Cnotes 2021 Major League Baseball Transactions, News, Notes, Picks Etc. !!

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Diamond Trends for Monday May 10
Vince Akins

ATS Play ON Trend of the Day
Matchup: Texas at San Francisco (9:45 p.m. ET)

-- The Giants are 10-0 SU since Apr. 26, 2004 as a 140+ favorite off a game as the undefdog when their opponent's starter has an ERA of less than 2.5 on the season.

ATS Play AGAINST Trend of the Day
Matchup: Texas at San Francisco (9:45 p.m. ET)

-- The Rangers are 0-14 SU since Sept. 28, 2017 in the first game of a series with no rest off a home game in which they hit multple home runs.

OU Play Trend of the Day
Matchup: San Diego at Colorado (8:40 p.m. ET)

-- The Rockies are 10-0-1 OU (4.86 ppg) since Aug. 24, 2018 in the first game of a series with no rest at home after they had more strikeouts than hits.

Starter-Based Trend of the Day
Matchup: Cincinnati at Pittsburgh (6:35 p.m. ET)

-- The Reds are 0-6 SY since Apr. 21, 2019 when Tyler Mahle starts after he gave up no walks in his last start.

Trends are verified using Sports Data Query Language (SDQL)
 

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Tuesday?s 6-pack
Thru Sunday?s games, most profitable baseball teams to bet on ($100/game):

+$784- Red Sox
+$724- Rangers
+$686- Mariners
Least profitable teams to bet on ($100/game):
-$1,142- Twins
-$808- Tigers
-$773- Rockies

Americans who have died from COVID-19: 581,756
PLEASE wear a mask (over your nose/mouth) when you go out.


Quote of the Day
?Everyone thinks I?m a hypochondriac. It makes me sick.?
Felix Unger

Tuesday?s quiz
Willie Mays had his 90th birthday last week; what number did he wear for the majority of his Hall of Fame career?

Monday?s quiz
Sacramento is NBA team that has gone longest since they last made playoffs, 14 years.

*****************************************************

Tuesday?s Den: Nobody asked me, but??..

? I?m sitting here in the middle of the night, about to turn the TV off and listen to music while I put this together, and what do I find but a spring football league on FS1.

It is called the Spring League, and it has eight teams in it. I think they played in the Alamodome in San Antonio last year- this game was at Rice Stadium in Houston, which once hosted a Super Bowl (Dolphins over Vikings maybe???)

FS1 had their best college football announcers calling the game, so I watched for a while.

? Watched some of this last year; there are guys in it who have played in the NFL, including QB Ryan Mallett, who hasn?t played pro football since 2017. He started eight games for Texans/Ravens in 2014-15, then kind of went away. Now he is trying to make a comeback.

? There was a kicker from the CFL with a very long name who kicked four field goals, including a 59-yarder; hard to believe he won?t get an invite to an NFL camp. You make 59-yard field goals and it doesn?t matter if you?re in the California Penal League, the NFL will find you.

? Kevin Gilbride was coaching one of the teams; the guy will be 70 in August, he hasn?t been in the NFL since 2013, but he?s still out there coaching, trying to get guys to the next level.

? One of the teams is called the Jousters, which is a tremendous nickname. Good logo, too.

? So the Jousters give up a 65-yard TD pass, but the receiver has to be a show-off and drops the ball right at the goal line, it was really hard to tell if he had crossed the line or not, they review the play and say it was a touchdown.

This is a pet peeve of mine; you?re playing in front of no fans, except on TV, busting your butt to make it to an NFL camp- after you make a great play to score a touchdown, you do something STUPID to risk that touchdown not counting.

Coaches who lose get fired; teams that fumble on the 1-yard line lose.

Anyway, sounds like The Spring League will be on the next few weeks, which is good.

? I?ve never had coffee, ever; am I the only person who has never had it?

My parents drank it, but to me, coffee grounds looked like mud, and why would you drink something that came from mud?

I worked for the Division of Criminal Justice in Albany for 34 years; had a boss once who always and I mean always, had a coffee mug in his hand. It was like it was permanently attached to his hand. He was a good guy, let us be us, but damn he drank a lot of coffee.

? I?m a big believer that they should re-do how basketball assists are measured.

If a pass leads to a 3-point basket, it should be 1.5 assists, since 3 points is more than 2.

If a pass leads to free throws, it should be 0.5 assists for every foul shot made; those points count just as much as baskets made.

I used to keep track of assist opportunities, how many assists guys would have had if all the shots had been made? some guys create easier shots with their passes.

5) Warriors 119, Jazz 116? Here is Golden State?s record, based on Steph Curry?s scoring:
? 8-2 if he scores 40+
? 16-9 if he scores 35+. He had 36 in this game.
? 10-14 if he scores less than 30
? 5-8 if he scores less than 25.

4) Only once in their last 13 games has the Padres? starting pitcher finished the 6th inning; their bullpen is going to be worn out by August, unless they trade for new guys.

3) In their last 19 games, Dodgers are 0-6 in games where the winning run scores from the 7th inning on- they?ve lost 15 of last 20 games overall.

2) Celtics? star Jaylen Brown tore a ligament in his wrist, is out for the year.

1) Las Vegas Raiders? backup QB Marcus Mariota is from Hawai?i; he went to St Louis HS, where his backup was Ka?ai Tom, who last night played leftfield and batted 3rd for the Pirates.

Pretty good high school team, with two major league athletes on it.
 

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MLB
Weather Report

Tuesday, May 11


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951CINCINNATI -952 PITTSBURGH
CINCINNATI is 4-15 SU (-13.5 Units) vs. an overused bullpen that pitches more than 3.2 innings per game in the current season.

953PHILADELPHIA -954 WASHINGTON
WASHINGTON is 10-23 SU (-20.8 Units) vs. a team with a bad bullpen whose ERA is 4.70 or worse over the last 2 seasons.

955ST LOUIS -956 MILWAUKEE
MILWAUKEE is 16-31 SU (-18.9 Units) vs. an NL team with an on base percentage .315 or worse over the last 2 seasons.

957SAN DIEGO -958 COLORADO
SAN DIEGO is 28-40 SU (-23.9 Units) in road games vs. an NL team with an on base percentage .325 or worse in the last 3 seasons.

959MIAMI -960 ARIZONA
ARIZONA is 27-11 SU (17.8 Units) in home games vs. an NL starting pitcher whose WHIP is 1.250 or better in the last 3 seasons.

961KANSAS CITY -962 DETROIT
DETROIT is 4-14 SU (-14.4 Units) vs. an AL team with an on base percentage .320 or worse in the current season.

963OAKLAND -964 BOSTON
BOSTON is 20-10 SU (11.2 Units) vs. teams whose hitters strike out 7 or more times/game in the current season.

965NY YANKEES -966 TAMPA BAY
NY YANKEES are 15-26 SU (-15.7 Units) in road games vs. an overused bullpen that pitches more than 3.2 innings per game over the last 2 seasons.

967MINNESOTA -968 CHI WHITE SOX
MINNESOTA is 4-15 SU (-12.5 Units) vs. teams averaging 2.75 or less extra base hits per game in the current season.

969LA ANGELS -970 HOUSTON
HOUSTON is 12-31 SU (-20.8 Units) vs. a team with a bad bullpen whose ERA is 4.70 or worse over the last 2 seasons.
 

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MLB
Armadillo's Write-Up

Tuesday, May 11


NL games
Cincinnati (16-16) @ Pittsburgh (14-20)

? Hoffman is 0-1, 7.15 in his last three starts.
? Reds are 3-3 in his starts.
? over 5-1-1
? allowed run in first inning: 0-6
? you?re reading armadillosports.com
? record in first 5 innings: 2-3-1
? He is 0-2, 10.13 in two starts vs Pittsburgh.

? Cincinnati is 7-4 in its last 11 games.
? Reds are 6-9 on road.
? Over 13-5-2 last 20 games
? scored run in first inning: 8-32
? record in first 5 innings: 13-14-5

? Brubaker is 0-3, 3.71 in his last three starts.
? Pirates are 2-4 in his starts; they scored 5 runs in last three.
? under 5-1
? allowed run in first inning: 1-6
? record in first 5 innings: 2-3-1
? He is 0-1, 1.93 in two starts vs Cincinnati.

? Pirates lost nine of their last 11 games.
? Pittsburgh lost its last five home games.
? under 5-2 last seven games
? scored run in first inning: 8-34
? record in first 5 innings: 13-16-5

Philadelphia (18-17) @ Washington (13-17)
? Anderson is 1-2, 6.35 in his last four starts.
? Phillies are 2-4 in his starts
? over 4-2
? allowed run in first inning: 1-6
? record in first 5 innings: 2-4
? He is 0-2, 16.39 in three starts vs Washington.

? Phillies won five of their last seven games.
? Phillies are 5-11 on the road.
? under 7-4 last 11 road games.
? scored run in first inning: 15-35
? record in first 5 innings: 13-13-9

? Fedde is 1-2, 5.06 in his last three starts.
? Washington is 3-3 in his starts.
? under 4-1 last five starts
? allowed run in first inning: 1-6
? record in first 5 innings: 2-3-1
? He is 2-4, 5.26 in eight games (7 starts) vs Philly.

? Washington lost five of its last six games.
? Nationals lost their last three home games.
? under 7-2 last nine games
? scored run in first inning: 7-30
? record in first 5 innings: 7-14-9

St Louis (21-14) @ Milwaukee (19-16)
? Kim is 1-0, 1.45 in his last three starts (14.2 IP).
? Cardinals are 4-0 in his starts.
? over 2-1-1
? allowed run in first inning: 1-4
? record in first 5 innings: 4-0
? He is 1-0, 0.75 in two starts vs Milwaukee.

? Cardinals won 13 of their last 17 games.
? St Louis is 8-4 in its last 12 road games.
? Under 5-3 last eight games.
? scored run in first inning: 11-35
? record in first 5 innings: 18-12-5

? Peralta is 1-1, 5.21 in his last four starts.
? Milwaukee is 4-2 in his starts.
? under 3-3
? allowed run in first inning: 1-6
? record in first 5 innings: 2-2-2
? He is 2-1, 6.00 in seven games (3 starts) vs St Louis.

? Brewers lost six of their last eight games.
? Milwaukee lost five of their last seven road games.
? under 12-6-1 on road.
? scored run in first inning: 9-35
? record in first 5 innings: 15-14-6

San Diego (19-16) @ Colorado (12-22)
? Lamet threw four scoreless IP in his two brief starts (4 IP).
? Padres are 0-2 in his starts.
? under 2-0
? allowed run in first inning: 0-2
? record in first 5 innings: 1-1
? He is 0-2, 3.18 in four starts vs Colorado.

? Padres lost four of their last seven games.
? San Diego is 6-4 in its last nine road games.
? over 7-1 last eight road games
? scored run in first inning: 9-35
? record in first 5 innings: 12-18-5

? Gray is 3-1, 3.65 in his last four starts.
? Colorado is 4-3 in his starts.
? under 4-3
? allowed run in first inning: 2-7
? record in first 5 innings: 4-2-1
? He is 10-4, 2.98 in 20 starts vs San Diego.

? Colorado is 3-8 in its last 11 games.
? Rockies are 10-3 in their last 13 home games.
? over 6-0 last six home games.
? scored run in first inning: 10-34
? record in first 5 innings: 12-17-5

Miami (15-19) @ Arizona (16-19)
? Lopez is 0-1, 1.13 in his last four starts.
? Miami is 3-4 in his starts- they scored 9 runs in his last four.
? under 3-0-1 last four
? allowed run in first inning: 1-7
? record in first 5 innings: 1-2-4
? He is 0-0, 2.45 in two starts vs Arizona.

? Marlins won four of their last seven games.
? Miami is 1-5 in their last six road tilts.
? under 5-1-2 in their last eight games
? scored run in first inning: 12-34
? record in first 5 innings: 12-15-7

? Bumgarner is 3-0, 1.17 in his last four starts.
? Arizona is 4-3 in his starts
? over 4-3
? allowed run in first inning: 4-7
? record in first 5 innings: 4-2-1
? He is 2-4, 4.20 in 11 starts vs Miami.

? Arizona lost seven of its last nine games.
? Arizona is 5-2 in its last seven home games.
? over 4-2 last six home games
? scored run in first inning: 6-35
? record in first 5 innings: 17-16-2

AL games
Bronx (18-16) @ Tampa Bay (19-17)

? Montgomery is 0-1, 5.40 in his last five starts.
? New York is 4-2 in his starts.
? under 4-2
? allowed run in first inning: 2-6
? record in first 5 innings: 1-4-1
? He is 1-3, 5.63 in eight starts vs Tampa Bay.

? New York won 13 of its last 19 games.
? New York is 5-3 in its last eight road games.
? under 13-7 last 20 games
? scored run in first inning: 5-34
? record in first 5 innings: 16-12-6

? Yarbrough is 1-1, 3.05 in his last four games (20.2 IP)
? They may/may not use an opener.
? Rays are 1-3 in his starts.
? over 4-0
? allowed run in first inning: 2-4
? record in first 5 innings: 0-3-1
? He is 4-2, 2.88 in seven games (0 starts, 25 IP) vs New York.

? Tampa Bay won six of its last eight games.
? Rays are 3-5 in last eight home games.
? 10 of last 16 games stayed under
? scored run in first inning: 9-36
? record in first 5 innings: 12-14-10

Kansas City (16-17) @ Detroit (10-24)
? Singer is 1-1, 2.18 in his last four starts.
? Royals are 2-4 in his starts.
? over 3-2-1
? allowed run in first inning: 0-6
? record in first 5 innings: 2-3-1
? He is 3-0, 1.44 in four starts vs Detroit.

? Royals lost their last eight games.
? Royals are 7-3 in last ten road games.
? nine of last 11 games went over
? scores run in first inning: 6-33
? record in first 5 innings: 14-14-5

? Boyd is 1-4, 2.55 in six starts.
? Detroit is 1-5 in his starts.
? under 4-2 in his starts
? allowed run in first inning: 0-6
? record in first 5 innings: 3-3
? He is 7-10, 5.71 in 23 starts vs Kansas City.

? Detroit lost 18 of its last 22 games.
? Detroit is 3-8 in its last 11 home games.
? under 10-5 at home
? scored run in first inning: 6-34
? record in first 5 innings: 2-16-3 last 21 games

Oakland (21-15) @ Boston (22-14)
? Bassitt is 2-0, 3.00 in his last five starts.
? A?s are 4-1 in his last five starts.
? under 3-1 last four starts
? allowed run in first inning: 2-7
? record in first 5 innings: 3-2-2
? He hasn?t pitched against Boston

? A?s are 8-8 in their last 16 games.
? Oakland is 8-4 on the road.
? Over is 6-3 in their last nine games.
? scored run in first inning: 10-36
? record in first 5 innings: 14-13-9

? Eovaldi is 1-1, 7.04 in his last three starts.
? Red Sox are 5-2 in his starts.
? over 3-1 last four starts
? allowed run in first inning: 2-7
? record in first 5 innings: 4-2-1
? He is 1-2, 4.28 in seven starts vs Oakland.

? Boston won five of its last seven games.
? Red Sox are 10-6 in last 16 home games.
? over 6-1 last seven home games
? scored run in first inning: 9-36
? record in first 5 innings: 16-13-7

Angels (16-18) @ Houston (18-17)
? Ohtani is 1-0, 3.38 in four starts (18.2 IP).
? Angels are 3-1 in his starts.
? under 2-2
? allowed run in first inning: 1-4
? record in first 5 innings: 3-1
? He is 0-1, 7.71 in three starts vs Houston.

? Halos won three of last four games overall.
? Angels are 5-4 in their last nine road games.
? over 12-7 last 19 games
? scored run in first inning: 8-34
? record in first 5 innings: 16-16-2

? McCullers is 1-0, 2.37 in his last three starts.
? Astros are 3-3 in his starts.
? over 4-2
? allowed run in first inning: 1-6
? record in first 5 innings: 2-3-1
? He is 3-3, 3.20 in 14 starts against the Angels.

? Astros lost five of their last eight games.
? Astros are 7-5 in last 12 home games.
? over 7-3 last ten games
? scored run in first inning: 9-35
? record in first 5 innings: 16-13-6

Minnesota (12-20) @ White Sox (19-13)
? Maeda is 2-2, 5.97 in six starts.
? Twins are 2-4 in his starts.
? under 4-1 last five starts
? allowed run in first inning: 1-6
? record in first 5 innings: 2-2-2
? He is 2-0, 3.00 in three starts vs Chicago.

? Twins lost 18 of their last 25 games.
? Minnesota is 2-7 in last nine road games.
? over 9-2 last 11 games
? scores run in first inning: 13-32
? record in first 5 innings: 14-11-7

? Cease is 2-0, 0.00 in his last two starts (13 IP).
? Chicago is 3-3 in his starts.
? over 4-1-1
? allowed run in first inning: 1-6
? record in first 5 innings: 3-1-2
? He is 0-2, 10.80 in three starts vs Minnesota.

? Chicago is 7-4 in its last 11 games.
? White Sox are 6-3 in last nine home games.
? under 3-2-1 last six games.
? scored run in first inning: 9-32
? record in first 5 innings: 22-4-6

Interleague games
Texas (18-19) @ San Francisco (21-14)

? Lyles is 0-2, 9.17 in his last four starts.
? Rangers are 4-3 in his starts.
? over 4-2-1
? allowed run in first inning: 2-7
? record in first 5 innings: 3-4 (0-4 last 4)
? He is 4-4, 5.46 in 21 games (9 starts) vs San Francisco.

? Texas won eight of its last 12 games.
? Texas won three of its last four road games.
? over 7-5 last 12 road games.
? scored run in first inning: 9-37
? record in first 5 innings: 13-18-6

? Webb is 1-3, 5.23 in six starts.
? Giants are 3-3 in his starts.
? under 4-2
? allowed run in first inning: 1-6
? record in first 5 innings: 1-3-2
? He gave a run in 3.2 IP in his one start vs Texas.

? Giants won five of their last eight games.
? Giants are 13-4 at home.
? Over is 12-3-1 in their last 16 games.
? scored run in first inning: 8-35
? record in first 5 innings: 19-11-5

Cubs (17-17) @ Cleveland (18-14)
? Alzolay is 1-0, 3.45 in his last three starts.
? Cubs are 2-3 in his starts.
? over 3-2
? allowed run in first inning: 1-5
? record in first 5 innings: 2-1-2
? He hasn?t pitched against Cleveland.

? Cubs won five of their last six games.
? Chicago is 3-9 in its last dozen road games.
? Over is 9-4 in their last 13 games.
? scored run in first inning: 12-34
? record in first 5 innings: 13-16-5

? Bieber is 2-1, 2.50 in his last five starts.
? Indians are 5-2 in his starts.
? over 3-1 last four starts
? allowed run in first inning: 1-7
? record in first 5 innings: 2-4-1
? He hasn?t pitched against the Cubs.

? Cleveland won 10 of its last 13 games.
? Indians are 8-7 at home.
? over 12-5-1 last 18 games
? scores run in first inning: 7-32
? record in first 5 innings: 10-17-5

Baltimore (16-19) @ Mets (16-13)
? Means is 4-0, 1.37 in seven starts.
? He threw a no-hitter in his last start
? Orioles are 5-2 in his starts.
? under 5-1-1 in his starts
? allowed run in first inning: 1-7
? record in first 5 innings: 4-1-2
? He is 1-1, 3.97 in two starts vs New York.

? Orioles lost five of their last eight games.
? Baltimore is 11-6 on the road, 5-13 at home.
? under is 16-5 in their last 21 games.
? scored run in first inning: 9-35
? record in first 5 innings: 13-15-7

? Stroman is 0-3, 7.07 in his last three starts.
? Mets are 3-3 in his starts.
? under 4-0-1 last five starts
? allowed run in first inning: 2-6
? record in first 5 innings: 3-3
? He is 5-5, 3.36 in 12 starts vs Baltimore.

? Mets are 7-2 in their last nine games.
? Mets are 9-4 at home.
? Under 10-5-1 last sixteen games.
? scored run in first inning: 5-29
? record in first 5 innings: 14-13-2

Toronto (17-16) @ Atlanta (17-17)
? Ray is 1-0, 3.04 in his last four starts.
? Blue Jays are 2-3 in his starts.
? under 3-2
? allowed run in first inning: 1-5
? record in first 5 innings: 2-1-2
? He is 1-2, 4.50 in five starts vs Atlanta.

? Toronto is 9-6 in its last 15 games.
? Toronto is 6-5 in last 11 road games.
? over 10-2 last 12 games
? scored run in first inning: 10-33
? record in first 5 innings: 13-16-4

? Fried is 1-1, 9.00 in four starts (16 IP).
? Braves are 2-2 in his starts.
? under 2-2
? allowed run in first inning: 2-4
? record in first 5 innings: 2-2
? He allowed one run in six IP, in his one start vs Toronto.

? Braves won five of their last six games.
? Atlanta is 9-8 at home.
? Under is 5-2 in their last seven games.
? scored run in first inning: 11-34
? record in first 5 innings: 15-14-5

Seattle (18-17) @ Dodgers (18-17)
? Kikuchi is 1-2, 4.56 in his last four starts.
? Seattle is 3-3 in his starts.
? under 3-3
? allowed run in first inning: 1-6
? record in first 5 innings: 2-3-1
? He gave up 5 runs in 4.2 IP, in his one start against Dodgers.

? Seattle is 3-5 in its last eight games.
? Seattle is 2-6 in its last eight road games.
? under 4-3 last seven games
? scored run in first inning: 8-35
? record in first 5 innings: 13-18-4

? Buehler is 1-0, 3.13 in six starts.
? Dodgers are 3-3 in his starts.
? over 4-2
? allowed run in first inning: 1-6
? record in first 5 innings: 0-3-3
? He gave a run in 6 IP, in his one start vs Seattle.

? Dodgers lost 15 of their last 20 games.
? Dodgers are 2-5 in last seven home games.
? over 13-3 last sixteen games
? scored run in first inning: 9-35
? record in first 5 innings: 16-13-6

Tuesday?s umpires:
Cin-Pitt: Under is 5-1 in last six Hoberg games.
Mia-Ariz: Under is 3-1 in last four Fairchild games.

LAA-Hst: Underdog won five of six Wegner games.

Tex-SF: Last three Blaser games went over the total.
 

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MLB

Tuesday, May 11


------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Trend Report
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Texas @ San Francisco
Texas
Texas is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games on the road
Texas is 10-4 ATS in its last 14 games
San Francisco
The total has gone OVER in 8 of San Francisco's last 9 games
The total has gone OVER in 6 of San Francisco's last 7 games at home

Chi Cubs @ Cleveland
Chi Cubs
Chi Cubs is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games when playing on the road against Cleveland
Chi Cubs is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games
Cleveland
Cleveland is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games
The total has gone OVER in 8 of Cleveland's last 11 games

Cincinnati @ Pittsburgh
Cincinnati
Cincinnati is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing Pittsburgh
Cincinnati is 7-1 ATS in its last 8 games when playing Pittsburgh
Pittsburgh
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Pittsburgh's last 6 games when playing at home against Cincinnati
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Pittsburgh's last 5 games at home

Philadelphia @ Washington
Philadelphia
Philadelphia is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games
Philadelphia is 5-2 SU in its last 7 games
Washington
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Washington's last 8 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Washington's last 7 games

Oakland @ Boston
Oakland
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Oakland's last 7 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Oakland's last 5 games when playing Boston
Boston
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Boston's last 7 games at home
Boston is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Oakland

Kansas City @ Detroit
Kansas City
Kansas City is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing Detroit
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Kansas City's last 5 games when playing Detroit
Detroit
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Detroit's last 5 games when playing at home against Kansas City
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Detroit's last 5 games

Baltimore @ NY Mets
Baltimore
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Baltimore's last 5 games when playing NY Mets
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Baltimore's last 7 games
NY Mets
NY Mets is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
The total has gone OVER in 5 of NY Mets's last 5 games when playing Baltimore

NY Yankees @ Tampa Bay
NY Yankees
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of NY Yankees's last 7 games on the road
NY Yankees is 7-2 SU in its last 9 games
Tampa Bay
Tampa Bay is 7-1 ATS in its last 8 games
Tampa Bay is 6-1 ATS in its last 7 games when playing NY Yankees

Toronto @ Atlanta
Toronto
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Toronto's last 5 games
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Toronto's last 5 games on the road
Atlanta
Atlanta is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games
Atlanta is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games when playing at home against Toronto

St. Louis @ Milwaukee
St. Louis
St. Louis is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games on the road
St. Louis is 9-2 SU in its last 11 games
Milwaukee
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Milwaukee's last 8 games at home
Milwaukee is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games at home

Minnesota @ Chi White Sox
Minnesota
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Minnesota's last 5 games when playing Chi White Sox
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Minnesota's last 6 games on the road
Chi White Sox
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Chi White Sox's last 5 games when playing Minnesota
Chi White Sox is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games

LA Angels @ Houston
LA Angels
The total has gone OVER in 11 of LA Angels's last 13 games when playing on the road against Houston
The total has gone OVER in 12 of LA Angels's last 15 games when playing Houston
Houston
The total has gone OVER in 11 of Houston's last 13 games when playing at home against LA Angels
The total has gone OVER in 12 of Houston's last 15 games when playing LA Angels

San Diego @ Colorado
San Diego
San Diego is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing Colorado
The total has gone OVER in 7 of San Diego's last 8 games on the road
Colorado
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Colorado's last 5 games at home
The total has gone OVER in 12 of Colorado's last 15 games when playing at home against San Diego

Miami @ Arizona
Miami
Miami is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games when playing Arizona
Miami is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games when playing Arizona
Arizona
Arizona is 7-1 SU in its last 8 games when playing at home against Miami
Arizona is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games at home

Seattle @ LA Dodgers
Seattle
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Seattle's last 5 games on the road
Seattle is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing LA Dodgers
LA Dodgers
The total has gone OVER in 5 of LA Dodgers's last 5 games at home
LA Dodgers is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Seattle


------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
 

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Diamond Trends for Tuesday May 11
Vince Akins

ATS Play ON Trend of the Day
Matchup: St. Louis at Milwaukee (7:40 p.m. ET)

-- The Brewers are 13-0 SU since Apr 20, 2016 as a favorite after a win as a road dog where they never trailed.

ATS Play AGAINST Trend of the Day
Matchup: Chicago Cubs at Cleveland (6:10 p.m. ET)

-- The Cubs are 0-11 SU since Jun 22, 2019 off a one-run loss at home.

OU Play Trend of the Day
Matchup: Texas at San Francisco (3:45 p.m. ET)

-- The Giants are 10-0 OU (3.85 ppg) since Apr 20, 2021 after they scored in more innings than their opponent.

Starter-Based Trend of the Day
Matchup: Kansas City at Detroit (7:10 p.m. ET)

-- The Tigers are 0-9 SU since Jun 24, 2018 when Matthew Boyd starts as a dog when he went fewer than 5 innings in his last start.

Trends are verified using Sports Data Query Language (SDQL)
 

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Wednesday?s 6-pack
Odds to win the Stanley Cup:

+390? Colorado Avalanche
+435? Vegas Golden Knights
+675? Toronto Maple Leafs
+775? Tampa Bay Lightning
+880? Carolina Hurricanes
+1075? Boston Bruins
Americans who have died from COVID-19: 582,771
PLEASE wear a mask (over your nose/mouth) when you go out.


Quote of the Day
?Freedom is never more than one generation away from extinction. We didn?t pass it to our children in the bloodstream. It must be fought for, protected, and handed on for them to do the same.?
Ronald Reagan

Wednesday?s quiz
Where did Brett Favre play his rookie year in the NFL?

Tuesday?s quiz
Willie Mays had his 90th birthday last week; he wore #24 for the majority of his Hall of Fame career.

Monday?s quiz
Sacramento is NBA team that has gone longest since they last made playoffs, 14 years.

*********************************************

Wednesday?s Den: Mid-week musings??..

13) News today signals that the A?s will start looking away from Oakland, to find a new ballpark to call home. Apparently playing at the Oakland Coliseum isn?t feasible in the long run, so now the big business of baseball kicks in? will the A?s leave Oakland for greener pa$ture$?

12) Baseball is going to expand to 32 teams pretty soon, but they?ve said the stadium situations for the A?s/Rays will be clarified, before the expansion cities are chosen.

Cities like Montreal, Nashville, Portland, Charlotte, San Jose and apparently Las Vegas are mentioned as new MLB locations. I can see the A?s moving to Portland or Las Vegas, the Rays moving north to Montreal, and Nashville getting an expansion team. Not sure if Charlotte is a viable alternative.

11) I?ve been an A?s fan since I was five years old, back in the mid-60?s; lot of history in that decrepit old Coliseum, both baseball/football. Will be a sad day if the A?s leave Oakland.

10) There would be one place the A?s could move that would be a vast improvement, and that is San Jose, an hour south of Oakland. Most everything would remain the same except for a new ballpark; lot of money in that area, but there is one small problem before that happens.

San Francisco Giants have been blocking the A?s from moving there for years; they have the territorial rights to San Jose, even though they have no intention of ever going there.

You can see the A?s ballpark in Oakland from the Giants? ballpark across the bay, but they won?t let them move an hour away. Go figure.

9) As far as Las Vegas goes, I love it there, have been there 28 times since 2009? living in New York, that?s a lot of air mileage. But five years ago, Las Vegas had no major league sports teams; UNLV basketball was their #1 thing.

Now all of a sudden, three major league teams in five years? Town isn?t that big.

8) San Diego Padres? SS Fernando Tatis tested positive for COVID, is on the IL.

7) Tim Tebow is going to sign on as a tight end with the Jaguars; his old college coach is the new coach in Jacksonville (Urban Meyer). Am guessing Tebow would also play special teams and be the #3 emergency QB. How much different is he than the Saints? Taysom Hill?

6) Dodgers 6, Mariners 4? Gavin Lux hits a 3-run bomb in the 8th inning for LA.

5) Tigers 8, Royals 7? Kansas City lost its last nine games, gave up 26 runs in last three; they were down 7-0 in 8th inning of this game, tied it up, then lost it in the last inning.

4) Indians 3, Cubs 2? Terry Francona must?ve really wanted this game; he left Bieber in for 121 pitches, most in MLB this season. Indians won seven of their last eight games.

3) If the playoffs started today (they don?t):
NL: Mets-Cardinals-Giants Wild Card: SD is #1, Phil/Mil/LA tied for last spot
AL: Red Sox, White Sox, A?s. Wild Card: New York @ Cleveland

2) Zion Williamson broke his finger when he was fouled last week, then I hear the Pelicans? GM whining because Williamson got fouled and referees aren?t calling the games tight enough.

The NBA is soft now; watch some old games from the 80?s/90?s, there was actual competition, where hard fouls were often committed in the name of winning. Today a guy breaks his finger and his GM whines in the media. Get tougher, people.

1) NFL?s 2021 schedule comes out tonight; each team will play 17 games now, with all the NFC teams having an extra road game this season. Will be a lot to talk about tomorrow.
 

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901CINCINNATI -902 PITTSBURGH
PITTSBURGH is 8-23 SU (-17.4 Units) in home games vs. a team with a bad bullpen whose ERA is 4.70 or worse in the last 3 seasons.

903SAN DIEGO -904 COLORADO
SAN DIEGO is 28-40 SU (-23.9 Units) in road games vs. an NL team with an on base percentage .325 or worse in the last 3 seasons.

905PHILADELPHIA -906 WASHINGTON
WASHINGTON is 10-23 SU (-20.8 Units) vs. a team with a bad bullpen whose ERA is 4.70 or worse over the last 2 seasons.

907ST LOUIS -908 MILWAUKEE
MILWAUKEE is 16-31 SU (-18.9 Units) vs. an NL team with an on base percentage .315 or worse over the last 2 seasons.

909MIAMI -910 ARIZONA
ARIZONA is 8-1 SU (6.9 Units) in home games against right-handed starters in the current season.

911KANSAS CITY -912 DETROIT
DETROIT is 4-14 SU (-14.4 Units) vs. an AL team with an on base percentage .320 or worse in the current season.

913OAKLAND -914 BOSTON
OAKLAND is 4-14 SU (-13.2 Units) in road games vs. a starting pitcher whose gives up 5.5 or less hits/start over the last 2 seasons.

915NY YANKEES -916 TAMPA BAY
NY YANKEES are 97-73 SU (16.7 Units) in night games in the last 3 seasons.

917MINNESOTA -918 CHI WHITE SOX
MINNESOTA is 4-15 SU (-12.5 Units) vs. teams averaging 2.75 or less extra base hits per game in the current season.

919LA ANGELS -920 HOUSTON
LA ANGELS are 28-49 SU (-27.4 Units) vs. an AL starting pitcher whose WHIP is 1.300 or better in the last 3 seasons.
 

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MLB
Armadillo's Write-Up

Wednesday, May 12


NL games
Cincinnati (16-17) @ Pittsburgh (15-20)

? Gray is 0-2, 4.05 in four starts.
? Reds are 2-2 in his starts.
? over 2-2
? allowed run in first inning: 0-4
? you?re reading armadillosports.com
? record in first 5 innings: 0-3-1
? He is 3-3, 4.06 in 7 games (six starts) vs Pittsburgh.

? Cincinnati is 7-5 in its last 12 games.
? Reds are 6-10 on road.
? Over 14-5-2 last 21 games
? scored run in first inning: 8-33
? record in first 5 innings: 13-15-5

? Crowe is 0-1, 3.38 in three starts.
? Pirates are 1-2 in his starts.
? under 3-0
? allowed run in first inning: 2-3
? record in first 5 innings: 1-1-1
? He hasn?t pitched against Cincinnati.

? Pirates lost nine of their last 12 games.
? Pittsburgh lost five of its last six home games.
? under 5-3 last eight games
? scored run in first inning: 9-35
? record in first 5 innings: 14-16-5

Philadelphia (19-17) @ Washington (13-18)
? Wheeler is 2-0, 1.88 in his last three starts.
? Phillies are 3-4 in his starts
? under 4-3
? allowed run in first inning: 2-7
? record in first 5 innings: 2-3-2
? He is 6-11, 4.64 in 20 starts vs Washington.

? Phillies won six of their last eight games.
? Phillies are 6-11 on the road.
? under 8-4 last 12 road games.
? scored run in first inning: 16-36
? record in first 5 innings: 14-13-9

? Lester is 0-1, 2.40 in two starts.
? Washington is 1-1 in his starts.
? under 2-0
? allowed run in first inning: 0-2
? record in first 5 innings: 0-1-1
? He is 8-1, 1.92 in 11 starts vs Philly.

? Washington lost six of its last seven games.
? Nationals lost their last four home games.
? under 8-2 last ten games
? scored run in first inning: 7-31
? record in first 5 innings: 7-15-9

St Louis (22-14) @ Milwaukee (19-17)
? Gant is 2-3, 2.76 in six starts
? Cardinals are 3-3 in his starts.
? under 5-1
? allowed run in first inning: 3-6
? record in first 5 innings: 2-3-1
? He is 2-3, 4.28 in 14 games (3 starts) vs Milwaukee.

? Cardinals won 14 of their last 18 games.
? St Louis is 9-4 in its last 13 road games.
? Under 5-3-1 last nine games.
? scored run in first inning: 11-36
? record in first 5 innings: 18-12-6

? Woodruff is 2-1, 1.19 in his last six starts.
? Milwaukee is 5-2 in his starts.
? under 5-1 last six starts
? allowed run in first inning: 2-7
? record in first 5 innings: 3-1-3
? He is 3-1, 2.57 in six games (4 starts) vs St Louis.

? Brewers lost seven of their last nine games.
? Milwaukee is 8-9 at home.
? over 4-2-1 last seven home games.
? scored run in first inning: 9-36
? record in first 5 innings: 15-14-7

San Diego (20-16) @ Colorado (12-23)
? Darvish is 4-1, 1.62 in his last six starts.
? Padres are 6-1 in his starts.
? under 4-3
? allowed run in first inning: 3-7
? record in first 5 innings: 2-2-3
? He is 0-3, 7.66 in five starts vs Colorado.

? Snell is 1-0, 4.45 in seven starts
? Padres are 3-4 in his starts.
? last five starts went over
? allowed run in first inning: 1-7
? record in first 5 innings: 2-4-1
? He gave up no runs, 3 hits in two starts vs Colorado (13 IP).

? Padres are 7-4 in their last eleven games.
? San Diego is 7-4 in its last 11 road games.
? over 7-2 last nine road games
? scored run in first inning: 9-36
? record in first 5 innings: 13-18-5

? Gray is 3-1, 3.65 in his last four starts.
? Colorado is 4-3 in his starts.
? under 4-3
? allowed run in first inning: 2-7
? record in first 5 innings: 4-2-1
? He is 10-4, 2.98 in 20 starts vs San Diego.

? Gomber is 1-1, 5.00 in two home starts.
? Colorado is 2-5 in his starts.
? under 4-3
? allowed run in first inning: 2-7
? record in first 5 innings: 2-4-1
? He gave up a run in 1.2 IP, in two relief stints vs San Diego.

? Colorado is 3-9 in its last 12 games.
? Rockies are 10-4 in their last 14 home games.
? over 6-1 last seven home games.
? scored run in first inning: 11-35
? record in first 5 innings: 12-18-5

Miami (15-20) @ Arizona (17-19)
? Rogers is 4-1, 1.59 in his last six starts.
? Miami is 4-3 in his starts.
? under 4-3
? allowed run in first inning: 1-7
? record in first 5 innings: 5-2
? He hasn?t pitched against Arizona.

? Marlins lost their last three games.
? Miami is 1-6 in their last seven road tilts.
? under 5-2-2 in their last nine games
? scored run in first inning: 12-35
? record in first 5 innings: 12-16-7

? Gallen is 1-1, 3.37 in five starts.
? Arizona is 2-3 in his starts
? over 4-1
? allowed run in first inning: 1-5
? record in first 5 innings: 4-1
? He hasn?t pitched against Miami.
? Marlins traded him to Arizona two years ago; he started 7 games for Miami.

? Arizona lost seven of its last ten games.
? Arizona is 6-2 in its last eight home games.
? over 5-2 last seven home games
? scored run in first inning: 6-36
? record in first 5 innings: 18-16-2

AL games
Bronx (19-16) @ Tampa Bay (19-18)

? Cole is 4-1, 1.37 in his last six starts.
? New York is 4-3 in his starts.
? under 4-3
? allowed run in first inning: 1-7
? record in first 5 innings: 6-0-1
? He is 0-4, 3.91 in eight starts vs Tampa Bay.

? New York won 14 of its last 20 games.
? New York is 6-3 in its last nine road games.
? under 14-7 last 21 games
? scored run in first inning: 6-35
? record in first 5 innings: 17-12-6

? Yarbrough is 1-1, 3.05 in his last four games (20.2 IP)
? They may/may not use an opener.
? Rays are 1-3 in his starts.
? over 4-0
? allowed run in first inning: 2-4
? record in first 5 innings: 0-3-1
? He is 4-2, 2.88 in seven games (0 starts, 25 IP) vs New York.

? Tampa Bay won six of its last nine games.
? Rays are 3-6 in last nine home games.
? 11 of last 17 games stayed under
? scored run in first inning: 9-37
? record in first 5 innings: 12-15-10

Kansas City (16-18) @ Detroit (11-24)
? Duffy is 4-2, 1.77 in six starts.
? Royals are 4-2 in his starts.
? under 5-1
? allowed run in first inning: 0-6
? record in first 5 innings: 4-2
? He is 9-10, 4.63 in 30 games (26 starts) vs Detroit.

? Royals lost their last nine games.
? Royals are 7-4 in last 11 road games.
? 10 of last 12 games went over
? scores run in first inning: 6-34
? record in first 5 innings: 14-15-5

? Mize is 0-3, 6.23 in his last four starts.
? Detroit is 3-3 in his starts.
? under 5-1 in his starts
? allowed run in first inning: 1-6
? record in first 5 innings: 2-3-1
? He allowed 6 runs in 4.2 IP, in his one start vs Kansas City.

? Detroit lost 18 of its last 23 games.
? Detroit is 4-8 in its last 12 home games.
? under 10-6 at home
? scored run in first inning: 6-35
? record in first 5 innings: 3-16-3 last 22 games

Oakland (22-15) @ Boston (22-15)
? Kaprelian is making his first MLB start.
? He gave up 3 runs in 3.2 IP LY, in two relief stints.
? He hasn?t pitched against Boston

? A?s are 9-8 in their last 17 games.
? Oakland is 9-4 on the road.
? Over is 6-4 in their last ten games.
? scored run in first inning: 10-37
? record in first 5 innings: 14-13-10

? Rodriguez is 5-0, 3.82 in six starts.
? Red Sox are 5-1 in his starts.
? under 4-1 last five starts
? allowed run in first inning: 3-6
? record in first 5 innings: 5-1
? He is 2-2, 4.33 in six starts vs Oakland.

? Boston won five of its last eight games.
? Red Sox are 10-7 in last 17 home games.
? over 6-2 last eight home games
? scored run in first inning: 10-37
? record in first 5 innings: 16-13-8

Angels (16-19) @ Houston (19-17)
? Heaney is 1-1, 2.25 in his last five starts.
? Angels are 2-4 in his starts.
? over 5-1
? allowed run in first inning: 1-6
? record in first 5 innings: 4-2
? He is 3-3, 3.07 in ten starts vs Houston.

? Halos won three of last five games overall.
? Angels split their last ten road games.
? over 12-8 last 20 games
? scored run in first inning: 8-35
? record in first 5 innings: 16-17-2

? Urquidy is 3-0, 1.80 in his last three starts.
? Astros are 4-3 in his starts.
? under 3-1 last four starts
? allowed run in first inning: 3-7
? record in first 5 innings: 5-2
? He is 1-0, 4.80 in four games (3 starts) against the Angels.

? Astros lost five of their last nine games.
? Astros are 8-5 in last 13 home games.
? over 7-4 last 11 games
? scored run in first inning: 9-36
? record in first 5 innings: 17-13-6

Minnesota (12-21) @ White Sox (20-13)
? Happ is 2-0, 1.35 in his last three starts.
? Twins are 2-3 in his starts.
? under 3-2
? allowed run in first inning: 1-5
? record in first 5 innings: 3-1-1
? He is 4-3, 5.05 in eight starts vs Chicago.

? Twins lost 19 of their last 26 games.
? Minnesota is 2-8 in last ten road games.
? over 10-2 last 12 games
? scores run in first inning: 13-33
? record in first 5 innings: 14-11-8

? Keuchel is 1-1, 2.25 in his last four starts
? Chicago is 4-3 in his starts.
? under 3-1 last four starts
? allowed run in first inning: 1-6
? record in first 5 innings: 4-1-2
? He is 4-3, 3.12 in eight games (7 starts) vs Minnesota.

? Chicago is 8-4 in its last 12 games.
? White Sox are 7-3 in last ten home games.
? over 4-1-1 last six home games.
? scored run in first inning: 9-33
? record in first 5 innings: 22-4-7

Interleague games
Cubs (17-18) @ Cleveland (19-14)

? Davies is 0-1, 14.54 in three road starts.
? Cubs are 4-3 in his starts.
? under 4-3
? allowed run in first inning: 3-7
? record in first 5 innings: 3-3-1
? He hasn?t pitched against Cleveland.

? Cubs won five of their last seven games.
? Chicago is 3-10 in its last 13n road games.
? Over is 9-5 in their last 14 games.
? scored run in first inning: 12-35
? record in first 5 innings: 13-17-5

? bullpen game for Cleveland

? Cleveland won 11 of its last 14 games.
? Indians are 9-7 at home.
? over 12-6-1 last 19 games
? scores run in first inning: 7-33
? record in first 5 innings: 11-17-5

Baltimore (16-20) @ Mets (17-13)
? Former Met Harvey is 3-1, 4.35 in his last four starts.
? Orioles are 4-3 in his starts.
? under 4-3 in his starts
? allowed run in first inning: 2-7
? record in first 5 innings: 5-1-1
? He hasn?t pitched against New York.

? Orioles lost six of their last nine games.
? Baltimore is 11-7 on the road, 5-13 at home.
? under is 17-5 in their last 22 games.
? scored run in first inning: 9-36
? record in first 5 innings: 13-15-8

? Walker is 2-0, 2.25 in his last three starts.
? Mets are 5-1 in his starts.
? under 4-2 in his starts
? allowed run in first inning: 0-6
? record in first 5 innings: 5-1
? He is 2-1, 3.00 in six starts vs Baltimore.

? Mets are 8-2 in their last ten games.
? Mets are 10-4 at home.
? Under 11-5-1 last 17 games.
? scored run in first inning: 5-30
? record in first 5 innings: 14-13-3

Toronto (18-16) @ Atlanta (17-18)
? Ryu is 1-1, 5.27 in his last three starts.
? Blue Jays are 4-2 in his starts.
? under 4-2
? allowed run in first inning: 1-6
? record in first 5 innings: 3-3
? He is 2-2, 2.37 in six starts vs Atlanta.

? Toronto is 10-6 in its last 16 games.
? Toronto is 7-5 in last 12 road games.
? over 10-3 last 13 games
? scored run in first inning: 10-34
? record in first 5 innings: 13-17-4

? Fried is 1-1, 9.00 in four starts (16 IP).
? Braves are 2-2 in his starts.
? under 2-2
? allowed run in first inning: 2-4
? record in first 5 innings: 2-2
? He allowed one run in six IP, in his one start vs Toronto.

? Braves won five of their last seven games.
? Atlanta is 9-9 at home.
? Under is 6-2 in their last eight games.
? scored run in first inning: 12-35
? record in first 5 innings: 16-14-5

Seattle (18-18) @ Dodgers (19-17)
? Dunn is 1-0, 3.00 in his last four starts.
? Seattle is 4-1 in his starts.
? over 3-2
? allowed run in first inning: 0-5
? record in first 5 innings: 2-2-1
? He gave up 6 runs in two IP, in his one start against the Dodgers.

? Seattle is 3-6 in its last nine games.
? Seattle is 2-7 in its last nine road games.
? over 4-0 last four games
? scored run in first inning: 9-36
? record in first 5 innings: 14-18-4

? Urias is 2-1, 3.38 in his last four starts.
? Dodgers are 5-2 in his starts.
? over 5-2
? allowed run in first inning: 2-7
? record in first 5 innings: 5-2
? He is 1-0, 1.04 in two starts vs Seattle.

? Dodgers lost 15 of their last 21 games.
? Dodgers are 3-5 in last eight home games.
? over 14-3 last 17 games
? scored run in first inning: 9-36
? record in first 5 innings: 16-14-6

Wednesday?s umpires:
Cin-Pitt: Favorites are 6-1 in May games.
SD-Col: Home side won all five Lentz games.
Favorites won all five Additon games.
Phil-Wsh: Last three Mahrley games stayed under.
StL-Mil: Over is 3-1 in Tichenor games.
Mia-Ariz: Favorites won four of last five Bucknor games.

KC-Det: Road team won five of six Bellino games.
NY-TB: Under is 4-2 in Miller games.
A?s-Bos: Underdogs won four of last five Willis games.
LAA-Hst: Road team won last four Guccione games.
Min-CWS: Road team won last five Barber games.

Balt-NYM: Four of five Torres games went over.
Chi-Clev: Favorites won five of last six Barksdale games.
Tor-Atl: Over is 4-2 in Fletcher games.
Sea-LA: Three of four Drake games went over.
 

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MLB

Wednesday, May 12


------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Trend Report
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Baltimore @ NY Mets
Baltimore
Baltimore is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games when playing on the road against NY Mets
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Baltimore's last 8 games
NY Mets
NY Mets is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of NY Mets's last 7 games at home

Cincinnati @ Pittsburgh
Cincinnati
Cincinnati is 8-1 SU in its last 9 games when playing Pittsburgh
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Cincinnati's last 7 games on the road
Pittsburgh
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Pittsburgh's last 6 games at home
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Pittsburgh's last 5 games when playing Cincinnati

Chi Cubs @ Cleveland
Chi Cubs
Chi Cubs is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games on the road
Chi Cubs is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Cleveland
Cleveland
Cleveland is 7-1 SU in its last 8 games
Cleveland is 5-2 SU in its last 7 games at home

San Diego @ Colorado
San Diego
San Diego is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing Colorado
San Diego is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games when playing Colorado
Colorado
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Colorado's last 6 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Colorado's last 5 games when playing San Diego

San Diego @ Colorado
San Diego
San Diego is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing Colorado
San Diego is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games when playing Colorado
Colorado
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Colorado's last 6 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Colorado's last 5 games when playing San Diego

Philadelphia @ Washington
Philadelphia
Philadelphia is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games
Philadelphia is 6-2 SU in its last 8 games
Washington
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Washington's last 5 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Washington's last 8 games

Oakland @ Boston
Oakland
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Oakland's last 5 games on the road
Oakland is 9-3 SU in its last 12 games on the road
Boston
Boston is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing at home against Oakland
Boston is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Oakland

Kansas City @ Detroit
Kansas City
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Kansas City's last 5 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 9 of Kansas City's last 10 games when playing on the road against Detroit
Detroit
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Detroit's last 5 games
The total has gone UNDER in 9 of Detroit's last 10 games when playing at home against Kansas City

NY Yankees @ Tampa Bay
NY Yankees
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of NY Yankees's last 5 games on the road
NY Yankees is 8-2 SU in its last 10 games
Tampa Bay
The total has gone UNDER in 8 of Tampa Bay's last 10 games at home
Tampa Bay is 7-2 ATS in its last 9 games

Toronto @ Atlanta
Toronto
Toronto is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Atlanta
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Toronto's last 6 games on the road
Atlanta
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Atlanta's last 6 games when playing at home against Toronto
The total has gone OVER in 16 of Atlanta's last 21 games at home

St. Louis @ Milwaukee
St. Louis
St. Louis is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games on the road
St. Louis is 10-2 SU in its last 12 games
Milwaukee
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Milwaukee's last 9 games at home
Milwaukee is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games

Minnesota @ Chi White Sox
Minnesota
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Minnesota's last 5 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Minnesota's last 7 games when playing Chi White Sox
Chi White Sox
Chi White Sox is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Chi White Sox's last 7 games when playing Minnesota

LA Angels @ Houston
LA Angels
The total has gone OVER in 11 of LA Angels's last 14 games when playing on the road against Houston
The total has gone OVER in 12 of LA Angels's last 16 games when playing Houston
Houston
The total has gone OVER in 11 of Houston's last 14 games when playing at home against LA Angels
Houston is 18-6 SU in its last 24 games when playing at home against LA Angels

Miami @ Arizona
Miami
Miami is 5-2 ATS in its last 7 games when playing Arizona
Miami is 2-6 ATS in its last 8 games when playing on the road against Arizona
Arizona
Arizona is 8-1 SU in its last 9 games when playing at home against Miami
Arizona is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games at home

Seattle @ LA Dodgers
Seattle
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Seattle's last 6 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Seattle's last 5 games
LA Dodgers
LA Dodgers is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Seattle
The total has gone OVER in 5 of LA Dodgers's last 5 games at home


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Diamond Trends for Wednesday May 12
Vince Akins

SU Play ON Trend of the Day
Matchup: L.A. Angels at Houston (8:10 p.m. ET)

-- The Astros are 13-0 SU since Apr 25, 2018 at home after Yuli Gurriel struck out at least twice last game.

SU Play AGAINST Trend of the Day
Matchup: Seattle at L.A. Dodgers (10:10 p.m. ET)

-- The Mariners are 0-18 SU since Jun 13, 2019 as a road 140+ dog when seeking same season revenge vs their opponents starting pitcher.

OU Trend of the Day
Matchup: Baltimore at N.Y. Mets (12:10 p.m. ET)

-- The Mets are 0-10 OU (-2.30 ppg) since Aug 09, 2017 in the second game of a series at home after they won by one run last game.

Starter-Based Trend of the Day
Matchup: Seattle at L.A. Dodgers (10:10 p.m. ET)

-- The Dodgers are 9-0-1 OU (4.70 ppg) since Sep 29, 2016 when Julio Urias starts as a favorite when they lost in his last start.

Trends are verified using Sports Data Query Language (SDQL)
 

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Thursday?s 6-pack
Odds to win the Byron Nelson golf tournament:

7-1? Bryson DeChambeau
17-2? Jon Rahm
10-1? Jordan Spieth
14-1? Daniel Berger
16-1? Brooks Koepka, Hideki Matsuyama
18-1? Matthew Fitzpatrick

Americans who have died from COVID-19: 582,771
PLEASE wear a mask (over your nose/mouth) when you go out.


Quote of the Day
?Its not who you play, it?s when you play them.?
Bud Grant

Thursday?s quiz
Before moving to Tennessee Titans moved to Memphis and then Nashville, where did they call home?

Wednesday?s quiz
Brett Favre played his rookie year with the Atlanta Falcons.

Tuesday?s quiz
Willie Mays had his 90th birthday last week; he wore #24 for the majority of his Hall of Fame career.

******************************

Thursday?s Den: Quick thoughts on the 2021 NFL schedule

I?ll have more on the NFL schedule over the next few days, but here are some early thoughts on the 2021 schedule:

? NFL teams will play 17 games this season for the first time; exhibition games have been reduced to three. AFC teams get the extra home game this season.

? Regular season ends January 9th, with games in Buffalo and Cleveland. Have fun!!!

? Jets traded QB Sam Darnold to Carolina this winter; the wise guys who create the schedule created an interesting Week 1 matchup, Jets @ Carolina. Go figure, a coincidence I?m sure.

? Christmas is on a Saturday, Halloween is a Sunday this year; there are two Christmas games. Browns-Packers, Colts-Cardinals. Which casino will I be watching those games in?

? This has nothing to do with football, but Halloween weekend in Las Vegas is tremendous, take my word on that.

? Cowboys-Buccaneers is the Week 1 Thursday game, where the defending champ traditionally opens the next season at home. Home team is 15-3 SU in this game the last 18 years, 11-3-4 against the spread.

? Don?t think the NFL foresees Aaron Rodgers being traded to Denver; Broncos have one game on in prime-time, Green Bay has five.

? NFL doesn?t think much of the Patriots; only three primetime games, one of which is Tom Brady?s return to Foxboro in Week 4.

? Thanksgiving Day slate:
Bears @ Detroit, Raiders @ Dallas, Bills @ New Orleans

? Non-schedule news; Green Bay signed backup QB Blake Bortles, re-uniting him with OC Nathaniel Hackett- they worked together in Jacksonville from 2015-18.

? Division rivals Carolina/Tampa Bay have their two meetings in weeks 16/18.

? I?m totally befuddled that Rams-Lions isn?t a primetime game. Detroit got one game on in primetime, at Green Bay in Week 2. Very surprised by this, seeing how the teams swapped quarterbacks this winter. ESPN obviously didn?t want the game.

Every team got at least one primetime game; eight teams got just one.

? Four teams have the earliest byes, Week 6? Falcons, Saints, Jets, 49ers.

? Four teams have the latest byes, Week 14? Colts, Dolphins, Patriots, Eagles.

? Nine teams got the maximum five primetime games.

? Cardinals/Chargers have three prime-time games, all at home, which is odd. Giants got three primetime games, all on the road? they can?t be real happy about that.
 

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951PHILADELPHIA -952 WASHINGTON
WASHINGTON is 19-30 SU (-19.2 Units) vs. a team with a poor bullpen whose ERA is 4.20 or worse over the last 2 seasons.

953ST LOUIS -954 MILWAUKEE
MILWAUKEE is 16-32 SU (-19.9 Units) vs. an NL team with an on base percentage .315 or worse over the last 2 seasons.

955SAN FRANCISCO -956 PITTSBURGH
SAN FRANCISCO is 21-11 SU (12.2 Units) vs. teams whose hitters strike out 7 or more times/game in the current season.

957CINCINNATI -958 COLORADO
CINCINNATI is 0-10 SU (-11.3 Units) vs. a bad bullpen that blows 38% or more of their save opportunities in the current season.

959MIAMI -960 ARIZONA
ARIZONA is 9-2 SU (10.6 Units) in home games vs. teams whose hitters draw 3 walks or less/game over the last 2 seasons.

961KANSAS CITY -962 DETROIT
DETROIT is 5-14 SU (-13.4 Units) vs. an AL team with an on base percentage .320 or worse in the current season.

963MINNESOTA -964 CHI WHITE SOX
MINNESOTA is 4-16 SU (-14.6 Units) vs. teams averaging 2.75 or less extra base hits per game in the current season.

965OAKLAND -966 BOSTON
OAKLAND is 4-14 SU (-13.2 Units) in road games vs. a starting pitcher whose gives up 5.5 or less hits/start over the last 2 seasons.

967NY YANKEES -968 TAMPA BAY
NY YANKEES are 96-71 SU (17.9 Units) when the total is 8.5 to 10 in the last 3 seasons.

969TEXAS -970 HOUSTON
TEXAS are 17-6 SU (11.1 Units) vs. an AL team with an on base percentage .320 or worse in the current season.
 

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MLB
Armadillo's Write-Up

Thursday, May 13


NL games
Philadelphia (20-17) @ Washington (13-19)

? Eflin is 1-1, 5.12 in three road starts.
? Phillies are 4-3 in his starts
? over 5-1 last six
? allowed run in first inning: 2-7
? record in first 5 innings: 4-1-2
? He is 4-3, 4.26 in nine starts vs Washington.

? Phillies won seven of their last nine games.
? Phillies are 7-11 on the road.
? under 9-4 last 13 road games.
? scored run in first inning: 17-37
? record in first 5 innings: 14-14-9

? Corbin is 1-1, 3.52 in his last four starts.
? Washington is 3-3 in his starts.
? over 4-2
? allowed run in first inning: 3-6
? record in first 5 innings: 1-3-2
? He is 5-3, 3.19 in 11 starts vs Philly.

? Washington lost seven of its last eight games.
? Nationals lost their last five home games.
? under 9-2 last 11 games
? scored run in first inning: 7-32
? record in first 5 innings: 8-15-9

St Louis (22-15) @ Milwaukee (20-17)
? Flaherty is 6-0, 2.43 in his last six starts
? Cardinals are 7-0 in his starts.
? over 4-1-2
? allowed run in first inning: 1-7
? record in first 5 innings: 6-0-1
? He is 2-6, 5.72 in 12 starts vs Milwaukee.

? Cardinals won 14 of their last 19 games.
? St Louis is 9-5 in its last 14 road games.
? Under 6-3-1 last ten games.
? scored run in first inning: 11-37
? record in first 5 innings: 18-12-7

? Burnes was 2-2, 1.84 in five starts before his IL stint.
? Milwaukee is 2-3 in his starts.
? under 3-1-1
? allowed run in first inning: 0-5
? record in first 5 innings: 3-1-1
? He is 1-2, 4.91 in eight games (5 starts) vs St Louis.

? Brewers lost seven of their last ten games.
? Milwaukee is 9-9 at home.
? over 4-3-1 last eight home games.
? scored run in first inning: 9-37
? record in first 5 innings: 15-14-8

San Francisco (22-14) @ Pittsburgh (15-21)
? DeSclafani is 2-1, 2.40 in seven starts.
? Giants are 4-3 in his starts.
? over 4-0 last four
? allowed run in first inning: 1-7
? record in first 5 innings: 4-2-1
? He is 2-7, 5.44 in 16 starts vs Pittsburgh.

? Giants won six of their last nine games.
? Giants are 2-5 in last seven road games.
? Over is 12-4-1 in their last 17 games.
? scored run in first inning: 9-36
? record in first 5 innings: 20-11-5

? Crowe is 0-1, 3.38 in three starts.
? Pirates are 1-2 in his starts.
? under 3-0
? allowed run in first inning: 2-3
? record in first 5 innings: 1-1-1
? He hasn?t pitched against San Francisco

? Pirates lost 10 of their last 13 games.
? Pittsburgh lost six of its last seven home games.
? under 6-3 last nine games
? scored run in first inning: 9-36
? record in first 5 innings: 14-16-6

Cincinnati (17-17) @ Colorado (13-24)
? Miley is 2-1, 1.80 in his last three starts.
? He threw a no-hitter in his last start.
? Reds are 4-2 in his starts.
? over 3-3
? allowed run in first inning: 3-6
? you?re reading armadillosports.com
? record in first 5 innings: 3-2-1
? He is 8-2, 3.73 in 14 starts vs Colorado.

? Cincinnati is 8-5 in its last 13 games.
? Reds are 7-10 on road.
? Over 14-6-2 last 22 games
? scored run in first inning: 8-34
? record in first 5 innings: 13-15-6

? Gonzalez is 0-1, 6.08 in five starts.
? Colorado is 1-4 in his starts.
? over 3-1-1
? allowed run in first inning: 2-5
? record in first 5 innings: 2-3
? He allowed three runs in 5.2 IP in his one start vs Cincinnati.

? Colorado is 4-10 in its last 14 games.
? Rockies are 11-5 in their last 16 home games.
? over 7-2 last nine home games.
? scored run in first inning: 12-37
? record in first 5 innings: 13-18-6

Miami (16-20) @ Arizona (17-20)
? Rogers is 4-1, 1.59 in his last six starts.
? Miami is 4-3 in his starts.
? under 4-3
? allowed run in first inning: 1-7
? record in first 5 innings: 5-2
? He hasn?t pitched against Arizona.

? Marlins lost three of their last four games.
? Miami is 2-6 in their last eight road tilts.
? under 6-2-2 in their last ten games
? scored run in first inning: 13-36
? record in first 5 innings: 13-16-7

? Kelly is 1-1, 3.63 in his last four starts.
? Arizona is 4-3 in his starts
? under 4-3
? allowed run in first inning: 2-7
? record in first 5 innings: 3-4
? He hasn?t pitched against Miami.
? He gave up 7 runs in six IP, in one start vs Miami.

? Arizona lost eight of its last 11 games.
? Arizona is 6-3 in its last nine home games.
? over 5-3 last eight home games
? scored run in first inning: 7-37
? record in first 5 innings: 18-17-2

AL games
Bronx (20-16) @ Tampa Bay (19-19)

? Taillon is 1-1, 3.98 in his last four starts.
? New York is 2-4 in his starts.
? over 4-2
? allowed run in first inning: 0-6
? record in first 5 innings: 1-3-2
? He threw 6.1 scoreless innings in his one start vs Tampa Bay.

? New York won 15 of its last 21 games.
? New York is 7-3 in its last ten road games.
? under 15-7 last 22 games
? scored run in first inning: 6-36
? record in first 5 innings: 17-12-7

? Hill is 0-1, 4.22 in his last five starts (21.2 IP).
? Rays are 3-4 in his starts.
? over 5-2
? allowed run in first inning: 1-7
? record in first 5 innings: 02-2-3
? He is 2-2, 5.06 in 12 games (4 starts) vs New York.

? Tampa Bay lost four of its last five games.
? Rays are 3-7 in last ten home games.
? 12 of last 18 games stayed under
? scored run in first inning: 9-38
? record in first 5 innings: 12-15-11

Kansas City (16-19) @ Detroit (12-24)
? Lynch gave up 11 runs in five IP in his first two starts.
? Royals are 0-2 in his starts.
? over 2-0
? allowed run in first inning: 1-2
? record in first 5 innings: 0-1-1
? He hasn?t pitched against Detroit.

? Royals lost their last ten games overall.
? Royals are 7-5 in last 12 road games.
? 10 of last 13 games went over
? scores run in first inning: 7-35
? record in first 5 innings: 14-16-5

? Turnbull is 0-2, 7.07 in his last three starts.
? Detroit is 1-3 in his starts.
? over 3-1 in his starts
? allowed run in first inning: 2-4
? record in first 5 innings: 2-2
? He is 0-3, 3.46 in seven starts vs Kansas City.

? Detroit lost 18 of its last 24 games.
? Detroit is 5-8 in its last 13 home games.
? under 11-6 at home
? scored run in first inning: 6-36
? record in first 5 innings: 4-16-3 last 23 games

Oakland (23-15) @ Boston (22-16)
? Manaea is 3-0, 2.23 in his last six starts.
? A?s are 6-1 in his starts.
? over 4-3
? allowed run in first inning: 2-7
? record in first 5 innings: 3-1-3
? He is 3-2, 6.84 in five starts vs Boston.

? A?s are 4-1 in their last five games.
? Oakland is 10-4 on the road.
? Under is 6-0 in their last six road games.
? scored run in first inning: 10-38
? record in first 5 innings: 15-13-10

? Richards is 2-0, 3.00 in his last three starts.
? Red Sox are 3-4 in his starts.
? under 4-1 last five starts
? allowed run in first inning: 4-7
? record in first 5 innings: 2-3-2
? He is 3-4, 4.29 in 18 games (14 starts) vs Oakland.

? Boston lost its last three games.
? Red Sox are 10-8 in last 18 home games.
? over 6-3 last nine home games
? scored run in first inning: 11-38
? record in first 5 innings: 16-14-8

Texas (18-20) @ Houston (20-17)
? Foltynewicz is 1-0, 3.44 in his last three starts.
? Rangers are 3-4 in his starts.
? under 5-2
? allowed run in first inning: 2-7
? record in first 5 innings: 1-5-1
? He hasn?t pitched against Houston.

? Texas won eight of its last 13 games.
? Texas won three of its last five road games.
? under 4-0 last five road games.
? scored run in first inning: 10-38
? record in first 5 innings: 13-19-6

? Javier is 3-1, 2.01 in four home starts.
? Astros are 4-2 in his starts.
? over 4-2
? allowed run in first inning: 0-6
? record in first 5 innings: 4-1-1
? He is 2-0, 2.92 in two starts vs Texas.

? Astros won five of their last seven games.
? Astros are 9-5 in last 14 home games.
? over 8-4 last 12 games
? scored run in first inning: 10-37
? record in first 5 innings: 18-13-6

Minnesota (12-22) @ White Sox (21-13)
? Pineda is 2-1, 2.97 in six starts.
? Twins are 3-3 in his starts.
? under 3-2-1
? allowed run in first inning: 0-6
? record in first 5 innings: 4-1-1
? He is 5-3, 3.21 in nine starts vs Chicago.

? Twins lost 20 of their last 27 games.
? Minnesota is 2-9 in last 11 road games.
? over 11-2 last 13 games
? scores run in first inning: 14-34
? record in first 5 innings: 14-12-8

? Lynn is 3-1, 1.80 in his last four starts
? Chicago is 3-2 in his starts.
? under 3-2
? allowed run in first inning: 0-5
? record in first 5 innings: 4-0-1
? He gave up 3 runs in five IP, in his one start vs Minnesota.

? Chicago is 9-4 in its last 13 games.
? White Sox are 8-3 in last 11 home games.
? over 5-1-1 last seven home games.
? scored run in first inning: 10-34
? record in first 5 innings: 23-4-7

Cleveland (20-14) @ Seattle (18-18)
? Plesac is 1-0, 1.27 in his last three starts.
? Cubs are 3-4 in his starts.
? under 4-2-1
? allowed run in first inning: 2-7
? record in first 5 innings: 2-4-1
? He hasn?t pitched against Seattle.

? Cleveland won 12 of its last 15 games.
? Indians won their last five road games.
? over 12-7-1 last 20 games
? scores run in first inning: 7-34
? record in first 5 innings: 11-17-6

? Gilbert makes his MLB debut here.

? Seattle is 3-7 in its last ten games.
? Seattle is 7-5 in its last dozen home games.
? over 4-0-1 last five games
? scored run in first inning: 9-37
? record in first 5 innings: 14-19-4

Interleague games
Toronto (19-16) @ Atlanta (17-19)

? Stripling is 0-2, 6.75 in four starts.
? Blue Jays are 1-3 in his starts.
? under 2-2
? allowed run in first inning: 1-4
? record in first 5 innings: 1-3
? He is 1-1, 4.50 in seven games (4 starts) vs Atlanta.

? Toronto is 11-6 in its last 17 games.
? Toronto is 8-5 in last 13 road games.
? over 10-4 last 14 games
? scored run in first inning: 10-35
? record in first 5 innings: 13-18-4

? Morton is 1-1, 8.22 in his last five starts.
? Braves are 2-5 in his starts.
? over 5-2
? allowed run in first inning: 1-7
? record in first 5 innings: 3-3-1
? He is 2-2, 3.83 in eight starts vs Toronto.

? Braves won five of their last eight games.
? Atlanta is 2-4 in last six home games.
? Under is 7-2 in their last nine games.
? scored run in first inning: 12-36
? record in first 5 innings: 17-14-5

Thursday?s umpires:
Phil-Wsh: Over is 4-2 in Nelson games.
StL-Mil: Over is 3-1 in Tichenor games.
Mia-Ariz: Rookie ump Williams has no history

KC-Det: Over is 6-0-1 in Moscoso games.
NY-TB: Under is 5-2 in Eddings games.
A?s-Bos: Under is 4-2 in last six Reyburn games.
Min-CWS: Home side won last four Carlson games.

Tor-Atl: Underdogs won three of four Barry games.
 
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