Cnotes 2022 Major League Baseball Transactions, News, Notes, Picks Etc. !!

[Udog]

MLB
Weather Report

Monday, October 17

MLB
Dunkel

Monday, October 17

MLB
Armadillo's Write-Up

Monday, October 17

Cleveland @ New York (series tied, 2-2)
Civale is 3-0, 3.68 in his last four starts.
He is 1-3, 5.88 in 11 road starts this year.
He has never pitched in the postseason.
He is 1-3, 4.78 in five starts vs New York.

Cleveland is 27-8 in their last 35 games.
Guardians are 47-36 on road.
Cleveland is in playoffs for 4th time in six years- they missed LY.

Taillon is 14-5, 3.92 in 31 starts this year.
He is 7-2, 3.47 in 16 home starts this year.
He gave up hits to all three batters he faced in his only playoff appearance.
He is 1-2, 3.94 in three starts vs Cleveland.

New York is 26-8 in their last 34 games.
New York is 58-25 at home.
New York is in playoffs for sixth year in row- their last World Series title was 2009.

Cleveland is 3-7 vs New York this year, 1-4 in the Bronx.




MLB

Monday, October 17

------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Trend Report
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

Cleveland @ NY Yankees
Cleveland
Cleveland is 10-1 ATS in its last 11 games on the road
Cleveland is 10-1 SU in its last 11 games on the road
NY Yankees
NY Yankees is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Cleveland
NY Yankees is 10-3 SU in its last 13 games at home


------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

 

[Udog]

CLEVELAND is 19-4 SU (14.6 Units) in road games after having won 6 or 7 of their last 8 games in the current season.

 

[Cnotes53]

MONDAY, OCTOBER 17

CLE at NYY	07:07 PM	CLE +137 U 7.0	+500 +500

 

[Udog]

Armadillo Sports

Tuesday’s 6-pack
Interesting spreads for Week 7 NFL games
— Colts @ Tennessee (-2.5)
— Packers (-5.5) @ Washington
— Jets @ Denver (-3)
— Texans @ Las Vegas (-7)
— Seahawks @ Chargers (-7)
— Chiefs (-3) @ San Francisco

Quote of the Day
“It is impossible for a man to learn what he thinks he already knows.”
Epictetus

Tuesday’s quiz
Who was the Astros’ manager when they lost the 2005 World Series?

Monday’s quiz
Oregon Ducks play their home games in Autzen Stadium.

Sunday’s quiz
In the movie My Cousin Vinny, Fred Gwynne played the judge in the big trial; he is best known for playing Herman Munster in The Munsters TV show.

***************************

Tuesday’s Den: Nobody asked me, but……..

Chargers 19, Broncos 16 OT
— Broncos in first half: 25 plays, 201 yards, a TD and two field goals
— Broncos in 2nd half/OT: 33 plays, 72 yards, 6 punts, one field goal.
— Wilson completed 10-10 passes in first quarter.
— From 2nd quarter on, Wilson completed 5-18 passes.
— Five of six Denver games stayed under the total.

— Chargers kicked FG in OT, after Denver muffed a punt.
— Chargers ran 83 plays, only two of which gained 20+ yards.
— Chargers converted 11-22 third down plays.
— Bolts averaged 3.8 yards per pass attempt.
— In overtime, two teams combined to run 16 plays for 16 yards.

— Carolina Panthers traded disgruntled WR Robbie Anderson to Arizona; they get a 6th and 7th round draft pick in return. Panther coaches sent Anderson to the locker room during Sunday’s loss in Los Angeles, after he got into a spat with Carolina’s WR coach.

Anderson has caught 13 passes for 206 yards this year, but over half those yards came in Week 1. Cardinals need WR help after Marquise Brown got hurt Sunday; they also get DeAndre Hopkins back from his six-game suspension this week.

— Panthers scored six TD’s in their last four games; problem is, Carolina’s offense only scored three of them- their defense scored the other three.

— Washington QB Carson Wentz is out 4-6 weeks with a broken finger on his passing hand; Taylor Heinicke (7-9 as an NFL starter) takes his place under center for the Commanders.

Maybe the change will help; Commanders have converted only 8 of last 37 third down plays.

— Cincinnati Bengals are only team in NFL that hasn’t given up a second half touchdown this season; they’ve outscored opponents 71-30 in second half this year.

Football players are really, really tough; Bengals’ left tackle Jonah Williams dislocated his kneecap in the Week 5 loss at Baltimore, but he returned to that game, then played Sunday in New Orleans.

— Cleveland Browns are only the third team in last 58 years that led each of their first five games after three quarters, yet lost more than half those games.

1999 Saints, 2015 Seahawks are other two teams on that list.

Streak ended for the Browns Sunday, when they got waxed 38-15 at home by New England.

— College quarterbacks take harder hits than NFL QB’s; lot fewer roughing the passer calls in the college game.

— In case you’re wondering, the record for most punts with one team: Sam Koch punted 1,168 times for the Ravens, from 2006-21.

— Illinois football coach Bret Bielema is a throwback; Saturday, Illini RB Chase Brown carried the football 41 times for 190 yards in their 26-14 win over Minnesota. 41 carries is a lot for two games, even moreso for one.

Long time ago, USC coach John McKay was asked why his tailback was carrying the ball so much. “Why not?” McKay replied. “The ball isn’t very heavy. And besides, he doesn’t belong to a union.”

— So far in Sun Belt conference games this season, underdogs are 18-6 against the spread; they were 5-0 ATS this past weekend.

— Penn State coach James Franklin is a very good coach; how do I know this? The freakin’ guy won at Vanderbilt. In three years with the Commodores, Franklin went 6-7, then 9-4/9-4- he went 11-13 in SEC games at Vanderbilt, won two of three bowl games.

These days, Vanderbilt has lost its last 24 SEC games; they haven’t played in a bowl game since 2018, haven’t won a bowl since 2013. Tough job.

— Since 2015, Alabama has scored 56 touchdowns on special teams/defense, most in the country; San Diego State is next on that list, with 38.

— Five oldest I-A college football players are all 29+ years old; they’re all Australian punters. They punt for East Carolina, Illinois, Miami, Oklahoma State, TCU.

— NBA season begins tonight; all the major sports overlap starting this week.

—- Last two years, Seattle Mariners went 67-41 in one-run games, but then they got swept in the playoffs by Houston, losing the three games by total of four runs. Great year for Seattle, making the playoffs for first time since 2001.

— With the Braves getting bounced from the playoffs, 2009 Phillies remain the last defending World Series champ to get back to the World Series the following season.

 

[Udog]

MLB
Weather Report

Tuesday, October 18

CLEVELAND is 19-4 SU (14.6 Units) in road games after having won 6 or 7 of their last 8 games in the current season.

PHILADELPHIA is 13-1 SU (11.9 Units) after scoring 7 runs or more 2 straight games in the current season.




MLB
Dunkel

Tuesday, October 18

MLB
Armadillo's Write-Up

Tuesday, October 18

Cleveland @ New York (best-of-5 series tied, 2-2)
Civale is 3-0, 3.68 in his last four starts.
He is 1-3, 5.88 in 11 road starts this year.
He has never pitched in the postseason.
He is 1-3, 4.78 in five starts vs New York.

Cleveland is 27-8 in their last 35 games.
Guardians are 47-36 on road.
Cleveland is in playoffs for 4th time in six years- they missed LY.

Taillon is 14-5, 3.92 in 31 starts this year.
He is 7-2, 3.47 in 16 home starts this year.
He gave up hits to all three batters he faced in his only playoff appearance.
He is 1-2, 3.94 in three starts vs Cleveland.

New York is 26-8 in their last 34 games.
New York is 58-25 at home.
New York is in playoffs for sixth year in row- their last World Series title was 2009.

Cleveland is 3-7 vs New York this year, 1-4 in the Bronx.

Philadelphia @ San Diego (Game 1, NLCS)
Wheeler is 1-1, 1.32 in his last five starts.
He is 6-4, 3.84 in 13 road starts.
He is 0-1, 2.19 in two playoff starts.
He is 3-1, 2.06 in seven starts vs San Diego.

Phillies are 5-1 in playoff games this month.
Phillies are 71-47 since they changed managers.
Phillies are 43-42 on road this year.
Phillies are in the playoffs for first time since 2011.

Darvish is 5-1, 2.13 in his last six starts.
He is 7-3, 2.60 in 13 home starts this year.
Darvish is 4-5, 4.60 in nine playoff starts.
He is 2-1, 2.23 in seven starts vs Philadelphia.

Padres are 5-3 in their playoff games so far this month.
San Diego is 46-37 at home this year.
Padres are in the playoffs for 2nd time since 2006 (2020 other time)

Phillies are 4-3 vs San Diego this year; road team won 5 of the 7 games. Phillies got shut out in all three losses.




MLB

Tuesday, October 18

------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Trend Report
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

Cleveland @ NY Yankees
Cleveland
Cleveland is 10-1 ATS in its last 11 games on the road
Cleveland is 10-1 SU in its last 11 games on the road
NY Yankees
NY Yankees is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Cleveland
NY Yankees is 10-3 SU in its last 13 games at home

Philadelphia @ San Diego
Philadelphia
Philadelphia is 8-1 ATS in its last 9 games when playing on the road against San Diego
Philadelphia is 6-1 ATS in its last 7 games
San Diego
San Diego is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games
The total has gone OVER in 8 of San Diego's last 10 games


------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

 

[Cnotes53]

TUESDAY, OCTOBER 18

PHI at SD	08:03 PM	PHI +102 U 6.5	+500 +500

 

[Cnotes53]

OCTOBER MLB PLAYOFF OPINIONS AND BEST BETS !

10/18/2022............2-0-0..........100.00%...........+10.10
10/16/2022............0-2-0...........00.00%............-10.50
10/15/2022............3-5-0...........37.50%............-11.05
10/14/2022............3-1-0............75.00%...........+10.55
10/13/2022............0-2-0............00.00%............-10.50
10/12/2022............1-3-0............25.00%............-8.00
10/11/2022............2-6-0............25.00%............-18.35
10/09/2022............2-0-0...........100.00%...........+11.25
10/08/2022............2-6-0.............25.00%...........-24.40
10/07/2022...........3-5-0.............37.50%............-14.15

TOTALS............18-30-0............37.50%.............-65.05

BEST BETS

10/18/2022............2-0-0..........100.00%..............+10.10
10/16/2022............0-2-0...........00.00%................-10.50
10/15/2022............3-4-0,.,........42,85%..................-5.99
10/14/2022............3-1-0...........75.00%...............+10.55
10/13/2022............0-2-0...........00.00%................-10.50
10//12/2022...........1-3-0...........25.00%..................-8.00
10/11/2022............2-6-0...........25.00%...............- 18.35
10/09/2022...........1-0-0..........100.00%................+ 6.25
10/08/2022....................NO BEST BE..................+ 0.00
10/07/2022...........2-4-0............33.33%...............- 13.65

TOTALS...........14-22-0...........38.88%................- 40.09

 

[Udog]

Armadillo Sports

Wednesday’s 6-pack
Teams ranked in top 25 of both college football/basketball:
— Alabama
— Illinois
— Kentucky
— Michigan
— North Carolina
— Oregon
— Tennessee
— Texas
— TCU
— UCLA

Quote of the Day
“I tell ya, I don’t get a break with nothing. I joined Gamblers Anonymous, they gave me two-to-one I don’t make it.”
Rodney Dangerfield

Wednesday’s quiz
What was the name of the country club in the classic movie Caddyshack?

Tuesday’s quiz
Phil Garner was the Astros’ manager when they lost the 2005 World Series.

Monday’s quiz
Oregon Ducks play their home games in Autzen Stadium.

***************************

Wednesday’s Den: Mid-week musings…….

— Philadelphia 2, San Diego 0
Wheeler allowed one hit in seven IP
Harper, Schwarber homered for the Phillies.

— New York 5, Cleveland 1— Bronx wins series, 3-2, heads to Houston for the ALCS, which starts Wednesday night.

Disappointing but not surprising to see Will Little working the plate for Game 4 of the New York-Cleveland series. Since 2013, New York is 16-6 when Little is behind the plate.

Remember an A’s game in New York in 2017, when I was sitting at a bar having lunch during the game. Jed Lowrie/Bob Melvin both got tossed because Little was doing his thing, helping out the home team. It was Lowrie’s first career ejection. It wasn’t good for my blood pressure.

— Forgot to mention this last week, but AJ Pierzynski does a nice job as a TV analyst; he was a good MLB catcher. He offers opinions, and mostly just talks ball, which is a positive thing.

— Surprising stat: Last 10 years, Detroit Lions are 9-1 ATS in the game after their bye week.

— Celtics 126, 76ers 117
Tatum/Brown both scored 35 points.
Boston’s bench outscored Philly’s subs, 34-11

— Great to hear analyst Stan Van Gundy on this game; listening to him talk ball is like taking a master class in basketball. Always learn a lot from him.

— Golden State Warriors paid Jordan Poole $140M for four years, Andrew Wiggins $110M for four years as they solidify their future.

— NBA retired number 6 throughout the league, in honor of the great Bill Russell, who passed away this summer. Active players who wear number 6 now can still wear it, but no one else will be issued number 6.

Russell played 13 years in the NBA, won 11 titles; he missed the Finals once in 13 years.

— With NBA starting this week, we point out that Kentucky has 27 alums on NBA rosters at the start of the season, Duke has 25.

— Added Hulu to my TV last week, meaning unlimited CSI and M*A*S*H late at night for me, two of my all-time favorite TV shows.

— Big 14 hasn’t won a national title in college basketball since Michigan State in 2000.

— Odd fact: Justin Herbert threw 57 passes in the Chargers’ 19-16 win Monday night, but he didn’t throw a TD pass. It was the most passes ever thrown in an NFL game by a QB who didn’t throw a TD, and whose team won that game.

— Indianapolis Colts’ owner Jim Irsay spoke out Tuesday against Washington owner Daniel Snyder, calling for his removal as the Commanders’ owner.

NFL teams go for $3-4B each, so if Snyder has to sell, he’ll make a boatload of $$$, but rich people don’t like to be told when to come and go.

— In 2010, Joe Jacob bought the Golden State Warriors for $450M; this season, the Warriors’ payroll plus their payroll tax might be more than $450M.

— Reggie Miller was talking about the scuffle Golden State had in practice during training camp; Miller said stuff like that happens in the NBA, but it happens more on good teams than bad teams, because good teams have more accountability. Bad teams don’t care as much.

 

[Udog]

MLB
Weather Report

Wednesday, October 19

SAN DIEGO is 56-33 Over (19.7 Units) after a 5 game span with an OBP of .285 or worse in the last 3 seasons.

HOUSTON is 18-3 SU (17.1 Units) vs. teams outscoring opp by 0.5 or more runs/game on the season in the current season.




MLB
Dunkel

Wednesday, October 19

MLB
Armadillo's Write-Up

Wednesday, October 19

Philadelphia @ San Diego (Phillies lead, 1-0)
Nola is 4-1, 1.44 in his last five starts.
He is 5-9, 3.00 in 16 road starts.
He is 2-0, 0.71 in two playoff starts.
He is 2-4, 3.11 in eight starts vs San Diego.

Phillies are 6-1 in playoff games this month.
Phillies are 72-47 since they changed managers.
Phillies are 44-42 on road this year.
Phillies are in the playoffs for first time since 2011.

Snell is 3-1, 1.34 in his last six starts.
He is 4-8, 3.56 in 15 home starts this year.
Snell is 3-3, 2.89 in nine playoff starts.
He is 0-3, 4.91 in four starts vs Philadelphia.

Padres are 5-4 in their playoff games so far this month.
San Diego is 46-38 at home this year.
Padres are in the playoffs for 2nd time since 2006 (2020 other time)

Phillies are 5-3 vs San Diego this year; road team won six of the eight games. Phillies got shut out in all three losses.

New York @ Houston (Game 1 of ALCS)
Taillon is 14-5, 3.92 in 31 starts this year.
He is 7-3, 4.36 in 16 road starts this year.
He gave up hits to all three batters he faced in his only playoff appearance.
He is 0-1, 4.58 in three starts vs Houston.

New York is 27-8 in their last 35 games.
New York is 43-40 on road.
New York is in playoffs for sixth year in row- their last World Series title was 2009.

Verlander is 2-1, 3.21 in his last five starts.
He is 10-1, 1.64 in 15 home starts.
He is 14-11, 3.62 in 31 playoff starts.
He is 9-7, 3.44 in 23 starts vs New York.

Houston is 9-3 in their last 12 games.
Astros are 57-26 at home.
Houston is in playoffs for 6th year in row- they were in World Series three of last five years.

Astros are 5-2 vs New York this year, 3-0 at home.




MLB

Wednesday, October 19

------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Trend Report
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

Philadelphia @ San Diego
Philadelphia
Philadelphia is 9-1 ATS in its last 10 games when playing on the road against San Diego
Philadelphia is 7-1 ATS in its last 8 games
San Diego
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of San Diego's last 8 games when playing Philadelphia
The total has gone OVER in 8 of San Diego's last 11 games

NY Yankees @ Houston
NY Yankees
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of NY Yankees's last 7 games
NY Yankees is 15-7 SU in its last 22 games
Houston
Houston is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
Houston is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games at home


------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

 

[Cnotes53]

WEDNESDAY, OCTOBER 19

PHI at SD	04:35 PM	SD -114 O 7.0	+500 +500
NYY at HOU	07:37 PM	HOU -177 U 7.0	+500 +500

 

[Cnotes53]

OCTOBER MLB PLAYOFF OPINIONS AND BEST BETS !

10/19/2022............4-0-0..........100.00%...........+20.00
10/18/2022............2-0-0..........100.00%...........+10.10
10/16/2022............0-2-0...........00.00%............-10.50
10/15/2022............3-5-0...........37.50%............-11.05
10/14/2022............3-1-0............75.00%...........+10.55
10/13/2022............0-2-0............00.00%............-10.50
10/12/2022............1-3-0............25.00%............-8.00
10/11/2022............2-6-0............25.00%............-18.35
10/09/2022............2-0-0...........100.00%...........+11.25
10/08/2022............2-6-0.............25.00%...........-24.40
10/07/2022...........3-5-0.............37.50%............-14.15

TOTALS............22-30-0............42.30%.............-45.05

BEST BETS

10/19/2022............4-0-0..........100.00%..............+20.00
10/18/2022............2-0-0..........100.00%..............+10.10
10/16/2022............0-2-0...........00.00%................-10.50
10/15/2022............3-4-0,.,........42,85%..................-5.99
10/14/2022............3-1-0...........75.00%...............+10.55
10/13/2022............0-2-0...........00.00%................-10.50
10//12/2022...........1-3-0...........25.00%..................-8.00
10/11/2022............2-6-0...........25.00%...............- 18.35
10/09/2022...........1-0-0..........100.00%................+ 6.25
10/08/2022....................NO BEST BE..................+ 0.00
10/07/2022...........2-4-0............33.33%...............- 13.65

TOTALS...........18-22-0...........45.00%................- 20.09

 

[Udog]

Armadillo Sports

Thursday’s 6-pack
NFL leaders in passing yardage:
1,980— Josh Allen, Buff
1,765— Matt Ryan, Ind
1,736— Patrick Mahomes, KC
1,716— Justin Herbert, LAC
1,652— Tom Brady, TB
1,616— Joe Burrow, Cin

Quote of the Day
“I feel a lot more comfortable, a lot more confident. I was a little overwhelmed last year; it was my first time starting 15 games and it gets to you a little bit.”
Washington Commanders’ QB Taylor Heinicke

Thursday’s quiz
In the TV show The West Wing, what state was President Bartlet from?

Wednesday’s quiz
Bushwood was the name of the country club in the classic movie Caddyshack.

Tuesday’s quiz
Phil Garner was the Astros’ manager when they lost the 2005 World Series.

******************************

Thursday’s Den: Quick Notes on NFC teams

Arizona Cardinals— On each team’s first drive of the game, Cardinals have been outscored 27-3. On their first drives, Arizona has run 30 plays for 122 yards, opponents 57 plays for 308 yards.

Atlanta Falcons— Falcons are only 11th NFL team since 1989 to start a season 6-0 against the spread. Falcons are 11-6 ATS last 17 games as a road underdog.

Carolina Panthers— Panthers have gone 3/out on 22 of 62 drives (35.5%); they’ve given up 24 plays of 20+ yards (-7). On 38 drives that started 75+ yards from goal line, they scored 29 points.

Chicago Bears— Bears have been outscored 84-39 in first half this season; on their first drive of 3rd quarter, Chicago has scored four TD’s, kicked a field goal (39 plays, 373 yards).

Dallas Cowboys— In their two losses, Cowboys lost field position by 12-17 yards; they’ve converted only 25-78 third down plays. Under is 5-0-1 in their games this season.

Detroit Lions— Lions have forced only nine 3/outs, tied for least in NBA (Seattle); under Campbell, Lions are 4-17-1 SU, 14-8 ATS. Over is 5-2 in Detroit’s last seven games.

Green Bay Packers— Green Bay went under its team total in five of six games; they’ve converted only 8 of last 26 third down plays. Packers have forced 23 3/outs, T2 in league.

Los Angeles Rams— Rams allowed a defensive TD in their last three games; they’ve gone 3/out on 20 of 59 drives (33.9%). Rams allowed 47 points on 12 red zone drives (3.92).

Minnesota Vikings— Vikings have TD drives of 78-75-86 yards on their first possessions; they outscored opponents 21-10 on first drives. They’re 5-1, scoring 27.3 ppg in last four games.

New Jersey Giants— 5-1 Giants have trailed by 10+ points in three of five wins; they have only 13 plays of 20+ yards, three less than any other team. Giants have outscored foes 87-49 in second half of games.

New Orleans Saints— Saints are 0-4 when they score less than 27 points; they’ve been outscored 75-54 in first half. Saints have been outscored 31-12 in last 2:00 of each half.

Philadelphia Eagles— Last five games, on their first drive, opponents ran total of 18 plays for 41 yards. Eagles have forced 24 3/outs, gone 3/out only nine times themselves, best ratio in NFL.

San Francisco 49ers— 49ers were held to 10-10-14 points in their losses; they’ve forced 23 3/outs, gone 3/out only 12 times. SF has 25 plays of 20+ yards; they’ve allowed 13 (+12).

Seattle Seahawks— Seahawks on first drive of game: 47 plays, 357 yards, 27 points. Seahawks on first series of second half: 32 plays, 167 yards, no points.

Tampa Bay Buccaneers— Opponents in first drive of game: 54 plays, 281 yards, 23 points. Opponents on first series of second half: 33 plays, 89 yards, 6 points.

Washington Commanders— They’ve gone 3/out 22 times on 65 drives (33.8%), allowed 29 plays of 20+ yards (minus-7). Last five games, Commanders have been outscored 77-20 in first half.

 

[Udog]

MLB
Weather Report

Thursday, October 20

MLB
Dunkel

Thursday, October 20

MLB
Armadillo's Write-Up

Thursday, October 20

New York @ Houston (Astros lead, 1-0)
Severino is 2-0, 2.49 in his last four starts.
He is 3-2, 3.22 in nine road starts this year.
He is 1-3, 5.17 in nine postseason starts.
He is 2-3, 3.82 in six starts vs Houston.

New York is 27-9 in their last 35 games.
New York is 43-41 on road.
New York is in playoffs for sixth year in row- their last World Series title was 2009.

Valdez is 1-0, 1.69 in two starts this month.
He is 7-4, 3.54 in 14 home starts.
He is 4-2, 4.38 in nine playoff starts.
He is 0-1, 6.75 in three starts vs New York.

Houston is 10-3 in their last 12 games.
Astros are 58-26 at home.
Houston is in playoffs for 6th year in row- they were in World Series three of last five years.

Astros are 6-2 vs New York this year, 4-0 at home.




MLB

Thursday, October 20

------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Trend Report
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

NY Yankees @ Houston
NY Yankees
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of NY Yankees's last 5 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of NY Yankees's last 8 games
Houston
Houston is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home
Houston is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against NY Yankees


------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

 

[Cnotes53]

THURSDAY, OCTOBER 20

NYY at HOU	07:37 PM	NYY +125 O 7.0	+500 +500

 

[Cnotes53]

OCTOBER MLB PLAYOFF OPINIONS AND BEST BETS !

10/20/2022............0-2-0............00.00%...........-10.50
10/19/2022............4-0-0..........100.00%...........+20.00
10/18/2022............2-0-0..........100.00%...........+10.10
10/16/2022............0-2-0...........00.00%............-10.50
10/15/2022............3-5-0...........37.50%............-11.05
10/14/2022............3-1-0............75.00%...........+10.55
10/13/2022............0-2-0............00.00%............-10.50
10/12/2022............1-3-0............25.00%............-8.00
10/11/2022............2-6-0............25.00%............-18.35
10/09/2022............2-0-0...........100.00%...........+11.25
10/08/2022............2-6-0.............25.00%...........-24.40
10/07/2022...........3-5-0.............37.50%............-14.15

TOTALS............22-32-0............40.00%.............-55.55

BEST BETS

10/20/2022............0-2-0,,,,,,,,,,,,00.00%..............-10.50
10/19/2022............4-0-0..........100.00%..............+20.00
10/18/2022............2-0-0..........100.00%..............+10.10
10/16/2022............0-2-0...........00.00%................-10.50
10/15/2022............3-4-0,.,........42,85%..................-5.99
10/14/2022............3-1-0...........75.00%...............+10.55
10/13/2022............0-2-0...........00.00%................-10.50
10//12/2022...........1-3-0...........25.00%..................-8.00
10/11/2022............2-6-0...........25.00%...............- 18.35
10/09/2022...........1-0-0..........100.00%................+ 6.25
10/08/2022....................NO BEST BE..................+ 0.00
10/07/2022...........2-4-0............33.33%...............- 13.65

