Armadillo Sports
College Football
Tuesday?s game
Appalachian State is 3-1 but their loss was most impressive, losing 45-38 in OT at Penn State, when ASU outgained Nittany Lions, 451-434. PSU tied game in last minute of regulation. App State won its first two Sun Belt games 45-9/52-7 since then- Mountaineers are 10-5 as road favorites. Arkansas State (+10) upset App State 40-27 on road in teams? last meeting in 2015; double digit road underdogs won both series games since App State went I-A in ?14. Ark State is 2-2 vs I-A teams, losing to Alabama/Georgia Southern; under Anderson, Red Wolves are 2-0 as home underdogs.
Thursday?s games
TCU lost two of last three games; they were minus-9 in turnovers in those games, and were held to 16-17 points in last two games. Horned Frogs are 2-10-1 vs spread in last 13 games as home favorites. Texas Tech scored 46 ppg in its last three games; they?re 9-4 in last 13 games as road underdogs. Road team won last three Texas Tech-TCU games; Tech won two of last three visits here, with both wins by 3 points, the loss was 82-27 in ?14. Underdogs covered four of last six series games. Big X home favorites are 3-5 vs spread this season.
Georgia Southern won both its games with Texas State 37-13/28-25, with last meeting in ?15. Eagles are 4-1 this season, 4-0 vs spread; their only loss was 38-7 at Clemson- this is GSU?s first road game since then. GSU covered only one of last five games as road favorites. Texas State is 0-4 vs I-A teams, with only one loss by less than 10 points; Bobcats gave up 327 rushing yards LW is 42-27 home loss to ULL. Under Withers, TSU is 3-8 vs spread as home underdogs. Three of four Georgia Southern games stayed under.
Friday?s games
South Florida is 5-0 this season, despite giving up 38 points to Ga Tech, 42 to UMass; Bulls ran ball for 365 yards LW, after East Carolina outgained them by 116 yards in a 20-13 win. USF won its last two games with Tulsa, 27-20/38-30, with last visit here in ?14; under Strong, Bulls are 2-4 as road favorites. Tulsa is 0-4 vs I-A teams, 2-2 vs spread; all four games stayed under total. Under Montgomery, Golden Hurricane is 1-6 as home underdogs; they?re -6 in turnovers vs I-A teams, giving up 192+ rushing yards in all four games.
Arizona won five of last six games with Utah, but they lost 36-23 in last visit here in ?16. Dogs are 4-3 vs spread in last seven series games. Arizona is 2-3 vs I-A teams; all five games stayed under total; since ?13, Wildcats are 3-14 vs spread as road underdogs- they?re 3-7 in last ten games as a double digit dog. Khalil Tate hasn?t progressed much as a passer, which hurts. Utah lost two of last three games but pulled upset at Stanford LW; Utes allowed 826 PY in last two games. Since Utah is 9-13 vs spread when laying double digits.
Air Force ended 3-game skid by thumping rival Navy 35-7 LW; they allowed 827 PY in their first two road games- Navy can?t pass. San Diego State won its last seven games with Air Force, winning 30-14/28-9 in last two series games played here. Falcons are 0-2 on road, losing 33-27/42-32; they covered eight of last 11 games as road underdogs. Aztecs pulled a big upset in Boise LW; they?re 7-12 vs spread in last 19 games as home favorites. No one has run for more than 119 yards vs San Diego State this year- can Air Force move it enough to cover here?
Saturday?s best 13 games
Texas A&M is 4-2, but losses are to Alabama/Clemson; Aggies have been minus in turnovers in five of six games but held Arkansas/Kentucky to 1714 points, 55-70 rushing yards in winning last two games? three of their last four games stayed under total. Aggies are 6-4 in last ten games as road favorites. South Carolina scored 37+ points in its wins, 17-10 in losses; under Muschamp, Gamecocks are 3-2 as home underdogs. A&M won its last four games with South Carolina, winning 24-13/52-28 in last two visits here.
