Cnotes 2021 Major League Baseball Transactions, News, Notes, Picks Etc. !!

[Cnotes53]

2021 WORLD SERIES CONTENDERS
Los Angeles Dodgers (NL) +400
Houston Astros (AL) +475
San Francisco Giants (NL) +600
Tampa Bay Rays (AL) +650
Chicago White Sox (AL) +700
Milwaukee Brewers (NL) +800
New York Yankees (AL) +1200
Atlanta Braves (NL) +1200
Boston Red Sox (AL) +1400
St. Louis Cardinals (NL) +2500

2021 WORLD SERIES ODDS CONTENDERS
ODDS TO WIN 2021 MLB WORLD SERIES
Team Odds
Los Angeles Dodgers +400
Houston Astros +475
San Francisco Giants +600
Tampa Bay Rays +650
Chicago White Sox +700
Milwaukee Brewers +800
Atlanta Braves +1200
New York Yankees +1200
Boston Red Sox +1400
St. Louis Cardinals +2500

Updated Mon., Oct. 4 - 2:00 PM ET - Odds Provided by BetMGM - Subject to Change


2021 NATIONAL LEAGUE PENNANT ODDS
ODDS TO WIN 2021 MLB NATIONAL LEAGUE PENNANT
Team Odds
Los Angeles Dodgers +200
San Francisco Giants +250
Milwaukee Brewers +325
Atlanta Braves +500
St. Louis Cardinals +1200

2021 AMERICAN LEAGUE PENNANT ODDS
ODDS TO WIN 2021 MLB AMERICAN LEAGUE PENNANT
Team Odds
Houston Astros +225
Tampa Bay Rays +275
Chicago White Sox +300
New York Yankees +550
Boston Red Sox +600

MLB POSTSEASON ALTERNATIVE BETTING MARKETS

2021 WORLD SERIES FORECAST BETTING ODDS
Houston vs. L.A. Dodgers +550
Tampa Bay vs. L.A. Dodgers +750
Chi. White Sox vs. L.A. Dodgers +800
Houston vs. San Francisco +800
Houston vs. Milwaukee +1100
Tampa Bay vs. San Francisco +1100
Chi. White Sox vs. San Francisco +1200
Tampa Bay vs. MIlwaukee +1600
Chi. White Sox vs. Milwaukee +1600
Houston vs. Atlanta +1600
Boston vs. L.A. Dodgers +1600
N.Y. Yankees vs. San Francisco +2000
Tampa Bay vs. Atlanta +2200
Boston vs. San Francisco +2200
Chi. White Sox vs. Atlanta +2200
Boston vs. Milwaukee +3000
Houston vs. St. Louis +3500
N.Y. Yankees vs. Atlanta +3500
Tampa Bay vs. St. Louis +4000
Chi. White Sox vs. St. Louis +4000
Boston vs. Atlanta +4000
Boston vs. St. Louis +8000
N.Y. Yankees vs. St. Louis +8000

2021 WORLD SERIES EXACT FORECAST BETTING ODDS
Houston over L.A. Dodgers +1200
L.A. Dodgers over Houston +1200
L.A. Dodgers over Tampa Bay +1600
Tampa Bay over L.A. Dodgers +1600
Chi. White Sox over L.A. Dodgers +1800
Houston over San Francisco +1800
L.A. Dodgers over Chi. White Sox +1800
San Francisco over Houston +1800
Houston over Milwaukee +2200
Milwaukee over Houston +2200
San Francisco over Tampa Bay +2200
Tampa Bay over San Francisco +2200
Chi. White Sox over San Francisco +2500
San Francisco over Chi. White Sox +2500
Chi. White Sox over Milwaukee +3000
L.A. Dodgers over N.Y. Yankees +3000
Milwaukee over Chi. White Sox +3000
Milwaukee over Tampa Bay +3000
N.Y. Yankees over L.A. Dodgers +3000
Tampa Bay over Milwaukee +3000
Atlanta over Houston +3500
Boston over L.A. Dodgers +3500
Houston over Atlanta +3500
L.A. Dodgers over Boston +3500
Atlanta over Tampa Bay +4000
Chi. White Sox over Atlanta +4000
N.Y. Yankees over San Francisco +4000
San Francisco over N.Y. Yankees +4000
Tampa Bay over Atlanta +4000
Atlanta over Chi. White Sox +5000
Boston over San Francisco +5000
Milwaukee over N.Y. Yankees +5000
N.Y. Yankees over Milwaukee +5000
San Francisco over Boston +5000
Boston over Milwaukee +6600
Houston over St. Louis +6600
Milwaukee over Boston +6600
St. Louis over Houston +6600
Atlanta over Booston +8000
Atlanta over N.Y. Yankees +8000
Boston over Atlanta +8000
N.Y. Yankees over Atlanta +8000
St. Louis over Tampa Bay +8000
Tampa Bay over St. Louis +8000
Chi. White Sox over St. Louis +10000
St. Louis over Chi. White Sox +10000
Boston over St. Louis +15000
N.Y. Yankees over St. Louis +15000
St. Louis over Boston +15000
St. Louis over N.Y. Yankees +15000

The Houston Astros begin the 2021 MLB Postseason with the best American League odds to win the World Series at +475 with BetMGM. (AP)

MLB POSTSEASON HISTORY
The Los Angeles Dodgers defeated the Tampa Bay Rays in six games of the 2020 World Series.

 

[Udog]

MLB
Armadillo's Write-Up

Tuesday, October 5

AL Wild Card Game
Bronx (92-70) @ Boston (92-70)
? Cole is 2-2, 6.49 in his last five starts.
? New York is 16-14 in his starts.
? over 14-14-2
? He is 1-1, 5.32 in four starts vs Boston this year.
? He is 8-4, 2.68 in 13 postseason starts.

? New York is 14-7 in its last 21 games.
? New York is 7-2 in last nine road games.
? New York is in playoffs for fifth year in row.
? Their last World Series title was in 2009.

? Eovaldi is 1-1, 4.21 in his last five starts.
? Boston is 19-13 in his starts.
? over 8-4 last 12
? He is 2-2, 3.97 in six starts vs New York this year.
? He is 2-1, 1.61 in six playoff games (2 starts)

? Boston is 4-5 in its last nine games.
? Red Sox lost their last three home games.
? Boston is in playoffs for first time since 2018.
? Red Sox won the World Series in 2018.

? Boston was 10-9 vs New York this year, 6-4 at Fenway

 

[Udog]

Wild Card Betting Cheat Sheet
Kevin Rogers

Heading into the final day of the regular season, there was a possibility that a maximum of three play-in games would be scheduled depending on different win/loss combinations.

However, it all broke right where none of those games would be played as the two Wild Card games coming up on Tuesday and Wednesday will have two excellent teams get eliminated.

In the American League, it's old BFF's getting together at Fenway Park as the Red Sox host the Yankees for the right to face another division rival in the Rays coming up in the ALDS.

The National League pits the 106-win Dodgers against the red-hot Cardinals in Los Angeles as the defending champions hope to avoid getting bounced in the first postseason contest.

American League Wild Card Game

New York Yankees at Boston Red Sox

Tuesday - 8:08 p.m. ET - ESPN
Fenway Park - Boston, Massachusetts

Starting Pitchers

NYY: Gerrit Cole (16-8, 3.23 ERA)
BOS: Nathan Eovaldi (11-9, 3.75 ERA)

Opening Odds

N.Y. Yankees ML -115
Boston ML -105
N.Y. Yankees (-1.5) -135
Boston (+1.5) -165
Over (8.5) -115
Under (8.5) -105

The Yankees and Red Sox finished with identical 92-70 records on the season, but Boston held the tie-breaker edge by winning 10 of 19 meetings.

However, it was tale of two halves when these rivals met as Boston captured the first seven matchups, including a pair of sweeps.

New York rebounded by winning nine of the final 12 contests, including two sweeps since August, capped off by a three-game broom job at Fenway Park in late September.

Gerrit Cole is seeking his first World Series ring, as the Yankees' right-hander is 7-2 in 10 career playoff starts, while New York went 2-1 in his three postseason outings in 2020.

The Yankees posted a 2-2 record in Cole's four starts against the Red Sox this season, which included a 1-2 mark at Fenway. The lone win came in his previous outing on September 24, an 8-3 triumph in Beantown in which he allowed three earned runs in six innings.

One-time Yankee Nathan Eovaldi gets the ball for the Red Sox in this winner-take-all matchup as Boston is 7-1 in his past eight starts. The only loss came opposite Cole and the Yankees in that 8-3 defeat, as Eovaldi was touched up for seven runs in less than three innings of work.

The Sox lost four of Eovaldi's six starts against the Yankees this season, as five of those games finished Under the total.

Gerrit Cole heads to the mound on Tuesday night as the Yankees face the Red Sox in the AL Wild Card game. (AP)

National League Wild Card Game

St. Louis Cardinals at Los Angeles Dodgers

Wednesday - 8:10 p.m. ET - TBS
Dodger Stadium - Los Angeles, California

Starting Pitchers

STL: Adam Wainwright (17-7, 3.05 ERA)
LAD: Max Scherzer (15-4, 2.46 ERA)

Opening Odds

St. Louis ML +180
L.A. Dodgers ML -225
St. Louis (+1.5) -115
L.A. Dodgers (-1.5) -105
Over (7.5) -110
Under (7.5) -110

It's crazy to think that the Dodgers won 106 games, but can be eliminated in one fell swoop if they get tripped up by the Cardinals on Wednesday.

St. Louis looked like it was heading to a .500 season on September 7 after losing at home to Los Angeles to fall to 69-68. However, the Cardinals would lose only four games the rest of the way as they rolled to a 21-2 record in a 23-game span before dropping a pair of meaningless games to the Cubs.