TOTALS...........18-24-0...........42.85%................- 30.59

 

[Udog]

Armadillo Sports

Friday’s 6-pack
AP preseason top 6 in college basketball:
T5) Baylor
T5) Kansas
4) Kentucky
3) Houston
2) Gonzaga
1) North Carolina

Quote of the Day
“She usually kicks me if I say something I shouldn’t. I’ll feel a little tap, but I didn’t feel one today, so I guess that’s good.”
AJ Nola, father of Aaron/Austin Nola, talking about watching a playoff game with his wife, with one of his sons on each team

Friday’s quiz
Where did Andy Dalton play his college football?

Thursday’s quiz
In the TV show The West Wing, President Bartlet was from New Hampshire.

Wednesday’s quiz
Bushwood was the name of the country club in the classic movie Caddyshack.

****************************

Friday’s Den: Random stuff with the weekend here…….

— Carolina Panthers traded RB Christian McCaffrey to the 49ers; in return, they get:
2023 2nd round pick
2023 3rd round pick
2023 4th round pick
2024 5th round pick

I would advise against wagering on Carolina the rest of this season.

Cardinals 42, Saints 34
— Cardinals scored 22 points in 1:42 span of 2nd quarter, with two pick-6’s.
— Saints outgained Arizona, 494-326, but were minus-3 in turnovers.
— In his first game this season, WR Hopkins was targeted 14 times, caught 10 passes for 103 yards.
— All the other Cardinals were targeted 15 times, caught 10 balls for 101 yards.

— Saints lost five of last six games; their turnover ratio is minus-11.
— New Orleans has been outscored 103-68 in first half.
— Saints have been outscored 46-15 in last 2:00 of each half.
— Last four New Orleans games went over the total.

— Worst thing about the Amazon Prime NFL game is that it is tough to go back/forth between games on my TV, when one of the games is on Amazon— doesn’t switch back quick enough. Need two devices working, instead.

— Thursday was just 27th night ever with NFL, MLB, NBA and NHL all playing on same night. Someone on Twitter called it the Sports Equinox.

— Next year, NFL will have a game the Friday after Thanksgiving, a 3pm Friday game that will be shown on Amazon Prime. Good thing I’m already divorced; putting games on at 3:00 on a weekday afternoon would’ve caused a problem. (It’s a joke!!!, but there will be a Friday game)

— Dak Prescott is starting at QB for Dallas Sunday against the Lions. Cooper Rush goes back to one of the best jobs in America, getting paid $977,500 to be the backup QB, where no one ever hits you and no one ever boos you.

— Other night on TNT, Reggie Miller called Steph Curry “the greatest shooter ever” which pretty much ends that discussion, seeing how Miller is also in that discussion.

— Speaking of TNT, their Inside the NBA crew signed on for the next five years; it is a popular show, must make the network lot of $$$$.

— Philadelphia 76ers haven’t made the Eastern Conference Finals (NBA’s version of the Final 4) since 2001; that fact surprised me.

— Big rule improvement in the NBA: outlawing teams giving a foul to end a fast break. Those fouls took away lot of fast breaks, which are fun to watch— there were 1,700 take fouls in the NBA last year. The game will have a better flow now.

— I’ll say this again; an assist on a 3-point shot should count as 1.5 assists, passes that lead to made foul shots should also be credited, half an assist for every made free throw. Points are points, no matter how they’re scored.

— Houston 3, New York 2
Bregman hit a 3-run homer in third inning.
Astros won their first five playoff games, by total of seven runs.
Series heads to New York with Houston leading, 2-0.

— Yoenis Cespedes is still playing baseball; he is playing in the Dominican Winter League, and may be looking at making a comeback in the big leagues next spring.

— Don’t always judge strategy by results; a coach/manager can make the right move, and it might not work. Coaches play percentages; sometimes nothing they would try will work, other times, there are no bad options.

— Appalachian State 42, Georgia State 17
Georgia State led 14-0 after first quarter.
App State outscored them 35-3 in second half.
App State ran ball for 404 yards, outgained Georgia State 466-301.

— Virginia 16, Georgia Tech 9
Tech’s only TD came on a pick-6 (they missed the PAT)
Virginia led 13-9 at halftime.
Cavaliers outgained Tech, 410-201
Yellow Jackets were 6-21 on third down, Virginia 2-14.

— Troy 10, South Alabama 6
Troy scored only TD of game on first play of 2nd quarter.
Troy converted 1-12 on third down, South Alabama 4-13
Jaguars ran ball 21 times for 31 yards.
Total yardage: Troy 266, South Alabama 244

— There is a great writer named Joe Posnanski who has written a few books that are all good; he really is an excellent sportswriter. He also has an e-mail thing where you get knowledge from him every day, and it is free.

Mr Posnanski posted this great nugget this week: in 1952, a guy named Don Lenhardt batted three times with the bases loaded. He was a utility player who had an ordinary career, but in those three AB’s that year with the bases loaded……..