Colorado is 5-0 but still getting a TD+ here; Buffaloes lost their last seven games with USC, losing last three visits here, by 4-28-44 points. Colorado hasn?t played a great schedule; they won 33-28 at Nebraska in only road game- all four of their I-A games stayed under. Buffs are 9-5 in last 14 games as road underdogs. USC is 2-7 vs spread in last nine games as home favorites; they?re 3-2 this season, 1-4 vs spread. Trojans were held to 3-14 points in their two losses; they scored 43-39-24 in their wins. Pac-12 home favorites are 4-3 vs spread this season.
Washington hammered Oregon 38-3/70-21 last two years, with Ducks having different coaches both years, and now this year a third HC. Huskies won their last five games since loss to Auburn in opener, allowing 10.2 ppg in their wins- under Pedersen, Washington is 9-7 as road favorites. Oregon is 4-1 this season, scoring 31+ points in all five games; Ducks are 1-4 vs spread in last five games as home underdogs. Oregon gained 443+ yards in all five games; they were -3 in TO?s in their only loss, 38-31 at home to Stanford.
Arkansas is 0-5 vs I-A teams, with three losses by 27+ points- four of those five games stayed under the total. Razorbacks are 8-5 in last 13 games as home underdogs. Arkansas won its last four games with Ole Miss, winning 34-30/30-0 in last two games played here. Rebels scored 38+ points in their four wins, were held to 7-16 in losses to Alabama/LSU- they gained 829 yards in a 70-21 win over a Sun Belt team LW. Ole Miss is 4-9 in its last 13 games as road favorites. SEC home underdogs are 6-4 vs spread this year.
Wisconsin is 4-1 with a 28-17 win at Iowa, but a bad home loss to BYU; over last nine years, Badgers are 7-2 vs spread as road underdogs. Wisconsin ran ball for 370 yards vs Nebraska LW, but Cornhuskers threw ball for 407 yards. Michigan won its last five games since an opening loss at Notre Dame; under Harbaugh, Wolverines are 12-11 as home favorites? three of their last four games stayed under. Badgers won three of last four games with Michigan, losing last meeting here 14-7. Big 14 home favorites are 4-4 this season.
West Virginia won its last four games with Iowa State, winning 49-19/37-24 in last two visits to Ames. Mountaineers are 5-0, wth road wins at Tennessee (40-14), Texas Tech (42-34)- they?re 5-2 in last seven games as road favorites. WVU scored 35+ points, threw for 332+ yards in all five I-A games. Cyclones are 2-3 after pulling a big upset (+10) at Oklahoma State LW, with freshman QB Purdy going 18-23/318 passing in his first college start; under Campbell, Iowa State is 6-3-1 as home underdogs.
Iowa won five of last six games with Indiana, winning 35-27 (-7) in last visit here; Hawkeyes gave up 210 rushing yards in their only loss, to Wisconsin- they allowed total of 111 rushing yards in other three I-A games. Iowa?s last three games went over the total. Indiana lost two of its last three games; they?re 2-5 vs spread in last seven games as home underdogs. Hoosiers ran ball for only 29-84 yards in their two losses- they gave up 455 PY in loss to Ohio State last week. Big 14 home underdogs are 3-6 vs spread this year.
Central Florida won its last 11 games with Memphis; they won last three visits here, by 7-18-20 points. Knights covered five of last six games as road favorites- they?re 5-0 against collection of stiffs this season, with 56-17 win at UConn their only road game so far. Memphis is 4-2 despite being favored in every game; they?re 8-4-1 in last 13 games as home underdogs. Tigers allowed 467-496 TY in games vs South Alabama/Tulane; they lost both games when they ran for less than 271 yards. AAC home underdogs are 3-2 vs spread.
Florida won its last four games with Vanderbilt, winning 13-6/34-10 in last two visits here; Gators are off emotional wins over Miss State/LSU, have bye then Georgia game on deck, making this trap game for them. Over last 11 years, Florida is 16-8 as road favorites. Vandy lost its last three I-A games by 5-23-28 points, allowing 249 rushing yards/game; Commodores are 7-5 in last dozen games as home underdogs? all five of their I-A games his season stayed under. SEC home underdogs are 6-4 against spread this season.
Oklahoma State-Kansas State split their last six games overall, their last four meetings in Little Apple; average total in last three series games is 78. OSU is 5-2 in last seven games as road favorites; Cowboys allowed 41-48 points in their losses, 28 or less in their four wins- they won only road game 48-28 at Kansas. K-State lost its last three games, losing last two by total of eight points; they ran ball for 319 yards LW but lost tough 37-34 verdict at Baylor. Since 2011, Wildcats are 10-4 as road underdogs. Big X home underdogs are 4-2 vs spread this year.
Georgia/LSU split their last four meetings; this is Dawgs? first trip to Baton Rouge since 2008. Georgia is 6-0, with 43-29 win at Missouri the lowest game; their road wins are by 24-14 points. Under Smart, Dawgs are 6-3 as road favorites; Mizzou is only team this year to score more than 17 points vs Georgia. Since 2010, LSU is 14-7 vs spread coming off a loss, 4-2 as home dogs; Tigers lost 27-19 at Florida LW, their first loss in six games- Gators ran ball for 215 yards, would expect Dawgs to try and do same.
Michigan State won three of last four games with Penn State; home side won last three series games. Spartans won two of last three visits to Happy Valley; they?re 3-2 this year, scoring 31+ points in their wins, 13-19 in losses- they were held to 63-96 rushing yards in their losses. MSU?s last three games went over total. Spartans are 8-3 in last 11 games as road underdogs. Nittany Lions had week off after tough 27-26 home loss to Ohio State; over is 4-1 in PSU?s games this year. Under Franklin, Lions are 12-8 vs spread as home favorites.
UCLA is 0-5 in Chip Kelly?s first season here; they?re 0-2 on road, losing 49-21 at Oklahoma, 38-16 at Colorado. Bruins are 3-4 in last seven games as road underdogs- they allowed average of 461 TY in their last four games. UCLA won four of last five games with Cal, losing 36-10 in last visit here; average total in last four series games is 61.3. Golden Bears lost last two games after a 3-0 start, going -6 in turnovers in those two games; Cal is 6-3-1 in its last ten games as home favorites, 10-15 vs spread in game following its last 25 losses.
College Football
Tuesday?s game
Appalachian State is 3-1 but their loss was most impressive, losing 45-38 in OT at Penn State, when ASU outgained Nittany Lions, 451-434. PSU tied game in last minute of regulation. App State won its first two Sun Belt games 45-9/52-7 since then- Mountaineers are 10-5 as road favorites. Arkansas State (+10) upset App State 40-27 on road in teams? last meeting in 2015; double digit road underdogs won both series games since App State went I-A in ?14. Ark State is 2-2 vs I-A teams, losing to Alabama/Georgia Southern; under Anderson, Red Wolves are 2-0 as home underdogs.
Thursday?s games
TCU lost two of last three games; they were minus-9 in turnovers in those games, and were held to 16-17 points in last two games. Horned Frogs are 2-10-1 vs spread in last 13 games as home favorites. Texas Tech scored 46 ppg in its last three games; they?re 9-4 in last 13 games as road underdogs. Road team won last three Texas Tech-TCU games; Tech won two of last three visits here, with both wins by 3 points, the loss was 82-27 in ?14. Underdogs covered four of last six series games. Big X home favorites are 3-5 vs spread this season.
Georgia Southern won both its games with Texas State 37-13/28-25, with last meeting in ?15. Eagles are 4-1 this season, 4-0 vs spread; their only loss was 38-7 at Clemson- this is GSU?s first road game since then. GSU covered only one of last five games as road favorites. Texas State is 0-4 vs I-A teams, with only one loss by less than 10 points; Bobcats gave up 327 rushing yards LW is 42-27 home loss to ULL. Under Withers, TSU is 3-8 vs spread as home underdogs. Three of four Georgia Southern games stayed under.
Friday?s games
South Florida is 5-0 this season, despite giving up 38 points to Ga Tech, 42 to UMass; Bulls ran ball for 365 yards LW, after East Carolina outgained them by 116 yards in a 20-13 win. USF won its last two games with Tulsa, 27-20/38-30, with last visit here in ?14; under Strong, Bulls are 2-4 as road favorites. Tulsa is 0-4 vs I-A teams, 2-2 vs spread; all four games stayed under total. Under Montgomery, Golden Hurricane is 1-6 as home underdogs; they?re -6 in turnovers vs I-A teams, giving up 192+ rushing yards in all four games.