The Dodgers captured four of seven regular season meetings from the Cardinals, including winning two of three matchups at Chavez Ravine in early June.

St. Louis native and Cy Yound favorite Max Scherzer was brought to Los Angeles to help bolster its already loaded rotation. Scherzer hasn't been a contributor in L.A., he's been an absolute horse as the Dodgers are 11-0 in his 11 starts, while nine of those wins came by two runs or more.

Opposing Scherzer is another veteran in Adam Wainwright, who returned to ace status as the Cardinals won 13 of his final 14 starts of the season. Ten times during this 14-start span Wainwright allowed two earned runs or less, while defeating the Dodgers at Busch Stadium in early September, 5-4.

The Dodgers have not played in the Wild Card game since the format was adopted in 2012, while the Cardinals haven't been in this best-of-one situation since the 2012 debut season when they bounced the Braves in Atlanta.

 

[Udog]

MLB
Weather Report

Tuesday, October 5

 

[Cnotes53]

TUESDAY, OCTOBER 5
Game Time(ET) Pick Units

NYY at BOS 08:08 PM
BOS +118
O 7.5
+500 +500

 

[Cnotes53]

MAJOR LEAGUE BASEBALL OPINIONS AND BETS THRU THE WORLD SERIES !

Date W-L-T % Units Record

10/05/2021 2-0-0 100.00% +10.90


BEST BETS:

Date W-L-T % Units Record

ATS: 10/05/2021 1-0-0 100.00% +5.90

O/U: 10/05/2021 1-0-0 100.00% +5.00

TOTALS......................2-0-0........100.00%... +10.90

 

[Udog]

Wednesday?s 6-pack
Andy Katz?s top 6 non-conference games, college basketball:
Nov 23? Gonzaga vs UCLA in Las Vegas
Nov 9? Kentucky vs Duke, in NYC.
Nov 12? Villanova @ UCLA
Nov 13? Texas @ Gonzaga
Nov 26? Gonzaga vs Duke in Las Vegas
Dec 14? Alabama @ Memphis

Quote of the Day
?We knew once we hit him a few times, he really gets shook. And you saw on [Covington?s] sack. He was pretty much curling into a ball before we even got back there. Great dude, great player??.. But we know once you get pressure on him, he kind of shuts down.?
Chargers DE Joey Bosa, talking about Raiders? QB Derek Carr

Wednesday?s quiz
Where did Falcons? QB Matt Ryan play his college football?

Tuesday?s quiz
Retired pro tennis star Billie Jean King once played a judge on Law and Order.

Monday?s quiz
2014 was the last time Clemson was out of the college football top 25.

***********************************

Wednesday?s Den: NFL Facts and Figures??

13) Dallas Cowboys scored 77 points in two home games (2-0), scoring10 TD?s on 21 drives; they?re 4-0 ATS overall. Dallas is already +7 in turnovers.

12) Kansas City Chiefs split first four games, despite scoring 17 TD?s on 33 drives- they?ve converted 25 of 39 third down plays. Unfortunately for the Chiefs, KC opponents have scored 16 TD?s on 34 drives.

11) Best teams in the red zone so far:
Seattle 6.60 points/drive, Saints 6.42, Bengals 6.00.

Worst teams in the red zone so far:
Giants 3.50, Colts 4.00, Patriots 4.18

10) Best teams on drives that start 75+ yards from goal line:
Chiefs 3.95, Rams 3.72, Washington 3.27

teams on drives that start 75+ yards from goal line:
Jets 0.84, Falcons 0.86, Patriots 0.90

9) Most plays of 20+ yards:
Raiders 27, Ravens 26, Buccaneers 24

Fewest plays of 20+ yards:
Saints 5, Bears/Miami 11 each

8) Green Bay Packers won last three games, scoring 30.7 ppg- they scored 11 TD?s on 28 drives in those games. Packers have converted 19-35 on 3rd down; they?re +6 in turnovers in their last six games.

7) Arizona is the NFL?s only unbeaten team, scoring 35 ppg; they?ve scored 16 TD?s on 43 drives, have a +5 turnover ratio. Cardinals have outscored opponents 61-30 in second half of games.

6) Buffalo scored 14 TD?s on its last 43 drives, scoring 39.3 ppg in last three games. Bills have converted 29-58 third down plays. 8 of their last 14 TD drives were shorter than 60 yards.

5) Home side won/covered all four of Chicago?s games; Bears? offense has only three TD?s on its last 27 drives. Last two games, Chicago converted 2-19 third down plays.

4) Cleveland Browns have outscored opponents 25-0 in last 2:00 of each half; Browns? defense has allowed only one TD on last 20 drives.

3) Atlanta Falcons allowed 32+ points in three of four games this season; their last two games were decided by total of 7 points. Surprisingly, Atlanta has outscored opponents 30-12 in last 2:00 of each half.

2) Detroit Lions have been outscored 69-27 in first half of games, 24-0 in last two; home side covered all four of their games.

1) Rookie quarterbacks are 5-11 ATS this season; first-time head coaches are 10-18.

 

[Udog]

ST LOUIS are 29-12 SU (16.1 Units) in road games vs. teams whose hitters strike out 7 or more times/game in the second half of the current season.




MLB
Dunkel

Wednesday, October 6






MLB
Armadillo's Write-Up

Wednesday, October 6

NL Wild Card Game
St Louis (90-72) @ Los Angeles (106-56)
? Wainwright is 10-1, 2.21 in his last 14 starts.
? St Louis is 22-10 in his starts.
? over 5-2 last seven
? He is 7-5, 2.66 in 14 starts vs LA.
? He is 4-5, 2.89 in 28 postseason games (15 starts).

? St Louis is 20-3 in its last 23 games.
? Cardinals won their last 11 road games.
? St Louis is in playoffs for third year in row.
? Their last World Series title was in 2011.

? Scherzer is 7-0, 2.24 in 11 starts for LA.
? Dodgers are 11-0 in his starts.
? under 6-5
? He is 4-6, 2.76 in 13 starts vs St Louis.
? He is 7-5, 3.38 in 18 playoff starts.

? LA is 7-0 in its last seven games.
? Dodgers scored 34 runs in last four runs.
? Dodgers won their last 15 home games.
? LA is in playoffs for ninth year in a row.
? Dodgers won World Series LY, their first title since 1988.

? Dodgers are 4-3 vs St Louis this year, 2-1 at home.




MLB

Wednesday, October 6

------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Trend Report
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

St. Louis @ LA Dodgers
St. Louis
St. Louis is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games on the road
St. Louis is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games on the road
LA Dodgers
LA Dodgers is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games at home
LA Dodgers is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home


------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

 

[Udog]

MLB
Long Sheet

Wednesday, October 6

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

ST LOUIS (90 - 72) at LA DODGERS (106 - 56) - 8:10 PM
ADAM WAINWRIGHT (R) vs. MAX SCHERZER (R)
Top Trends for this game.
LA DODGERS are 44-12 (+19.0 Units) against the money line as a home favorite of -175 to -250 over the last 2 seasons.
SCHERZER is 22-8 (+12.5 Units) against the money line in all games this season. (Team's Record)
ST LOUIS is 90-72 (+17.2 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
ST LOUIS is 45-36 (+16.0 Units) against the money line in road games this season.
ST LOUIS is 56-49 (+5.5 Units) against the money line in night games this season.
ST LOUIS is 66-59 (+6.0 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters this season.
ST LOUIS is 54-45 (+12.2 Units) against the money line after a loss over the last 2 seasons.
ST LOUIS is 30-27 (+11.5 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record this season.
ST LOUIS is 23-13 (+16.5 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record in the second half of the season this season.
WAINWRIGHT is 22-10 (+12.3 Units) against the money line in all games this season. (Team's Record)
WAINWRIGHT is 21-11 (+11.4 Units) against the money line in road games over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
WAINWRIGHT is 38-15 (+19.8 Units) against the money line when playing on Wednesday since 1997. (Team's Record)
WAINWRIGHT is 73-46 (+22.1 Units) against the money line in road games in night games since 1997. (Team's Record)
WAINWRIGHT is 13-2 (+11.4 Units) against the money line after a loss over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
WAINWRIGHT is 101-68 (+23.4 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record since 1997. (Team's Record)
LA DODGERS are 209-215 (-65.0 Units) against the money line when playing on Wednesday since 1997.

Head-to-Head Series History
ST LOUIS is 3-4 (+0.4 Units) against LA DODGERS this season
3 of 6 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL this season . (Over=-0.2 Units, Under=-0.3 Units)

ADAM WAINWRIGHT vs. LA DODGERS since 1997
WAINWRIGHT is 7-6 when starting against LA DODGERS with an ERA of 3.01 and a WHIP of 1.126.
His team's record is 10-7 (+3.3 units) in these starts. The OVER is 6-11. (-6.0 units)

MAX SCHERZER vs. ST LOUIS since 1997
SCHERZER is 5-6 when starting against ST LOUIS with an ERA of 2.55 and a WHIP of 0.982.
His team's record is 8-6 (-0.6 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 9-3. (+5.9 units)

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

 

[Udog]

MLB
Weather Report

Wednesday, October 6

 

[Cnotes53]

WEDNESDAY, OCTOBER 6
Game Time(ET) Pick Units

STL at LAD 08:10 PM
STL +204
O 7.0
+500 +500

 

[Cnotes53]

MAJOR LEAGUE BASEBALL OPINIONS AND BETS THRU THE WORLD SERIES !

