Cnotes 2022 Major League Baseball Transactions, News, Notes, Picks Etc. !!

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Our 2nd List for Wednesday: Umpire trends for the first half

Here are some trends on home plate umpires so far this season:

Umps whose games go over the total a lot
12-4– Wendelstedt
10-3– Layne
12-6-1— Bellino
12-6— Libka, Porter
10-5-1— Guccione
9-4— Marquez, Muchlinski

Umps whose games stay under the total a lot
15-2– Fletcher
14-6— Livensparger
12-4— Scheurwater
12-6— Ceja, Cuzzi
12-7— Hernandez
11-6— Hoberg, May
10-6— Carapazza, Dreckman, Wills

Umps whose games see home team win a lot:
14-3— Bucknor
12-3– Barber
12-4— Reynolds, Scheurwater
10-3– Barry
13-6— Ceja
10-4— Hickox
12-6— Little, Vondrak
11-5— Wendelstedt

Umps whose games see road team win a lot:
14-5– Hernandez
12-4— Whitson
12-5– Fletcher
11-5— Carapazza
10-6— Reyburn
11-7— TGibson, Torres

Umps whose games see home favorite win a lot:
12-0– Bucknor
11-2— Vondrak
12-3— Valentine
10-1– Barry
9-1— Wendelstedt
8-1— Barber
10-3— Moscoso
12-5— Mahrley
9-2— Merzel
8-1— Scheurwater

Umps whose games see road underdog win a lot:
10-3– Hernandez, Whitson
7-4— Layne
8-5— Reyburn
7-5— Dreckman, Miller
6-5— Fletcher

Umps whose games see home underdogs win a lot:
8-0— Little
4-1— Barksdale
6-3— Hickox, Wegner
4-2— Barber, Hudson
3-1— Dreckman, Hamari, Knight

Umps whose games see road favorites win a lot:
6-0– Fletcher
7-1— Livensparger, Valentime
5-0– Drake, Hoye, Johnson, Muchlinski, Wolcott
7-2— Bacchus, Moscoso
 

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Thursday’s 6-pack
Major league leaders in OPS:
1.058— Yordan Alvarez, Hst
1.004— Paul Goldschmidt, StL
.983— Aaron Judge, NYY
.980— Rafael Devers, Bos
.967— Mike Trout, LAA
.944— Jose Ramirez, Clev

Quote of the Day
“I’m competing against guys all across the SEC who host kids at their biggest game. When Auburn plays Alabama, guess where the recruits are. They’re at Auburn. When LSU and Alabama play, guess where the biggest recruits want to go. It’s an opportunity for us to bring these kids who fly in from all over the country. What game do they want to see? They’d like to see Georgia play Florida but they can’t do that.”
Kirby Smart; he wants Florida-Georgia games to be played on campus sites

Thursday’s quiz
Which NFL team did Nick Saban used to coach?

Wednesday’s quiz
On the old game show Hollywood Squares, Paul Lynde sat in the center square most of the time.

Tuesday’s quiz
Clint Hurdle was the Pittsburgh Pirates’ manager the last time they made the playoffs.

*************************************

Thursday’s Den: Doing some thinking out loud…….

13) Major League Baseball is debating expanding to 32 teams; seems to be one of the few things the owners/Players’ Association agree upon. Only question is when, and which cities?

Two new teams means:
— 52 more major league roster spots
— increased revenue for the owners (entry fee for the new reams will be over $1B each)
— more minor league teams, which is more jobs for players/staff/umpires
— 32 teams means interleague play doesn’t have to happen every day.

12) Seven of the Pirates’ first ten draft picks this week were pitchers, which seems like a good idea for a team that sorely lacks pitching.

11) Houston’s first 11 picks were college players; seven of those were pitchers. It is interesting how some teams prefer high school kids, but college kids are further along, usually get to the majors quicker, and Houston is in a win-now mode.

10) Dodgers drafted Baylor OF Kyle Nevin Tuesday; his dad Phil Nevin is the interim manager of the Angels right now, and his brother plays for Baltimore.

9) Random trivia: Ryan Dempster/Kenny Rogers both allowed 11 grand slams, most of any pitchers in MLB history.

8) Nick Swisher/Mark Teixeira both had 14 games where they hit a home run from both sides of the plate, tied for the most in MLB history.

7) Since 1988, fewest pitches thrown in a 9-inning complete game: 74, by Minnesota’s Carlos Silva in 2005, Colorado’s Aaron Cook in 2007.

6) Oakland A’s/San Diego Padres are only two teams who have never had a second baseman start in the All-Star Game.

5) Jeff McNeil was the first New York Met to start an All-Star Game since 2013; Texas Rangers have the longest such drought- their last All-Star starter was in 2012.

4) Juan Soto banked $1M for winning Home Run Derby; Julio Rodriguez got $750K for his second-place finish. Wonder what their batting practice pitchers got?

3) Since 1988, most swings/misses generated by a pitcher in one game:
38— David Cone, 1991
38— Pedro Martinez, 2000
37— Randy Johnson, 1997

2) SEC football Media Days are this week, as coaches gathered to promote their teams and the upcoming season. Even Nick Saban tries to be pleasant for a little while. It is unclear when Texas and Oklahoma are jumping to the SEC, or if the SEC will add any teams beyond that.

1) American League has now won the last nine All-Star Games, and 21 of last 25. Under is on a 13-2-1 run in All-Star Games.
 

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Weather Report

Thursday, July 21


DMF83D3.png
 

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HOUSTON is 10-1 Under (8.9 Units) off a loss to a division rival as a favorite in the current season.