Arizona won five of last six games with Utah, but they lost 36-23 in last visit here in ?16. Dogs are 4-3 vs spread in last seven series games. Arizona is 2-3 vs I-A teams; all five games stayed under total; since ?13, Wildcats are 3-14 vs spread as road underdogs- they?re 3-7 in last ten games as a double digit dog. Khalil Tate hasn?t progressed much as a passer, which hurts. Utah lost two of last three games but pulled upset at Stanford LW; Utes allowed 826 PY in last two games. Since Utah is 9-13 vs spread when laying double digits.
Air Force ended 3-game skid by thumping rival Navy 35-7 LW; they allowed 827 PY in their first two road games- Navy can?t pass. San Diego State won its last seven games with Air Force, winning 30-14/28-9 in last two series games played here. Falcons are 0-2 on road, losing 33-27/42-32; they covered eight of last 11 games as road underdogs. Aztecs pulled a big upset in Boise LW; they?re 7-12 vs spread in last 19 games as home favorites. No one has run for more than 119 yards vs San Diego State this year- can Air Force move it enough to cover here?
Saturday?s best 13 games
Texas A&M is 4-2, but losses are to Alabama/Clemson; Aggies have been minus in turnovers in five of six games but held Arkansas/Kentucky to 1714 points, 55-70 rushing yards in winning last two games? three of their last four games stayed under total. Aggies are 6-4 in last ten games as road favorites. South Carolina scored 37+ points in its wins, 17-10 in losses; under Muschamp, Gamecocks are 3-2 as home underdogs. A&M won its last four games with South Carolina, winning 24-13/52-28 in last two visits here.
Colorado is 5-0 but still getting a TD+ here; Buffaloes lost their last seven games with USC, losing last three visits here, by 4-28-44 points. Colorado hasn?t played a great schedule; they won 33-28 at Nebraska in only road game- all four of their I-A games stayed under. Buffs are 9-5 in last 14 games as road underdogs. USC is 2-7 vs spread in last nine games as home favorites; they?re 3-2 this season, 1-4 vs spread. Trojans were held to 3-14 points in their two losses; they scored 43-39-24 in their wins. Pac-12 home favorites are 4-3 vs spread this season.
Washington hammered Oregon 38-3/70-21 last two years, with Ducks having different coaches both years, and now this year a third HC. Huskies won their last five games since loss to Auburn in opener, allowing 10.2 ppg in their wins- under Pedersen, Washington is 9-7 as road favorites. Oregon is 4-1 this season, scoring 31+ points in all five games; Ducks are 1-4 vs spread in last five games as home underdogs. Oregon gained 443+ yards in all five games; they were -3 in TO?s in their only loss, 38-31 at home to Stanford.
Arkansas is 0-5 vs I-A teams, with three losses by 27+ points- four of those five games stayed under the total. Razorbacks are 8-5 in last 13 games as home underdogs. Arkansas won its last four games with Ole Miss, winning 34-30/30-0 in last two games played here. Rebels scored 38+ points in their four wins, were held to 7-16 in losses to Alabama/LSU- they gained 829 yards in a 70-21 win over a Sun Belt team LW. Ole Miss is 4-9 in its last 13 games as road favorites. SEC home underdogs are 6-4 vs spread this year.
Wisconsin is 4-1 with a 28-17 win at Iowa, but a bad home loss to BYU; over last nine years, Badgers are 7-2 vs spread as road underdogs. Wisconsin ran ball for 370 yards vs Nebraska LW, but Cornhuskers threw ball for 407 yards. Michigan won its last five games since an opening loss at Notre Dame; under Harbaugh, Wolverines are 12-11 as home favorites? three of their last four games stayed under. Badgers won three of last four games with Michigan, losing last meeting here 14-7. Big 14 home favorites are 4-4 this season.
