Wally Bell is 15-2 home team. The last time a road team won was May 4. Covers missed a game. He has been behind the plate on Fri just one time. The home fav won, The fav is 12-5 but the home fav is 11-1. As close as this line is, it could go off with either team being the fav. Cle is 4-6 but 2-2 on the road. The dog is 6-4. Balt is 3-6 but 1-2 at home as a dog in all three games. The fav in Balt games is 7-2.
This might be the most important stat of all. Sabathia is 3-0 with 2 of those wins coming as the dog. His team has given up no more than 4 runs, ave 3. On the other hand, Lopez is 1-1 but the least amount of runs his team has allowed is 5 and the ave is 8. The way I figure this is that if Cle gives up it's highest number of runs and Balt their least, Cle wins.
I'm not saying it will happen tonight but when Bell changes direction (and he will) it will be brutal. I haven't made a decision yet but might just find something else. Hard to go against his home and home fav records at this time. If he was a pitcher with this record he would be around -1000.