MIAMI is 14-3 SU (10.7 Units) after batting .175 or worse over a 3 game span over the last 2 seasons.

DETROIT is 178-134 Over (30.6 Units) after 7 or more consecutive road games since 1996.

HOUSTON is 14-1 SU (15.4 Units) vs. teams outscoring opp by 0.5 or more runs/game on the season in the current season.

DETROIT is 725-738 SU (-86.8 Units) in road games against right-handed starters since 1996.

LA DODGERS are 8-1 SU (6.9 Units) when playing on Thursday in the current season.
 

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Armadillo's Write-Up

Thursday, July 21


National League
San Francisco (48-43) @ Dodgers (60-30)

— Rodon is 4-1, 1.57 in his last seven starts.
— Giants are 8-10 in his starts
— under 6-1 last seven
— allowed run in first inning: 3-18
— record in first 5 innings: 10-6-2
— He is 1-2, 3.52 in four starts vs Los Angeles.

— Giants are 5-1 in their last six games.
— San Francisco is 22-21 on road.
— over 5-3 last eight road games
— scored run in first inning: 22-91
— record in first 5 innings: 38-37-16
— bullpen IP last 3 days: x-x-x

— White is 0-0, 5.12 in his last four starts.
— Dodgers are 4-4 in his starts.
— under 4-1 last five
— allowed run in first inning: 2-8
— record in first 5 innings: 1-4-3
— He is 0-0, 4.91 in three relief stints vs San Francisco.

— Dodgers are 21-6 in their last 27 games.
— Los Angeles is 30-13 at home.
— under 13-7-2 last 22 games
— scored run in first inning: 31-90
— record in first 5 innings: 52-24-14
— bullpen IP last 3 days: x-x-x

American League
New York (64-28) @ Houston (59-32)

— Taillon is 1-1, 6.61 in his last three starts.
— New York is 14-4 in his starts.
— over 5-2-1 last eight
— allowed run in first inning: 6-18
— record in first 5 innings: 10-5-3
— He is 0-1, 4.58 in three starts vs Houston.

— Montgomery is 0-1, 4.60 in his last five starts.
— New York is 9-9 in his starts.
— over 9-2 last 11
— allowed run in first inning: 3-18
— record in first 5 innings: 7-6-5
— He is 0-1, 4.91 in four starts vs Houston.

— New York lost five of last eight games.
— New York is 27-16 on road.
— over 10-1 last eleven games
— scored run in first inning: 32-92
— record in first 5 innings: 49-22-21
— bullpen IP last 3 days: x-x-x

— Garcia is 4-0, 3.77 in his last five starts.
— Astros are 11-5 in his starts.
— over 4-1-1 last six
— allowed run in first inning: 6-16
— record in first 5 innings: 11-4-1
— He is 1-0, 3.60 in two starts vs New York.

— Javier is 0-2, 8.64 in his last two starts.
— Astros are 7-6 in his starts.
— over 3-0 last three
— allowed run in first inning: 4-13
— record in first 5 innings: 6-5-2
— He threw 10 shutout IP in two games (1 start) vs New York.

— Astros are 23-9 in their last 32 games.
— Houston is 28-14 at home.
— under 4-0 last four games
— scored run in first inning: 29-91
— record in first 5 innings: 54-25-12
— bullpen IP last 3 days: x-x-x

Tigers (37-55) @ A’s (32-61)
— Skubal is 1-6, 7.71 in his last seven starts.
— Tigers are 8-10 in his starts.
— over 3-1 last four
— allowed run in first inning: 4-18
— record in first 5 innings: 5-11-2
— He is 1-2, 3.94 in three starts vs Oakland.

— Hill is 1-1, 5.73 in two starts.
— Tigers are 1-1 in his starts.
— under 2-0
— allowed run in first inning: 1-2
— record in first 5 innings: 1-1
— He hasn’t pitched against Oakland.

— Tigers are 1-8 in their last nine games.
— Detroit is 14-31 on road.
— over 4-2 last six games
— scored run in first inning: 21-92
— record in first 5 innings: 29-50-13
— bullpen IP last 3 days: x-x-x

— Montas is 0-3, 3.60 in his last four starts.
— A’s are 3-14 in his starts.
— under 12-4-1
— allowed run in first inning: 7-17
— record in first 5 innings: 3-8-6
— He is 4-3, 5.12 in seven starts vs Detroit.

— Logue is 2-4, 5.40 in six starts.
— A’s are 2-4 in his starts.
— over 3-3
— allowed run in first inning: 0-6
— record in first 5 innings: 0-6
— He threw 7 shutout IP in one start vs Detroit.

— A’s are 6-6 in their last 12 games.
— Oakland is 21-30 on road.
— under 23-7-2 last 32 games
— scored run in first inning: 25-93
— record in first 5 innings: 29-51-13
— bullpen IP last 3 days: x-x-x

Interleague game
Texas (41-49) @ Miami (43-48)

— Gray is 5-1, 2.89 in his last seven starts.
— Texas is 9-7 in his starts.
— over 9-7
— allowed run in first inning: 7-16
— record in first 5 innings: 8-5-3
— He is 3-3, 4.19 in seven starts vs Miami.

— Rangers are 5-12 in last 17 games.
— Texas is 20-23 on road.
— over 13-7 last 20 games
— scored run in first inning: 22-90
— record in first 5 innings: 33-40-17
— bullpen IP last 3 days: x-x-x

— Lopez is 1-0, 2.20 in his last three starts.
— Miami is 11-7 in his starts.
— over 7-1 last eight starts
— allowed run in first inning: 8-18
— record in first 5 innings: 9-5-4
— He hasn’t pitched against Texas.

