Cnotes 2021 Major League Baseball Transactions, News, Notes, Picks Etc. !!

Cnotes53

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SUNDAY, AUGUST 1
GAME TIME(ET) PICK UNITS


PHI at PIT 01:05 PM
PHI -154
+500

CHC at WAS 01:05 PM
WAS -110
+500

KC at TOR 01:07 PM
KC +221
+500

BAL at DET 01:10 PM
DET -137
+500

CIN at NYM 01:10 PM
NYM -181
+500

NYY at MIA 01:10 PM
MIA +148
+500

MIL at ATL 01:20 PM
ATL -167
+500

CLE at CHW 02:10 PM
CHW -153
+500

MIN at STL 02:15 PM
MIN +143
+500

SEA at TEX 02:35 PM
SEA -141
+500

HOU at SF 04:05 PM
SF -112
+500

OAK at LAA 04:07 PM
OAK +102
+500

LAD at ARI 04:10 PM
ARI +211
+500

COL at SD 04:10 PM
COL +130
+500

BOS at TB 07:08 PM
BOS +150
+500
 

Cnotes53

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MLB Aug Record Opinions & Best Bets !!

DATE W-L-T % UNITS RECORD

08/01/2021 6-9-0 40.00% -24.35


Best Bets:

08/01/2021............1 - 6....................-24.90
 

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Monday?s 6-pack
Major league leaders in total bases:
240? Vladimir Guerrero Tor/Shohei Ohtani LAA
220? Rafael Devers, Bos
218? Marcus Semien, Tor
212? Cedric Mullins, Balt
211? Matt Olson, A?s
209? Jesse Winker Cin/Salvador Perez KC

Quote of the Day.
?He gets to stay in Colorado. That?s victory enough for Trevor Story, who seemed like a sure bet to be traded given that he?s in the final year of his contract for a non-contender. Like most Rockies hitters, his numbers away from Coors Field are lackluster, which would have given him longer odds of rebounding from a disappointing first half. He makes for a much more compelling buy-low candidate in Fantasy now that we know he?s staying put.?
CBSSportscom?s Scott White, talking about Trevor Story?s fantasy value

Monday?s quiz
Who led the major leagues in total bases last year?

Sunday?s quiz
Mets have won the World Series twice; they beat the Orioles/Red Sox in those two series.

Saturday?s quiz
Before Fernando Tatis this season, Tony Gwynn was the last San Diego Padre elected to start in an All-Star Game, in 1998.

************************************

Monday?s Den: Wrapping up a sports weekend

13) Been wondering about this for a couple years, and stumbled upon the answer Sunday; an Olympic gold medal is worth $800, if you melted it down. A silver medal would be worth $500 or so, a bronze medal $5. Don?t melt down your bronze medals.

12) Was watching the Spain-Slovenia basketball game at 5am couple nights ago, they finally showed a basketball game on regular TV. Slovenia won; Spain will play the American team in the Round of 8 coming up next.

Recent US-Spain games in Olympic/World Cup games:
2016? USA won 82-76 in Olympic semifinals
2012? USA won 107-100 in gold medal game.
2008? USA won 118-107 in gold medal game.

Closer than you might think, right?

11) There will be even more basketball on TV next week, when the NBA Summer League kicks off from Las Vegas, from August 8-17. I?ve been to the summer league few times; it is excellent entertainment, guys play their butts off, trying to get invited to NBA camps, or to get lucrative contracts overseas. Not too many guys take days off for load management in summer league.

10) Imagine being Dave Martinez or David Ross, managers of Nationals/Cubs; you?re trying like hell to lead your team to a winning season, then in the middle of the pennant race, your boss dumps eight of your best players in trades for prospects. Not good.

Translations: Cubs/Nationals will suck next year and who gets blamed when the team sucks? The manager, not the GM who traded away all the good players. Time to update your resumes, guys.

It is especially tough for Dave Martinez, who won the freakin? World Series two years ago.

9) Not to rub it in any, but Kris Bryant homered in his debut for the Giants Sunday, after Javier Baez, Anthony Rizzo did the same thing for their new teams.

8) Young guy who is a cashier at the grocery store I go to often wears a Javier Baez Cubs jersey while he works; wonder if he?ll get a new Baez jersey or switch to another Cubs player.

7) Last month, Mets drafted Vanderbilt P Kumar Rocker with the 10th pick in the baseball draft, but they opted not to sign him this week, because of issues/non-issues with his elbow. They forfeit his rights and instead get the 11th pick in next year?s draft.

Kumar Rocker can go back and play at Vanderbilt next year, but scumweasel agent Scott Boras indicated that Rocker won?t be doing that. If there really is something wrong with his elbow, another year of pitching for free isn?t going to help his elbow or his bank account any.

On the bright side of the Mets bungling this deal is that Houston did the same thing a few years ago, and with their comp pick, they drafted Alex Bregman, so this many still work out for them.

6) Mets went 14-13 in July, which doesn?t sound like much, but they doubled their division lead during the month, from 2 to 4 games. NL East ain?t that strong this year.

5) Bronx Bombers haven?t scored a first inning run in their last 19 games; with the top-heavy lineup they?ve assembled the last few days, that should change soon.

4) Minnessota Vikings fired their offensive line coach because he refused to take the COVID vaccine, but now their backup QB Kellen Mond tested positive for COVID and starting QB Kirk Cousins is a close contact, so training camp will be messed up for a few days, at least on the offensive side of the ball.

3) Orioles? P Matt Harvey has had a rocky road the last few years, but something he?s doing is working; in his last three starts, Harvey threw 18.1 scoreless innings, winning all three starts for a pretty bad team.

2) A?s 8, Angels 3? Oakland is 4-1 since the Starling Marte trade was announced. Yan Gomes hit a long home run Sunday, and P Daulton Jefferies got his first big league win.

Some A?s fans were bitching on social media because Oakland traded Jesus Luzardo to Miami, so Jefferies? win Sunday shuts them up for now, since he is filling Luzardo?s shoes.