First time with bases loaded, he hit an inside-the-park home run.

Second time with bases loaded, he hit a walk-off grand slam.

The day after his walk-off grand slam, Lenhardt got traded from Boston to Detroit.

Less than a week later, in this third AB with bases loaded, he hit a home run against the Red Sox, the team that had just traded him.

For the season, Lenhardt hit .239 with 11 HR’s, but he was perfect with the bases loaded.

 

[Udog]

MLB
Weather Report

Friday, October 21

PHILADELPHIA is 10-3 SU (6.7 Units) in home games when playing on Friday in the current season.



MLB
Dunkel

Friday, October 21

MLB
Armadillo's Write-Up

Friday, October 21

San Diego @ Philadelphia (series 1-1)
Musgrove is 2-0, 0.75 in his last six starts.
He is 4-8, 3.56 in 15 home starts this year.
He is 2-0, 3.66 in nine playoff games (2 starts).
He is 2-1, 3.00 in four starts vs Philadelphia.

Padres are 6-4 in their playoff games so far this month.
San Diego is 48-38 on road this year.
Padres are in the playoffs for 2nd time since 2006 (2020 other time)

Suarez is 1-2, 3.70 in his last five starts.
He is 4-4, 4.27 in 13 road starts.
He allowed one run in 3.1 IP in his one playoff start.
He is 2-0, 1.64 in four games (1 start) vs San Diego.

Phillies are 6-2 in playoff games this month.
Phillies are 72-48 since they changed managers.
Phillies are 49-34 at home this year.
Phillies are in the playoffs for first time since 2011.

Phillies are 5-4 vs San Diego this year; road team won six of the nine games.




MLB

Friday, October 21

------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Trend Report
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

San Diego @ Philadelphia
San Diego
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of San Diego's last 8 games when playing on the road against Philadelphia
The total has gone OVER in 6 of San Diego's last 7 games on the road
Philadelphia
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Philadelphia's last 5 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Philadelphia's last 8 games when playing at home against San Diego


------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

 

[Cnotes53]

FRIDAY, OCTOBER 21

SD at PHI	07:37 PM	SD -116 O 7.5	+500 +500

 

[Cnotes53]

OCTOBER MLB PLAYOFF OPINIONS AND BEST BETS !




10/21/2022...........0-2-0............00.00%............-11.30
10/20/2022............0-2-0............00.00%...........-10.50
10/19/2022............4-0-0..........100.00%...........+20.00
10/18/2022............2-0-0..........100.00%...........+10.10
10/16/2022............0-2-0...........00.00%............-10.50
10/15/2022............3-5-0...........37.50%............-11.05
10/14/2022............3-1-0............75.00%...........+10.55
10/13/2022............0-2-0............00.00%............-10.50
10/12/2022............1-3-0............25.00%............-8.00
10/11/2022............2-6-0............25.00%............-18.35
10/09/2022............2-0-0...........100.00%...........+11.25
10/08/2022............2-6-0.............25.00%...........-24.40
10/07/2022...........3-5-0.............37.50%............-14.15

TOTALS...............22-34-0............39.28%.............-66.85

BEST BETS




10/21/2022............0-2-0...........00.00%...............-11.30
10/20/2022............0-2-0,,,,,,,,,,,,00.00%..............-10.50
10/19/2022............4-0-0..........100.00%..............+20.00
10/18/2022............2-0-0..........100.00%..............+10.10
10/16/2022............0-2-0...........00.00%................-10.50
10/15/2022............3-4-0,.,........42,85%..................-5.99
10/14/2022............3-1-0...........75.00%...............+10.55
10/13/2022............0-2-0...........00.00%................-10.50
10//12/2022...........1-3-0...........25.00%..................-8.00
10/11/2022............2-6-0...........25.00%...............- 18.35
10/09/2022...........1-0-0..........100.00%................+ 6.25
10/08/2022....................NO BEST BE..................+ 0.00
10/07/2022...........2-4-0............33.33%...............- 13.65

TOTALS...............18-26-0...........40.90%................- 41.89

 

[Udog]

Armadillo Sports

Saturday’s 6-pack
NFL leaders in passing yardage:
1,980— Josh Allen, Buff
1,765— Matt Ryan, Iind
1,736— Patrick Mahomes, KC
1,716— Justin Herbert, LAC
1,667— Kyler Murray, Ariz
1,652— Tom Brady, TB

Quote of the Day
“If you think you can or think you can’t, you’re right.”
Tony Hoffman

Saturday’s quiz
David Ortiz became famous playing for the Red Sox, but he played for a different team for the first six years of his career. Which team?

Friday’s quiz
Andy Dalton played his college football at TCU.

Thursday’s quiz
In the TV show The West Wing, President Bartlet was from New Hampshire.

****************************

Saturday’s Den: Some stories, other stuff on a fall Saturday

— Today (Saturday) is the 50th anniversary of my best day ever as a sports fan.

October 22, 1972, a Sunday. I was 12 years old.

Game 7 of the World Series started at 1pm (imagine that now?); A’s beat the Reds when Pete Rose flied to left fielder Joe Rudi to end the game, giving Oakland its first of three straight World Series titles. I was very excited that day.

