Just looking over the games so I won't be out of touch with baseball. This one really jumped out at me.
Cinci was embarrassed last nite in only their 2nd shutout of the season, and should have a much better effort today.
Dempster is aweful this yr in day games. 20IP, 23ER for 10.35ERA, 18BB to 10Ks, and a WHIP well over 2
. On grass this yr, 39.2IP, 26 ER for 7.14ERA, 46BB to 49Ks, and WHIP of 1.9. He's only allowed 5ER over his L20IP, but look at the opponents: TB, ChiCubs, and Zona.
Sabathia, by looking at the surface has done great lately, with his team winning 8 of L9 in the games he's pitched in, but look at the oppoenents: Pitt, Det x2, SD, Col (got hammered for his only L), ChiSox, Oak, Tx x2 (who were in the middle of a 3-12 slump). In his L3 outings, he went 3-0, but has a WHIP of 1.47 vs SD, Det, and Pitt, and he'll be coming off of pitch counts of 117, 101, 120.
How about fielding?? Clv ranks 29th in MLB in errors committed, Cinci......dead last at 30th, at almost an error a game avg. These 2 teams combine for 138 errors committed, and it's only end of June.
Then we have Crawford behind HP, who's gone Over in 5 of his L6 games, with the game totals at 13, 18, 9, 11, 11, 14.
Add all these up, Over9 at -104 seems like a really good bet. I'm plunking some dough on this one, for sure.
Any thoughts??
Good luck today
Cinci was embarrassed last nite in only their 2nd shutout of the season, and should have a much better effort today.
Dempster is aweful this yr in day games. 20IP, 23ER for 10.35ERA, 18BB to 10Ks, and a WHIP well over 2
. On grass this yr, 39.2IP, 26 ER for 7.14ERA, 46BB to 49Ks, and WHIP of 1.9. He's only allowed 5ER over his L20IP, but look at the opponents: TB, ChiCubs, and Zona.Sabathia, by looking at the surface has done great lately, with his team winning 8 of L9 in the games he's pitched in, but look at the oppoenents: Pitt, Det x2, SD, Col (got hammered for his only L), ChiSox, Oak, Tx x2 (who were in the middle of a 3-12 slump). In his L3 outings, he went 3-0, but has a WHIP of 1.47 vs SD, Det, and Pitt, and he'll be coming off of pitch counts of 117, 101, 120.
How about fielding?? Clv ranks 29th in MLB in errors committed, Cinci......dead last at 30th, at almost an error a game avg. These 2 teams combine for 138 errors committed, and it's only end of June.
Then we have Crawford behind HP, who's gone Over in 5 of his L6 games, with the game totals at 13, 18, 9, 11, 11, 14.
Add all these up, Over9 at -104 seems like a really good bet. I'm plunking some dough on this one, for sure.
Any thoughts??
Good luck today