— Miami is 4-8 in its last 12 games.
— Marlins are 22-22 at home.
— under 12-5-2 last nineteen games.
— scored run in first inning: 15-91
— record in first 5 innings: 34-40-17
— bullpen IP last 3 days: x-x-x
 

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MLB

Thursday, July 21


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Trend Report
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NY Yankees @ Houston
NY Yankees
The total has gone OVER in 5 of NY Yankees's last 5 games
The total has gone OVER in 5 of NY Yankees's last 5 games on the road
Houston
Houston is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing NY Yankees
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Houston's last 5 games at home

Texas @ Miami
Texas
Texas is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games when playing on the road against Miami
The total has gone OVER in 9 of Texas's last 12 games when playing Miami
Miami
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Miami's last 8 games
The total has gone OVER in 9 of Miami's last 12 games when playing Texas

Detroit @ Oakland
Detroit
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Detroit's last 6 games when playing on the road against Oakland
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Detroit's last 6 games
Oakland
Oakland is 22-3 SU in its last 25 games when playing Detroit
The total has gone UNDER in 12 of Oakland's last 14 games

San Francisco @ LA Dodgers
San Francisco
San Francisco is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games
San Francisco is 8-3 ATS in its last 11 games
LA Dodgers
LA Dodgers is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home
LA Dodgers is 11-1 SU in its last 12 games


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Friday’s 6-pack
If you bet $100 on every baseball game this year, these would be the six most profitable teams before the All-Star break:

+$1,759— Baltimore
+$1,205— New York (N)
+$1,188— New York (A)
+$1,121— Houston
+$775— Seattle
+$293— San Diego

Quote of the Day
“It’s going to be fun. No one thinks anything of us, and I think that’s what makes it fun is you always have to put the ball down and play the football games.”
Raiders QB Derek Carr

Friday’s quiz
What team did Hank Aaron hit his 715th home run against?

Thursday’s quiz
Nick Saban coached the Miami Dolphins for two seasons, going 15-17, before he went to Alabama.

Wednesday’s quiz
On the old game show Hollywood Squares, Paul Lynde sat in the center square most of the time.

*************************************

Friday’s Den: Big 14 football knowledge

Illinois
— 7 starters back on offense, 6 on defense
— 74 starts return on offensive line; QB started 18 games at Syracuse.
— Last three years, they’re 9-5 ATS as a road underdog.
— Last 10 years, they’re 39-79 SU
— Last bowl win was in 2011.

Indiana
— 5 starters back on offense, 7 on defense
— 61 starts return on offensive line; QB 20 starts at Missouri
— Since 2016, they’re 5-13 ATS as a road underdog.
— Allen is 11-2 ATS as a home favorite; 4-11 as home underdog.
— Lost last five bowls, last four by total of 12 points.

Iowa
— 7 starters back on offense, 7 on defense
— 44 starts return on offensive line; junior QB has 19 starts
— Last four years, they’re 21-13 ATS as a favorite.
— Since 2015, Iowa is +63 in turnovers (88 games)
— won three of last four bowls (4-0 ATS)

Maryland
— 9 starters back on offense, 7 on defense
— 94 starts return on offensive line; junior QB has 17 starts
— Locksley is 19-30 ATS as an underdog.
— Last year was their first bowl since 2016; they beat Va Tech 54-10.
— Average total in their last five bowls: 63.6.

Michigan
— 9 starters back on offense, 4 on defense
— 85 starts return on offensive line; soph QB has 15 starts
— Last four years, they’re 13-7 ATS as a home favorite.
— Last 10 years, they’re 15-23-1 ATS in non-conference games.
— lost last five bowls; allowed 36.7 ppg in last three

Michigan State
— 5 starters back on offense, 9 on defense
— 90 starts return on offensive line; soph QB has 14 starts
— 11-2 SU LY (16-17 SU previous three years)
— Tucker is 7-2 ATS as a home underdog.
— won three of last four bowls (4-0 ATS)

Minnesota
— 6 starters back on offense, 6 on defense
— 64 starts return on offensive line; senior QB has 39 starts
— since 2014, they’re 11-6-1 ATS as a home underdog.
— since 2013, they’re 9-4-1 ATS as a road favorite.
— won last five bowls (were underdog in 3 of 5 games)

Nebraska
— 7 starters back on offense, 5 on defense
— 78 starts return on offensive line; junior QB started 10 games at Texas
— Last five years, they’re 19-37 SU.
— Under Frost, they’re 8-15 ATS when favored, 13-7-1 as an underdog.
— Nebraska’s last bowl was in 2016

Northwestern
— 9 starters back on offense, 5 on defense
— 110 starts return on offensive line; junior QB has 16 starts
— Under Fitzgerald: 32-48-2 ATS as favorite, 37-21 as road underdog.
— Since 2014, they’re 10-16-2 ATS out of conference
— won last four bowls (were underdog in 2 of 4 bowls)

Ohio State
— 6 starters back on offense, 8 on defense
— 45 starts return on offensive line; soph QB has 12 starts
— Day is 20-10-1 ATS as a favorite.
— Last 10 years, Ohio State is 117-13 SU.
— average total in their last three bowls: 82.0.

Penn State
— 7 starters back on offense, 4 on defense
— 36 starts return on offensive line; senior QB has 33 starts
— Under Franklin, they’re 9-12 ATS as an underdog.
— Since 2016, they’re 12-8 ATS as a road favorite.
— Since 2014, they’re 8-23 ATS coming off a loss.

Purdue
— 7 starters back on offense, 7 on defense
— 77 starts return on offensive line; senior QB has 15 starts
— Since 2018: 3-9 ATS as home favorite, 8-4 as home underdog.
— Last year was their second winning season in last decade.
— 3-2 SU last five bowls, despite giving up 46.6 ppg.

Rutgers
— 6 starters back on offense, 6 on defense
— 73 starts return on offensive line; senior QB has 20 starts; another QB is freshman who threw 5 passes LY.
— Last two years: 1-7 ATS as home underdog, 6-1 as road underdog.
— Last two years, they’re +8 in turnovers (previous two years, they were minus-27)
— lost 3 of last 4 bowls (were double digit underdog in 2 of last 3). Last bowl win: 2014

Wisconsin
— 5 starters back on offense, 3 on defense
— 57 starts return on offensive line; soph QB has 20 starts
— 17-24 ATS last 41 games as HF; 19-7 last 26 as road favorite.
— since 2013, they’re 23-13 ATS out of conference
— won four of last five bowl games.
 

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PHILADELPHIA is 9-2 SU (6.8 Units) in home games after a win by 4 runs or more in the current season.

CINCINNATI is 6-21 SU (-18.4 Units) vs. NL teams allowing 4.0 or less runs/game on the season in the current season.

PITTSBURGH is 36-22 SU (11.8 Units) in home games after having lost 2 of their last 3 games in the last 3 seasons.

BALTIMORE is 13-2 SU (10.8 Units) in the second half of the season in the current season.

NY METS are 69-94 SU (-34.4 Units) in the second half of the season in the last 3 seasons.

BOSTON is 7-1 SU (5.9 Units) in home games after a game where the bullpen threw 6 or more innings in the current season.

ATLANTA is 19-6 Over (12.4 Units) in home games when playing on Friday in the last 3 seasons.

MILWAUKEE is 12-3 SU (8.7 Units) in home games after 2 straight games where they stranded 5 or less runners on base over the last ...

CHI WHITE SOX is 109-109 SU (-10.9 Units) as a favorite of -110 or higher in the last 3 seasons.

TAMPA BAY is 20-6 Over (13.4 Units) in road games after a win by 2 runs or less over the last 2 seasons.

ARIZONA is 10-2 SU (7.8 Units) in home games after batting .225 or worse over a 5 game span in the current season.

OAKLAND is 41-34 SU (3.6 Units) in home games in the second half of the season in the last 3 seasons.

LA DODGERS are 111-77 SU (26.3 Units) after having won 4 or 5 of their last 6 games in the last 3 seasons.

HOUSTON is 11-2 Over (8.8 Units) in road games after 6 consecutive games versus division rivals over the last 2 seasons.
 

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Armadillo's Write-Up

Friday, July 22


National League
St Louis (50-44) @ Cincinnati (34-57)

— Wainwright is 1-2, 2.00 in his last four starts.
— St Louis is 10-8 in his starts
— over 4-2-1 last seven
— allowed run in first inning: 5-18
— record in first 5 innings: 8-8-2
— He is 7-7, 5.43 in 19 starts at Cincinnati.

— Cardinals are 7-10 in their last 17 games.
— St Louis is 21-24 on road.
— over 4-1 last five games
— scored run in first inning: 33-94
— record in first 5 innings: 42-37-15
— bullpen IP last 3 days: x-x-x

— Ashcraft is 0-1, 8.10 in his last three starts.
— Reds are 7-3 in his starts.
— under 6-4
— allowed run in first inning: 5-10
— record in first 5 innings: 5-3-2
— He gave up four runs in 4.2 IP in a June 12 start vs St Louis.

— Reds won six of last nine games.
— Cincinnati is 18-28 at home.
— over 5-1 last six games
— scored run in first inning: 22-91
— record in first 5 innings: 26-50-15
— bullpen IP last 3 days: x-x-x

Cubs (35-57) @ Philadelphia (49-43)
— Steele is 1-1, 4.63 in his last four starts.
— Cubs are 6-11 in his starts.
— over 6-3-1 last ten
— allowed run in first inning: 3-17
— record in first 5 innings: 6-7-4
— He hasn’t pitched against Philly.

— Cubs lost nine of last ten games.
— Cubs are 17-25 on road.
— under 10-3-2 last 15 games
— scored run in first inning: 34-92
— record in first 5 innings: 34-43-15
— bullpen IP last 3 days: x-x-x

— Gibson is 1-0, 0.69 in his last two starts.
— Philly is 6-2 in his last eight starts.
— under 4-2 last six starts
— allowed run in first inning: 3-18
— record in first 5 innings: 6-11-1
— He is 0-2, 5.40 in two starts vs Chicago.

— Phillies won their last three games.
— Philly is 24-21 at home.
— under 12-5 last seventeen games
— scored run in first inning: 23-92
— record in first 5 innings: 37-38-17
— bullpen IP last 3 days: x-x-x

Miami (43-49) @ Pittsburgh (39-54)
— Garrett is 0-0, 1.89 in his last three starts.
— Miami is 4-4 in his starts.
— under 6-2
— allowed run in first inning: 0-8
— record in first 5 innings: 3-4-1
— He blanked Pittsburgh for 6 IP July 14.

— Miami is 4-9 in its last 13 games.
— They haven’t scored a run in 34 innings.
— Marlins are 21-26 on road.
— under 12-6-2 last 20 games.
— scored run in first inning: 15-92
— record in first 5 innings: 34-41-17
— bullpen IP last 3 days: x-x-4

— Pittsburgh hasn’t named a starter.