Newly-acquired Josh Harrison is wearing #1 for the A?s; couldn?t remember many A?s who wore #1 since 2B Dick Green did during the 70?s glory days, so I looked it up.

From 1976-2009, no A?s player wore number 1; long time. Ka?ai Tom wore it for nine games earlier this year, Franklin Barreto wore it few years ago, but since Billy Martin wore #1 while he managed the A?s 40 years ago, its mostly been in mothballs.

1) Wonder what it is like to turn down an offer for $44M to play 82 basketball games? Chris Paul turned down his player option of $44M from Phoenix for next season- that would?ve worked out to $536,585.37 per game, and HE TURNED IT DOWN!?!?!?!?

Will be very curious how much he winds up signing for, or does he just bolt to the Knicks, where his endorsement potential would be through the roof.

Kawhi Leonard turned down a $36M option for next year and he?s recovering from a torn ACL. Go figure.
 

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951PHILADELPHIA -952 WASHINGTON
WASHINGTON is 15-26 SU (-16.4 Units) vs. a team with a poor bullpen whose ERA is 4.20 or worse in the current season.

953NY METS -954 MIAMI
NY METS are 4-15 SU (-15.8 Units) in road games vs. NL teams scoring 4 or less runs/game on the season in the current season.

955PITTSBURGH -956 MILWAUKEE
PITTSBURGH is 10-19 SU (-16.8 Units) in road games with a team slugging percentage .400 or worse on the season (NL) in the current season.

957SAN FRANCISCO -958 ARIZONA
ARIZONA is 8-29 SU (-24.4 Units) vs. a starting pitcher whose strikes out 5 or more batters per start in the current season.

959CLEVELAND -960 TORONTO
TORONTO is 30-18 SU (11.3 Units) vs. a starting pitcher whose gives up 5.5 or less hits/start in the current season.

961BALTIMORE -962 NY YANKEES
NY YANKEES are 14-2 SU (11.8 Units) in home games as a favorite of -200 or more over the last 2 seasons.

963SEATTLE -964 TAMPA BAY
TAMPA BAY is 35-14 SU (23.5 Units) vs. a starting pitcher with good control (less than 1.75 BB's/start) in the current season.

965LA ANGELS -966 TEXAS
TEXAS are 3-17 SU (-18.2 Units) vs. good defensive catchers - allowing 0.5 or less SB's/game in the second half of the season in the current season.
 

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MLB
Armadillo's Write-Up

Monday, August 2


NL games
Philadelphia (52-53) @ Washington (49-56)

? bullpen game

? Phillies are 6-9 in their last 15 games.
? Phillies are 31-21 at home, 21-32 on road.
? over 17-7 last 24 games.
? scored run in first inning: 35-105
? record in first 5 innings: 40-42-23

? Gray gave up 2 runs in 4 IP (79 PT) in his one start for LA.
? He also got 19 whiffs on 38 swings, which is good.
? Dodgers were 1-0 in his starts.
? under 1-0
? allowed run in first inning: 1-1
? record in first 5 innings: 0-0-1
? He hasn?t pitched against Philly.

? Washington is 7-13 in its last 20 games.
? Nationals are 5-8 in last 13 home games.
? under 7-4 last 11 games
? scored run in first inning: 35-104
? record in first 5 innings: 44-40-20

Mets (55-49) @ Miami (44-61)
? Megill is 1-0, 1.04 in his last five starts.
? Mets are 6-1 in his starts.
? under 5-2
? allowed run in first inning: 0-7
? record in first 5 innings: 5-1-1
? He hasn?t pitched against Miami.

? Mets are 20-24 in their last 44 games.
? Mets are 3-1 in last four road games.
? under 8-3-2 last 13 games.
? scored run in first inning: 27-104
? record in first 5 innings: 45-47-12

? Luzardo was 1-3, 6.75 in six starts for Oakland.
? He was 2-2, 6.52 in eight AAA starts since he was on IL.
? A?s were 3-3 in his starts.
? over 4-2
? allowed run in first inning: 1-6
? record in first 5 innings: 1-4-1
? He hasn?t pitched against the Mets.

? Marlins are 15-25 in their last 40 games.
? Miami is 3-8 in last 11 home games.
? under 6-1 last seven home games
? scored run in first inning: 24-105
? record in first 5 innings: 38-47-20

Pittsburgh (40-65) @ Milwaukee (63-43)
? Wilson was 2-3, 5.88 in eight starts for Atlanta.
? Braves were 2-5 in his starts.
? under 4-4
? allowed run in first inning: 4-8
? record in first 5 innings: 3-4
? He gave up 4 runs in 4 IP in his one start vs Milwaukee.

? Pirates is 4-9 in last 13 games.
? Pittsburgh is 4-9 in last 13 road games.
? over 17-8-1 last 26 games
? scored run in first inning: 29-104
? record in first 5 innings: 34-58-12

? Lauer is 2-1, 1.54 in his last four starts.
? Milwaukee is 4-6 in his starts.
? over 5-4-1
? allowed run in first inning: 3-10
? record in first 5 innings: 5-4-1
? He is 1-2, 3.13 in five starts vs Pittsburgh.

? Brewers are 10-4 in last 14 games.
? Milwaukee is 2-6 in last eight home games.
? under 7-1-1 last nine home games.
? scored run in first inning: 37-106
? record in first 5 innings: 52-34-20

San Francisco (66-39) @ Arizona (33-73)
? DeSclafani is 0-2, 6.14 in his last three starts.
? Giants are 14-7 in his starts.
? over 3-1 last four
? allowed run in first inning: 4-21
? record in first 5 innings: 11-7-3
? He is 2-0, 2.63 in two starts vs Arizona this year.

? Giants are 9-7 since All-Star break.
? Giants are 7-3 in last ten road games.
? Over is 6-4 in last 10 road games.
? scored run in first inning: 31-105
? record in first 5 innings: 57-35-13

? Widener is 0-1, 7.82 in his last three starts.
? Arizona is 4-4 in his starts.
? under 4-4
? allowed run in first inning: 1-8
? record in first 5 innings: 1-8
? He gave up 3 runs in 3.2 IP in two relief stints vs San Francisco.

