CNOTES 2024 - 2025 COLLEGE BASKETBALL NEWS-BEST BETS-OPINIONS THRU THE CHAMPIONSHIP !
- Thread starter Cnotes53
- Start date
Saturday, February 15
| Game | Time(ET) | Pick | Units |
|---|---|---|---|
| CLEM at FSU | 12:00 PM | FSU +5.0 | +500 |
| UNCG at FUR | 12:00 PM | UNCG +3.0 | +500 |
| JOES at GMU | 12:30 PM | GMU -4.0 | +500 |
| VAN at TENN | 01:00 PM | TENN -12.5 | +500 |
| ILST at INST | 01:00 PM | O 158.0 | +500 |
| HOU at ARIZ | 02:00 PM | ARIZ +2.0 | +500 |
| HP at WIN | 02:00 PM | HP -4.0 U 164.5 | +500 +500 |
| MONM at TOWS | 02:00 PM | MONM +8.0 | +500 |
| SAM at WOF | 02:00 PM | SAM -1.0 U 148.5 | +500 +500 |
| JAC at UNA | 02:00 PM | UNA -5.0 | +500 |
| BC at NCST | 02:00 PM | NCST -8.5 | +500 |
| ORU at UND | 02:00 PM | O 159.0 | +500 |
| BING at NJIT | 02:00 PM | BING -4.0 | +500 |
| IPFW at RMU | 02:00 PM | RMU -2.0 | +500 |
| GC at UTA | 03:00 PM | UTA +8.0 | +500 |
| TOL at EMU | 03:30 PM | TOL -4.0 | +500 |
| MIZZ at UGA | 03:30 PM | UGA +2.5 | +500 |
| KENN at SHSU | 03:30 PM | KENN +1.5 | +500 |
| QNC at EKY | 04:00 PM | U 156.5 | +500 |
| AUB at ALA | 04:00 PM | ALA -1.5 | +500 |
| JVST at LT | 04:00 PM | JVST +3.0 | +500 |
| STAN at DUKE | 04:00 PM | DUKE -17.5 | +500 |
| UNF at CARK | 04:30 PM | UNF -9.0 | +500 |
| IW at AMCC | 04:30 PM | AMCC -7.5 | +500 |
| JKST at FAMU | 06:00 PM | JKST -3.0 | +500 |
| UTSA at TLSA | 06:00 PM | UTSA -1.0 | +500 |
| ETSU at CHAT | 07:00 PM | CHAT -6.5 | +500 |
| MSU at ILL | 08:00 PM | ILL -6.5 | +500 |
| CP at CSN | 08:00 PM | CSN -10.0 O 170.0 | +500 +500 |
| UK at TEX | 08:00 PM | TEX -3.5 | +500 |
| IDST at MTST | 08:00 PM | IDST +3.5 | +500 |
| NEOM at STT | 08:00 PM | NEOM +7.5 | +500 |
| SCAR at FLA | 08:30 PM | FLA -13.5 | +500 |
| KSU at BYU | 09:00 PM | BYU -7.5 | +500 |
| LIB at UTEP | 09:00 PM | LIB +1.0 | +500 |
| FIU at NMSU | 09:00 PM | U 138.0 | +500 |
| WSU at SMC | 10:00 PM | U 140.0 | +500 |
| SF at USD | 10:00 PM | O 150.0 | +500 |
| KU at UTAH | 10:00 PM | U 146.0 | +500 |
| BSU at SDSU | 10:00 PM | U 136.0 | +500 |
BEST BETS CBB FEB.
02/15/2025...............20 - 18 - 0................52.63%.............+ 1.00
02/14/2025................10 - 6 - 0.................62.50%..............+ 17.00
02/13/2025...............29 - 21 - 0...............58.00%...............+ 29.50
02/12/2025..............14 - 12 - 1...............58.84%................+ 4.00
02/06/2025..............23 - 27 - 0...............46.00%................- 33.50
02/05/2025.............28 - 17 - 0................62.22%...............+ 46.50
02/04/2025.............18 - 17 - 1................51.42%,,,,,,,,,.,,,,,- 3.50
02/03/2025.................4 - 8 - 0.................33.00%...............- 24.00
02/02/2025.............11 - 11 - 0................50.00%................- 5.50
02/01/2025..............22 - 22 -0................50.00%..............- 11.00
TOTALS...................179 - 159 - 1..............55.86%..............+ 20.50
02/15/2025...............20 - 18 - 0................52.63%.............+ 1.00
02/14/2025................10 - 6 - 0.................62.50%..............+ 17.00
02/13/2025...............29 - 21 - 0...............58.00%...............+ 29.50
02/12/2025..............14 - 12 - 1...............58.84%................+ 4.00
02/06/2025..............23 - 27 - 0...............46.00%................- 33.50
02/05/2025.............28 - 17 - 0................62.22%...............+ 46.50
02/04/2025.............18 - 17 - 1................51.42%,,,,,,,,,.,,,,,- 3.50
02/03/2025.................4 - 8 - 0.................33.00%...............- 24.00
02/02/2025.............11 - 11 - 0................50.00%................- 5.50
02/01/2025..............22 - 22 -0................50.00%..............- 11.00
TOTALS...................179 - 159 - 1..............55.86%..............+ 20.50
Sunday’s 6-pack:
College football playoff teams with most players invited to the NFL Combine:
15— Ohio State
14— Georgia, Texas
12— Oregon
8— Notre Dame
6— Clemson, Tennessee
5— Penn State
Quote of the Day
“I thoroughly appreciate being a Celtic and love the people I get to work with every day.”
Brad Stevens, former Butler coach, now the Celtics’ president of basketball operations, dispelling rumors he will be the next basketball coach at Indiana
Sunday’s quiz
Butler lost the national championship game two years in a row, in 2010/2011; what league were they in back then?
Saturday’s quiz
Four major leaguers who have hit 600+ home runs are not in the Hall of Fame:
Bonds, Pujols, Alex Rodriguez, Sosa.
Friday’s quiz
Aaron Rodgers played his college football at California
************************************************
— SEC
Auburn 94, Alabama 85
There were 67 foul shots, only 11 turnovers in this game.
Game was 65-65 with 7:45 left to play.
Tigers were 12-30 on the arc, Alabama 5-26
Tennessee 81, Vanderbilt 76
Vandy led by 16 late in first half.
Vols shot 64.5% inside the arc.
Tennessee won four of its last five games.
LSU 82, Oklahoma 79
Sooners are 3-9 in the SEC, after a 13-0 pre-conference mark.
Mississippi State 81, Ole Miss 71
State is shooting 56% inside arc, 31.5% on the arc (#294)
Bracketology has 14 of 16 SEC teams in the Field of 68, which is unlikely to happen.
— Big 18
Underdogs were 4-0 SU/ATS in Big 18 games Saturday.
Michigan State 79, Illinois 65
Tom Izzo has now won 354 Big 18 games, the most of any coach.
Wisconsin 94, Purdue 84
Badgers outscored Purdue 58-47 in second half.
Wisconsin made 20 of 22 shots inside the arc (20 of 22- that’s 90.9%!!!)
Purdue scored 1.29 points/possession and still lost by 10.
This year is the first time since 2006 that the Badgers are in top 200 in tempo; they’ve adjusted to the times, and have done it very well.
Bracketology has ten Big 18 teams in the Field of 68
— Big East
Seton Hall (+14.5) 69, UConn 68 OT
UConn led by 7 with 0:45 left in regulation.
Seton Hall snaps its nine-game losing streak.
Pirates are 2-12 in Big East, with both wins in overtime.
Bracketology has four Big East teams in the Field of 68
— Big X
Houston 62, Arizona 58
Houston started season 4-3; they’re 17-1 since then.
Cougars have the #9 eFG% defense in the country.
Arizona led by 7 with 9:10 left in the game.
Bracketology has eight Big X teams in the Field of 68
— ACC
Clemson 72, Florida State 46
Clemson is #9 experience team in the country; they’re very good.
Tigers have won nine of their last ten games.
Clemson is shooting 38.4% on the arc (#14)
Bracketology has only three ACC teams in the Field of 68
— Upsets of the Day:
Seton Hall (+14.5) 69, UConn 68 OT
LSU (+8.5) 82, Oklahoma 79
Elon (+8.5) 81, NC-Wilmington 70
Wake Forest (+7.5) 77, SMU 66
Minnesota (+7.5) 69, USC 66
VMI (+7.5) 80, Mercer 71
Washington (+6.5) 75, Penn State 73
— Sun Belt
Underdogs were 4-3 SU/7-0 ATS in the Sun Belt Saturday.
Troy 71, Arkansas State 70
Troy snapped the Red Wolves’ 15-game home winning streak.
There are four teams tied for first place in Sun Belt, with four games left.
— Atlantic 15
George Mason 58, St Joe’s 57
St Joe’s led by 8 with 7:57 left in the game.
George Mason has won its last eleven games.
George Mason has 20+ wins for third year in a row; they haven’t been in NCAA’s since 2011. Patriots have #3 eFG% defense in country.
— Mid-American
Underdogs were 3-2 SU/5-0 ATS in the MAC Saturday.
Akron 85, Central Michigan 82
Zips have won 13 games in a row; they’re 12-0 in the MAC
Be careful with the MAC team in NCAA’s; Akron is 0-2 vs top 100 teams, losing by 16 to Yale, by 19 at Saint Mary’s.
MAC is the #24 league, both this year and last, their lowest ranking in the last 28 years.
— Summit
St Thomas 95, Omaha 84
St Thomas was 13-29 on arc, scored 1.36 points/possession
Tommies take over first place in the Summit, with four games left.
Summit is a league with good offense/bad defense; average total in their three games Saturday was 172.3.
— Famous birthdays, February 16:
Tim Cullen, 83
Glenn Abbott, 74
LeVar Burton, 68
Tracy Marrow, 67 (Ice-T)
Herb Williams, 67
Kelly Tripucka, 66
Jerome Bettis, 53
Eric Byrnes, 49
Tommy Milone, 38
— Ivy League
Yale 72, Penn 71
Yale has won nine in a row, is 8-0 in Ivy games.
Bulldogs had only three turnovers (+9)
Four of eight Ivy teams make the conference tournament; Cornell is the #4-seed right now, at 5-4, leading Brown/Harvard by a game.
— Southern
VMI 80, Mercer 71
Keydets are 7-7 in SoCon; they haven’t finished over .500 in SoCon since 2014.
VMI is also 12-2 against the spread in SoCon games this season.
Samford 76, Wofford 68
Wofford has a big guy, Kyler Filewich, who at this time last week was 24-80 on the foul line this season; that is 30%, which is terrible.
Someone has apparently convinced the young man to shoot his foul shots underhanded, the way the great Rick Barry did. Barry/Steph Curry are the two best ever on the foul line.
The last two games, Filewich was 10-16 on the foul line; good for him. He’s scoring 12 points a game, a number that figures to go up now.
— CAA
Elon 81, NC-Wilmington 70
Loss snaps the Seahawks’ nine-game winning streak.
Towson leads UNCW by two games atop the CAA; Tigers are 84-44 the last four years, but they haven’t been in the NCAA Tournament since 1991.
— Conference USA
Jacksonville State 70, Louisiana Tech 68
Jaren Pierre had 34 of Jax State’s 70 points.
Jax State was 26-30 on foul line; they were the road team.
Gamecocks have won nine of last 10 games, are 10-3 and atop the C-USA.
College football playoff teams with most players invited to the NFL Combine:
15— Ohio State
14— Georgia, Texas
12— Oregon
8— Notre Dame
6— Clemson, Tennessee
5— Penn State
Quote of the Day
“I thoroughly appreciate being a Celtic and love the people I get to work with every day.”
Brad Stevens, former Butler coach, now the Celtics’ president of basketball operations, dispelling rumors he will be the next basketball coach at Indiana
Sunday’s quiz
Butler lost the national championship game two years in a row, in 2010/2011; what league were they in back then?
Saturday’s quiz
Four major leaguers who have hit 600+ home runs are not in the Hall of Fame:
Bonds, Pujols, Alex Rodriguez, Sosa.
Friday’s quiz
Aaron Rodgers played his college football at California
************************************************
Sunday’s Den: Wrapping up a college basketball Saturday…….
We’re four weeks away from Selection Sunday; spring training games start this week, now I just need it to stop snowing outside.— SEC
Auburn 94, Alabama 85
There were 67 foul shots, only 11 turnovers in this game.
Game was 65-65 with 7:45 left to play.
Tigers were 12-30 on the arc, Alabama 5-26
Tennessee 81, Vanderbilt 76
Vandy led by 16 late in first half.
Vols shot 64.5% inside the arc.
Tennessee won four of its last five games.
LSU 82, Oklahoma 79
Sooners are 3-9 in the SEC, after a 13-0 pre-conference mark.
Mississippi State 81, Ole Miss 71
State is shooting 56% inside arc, 31.5% on the arc (#294)
Bracketology has 14 of 16 SEC teams in the Field of 68, which is unlikely to happen.
— Big 18
Underdogs were 4-0 SU/ATS in Big 18 games Saturday.
Michigan State 79, Illinois 65
Tom Izzo has now won 354 Big 18 games, the most of any coach.
Wisconsin 94, Purdue 84
Badgers outscored Purdue 58-47 in second half.
Wisconsin made 20 of 22 shots inside the arc (20 of 22- that’s 90.9%!!!)
Purdue scored 1.29 points/possession and still lost by 10.
This year is the first time since 2006 that the Badgers are in top 200 in tempo; they’ve adjusted to the times, and have done it very well.
Bracketology has ten Big 18 teams in the Field of 68
— Big East
Seton Hall (+14.5) 69, UConn 68 OT
UConn led by 7 with 0:45 left in regulation.
Seton Hall snaps its nine-game losing streak.
Pirates are 2-12 in Big East, with both wins in overtime.
Bracketology has four Big East teams in the Field of 68
— Big X
Houston 62, Arizona 58
Houston started season 4-3; they’re 17-1 since then.
Cougars have the #9 eFG% defense in the country.
Arizona led by 7 with 9:10 left in the game.
Bracketology has eight Big X teams in the Field of 68
— ACC
Clemson 72, Florida State 46
Clemson is #9 experience team in the country; they’re very good.
Tigers have won nine of their last ten games.
Clemson is shooting 38.4% on the arc (#14)
Bracketology has only three ACC teams in the Field of 68
— Upsets of the Day:
Seton Hall (+14.5) 69, UConn 68 OT
LSU (+8.5) 82, Oklahoma 79
Elon (+8.5) 81, NC-Wilmington 70
Wake Forest (+7.5) 77, SMU 66
Minnesota (+7.5) 69, USC 66
VMI (+7.5) 80, Mercer 71
Washington (+6.5) 75, Penn State 73
— Sun Belt
Underdogs were 4-3 SU/7-0 ATS in the Sun Belt Saturday.
Troy 71, Arkansas State 70
Troy snapped the Red Wolves’ 15-game home winning streak.
There are four teams tied for first place in Sun Belt, with four games left.
— Atlantic 15
George Mason 58, St Joe’s 57
St Joe’s led by 8 with 7:57 left in the game.
George Mason has won its last eleven games.
George Mason has 20+ wins for third year in a row; they haven’t been in NCAA’s since 2011. Patriots have #3 eFG% defense in country.
— Mid-American
Underdogs were 3-2 SU/5-0 ATS in the MAC Saturday.
Akron 85, Central Michigan 82
Zips have won 13 games in a row; they’re 12-0 in the MAC
Be careful with the MAC team in NCAA’s; Akron is 0-2 vs top 100 teams, losing by 16 to Yale, by 19 at Saint Mary’s.
MAC is the #24 league, both this year and last, their lowest ranking in the last 28 years.
— Summit
St Thomas 95, Omaha 84
St Thomas was 13-29 on arc, scored 1.36 points/possession
Tommies take over first place in the Summit, with four games left.
Summit is a league with good offense/bad defense; average total in their three games Saturday was 172.3.
— Famous birthdays, February 16:
Tim Cullen, 83
Glenn Abbott, 74
LeVar Burton, 68
Tracy Marrow, 67 (Ice-T)
Herb Williams, 67
Kelly Tripucka, 66
Jerome Bettis, 53
Eric Byrnes, 49
Tommy Milone, 38
— Ivy League
Yale 72, Penn 71
Yale has won nine in a row, is 8-0 in Ivy games.
Bulldogs had only three turnovers (+9)
Four of eight Ivy teams make the conference tournament; Cornell is the #4-seed right now, at 5-4, leading Brown/Harvard by a game.
— Southern
VMI 80, Mercer 71
Keydets are 7-7 in SoCon; they haven’t finished over .500 in SoCon since 2014.
VMI is also 12-2 against the spread in SoCon games this season.
Samford 76, Wofford 68
Wofford has a big guy, Kyler Filewich, who at this time last week was 24-80 on the foul line this season; that is 30%, which is terrible.
Someone has apparently convinced the young man to shoot his foul shots underhanded, the way the great Rick Barry did. Barry/Steph Curry are the two best ever on the foul line.
The last two games, Filewich was 10-16 on the foul line; good for him. He’s scoring 12 points a game, a number that figures to go up now.
— CAA
Elon 81, NC-Wilmington 70
Loss snaps the Seahawks’ nine-game winning streak.
Towson leads UNCW by two games atop the CAA; Tigers are 84-44 the last four years, but they haven’t been in the NCAA Tournament since 1991.
— Conference USA
Jacksonville State 70, Louisiana Tech 68
Jaren Pierre had 34 of Jax State’s 70 points.
Jax State was 26-30 on foul line; they were the road team.
Gamecocks have won nine of last 10 games, are 10-3 and atop the C-USA.
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Armadillo's Write-Up
Sunday, February 16
5 of Sunday’s best college basketball games:
Michigan @ Ohio State (-2.5)
Michigan (19-5, 11-2)
KenPom rating: 22
Tempo: 56
Experience: 84
Continuity: 268
Michigan won last five games, all by 4 or fewer points.
Wolverines are 2-1 ATS as a Big 18 road underdog.
Michigan is 4-3 vs top 50 opponents.
Wolverines have #9 eFG% offense, #24 eFG% defense.
Michigan is turning ball over 20.3% of time (#331)
Ohio State (15-10, 7-7)
KenPom rating: 28
Tempo: 182
Experience: 98
Continuity: 203
Ohio State won five of its last seven games.
Buckeyes are 4-3 ATS as a Big 18 home favorite.
Ohio State is 4-9 vs top 50 opponents.
Buckeyes have #32 eFG% defense.
Ohio State is shooting 38.3% on the arc (#17)
Michigan won three of last four series games.
Bradley @ Drake (-6.5)
Bradley (20-6, 11-4)
KenPom rating: 95
Tempo: 237
Experience: 127
Continuity: 23
Bradley is 2-3 in last five games, after an 18-3 start.
Braves are 6-1 SU on MVC road, 0-1 ATS as a road dog.
Bradley is 1-2 against top 100 opponents.
Braves are shooting 40.7% on the arc (#1)
Bradley is 7-2 in games decided by 7 or fewer points.
Drake (23-2, 13-2)
KenPom rating: 60
Tempo: 364
Experience: 358
Continuity: 338
Drake won its last 11 games (4-1 ATS last five)
Bulldogs are 3-4 ATS as an MVC home favorite.
Drake is 3-0 vs top 100 opponents.
Bulldogs have #33 eFG% offense in country.
Opponents are shooting 55.3% inside arc (#326)
Drake (+2.5) won 64-57 at Bradley January 8th
Drake’s bench outscored Bradley’s subs, 44-12
Drake won last five series games.
Creighton @ St John’s (-5.5)
Creighton (18-7, 11-3)
KenPom rating: 31
Tempo: 139
Experience: 38
Continuity: 86
Creighton won nine of its last ten games.
Bluejays are 3-0 ATS as a Big East underdog.
Creighton is 4-6 vs top 50 opponents.
Bluejays are shooting 60.4% inside arc (#2)
Creighton has #19 eFG% offense, #16 eFG% defense.
St John’s (19-6, 8-4)
KenPom rating: 18
Tempo: 60
Experience: 71
Continuity: 271
St John’s won 10 of its last 11 games.
Red Storm is 4-3 ATS as a big East home favorite.
St John’s is 4-3 vs top 50 opponents.
Red Storm is forcing turnovers 22.1% of time (#14)
St John’s is shooting only 24.3% on arc in Big East games.
Creighton (-1) nipped St John’s 57-56 on New Year’s Eve.
There were a total of only 13 foul shots in this game.
Creighton won eight of last nine series games.
Youngstown State @ Cleveland State (-3.5)
Youngstown State (17-10, 11-5)
KenPom rating: 195
Tempo: 61
Experience: 155
Continuity: 300
Youngstown won four of its last five games.
Penguins are 2-2 ATS as a Horizon road underdog.
Youngstown is 6-6 vs top 200 opponents.
Penguins are shooting 55.8% inside arc in Horizon games.
Last five games, Youngstown scored 86.2 ppg.
Cleveland State (18-8, 12-3)
KenPom rating: 153
Tempo: 256
Experience: 164
Continuity: 188
Cleveland State lost two of last three games, after an 11-0 run.
Vikings are 5-2 ATS as a Horizon home favorite.
Cleveland State is 6-6 vs top 200 opponents.
Vikings are forcing turnovers 22.5% of time (#9)
Cleveland State has #256 eFG% in country.
Cleveland State (+3.5) won 80-72 at Youngstown January 11th.
Vikings shot 11-22 on the arc in that game.
Cleveland State won four of last five series games.
Utah State @ New Mexico (-5.5)
Utah State (22-3, 12-2)
KenPom rating: 51
Tempo: 110
Experience: 99
Continuity: 171
Utah State won six of its last seven games.
Aggies are 6-1 SU on MW road, 2-0 ATS as a road dog.
Utah State is 10-3 vs top 100 opponents.
Aggies are shooting 58.9% inside arc (#6)
Utah State is forcing turnovers 20.7% of time (#34)
New Mexico (21-4, 13-1)
KenPom rating: 36
Tempo: 4
Experience: 58
Continuity: 72
New Mexico won seven in row, 13 of last 14 games.
Lobos are 4-3 ATS as MW home favorites.
New Mexico is 10-2 vs top 100 opponents.
Lobos are forcing turnovers 20.3% of time (#44)
Opponents are shooting 47% inside arc (#40)
New Mexico (+4.5) won 82-63 at Utah State February 1st.
Utah State won eight of last ten series games.
Armadillo's Write-Up
Sunday, February 16
5 of Sunday’s best college basketball games:
Michigan @ Ohio State (-2.5)
Michigan (19-5, 11-2)
KenPom rating: 22
Tempo: 56
Experience: 84
Continuity: 268
Michigan won last five games, all by 4 or fewer points.
Wolverines are 2-1 ATS as a Big 18 road underdog.
Michigan is 4-3 vs top 50 opponents.
Wolverines have #9 eFG% offense, #24 eFG% defense.
Michigan is turning ball over 20.3% of time (#331)
Ohio State (15-10, 7-7)
KenPom rating: 28
Tempo: 182
Experience: 98
Continuity: 203
Ohio State won five of its last seven games.
Buckeyes are 4-3 ATS as a Big 18 home favorite.
Ohio State is 4-9 vs top 50 opponents.
Buckeyes have #32 eFG% defense.
Ohio State is shooting 38.3% on the arc (#17)
Michigan won three of last four series games.
Bradley @ Drake (-6.5)
Bradley (20-6, 11-4)
KenPom rating: 95
Tempo: 237
Experience: 127
Continuity: 23
Bradley is 2-3 in last five games, after an 18-3 start.
Braves are 6-1 SU on MVC road, 0-1 ATS as a road dog.
Bradley is 1-2 against top 100 opponents.
Braves are shooting 40.7% on the arc (#1)
Bradley is 7-2 in games decided by 7 or fewer points.
Drake (23-2, 13-2)
KenPom rating: 60
Tempo: 364
Experience: 358
Continuity: 338
Drake won its last 11 games (4-1 ATS last five)
Bulldogs are 3-4 ATS as an MVC home favorite.
Drake is 3-0 vs top 100 opponents.
Bulldogs have #33 eFG% offense in country.
Opponents are shooting 55.3% inside arc (#326)
Drake (+2.5) won 64-57 at Bradley January 8th
Drake’s bench outscored Bradley’s subs, 44-12
Drake won last five series games.
Creighton @ St John’s (-5.5)
Creighton (18-7, 11-3)
KenPom rating: 31
Tempo: 139
Experience: 38
Continuity: 86
Creighton won nine of its last ten games.
Bluejays are 3-0 ATS as a Big East underdog.
Creighton is 4-6 vs top 50 opponents.
Bluejays are shooting 60.4% inside arc (#2)
Creighton has #19 eFG% offense, #16 eFG% defense.
St John’s (19-6, 8-4)
KenPom rating: 18
Tempo: 60
Experience: 71
Continuity: 271
St John’s won 10 of its last 11 games.
Red Storm is 4-3 ATS as a big East home favorite.
St John’s is 4-3 vs top 50 opponents.
Red Storm is forcing turnovers 22.1% of time (#14)
St John’s is shooting only 24.3% on arc in Big East games.
Creighton (-1) nipped St John’s 57-56 on New Year’s Eve.
There were a total of only 13 foul shots in this game.
Creighton won eight of last nine series games.
Youngstown State @ Cleveland State (-3.5)
Youngstown State (17-10, 11-5)
KenPom rating: 195
Tempo: 61
Experience: 155
Continuity: 300
Youngstown won four of its last five games.
Penguins are 2-2 ATS as a Horizon road underdog.
Youngstown is 6-6 vs top 200 opponents.
Penguins are shooting 55.8% inside arc in Horizon games.
Last five games, Youngstown scored 86.2 ppg.
Cleveland State (18-8, 12-3)
KenPom rating: 153
Tempo: 256
Experience: 164
Continuity: 188
Cleveland State lost two of last three games, after an 11-0 run.
Vikings are 5-2 ATS as a Horizon home favorite.
Cleveland State is 6-6 vs top 200 opponents.
Vikings are forcing turnovers 22.5% of time (#9)
Cleveland State has #256 eFG% in country.
Cleveland State (+3.5) won 80-72 at Youngstown January 11th.
Vikings shot 11-22 on the arc in that game.
Cleveland State won four of last five series games.
Utah State @ New Mexico (-5.5)
Utah State (22-3, 12-2)
KenPom rating: 51
Tempo: 110
Experience: 99
Continuity: 171
Utah State won six of its last seven games.
Aggies are 6-1 SU on MW road, 2-0 ATS as a road dog.
Utah State is 10-3 vs top 100 opponents.
Aggies are shooting 58.9% inside arc (#6)
Utah State is forcing turnovers 20.7% of time (#34)
New Mexico (21-4, 13-1)
KenPom rating: 36
Tempo: 4
Experience: 58
Continuity: 72
New Mexico won seven in row, 13 of last 14 games.
Lobos are 4-3 ATS as MW home favorites.
New Mexico is 10-2 vs top 100 opponents.
Lobos are forcing turnovers 20.3% of time (#44)
Opponents are shooting 47% inside arc (#40)
New Mexico (+4.5) won 82-63 at Utah State February 1st.
Utah State won eight of last ten series games.
- Sep 10, 2018
- 19,829
- 25
- 48
NCAAB
Sunday, February 16
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Trend Report
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Sunday, February 16
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Trend Report
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Sunday, February 16
| Game | Time(ET) | Pick | Units |
|---|---|---|---|
| SIE at SHU | 12:00 PM | SIE +3.0 | +500 |
| FAU at TEM | 12:00 PM | O 162.0 | +500 |
| MEM at WICH | 12:00 PM | O 148.5 | +500 |
| MICH at OSU | 01:00 PM | MICH +2.0 | +500 |
| MSM at CAN | 01:00 PM | U 141.0 | +500 |
| MAN at FAIR | 02:00 PM | MAN -2.5 U 146.5 | +500 +500 |
| BRAD at DRKE | 02:00 PM | DRKE -6.0 U 129.5 | +500 +500 |
| RID at SPC | 02:00 PM | RID +4.5 U 128.5 | +500 +500 |
| YSU at CLEV | 02:00 PM | O 141.5 | +500 |
| MRST at MW | 02:00 PM | MRST +4.0 | +500 |
| IONA at QUIN | 02:00 PM | O 149.5 | +500 |
| SDST at SDAK | 02:00 PM | O 171.5 | +500 |
| NEB at NW | 03:00 PM | O 141.5 | +500 |
| NKU at MILW | 03:00 PM | MILW -6.0 | +500 |
| WRST at GB | 03:00 PM | O 151.0 | +500 |
| MOSU at UIC | 03:00 PM | O 142.5 | +500 |
| DET at OAK | 03:00 PM | O 135.5 | +500 |
| CREI at SJU | 03:00 PM | CREI +6.5 U 141.5 | +500 +500 |
| USU at UNM | 04:00 PM | USU +4.5 U 160.0 | +500 +500 |
| USF at UAB | 04:00 PM | O 156.5 | +500 |
| UNI at MURR | 05:00 PM | O 133.5 | +500 |
| IOWA at MD | 05:00 PM | O 160.5 | +500 |
| RUTG at ORE | 07:00 PM | ORE -7.5 O 154.0 | +500 +500 |
| VALP at EVAN | 08:00 PM | U 143.5 | +500 |
| LOU at ND | 08:00 PM | LOU -6.5 U 145.0 | +500 +500 |
BEST BETS CBB FEB.
02/16/2025.............16 - 10.- 0...............61.53%.............+ 25.00
02/15/2025.............20 - 18 - 0...............52.63%.............+ 1.00
02/14/2025...............10 - 6 - 0...............62.50%.............+ 17.00
02/13/2025.............29 - 21 - 0...............58.00%..............+ 29.50
02/12/2025.............14 - 12 - 1...............58.84%..............+ 4.00
02/06/2025.............23 - 27 - 0...............46.00%..............- 33.50
02/05/2025.............28 - 17 - 0................62.22%.............+ 46.50
02/04/2025.............18 - 17 - 1................51.42%..............- 3.50
02/03/2025................4 - 8 - 0.................33.00%.............- 24.00
02/02/2025.............11 - 11 - 0................50.00%..............- 5.50
02/01/2025..............22 - 22 -0................50.00%..............- 11.00
TOTALS................195 - 169 - 1...............53.57%...............+ 45.50
02/16/2025.............16 - 10.- 0...............61.53%.............+ 25.00
02/15/2025.............20 - 18 - 0...............52.63%.............+ 1.00
02/14/2025...............10 - 6 - 0...............62.50%.............+ 17.00
02/13/2025.............29 - 21 - 0...............58.00%..............+ 29.50
02/12/2025.............14 - 12 - 1...............58.84%..............+ 4.00
02/06/2025.............23 - 27 - 0...............46.00%..............- 33.50
02/05/2025.............28 - 17 - 0................62.22%.............+ 46.50
02/04/2025.............18 - 17 - 1................51.42%..............- 3.50
02/03/2025................4 - 8 - 0.................33.00%.............- 24.00
02/02/2025.............11 - 11 - 0................50.00%..............- 5.50
02/01/2025..............22 - 22 -0................50.00%..............- 11.00
TOTALS................195 - 169 - 1...............53.57%...............+ 45.50
Monday’s 6-pack:
Over/under win totals for baseball season:
86— Diamondbacks
92— Braves
88.5— Orioles
86— Red Sox
86— Cubs
53— White Sox
Quote of the Day
“We made eight of our last 10 field goals, that’s how you close out a game……..Chris Moore played seven minutes, was plus-17……everyone contributed……..there is something to the fact that they trust each other, they do.”
Auburn coach Bruce Pearl, after the Tigers’ win at Alabama
Monday’s quiz
In the TV show Ted Lasso, an English soccer team hires a new coach, who used to be the football coach at which American college?
Sunday’s quiz
Butler lost the national championship game two years in a row, in 2010/2011; they were in the Horizon League back then, which is how coach Brad Stevens vaulted into the NBA.
Saturday’s quiz
Four major leaguers who have hit 600+ home runs are not in the Hall of Fame:
Bonds, Pujols, Alex Rodriguez, Sosa.
********************************************
St John’s has won 11 of its last 12 games.
Red Storm was +10 in turnovers (15-5)
Two games vs St John’s this year, Bluejays were only 17-56 on the arc.
— Michigan 86, Ohio State 83
Michigan is 20-5; they were 8-24 last season.
Wolverines have won six games in a row, all by 4 or fewer points.