— Pirates lost four of last five games.
— Pittsburgh is 20-23 at home.
— under 10-5 last fifteen games
— scored run in first inning: 20-93
— record in first 5 innings: 32-45-16
— bullpen IP last 3 days: x-x-x

San Diego (52-42) @ NY Mets (58-35)
— Darvish is 1-1, 4.15 in his last four starts.
— Padres are 10-7 in his starts.
— over 3-1 last four
— allowed run in first inning: 5-17
— record in first 5 innings: 12-2-3
— He is 4-0, 2.76 in seven starts vs New York.

— Padres are 8-15 in last 23 games.
— San Diego is 27-21 on road.
— under 11-7 last eighteen games.
— scored run in first inning: 26-94
— record in first 5 innings: 44-29-21
— bullpen IP last 3 days: x-x-x

— Scherzer is 1-0, 1.40 in three starts this month.
— Mets are 8-3 in his starts.
— under 6-2-1 last nine
— allowed run in first inning: 1-11
— record in first 5 innings: 6-1-4
— He is 6-2, 2.87 in 16 starts vs San Diego.

— Mets are 10-5 in their last 15 games.
— Mets are 28-15 at home.
— under 5-2-1 last eight games.
— scored run in first inning: 34-93
— record in first 5 innings: 49-25-19
— bullpen IP last 3 days: x-x-x

Colorado (43-50) @ Milwaukee (50-43)
— Senzatela is 1-2, 4.32 in his last five starts.
— Colorado is 1-7 in his last eight starts.
— under 4-1 last five
— allowed run in first inning: 4-13
— record in first 5 innings: 5-7-1
— He is 1-0, 3.12 in five starts vs Milwaukee.

— Colorado won eight of last 11 games.
— Rockies are 15-27 on road.
— over 4-1 last five games.
— scored run in first inning: 28-92
— record in first 5 innings: 27-47-18
— bullpen IP last 3 days: x-x-x

— Burnes is 4-0, 1.79 in his last six starts.
— Milwaukee is 11-7 in his starts
— over 6-3 last nine
— allowed run in first inning: 3-18
— record in first 5 innings: 9-7-2
— He is 1-1, 5.71 in six games (2 starts) vs Colorado.

— Brewers are 3-9 in their last 12 games.
— Milwaukee is 21-19 at home.
— under 7-3 last ten games
— scored run in first inning: 31-93
— record in first 5 innings: 40-36-17
— bullpen IP last 3 days: x-x-x

Washington (31-63) @ Arizona (40-52)
— Washington hasn’t named a starter.

— Washington lost 15 of last 17 games.
— Nationals are 16-27 on road.
— over 3-0 last three games.
— scored run in first inning: 29-94
— record in first 5 innings: 26-57-11
— bullpen IP last 3 days: x-x-x

— Gallen is 0-0, 4.79 in his last six starts.
— Arizona is 2-6 in his last eight starts
— over 5-2 last seven
— allowed run in first inning: 3-17
— record in first 5 innings: 9-3-5
— He is 0-1, 6.43 in two starts vs Washington.

— Diamondbacks are 5-10 in last fifteen games.
— Arizona is 22-26 at home.
— under 5-2 last seven games
— scored run in first inning: 25-92
— record in first 5 innings: 34-35-23
— bullpen IP last 3 days: x-x-x

San Francisco (48-44) @ Dodgers (61-30)
— Webb is 2-0, 1.35 in his last three starts.
— Giants are 12-7 in his starts
— over 4-1 last five
— allowed run in first inning: 6-19
— record in first 5 innings: 11-6-2
— He is 1-2, 3.64 in six starts vs Los Angeles.

— Giants are 5-2 in their last seven games.
— San Francisco is 22-22 on road.
— over 6-3 last nine road games
— scored run in first inning: 22-92
— record in first 5 innings: 38-38-16
— bullpen IP last 3 days: x-x-3

— Anderson is 2-0, 1.86 in his last three starts.
— Dodgers are 12-3 in his starts.
— under 6-3 last nine
— allowed run in first inning: 4-15
— record in first 5 innings: 10-4-1
— He is 1-3, 4.40 in eight starts vs San Francisco.

— Dodgers are 22-6 in their last 28 games.
— Los Angeles is 31-13 at home.
— under 13-8-2 last 23 games
— scored run in first inning: 32-91
— record in first 5 innings: 53-24-14
— bullpen IP last 3 days: x-x-4
 

Udog

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American League
New York (64-30) @ Baltimore (46-46)

— Taillon is 1-1, 6.61 in his last three starts.
— New York is 14-4 in his starts.
— over 5-2-1 last eight
— allowed run in first inning: 6-18
— record in first 5 innings: 10-5-3
— He is 1-0, 3.91 in five starts vs Baltimore.

— New York lost seven of last ten games.
— New York is 27-18 on road.
— over 11-2 last thirteen games
— scored run in first inning: 32-94
— record in first 5 innings: 49-24-21
— bullpen IP last 3 days: x-x-6.2

— Wells is 5-1, 2.92 in his last seven starts.
— Baltimore is 10-3 in his last 13 starts.
— over 6-1 last seven
— allowed run in first inning: 4-18
— record in first 5 innings: 8-9-1
— He is 0-2, 3.32 in nine games (3 starts) vs New York.

— Orioles won 11 of their last 13 games.
— Baltimore is 25-17 at home.
— over 4-1-1 last six games.
— scored run in first inning: 16-92
— record in first 5 innings: 35-43-14
— bullpen IP last 3 days: x-x-x

Toronto (50-43) @ Boston (48-45)
— Gausman is 1-1, 1.71 in his last four starts.
— Blue Jays are 1-6 in his last seven starts
— over 6-3 last nine
— allowed run in first inning: 4-17
— record in first 5 innings: 6-9-2
— He is 3-4, 4.01 in eight starts at Boston.

— Blue Jays won five of their last six games.
— Toronto is 20-24 on road.
— over 36-16 last 52 games
— scored run in first inning: 33-93
— record in first 5 innings: 37-34-22
— bullpen IP last 3 days: x-x-x

— Eovaldi is 3-0, 2.22 in his last four starts.
— Red Sox are 7-6 in his starts.
— over 4-2 last six
— allowed run in first inning: 2-13
— record in first 5 innings: 4-3-6
— He is 1-2, 4.13 in ten starts vs Toronto.

— Red Sox lost 10 of last 13 games.
— Boston is 23-20 at home.
— over 10-3 last thirteen games.
— scored run in first inning: 27-93
— record in first 5 innings: 38-32-23
— bullpen IP last 3 days: x-x-x

Cleveland (46-44) @ White Sox (46-46)
— Quantrill is 2-1, 4.66 in his last five starts.
— Cleveland is 6-3 in his last nine starts.
— over 8-0-1 last nine
— allowed run in first inning: 3-17
— record in first 5 innings: 7-6-4
— He is 1-1, 2.76 in five starts vs Chicago

— Guardians are 10-16 in their last 26 games.
— Cleveland is 21-25 on road.
— under 13-8 last 21 games.
— scored run in first inning: 28-90
— record in first 5 innings: 33-38-19
— bullpen IP last 3 days: x-x-x

— Giolito is 2-1, 3.24 in his last four starts.
— White Sox are 2-5 in his last seven starts.
— over 8-1 last nine
— allowed run in first inning: 4-16
— record in first 5 innings: 8-4-4
— He is 5-3, 1.77 in 12 starts vs Cleveland.

— White Sox are 5-1 in their last six games.
— Chicago is 19-25 at home.
— over 3-1 last four games
— scored run in first inning: 23-92
— record in first 5 innings: 39-42-11
— bullpen IP last 3 days: x-x-x

Tampa Bay (51-41) @ Kansas City (36-56)
— Rasmussen is 0-0, 3.14 in his last three starts.
— Tampa Bay is 10-5 in his starts.
— over 8-2-1 last 11
— allowed run in first inning: 2-15
— record in first 5 innings: 11-4
— He threw 2 scoreless IP in two relief stints vs Kansas City

— Tampa Bay won six of last seven games.
— Rays are 20-23 on road.
— over 15-8-2 last 25 games
— scored run in first inning: 28-92
— record in first 5 innings: 43-30-19
— bullpen IP last 3 days: x-x-x

— Royals haven’t named a starter.

— Kansas City lost its last three games.
— Royals are 19-27 at home.
— under 5-3 last eight home games
— scored run in first inning: 27-92
— record in first 5 innings: 33-44-17
— bullpen IP last 3 days: x-x-x

Houston (61-32) @ Seattle (51-42)
— Urquidy is 3-1, 2.43 in his last five starts.
— Astros are 11-6 in his starts.
— over 5-2-1 last eight
— allowed run in first inning: 5-17
— record in first 5 innings: 12-5
— He is 1-3, 6.25 in six starts vs Seattle.

— Astros are 25-9 in their last 34 games.
— Houston is 31-18 on road.
— under 5-1 last six games
— scored run in first inning: 31-93
— record in first 5 innings: 56-25-12
— bullpen IP last 3 days: x-x-8

— Gonzales is 1-1, 4.82 in his last three starts.
— Seattle is 7-11 in his starts.
— under 10-5 last 15
— allowed run in first inning: 5-18
— record in first 5 innings: 5-9-4
— He is 2-8, 4.63 in 12 starts vs Houston.

— Mariners won their last 14 games.
— Seattle is 24-20 at home.
— under 5-2 last seven home games
— scored run in first inning: 27-93
— record in first 5 innings: 37-40-16
— bullpen IP last 3 days: x-x-x

Texas (42-49) @ A’s (33-62)
— Howard is 1-0, 3.60 in his last two starts.
— Texas is 2-2 in his starts.
— over 3-1
— allowed run in first inning: 1-4
— record in first 5 innings: 3-1
— He is 1-1, 3.86 in two games (1 start) vs Oakland.

— Rangers are 6-12 in last 18 games.
— Texas is 21-23 on road.
— over 14-7 last 21 games
— scored run in first inning: 22-91
— record in first 5 innings: 34-40-17
— bullpen IP last 3 days: x-x-3

— Irvin is 2-1, 1.80 in his last three starts.
— A’s are 5-11 in his starts.
— under 5-0-1 last six
— allowed run in first inning: 8-16
— record in first 5 innings: 4-9-3
— He is 3-2, 3.35 in seven starts vs Texas.

— A’s are 7-7 in their last 14 games.
— Oakland is 12-32 at home.
— under 24-8-2 last 34 games
— scored run in first inning: 25-95
— record in first 5 innings: 29-52-14
— bullpen IP last 3 days: x-x-9

Interleague game
Angels (39-53) @ Atlanta (56-38)

— Ohtani is 6-0, 0.68 in his last six starts.
— Angels are 9-6 in his starts.
— under 5-1-1 last seven
— allowed run in first inning: 4-15
— record in first 5 innings: 9-4-2
— He hasn’t pitched against Atlanta.

— Angels are 12-36 in their last 48 games.
— Angels are 17-26 on road.
— over 5-3 last eight games
— scored run in first inning: 27-92
— record in first 5 innings: 44-38-10
— bullpen IP last 3 days: x-x-x

— Morton is 1-1, 2.56 in his last six starts.
— Atlanta is 9-4 in his last 13 starts.
— over 15-3
— allowed run in first inning: 9-18
— record in first 5 innings: 10-7-1
— He is 4-1, 4.34 in nine starts vs Anaheim.