? Arizona is 6-5 in its last 11 games.
? Arizona is 5-2 in its last seven home games.
? over 11-7 last 18 games
? scored run in first inning: 15-105
? record in first 5 innings: 38-59-8

AL games
Cleveland (51-51) @ Toronto (54-48)

? Morgan is 1-3, 7.86 in six starts.
? Indians are 3-3 in his starts.
? over 4-2
? allowed run in first inning: 1-6
? record in first 5 innings: 2-4
? He gave up 6 runs in 2.2 IP in a May 28 start vs Toronto.

? Cleveland is 11-21 in last 32 games.
? Indians is 4-10 in last 14 road games.
? over 9-5 last 14 road games
? scores run in first inning: 32-102
? record in first 5 innings: 37-49-16

? Ray is 3-1, 1.82 in his last four starts.
? Toronto is 5-2 in his last seven starts.
? under 7-4 last 11
? allowed run in first inning: 5-20
? record in first 5 innings: 12-5-3
? He threw a scoreless inning in relief vs Cleveland.

? Toronto won its last four games.
? Blue Jays are 3-0 in Toronto so far.
? Under is 7-2-1 in last ten games.
? scored run in first inning: 32-102
? record in first 5 innings: 11-5 last 16

Baltimore (37-67) @ Bronx (56-48)
? Lopez is 0-0, 7.94 in his last three starts.
? Orioles are 7-14 in his starts.
? under 13-8
? allowed run in first inning: 5-21
? record in first 5 innings: 5-12-4
? He is 0-2, 9.28 in three starts vs New York this year.

? Orioles are 9-5 in last 14 games.
? Baltimore is 20-36 on road, 17-31 at home.
? over is 43-24-1 in their last 65 games.
? scored run in first inning: 34-105
? record in first 5 innings: 35-54-16

? Heaney was 1-1, 4.76 in his last three starts for Anaheim.
? Angels were 7-11 in his starts.
? over 14-3-1
? allowed run in first inning: 7-18
? record in first 5 innings: 10-7-1
? He is 1-0, 5.40 in three starts vs Baltimore.

? New York is 15-6 in last 21 games.
? New York is 5-1 in last six home games.
? over 7-2-1 last 10 home games
? scored run in first inning: 24-104 (0 of last 19)
? record in first 5 innings: 43-40-21

Seattle (56-50) @ Tampa Bay (64-42)
? Flexen is 2-2, 3.86 in his last four starts.
? Mariners are 13-6 in his starts.
? over 11-8
? allowed run in first inning: 5-19
? record in first 5 innings: 10-8-1
? He gave up 5 runs in 3 IP in one start vs Tampa Bay.

? Seattle is 25-14 in its last 39 games.
? Seattle is 6-4 in last ten road games.
? over 6-2 last eight games
? scored run in first inning: 33-106
? record in first 5 innings: 48-49-9

? Wacha was 1-0, 4.05 in four July starts.
? Rays are 9-4 in his starts.
? over 3-1 last four
? allowed run in first inning: 3-13
? record in first 5 innings: 4-4-5
? He is 0-2, 8.25 in three starts vs Seattle.

? Tampa Bay won its last four games.
? Rays are 15-5 in last 20 home tilts.
? under is 8-5 last 13 home games.
? scored run in first inning: 34-106
? record in first 5 innings: 42-38-26

Angels (51-52) @ Texas (37-67)
? Suarez is 1-3, 9.64 in four starts.
? Angels are 1-3 in his starts.
? under 3-1
? allowed run in first inning: 2-4
? record in first 5 innings: 1-3
? He gave up 3 runs in 4 IP, in one start vs Texas.

? Angels lost four of last six games.
? Angels are 4-3 in last seven road games.
? under 9-4 last 13 games
? scored run in first inning: 35-105
? record in first 5 innings: 46-46-13

? Dunning is 1-1, 2.70 in his last four starts.
? Rangers are 4-1 in his last five starts.
? over 4-1 last five
? allowed run in first inning: 8-19
? record in first 5 innings: 8-9-3
? He is 0-2, 11.00 in two starts vs Anaheim this year.

? Texas lost 14 of last 17 games, but won last 2.
? Texas is 5-6 in last 11 home games.
? over 6-4-1 last 11 home games.
? scored run in first inning: 19-105
? record in first 5 innings: 33-58-14
 

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MLB

Monday, August 2


------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Trend Report
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

Cleveland @ Toronto
Cleveland
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Cleveland's last 5 games on the road
Cleveland is 7-2 ATS in its last 9 games on the road
Toronto
Toronto is 6-1 ATS in its last 7 games
Toronto is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games

Philadelphia @ Washington
Philadelphia
The total has gone OVER in 10 of Philadelphia's last 13 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Philadelphia's last 8 games when playing on the road against Washington
Washington
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Washington's last 8 games when playing at home against Philadelphia
Washington is 13-5 ATS in its last 18 games when playing at home against Philadelphia

Baltimore @ NY Yankees
Baltimore
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Baltimore's last 5 games
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Baltimore's last 5 games when playing on the road against NY Yankees
NY Yankees
NY Yankees is 12-1 SU in its last 13 games when playing at home against Baltimore
The total has gone UNDER in 9 of NY Yankees's last 10 games

NY Mets @ Miami
NY Mets
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of NY Mets's last 5 games when playing Miami
NY Mets is 6-3 ATS in its last 9 games when playing on the road against Miami
Miami
Miami is 8-1 ATS in its last 9 games when playing NY Mets
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Miami's last 7 games at home

Seattle @ Tampa Bay
Seattle
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Seattle's last 5 games when playing on the road against Tampa Bay
Seattle is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Tampa Bay
Tampa Bay
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Tampa Bay's last 5 games when playing at home against Seattle
Tampa Bay is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games

LA Angels @ Texas
LA Angels
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of LA Angels's last 5 games on the road
LA Angels is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing Texas
Texas
Texas is 7-2 ATS in its last 9 games when playing at home against LA Angels
Texas is 8-3 SU in its last 11 games when playing at home against LA Angels

Pittsburgh @ Milwaukee
Pittsburgh
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Pittsburgh's last 5 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 8 of Pittsburgh's last 11 games when playing Milwaukee
Milwaukee
Milwaukee is 9-1 ATS in its last 10 games when playing Pittsburgh
Milwaukee is 9-1 SU in its last 10 games when playing Pittsburgh

San Francisco @ Arizona
San Francisco
San Francisco is 12-1 SU in its last 13 games when playing Arizona
San Francisco is 7-1 SU in its last 8 games when playing on the road against Arizona
Arizona
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Arizona's last 5 games at home
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Arizona's last 5 games


------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
 

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Diamond Trends for Monday August 2
Vince Akins

SU Play ON Trend of the Day
Matchup: Seattle at Tampa Bay (7:10 p.m. ET)

-- The Rays are 10-0 SU since Sep 18, 2020 off a home game in which they left fewer than 10 men on base.

