cisco's 4-game chase

[cisco]

Link:
http://spreadsheets.google.com/ccc?key=roemGkS-H1y4I8mQgsaB-Bw&hl=en

Home Favorite & Road Favorite- Bet on after 3 losses in a row
Home Dog & Road Dog- Bet against after 3 wins in a row

I'll post those with two losses but won't consider them in the 4 game chase.

Todays Plays:
Two losses (60-34)
HF Philly.
Play Philly

RD Cincy.
Play Arizona

The Chase: (26-0)
RD. Detroit. Gm1
Play is on Minnesota

RD. Atlanta Gm 1
Play is on Mets

RF. Tampa Bay Gm 3
Play is on Tampa Bay

 

[captmorgan34]

does the tampa 3 mean the third game of your chase or game 3 of the series. Just checking because there are only two games in the series. Sorry about the dumb questions, lost too many brain cells during high school and college.
thx
:0corn

 

[cisco]

3rd game of the chase. Even though I'm just starting in here I have to keep the record straight.

Series play means nothing in the chase.

 

[el JB]

can't thank you enough

can't thank you enough

you got us a gem of a spreadsheet here
i can make a lot of it and the chase is a good tool for us losers as we can lose in a steady base and still NOT LOSE IN THE END:mj07:

 

[captmorgan34]

thx. so typo on atl. atl is the 2nd game of the chase. srry.
:shrug:

 

[cisco]

el JB-
c?mo est?s amigo!
how you bean ma?

All the info is in the last two tabs.

Lemmie know if you need any help.

capt- If you started after 2 losses you would be on game 2 with atlanta. (in a five game chase)

 

[captmorgan34]

and you play the chase for seven games?

I think I finally got this.
:00hour

 

[cisco]

check the Philly tab after two home losses.
see a pattern here?

 

[cisco]

and you play the chase for seven games?

I think I finally got this.
:00hour

The chase is for four games. We start after 3 losses. Total games to lose the chase would be seven.

We will lose some chases, just hope it's not too many.

 

[captmorgan34]

Lasst stupid ?. I should keep every catagory separate from the next one. Correct?:scared

 

[cisco]

yes. keep every catagory separate. but you don't have to do anything. I do all the work. just click the update tab.
todays plays are in yellow. the others will be in play when their time comes.

 

[cisco]

I think I finally got this.
:00hour

You'll get it when you lose. You'l be crapping your pants when you get to a game 3 or 4 and you have 25-40 units on the line. :scared

 

[VEGASKILLER]

:0corn

 

[cisco]

VEGASKILLER-
When are you going to post your picks?
If I remember correctly you won a lot more than you lost.

:toast:

 

[burnetto57]

burnetto57

burnetto57

You'll get it when you lose. You'l be crapping your pants when you get to a game 3 or 4 and you have 25-40 units on the line. :scared

Re: Mets 'play on' it's OK that technically one of Atls. road Dogs was actually -101? Is there some sort of + or - in close ones? :SIB

 

[cisco]

well, they were the dog that day with philly being -107.

The original rule for this chase was that all of the games had to be either -110 for a fav or +110 for a dog. I just want to see how it works out this way. In this senario tampa bay would be a game 2 as they had one game at -108.



.

 

[burnetto57]

sp

sp

well, they were the dog that day with philly being -107.

The original rule for this chase was that all of the games had to be either -110 for a fav or +110 for a dog. I just want to see how it works out this way. In this senario tampa bay would be a game 2 as they had one game at -108.



.

Right - i didn't even consider the other team wud be the Fav w/ a -101 - got it.

I've been lurking for a couple weeks with your threads. Am interested in following this chase - but as a newbie to cahses could you give be a '101' to chases in general and to your's specifically. I think I get the maj. of it but not completely - esp in terms of units to wager and exactly how you follow it. My interp. is that when a team is at your spot H/R Fav aft3 cons losses - u bet 'on' the next 4 games this team plays and w/ Hdg/Rdg u bet against the team for 4 games in a row once they 'arrive' @ 3 wins in a row. Is this it or am I totally 'out to lunch' THX

 

[cisco]

RD (bet against after winning three in a row)
RF (bet on after losing three in a row)
HD (bet against after winning three in a row)
HF (bet on after losing three in a row)



If you are going to play a chase system consider how much you're willing to lose.

What I play for each unit is irrelevant. It is based on a percentage of your bankroll.
Let's say a busted chase of four games loses you 30 units. How much of a percentage of your bankroll do you want to lose? 75%? 50%? 25%?
That's up to you.

Let's say you are willing to risk 25% of your bankroll as an example:

Bankroll: $1000
Bankroll willing to lose on a busted chase: $250

Take 250 and divide that by 30 which is the avg. units lost on a losing chase.

To be on the conservative side, use 40 units as a benchmark. 250/40= $6.25 per unit.

 

[captmorgan34]

then tampa was a play because it lost like three in a row as a road favorite?

 

[burnetto57]

RD (bet against after winning three in a row)
RF (bet on after losing three in a row)
HD (bet against after winning three in a row)
HF (bet on after losing three in a row)



If you are going to play a chase system consider how much you're willing to lose.

What I play for each unit is irrelevant. It is based on a percentage of your bankroll.
Let's say a busted chase of four games loses you 30 units. How much of a percentage of your bankroll do you want to lose? 75%? 50%? 25%?
That's up to you.

Let's say you are willing to risk 25% of your bankroll as an example:

Bankroll: $1000
Bankroll willing to lose on a busted chase: $250

Take 250 and divide that by 30 which is the avg. units lost on a losing chase.

To be on the conservative side, use 40 units as a benchmark. 250/40= $6.25 per unit.

Thanks Cisco - I'm goin to study up on this a bit and employ a friends help that has has significant experience w/ chases :box2: