CNOTES 2019 NFL SEASON'S BEST BETS- OPINIONS-NEWS-TRENDS THRU THE SUPERBOWL !

[Cnotes53]

NFL Week 8 opening odds and early moves: With Chiefs minus Mahomes, Packers are road faves
Patrick Everson

Patrick Mahomes won't be slinging for Kansas City against Green Bay in Week 8 and likely a couple weeks beyond that. The Chiefs opened as 3-point home underdogs for the Sunday night clash.

Week 8 of the NFL season is on deck, featuring an NFC-AFC clash that?s missing one of the league?s biggest stars. Covers checks in on the opening odds and early action for that contest and three others, with insights from John Murray, director of The SuperBook at Westgate in Las Vegas.

Green Bay Packers at Kansas City Chiefs (+3)

Under the Sunday night lights, Kansas City won?t have prime-time quarterback Patrick Mahomes, who suffered a dislocated knee in the second quarter at Denver in Week 7. The Chiefs (5-2 SU, 4-3 ATS) still went on to win easily 30-6 as 3-point favorites behind backup Matt Moore, but will most certainly face a stiffer challenge minus Mahomes this week.

Green Bay stubbed its toe at home in the Week 4 Thursday nighter, but has otherwise been spotless this season. The Packers (6-1 SU, 5-2 ATS) rolled over Oakland 42-24 as 5.5-point favorites in Week 7.

The opening number was a healthy distance away from last week?s look-ahead line for this contest.

?The look-ahead number was Chiefs -4 before the Mahomes injury,? Murray told Covers on Sunday night. ?We reopened with Green Bay a 3-point fave. Keep an eye on the other players Kansas City has been missing the last few weeks. They have a number of other key veterans that should be back soon.?

Arizona Cardinals at New Orleans Saints (-7.5)

New Orleans was without Drew Brees the past five weeks, yet went 5-0 SU and ATS in that stretch to stand atop the NFC South. The Saints (6-1 SU, 5-2 ATS) went off as 4-point underdogs at Chicago in Week 7 and emerged with a 36-25 victory.

Arizona is coming along much better than expected under rookie coach Kliff Kingsbury and rookie QB Kyler Murray. The Cardinals (3-3-1 SU, 5-2 ATS) nabbed a 27-21 road win over the New York Giants catching 3.5 points to win and cash for the third straight week.

There?s a chance Brees returns this week from a thumb injury, but Murray thinks that might be more talk than anything else.

?We opened this game Saints -7.5 and are up to -8.5,? Murray said. ?I don?t see the Saints pressing Brees into action here. They have been winning without him and have a bye next week.?

Carolina Panthers at San Francisco 49ers (-6)

San Francisco is one of just two remaining undefeated outfits, joining New England in that respect. The 49ers (6-0 SU, 4-2 ATS) battled through the rain at Washington in Week 7, slogging out a 9-0 victory as 10-point faves.

Carolina ripped off four consecutive SU and ATS wins without Cam Newton, who?s been out with a foot injury. The Panthers (4-2 SU and ATS), coming off their bye week, rode backup Kyle Allen to a 37-26 Week 6 win laying 2 points at Tampa Bay.

?The 49ers are 6-0 SU, but they?re going to need more from their offense to keep winning deep into the season,? Murray said. ?The Panthers are coming into this game off their bye week. It could be a tricky spot for San Francisco.?

Philadelphia Eagles at Buffalo Bills (-1.5)

One team is putting itself in playoff position, the other is sub-.500, but it?s a bit of a surprise as to who?s who.

Buffalo is out to a 5-1 SU start (4-2 ATS), with the only loss a more-than-respectable setback to New England. The Bills struggled through three quarters against winless Miami, but scored three fourth-quarter touchdowns to win 31-21 giving a hefty 17 points at home.

Meanwhile, Philadelphia dropped two in a row and four of its last six to fall to 3-4 SU and 2-5 ATS. The Eagles went to Dallas as 3-point underdogs and got run 37-10 in the Week 7 Sunday nighter.

?It?s off the board now, but we opened Bills -1.5,? Murray said, noting this game was taken down ahead of Philly?s Sunday night loss, but it will go back up Monday morning. ?The Eagles are on the third of three straight tough road games, after playing at Minnesota and at Dallas the last two weeks. The Eagles need to get healthy quickly, or they will fall out of the NFC playoff picture.?

 

[Cnotes53]

MNF - Patriots at Jets
Tony Mejia

New England (-9, 43.5) at N.Y. Jets, 8:15 pm ET, ESPN

The transitive property could get itself quite the workout on Monday if the masses decide to talk themselves into throwing caution to the wind and backing the Jets against Tom Brady and the Patriots.

New York destroyed Dallas last week in Sam Darnold?s return from a bout with mono. The Cowboys got their tackles back, returned home and pulverized the Eagles 37-10. Just who does this Brady guy have alongside him anyway?

Backing the Jets over the Pats is the present-day NFL equivalent of riding David over Goliath or the Generals over the Globetrotters. It?s riding Charlie Brown to kick that football. However, friendly bookmakers typically manage to provided incentive that has actually made it more profitable to take the points with New York over New England this decade. That includes an outright upset the only time the teams met in the playoffs. For proof, see the recent series history below for everyone of their outcomes since 2010.

The Jets haven?t won at Foxboro since their Divisional Playoff win back in ?11, the crowning moment of both Mark Sanchez?s career and the franchise?s last two decades. Despite losses in 15 of 17 against their New England-based tormentors, the Jets have posted a pair of overtime wins at home and were tied at 13 in the third-quarter of last season?s visit before the Jets pulled away. That was without Darnold, who has only been able to participate in one of three games against the Patriots since being drafted.

New York failed to cover in the 27-13 loss, snapping a run of five straight home covers against the Pats. The Jets then got crushed 38-3 in Week 17 as Darnold ran into a finely tuned buzzsaw that was preparing for a Super Bowl run. When the teams squared off on Sept. 22, Darnold was home dealing with the effects of his virus and Luke Falk took the reins. The Patriots stifled the Jets offense and raced out to a 30-0 lead before coughing up the cover on a fumble recovery in the end zone after a muffed punt and Jamal Adams? 61-yard interception return of an errant Jarrett Stidham pass.

The Patriots could?ve named their score in that game, making it a tough beat for those who had laid the 20 points and appeared to be cruising with Falk having little chance of moving the Jets? offense. The dynamic absolutely changes with Darnold, who is better equipped to improve on his final showing of his rookie season despite having played in just two regular-season games since then.

Darnold put together a few tremendous throws against the Cowboys and should benefit from the presence of LeVeon Bell, who looks far more comfortable in the offense than the only other time he took the field alongside New York?s franchise QB back in Week 1. Although Quincy Enunwa has been lost for the season with a neck injury, Robby Anderson remains an option that can help Darnold stretch the field and reliable veterans Demaryius Thomas and Jamison Crowder have helped upgrade the unit. Bell, Bilal Powell and Ty Montgomery are all available, so checkdowns and screens have a chance to pop against the stingy Patriots, who lead the NFL with a scoring average allowed of just eight points per game.

Thomas? hamstring could be an issue for him, but he wants nothing more than to be out there against New England, which cut him once it acquired the since-released Antonio Brown. Thomas called his release ?disrespectful? and Bill Belichick admitted backing out of a commitment to him due to circumstances changing, so that?s a situation worth watching. Check out the injury report below for more variables worth keeping an eye on.

As far as the number goes, Darnold isn?t worth 10-plus points to a spread, but a six-point shift and the Jets actually having a chance to move the ball has led the number to shift a full five points, which is indeed an overestimation of the second-year quarterback?s value. The Patriots have covered in four of their six wins but are just 1-2 ATS against divisional foes, having beaten the Dolphins 43-0 but scuffling in a 16-10 win in Buffalo. The Bills have been the only team to be within one possession of New England in a fourth-quarter all season.

Despite Brady lacking a truly elite go-to receiver like a Brown or Rob Gronkowski, New England has led at halftime in every one of their games. Only Washington has held a lead after a quarter. A sack-fumble of Brady that Giants? LB Markus Golden returned for six and a fluke 64-yard strike from rookie Daniel Jones to Golden Tate represent the only touchdowns the Patriots? defense has allowed in the second quarter of games this season.

The Pats have outscored opponents 53-7 to open games, surrendering only a 65-yard run on a busted coverage to ?Skins backup RB Steven Sims Jr. Belichick?s preparation and the execution of his defense has been elite. We?ll see if Darnold is up to the task in just his second game back. The Westgate lists the first-quarter line as NE -3 with a total of 7.5. The first-half line favors New England by six points with a total set at 21.5. That ?under? looks appealing. For a free MNF prop winner, click here.

The Patriots look to continue a trend that has seen the favorite dominate Monday night games (7-0 SU, 5-2 ATS). For more details, check out VI?s MNF Schedule.br>
Clear conditions are expected in East Rutherford, with light winds accompanying temperatures in the mid-50s.

TOTAL TALK

Oddsmakers sent out a total of 43 ? between the Patriots and Jets and the number has held steady as of Monday morning. When the pair met in Week 3 from Foxboro, the total closed in the same neighborhood and the defensive scores for the Jets helped the ?over? cash albeit very luckily.

Totals expert Chris David offered up his total thoughts and lean on the MNF matchup.

?Rematch games are never an easy handicap, especially this early in the season but a different outcome should be expected with Darnold at quarterback for the Jets. New England?s defense has been lights out but they haven?t faced a legit signal caller since Week 1 when the stifled Big Ben and the Steelers by a 33-3 count," David said. "Darnold faced New England last season in Week 17 and he looked like a rookie as the Jets were blitzed 38-3 on the road. The second-year QB wasn?t great on third-down conversions last week (2-of-10) in the 24-22 win over Dallas but he?s not afraid to fire and can put his team in scoring positions.?

Prior to the Week 3 ?over? ticket, the ?under? was on a 6-0 run in this series going back to the 2016 regular season. Looking at those number further, New York has been held to 13, 17 and 17 points at MetLife Stadium. While the Dallas outcome went ?over? last Sunday, the Jets saw the ?under? cash in their first four games.

New England has watched the ?under? go 4-2 on the season and that record could easily be 6-0 if it wasn?t for the two defensive scores in the Jets game, plus last Thursday?s result versus the other New York (Giants) team was helped with three combined defensive and special teams scores.

In David?s weekly total segment on the VI Bet and Collect podcast, he often hits on seasonal angles and total systems that have produced profits and this game hits on one popular angle.

?The ?Thursday Night Total? system is back and alive in 2019 and it?s simple to follow. The angle calls for finding out who played at home on Thursday in the previous week and playing the ?over? in their next game, regardless of the venue," David added. "The play sits at 4-1 (80%) on the season and this week's matchup calls for an 'over' play on the New England-N.Y. Jets game this Monday, since the Patriots hosted the N.Y. Giants last Thursday from Foxboro. Even though this has been an ?under? series, the Patriots have averaged 29.7 PPG in their last seven versus the Jets. I?m buying more points here and going to ride the ?over? in this spot (43 ?) and press the system.?

LINE MOVEMENT

New England Patriots
Projected season win total: 11 (Over -150, Under +130)
Odds to win AFC East (pre-Week 1/current): 1/5 to 1/40
Odds to win AFC (pre-Week 1/current): 11/4 to 5/9
Odds to win Super Bowl (pre-Week 1/current): 6/1 to 7/4

New York Jets
Projected season win total: 7.5 (Over -110, Under -110)
Odds to win AFC East (pre-Week 1/current): 6/1 to 100/1
Odds to win AFC (pre-Week 1/current): 30/1 to 250/1
Odds to win Super Bowl (pre-Week 1/current): 60/1 to 500/1

ODDSMAKER'S TAKE

Caesars' Senior Oddsmaker Alan Berg provides insights from behind the counter.

"The ticket count and money favor the Patriots" said Berg, whose excellent observations can be found on Twitter at @PercentBerg. "I'ts going to be an interesting game since it's the Jets' best shot at getting back into the race with the mighty Pats cruising. However, there's no sharp support for the upset here -- at least not yet (Sunday night)."

INJURY CONCERNS

The Jets are expected to get top linebacker C.J. Mosley back from a groin injury, which is a huge boost considering the lift he?s supplied when out there. The team?s top defensive offseason acquisition would strengthen a group that has quality young talent in Adams at safety and Quinnen Williams and Henry Anderson up front. Anderson is trying to overcome a shoulder issue that may keep him out, so keep an ear out for official word. LBs Albert McClellan (concussion) and Neville Hewitt (stinger) aren?t expected to suit up. DT Steven McClendon and corners Daryl Roberts and Nate Hairston are questionable.

New York is certain to make changes up front with left guard Kelechi Osemele out and filing a grievance over his situation. Left tackle Kelvin Beachum is ?doubtful? with an ankle injury, so rookie Chume Edoga is expected to start. Brandon Shell is expected to switch back to right tackle, but right guard Brian Winters popped up on the week?s report with a knee issue. Center Matt Kalilis questionable due to a shoulder issue that kept him from practicing over the weekend, while left guard Alex Lewis is hoping to play through neck pain. There?s a lot going on for the Jets? offensive line, so it remains to be seen how that impacts Adam Gase?s play-calling.