SU Play AGAINST Trend of the Day
Matchup: N.Y. Mets at Miami (7:10 p.m. ET)

-- The Marlins are 0-12 SU since May 21, 2021 off a game as a dog in which they scored first.

OU Trend of the Day
Matchup: San Francisco at Arizona (9:40 p.m. ET)

-- The Diamondbacks are 0-11-1 OU (-3.00 ppg) since Aug 14, 2017 in the first game of a series with no rest after they lost by at least five runs last game.

Starter-Based Trend of the Day
Matchup: Seattle at Tampa Bay (7:10 p.m. ET)

-- The Mariners are 7-0 OU (3.86 ppg) since Apr 11, 2021 when Chris Flexen starts as a road dog.

Trends are verified using Sports Data Query Language (SDQL)
 

Cnotes53

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MONDAY, AUGUST 2
GAME TIME(ET) PICK UNITS


PHI at WAS 07:05 PM
WAS +102
+500

BAL at NYY 07:05 PM
BAL +228
+500

SEA at TB 07:10 PM
TB -211
+500

PIT at MIL 08:10 PM
MIL -215
+500

SF at ARI 09:40 PM
SF -200
+500
 

Cnotes53

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MLB Aug Record Opinions & Best Bets !!

DATE W-L-T % UNITS RECORD

08/02/2021......4-3-0......57.14%......+8.05
08/01/2021..... 6-9-0 .....40.00% .....-24.35

Totals............10-12-0......45.45%.....-16.30


Best Bets:

08/02/2021............2 - 1...................+13.60
08/01/2021............1 - 6....................-24.90

Totals.....................3 - 7....................-11.00
 

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Tuesday?s 6-pack
Major league leaders in runs scored:
82? Vladimir Guerrero, Tor
81? Bo Bichette, Tor
80? Jose Altuve, Hst
78? Chris Taylor LA, Fernando Tatis, SD
77? Marcus Semien, Tor
76? Freddie Freeman, Atl

Quote of the Day.
?I don?t know why guys didn?t want to sign. I don?t know why guys didn?t want to even counteroffer, oftentimes. Every one of these guys would say they wanted to stay in Chicago, ?we wanted to be a Cub,? but then we would sit down and do negotiations, that wasn?t how they acted.?
Cubs? president Jed Hoyer, on why he made so many trades last week

Tuesday?s quiz
Where did Carson Wentz play his college football?

Monday?s quiz
Jose Abreu led the major leagues in total bases last year.

Sunday?s quiz
Mets have won the World Series twice; they beat the Orioles/Red Sox in those two series.

******************************

Tuesday?s Den: Trends for NFC trends?..

Arizona Cardinals:
? Last made playoffs in 2015
? 1-3-1 SU in last five season openers.
? Since 2015, they?re 9-18 ATS as home favorites.
? Since 2018, they?re 10-6-2 ATS as road underdogs.

Atlanta Falcons:
? Last 3 years, they?re 18-30 SU
? Lost last 3 openers by 6-16-13 points.
? Since 2015, they?re 20-27 ATS coming off a loss.
? Since 2017, they?re 2-7 ATS as road favorites.

Carolina Panthers:
? They went 17-2 in 2015, lost Super Bowl, are 34-47 since then.
? Since 2012, they?re 7-16-1 ATS as road favorites, 34-16 as road dogs.
? Last two years, Carolina is 4-11-1 ATS at home.
? Last four years, over is 20-12 in Panther home games.

Chicago Bears:
? Bears haven?t won a playoff game (0-2) since 2010.
? Chicago lost six of last seven season openers.
? Last two years, they?re 4-10-1 ATS off a loss.
? Last four years, under is 21-11 in their home games.

Dallas Cowboys:
? Over last 20 years, Dallas is 4-7 in playoff games.
? Last three years, Cowboys are 6-0 ATS as home underdogs.
? Last three years, over is 16-8 in their home games.
? Last 3 years, they?re 2-8 ATS as favorite of 3 or fewer points.

Detroit Lions:
? Last three years, they?re 14-33-1 SU, minus-20 in turnovers.
? Which is why they have a new GM, coach, QB.
? Last three years, they?re 7-15-1 ATS at home.
? Last two years, Lions are 6-13-2 ATS coming off a loss.
? Since 2014, they?re 9-19-1 ATS as a dog of 3 or fewer points.

Green Bay Packers
? Last two years, they?re 26-6 SU, with +24 turnover ratio.
? Packers are 30-18-2 ATS in last 50 games as a home favorite.
? Since 2015, under is their home games.
? Last nine years, they?re 14-21-1 ATS on artificial turf.

Los Angeles Rams
? McVay is 43-21 SU in four years with the Rams.
? 10 years before that, Rams were 46-113 SU.
? Last two years, under is 13-3 in their home games.
? Rams won/covered last four season openers.
? McVay?s first 2 years, Rams were +19 in turnovers; last two years, minus-3.

Minnesota Vikings:
? Did not having fans matter? Over was 7-1 in their home games LY; from 2016-19, under was 20-10-2 in Viking home games.
? Zimmer is 26-16-1 ATS as home favorite, despite going 1-6 LY.
? Last three years, they?re 8-15-1 ATS coming off a win.
? Since 2014, they?re 17-9 ATS as favorites of 3 or fewer points.

New Orleans Saints
? Last time Drew Brees wasn?t the Saints? QB? 2005 (Aaron Brooks)
? Last 4 years, Saints were 49-15 SU (+39 in turnovers, 3-4 in playoffs)
? Since 2014, over is 36-20 in the Superdome.
? Since 2015, they?re 20-9-1 ATS coming off a loss.

New Jersey Giants
? Last four years, Giants are 18-46 SU.
? Giants won Super Bowl in 2011; since then, they?re 0-1 in playoffs.
? Last 3 years, they?re 4-14 ATS as home underdogs, 16-4 as road dogs.
? Since 2016, under is 24-16 in their home games.

Philadelphia Eagles:
? Eagles won eight of last ten season openers.
? Last three years, they?re 5-13 ATS as home favorites.
? Since 2016, under is 28-12 in Philly home games.
? Last three years, they?re 8-16 ATS coming off a loss.

San Francisco 49ers
? 49ers made playoffs once in last seven years.
? Last three years, they?re 4-12-1 ATS as home favorites.
? Last two years, they?re 9-3 ATS as an underdog.
? Last four years, they?re 11-5 ATS vs AFC teams.

Seattle Seahawks
? Finished over .500 last nine years (9-7 in playoff games)
? Since 2012, underdogs are 17-6-3 ATS in their NFC West road games.
? Since 2011, they?re 31-16-4 ATS coming off a loss.
? Last 3 years, they?re 11-5-3 ATS in games with spread of 3 or less points.

Tampa Bay Buccaneers:
? Bucs were +8 in turnovers LY; previous two years, they were minus-31.
? Last four years, over is 23-9 in their road games.
? Since 2017, Bucs are 10-2-1 ATS as home dogs, 6-11-4 as road dogs.
? Bucs won Super Bowl in 2002 and last year; the 17 years in between, they were 0-2 in playoff games.

Washington
? Last 20 years, they?re 1-5 in playoffs; the win was in 2005.
? Last three years, they?re 12-8-1 ATS as road underdogs.
? Last three years, they?re 11-5 ATS coming off a win.
? Since 2015, they?re 26-15-1 ATS in games with spread of 3 or fewer points.
 

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901PHILADELPHIA -902 WASHINGTON
WASHINGTON is 17-32 SU (-20.9 Units) vs. NL teams scoring 4.5 or more runs/game on the season in the current season.

903NY METS -904 MIAMI
NY METS are 4-15 SU (-15.8 Units) in road games vs. NL teams scoring 4 or less runs/game on the season in the current season.

905PITTSBURGH -906 MILWAUKEE
MILWAUKEE is 44-26 SU (18.9 Units) vs. an NL team with a team batting average of .245 or worse in the current season.

907ATLANTA -908 ST LOUIS
ATLANTA is 17-4 SU (12.6 Units) in road games after scoring 1 run or less over the last 2 seasons.

909CHICAGO CUBS -910 COLORADO
COLORADO is 33-15 SU (21.8 Units) in home games vs. teams whose hitters strike out 7 or more times/game in the current season.

911SAN FRANCISCO -912 ARIZONA
ARIZONA is 10-29 SU (-21.7 Units) vs. an NL starting pitcher whose WHIP is 1.250 or better in the current season.

913BALTIMORE -914 NY YANKEES
NY YANKEES are 14-2 SU (11.8 Units) as a home favorite of -200 or more over the last 2 seasons.

915CLEVELAND -916 TORONTO
TORONTO is 8-1 SU (8.3 Units) in home games vs. good fielding teams - averaging <=0.6 errors/game in the second half of the season in the current season.

917SEATTLE -918 TAMPA BAY
TAMPA BAY is 41-27 SU (14 Units) vs. a team with a good bullpen whose WHIP is 1.350 or better in the current season.

919BOSTON -920 DETROIT
DETROIT is 11-2 SU (11.7 Units) in home games vs. an AL team with a batting average of .260 or worse in the second half of the season in the current season.
 

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MLB
Armadillo's Write-Up

Tuesday, August 3


NL games
Philadelphia (53-53) @ Washington (49-57)

? Wheeler is 2-1, 3.60 in his last three starts.
? Phillies are 12-9 in his starts.
? under 8-2 last ten
? allowed run in first inning: 5-21
? record in first 5 innings: 7-7-1
? He is 0-3, 3.86 in four starts vs Washington this year.

? Phillies are 7-9 in their last 16 games.
? Phillies are 31-21 at home, 22-32 on road.
? over 18-7 last 25 games.
? scored run in first inning: 35-106
? record in first 5 innings: 41-42-23

? Corbin is 0-2, 8.62 in his last three starts.
? Nationals are 9-11 in his starts.
? over 11-9
? allowed run in first inning: 9-20
? record in first 5 innings: 8-9-3
? He is 1-0, 3.75 in two starts vs Philly this year.

? Washington is 7-14 in its last 21 games.
? Nationals are 5-9 in last 14 home games.
? under 7-5 last 12 games
? scored run in first inning: 35-105
? record in first 5 innings: 44-41-20

Mets (55-50) @ Miami (45-61)
? Walker gave 17 runs in 9.1 IP in his last three starts.
? Mets are 14-5 in his starts.
? over 5-0 last five
? allowed run in first inning: 3-19
? record in first 5 innings: 10-7-2
? He is 0-1, 4.66 in two starts vs Miami.

? Mets are 20-25 in their last 45 games.
? Mets are 3-2 in last five road games.
? under 8-4-2 last 14 games.
? scored run in first inning: 27-105
? record in first 5 innings: 45-48-12

? Marlins haven?t named a starter.

? Marlins are 16-25 in their last 41 games.
? Miami is 4-8 in last 12 home games.
? under 6-2 last eight home games
? scored run in first inning: 25-106
? record in first 5 innings: 39-47-20

Pittsburgh (40-66) @ Milwaukee (64-43)
? Kranick is 1-2, 7.31 in four starts.
? Pirates are 1-3 in his starts.
? over 2-1-1
? allowed run in first inning: 2-4
? record in first 5 innings: 1-3
? He gave up 6 runs in five IP in July 28 start vs Milwaukee.

? Pirates are 4-14 in last 13 games.
? Pittsburgh is 4-10 in last 14 road games.
? over 17-9-1 last 27 games
? scored run in first inning: 29-105
? record in first 5 innings: 34-59-12

? Houser is 1-0, 0.80 in his last three starts (15 IP).
? Milwaukee is 8-7 in his starts.
? under 4-0-1 last five
? allowed run in first inning: 5-15
? record in first 5 innings: 6-6-3
? He is 2-0, 0.69 in two starts vs Pittsburgh this year.

? Brewers are 11-4 in last 15 games.
? Milwaukee is 3-6 in last nine home games.
? under 7-2-1 last ten home games.
? scored run in first inning: 37-107
? record in first 5 innings: 53-34-20

Atlanta (52-54) @ St Louis (53-52)
? Fried is 2-3, 4.66 in his last five starts.
? Braves are 8-9 in his starts.
? over 5-2 last seven
? allowed run in first inning: 8-17
? you?re reading armadillosports.com
? record in first 5 innings: 9-7-1
? He is 2-0, 0.61 in 3 games (2 starts) vs St Louis.

? Braves? last 16 games: WLWLWLWLWLWLWLWL.
? Atlanta is 8-5 in last 13 road games.
? under 6-4-1 last 11 games.
? scored run in first inning: 38-106
? record in first 5 innings: 53-39-14

? Lester is making his St Louis debut here.
? He was 1-2, 6.75 in last three starts for Washington.
? Nationals were 8-8 in his starts.
? over 6-1 last seven
? allowed run in first inning: 8-16
? record in first 5 innings: 7-6-3
? He is 0-1, 3.38 in two starts vs Atlanta this year.

? Cardinals are 17-11 in last 28 games.
? St Louis is 7-2 in its last nine home games.
? Under is 23-16-2 in their last 41 games.
? scored run in first inning: 33-105
? record in first 5 innings: 42-44-19

Cubs (51-56) @ Colorado (46-60)
? Davies is 1-2, 4.87 in his last four starts.
? Cubs are 1-5 in his last six starts.
? over 3-1-1 last five
? allowed run in first inning: 5-22
? record in first 5 innings: 9-11-2
? He is 4-2, 3.38 in seven starts vs Colorado.

? Cubs are 9-23 in last 32 games.
? Chicago is 2-6 in its last eight road games.
? Under is 8-5 in last 13 road games.
? scored run in first inning: 33-107
? record in first 5 innings: 45-49-13

? Freeland is 0-4, 2.92 in his last four starts.
? Rockies are 4-8 in his starts.
? under 7-0 last seven
? allowed run in first inning: 4-12
? you?re reading armadillosports.com
? record in first 5 innings: 3-6-3
? He is 0-2, 4.15 in two starts vs Chicago.

? Colorado is 21-19 in its last 40 games.
? Rockies are 33-20 at home, 13-40 on road.
? under 18-10 last 28 games.
? scored run in first inning: 33-107
? record in first 5 innings: 42-49-16

San Francisco (67-39) @ Arizona (33-74)
? Cueto is 1-0, 2.30 in his last three starts.
? Giants are 3-6 in his last nine starts.
? under 8-2 last ten
? allowed run in first inning: 4-17
? record in first 5 innings: 7-8-3
? He is 0-1, 8.10 in two starts vs Arizona this year.

? Giants are 10-7 since All-Star break.
? Giants are 8-3 in last 11 road games.
? Over is 7-4 in last 11 road games.
? scored run in first inning: 31-106
? record in first 5 innings: 58-35-13

? Ex-Giant Bumgarner is 1-1, 3.50 in his last three starts.
? Arizona is 6-9 in his starts.
? over 9-6
? allowed run in first inning: 6-15
? record in first 5 innings: 6-8-1
? He gave up 2 runs in 4 IP, in his one start vs his old team.

? Arizona is 6-6 in its last 12 games.
? Arizona is 5-3 in its last eight home games.
? over 12-7 last 19 games
? scored run in first inning: 15-106
? record in first 5 innings: 38-60-8

AL games
Cleveland (52-51) @ Toronto (54-49)

? Plesac is 2-0, 4.08 in his last three starts.
? Indians are 7-3 in his last ten starts.
? over 5-1 last six
? allowed run in first inning: 4-14
? record in first 5 innings: 5-7-2
? He hasn?t pitched against Toronto.

? Cleveland is 12-21 in last 33 games.
? Indians are 5-10 in last 15 road games.
? over 9-6 last 15 road games
? scores run in first inning: 32-103
? record in first 5 innings: 38-49-16

? Ryu is 3-0, 1.61 in his last four starts.
? Toronto is 6-1 in his last seven starts.
? over 9-3 last 12
? allowed run in first inning: 6-20
? record in first 5 innings: 12-7-1
? He is 1-0, 3.00 in two starts vs Cleveland.

? Toronto won four of last five games.
? Blue Jays are 3-1 in Toronto so far.
? Under is 8-2-1 in last 11 games.
? scored run in first inning: 32-103
? record in first 5 innings: 11-6 last 17

Baltimore (38-67) @ Bronx (56-49)
? Wells is 0-1, 5.91 in his first two starts.
? Orioles are 0-2 in his starts.
? under 1-1
? allowed run in first inning: 2-2
? record in first 5 innings: 0-1-1
? He hasn?t pitched against New York.

? Orioles are 10-5 in last 15 games.
? Baltimore is 21-36 on road, 17-31 at home.
? over is 43-25-1 in their last 69 games.
? scored run in first inning: 34-105
? record in first 5 innings: 35-54-16

? Cole tested positive for COVID, will miss this start.
? Most likely a bullpen game.

? New York is 15-7 in last 22 games.
? New York is 5-2 in last seven home games.
? over 7-3-1 last 11 home games
? scored run in first inning: 24-105 (0 of last 20)
? record in first 5 innings: 43-41-21

Boston (63-44) @ Detroit (51-57)
? Richards is 2-1, 5.95 in his last four starts.
? Boston is 11-9 in his starts.
? over 7-1-1 last nine
? allowed run in first inning: 11-20
? record in first 5 innings: 7-9-4
? He is 2-2, 3.46 in 8 games (3 starts) vs Detroit.

? Boston lost its last four games.
? Red Sox are 8-12 in last 20 road games.
? under 8-3 last 11 games
? scored run in first inning: 36-107
? record in first 5 innings: 48-43-16

? Peralta is 0-1, 11.00 in his last two starts.
? Tigers are 4-4 in his starts.
? over 4-4
? allowed run in first inning: 0-8
? record in first 5 innings: 6-1-1
? He gave up 9 runs in 11.2 IP, in 4 games (2 starts) vs Boston.

? Detroit is 4-6 in its last ten games.
? Detroit is 3-9 in last 12 road games.
? over 28-19-1 last 48 games
? scored run in first inning: 24-108
? record in first 5 innings: 9-6 last 15.

Seattle (57-50) @ Tampa Bay (64-43)
? Kikuchi is 0-3, 8.02 in his last four starts.
? Mariners are 9-10 in his starts.
? over 6-3 last nine
? allowed run in first inning: 5-19
? record in first 5 innings: 10-7-2
? He gave up a run in 7 IP, in his one start vs Tampa Bay.

? Seattle is 26-14 in its last 40 games.
? Seattle is 7-4 in last 11 road games.
? over 7-2 last nine games
? scored run in first inning: 33-107
? record in first 5 innings: 49-49-9

? Patino is 1-2, 5.74 in six starts.
? Rays are 3-3 in his starts.
? over 3-1 last four
? allowed run in first inning: 2-6
? record in first 5 innings: 1-5
? He is 0-0, 3.38 in 2 games (1 start) vs Seattle.

? Tampa Bay won four of last five games.
? Rays are 15-6 in last 21 home tilts.
? under is 8-6 last 14 home games.
? scored run in first inning: 34-107
? record in first 5 innings: 42-39-26

Angels (51-53) @ Texas (38-67)
? Suarez is 1-3, 9.64 in four starts.
? Angels are 1-3 in his starts.
? under 3-1
? allowed run in first inning: 2-4
? record in first 5 innings: 1-3
? He gave up 3 runs in 4 IP, in one start vs Texas.

? Angels lost five of last seven games.
? Angels are 4-4 in last eight road games.
? under 10-4 last 14 games
? scored run in first inning: 35-106
? record in first 5 innings: 46-47-13

? Lyles is 0-2, 6.00 in his last three starts.
? Rangers are 9-12 in his starts.
? under 9-6 last 15
? allowed run in first inning: 9-21
? record in first 5 innings: 7-13-1
? He is 0-2, 10.38 in two starts vs Anaheim this year.

? Texas won last three games, after a 1-15 skid.
? Texas is 6-6 in last 12 home games.
? over 6-5-1 last 12 home games.
? scored run in first inning: 19-106
? record in first 5 innings: 34-58-14

Kansas City (45-59) @ White Sox (62-44)
? Bubic is 1-0, 2.25 in his last two starts.
? Kansas City is 7-3 in starts.
? over 6-2 last eight
? allowed run in first inning: 5-10
? record in first 5 innings: 3-6-1
? He is 0-2, 2.57 in 5 games (4 starts) vs Chicago.

? Royals lost their last three games.
? Royals are 2-12 in last 14 road games.
? under 10-1-2 last 13 games.
? scores run in first inning: 21-104
? record in first 5 innings: 38-53-13

? Cease is 0-3, 5.67 in his last five starts.
? Chicago is 12-9 in his starts.
? over 11-8-2
? allowed run in first inning: 7-21
? record in first 5 innings: 8-9-4
? He is 0-0, 2.76 in three starts vs Kansas City this year.

? Chicago is 4-7 in its last 11 games.
? White Sox are 10-4 in last 14 home games.
? over 10-3 last 13 home games.
? scored run in first inning: 28-106
? record in first 5 innings: 58-31-17

Interleague games
Minnesota (44-62) @ Cincinnati (56-50)

? Maeda is 0-1, 2.70 in his last four starts.
? Twins are 5-12 in his starts.
? under 9-8
? allowed run in first inning: 3-17
? record in first 5 innings: 5-6-6
? He is 2-1, 3.54 in 4 games (3 starts) vs Cincinnati.

? Minnesota is 5-12 in its last 17 games.
? Twins are 4-12 in last 16 road games.
? over 5-1 last six games
? scored run in first inning: 37-106
? record in first 5 innings: 32-52-22

? Mahle is 1-0, 3.95 in his last five starts.
? Reds are 14-7 in his starts.
? under 7-4-1 last 12
? allowed run in first inning: 6-21
? you?re reading armadillosports.com
? record in first 5 innings: 13-4-4
? He is 1-0, 3.55 in three starts vs Minnesota.

? Cincinnati split its last 16 games.
? Reds are 3-6 in last nine home games.
? over 6-3 last nine home games
? scored run in first inning: 32-106
? record in first 5 innings: 48-43-16

San Diego (62-47) @ Oakland (60-47)
? Snell is 1-1, 6.00 in his last four starts.
? Rockies are 9-10 in his starts.
? over 11-8
? allowed run in first inning: 5-19
? you?re reading armadillosports.com
? record in first 5 innings: 7-10-2
? He is 1-1, 5.31 in four starts vs Oakland.

? Padres are 8-7 in their last 15 games.
? San Diego is 6-4 in last 10 road games.
? over 6-0 last six games
? scored run in first inning: 32-108
? record in first 5 innings: 43-47-17

? Manaea is 2-0, 0.69 in his last two starts.
? A?s are 14-7 in his starts.
? under 7-4 last 11
? allowed run in first inning: 5-21
? record in first 5 innings: 11-6-4
? He is 2-0, 1.50 in three starts vs San Diego.