I became an A’s fan in 1965, after getting a set of baseball cards from my grandparents. One of the cards was a Kansas City A’s rookie card, with four prospects on it. One of the prospects had no minor league record; they misspelt his name on the back of the card.

Went to my dad, showed him the card and told him, “This is my favorite player” He gave me an odd look (that happened a lot when I was a kid) but I was now an A’s fan- they were a bad team back then, but things gradually got better, once they moved to Oakland in 1968.

What are the odds that the player with no minor league record would become a Hall of Famer?

Jim (Catfish) Hunter threw a perfect game in 1968, made six All-Star Games pitching for the A’s, and was inducted into the Hall of Fame in 1987. He was the winning pitcher in Game 7 of the ’72 Series, getting eight outs while pitching with one day of rest.

As if winning the World Series wasn’t enough……..

The 4:00 NFL game on local TV was supposed to be Broncos-Raiders, but luckily for me, they showed the Bengals-Rams game instead.

Rams led 10-0 at halftime, blew the lead, but David Ray kicked a field goal at the end, giving the Rams a 15-12 win, and giving me a very excellent day.

Fifty years ago; time flies when you’re having fun.

— Back in the early 80’s, I coached JV high school baseball for a year; talk about someone being in over his head, that was me. Things didn’t go well in terms of wins/losses, but the kids had fun, and a lot of us have remained friends over the years.

I found out just this week, 38 years later, that the father of one of those guys had played minor league baseball, three years in the Pirates’ organization. Wish I had known back then; would have picked his brain about the experience.

One of his coaches in the minors was Danny Murtaugh, who later won two World Series managing Pittsburgh. One of his teammates in spring training was Mario Cuomo, who later became governor of New York.

Spent some time this week picking my friend Dave’s brain about this; his dad is 97 years old now. I didn’t know him well; he never said a word to me (other than hello) during the season when I coached his son, even though he probably cringed when he watched our team play.

He played three years in the minors, then had to make a life decision. This was 1952; there was no big money in baseball yet, and he was about to get married. He did well in the minors, with a .298 batting average— he led the league in triples one year, but he was about to get married and the Pirates were going to send him to play minor league ball in Hollywood the next year- the Dodgers hadn’t moved to Los Angeles yet.

While pondering his decision, he wrote a letter to Pirates GM Branch Rickey, who responded with a 3.5-page letter, a hugely thoughtful thing to do. Obviously, it was a much different world in 1952; no Internet, hell no cable TV. Branch Rickey had never seen my friend’s dad play, so he could only give general advice based on scouts’ reports.

My friend has this letter; he texted me a copy of it last night. That Branch Rickey took the time to write a 3.5-page, single-spaced letter to someone he had never seen play is remarkable.

My friend’s dad is also in the Ithaca College Hall of Fame, along with Gorilla Monsoon, the pro wrestler. He retired from baseball after three years, went into the insurance business and did very well in it. In today’s world, where players get to the majors a lot faster and the money is a lot bigger, his choice might have been different.

That is what makes life interesting, the choices we have/make.

— I’d be remiss if I didn’t tell this one story from that season coaching those guys.

We were winning one game by a decent amount, and Dave was pitching. He had a good arm but he was struggling with his curveball, so he was just throwing fastballs, the other team was hitting long fly balls (the field had no fence) and our outfielders were catching them.

But he calls me out to the mound in the 4th inning; I go out there— we hadn’t won a game in a while and I say to him “What could possibly be the problem?” He hands me the ball, says “I never want to pitch again the rest of my life” and walked off the mound.

Seriously, he didn’t want to pitch anymore. We laugh about it now; but I needed to sub in someone to get the last 10 or 11 outs in this game- there weren’t a lot of choices. We held on to win the game, but it says a lot that 38 years later, I have a pretty vivid memory of it.

— One more story for today: guy I know went to the Cleveland-New York playoff game earlier this week, the game that got rained out. They drove down from Albany, 150 miles or so, and got there just before the scheduled first pitch, but there was a rain delay.

Weren’t lot of parking spots available; they tried this one lot where apparently the buses parked, but it was full— the lady running things hinted that she could find them a spot if they threw her a few extra bucks.

So a parking lot that cost $55 to park in wound up costing them $85, to watch a game that was never played. Oy.

— I’m watching the Magic-Hawks’ NBA game as I write this; they’re showing clips of Dejounte Murray and Trae Young riding camels during their recent trip to Abu Dhabi. There is no way on God’s green earth I would ever ride a camel; too damn tall.

— Texas Rangers hired future Hall of Famer Bruce Bochy as their manager; brilliant move. Bochy won three World Series managing the Giants, also got San Diego to a World Series.

— Phillies 4, Padres 2
Schwarber hit a home run in first inning.
Phillies’ bullpen threw four scoreless innings.
Philadelphia leads series, 2-1.

— Tulsa 27, Tulane 16
Temple led 10-0 after first quarter.
Deneric Prince had an 84-yard TD run early in 4th quarter to put Tulsa ahead 24-10.
Temple was 4-18 on third down, Tulsa 2-11.
Total yardage: Tulsa 454, Temple 280

— Western Kentucky 20, UAB 17
UAB led 17-7 with 2:00 left in first half.
Hilltoppers had 11 penalties for 86 yards, UAB 4 for 22.
Blazers turned ball over four times (minus-3)