West Virginia won its last four games with Iowa State, winning 49-19/37-24 in last two visits to Ames. Mountaineers are 5-0, wth road wins at Tennessee (40-14), Texas Tech (42-34)- they?re 5-2 in last seven games as road favorites. WVU scored 35+ points, threw for 332+ yards in all five I-A games. Cyclones are 2-3 after pulling a big upset (+10) at Oklahoma State LW, with freshman QB Purdy going 18-23/318 passing in his first college start; under Campbell, Iowa State is 6-3-1 as home underdogs.
Iowa won five of last six games with Indiana, winning 35-27 (-7) in last visit here; Hawkeyes gave up 210 rushing yards in their only loss, to Wisconsin- they allowed total of 111 rushing yards in other three I-A games. Iowa?s last three games went over the total. Indiana lost two of its last three games; they?re 2-5 vs spread in last seven games as home underdogs. Hoosiers ran ball for only 29-84 yards in their two losses- they gave up 455 PY in loss to Ohio State last week. Big 14 home underdogs are 3-6 vs spread this year.
Central Florida won its last 11 games with Memphis; they won last three visits here, by 7-18-20 points. Knights covered five of last six games as road favorites- they?re 5-0 against collection of stiffs this season, with 56-17 win at UConn their only road game so far. Memphis is 4-2 despite being favored in every game; they?re 8-4-1 in last 13 games as home underdogs. Tigers allowed 467-496 TY in games vs South Alabama/Tulane; they lost both games when they ran for less than 271 yards. AAC home underdogs are 3-2 vs spread.
Florida won its last four games with Vanderbilt, winning 13-6/34-10 in last two visits here; Gators are off emotional wins over Miss State/LSU, have bye then Georgia game on deck, making this trap game for them. Over last 11 years, Florida is 16-8 as road favorites. Vandy lost its last three I-A games by 5-23-28 points, allowing 249 rushing yards/game; Commodores are 7-5 in last dozen games as home underdogs? all five of their I-A games his season stayed under. SEC home underdogs are 6-4 against spread this season.
Oklahoma State-Kansas State split their last six games overall, their last four meetings in Little Apple; average total in last three series games is 78. OSU is 5-2 in last seven games as road favorites; Cowboys allowed 41-48 points in their losses, 28 or less in their four wins- they won only road game 48-28 at Kansas. K-State lost its last three games, losing last two by total of eight points; they ran ball for 319 yards LW but lost tough 37-34 verdict at Baylor. Since 2011, Wildcats are 10-4 as road underdogs. Big X home underdogs are 4-2 vs spread this year.
Georgia/LSU split their last four meetings; this is Dawgs? first trip to Baton Rouge since 2008. Georgia is 6-0, with 43-29 win at Missouri the lowest game; their road wins are by 24-14 points. Under Smart, Dawgs are 6-3 as road favorites; Mizzou is only team this year to score more than 17 points vs Georgia. Since 2010, LSU is 14-7 vs spread coming off a loss, 4-2 as home dogs; Tigers lost 27-19 at Florida LW, their first loss in six games- Gators ran ball for 215 yards, would expect Dawgs to try and do same.
Michigan State won three of last four games with Penn State; home side won last three series games. Spartans won two of last three visits to Happy Valley; they?re 3-2 this year, scoring 31+ points in their wins, 13-19 in losses- they were held to 63-96 rushing yards in their losses. MSU?s last three games went over total. Spartans are 8-3 in last 11 games as road underdogs. Nittany Lions had week off after tough 27-26 home loss to Ohio State; over is 4-1 in PSU?s games this year. Under Franklin, Lions are 12-8 vs spread as home favorites.
UCLA is 0-5 in Chip Kelly?s first season here; they?re 0-2 on road, losing 49-21 at Oklahoma, 38-16 at Colorado. Bruins are 3-4 in last seven games as road underdogs- they allowed average of 461 TY in their last four games. UCLA won four of last five games with Cal, losing 36-10 in last visit here; average total in last four series games is 61.3. Golden Bears lost last two games after a 3-0 start, going -6 in turnovers in those two games; Cal is 6-3-1 in its last ten games as home favorites, 10-15 vs spread in game following its last 25 losses.