— Braves are 33-11 in their last 44 games.
— Atlanta is 31-20 at home.
— over 3-0 last three games
— scored run in first inning: 27-94
— record in first 5 innings: 53-32-9
— bullpen IP last 3 days: x-x-x
 

Udog

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MLB

Friday, July 22


------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Trend Report
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

St. Louis @ Cincinnati
St. Louis
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of St. Louis's last 5 games on the road
St. Louis is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games
Cincinnati
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Cincinnati's last 6 games
Cincinnati is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games at home

NY Yankees @ Baltimore
NY Yankees
The total has gone OVER in 6 of NY Yankees's last 7 games
The total has gone OVER in 6 of NY Yankees's last 7 games on the road
Baltimore
Baltimore is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home
Baltimore is 6-1 ATS in its last 7 games

Chi Cubs @ Philadelphia
Chi Cubs
The total has gone OVER in 8 of Chi Cubs's last 9 games when playing Philadelphia
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Chi Cubs's last 5 games when playing on the road against Philadelphia
Philadelphia
The total has gone OVER in 8 of Philadelphia's last 9 games when playing Chi Cubs
Philadelphia is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games when playing at home against Chi Cubs

Miami @ Pittsburgh
Miami
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Miami's last 6 games when playing on the road against Pittsburgh
Miami is 7-2 SU in its last 9 games on the road
Pittsburgh
Pittsburgh is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Miami
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Pittsburgh's last 6 games when playing at home against Miami

Toronto @ Boston
Toronto
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Toronto's last 8 games when playing on the road against Boston
Toronto is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games
Boston
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Boston's last 8 games when playing at home against Toronto
Boston is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games when playing Toronto

San Diego @ NY Mets
San Diego
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of San Diego's last 6 games when playing on the road against NY Mets
San Diego is 4-2 ATS in its last 6 games when playing NY Mets
NY Mets
NY Mets is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games
NY Mets is 6-2 SU in its last 8 games when playing at home against San Diego

LA Angels @ Atlanta
LA Angels
The total has gone OVER in 4 of LA Angels's last 5 games when playing Atlanta
The total has gone OVER in 4 of LA Angels's last 6 games
Atlanta
The total has gone UNDER in 11 of Atlanta's last 13 games at home
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Atlanta's last 5 games

Cleveland @ Chi White Sox
Cleveland
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Cleveland's last 5 games when playing Chi White Sox
Cleveland is 5-2 ATS in its last 7 games
Chi White Sox
Chi White Sox is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Chi White Sox's last 5 games when playing Cleveland

Tampa Bay @ Kansas City
Tampa Bay
Tampa Bay is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games
Tampa Bay is 9-2 ATS in its last 11 games when playing on the road against Kansas City
Kansas City
Kansas City is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games at home
Kansas City is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games at home

Colorado @ Milwaukee
Colorado
Colorado is 6-1 ATS in its last 7 games
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Colorado's last 6 games when playing Milwaukee
Milwaukee
Milwaukee is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing Colorado
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Milwaukee's last 6 games when playing Colorado

Washington @ Arizona
Washington
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Washington's last 5 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Washington's last 5 games when playing Arizona
Arizona
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Arizona's last 5 games when playing Washington
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Arizona's last 5 games when playing at home against Washington

Texas @ Oakland
Texas
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Texas's last 6 games when playing Oakland
Texas is 7-2 ATS in its last 9 games when playing on the road against Oakland
Oakland
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Oakland's last 6 games when playing Texas
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Oakland's last 6 games

Houston @ Seattle
Houston
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Houston's last 6 games
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Houston's last 5 games when playing on the road against Seattle
Seattle
Seattle is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
Seattle is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home

San Francisco @ LA Dodgers
San Francisco
San Francisco is 5-2 SU in its last 7 games
San Francisco is 8-4 ATS in its last 12 games
LA Dodgers
LA Dodgers is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home
LA Dodgers is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games


------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
 

Cnotes53

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Nov 5, 2017
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48
FRIDAY, JULY 22​
STL at CIN06:40 PMCIN +126
U 10.0
+500 +500
CHC at PHI07:05 PMPHI -135
O 9.0
+500 +500
MIA at PIT07:05 PMPIT +109
O 8.5
+500 +500
NYY at BAL07:05 PMBAL +138
O 9.0
+500 +500
TOR at BOS07:10 PMTOR -126
U 9.0
+500 +500
SD at NYM07:10 PMNYM -188
U 7.0
+500 +500
LAA at ATL07:20 PMLAA +127
U 7.0
+500 +500
CLE at CHW08:10 PMCLE +128
O 8.5
+500 +500
TB at KC08:10 PMTB -141
U 9.0
+500 +500
COL at MIL08:10 PMMIL -291
U 7.5
+500 +500
WAS at ARI09:40 PMARI -161
U 8.5
+500 +500
TEX at OAK09:40 PMOAK -101
O 7.5
+500 +500
SF at LAD10:10 PMSF +127
U 8.0
+500 +500
HOU at SEA10:10 PMSEA -101
U 8.5
+500 +500
 

Udog

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Sep 10, 2018
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Armadillo Sports

Saturday’s 6-pack
Odds to win the Big X in football this year:
9-5— Oklahoma
3-1— Texas
5-1— Oklahoma State
6-1— Baylor
10-1— Kansas State
20-1— Iowa State, TCU
25-1— Texas Tech
30-1— West Virginia
1,000-1— Kansas

Quote of the Day
“Do the work. That’s all the productivity advice you need…….when you do the work, everything else optimizes itself.”
Slava Akhmechet

Saturday’s quiz
Who has the most career hits, of all the players who played their entire career for the Cincinnati Reds?
Hint: He is in the Hall of Fame

Friday’s quiz
Hank Aaron hit his 715th home run against Al Downing of the Dodgers.