The Patriots won't have their top tight ends since Matt LaCosse (knee) and Ryan Izzo (concussion) have been ruled out, creating opportunities for Ben Watson in his return and newcomer Eric Tomlinson, a former Jet. Rumors had the Pats sniffing around about the availability of Tampa Bay's O.J. Howard, who hasn't been utilized as envisioned in what was expected to be a breakthrough year for him. New England has already ruled out WR Josh Gordon (leg) and lists Phillip Dorsett as questionable due to a hamstring injury, so Brady is going to have a shortage of familiar targets. Julian Edelman (chest) is a go. Dorsett should participate.

Safety Patrick Chung is questionable and DE Michael Bennett (suspension) will sit for the Patriots.

RECENT MEETINGS

(Patriots 16-4 SU, 8-12 ATS last 20, OVER 12-8)

9/22/19 Patriots 30-14 vs. Jets (NYJ +20.5, 43)
12/30/18 Patriots 38-3 vs. Jets (NE -14.5, 46.5)
11/25/18 Patriots 27-13 at Jets (NE -13, 46.5)
12/31/17 Patriots 26-6 vs. Jets (NE -17, 43.5)
10/15/17 Patriots 24-17 at Jets (NYJ +9, 48.5)
12/24/16 Patriots 41-3 vs. Jets (NE -17, 45)
11/27/16 Patriots 22-17 at Jets (NYJ +8.5, 48)
12/27/15 Jets 26-20 OT vs. Patriots (NYJ +3, 45)
10/25/15 Patriots 30-23 vs. Jets (NYJ +7.5, 47.5)
12/21/14 Patriots 17-16 at Jets (NYJ +10, 47)
10/16/14 Patriots 27-25 vs. Jets (NYJ +9.5, 44.5)
10/20/13 Jets 30-27 OT vs. Patriots (NYJ +3, 43)
9/12/13 Patriots 13-10 vs. Jets (NYJ +11.5, 43)
11/22/12 Patriots 49-19 at Jets (NE -7, 48.5)
10/21/12 Patriots 29-26 OT vs. Jets (NYJ +10.5, 47)
11/13/11 Patriots 37-16 at Jets (NE +2.5, 47)
10/9/11 Patriots 30-21 vs. Jets (NE -7.5, 50)
1/16/11 Jets 28-21 at Patriots (NYJ +9.5, 45)
12/6/10 Patriots 45-3 vs. Jets (NE -4, 44.5)
9/19/10 Jets 28-14 vs. Patriots (NYJ +3, 39.5)

NEXT WEEK'S NUMBERS POSTED

The Westgate opens its advance lines for the following week on Tuesdays and Week 8 currently has the Patriots as an 11.5-point home favorite over a Browns team that has lost three of four but will be coming in off a bye. The Jets will hit the road to face the Jaguars in North Florida and have been installed as a 4.5-point underdog.

 

[Cnotes53]

Books earn decent win in Week 7
October 21, 2019
By Micah Roberts

The top-three teams for bettors failed to cover in Sunday?s NFL Week 7 action, and two of them were facing the worst-rated teams in the league. That alone shows you that the point-spread does eventually catch up to all teams no matter the talent gap.

Overall, favorites went 9-3 straight up and 6-5-1 against the spread on Sunday giving Nevada books varied results, but most ended up either breaking even or in the black to different degrees of success.

?Solid day,? said William Hill?s head bookmaker Nick Bogdanovich. ?The Niner game was huge and the Giants losing was second-best. The Rams, Packers, Vikings, and Jaguars were all losers, but all three late games were two-way action and the Sunday night risk is manageable.?

It was kind of the same story at Station Casinos which deals with a similar type of local clientele as William Hill.

?Good day, but not great,? said Stations? sportsbook director Jason McCormick. ?The Cardinals and Redskins were the key wins for us but Rams, Vikings, Jaguars, Packers, Colts, Titans, Ravens, and Saints cashed a lot of tickets.?

The 49ers remain unbeaten at 6-0, but their 9-0 road win at Washington failed to cover the spread that moved from -9.5 to -10 aided by sheets of rain that poured non-stop turning FedEx Field into a big puddle. Because of both teams were trying to run most of the time due to conditions and churning the clock, it turned out being the shortest game (2:36) in a decade.

The Redskins, the second-worst rated team when making point-spreads, drop to 1-6 on the season, but jumped up to 2-5 ATS. The 49ers were tied with the Bills and Lions for the best ATS teams at 4-1, but all three failed to earn covers on Sunday.

The consensus around Las Vegas books was that the Redskins and Cardinals were the best for the house.

?Our best wins on the day were the Redskins and Cardinals and the worst was the Rams and Vikings,? said MGM Resorts sportsbook director Jeff Stoneback.

The Cardinals 27-21 win at the Giants (-3) was their third straight win bringing them to .500 (3-3-1) and they?re now 5-2 ATS tied with the Saints, Packers, and Rams (and maybe Patriots who play Monday) as the best ATS teams in the NFL.

New Arizoan head coach Kliff Kingsbury and rookie quarterback Kyler Murray have finally established a rhythm offensively, albeit against the Bengals, Falcons, and Giants in their last three who have only three wins combined between them, but the Cards are finally executing now and have defenses respecting the youngster which in turn has opened up an impressive run game.

?We didn?t have a lot of the large straight bet action on the Giants like other places did, but what the Cardinals win did for us was break up a lot of live parlays that had the Packers, Rams, and Vikings on them,? said CG Technology sportsbook director Tony DiTomasso who actually needed the Packers because of sharp action early in the week on the Raiders.

CG books probably had one of the better Sunday?s in Nevada because of beating one bettor at the Venetian who made two wagers on the Bears money-line at -230 and -240 totaling $540,000. The Saints (+4.5) marched into Soldier Field with a dominant 36-25 win, a score that doesn?t do justice of the beatdown or poor play of QB Mitch Trubisky in his return. The Bears have now lost their last six games coming off a bye. Sharp action initially played the Bears from -3 to -4.5.

?We had some larger bets on the Bears,? said Westgate Superbook VP Jay Kornegay. ?A lot of people thought this was a tough spot for the Saints, including me.?

The Saints haven?t lost a game behind QB Teddy Bridgewater this season. He?s won all five since Drew Brees got hurt in a Week 2 loss at the Rams. Three of Bridgewaters wins have come on the road. The Saints have the luxury now of not having to bring Brees back quickly.

?We didn?t win a lot of games, but the games we did win were big decisions,? said DiTomasso. ?The monster swing against us was the Titans winning (23-20) against the Chargers. We had taken a lot of Titans sharp action starting at -1 and up the ladder to -3. What are the Chargers thinking with all those late goal-line runs and no timeouts, you got to throw at least once in that spot, right??

The Chargers twice ran the ball at the goal-line with less than 30 seconds and no timeouts and both times scored but reviews overruled the calls -- knee down before the ball crossed. With only 7 seconds left, they tried a run again and RB Melvin Gordon fumbled. Titans win and cover for most that had bet them.

The Dolphins are the worst-rated team in the NFL, but they proved +17 at Buffalo was too much in the Bills 31-21 win. The spread probably should have been Bills -14 and when +17 showed, the sharps sniffed out an inflated line and took the Dolphins down to +15.5. The Dolphins are still 0-6 on the season, but their first two covers of the season have come the past two weeks.

Also, the Bengals are fast catching up to the Redskins for No. 2 worst rated team. The Jaguars number ran as three-point road favorites up to as high as -5 and their 27-17 win wasn?t as indicative of how bad QB Andy Dalton and the Bengals are. ?The Jungle? in Cincinnati was loaded with fans wearing brown paper bags on their heads for the shame of supporting an 0-7 team but not wanting to be identified.

The public put their faith back in the Rams (-3) at Atlanta despite three straight losses, but they hated the Falcons much more to throw the Rams on a bunch of their parlays and were rewarded with a 37-10 win, a score the public loves and remembers from their Rams of the past two seasons they could always trust. Meanwhile, the Falcons drop to 1-6 and their 1-6 ATS record is the worst mark in the NFL.

At least the public didn?t totally get crushed ending a trend of the past couple weeks and got to see a few of their reliable teams help cash some three-teamers. The underdogs are now 61-41-2 ATS this season, through Sunday?s games. The tide is about to turn, as it always does. Perhaps Week 8 is the week of the favorites colluding and sending the books to one of those Tsunami parlay loss days that happens twice a season. The public is still waiting for the first one and the books know one is coming soon.

 

[Cnotes53]

MONDAY, OCTOBER 21
GAME TIME(ET) PICK UNITS

NE at NYJ 08:15 PM

NYJ +9.5

U 44.0

 

[Cnotes53]

Patriots blitz Darnold, Jets 33-0 to remain undefeated
October 21, 2019
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EAST RUTHERFORD, N.J. (AP) Tom Brady set the tone with a long slice-and-dice touchdown drive, New England's blitz-happy defense forced Sam Darnold into five turnovers and the Patriots remained undefeated by cruising to a 33-0 victory over the New York Jets on Monday night.

Brady threw a TD pass to Phillip Dorsett and Sony Michel ran for three scores to help the Patriots improve to 7-0 for the third time in franchise history, and first since 2015.

They also swept the two-game season series against their AFC East rivals for the fourth straight year, outscoring the Jets (1-5) 63-14 in the two meetings this year.

And, the top-ranked Patriots defense was a big reason in this one.

Darnold was the AFC offensive player of the week after leading New York to a 24-22 win over Dallas last Sunday in his return from missing three games with mononucleosis.

He was miserable against New England, finishing 11 of 32 for 86 yards and a 3.6 quarterback rating.

 

[Cnotes53]

WEEK 8

Thursday, October 24, 2019
Time (ET) Away Home
8:20 PM Washington Redskins Minnesota Vikings

Sunday, October 27, 2019
Time (ET) Away Home
1:00 PM Seattle Seahawks Atlanta Falcons
1:00 PM Philadelphia Eagles Buffalo Bills
1:00 PM Los Angeles Chargers Chicago Bears
1:00 PM New York Giants Detroit Lions
1:00 PM New York Jets Jacksonville Jaguars
1:00 PM Cincinnati Bengals Los Angeles Rams
1:00 PM Arizona Cardinals New Orleans Saints
1:00 PM Tampa Bay Buccaneers Tennessee Titans
1:00 PM Denver Broncos Indianapolis Colts
4:05 PM Carolina Panthers San Francisco 49ers
4:25 PM Oakland Raiders Houston Texans
4:25 PM Cleveland Browns New England Patriots
8:20 PM Green Bay Packers Kansas City Chiefs

Monday, October 28, 2019
Time (ET) Away Home
8:15 PM Miami Dolphins Pittsburgh Steelers


*****************************


NFL SEPT./ OCTOBER OPINIONS AND BEST BETS: ALL BASED ON 5 UNITS

DATE W-L-T % UNITS RECORD


10/21/2019.......1-1-0..........50.00%..............-0.50
10/20/2019.....13-8-1...........61.90%............+21.00
10/17/2019.......1-1-0...........50.00% .............-0.50
10/14/2019.......2-0-0.........100.00%.............+10.00
10/13/2019...11-11-0...........50.00%...............-5.50
10/10/2019.......0-2-0............0.00%..............-11.00
10/07/2019.......2-0-0..........100.00%............+10.00
10/06/2019....11-11-0...........50.00%...............-5.50
10/03/2019.......1-1-0............50.00%...............-0.50
09/30/2019.......2-0-0..........100.00%.............+10.00
09/29/2019.....8-14-0............36.36%..............-37.00
09/26/2019.......1-1-0............50.00%...............-0.50
09/23/2019.......1-1-0............50.00%...............-0.50
09/22/2019....14-12-1............53.85%.............+4.00
09/19/2019.......0-2-0..............0.00%.............-11.00
09/16/2019.......1-1-0.............50.00%..............-0.50
09/15/2019....15-11-1.............57.69%............+14.50
09/12/2019.......1-1-0.............50.00%............-0.50
09/09/2019.......3-1-0.............75.00%.............+9.50
09/08/2019.....16-10-0............61.54%............+25.00
09/05/2019..... 1-1-0............. 50.00%............ -0.50

Totals............105-90-1.......... 53.84%........... +30.00


*****************************

BEST BETS:

DATE........................ATS.............UNITS. ............O/U...............UNITS.............TOTALS


10/21/2019.............1 - 1...........-5.50..................1 - 0...........+5.00............-0.50
10/20/2019.............8 - 4..........+18.00................5 - 5............-2.50............+15.50
10/17/2019.............0 - 1...........-5.50..................1 - 0............+5.00............-0.50
10/14/2019.............1 - 0...........+5.00................1 - 0............+5.00.............+10.00
10/13/2019.............6 - 5...........+2.50................5 - 6.............-3.00.............-0.50
10/10/2019.............0 - 1............-5.50................0 - 1.............-5.50.............-11.00
10/07/2019.............1 - 0...........+5.00................1 - 0.............+5.00............+10.00
10/06/2019.............5 - 7...........-13.50...............6 - 4..............+8.00.............-5.50
10/03/2019.............1 - 0...........+5.00................0 - 1..............-5.50..............-0.50
09/30/2019.............1 - 0...........+5.00................1 - 0.............+5.00.............+10.00
09/29/2019.............5 - 8...........-19.00...............3 - 6..............-18.00............-37.00
09/26/2019.............0 - 1............-5.50................1 - 0..............+5.00.............-0.50
09/23/2019.............0 - 1............-5.50................1 - 0..............+5.00.............-0.50
09/22/2019.............6 - 5............+8.00...............4 - 7..............-18.50............-10.50
09/19/2019.............0 - 1............-5.50................0 - 1..............-5.50..............-11.00
09/16/2019.............0 - 0........... +0.00...............1 - 0..............+5.00.............+5.00
09/15/2019.............6 - 4............+8.00...............7 - 4..............+13.00...........+21.00
09/12/2019.............1 - 0............+5.00...............0 - 1..............-5.50...............-0.50
09/09/2019.............1 - 1.............-0.50...............2 - 0..............+10.00............+9.50
09/08/2019.............6 - 5............+2.50...............8 - 3..............+23.50...........+26.00
09/05/2019.............0 - 1.............-5.50...............1 - 0..............+5.00..............-0.50

Totals..................47 - 46............-12.50.............49 - 38 ..........+41.00............+28.50

 

[Cnotes53]

Tuesday?s 6-pack

Current Super Bowl odds:

+$240? New England

+$550? New Orleans

+$900? Green Bay

+$950? San Francisco

+1000? Kansas City

+$1600?Baltimore/Dallas


Quote of the Day
?It was fourth-and-short and I believe in our offensive line. I believe in myself and my team. Coach believed in us, obviously, because we went for it. The defense overflowed to the outside, the offensive line did a great job giving me a hole. And I just hit it.?
Lamar Jackson, talking about his TD run in Seattle Sunday

Tuesday?s quiz
Where did Lamar Jackson play his college football?

Monday?s quiz
There are no left-handed quarterbacks in the NFL right now.

Sunday?s quiz
There are seven NHL franchises located in Canada.

*********************************

Tuesday?s List of 13: Nobody asked me, but??

Hey, I?m going in the shop Tuesday for my 60,000-mile checkup; be back as soon as I can.

13) When he was 16 years old, Jose Altuve went to an Astros? tryout camp in Venezuela, but was cut because the Astros considered him to be too short.

Altuve went back the next day, where he earned his way into a deal with Houston and a signing bonus of $15,000, a small bonus.

Starting next year, Altuve will be making $29M a year; good thing he went back to that tryout.

12) From the 2017 NFL Draft:
#2? Mitchell Trubisky, Bears
#10? Patrick Mahomes, Chiefs
#12? Deshaun Watson, Texans

If I owned the Bears, I might be asking my GM some questions??..

11) So far this season, NFL road underdogs are 45-23-2 ATS.

10) CG Technology in Las Vegas took two money-line bets on the Chicago Bears Sunday, totaling $540,000, so when the Saints beat Chicago, CG Technology was 🙂

9) Troy Aikman is an assistant coach at Episcopal School of Dallas, where his stepson plays WR; Aikman does NFL games on Thursday/Sunday, but is on the Episcopal sideline Friday nites.

8) Alabama QB Tua Tagovailoa has a high ankle sprain, is expected to miss a game or two.

In 2022, Alabama is playing Austin Peay in football; why????

Play them in basketball, when they would actually have a chance; it is a ripoff to fans for a dominant program like Alabama to play a I-AA team. Play a Sun Belt team, a MAC team, play Rutgers or UMass. Or, have some onions and play UAB, an in-state team.

7) Jets? G Kelechi Osemele told reporters that he played in pain for the first three games, took painkillers (Toradal) prescribed by the Jets and needs surgery to repair a torn labrum; the Jets think Osemele had a pre-existing condition and can play; he was cleared to play by team doctors and an independent doctor.

Osemele is making $10.2M this season, and his $9.3M base salary is guaranteed because he?s a vested veteran. Oy.

6) Was watching an old movie (1987) Sunday night, Less Than Zero, with Andrew McCarthy and Robert Downey Jr; the female lead in the movie is Jami Gertz, who is married to the owner of the NBA?s Atlanta Hawks, Tony Ressler.

Ms Gertz has represented the Hawks at the NBA Draft Lottery a couple of times; ironically, the Hawks? chances of winning an NBA title are less than zero.

5) Of the 27 guys in last year?s NBA All-Star Game, only two of them (Bradley Beal, Kemba Walker) played in all 82 regular season games.

4) New Orleans Pelicans? rookie Zion Williamson had his knee scoped, is out 6-8 weeks.

3) Washington Redskins (+9.5) covered at home Sunday, losing 9-0 to the 49ers; they?re only second team in last 25 years to cover while being shut out. In 2007, the Dolphins (+16) lost 3-0 to the Steelers.

2) If you bet on every NFL road team this season, you would?ve shown a profit every week- road teams are 62-38-2 ATS in the NFL this year.

1) RIP to major league umpire Eric Cooper, 52, who passed away over the weekend; Cooper is one of only two umpires ever who worked the plate for two no-hitters by the same pitcher (Mark Buehrle). Cooper worked the New York-Minnesota playoff series couple weeks ago.

The other umpire is Ed Vargo, who worked two of Sandy Koufax?s no-hitters.

 

[Cnotes53]

NFL
Dunkel

Week 8

Thursday, October 24

Washington @ Minnesota

Game 101-102
October 24, 2019 @ 8:20 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Washington
120.557
Minnesota
140.240
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Minnesota
by 19 1/2
26
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Minnesota
by 15 1/2
42
Dunkel Pick:
Minnesota
(-15 1/2); Under


Sunday, October 27

Seattle @ Atlanta

Game 257-258
October 27, 2019 @ 1:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Seattle
129.114
Atlanta
122.594
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Seattle
by 6 1/2
56
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Seattle
by 3 1/2
54
Dunkel Pick:
Seattle
(-3 1/2); Over

LA Chargers @ Chicago

Game 255-256
October 27, 2019 @ 1:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
LA Chargers
129.700
Chicago
130.408
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Chicago
by 1
41
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Chicago
by 4 1/2
40
Dunkel Pick:
LA Chargers
(+4 1/2); Over

Arizona @ New Orleans

Game 265-266
October 27, 2019 @ 1:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Arizona
125.921
New Orleans
138.049
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
New Orleans
by 12 1/2
45
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Arizona
by 9 1/2
48 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
New Orleans
(-9 1/2(; Under

NY Jets @ Jacksonville

Game 259-260
October 27, 2019 @ 1:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
NY Jets
120.280
Jacksonville
130.890
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Jacksonville
by 10 1/2
39
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Jacksonville
by 4 1/2
41
Dunkel Pick:
Jacksonville
(-4 1/2); Under

Philadelphia @ Buffalo

Game 261-262
October 27, 2019 @ 1:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Philadelphia
127.963
Buffalo
133.159
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Buffalo
by 5
38
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Buffalo
by 1 1/2
43 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Buffalo
(-1 1/2); Under

Tampa Bay @ Tennessee

Game 253-254
October 27, 2019 @ 1:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Tampa Bay
132.083
Tennessee
129.630
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Tampa Bay
by 2 1/2
32
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Tennessee
by 2 1/2
46 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Tampa Bay
(+2 1/2); Under

Cincinnati @ LA Rams

Game 263-264
October 27, 2019 @ 1:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Cincinnati
120.030
LA Rams
136.480
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
LA Rams
by 16 1/2
47
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
LA Rams
by 12 1/2
48 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
LA Rams
(-12 1/2); Under

Denver @ Indianapolis

Game 271-272
October 27, 2019 @ 1:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Denver
131.828
Indianapolis
135.821
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Indianapolis
by 4
47
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Indianapolis
by 6
43 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Denver
(+6); Over

NY Giants @ Detroit

Game 251-252
October 27, 2019 @ 1:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
NY Giants
123.385
Detroit
132.657
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Detroit
by 9 1/2
46
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Detroit
by 7
49 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Detroit
(-7); Under

Carolina @ San Francisco

Game 269-270
October 27, 2019 @ 4:05 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Carolina
136.555
San Francisco
139.820
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
San Francisco
by 3 1/2
54
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
San Francisco
by 6
41 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Carolina
(+6); Over

Oakland @ Houston

Game 267-268
October 27, 2019 @ 4:25 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Oakland
128.367
Houston
136.819
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Houston
by 8 1/2
54
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Houston
by 6 1/2
50 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Houston
(-6 1/2); Over

Cleveland @ New England

Game 273-274
October 27, 2019 @ 4:25 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Cleveland
129.378
New England
147.031
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
New England
by 17 1/2
38
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
New England
by 10 1/2
46 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
New England
(-10 1/2); Under

Green Bay @ Kansas City

Game 275-276
October 27, 2019 @ 8:20 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Green Bay
141.315
Kansas City
133.512
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Green Bay
by 8
56
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Green Bay
by 4
48
Dunkel Pick:
Green Bay
(-4); Over


Monday October 28

Miami @ Pittsburgh

Game 277-278
October 28, 2019 @ 8:15 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Miami
115.066
Pittsburgh
133.412
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Pittsburgh
by 18 1/2
42
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Pittsburgh
by 14 1/2
43
Dunkel Pick:
Pittsburgh
(-14 1/2); Under

 

[Cnotes53]

NFL
Armadillo's Write-Up

Week 8

Redskins (1-6) @ Vikings (5-2)? Cousins was 26-30-1 as Washington?s QB from 2012-17; he is 13-9-1 with Minnesota. Vikings scored 36 ppg in winning last three games- they scored 11 TD?s on 20 drives in their last two games. Under Zimmer, Minnesota is 25-7-1 as home favorites. Redskins are 12-9 ATS in last 21 games as a road underdog; they split Callahan?s first two games as interim coach, allowing only 25 points- their last four games stayed under the total. Vikings won five of last seven series games, with average total in last six, 58.8; Redskins lost last two visits here, 34-27/29-26. NFC East teams are 5-13 ATS outside their division, 2-2 as road dogs; NFC North home favorites are 5-2. NFL double digit favorites are 5-7 ATS this year

Giants (2-5) @ Lions (2-3-1)? Detroit lost its last three games, allowing 33 ppg; five of their six games were decided by 4 or fewer points- three of their last four games went over. Lions are 14-6-2 ATS in last 22 games as a home favorite. Giants lost last three games, allowing 30 ppg; they turned ball over seven times (-5) in their last two games- four of their five losses are by 14+ points- under is 3-1 in their last four games. Under Shurmur, Giants are 7-3 ATS as road underdogs, 1-2 this year. Teams split last eight series games, with last three decided by 11+ points; Giants won four of last five visits to the Motor City- last one was in ?14. NFC East teams are 5-13 ATS outside their division, 2-2 as road dogs; NFC North home favorites are 5-2.

Buccaneers (2-4) @ Titans (3-4)? Tampa Bay is playing its 4th straight game away from home, allowing 36 ppg in first three (1-2); their last four games went over the total. Bucs are 2-4 ATS in last six post-bye games, 5-7-3 in last 15 games as road dogs; they converted only 8 of last 26 3rd down plays. Tennessee won Tannehill?s first start for them; he averaged 9.6 yards/pass attempt LW; Mariota?s best ypa this year is 8.4. Under Vrabel, Titans are 1-4-1 ATS as home favorites. Titans won nine of 11 series games, losing in ?83/?07; Bucs are 0-3 in Tennessee, losing by 3-20-6 points. NFC South teams are 8-12 ATS outside the division, 5-4 as road dogs; AFC South teams are 11-6, 2-3 as home favorites.

Chargers (2-5) @ Bears (3-3)? Chargers lost five of last six games, with all five losses by 7 or fewer points; they got stopped on 1-yard line with game on line in last minute in Nashville LW. Under Lynn, Bolts are 6-2-1 ATS as road underdogs. Bears allowed 15 or fewer points in their wins, but 24-36 in last two games; they?re 7-2 as home faves under Nagy (1-2 TY). Chicago threw 54 passes LW, ran ball seven times; they?ll run ball in this game. Bears won six of last seven series games, winning last four meetings here, last three by 11+ points. Chargers? last win here was in 1970 (20-7), when Gary Garrison caught two TD passes from John Hadl. AFC West teams are 7-11 ATS outside the division, 1-3 as road underdogs; NFC North home favorites are 5-2.

Seahawks (5-2) @ Falcons (1-6)? Atlanta lost its last five games, has bye looming, which could spell the end for former Seattle assistant Quinn. Ryan hurt his foot at end of LW?s game; Schaub (47-45 as NFL starter) is the backup. Falcons are 9-3 ATS in last dozen games as a home dog, 1-1 this year- they allowed 41.3 ppg the last three weeks. Seattle scored 29 ppg in winning its three road games; they are 4-2-1 ATS in last seven games as road favorites. In their two losses, Seahawks gave up three defensive TD?s and a punt return TD. Falcons won six of last eight series games, with last meeting a 34-31 Seahawk win in 2017. NFC West road teams are 10-1 ATS outside the division; NFC South home teams are 3-6, 2-2 as home underdogs.

Jets (1-5) @ Jaguars (3-4)? Short week for Jets, who were bludgeoned at home Monday night; Jets? last four losses were all by 16+ points- they?re 7-13-2 ATS in last 22 games as road underdogs. In their last five games, Jets converted only 9 of 61 third down plays. Jaguars are +6 in turnovers in their three wins, minus-7 in losses; they?re 7-10 ATS in last 17 games as a home favorite. Last three years, Jags are 6-11 ATS when coming off a win. Jax beat Jets 31-12 in Swamp LY, snapping 4-game series skid, but Jets lost four of last five visits here. AFC East underdogs are 3-5 ATS outside the division; AFC South home favorites are 2-3.

Eagles (3-4) @ Bills (5-1)? Eagles lost last two games, giving up 75 points- opponents scored nine TD?s on their last 22 drives. Philly is 0-4 SU on road TY, allowing 29 ppg; under Pederson, they?re 7-9 ATS as a road underdog, 9-12 ATS coming off a loss, 2-6 in last eight games with spread of 3 or fewer points. Buffalo is 5-1 SU, with its only loss 16 -10 to the undefeated Patriots; Bills covered four of last five games where spread was 3 or fewer points- under McDermtt, they are 5-4-1 ATS as home favorites. Philly won three of last four series games, but lost three of last four trips to western NY. NFC East teams are 5-13 ATS outside their division, 2-2 as road dogs; AFC East home teams are 4-5 ATS.

Bengals (0-7) vs Rams (4-3) (in London)? Cincy coach Taylor was an assistant with the Rams LY; his Bengals allowed 250.3 rushing yards/game the last three weeks. Bengals are 0-7 SU (3-4 ATS); only two of their seven losses were by more than 10 points. Under is 3-1-1 in last five Cincy games. Rams lost three of last four games despite scoring 28.3 ppg; LA is 5-1 ATS in last six games as a double digit favorite, 6-4 ATS in its last ten games vs AFC opponents. Bengals won last three series games, by 9-7-24 points, but teams only play every 4th year. NFC West teams are 13-7 ATS outside the division; AFC North underdogs are 5-4. Bengals are 7-3-1 ATS in last 11 pre-bye games.

Cardinals (3-3-1) @ Saints (6-1)? New Orleans won/covered all five Bridgewater starts- they were an underdog in three of the five games. NO won its three home games, by 2-2-7 points; they?re 9-12 ATS in last 21 games as a home favorite. Arizona won its last three games after an 0-3-1 start; they?re stepping up in class here. Redbirds are 5-2 ATS this year, 3-0 as road dogs; they ran ball for 174.7 yards/game the last three weeks. Saints won four of last six series games, with average total of 59.3; Cardinals lost last four visits to Bourbon Street- their last win here was in ?96. NFC West non-divisional underdogs are 9-0 ATS; NFC South favorites are 1-5. Brees is expected to practice this week; check his status later this week.

Raiders (3-3) @ Texans (4-3)? Oakland allowed 30.3 ppg in splitting its last four games, all of which went over the total; they?re 1-2 in true road games, with average total of 56.3. Raiders are playing their 5th straight game away from home, with a bye week in middle- they?re 4-14-1 ATS in last 19 games as a road underdog. Rodgers averaged 13.2 yards/pass attempt against them LW. Houston won two of last three games despite allowing 28.7 ppg; they?re 7-9 ATS in last 16 games home favorites. Teams split last eight series games; Houston won last meeting 27-14 in ?16 playoffs. Raiders are 2-3 vs Texans here. AFC West teams are 7-11 ATS outside the division, 1-3 as road underdogs; NFC North home favorites are 5-2.

Panthers (4-2) @ 49ers (6-0)? Unbeaten 49ers won their last three games by combined score of 60-10, allowing only one TD on 29 drives; four of their six wins have been on road. Niners held last three foes under 100 passing yards; LW?s game in Washington was played in a downpour. Carolina won/covered all four Allen starts; they scored 71 points in last two games, due in large part to 10 takeaways in those two games (+7). Panthers are 13-6 ATS in last 19 games as a road underdog. Carolina won six of last seven series games, winning last three visits here, by 10-1-20 points; Panthers won last two meetings, 46-27/23-3. NFC South teams are 8-12 ATS outside the division, 5-4 as road dogs; NFC West home favorites are 1-6.

Broncos (2-5) @ Colts (4-2)? Denver won two of last three games after an 0-4 start; they scored only 22 points in last two games (two TD?s on last 25 drives); they?re 7-13 ATS in last 20 games as road underdogs, 1-1 this year. Broncos are +5 in turnovers in their two wins, -6 in the five losses. Indy won four of its last five games; they?re 7-4-1 ATS in last dozen games as a home favorite. Colts allowed 30-31 points in their two losses, 24 or less in their four wins. Denver won last two meetings 34-20/25-13, but lost six of last seven visits to Indy, winning last one 25-18 in ?17. AFC West teams are 7-11 ATS outside the division, 1-3 as road underdogs; AFC South home favorites are 2-3.

Browns (2-4) @ Patriots (7-0)? New England is 7-0, with one win by less than 16 points; they?ve allowed three TD?s on 85 drives, are 5-2 ATS this year- they?re 30-14-3 ATS in last 47 games as a home favorite, 2-1 TY. Patriots are 17-4 ATS in last 21 games as a double digit favorite. Cleveland is 2-4, but both their wins were on road; they?re 7-4 ATS in last 11 games as a road underdog. Browns are 2-4 ATS in last six post-bye games. NE won seven of last nine series games, winning last one 33-13 in ?16; Browns lost their last four visits to Foxboro, with last one in ?13. AFC North non-divisional underdogs are 5-4 ATS. Not to be obvious, but Kitchens vs Belichick seems like a severe coaching mismatch.

Packers (6-1) @ Chiefs (5-2)? Matt Moore gets his 31st NFL start (15-15), his first with KC; he?s started only five games since 2011. Chiefs had three extra days to prep for this; how much will their offense regress with Mahomes on the bench? Under Reid, Chiefs are 2-0 ATS as a home underdog. Rodgers averaged 13.2 yards/pass attempt in 42-24 win over Oakland LW; Packers are 11-9 ATS in last 20 games as a road favorite- they?re 2-0 on road this year, winning by 10-7 points. Four of Green Bay?s last five games went over. Rematch of Super Bowl I; Chiefs won six of last eight meetings, losing three of last four visits to Arrowhead. NFCNorth teams are 8-4-1 ATS outside the division, 1-2-1 as road favorites; AFC West underdogs are 2-3.

Dolphins (0-6) @ Steelers (2-4)? Winless Miami covered its last two games; they led 14-9 at the half in Buffalo LW, only lost by a point the week before. Dolphins are 5-13 ATS in last 18 games as a road underdog. Four of their last five games stayed under. Steelers covered twice in last eight post-bye games; they?re 7-9 ATS in last 16 games as a home favorite, 1-1 this year. #2 QB Rudolph is back after his concussion. Three of last four Pittsburgh games stayed under the total. Four of six Steeler games were decided by 7 or fewer points. Pitt won six of last eight series games, last of which was a 30-12 playoff win in ?16; Dolphins lost four of last five visits here. AFC East underdogs are 3-5 ATS outside the division; AFC North home favorites are 1-6.

 

[Cnotes53]

NFL

Week 8

------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Trend Report
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

Thursday, October 24

Minnesota Vikings
Minnesota is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games
Minnesota is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games
The total has gone UNDER in 9 of Minnesota's last 13 games
Minnesota is 6-1 ATS in its last 7 games at home
Minnesota is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 10 of Minnesota's last 15 games at home
Minnesota is 5-2 ATS in its last 7 games when playing Washington
Minnesota is 5-2 SU in its last 7 games when playing Washington
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Minnesota's last 5 games when playing Washington
Minnesota is 4-2 ATS in its last 6 games when playing at home against Washington
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Minnesota's last 5 games when playing at home against Washington
Washington Redskins
Washington is 1-5 ATS in its last 6 games
Washington is 1-8 SU in its last 9 games
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Washington's last 5 games
Washington is 2-5 SU in its last 7 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 9 of Washington's last 13 games on the road
Washington is 2-5 ATS in its last 7 games when playing Minnesota
Washington is 2-5 SU in its last 7 games when playing Minnesota
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Washington's last 5 games when playing Minnesota
Washington is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games when playing on the road against Minnesota
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Washington's last 5 games when playing on the road against Minnesota


Sunday, October 27

Chicago Bears
Chicago is 2-5 ATS in its last 7 games
Chicago is 12-5 SU in its last 17 games
The total has gone UNDER in 8 of Chicago's last 11 games
Chicago is 9-4 ATS in its last 13 games at home
Chicago is 9-4 SU in its last 13 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Chicago's last 6 games at home
Chicago is 6-1 ATS in its last 7 games when playing LA Chargers
Chicago is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games when playing LA Chargers
Los Angeles Chargers
LA Chargers is 1-6-1 ATS in its last 8 games
LA Chargers is 1-5 SU in its last 6 games
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of LA Chargers's last 6 games
LA Chargers is 8-3 ATS in its last 11 games on the road
LA Chargers is 8-3 SU in its last 11 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of LA Chargers's last 6 games on the road
LA Chargers is 1-6 ATS in its last 7 games when playing Chicago
LA Chargers is 1-6 SU in its last 7 games when playing Chicago

New Orleans Saints
New Orleans is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games
New Orleans is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
New Orleans is 2-5 ATS in its last 7 games at home
New Orleans is 18-3 SU in its last 21 games at home
New Orleans is 7-3 ATS in its last 10 games when playing Arizona
New Orleans is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games when playing Arizona
The total has gone OVER in 6 of New Orleans's last 7 games when playing Arizona
New Orleans is 6-1 ATS in its last 7 games when playing at home against Arizona
New Orleans is 7-1 SU in its last 8 games when playing at home against Arizona
Arizona Cardinals
Arizona is 6-2 ATS in its last 8 games
Arizona is 6-16-1 SU in its last 23 games
Arizona is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games on the road
Arizona is 3-6 SU in its last 9 games on the road
Arizona is 3-7 ATS in its last 10 games when playing New Orleans
Arizona is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games when playing New Orleans
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Arizona's last 7 games when playing New Orleans
Arizona is 1-6 ATS in its last 7 games when playing on the road against New Orleans
Arizona is 1-7 SU in its last 8 games when playing on the road against New Orleans

Tennessee Titans
Tennessee is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games
Tennessee is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Tennessee's last 6 games
Tennessee is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games at home
Tennessee is 17-6 SU in its last 23 games at home
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Tennessee's last 7 games at home
Tennessee is 5-1-1 ATS in its last 7 games when playing Tampa Bay
Tennessee is 7-1 SU in its last 8 games when playing Tampa Bay
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Tennessee's last 6 games when playing Tampa Bay
Tennessee is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Tampa Bay
Tampa Bay Buccaneers
Tampa Bay is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games
Tampa Bay is 2-8 SU in its last 10 games
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Tampa Bay's last 5 games
Tampa Bay is 4-17 SU in its last 21 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 15 of Tampa Bay's last 20 games on the road
Tampa Bay is 1-5-1 ATS in its last 7 games when playing Tennessee
Tampa Bay is 1-7 SU in its last 8 games when playing Tennessee
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Tampa Bay's last 6 games when playing Tennessee
Tampa Bay is 1-3-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Tennessee
Tampa Bay is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Tennessee

Atlanta Falcons
Atlanta is 0-5 ATS in its last 5 games
Atlanta is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games
Atlanta is 2-5 ATS in its last 7 games at home
Atlanta is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Atlanta's last 7 games at home
Atlanta is 6-2 SU in its last 8 games when playing Seattle
The total has gone OVER in 7 of Atlanta's last 8 games when playing Seattle
Atlanta is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games when playing at home against Seattle
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Atlanta's last 5 games when playing at home against Seattle
Seattle Seahawks
Seattle is 11-4 SU in its last 15 games
The total has gone OVER in 12 of Seattle's last 16 games
Seattle is 8-1 ATS in its last 9 games on the road
Seattle is 7-3 SU in its last 10 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Seattle's last 7 games on the road
Seattle is 2-6 SU in its last 8 games when playing Atlanta
The total has gone OVER in 7 of Seattle's last 8 games when playing Atlanta
Seattle is 4-2 ATS in its last 6 games when playing on the road against Atlanta
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Seattle's last 5 games when playing on the road against Atlanta

Buffalo Bills
Buffalo is 6-2 ATS in its last 8 games
Buffalo is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Buffalo's last 6 games
Buffalo is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games at home
Buffalo is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games at home
The total has gone OVER in 17 of Buffalo's last 25 games at home
Buffalo is 6-2 ATS in its last 8 games when playing Philadelphia
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Buffalo's last 5 games when playing Philadelphia
Philadelphia Eagles
Philadelphia is 2-5 ATS in its last 7 games
Philadelphia is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games
Philadelphia is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Philadelphia's last 7 games on the road
Philadelphia is 2-6 ATS in its last 8 games when playing Buffalo
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Philadelphia's last 5 games when playing Buffalo