Date W-L-T % Units Record

10/06/2021 0-2-0 0.00% -10.50
10/05/2021 2-0-0 100.00% +10.90

TOTALS:......2-2-0.50.00% +00.40


BEST BETS:

Date W-L-T % Units Record

ATS: 10/05/2021 1-0-0 100.00% +5.90
........10/06/2021 0-1-0 00.00% -5.00

O/U: 10/05/2021 1-0-0 100.00% +5.00
.........10.06/20210-1-0 00.00%...-5.50

TOTALS..............2-2-0..50.00%... +00.40

 

[Udog]

Thursday?s 6-pack
Odds for the PGA tourney in Las Vegas this week:
20-1? Brooks Koepka, Viktor Hovland
23-1? Scottie Scheffler, Abraham Ancer
25-1? Sam Burns
28-1? Will Zalatoris
30-1? Kevin Na, Louis Oosthuizen, Webb Simpson
32-1? Hideki Matsuyama, Sungjae Im, Harris English

Quote of the Day
?Just when you think you know the answers, I change the questions.?
Rowdy Roddy Piper

Thursday?s quiz
Which great comedian was once part owner of the CFL?s Toronto Argonauts with Wayne Gretzky and the guy who owned the NHL?s LA Kings?

Wednesday?s quiz
Falcons? QB Matt Ryan played his college football at Boston College.

Tuesday?s quiz
Retired pro tennis star Billie Jean King once played a judge on Law and Order.

*************************************

Thursday?s Den: Doing some thinking out loud??.

13) Wild Card games:
Boston 6, New York 2? Gerrit Cole makes $36M a year, but he only got six outs in this game, leaving after throwing 50 pitches. Is his leg healthy? He only gave up three runs, seemed like a quick hook, if he is healthy. Red Sox play Tampa Bay in the next round.

Dodgers 3, Cardinals 1:
? Chris Taylor didn?t start game, but he ended it with a 2-run homer.
? Taylor entered game in an 8-for-72 slump.
? Dodgers/Giants meet in next round; both teams have 107 wins.

12) Pet Peeve Alert: TV people should not intrude on managers during a playoff game; its just not worth it. Not like the manager is going to say anything interesting anyway; these are playoff games, let the managers do their jobs.

ESPN did it Sunday night; TBS wisely didn?t do it in Los Angeles.

11) San Diego Padres told manager Jayce Tingler to take a hike Tuesday; the much-hyped Padres were 79-83 this year, 28 games behind the Giants in the NL West. Padres made playoffs LY, but lost 3-0 to Los Angeles in the NLDS.

Not sure how GM AJ Preller keeps his job; guy has been snagged twice by MLB for cheating, San Diego has made the playoffs once in his tenure, but hey, fire the manager.

10) Speaking of the Padres, I felt kind of old the other night when they showed Dave Winfield in a box at the Chargers game at SoFi Stadium? he celebrated his 70th birthday last weekend. Yikes. Winfield was an awesome athlete, also played college hoop at U of Minnesota.

9) Red Sox star JD Martinez sprained his ankle the other day when he slipped on second base in Washington; I?m thinking MLB may switch to flatter bases next year. Seriously, people were talking about that this past spring.

8) Washington?s Juan Soto had a .465 on-base %age this year; he hit .313 and walked 145 times. Great year.

Then you realize that Ted Williams had a career on-base %age of .482. Amazing.

7) There were 5,944 home runs hit in the major leagues this season, 832 less than 2019, the last full season. Toronto (262) hit the most; Pittsburgh (124) the least.

6) Chicago Bears? star RB David Montgomery is expected to miss 4-5 weeks with a sprained left knee, big loss for a team that needs to run, to set up rookie QB Justin Fields? passing game- they threw only 17 passes in their win over Detroit last week, but averaged 10.2 yards/attempt.

5) Odds on the four series in this round of baseball playoffs:
? Tampa Bay (-190) vs Boston
? Houston (-135) vs Chicago
? Dodgers (-160) vs San Francisco
? Milwaukee (-140) vs Atlanta

4) College football teams that are running the most plays this season:
84.0? North Texas
80.4? Central Michigan
80.4? Utah State
79.2? Arkansas State

3) Golden State Warriors F Andrew Wiggins has averaged 19.5 ppg in his 7-year NBA career; he will make $31,579,390 this season, which undoubtedly forced his hand in the decision. He had been adamant about not getting the vaccine, but that?s not what happened.

2) Was very surprised when season 5 of Showtime?s fine series Billions ended Sunday night; I didn?t know that star Damian Lewis was leaving the series. In real life, his wife passed away this past year and he lives in England, so he stepped away from his career for a while.

It?ll be interesting to see how the show evolves without its main character.

1) It turns out that Maris Valainis, the actor who played Jimmy Chitwood in Hoosiers, never made his high school basketball team in Indiana. He was an all-state golfer in high school and played college golf at Purdue.

 

[Udog]

HOUSTON is 11-3 SU (10.7 Units) in home games vs. an AL starting pitcher whose ERA is 3.70 or better in the current season.