? A?s won four of last five games.
? Oakland is 11-6 in last 17 home games.
? Under is 21-11 in their last 32 games.
? scored run in first inning: 32-107
? record in first 5 innings: 47-40-20

Houston (64-42) @ Dodgers (64-42)
? McCullers is 2-0, 4.50 in his last three starts.
? Astros are 11-6 in his last 17 starts.
? over 9-7-1
? allowed run in first inning: 5-17
? record in first 5 innings: 10-6-1
? He is 0-0, 1.64 in two starts vs LA.

? Astros are 8-4 in last 12 games.
? Astros are 9-4 in last 13 road games.
? over 15-9 in last 24 games
? scored run in first inning: 38-106
? record in first 5 innings: 58-34-14

? Buehler is 3-0, 0.99 in his last four starts.
? Dodgers are 14-7 in his starts.
? over 4-1 last five
? allowed run in first inning: 5-21
? record in first 5 innings: 10-6-5
? He is 1-0, 4.00 in two starts vs Houston.

? Dodgers are 5-3 in last eight games.
? Dodgers are 5-5 in last 10 home games.
? over 4-1 last five games
? scored run in first inning: 33-106
? record in first 5 innings: 55-33-18
 

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MLB

Tuesday, August 3


------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Trend Report
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

Philadelphia @ Washington
Philadelphia
Philadelphia is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Washington
Philadelphia is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Washington
Washington
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Washington's last 5 games
The total has gone OVER in 7 of Washington's last 10 games at home

Baltimore @ NY Yankees
Baltimore
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Baltimore's last 5 games
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Baltimore's last 5 games on the road
NY Yankees
The total has gone UNDER in 10 of NY Yankees's last 11 games
NY Yankees is 12-2 SU in its last 14 games when playing at home against Baltimore

Cleveland @ Toronto
Cleveland
Cleveland is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games
Cleveland is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games on the road
Toronto
Toronto is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games
Toronto is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games

Minnesota @ Cincinnati
Minnesota
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Minnesota's last 6 games
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Minnesota's last 6 games when playing Cincinnati
Cincinnati
Cincinnati is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Cincinnati's last 6 games when playing Minnesota

Boston @ Detroit
Boston
Boston is 7-1 ATS in its last 8 games when playing Detroit
Boston is 7-1 SU in its last 8 games when playing Detroit
Detroit
The total has gone OVER in 7 of Detroit's last 8 games when playing Boston
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Detroit's last 7 games at home

NY Mets @ Miami
NY Mets
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of NY Mets's last 6 games when playing Miami
The total has gone OVER in 4 of NY Mets's last 6 games on the road
Miami
Miami is 9-1 ATS in its last 10 games when playing NY Mets
Miami is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing NY Mets

Seattle @ Tampa Bay
Seattle
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Seattle's last 5 games when playing on the road against Tampa Bay
Seattle is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Tampa Bay
Tampa Bay
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Tampa Bay's last 5 games when playing at home against Seattle
Tampa Bay is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games at home

LA Angels @ Texas
LA Angels
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of LA Angels's last 5 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of LA Angels's last 5 games when playing on the road against Texas
Texas
Texas is 8-2 ATS in its last 10 games when playing at home against LA Angels
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Texas's last 5 games when playing at home against LA Angels

Kansas City @ Chi White Sox
Kansas City
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Kansas City's last 5 games when playing Chi White Sox
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Kansas City's last 8 games
Chi White Sox
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Chi White Sox's last 5 games when playing Kansas City
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Chi White Sox's last 7 games when playing at home against Kansas City

Pittsburgh @ Milwaukee
Pittsburgh
The total has gone OVER in 8 of Pittsburgh's last 12 games when playing Milwaukee
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Pittsburgh's last 6 games on the road
Milwaukee
Milwaukee is 10-1 SU in its last 11 games when playing Pittsburgh
Milwaukee is 10-1 ATS in its last 11 games when playing Pittsburgh

Atlanta @ St. Louis
Atlanta
Atlanta is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games on the road
Atlanta is 8-2 ATS in its last 10 games
St. Louis
St. Louis is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of St. Louis's last 5 games when playing at home against Atlanta

Chi Cubs @ Colorado
Chi Cubs
Chi Cubs is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Chi Cubs's last 7 games
Colorado
The total has gone UNDER in 11 of Colorado's last 12 games at home
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Colorado's last 7 games

San Francisco @ Arizona
San Francisco
San Francisco is 13-1 SU in its last 14 games when playing Arizona
San Francisco is 8-1 SU in its last 9 games when playing on the road against Arizona
Arizona
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Arizona's last 5 games at home
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Arizona's last 6 games

San Diego @ Oakland
San Diego
The total has gone OVER in 6 of San Diego's last 7 games
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of San Diego's last 6 games on the road
Oakland
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Oakland's last 6 games at home
Oakland is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games

Houston @ LA Dodgers
Houston
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Houston's last 6 games
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Houston's last 6 games on the road
LA Dodgers
The total has gone OVER in 4 of LA Dodgers's last 5 games
LA Dodgers is 5-2 SU in its last 7 games when playing Houston


------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
 

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Diamond Trends for Tuesday August 3
Vince Akins

SU Play ON Trend of the Day
Matchup: Kansas City at Chi. White Sox (8:10 p.m. ET)

-- The White Sox are 14-0 SU since Jul. 13, 2018 in the first game of a series as a favorite with rest after they allowed 6 or fewer hits last game.

SU Play AGAINST Trend of the Day
Matchup: Chi. Cubs at Colorado (8:40 p.m. ET)

-- The Cubs are 0-11 SU since May 12, 2021 as a dog off a loss as a dog win which they held the lead.

OU Trend of the Day
Matchup: San Francisco at Arizona (9:40 p.m. ET)

-- The Diamondbacks are 10-0 OU (2.40 ppg) since Apr. 9, 2021 at home vs a team that has won at least their last three games.

Starter-Based Trend of the Day
Matchup: Atlanta at St. Louis (8:15 p.m. ET)

-- The Braves are 12-0 SU since Aug. 1, 2019 when Max Fried starts in the month of August.

Trends are verified using Sports Data Query Language (SDQL)
 
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