Detroit Lions
Detroit is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games
Detroit is 5-10-1 SU in its last 16 games
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Detroit's last 6 games
The total has gone UNDER in 9 of Detroit's last 13 games
Detroit is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games at home
Detroit is 1-5 SU in its last 6 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Detroit's last 8 games at home
Detroit is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games when playing NY Giants
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Detroit's last 6 games when playing NY Giants
Detroit is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games when playing at home against NY Giants
Detroit is 1-5 SU in its last 6 games when playing at home against NY Giants
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Detroit's last 6 games when playing at home against NY Giants
New York Giants
NY Giants is 2-6 ATS in its last 8 games
NY Giants is 2-8 SU in its last 10 games
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of NY Giants's last 6 games
NY Giants is 8-2 ATS in its last 10 games on the road
NY Giants is 5-15 SU in its last 20 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 5 of NY Giants's last 5 games on the road
NY Giants is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games when playing Detroit
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of NY Giants's last 6 games when playing Detroit
NY Giants is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Detroit
NY Giants is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games when playing on the road against Detroit
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of NY Giants's last 6 games when playing on the road against Detroit

Jacksonville Jaguars
Jacksonville is 4-2 ATS in its last 6 games
Jacksonville is 6-11-2 ATS in its last 19 games
Jacksonville is 5-14 SU in its last 19 games
Jacksonville is 2-5-1 ATS in its last 8 games at home
Jacksonville is 2-6 SU in its last 8 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Jacksonville's last 8 games at home
Jacksonville is 8-3 ATS in its last 11 games when playing NY Jets
Jacksonville is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games when playing NY Jets
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Jacksonville's last 8 games when playing NY Jets
Jacksonville is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against NY Jets
New York Jets
NY Jets is 2-6-1 ATS in its last 9 games
NY Jets is 1-8 SU in its last 9 games
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of NY Jets's last 7 games
NY Jets is 6-12-1 ATS in its last 19 games on the road
NY Jets is 1-8 SU in its last 9 games on the road
NY Jets is 3-8 ATS in its last 11 games when playing Jacksonville
NY Jets is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing Jacksonville
The total has gone OVER in 6 of NY Jets's last 8 games when playing Jacksonville
NY Jets is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Jacksonville

Los Angeles Rams
LA Rams is 9-3 ATS in its last 12 games
LA Rams is 18-7 SU in its last 25 games
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of LA Rams's last 6 games
LA Rams is 3-6-2 ATS in its last 11 games at home
LA Rams is 9-4 SU in its last 13 games at home
LA Rams is 4-1-1 ATS in its last 6 games when playing Cincinnati
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of LA Rams's last 7 games when playing Cincinnati
Cincinnati Bengals
Cincinnati is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games
Cincinnati is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games
Cincinnati is 7-1 ATS in its last 8 games on the road
Cincinnati is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Cincinnati's last 5 games on the road
Cincinnati is 1-4-1 ATS in its last 6 games when playing LA Rams
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Cincinnati's last 7 games when playing LA Rams

Indianapolis Colts
Indianapolis is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games
Indianapolis is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Indianapolis's last 6 games
Indianapolis is 8-1 SU in its last 9 games at home
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Indianapolis's last 5 games at home
Indianapolis is 9-2 ATS in its last 11 games when playing Denver
Indianapolis is 8-3 SU in its last 11 games when playing Denver
The total has gone OVER in 10 of Indianapolis's last 13 games when playing Denver
Indianapolis is 6-1 ATS in its last 7 games when playing at home against Denver
Indianapolis is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games when playing at home against Denver
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Indianapolis's last 7 games when playing at home against Denver
Denver Broncos
Denver is 3-8 ATS in its last 11 games
Denver is 2-9 SU in its last 11 games
The total has gone UNDER in 14 of Denver's last 16 games
Denver is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games on the road
Denver is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Denver's last 8 games on the road
Denver is 2-9 ATS in its last 11 games when playing Indianapolis
Denver is 3-8 SU in its last 11 games when playing Indianapolis
The total has gone OVER in 10 of Denver's last 13 games when playing Indianapolis
Denver is 1-6 ATS in its last 7 games when playing on the road against Indianapolis
Denver is 1-6 SU in its last 7 games when playing on the road against Indianapolis
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Denver's last 7 games when playing on the road against Indianapolis

San Francisco 49ers
San Francisco is 4-2 ATS in its last 6 games
San Francisco is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of San Francisco's last 6 games
San Francisco is 8-17 ATS in its last 25 games at home
San Francisco is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of San Francisco's last 5 games at home
San Francisco is 1-7 ATS in its last 8 games when playing Carolina
San Francisco is 1-6 SU in its last 7 games when playing Carolina
The total has gone OVER in 13 of San Francisco's last 18 games when playing Carolina
San Francisco is 1-9 ATS in its last 10 games when playing at home against Carolina
San Francisco is 1-5 SU in its last 6 games when playing at home against Carolina
The total has gone OVER in 6 of San Francisco's last 9 games when playing at home against Carolina
Carolina Panthers
Carolina is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games
Carolina is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Carolina's last 7 games
Carolina is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games on the road
Carolina is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games on the road
Carolina is 7-1 ATS in its last 8 games when playing San Francisco
Carolina is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games when playing San Francisco
The total has gone OVER in 13 of Carolina's last 18 games when playing San Francisco
Carolina is 9-1 ATS in its last 10 games when playing on the road against San Francisco
Carolina is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games when playing on the road against San Francisco
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Carolina's last 9 games when playing on the road against San Francisco

Houston Texans
Houston is 15-6 SU in its last 21 games
Houston is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games at home
Houston is 8-3 SU in its last 11 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Houston's last 7 games at home
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Houston's last 6 games when playing Oakland
Oakland Raiders
Oakland is 7-18 SU in its last 25 games
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Oakland's last 5 games
Oakland is 1-5 ATS in its last 6 games on the road
Oakland is 2-12 SU in its last 14 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Oakland's last 7 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Oakland's last 6 games when playing Houston

New England Patriots
New England is 9-2 ATS in its last 11 games
New England is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of New England's last 8 games
New England is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games at home
New England is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home
New England is 5-2 ATS in its last 7 games when playing Cleveland
New England is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games when playing Cleveland
The total has gone OVER in 4 of New England's last 5 games when playing Cleveland
Cleveland Browns
Cleveland is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games
Cleveland is 2-5 SU in its last 7 games
Cleveland is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games on the road
Cleveland is 4-21 SU in its last 25 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Cleveland's last 6 games on the road
Cleveland is 2-5 ATS in its last 7 games when playing New England
Cleveland is 1-6 SU in its last 7 games when playing New England
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Cleveland's last 5 games when playing New England

Kansas City Chiefs
Kansas City is 18-7 SU in its last 25 games
The total has gone OVER in 10 of Kansas City's last 15 games
Kansas City is 3-7 ATS in its last 10 games at home
Kansas City is 12-5 SU in its last 17 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 12 of Kansas City's last 18 games at home
Kansas City is 6-2 ATS in its last 8 games when playing Green Bay
Kansas City is 6-2 SU in its last 8 games when playing Green Bay
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Kansas City's last 6 games when playing Green Bay
Green Bay Packers
Green Bay is 5-2 ATS in its last 7 games
Green Bay is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Green Bay's last 5 games
Green Bay is 4-7-1 ATS in its last 12 games on the road
Green Bay is 3-9 SU in its last 12 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 16 of Green Bay's last 22 games on the road
Green Bay is 2-6 ATS in its last 8 games when playing Kansas City
Green Bay is 2-6 SU in its last 8 games when playing Kansas City
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Green Bay's last 6 games when playing Kansas City


Monday, October 28

Pittsburgh Steelers
Pittsburgh is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Pittsburgh's last 7 games
Pittsburgh is 5-10-1 ATS in its last 16 games at home
Pittsburgh is 6-3 SU in its last 9 games at home
The total has gone OVER in 13 of Pittsburgh's last 18 games at home
Pittsburgh is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games when playing Miami
Pittsburgh is 6-2 SU in its last 8 games when playing Miami
The total has gone UNDER in 8 of Pittsburgh's last 12 games when playing Miami
Pittsburgh is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Miami
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Pittsburgh's last 6 games when playing at home against Miami
Miami Dolphins
Miami is 2-7 ATS in its last 9 games
Miami is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Miami's last 5 games
Miami is 3-12 ATS in its last 15 games on the road
Miami is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games on the road
Miami is 4-2 ATS in its last 6 games when playing Pittsburgh
Miami is 2-6 SU in its last 8 games when playing Pittsburgh
The total has gone UNDER in 8 of Miami's last 12 games when playing Pittsburgh
Miami is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Pittsburgh
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Miami's last 6 games when playing on the road against Pittsburgh

 

[Cnotes53]

NFL
Long Sheet

Week 8

Thursday, October 24

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WASHINGTON (1 - 6) at MINNESOTA (5 - 2) - 10/24/2019, 8:20 PM
Top Trends for this game.
MINNESOTA is 12-3 ATS (+8.7 Units) as a favorite over the last 2 seasons.
MINNESOTA is 14-5 ATS (+8.5 Units) in home games over the last 3 seasons.
MINNESOTA is 14-5 ATS (+8.5 Units) in home lined games over the last 3 seasons.
MINNESOTA is 21-9 ATS (+11.1 Units) in home games against NFC East division opponents since 1992.
MINNESOTA is 18-5 ATS (+12.5 Units) in dome games over the last 3 seasons.
MINNESOTA is 20-7 ATS (+12.3 Units) in games played on turf over the last 3 seasons.
MINNESOTA is 44-25 ATS (+16.5 Units) in home games when playing against a team with a losing record since 1992.
MINNESOTA is 10-2 ATS (+7.8 Units) in weeks 5 through 9 over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
MINNESOTA is 1-0 against the spread versus WASHINGTON over the last 3 seasons
MINNESOTA is 1-0 straight up against WASHINGTON over the last 3 seasons
1 of 1 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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Sunday, October 27

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NY GIANTS (2 - 5) at DETROIT (2 - 3 - 1) - 10/27/2019, 1:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
NY GIANTS are 4-12 ATS (-9.2 Units) in games played on turf over the last 2 seasons.
DETROIT is 8-1 ATS (+6.9 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 3 seasons.
DETROIT is 31-52 ATS (-26.2 Units) as a favorite of 3.5 to 9.5 points since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
DETROIT is 1-0 against the spread versus NY GIANTS over the last 3 seasons
DETROIT is 1-0 straight up against NY GIANTS over the last 3 seasons
1 of 1 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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TAMPA BAY (2 - 4) at TENNESSEE (3 - 4) - 10/27/2019, 1:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
TAMPA BAY is 3-13 ATS (-11.3 Units) against AFC South division opponents since 1992.
TAMPA BAY is 1-8 ATS (-7.8 Units) in October games over the last 3 seasons.
TAMPA BAY is 1-9 ATS (-8.9 Units) in weeks 5 through 9 over the last 3 seasons.
TENNESSEE is 26-13 ATS (+11.7 Units) as a home favorite of 3 points or less since 1992.
TENNESSEE is 12-3 ATS (+8.7 Units) against NFC South division opponents since 1992.
TENNESSEE is 54-29 ATS (+22.1 Units) in non-conference games since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

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LA CHARGERS (2 - 5) at CHICAGO (3 - 3) - 10/27/2019, 1:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
CHICAGO is 20-8 ATS (+11.2 Units) against AFC West division opponents since 1992.
CHICAGO is 40-23 ATS (+14.7 Units) in home games after 2 or more consecutive losses since 1992.
LA CHARGERS is 42-25 ATS (+14.5 Units) as a road underdog of 3.5 to 7 points since 1992.
LA CHARGERS is 127-93 ATS (+24.7 Units) in road games since 1992.
LA CHARGERS is 127-93 ATS (+24.7 Units) in road lined games since 1992.
LA CHARGERS is 36-18 ATS (+16.2 Units) in a road game where the total is between 38.5 and 42 points since 1992.
LA CHARGERS is 92-64 ATS (+21.6 Units) in all games where the total is between 35.5 and 42 points since 1992.
LA CHARGERS is 102-73 ATS (+21.7 Units) in road games when playing with 6 or less days rest since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

SEATTLE (5 - 2) at ATLANTA (1 - 6) - 10/27/2019, 1:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
SEATTLE is 39-63 ATS (-30.3 Units) in October games since 1992.
SEATTLE is 46-70 ATS (-31.0 Units) in weeks 5 through 9 since 1992.
ATLANTA is 6-17 ATS (-12.7 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
ATLANTA is 6-17 ATS (-12.7 Units) in all lined games over the last 2 seasons.
ATLANTA is 6-17 ATS (-12.7 Units) as a home underdog of 3.5 to 7 points since 1992.
ATLANTA is 2-12 ATS (-11.2 Units) in all games where the total is greater than or equal to 49.5 over the last 2 seasons.
ATLANTA is 4-13 ATS (-10.3 Units) when playing with 6 or less days rest over the last 2 seasons.
ATLANTA is 1-9 ATS (-8.9 Units) in October games over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
ATLANTA is 1-0 against the spread versus SEATTLE over the last 3 seasons
ATLANTA is 1-0 straight up against SEATTLE over the last 3 seasons
1 of 1 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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NY JETS (1 - 5) at JACKSONVILLE (3 - 4) - 10/27/2019, 1:00 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
JACKSONVILLE is 1-1 against the spread versus NY JETS over the last 3 seasons
JACKSONVILLE is 1-1 straight up against NY JETS over the last 3 seasons
2 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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PHILADELPHIA (3 - 4) at BUFFALO (5 - 1) - 10/27/2019, 1:00 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

CINCINNATI (0 - 7) vs. LA RAMS (4 - 3) - 10/27/2019, 1:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
CINCINNATI is 41-63 ATS (-28.3 Units) in October games since 1992.
CINCINNATI is 11-3 ATS (+7.7 Units) in road games when playing with 6 or less days rest over the last 3 seasons.
LA RAMS is 198-242 ATS (-68.2 Units) in all games since 1992.
LA RAMS is 198-242 ATS (-68.2 Units) in all lined games since 1992.
LA RAMS is 91-122 ATS (-43.2 Units) in all games where the total is between 42.5 and 49 points since 1992.
LA RAMS is 152-191 ATS (-58.1 Units) when playing with 6 or less days rest since 1992.
LA RAMS is 71-105 ATS (-44.5 Units) in games played on a grass field since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

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ARIZONA (3 - 3 - 1) at NEW ORLEANS (6 - 1) - 10/27/2019, 1:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
ARIZONA is 4-15 ATS (-12.5 Units) in all games where the total is between 42.5 and 49 points over the last 3 seasons.
NEW ORLEANS is 6-0 ATS (+6.0 Units) in October games over the last 2 seasons.
NEW ORLEANS is 11-3 ATS (+7.7 Units) after 2 or more consecutive wins over the last 2 seasons.
NEW ORLEANS is 7-0 ATS (+7.0 Units) in weeks 5 through 9 over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

OAKLAND (3 - 3) at HOUSTON (4 - 3) - 10/27/2019, 1:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
OAKLAND is 11-25 ATS (-16.5 Units) in all games where the total is greater than or equal to 49.5 since 1992.
OAKLAND is 148-185 ATS (-55.5 Units) in games played on a grass field since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

CAROLINA (4 - 2) at SAN FRANCISCO (6 - 0) - 10/27/2019, 4:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
CAROLINA is 120-88 ATS (+23.2 Units) as an underdog since 1992.
CAROLINA is 8-1 ATS (+6.9 Units) in all games where the total is between 35.5 and 42 points over the last 3 seasons.
CAROLINA is 61-40 ATS (+17.0 Units) in road games in games played on a grass field since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
CAROLINA is 1-0 against the spread versus SAN FRANCISCO over the last 3 seasons
CAROLINA is 1-0 straight up against SAN FRANCISCO over the last 3 seasons
1 of 1 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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DENVER (2 - 5) at INDIANAPOLIS (4 - 2) - 10/27/2019, 4:25 PM
Top Trends for this game.
DENVER is 9-19 ATS (-11.9 Units) against conference opponents over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
DENVER is 1-0 against the spread versus INDIANAPOLIS over the last 3 seasons
DENVER is 1-0 straight up against INDIANAPOLIS over the last 3 seasons
1 of 1 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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CLEVELAND (2 - 4) at NEW ENGLAND (7 - 0) - 10/27/2019, 4:25 PM
Top Trends for this game.
CLEVELAND is 4-13 ATS (-10.3 Units) after 2 or more consecutive losses over the last 3 seasons.
CLEVELAND is 18-33 ATS (-18.3 Units) in road games in weeks 5 through 9 since 1992.
NEW ENGLAND is 11-3 ATS (+7.7 Units) as a favorite of 10 or more points over the last 3 seasons.
NEW ENGLAND is 29-16 ATS (+11.4 Units) in all games over the last 3 seasons.
NEW ENGLAND is 29-16 ATS (+11.4 Units) in all lined games over the last 3 seasons.
NEW ENGLAND is 28-16 ATS (+10.4 Units) as a favorite over the last 3 seasons.
NEW ENGLAND is 133-102 ATS (+20.8 Units) in home games since 1992.
NEW ENGLAND is 133-102 ATS (+20.8 Units) in home lined games since 1992.
NEW ENGLAND is 205-148 ATS (+42.2 Units) against conference opponents since 1992.
NEW ENGLAND is 197-148 ATS (+34.2 Units) when playing with 6 or less days rest since 1992.
NEW ENGLAND is 8-1 ATS (+6.9 Units) in home games off a division game over the last 3 seasons.
NEW ENGLAND is 128-86 ATS (+33.4 Units) in games played on turf since 1992.
NEW ENGLAND is 67-44 ATS (+18.6 Units) in October games since 1992.
NEW ENGLAND is 8-1 ATS (+6.9 Units) in home games off a win against a division rival over the last 3 seasons.
NEW ENGLAND is 119-89 ATS (+21.1 Units) after 2 or more consecutive wins since 1992.
NEW ENGLAND is 12-2 ATS (+9.8 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 3 seasons.
NEW ENGLAND is 10-2 ATS (+7.8 Units) in weeks 5 through 9 over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

GREEN BAY (6 - 1) at KANSAS CITY (5 - 2) - 10/27/2019, 8:20 PM
Top Trends for this game.
KANSAS CITY is 34-17 ATS (+15.3 Units) in home games in non-conference games since 1992.
GREEN BAY is 112-83 ATS (+20.7 Units) as a favorite of 3.5 to 9.5 points since 1992.
GREEN BAY is 196-141 ATS (+40.9 Units) in games played on a grass field since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

Monday, October 28

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MIAMI (0 - 6) at PITTSBURGH (2 - 4) - 10/28/2019, 8:15 PM
Top Trends for this game.
MIAMI is 0-8 ATS (-8.8 Units) in road games off a division game over the last 3 seasons.
MIAMI is 59-86 ATS (-35.6 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record since 1992.
PITTSBURGH is 8-1 ATS (+6.9 Units) in October games over the last 3 seasons.
PITTSBURGH is 8-1 ATS (+6.9 Units) in weeks 5 through 9 over the last 3 seasons.
PITTSBURGH is 12-28 ATS (-18.8 Units) as a favorite of 10 or more points since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

 

[Cnotes53]

101WASHINGTON -102 MINNESOTA
MINNESOTA is 12-3 ATS (8.7 Units) as a favorite in the last 2 seasons.

251NY GIANTS -252 DETROIT
DETROIT is 8-1 ATS (6.9 Units) after going over the total in the last 2 seasons.

251NY GIANTS -252 DETROIT
Matt Patricia is 8-1 ATS (6.9 Units) after going over the total (Coach of DETROIT)

253TAMPA BAY -254 TENNESSEE
TAMPA BAY is 0-7 ATS (-7.7 Units) after 2 straight overs in the last 2 seasons.

255LA CHARGERS -256 CHICAGO
CHICAGO is 13-30 ATS (-20 Units) in home games after 2 straight overs since 1992.

257SEATTLE -258 ATLANTA
SEATTLE is 8-0 ATS (8 Units) after 1 or more consecutive losses against the spread in the last 2 seasons.

259NY JETS -260 JACKSONVILLE
NY JETS are 0-6 ATS (-6.6 Units) in road games versus poor defensive teams - allowing >=350 yards/game in the last 3 seasons.

261PHILADELPHIA -262 BUFFALO
BUFFALO is 46-76 ATS (-37.6 Units) after covering the spread in 2 out of their last 3 games since 1992.

263CINCINNATI -264 LA RAMS
LA RAMS are 10-2 ATS (7.8 Units) in road games vs. poor punt return teams, less than 7.5 yards per return in the last 3 seasons.

265ARIZONA -266 NEW ORLEANS
NEW ORLEANS are 10-1 ATS (8.9 Units) after 2 or more consecutive wins against the spread in the last 2 seasons.

267OAKLAND -268 HOUSTON
OAKLAND is 2-10 ATS (-9 Units) in road games vs. good passing teams with a completion pct. of 61% or better. in the last 3 seasons.

269CAROLINA -270 SAN FRANCISCO
CAROLINA is 8-1 ATS (6.9 Units) in all games where the total is between 35.5 and 42 points in the last 3 seasons.

271DENVER -272 INDIANAPOLIS
DENVER is 3-13 ATS (-11.3 Units) after 2 straight unders in the last 3 seasons.

273CLEVELAND -274 NEW ENGLAND
NEW ENGLAND is 8-1 ATS (6.9 Units) in a home game where the total is greater than or equal to 45.5 in the last 2 seasons.

275GREEN BAY -276 KANSAS CITY
KANSAS CITY is 17-6 ATS (10.4 Units) in the 1rst half of the season in the last 3 seasons.

277MIAMI -278 PITTSBURGH
MIAMI is 0-8 ATS (-8.8 Units) in road games off a division game in the last 3 seasons.

 

[Udog]

NFL Tech Trends - Week 8
Bruce Marshall

Thursday, Oct. 24

WASHINGTON at MINNESOTA (FOX, 8:20 p.m. ET)
Skins 1-5 vs. line last six TY, 4-9 last 13 on board since late LY. Vikes 3-0 SU and vs. line at home TY, 6-1 last seven as host since mid 2018. Skins ?under? last 4 and ?under? 9-4 last 13 since late 2018, and Zimmer also ?under? 18-7-1 since late 2017.
Tech Edge: Vikings and ?under,? based on team and ?totals? trends.


Sunday, Oct. 27

N.Y. GIANTS at DETROIT (FOX, 1:00 p.m. ET)
G-Men just missed vs. Patriots but still 7-3 last 10 as road dog. Lions 4-1 vs. line last five TY. NY also ?over? last five on road.
Tech Edge: ?Over? and Giants, based on ?totals? and team trends.

TAMPA BAY at TENNESSEE (FOX, 1:00 p.m. ET)
TB 3-5-3 last 11 vs. spread away from home, but Titans 1-4 vs. line last 5 and 2-5 vs. spread last seven at home. Vrabel also on 4-9 spread skid since mid 2018. Bucs now ?over? 6-2 last 8 since late 2018.
Tech Edge: Bucs and slight to ?over,? based on team and ?totals? trends.

L.A. CHARGERS at CHICAGO (FOX, 1:00 p.m. ET)
Bolts 12-4-1 vs. spread last 17 as reg season visitor outside of LA city limits. Also ?under? 7-2 last 9 since late 2018. Bears ?under? 10-3 last 13 since late 2018.
Tech Edge: Chargers and ?under,? based on team and ?totals? trends.

SEATTLE at ATLANTA (FOX, 1:00 p.m. ET)
Road team has covered in first seven Seattle games TY (Hawks 3-0 vs. line away), Hawks have now covered 8 of last 9 away from CenturyLink Field. Falcs 1-6 vs. line TY, 3-12 last 15 on board. Seattle also ?over? 8-3 last eleven since late 2018.
Tech Edge: Seahawks and ?over,? based on team and ?totals? trends.

N.Y. JETS at JACKSONVILLE (CBS, 1:00 p.m. ET)
After Patriots on Monday, Jets 4-11-1 last 16 vs. points since mid 2018. Jags 3-6 last 9 as chalk (1-1 TY), also ?under? 6-1 last 7 at TIAA Bank Field.
Tech Edge: ?Under,? based on ?totals? trends.

PHILADELPHIA at BUFFALO (FOX, 1:00 p.m. ET)
Birds 5-10 vs. spread last 15 reg season games. Bills on 6-2 spread uptick since late 2018. Buff also ?under? 5-1 TY and 7-2 last 9 since late 2018.
Tech Edge: Bills and slight to ?under,? based on team and ?totals? trends.

CINCINNATI vs. L.A. RAMS - at Wembley Stadium, London (CBS, 1:00 p.m. ET)
Rams have covered first four away TY and six straight as visitor since late 2018. Bengals however 6-2 last eight as dog (3-2 TY), 7-1 last 8 vs. spread away.
Tech Edge: Slight to Bengals, based on team trends.

ARIZONA at NEW ORLEANS (CBS, 1:00 p.m. ET)
Cards ?over? 5-3 last seven since late 2018 and have covered last four on road. Saints have covered last five with Bridgewater at QB and ??over? 4-1 last five at Superdome.
Tech Edge: ?Over,? based on ?totals? trends.

DENVER at INDIANAPOLIS (CBS, 1:00 p.m. ET)
Broncos ?under? 14-2 last 16 since mid 2018 and 3-8 last 11 vs. spread since late 2018. Colts ?under? 7-5 last 12 since late 2018.
Tech Edge: ?Under? and slight to Colts, based on ?totals? and team trends.

CAROLINA at SAN FRANCISCO (FOX, 4:05 p.m. ET)
Panthers have won and covered last four and Rivera has covered 3 of last 4 off of bye. Carolina also 18-9 as dog since 2015 and ?under? 4-2 last six as visitor. Niners 4-1 vs. line TY and ?under? 10-5 since mid 2018.
Tech Edge: ?Under,? based on ?totals? trends.

OAKLAND at HOUSTON (CBS, 4:25 p.m. ET)
Texans tough vs. line away but only 5-9 last 14 vs. number at NRG. Also ?under? 5-1 last six at home. Raiders have covered two of last three away.
Tech Edge: Raiders and slight to ?under,? based on team and ?totals? trends.

CLEVELAND at NEW ENGLAND (CBS, 4:25 p.m. ET)
Brownies 5-2 vs. line last seven away, 6-3 last 9 as dog. Belichick 13-4 vs. line at home since mid 2017. Pats ?under? 13-3 last 16 reg season after Jets on Monday.
Tech Edge: ?Under,? based on ?totals? trends.

GREEN BAY at KANSAS CITY (NBC, 8:20 p.m. ET)
Chiefs only 2-7 last 9 vs. line at home. Pack ?under? 5-3 last 8 away, Chiefs ?under? 6-3 last 9 at Arrowhead.
Tech Edge: Packers and ?under,? based on team and ?totals? trends.


Monday, Oct. 28

MIAMI at PITTSBURGH (ESPN, 8:15 p.m. ET)
Miami has covered last 2 but still just 2-7 last 9 on board. Steelers have covered last four in 2019. Miami ?under? 4-2 TY, Steel ?under? 9-4 last 13 since mid 2018.
Tech Edge: Steelers and ?under,? based on recent and ?totals? trends.

 

[Cnotes53]

Jets angry Darnold's comment made it on air
October 22, 2019
By The Associated Press

NEW YORK (AP) The New York Jets are disappointed and angry quarterback Sam Darnold's comment about him "seeing ghosts" made it on air during the ''Monday Night Football'' game.

Darnold was wearing a microphone for ESPN's broadcast of New York's 33-0 loss to New England. After the third of his five turnovers in the game, the Jets' frustrated quarterback was sitting on the sideline in the second quarter when he made his comment that quickly went viral on social media after it aired.

''That was one of those things that was really disappointing to hear about after the game,'' coach Adam Gase said Tuesday. ''I don't know if I've ever seen that where somebody that was mic'd up, that a comment like that was allowed to be aired. It bothers me. It bothers the organization.''

Gase added that the Jets will be ''looking hard into our cooperation'' with the networks going forward.

Select players are mic'd up during prime-time games and NFL Films has a representative listening on site. The representative then will approve the comments to air - in this case, on ESPN's ''Monday Night Football.''

''You're never anticipating something like that happening,'' Gase said. ''The fact that it did just gives us pause to really cooperate anymore because I don't know how we would allow our franchise quarterback to be put out there like that.''

The approval process is designed to help prevent players and coaches from having things they say that might cast them, the team or the league in a negative light from being aired.

ESPN declined comment and deferred to NFL Films. The NFL had no immediate comment.

By NFL rules, each team's starting quarterback and head coach are required to be mic'd up by NFL Films once a season. New Orleans coach Sean Payton, San Francisco cornerback Richard Sherman and Pittsburgh wide receiver JuJu Smith-Schuster are among those who have worn microphones during ''Monday Night Football'' games this season.

Darnold fulfilled his requirement by being mic'd up against the Patriots.

In the Jets' Week 2 loss to Cleveland, backup quarterback Trevor Siemian wore a microphone while starting for Darnold, who was sidelined with mononucleosis. Siemian left that game in the second quarter with a season-ending ankle injury.

Jets running back Le'Veon Bell took to social media to defend Darnold - and criticize the NFL.

''The NFL screwed Sammy over,'' Bell wrote on Twitter. ''There's not one player in the NFL who's cool with having every sideline convo broadcasted to millions...there's a reason we've never heard other QB's frustrated on the sideline like that before...that's crazy, (at)NFL did Sam dirty as hell.''

In football parlance, ''seeing ghosts'' is a phrase sometimes used when a player is having trouble reading the coverages on defense, being fooled into reading them incorrectly or feeling pressures in the pocket that aren't there.

That was clearly the case for Darnold, who had his worst game of his young career. He was 11 of 32 for 86 yards with four interceptions and a horrific 3.6 quarterback rating.

''I have a lot of confidence in Sam bouncing back from this,'' Gase said.

 

[Cnotes53]

Broncos trade receiver Sanders to 49ers
October 22, 2019
By The Associated Press

ENGLEWOOD, Colo. (AP) Emmanuel Sanders arrived in what he called ''wide receiver heaven'' in 2014 and with Peyton Manning throwing him passes, he certainly found bliss in Denver, where he became a champion and a bona fide NFL star.

On Tuesday, he escaped what had become wide receiver purgatory when the Broncos (2-5) granted his trade request and sent him to the unbeaten San Francisco 49ers (6-0).

Now he'll team up with QB Jimmy Garoppolo and play at Levi's Stadium, site of the Broncos' Super Bowl triumph over the Carolina Panthers.

Broncos GM John Elway intimated that he soured on Sanders ''with what happened after the Tennessee game'' Oct. 13 when Sanders left at halftime of a 16-0 Denver victory with what was described as a knee injury.

Asked to elaborate, Elway declined, saying, ''Nope. I'm not going into that.''

Sanders caught one pass for zero yards on three targets that day. The week before, he was targeted just once, for a 9-yard catch, in a win over the Chargers, and 48 hours after Elway had declared none of his veterans were on the trading block.

Elway confirmed Sanders asked out of Denver.

''He did. When we look at it, Emmanuel had issues and we had issues,'' Elway said. ''So that's why it was a good time for us to go different directions. With that being said, we were able to get the value that we thought was fair and so that's why we decided to make the deal.''

The 49ers sent Denver 2020 third- and fourth-round draft picks for Sanders and a fifth-round pick next year.

Sanders was one of eight holdovers from the Broncos' Super Bowl-winning team and his departure leaves tight end Jeff Heuerman, who was on IR in 2015, as the only offensive player left from that championship team.

Elway did have some compliments for Sanders, saying, ''Emmanuel had a lot of catches and played hard and was a competitive guy. He did a good job while he was here.''

Elway added, ''the team understands the move. The bottom line is we're still trying to win football games. We're not throwing in the towel by any means. We're still trying to win football games. The message it sends to the rest to the team is they know what message is being sent. They've been around.''

Elway, who traded veteran receiver Demaryius Thomas at last year's deadline, said everybody on offense will have to step up with Sanders gone and he said wide receiver Tim Patrick (hand) will be one of two players recalled from IR. It's believed QB Drew Lock will be the other.

Elway said he wasn't sure if he'd trade any other players but did say he's received no calls on cornerback Chris Harris Jr.

Sanders didn't reveal any animosity toward the Broncos on his way out.

''It's hard. Anytime you break up or you leave a place, it's tough,'' Sanders said as he left Broncos headquarters about 90 minutes before Elway's teleconference. ''We definitely had a great run out here in Denver. I had a lot of great times. Obviously, all good things come to an end. Looking forward to getting out to San Fran and showcasing my talent, meeting the guys, hopefully add my explosiveness, my capabilities to their system and trying to win.''

The 32-year-old veteran may have found another utopia in the Bay Area.

''Yeah, we kind of run a similar offense,'' he said.

Sanders caught 30 passes for 367 yards and two touchdowns this season as he made a successful return from surgery on both ankles. He quickly found a rapport with new quarterback Joe Flacco, who followed Trevor Siemian, Paxton Lynch, Brock Osweiler and Case Keenum in the years after Manning retired.

But second-year pro Courtland Sutton, a fellow SMU alum, emerged as the No. 1 receiver in Denver this season with 36 catches for 564 yards and four TDs.

San Francisco coach Kyle Shanahan said Monday that he believed the 49ers had the answers at receiver on the roster but opted to make a move anyway for a proven veteran like Sanders.

The 49ers have been seeking a No. 1 receiver since the offseason when they looked into trying to trade for Odell Beckham Jr. before he was sent from the New York Giants to Cleveland instead.

San Francisco spent second- and third-round picks on Deebo Samuel and Jalen Hurd but a top-flight receiver remained one of the few holes on a mostly complete roster.

The Niners rank last in the NFL with just 49 catches from their wideouts and are second to last with 679 yards receiving. Samuel leads all the team's wide receivers with 15 catches for 168 yards and Marquise Goodwin is the only other wideout with more than 10 catches.

Sanders looked back fondly on his time in Denver as he signed an autograph for a fan outside Broncos headquarters.

''The Super Bowl run was just fun - `14 and `15 were some of the best days of my life, best times of my life,'' Sanders said as he sat in his black Range Rover, ready for another fresh start.

 

[Cnotes53]

Pats, Saints, 49ers top 3 in AP Pro32 poll; Ravens now No. 5
October 22, 2019
By The Associated Press

NEW YORK (AP) The top of the AFC has been ruled by one team so far this season.

In fact, for most of the past two decades. The defending champion New England Patriots haven't lost since Week 15 of the 2018 season.

But the Baltimore Ravens are starting to stake their claim as a possible contender.

Baltimore is 5-2 after an impressive 30-16 win at the Seattle Seahawks on Sunday. The Ravens climbed five spots to No. 5 in the latest AP Pro32 poll as they enter their bye week. The Seahawks dropped five places to No. 9.

''Lamar Jackson just outplayed Russell Wilson on the road, taking a major step forward in the race for league MVP honors,'' said Ira Kaufman of Fox 13 in Tampa, Florida.

The top three teams in the poll remained the same. The New England Patriots received all 12 first-place votes for 384 points in balloting Tuesday by media members who regularly cover the NFL. The Patriots improved to 7-0 after routing the New York Jets 33-0 on Monday night.

''There are few things in life (coach) Bill Belichick likes more than beating the Jets,'' Newsday's Bob Glauber said.

''And man, did he embarrass the home team in a 33-0 romp at MetLife Stadium. The next morning, Belichick trades for (Falcons) receiver Mohamed Sanu. The rich get richer.''

The New Orleans Saints are No. 2 after moving to 5-0 without Drew Brees when they handled the Chicago Bears.

''Defense, (Teddy) Bridgewater and (Sean) Payton prove they don't need Brees,'' Fox Sports' John Czarnecki said of the Saints' backup quarterback and head coach who have helped the team to first place in the NFC South.

And the No. 3 San Francisco 49ers moved to 6-0 on the season after blanking Washington.

The Green Bay Packers moved up a spot to No. 4 after pounding the Oakland Raiders; Aaron Rodgers threw five touchdown passes and ran for another in a 42-24 win.

The Minnesota Vikings, who trail the Packers by a game in the NFC North, moved up two spots to No. 6. The Vikings open Week 8 when they host Washington on Thursday night.

The Kansas City Chiefs gained two spots to No. 7 but will be without Patrick Mahomes for a while after the reigning league MVP injured his right knee in last week's rout of Denver.

''Rating will go up when Patrick Mahomes returns,'' Alex Marvez of Sirius XM said.

The Buffalo Bills slipped a spot to No. 8 after needing a big fourth quarter to top the winless Miami Dolphins.

And the Indianapolis Colts moved up two spots to round out the top 10 after beating the Houston Texans 30-23.

 

[Cnotes53]

Rodgers-LaFleur relationship strengthening and it's showing
October 21, 2019
By The Associated Press

GREEN BAY, Wis. (AP) Aaron Rodgers is one of the NFL's top quarterbacks. But the 35-year-old two-time MVP and Super Bowl champion had to basically start from scratch in his 15th season.

Matt LaFleur brought a new offense, terminology and schemes to Green Bay. Rodgers had to learn fast.

So far, so good.

LaFleur presented Rodgers with the game ball on Sunday after he threw for five touchdowns and ran for another in a 42-24 win over the Raiders.

''It feels good,'' Rodgers said. ''I feel like this has been coming. I really do. I feel like we've been building and I've been feeling a lot more comfortable. And Matt's been feeling comfortable with him calling it for me and feeling when I'm in a rhythm and when to be aggressive and when to pull back.''

WHAT'S WORKING

LaFleur said Monday that he likes where he and Rodgers' relationship is at this point.

''I just think any time as a play-caller, that relationship with the quarterback is absolutely critical,'' he said. ''Whether it's here or whether it was in my past in Tennessee, wherever it's been, I've always valued that relationship because you gotta be on the same page.

''The way I view the quarterback is, it's an extension of the coaching staff. We gotta be on the same page. I think that just like any relationship, it takes time to make sure the communication is on point. I like where we're at right now, but we gotta continue to work each and every day just like any other relationship.''

Rodgers set a single-game franchise record with a perfect 158.3 passer rating after completing 25 of 31 passes for 429 yards and no interceptions, all while his top target, Davante Adams, was sidelined with turf toe.

''I still don't understand how they put that rating together but it does sound pretty good,'' Rodgers said.

Rodgers also threw touchdown passes to two different running backs (Aaron Jones and Jamaal Williams) in a game for the first time in his career. If Rodgers has finally hit his stride in LaFleur's offense, the rest of the league is in trouble.

WHAT'S NOT WORKING

Green Bay's leaky run defense struggled on Sunday as rookie Josh Jacobs had 124 yards, including a 42-yarder on the opening drive.

Now, Jacobs has had a successful first season. He entered Sunday with 430 yards rushing for the second most by a Raiders rookie through five games behind Bo Jackson's 475 yards in 1987. But Green Bay is allowing 128.9 rushing yards per game, which ranks 24th in the league. The Packers allowed 155 on Sunday.

STOCK UP

Marquez Valdes-Scantling. The second-year receiver was a game-time decision after suffering knee and ankle injuries last week. Valdes-Scantling played sparingly and finished with two of the game's biggest plays - a 59-yard reception and a 74-yard score. The 6-foot-4 speedster set a single-game franchise record for the most receiving yards (133) in a game with two or fewer catches. Valdes-Scantling is morphing into the perfect complementary option to Adams.

STOCK DOWN

Green Bay's defensive front. The group's pass rush has been tremendous this season, but nearly nonexistent against the run. Being one-dimensional won't cut it.

''We want to be good against it all,'' defensive coordinator Mike Pettine said earlier this season. ''It's not a conscious effort to say we're just going to play coverage every snap and just bend and not break. That's been in our biggest issue, and we've talked in the room about it, that we've got to get a handle on the explosive plays.''

INJURED

Adams watch continues, as the two-time Pro Bowler continues to work back from his toe injury. But there's no rush to get him back on the field, especially while other guys are filling the void.

''I can promise you we need him and we're a better offense with 17 on the field,'' Rodgers said of Adams. ''We've just been spreading it out a little bit more and guys have been stepping up. ... I think without him there, we've had to scheme up plays for other guys and guys have made plays when their number's been called.''

KEY NUMBER

350 - Rodgers became the ninth player in NFL history to throw 350 touchdown passes. He's the fastest to reach the milestone (172 games), surpassing Drew Brees (180 games).

NEXT STEPS

The Packers play at Kansas City on Sunday night. The Chiefs will be without reigning MVP Patrick Mahomes, who suffered a dislocated kneecap Thursday night.

''With Mahomes' status, the (Kansas City) defense is going to feel like they need to pick up the slack a little bit so we know it's going to be a challenge,'' offensive tackle Bryan Bulaga said Monday. ''It's a big road game. We're going to have to prepare for that and get ready and try to play some of our best ball out there.''

 

[Cnotes53]

Seahawks can't make up for an imperfect Russell Wilson
October 21, 2019
By The Associated Press

RENTON, Wash. (AP) Russell Wilson was never going to be perfect all the time. But in making his first major miscue of the season, Wilson showed the tiny margin the Seattle Seahawks have for absorbing mistakes.

If Wilson isn't right on point or Seattle's defense isn't forcing turnovers and causing chaos for the opposition, the Seahawks will end up with performances like Sunday in a 30-16 loss to Baltimore.

Wilson threw his first interception of the season and it was a doozy, watching Marcus Peters return the pick 67 yards for a touchdown. It was the first of the Ravens' two defensive scores, which would be challenging for any team to overcome. But combine those two turnovers with Lamar Jackson running around and through the Seahawks defense, and it was a perfect formula for Seattle's second home loss.

More importantly, Seattle (5-2) is already two games behind unbeaten San Francisco in the NFC West.

Wilson had been nearly flawless for the first six weeks, inserting himself into the early MVP conversation. Despite Wilson's high level of play, Seattle had a pair of one-point wins, a two-point victory and a four-point win. Even when Wilson was great, the Seahawks were still squeaking by.

Sunday, he was not at his best. Aside from the interception, Wilson completed only 48.7% of his passes. The complementary pieces Wilson needed were absent as well. Seattle rushed for only 36 yards in the second half and the Seahawks' defense failed to force a turnover while watching Jackson rush for 116 yards and be the best player on the field.

''It hammered home one of the lessons of our program that it's all about the ball,'' Seattle coach Pete Carroll said. ''We know. We're on it so diligently that when you give the ball up a couple of times, it's hard to win. You give up a couple of scores, it's really difficult.''

WHAT'S WORKING

The connection between Wilson and WR Tyler Lockett remains highly productive. Lockett had five receptions Sunday, but most impressive was two plays where Wilson trusted Lockett would get to the ball first. One went for an 8-yard TD . The other came as Wilson was facing a blitz and lofted a deep pass down the middle. Lockett ran under it for a 33-yard gain.

WHAT NEEDS HELP

Carroll's decision making has always seemed a little emotional, but he made two critical decisions on Sunday that proved costly. He continued to test the ability to challenge pass interference at times where it seemed obvious there would be no change to the original call. His decision to do so in the first half ended up costing Seattle a timeout it could have used on the final drive of the half.

His second questionable choice was attempting a 53-yard field goal on a stormy day in the third quarter in a 13-all game. Seattle faced fourth-and-3 at the Baltimore 35. Carroll showed trust in kicker Jason Myers by sending out the field goal unit. Myers missed wide right and given a short field, Baltimore scored late in the quarter - on a fourth-and-2 no less - to take the lead for good.

The debate was between Myers attempting the kick or punting. Carroll said going for it with the offense was never the right choice in his mind.

''It's a little longer than you want to go for it,'' Carroll said.

STOCK UP

Rookie second-round pick Marquise Blair not only started Sunday at safety, but played well. Blair was one of four players to be in for all 59 defensive snaps for the Seahawks. He finished with six tackles and had no major, obvious assignment errors. Carroll said Blair will be getting more playing time.

STOCK DOWN

Fellow rookie DK Metcalf made the kind of mistake that can't happen in the fourth quarter. Metcalf simply dropped the ball trying to switch hands after making a short reception and the fumble was returned for a touchdown by the Ravens. It was the final blow in a day when Metcalf had four catches for 53 yards but was targeted nine times and struggled to get away from physical coverage by the Ravens in the second half.

''I'm not going to blame it on the weather. We practice with a wet ball all the time, so I'm not going to blame it on the weather. It was my fault 100%,'' Metcalf said.

INJURED

Carroll said LT Duane Brown (biceps) wants to practices this week, but ''we may have to protect him from himself.'' Brown has missed the last two games. The Seahawks are hopeful D.J. Fluker (hamstring) will be ready to play against Atlanta after sitting out the past two. Fluker was active Sunday, but did not play with Jamarco Jones filling in again at right guard.

Safety is another area of concern as Lano Hill (elbow) is not expected back this week and Bradley McDougald missed Sunday's loss with back spasms.

The availability of defensive end Ziggy Ansah is also in question from an ankle injury suffered against Cleveland and kept him out of the loss to Baltimore.

KEY NUMBER

2-2 - The Seahawks are just .500 at home at the midway point of their home schedule and their two wins are each by one point. Over the past 2+ seasons, the Seahawks are just 12-10 at home.

NEXT STEPS

The Seahawks make another East Coast road trip to take on Atlanta. The Seahawks are just 2-5 against the Falcons during Carroll's tenure, including a pair of playoff losses in Atlanta.

 

[Cnotes53]

If Vikings are without Thielen, there's precedent of success
October 22, 2019
By The Associated Press

EAGAN, Minn. (AP) When Adam Thielen left the previous game in Detroit because of a hamstring injury he suffered in the first quarter, the Minnesota Vikings didn't miss a beat without their two-time Pro Bowl wide receiver.

The passing clinic that Kirk Cousins put on during the 42-30 victory over the Lions could prove to be good practice, because Thielen might not be ready to play on Thursday night when the Vikings host Washington.

Though he has never missed a game in his NFL career, participating in 90 consecutive contests including the playoffs, Thielen will get only three days for the muscle to heal in time. He was held out of practice on Tuesday afternoon.

''I don't know what the percent chance is, but I feel great. Obviously it's a short week,'' Thielen said, later adding: ''I'm just trusting this training staff. I have a lot of confidence in them. I'm doing everything I can, they're doing everything they can, and I'm hopeful.''

With difficult road games against Kansas City and Dallas looming in November to start the second half of the schedule, giving Thielen a full two weeks to recover could yield a greater reward than from the risk, however small it might be, of putting him on the field against the Redskins. The way this balanced and diversified offense has been playing in October would figure to make that decision easier.

After Thielen was hurt on his touchdown reception, the Vikings crossed the goal line five times in their next seven possessions. One drive ended with a missed field goal after Stefon Diggs had an on-target throw slip through his hands in the end zone.

The play-action passes set up by running back Dalvin Cook's continued gains in the ground game allowed Cousins to not only go deep to Diggs but find tight ends Kyle Rudolph and Irv Smith Jr. and fullback C.J. Ham underneath the secondary. Then there was the emergence of rookie Olabisi Johnson, the seventh-round draft pick out of Colorado State who has cemented his place as the third wide receiver.

''We're going to call on them throughout, whether Adam's healthy or not,'' Cousins said. ''They're going to get rotated in, and we're going to count on them.''

Cousins has surged to the top of the league in passer rating (114.3) and yards per pass attempt (9.1) among quarterbacks with a qualifying amount of throws. There will be many more challenges ahead this season, but three weeks after a particularly rough game at Chicago raised questions about his ability to be more than the quarterback with a roughly .500 winning percentage he's been for his eight-year career, Cousins has sure quieted the concerns with his most recent performances. He's the first quarterback in NFL history to post at least 300 yards with a passer rating of 135 or higher in three consecutive games. The offense, at least for now, has established an identity that was lacking down the stretch last season and in that game against the Bears.

''It's week to week, and you've got to go prove it,'' Cousins said. ''I don't really feel safe on who we are or what we're doing until the season is over. Then you look back and say, `What was the body of work?'''

 

[Cnotes53]

Patriots blitz Jets, gain more confidence with Browns next
October 22, 2019
By The Associated Press

BOSTON (AP) The New England Patriots have thrived this season thanks to a defense that's limited opponents' abilities to get in the end zone and an offense that's found ways to adjust to injuries.

You can add one thing to that list: an ability to be unpredictable.

New England disguised a myriad of blitzes to bewilder New York Jets quarterback Sam Darnold in its 33-0 win on Monday night . The Patriots also continued to be creative on offense, this time inserting linebacker Elandon Roberts as one of the four fullbacks they used to boost their rushing attack.

It has them at 7-0 for the first time since 2015 with just two games left before their bye week.

''I think we're confident, but we'll have to start all over again. We emptied the tank,'' coach Bill Belichick said. ''We'll have to fill it up for next week and be ready to empty it again next week against Cleveland. That's the way it is every week in this league.''

That matchup with the Browns and quarterback Baker Mayfield will be New England's third straight against a quarterback in his first or second season.

Recent history will be on New England's side.

The Patriots have won 20 straight games against a first or second-year quarterback, the longest such streak in NFL history.

Darnold was optimistic last week about an offense that was much healthier after dealing with some early season injuries, including his three-game absence with mononucleosis.

Darnold was also coming off being selected as the AFC Offensive Player of the Week after leading the Jets to a 24-22 win over Dallas in Week 6 in his return.

He was hopeful that the momentum of picking up their first victory of the season would carry over against New England.

Not quite.

Instead the Patriots forced six turnovers against the Jets, intercepting Darnold four times as they sent a wave of pressure his way.

The Patriots have allowed a league-low 48 points this season and have an NFL-best 18 interceptions. That is the most through seven games since the Green Bay Packers had 20 in 1996.

While Tom Brady and the offense have had to adjust to injuries on the offensive line, in the backfield and at receiver, they are feeling a lot better after scoring four touchdowns against the Jets.

One of the scores included an assist from Roberts, who logged snaps at fullback with James Develin and Jakob Johnson both on injured reserve.

New England will have a little more help against Cleveland after acquiring receiver Mohamed Sanu in a trade with Atlanta on Tuesday. Sanu adds another threat in the passing game with Josh Gordon recovering from ankle and knee injuries.

WHAT'S WORKING

The Patriots did their best job this season using their pressure to force turnovers. And most of their blitzes weren't called by New England's coaches, Belichick said. Instead they were on-field adjustments by a defense that safety and captain Devin McCourty said is finding new ways to be aggressive.

''At times it can be a safety, it can be one of the backs or one of the lineman. Understanding that it can keep switching. That makes it tough on teams. We just have to keep doing those things,'' said McCourty, who had his fifth interception of the 2019 season.

WHAT NEEDS HELP

Roberts did a good job of jumping in at fullback, but New England could clearly benefit from some full-time help at the position. While Sony Michel had three rushing TDs, he only averaged 2.2 yards per carry. Adding a proven blocker to lead the way out of the backfield could be a target for the Patriots at the trade deadline.

STOCK UP

Tight end Ben Watson was solid in his debut, catching three passes for 18 yards. He's no Rob Gronkowski, but his veteran presence does provide some needed stability at the position.

STOCK DOWN

It wasn't noticeable, but LB Dont'a Hightower had his quietest game of the season, notching only one tackle.

KEY NUMBER

Two. For the second time this season the Patriots scored 30 or more points and shut out their opponent. They join the 1991 Redskins as the only teams in the Super Bowl era to have multiple 30-point shutouts in their first seven games.

NEXT STEPS

New England has a short turnaround for the Browns, who have lost two straight games but are rested coming off their bye week.