TAMPA BAY is 57-25 SU (32.5 Units) vs. a starting pitcher with good control (less than 1.75 BB's/start) in the current season.




MLB
Dunkel

Thursday, October 7






MLB
Armadillo's Write-Up

Thursday, October 7

White Sox (93-68) @ Houston (95-67)
? Lynn is 1-2, 3.80 in his last four starts.
? White Sox are 16-12 in his starts.
? under 6-1 last seven
? He is 5-7, 4.41 in 13 starts vs Houston.
? He is 5-4, 4.80 in 26 playoff games (7 starts)

? Chicago is 20-14 in last 34 games.
? White Sox are 6-5 in last 11 road games (40-41 overall on road).
? Chicago is in playoffs for 2nd year in row, after not making it since ?08.
? White Sox last won World Series in 2005.
? Tony LaRussa won World Series in 1989, 2006, 2011.

? McCullers is 3-1, 2.83 in his last six starts.
? Astros are 17-11 in his starts.
? over 14-13-1
? He is 4-1, 2.17 in six starts vs Chicago.
? He is 1-2, 3.28 in 14 playoff games (7 starts)

? Astros are 4-2 in last six games.
? Astros are 13-4 in last 17 home games.
? Houston is in playoffs for fifth year in a row.
? Houston won the World Series in 2017.

? Astros are 5-2 vs Chicago this year, 4-0 here.

Boston (93-70) @ Tampa Bay (100-62)
? Rodriguez is 1-0, 2.66 in his last four starts.
? Boston is 19-12 in his starts.
? over 15-15-1
? He is 0-1. 7.80 in three starts vs Tampa Bay this year.
? He is 0-0, 8.10 in 8 playoff games (1 start, total of 10 IP)

? Boston is 5-5 in its last ten games.
? Red Sox bullpen pitched 3.1 IP in Tuesday?s Wild Card win.
? Boston won four of last five road games (43-38 overall on road).
? Boston is in playoffs for first time since 2018.
? Red Sox won the World Series in 2018.

? McClanahan is 1-1, 1.50 in his last four starts (18 IP).
? Tampa Bay is 15-10 in his starts.
? under 5-1 last six
? He is 1-1, 2.81 in three starts vs Boston this year.
? He?s a rookie; this is his first postseason game.

? Tampa Bay is 7-3 in its last ten games.
? Rays are 9-4 in last 13 home games.
? Tampa Bay is in playoffs for third year in row.
? Rays lost World Series LY and in ?08; they?ve never won one.

? Red Sox are 8-11 vs Tampa Bay this season, 3-7 here.




MLB

Thursday, October 7

------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Trend Report
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

Chi White Sox @ Houston
Chi White Sox
Chi White Sox is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games
The total has gone UNDER in 9 of Chi White Sox's last 13 games on the road
Houston
Houston is 10-2 SU in its last 12 games when playing at home against Chi White Sox
Houston is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing at home against Chi White Sox

Boston @ Tampa Bay
Boston
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Boston's last 6 games on the road
Boston is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games
Tampa Bay
Tampa Bay is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Tampa Bay's last 7 games


------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

 

[Udog]

MLB
Weather Report

Thursday, October 7

 

[Udog]

Diamond Trends for Thursday October 7
Vince Akins

Play SU Trend of the Day:
Matchup: Boston at Tampa Bay (FS1, 8:07 p.m.)

-- The Red Sox are 8-0 since Oct. 8, 2018 as an underdog of less than +165 in playoff games.

STARTER Trend of the Day:
Matchup: Boston at Tampa Bay (FS1, 8:07 p.m. ET)

-- The Eduardo Rodriguez is 6-1 since 2018 pitching as an underdog of +120 or more.

Choice Trend of the Day:
Matchup: Chi. White Sox at Houston (FS1, 4:07 p.m. ET)

-- The White Sox are 0-6 OU since Aug. 23 playing as an underdog.

Trends are verified using Sports Data Query Language (SDQL)

 

[Cnotes53]

THURSDAY, OCTOBER 7
Game Time(ET) Pick Units

CHW at HOU 04:07 PM
HOU -130
O 7.5
+500 +500

BOS at TB 08:07 PM
TB -150
U 8.0
+500 +500

 

[Cnotes53]

MAJOR LEAGUE BASEBALL OPINIONS AND BETS THRU THE WORLD SERIES !