Thursday’s quiz
Nick Saban coached the Miami Dolphins for two seasons, going 15-17, before he went to Alabama.

******************************************

Saturday’s Den: Random stuff with weekend here…….

Lot of money flying around this week……
13) Arizona Cardinals’ QB Kyler Murray signed a 5-year, $230.5M contract extension that guarantees him $160M. Murray has a 22-24-1 record in three years with Arizona, losing his only playoff game 34-11 last season.

12) Speaking of QBs and contracts, here are Baker Mayfield’s contract incentives:
If Mayfield plays 75% of regular season snaps AND
— 10+ wins— $250K
— divisional round win (with 50% snaps) $500K
— NFC championship win (with 50% snaps) $600K
— Super Bowl win (with 50% snaps) $750K

Playing time/team’s total offense:
— 75% of snaps and top 5 in NFC or top 10 in NFL in total offense— $300K
— 75% of snaps and top 5 in NFC or top 10 in NFL in points scored— $300K

Completion percentage: (minimum 224 attempts)
— 75% of snaps and top 5 in NFC or top 10 in NFL— $300K
— making Pro Bowl— $500K

11) Georgia football coach Kirby Smart signed a 10-year contract extension worth $112.5M.

10) Last year, Georgia became the fifth team in big-time college football history to win 13 games by 15+ points and just the second team to do it over the last 100 years. 2018 Clemson Tigers also did that; before them, Minnesota in 1903 was the last team to do it.

9) Philadelphia 76ers’ star James Harden signed a 2-year deal worth $68.6M.

8) Charles Barkley makes $10M a year working on TNT; that’s a pretty good gig.

7) Word of the Day— Quisling— a traitor who collaborates with an enemy force.

6) Couple notes about the NFL red zone:
— Only 22.4% of touchdowns in the NFL last year came on plays longer than 20 yards, the lowest percentage in the last ten years.
— Teams scored TD’s 58.2% of the time they got inside the 20-yard line, the 3rd-highest %age in the last decade.

5) New Mexico Lobos’ football team used five different QB’s in each of the last two years; things got so bad for them last year, a student manager played QB in three games, starting in a 35-10 loss to Utah State.

A long time ago, I was a student manager for our college basketball team; things wouldn’t have gone too well if I had to play in a real game.

August 1980, we took a 16-day trip to Sweden and played in some exhibitions; somehow, I got in one of the games, and proceeded to shoot most of the time they threw me the ball. I was subbed out for pretty quickly. Go figure.

4) It feels weird typing this, but over the last four years, Florida State’s football team is 19-27.

3) Houston 3, New York 2— Astros’ first two batters in first inning of Thursday’s twinbill opener reached base with a bunt single. It is the 41st time it has happened in MLB history; Astros are first team to do it since the Colorado Rockies on September 15, 2015.

2) Los Angeles Dodgers are 60-30, only 7-9 in one-run games. If you wagered on the Dodgers, would it be smart to play them -1.5 runs? 53 of their 60 wins are by 2+ runs.

1) Suggestions for TV coverage of the All-Star Game:
— There are 64 All-Stars; only 10 of them are on the field at once.
— Interview one of the other 54 All-Stars in each dugout, in the bullpens, wherever.
— Interview the managers.
— Do NOT interview players who are on the field, playing the game.
— For better or worse, people bet on this stuff, and you’ve got pitchers/batters miked. It isn’t good.
 

Udog

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Sep 10, 2018
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48
CLEVELAND is 12-2 Over (9.8 Units) in road games after a 5 game span where the bullpen ERA was 2.00 or better over the last 2 seas...

SEATTLE is 39-13 SU (23.4 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record in the second half of the season over the last ...

BOSTON is 41-34 SU (11.9 Units) in home games vs. a starting pitcher whose gives up 5.5 or less hits/start over the last 2 seasons...

CHICAGO CUBS are 330-265 Over (38.5 Units) after having lost 6 or 7 of their last 8 games since 1996.

DETROIT is 20-8 SU (11.2 Units) in home games when playing on Saturday in the last 3 seasons.

CINCINNATI is 7-0 Over (7 Units) in home games after 4 or more consecutive overs in the current season.

PITTSBURGH is 16-5 Over (10.5 Units) in home games when playing on Saturday over the last 2 seasons.

BALTIMORE is 14-2 SU (11.8 Units) in July games in the current season.

SAN DIEGO is 106-71 Over (27.9 Units) after allowing 3 runs or less 4 straight games since 1996.

MILWAUKEE is 23-43 SU (-24.3 Units) after having lost 4 or 5 of their last 6 games in the last 3 seasons.

KANSAS CITY is 31-41 SU (-14.1 Units) in home games as an underdog of +100 to +150 in the last 3 seasons.

SAN FRANCISCO is 10-2 SU (7.8 Units) in road games after a game where the bullpen gave up no earned runs in the current season.

CHI WHITE SOX is 3-17 SU (-15.5 Units) in home games vs. a starting pitcher whose gives up 5.5 or less hits/start in the current s...

LA ANGELS are 45-50 SU (-10 Units) as a road underdog of +100 or higher in the last 3 seasons.

ARIZONA is 8-1 Over (6.9 Units) after allowing 4 runs or less 3 straight games in the current season.

OAKLAND is 17-27 SU (-12.7 Units) in home games as an underdog of +100 to +150 in the last 3 seasons.
 
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