loud... I don't get sour grapes. You got the wrong guy.
IN short, I think New England is very overrated.... shitty on the road. Denver will have a major chip on their shoulder in this game, and will run all over the Pats and avenge that earlier choke job.
It's a fun game, but I don't care to spend too much time over analyzing it. GL on whatever you decide to do