Date W-L-T % Units Record

10/07/2021 3-1-0 75.00% +9.50
10/06/2021 0-2-0 0.00% -10.50
10/05/2021 2-0-0 100.00% +10.90

TOTALS:......5-3-0 62.50% +9.90


BEST BETS:

Date W-L-T % Units Record


ATS:

10/07/2021....... 2-0-0....... 100.00%...........+10.00
10/06/2021....... 0-1-0......... 00.00%............ -5.00
10/05/2021........1-0-0....... 100.00%............ +5.90

Totals:................3-1-0.........75.00%..........+ 10.90


O/U:

10/07/2021........1-1-0..........50.00%...........-0.50
10.06/2021........0-1-0 .........00.00%...........-5.50
10/05/2021....... 1-0-0........ 100.00%........ +5.00

Totals.................2-2-0...........50.00%.........-1.00

Update 10/07/2021

 

[Udog]

Friday?s 6-pack
Some interesting college football spreads:
? Utah @ USC (-3)
? LSU @ Kentucky (-3)
? Oklahoma (-3) vs Texas (@ Dallas)
? Arkansas @ Ole Miss (-5.5)
? Penn State @ Iowa (-2)
? Notre Dame (-1) @ Virginia Tech

Quote of the Day
?When all is said and done, usually more is said than done.?
Anonymous

Friday?s quiz
Who was the Seahawks? starting QB before Russell Wilson?

Thursday?s quiz
John Candy was once part owner of the CFL?s Toronto Argonauts with Wayne Gretzky and the guy who owned the NHL?s LA Kings.

Wednesday?s quiz
Falcons? QB Matt Ryan played his college football at Boston College.

*************************

Friday?s Den: Random stuff with weekend here??.

13) Rams 26, Seahawks 17:
? Stafford threw for 365 yards in his first outdoor game this year.
? Woods caught 12 passes for 150 yards.
? Rams outgained Seattle, 476-354.
? LA in 2nd half: 32 plays, 301 yards, 3 TD?s, FG on six drives.

? QB Wilson hurt middle finger on right hand, didn?t play 4th quarter.
? Seattle scored 10 points on backup QB Geno Smith?s three drives.
? Rams won seven of last nine series games.
? Seattle?s last five Thursday games have all been at home.

12) Astros 6, White Sox 1:
? Alvarez, Brantley both knocked in two runs.
? McCullers threw 6.2 scoreless IP.

11) Rays 5, Red Sox 0:
? Leadoff hitter Arozarena scored 3 of Tampa Bay?s 5 runs.
? Boston had nine hits, were 1-7 with RISP.

10) Bowling Green is the only college football team that is 5-0 ATS: Clemson, Missouri and New Mexico are all 0-5 ATS.

9) By my calculations, Kyrie Irving will earn $425,807 per game this season; do the math if he can?t play in the Nets? 41 home games, because he won?t get vaccinated.

8) Was pretty cool to see Juan Soto and Nationals? hitting coach Kevin Long at Dodger Stadium Wednesday night, rooting for ex-teammates Scherzer/Turner in the NL Wild Card game.

7) Justin Turner?s career:
? 2 years with Orioles: .111 BA, .226 OB%, .337 OPS, 2 runs, 3 RBI
? 4 years with Mets: .265 BA, .326 OB%, .696 OPS, 82 runs, 86 RBI
? 8 years with LA: .298 BA, .379 OB%, .877 OPS, 591 runs, 582 RBI

Max Muncy?s career:
? 2 years with A?s: .195BA, .290 OB%, .611 OPS, 27 runs, 17 RBI
? 4 years with LA: .246 BA, .371 OB%, .890 OPS, 307 runs, 298 RBI

Dodgers apparently do a superior job of developing hitters.

6) Lakers? SF Trevor Ariza hurt his ankle, is out at least eight weeks.

5) Cleveland Browns? QB Baker Mayfield partially tore the labrum in his left (non-throwing) shoulder couple weeks ago, is playing through it.

4) Patriots traded CB Stephon Gilmore to Carolina, for a 6th-round draft pick.

3) So far this college football season, double digit favorites are 20-26 ATS in conference games.

2) In non-conference games, SEC home favorites are 12-5 ATS; Big 14 teams are 14-6-1.

1) On the other end of stick, MAC road underdogs are 7-16 ATS out of conference; Sun Belt road dogs are 4-8.

 

[Udog]

HOUSTON is 11-3 SU (10.7 Units) in home games vs. an AL starting pitcher whose ERA is 3.70 or better in the current season.

ATLANTA is 24-7 SU (16.1 Units) in road games vs. an NL team with a batting average of .245 or worse in the second half of the sea...

TAMPA BAY is 57-25 SU (32.5 Units) vs. a starting pitcher with good control (less than 1.75 BB's/start) in the current season.

SAN FRANCISCO is 49-23 SU (26.4 Units) vs. NL teams scoring 4.5 or more runs/game on the season in the current season.




MLB
Armadillo's Write-Up

Friday, October 8

White Sox (0-1) @ Houston (1-0)
? Giolito is 2-0, 1.08 in his last three starts.
? White Sox are 17-14 in his starts.
? under 4-1-1 last six
? He is 2-3, 3.71 in five starts vs Houston.
? He gave up a run in 7 IP, in his one playoff start.

? Chicago was 1-8 with RISP in yesterday?s 6-1 loss.
? White Sox are 6-6 in last 12 road games (40-42 overall on road).
? Pale Hose bullpen threw 4.1 IP yesterday.
? Chicago is in playoffs for 2nd year in row, after not making it since ?08.
? White Sox last won World Series in 2005.
? Tony LaRussa won World Series in 1989, 2006, 2011.

