CHAMPIONSHIP WEEK

[bert07]

LSU vs Tenn

I have profited overall by fading the Tigers in almost every game this season. Since DT Charles Alexander went down for the season, LSU has gone 2-7 ATS. The 2 covers came against Bama after a huge struggle and La Tech. LSU is 4-1 SU (2-3 ATS) on the road, but as mentioned previously, the Tigers played poorly at Bama and were lucky to get the cover.

Conversely, Tenn is on an 8-1 SU (7-2 ATS) run since getting humiliated by in Gainesville. The lone loss was a puzzling blowout at Bama. It should be pointed out that Tenn has played poorly on the road vs. a tough schedule. Tenn squeaked by Kentucky last week, and were blasted by Cal, Florida and Bama. The other win away from home was @ Miss St.

Not to beat a dead horse, but LSU is an extremely banged up team.

Inuries:

DB LSU has both starting safeties injured. Curtis Taylor has a bruised hip and Craig Steltz has a hamstring. Both will ikely play, but if Taylor doesn't it may improve the nickel and Dime packages because it will inject another CB into the mix. Frosh CB Jai Eugene should slide in and I think will help the secondary i pass coverage.

DL The DL, which is already down 1 starter, returns Soph DE Ricky Jean Francois from academic suspension since September. Francois is a beast, but I can't expect him to be in game shape. Of course Dorsey is still recovering from a knee and back spasms. He won't be 100% til the bowl at the earliest. Dorsey cost LSU last week more than he helped.


LB Despite the well-deserved recognition received by Ali Highsmith, LSU's best LB is MLB Darry Beckwith(jr). He played well below 100% last week off of arthroscopic surgery. He will play again, but I'm not sure how much he has healed since LW. His back-up is 2 steps slower than he is.

QB Flynn was reported by ESPN as not starting this game due to a shoulder injury. RP gets the nod in that case. RP is a head case off of the field, but he has EVERY physical tool you could want on it. The myth that Perriloux is an option QB and can't throw straight is absurd. He is a better runner than Flynn and has a MUCH bigger arm. In his only start his numbers were excellent, but that was vs. MTSU (I think) and he still missed several reads that game. Please note that I am a tough critic. As an LSU fan, I am glad that Tenn has little to go on in how to defend RP. He may actually provide a spark.

this is good stuff
thanks much

 

[redsfann]

"Sittin and starin out of the hotel window.
Got a tip theyre gonna kick the door in again
Id like to get some sleep before I travel,
But if you got a warrant, I guess youre gonna come in.

Busted, down on bourbon street, set up, like a bowlin pin.
Knocked down, it gets to wearin thin. they just wont let you be, oh no." :00hour



Good luck today, Cie, and congrats on a great season to date. Looking forward to your thoughts on the bowl season.

 

[Cie]

Thanks guys.


Added:


Army +14 x1
UCLA un45.5 x1
CMU -3 x1
Zona +7 x1

All plays at (-105) @ BetG, except Zona (-110) @ BetJ

GL:weed:

 

[LA Burns]

Cie,


Looks to me that Mia O has decided advantages on D and ST's - CMU has def lost a bit with the departure of Kelly as well

jmo - gl and congrats on a great ncaafb season

Burns

 

[Cie]

Cie,


Looks to me that Mia O has decided advantages on D



Burns

Sure they do, but not as big of an advantage if you read into their schedule. CMU played several potent offenses, and their losses were to CLemson, Purdue, Kansas and a top level Div 1-AA offense in ND St. The other loss was to rival EMU the week after CMU clinched their division title.

Definitely not my normal type of play, but I like my chances here.

GL today:weed:

 

[Toledo Prophet]

I say this after kickoff, but CMU is 18-5 ATS the last three years in MAC play, including 6-1 this year and 8-1 last year.....i've been on CMU all season in their league games.....riding them again today.

Of course, as I type this Miami gets a pick and is driving.


Good to know there is a Dead Head contingent on this board. "Such a long time to be gone, and a short time to be there"

Lyric kinda of fits on the last day of the college football season. :weed:

 

[Cie]

TP- bad int by CMU there




Added:

FAU +16 x1
LSU un 59.5 x2

If playing this under, I would move fast. Down to 59 locally, and down to 58 @ BetG. BetJ has it @ 59.5 as we speak.

LSU will try to run and use a short passing game today.

GLTA:weed:

 

[DR STRANGELOVE]

gl today!

 

[trolln4walii]

All the best this week Cie. Phenomenal season!!! :thumb:

 

[Cie]

Thx gents.

Played:

Oreg 2H un23 x.5


GL:weed:

 

[Cie]

Ducks and Beavs both missed winning FG's inside of 1:00. OT put it over:com:

 

[Cie]

6-2 +6.35U today

YTD: 87-60 +53.33U

GLTA:weed:

 

[Morris]

5-3 +4.3U today

YTD: 86-61 +51.28U

GLTA:weed:

Nice record Cie!!

 

[Toledo Prophet]

I was ready to take a flight to Az and kill Stoops for passing on the FG and bailing on the cover.....then, they got the ball back and found a way to sneak in the back door!!

Nice day. Nice year. Geaux Tigers!!! :weed:

But, keep the new avatar!!

 

[Cie]

Nice record Cie!!

Thanks Mo. I caught many breaks along the way.

 

[Cie]

I was ready to take a flight to Az and kill Stoops for passing on the FG and bailing on the cover.....then, they got the ball back and found a way to sneak in the back door!!

Nice day. Nice year. Geaux Tigers!!! :weed:

But, keep the new avatar!!

Oh, I had graded it as a loser. Thanks for the heads up. Will update my record.