? Valdez is 2-1, 3.80 in his last four starts.
? Astros are 13-9 in his starts.
? over 4-1 last five
? He is 1-1, 3.38 in three starts vs Chicago.
? He is 3-1, 1.88 in 4 playoff games (3 starts)

? Astros are 5-2 in last seven games.
? Astros are 14-4 in last 18 home games.
? Houston bullpen got 7 outs yesterday; closer Pressley got 3.
? Houston is in playoffs for fifth year in a row.
? Houston won the World Series in 2017.

? Astros are 6-2 vs Chicago this year, 5-0 here.

Boston (0-1) @ Tampa Bay (1-0)
Very strange to be posting ?bullpen game? for a playoff game, but that?s what we?ve got here.
? bullpen game

? Boston had nine hits in last night?s 5-0 loss.
? Red Sox were 1-7 with RISP in Game 1.
? Red Sox bullpen pitched 9.2 IP in Tuesday/Thursday games.
? Boston won four of last six road games (43-39 overall on road).
? Boston is in playoffs for first time since 2018.
? Red Sox won the World Series in 2018.

? bullpen game

? Tampa Bay bullpen threw four IP in last night?s 5-0 win.
? Arozarena scored three of their five runs.
? Rays are 10-4 in last 14 home games.
? Tampa Bay is in playoffs for third year in row.
? Rays lost World Series LY and in ?08; they?ve never won one.

? Red Sox are 8-12 vs Tampa Bay this season, 3-8 here

Atlanta (88-73) @ Milwaukee (95-67)
? Morton is 1-0, 1.72 in his last three starts.
? Braves are 17-16 in his starts.
? under 8-3-1 last 12
? He is 4-8, 4.15 in 16 starts vs Milwaukee.
? He is 7-3, 3.38 in 12 playoff starts.

? Braves won 12 of last 15 games.
? Atlanta is 7-1 in last eight road games.
? under 24-14-4 last 42 games
? Atlanta is in playoffs for fourth year in row.
? Braves last won a World Series in 1995.

? Burnes is 3-1, 2.91 in his last six starts.
? Milwaukee is 12-1 in his last 13 starts.
? over 11-5-2 last 18
? He allowed 14 runs in 6.2 IP in 4 games (1 start) vs Atlanta.
? He is 1-0, 2.00 in six playoff relief stints (9 IP).

? Brewers lost their last four games, which didn?t matter.
? Milwaukee is 9-6 in last 15 home games.
? over 8-6 last 14 games.
? Brewers are in playoffs for fourth year in row.
? Milwaukee has never won a World Series- they lost ?82 Series.

? Teams split six games this season; road team was 4-2.

Los Angeles (107-56) @ San Francisco (107-55)
? Buehler is 2-0, 0.75 in his last two starts.
? Dodgers are 22-11 in his starts.
? over 18-13-2
? He is 7-1, 2.55 in 11 starts vs San Francisco.
? He is 3-1, 2.35 in 11 playoff starts.

? LA is 8-0 in its last eight games.
? Dodgers scored 37 runs in last five games.
? Dodgers are 6-2 in their last eight road games.
? LA is in playoffs for ninth year in a row.
? Dodgers won World Series LY, their first title since 1988.

? Webb is 3-0, 4.75 in his last six starts.
? Giants are 18-2 in his last 20 starts.
? over 6-0 last five
? He is 1-2, 3.64 in six starts vs LA.
? This is his first playoff start.

? Giants are 23-6 in last 29 games.
? Giants are 7-2 in last nine home games.
? Over is 15-11 in last 26 games.
? SF is in playoffs for first time since 2016.
? Giants won three World Series from 2010-14.

? Dodgers are 8-11 vs San Francisco this year, 4-5 here.




MLB

Friday, October 8

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Trend Report
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Chi White Sox @ Houston
Chi White Sox
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Chi White Sox's last 5 games on the road
Chi White Sox is 6-2 SU in its last 8 games
Houston
Houston is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games when playing at home against Chi White Sox
Houston is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Chi White Sox

Atlanta @ Milwaukee
Atlanta
Atlanta is 8-1 SU in its last 9 games
Atlanta is 7-1 ATS in its last 8 games on the road
Milwaukee
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Milwaukee's last 7 games
Milwaukee is 2-5 ATS in its last 7 games when playing Atlanta

Boston @ Tampa Bay
Boston
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Boston's last 7 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Boston's last 6 games when playing on the road against Tampa Bay
Tampa Bay
Tampa Bay is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games
Tampa Bay is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home

LA Dodgers @ San Francisco
LA Dodgers
LA Dodgers is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games
LA Dodgers is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
San Francisco
San Francisco is 8-1 SU in its last 9 games
San Francisco is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games at home


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