Michigan out-rounded the Buckeyes, 46-31.
— Nebraska 68, Northwestern 64
Northwestern led 41-21 early in the second half.
Nebraska was 22-28 on foul line, Wildcats were 5-8.
Cornhuskers have won five of their last six games.
— New Mexico 82, Utah State 79
Aggies led 42-36 at halftime.
Lobos were 27-34 on foul line, Utah State 13-16.
New Mexico’s subs played a total of only 23:00.
— Bradley 61, Drake 59
Bradley shot 61.5% inside the arc.
Loss snaps Drake’s 11-game winning streak.
Drake still leads Bradley by a game atop the MVC standings.
— South Dakota State 94, South Dakota 91
State’s big man Cluff had 21 points, 16 rebounds.
Jackrabbits out-rebounded South Dakota, 44-30.
State won eight of its last nine games.
— Green Bay 79, Wright State 68
Green Bay snaps their 21-game losing streak.
Green Bay was 26-34 on foul line; frosh G Tweedy was 15-16.
Wright State is 4-7 in its last eleven games.
— Famous birthdays, February 17
Dick Bosman, 81
Rene Russo, 71
Neil Lomax, 66
Lou Diamond Phillips, 63
Michael Jordan, 62
David Klingler, 56
Jerry O’Connell, 51
Kelly Carlson, 49
Jeff Ulbrich, 48
Josh Willingham, 46
Case Keenum, 37
Sony Michel, 30
Monday would’ve been the great actor Hal Holbrook’s 100th birthday.
— Wichita State 84, Memphis 79 OT
Memphis led by 4 with 0:38 left in regulation.
Loss snaps the Tigers’ eight-game winning streak.
Wichita won its last four games, by 8-5-5-5 points.
PJ Carter is a senior guard for Memphis; he played for Texas-San Antonio last year, and from 2020-22, he played for the Campbell Camels. He’s scoring 5.5 ppg in 14.5 minutes/game for Memphis this season. I’m guessing that sometime down the road, he’ll be able to write a very good book about his travels through college basketball.
— Want to buy 10% of an NFL team? New Jersey Giants are selling a 10% non-controlling stake in the team- they hired an investment bank and strategic adviser explore the sale.
Giants’ ownership has been split 50-50 between the Mara and Tisch families since 1991; it is unclear how much the Giants’ franchise is worth, but the Eagles were recently valued at $8.3B- most people think the Giants are with more than that.
10% of $8B is $800M, a healthy piece of change, so if you’ve got $800M to toss around, feel free to give the Giants a call.
— Remember when NFL Films miked Chiefs coach Hank Stram during Super Bowl IV? Chiefs were a big underdog, but they whacked Minnesota 23-7 and Stram became famous because of his quirky vocabulary— “Keep matriculating the ball down the field, boys!!!”
After his coaching days were done, Stram had a good career doing Monday night games on the radio with the great Jack Buck- they were an excellent combination.
Found out this week that when NFL Films wanted to mike Stram during the Super Bowl, he held out for some money— they wound up paying him $500, which in 1970 was a decent paycheck for doing something that hadn’t been done very often. Stram did it very, very well.
— Boston College is having a rough season; they’re 10-15, 2-12 in ACC games. Three of their last five losses came in overtime, though; Eagles lost in triple OT at Syracuse February 8th, then lost the next game in double overtime at home to Notre Dame.
Eagles haven’t been in the NCAA’s since 2009; moving to the ACC hasn’t been good for their basketball program. Coach Earl Grant won a lot at Charleston; we’ll see if he can get BC over the hump.
— Bracketology has 14 SEC teams getting into the NCAA Tournament; I’m guessing it will be less than 14 teams. How can you justify a team that finished 14th in a 16-team league getting to play for a national title? Would rather see some teams who fared better in the regular season in a lesser league get to play in the NCAA’s.
— Draymond Green has made $203M in salary in his NBA career; he’s on the books for another $53M the next two seasons. He’s won four NBA championship rings.
You’d think he’d be a little more upbeat about the state of the NBA, but he thinks “It’s just who can run faster, who can hit more 3s, it’s no substance. I think it’s very boring.”
Golden State Warriors are probably more responsible than any other team for leading the NBA into this spacing and shooting era, the kind of stuff Green thinks makes the NBA “boring” but it has also made Green famous and really, really rich.
In other words, he should play ball and keep his negative thoughts to himself.
Over/under win totals for baseball season:
86— Diamondbacks
92— Braves
88.5— Orioles
86— Red Sox
86— Cubs
53— White Sox
Quote of the Day
“We made eight of our last 10 field goals, that’s how you close out a game……..Chris Moore played seven minutes, was plus-17……everyone contributed……..there is something to the fact that they trust each other, they do.”
Auburn coach Bruce Pearl, after the Tigers’ win at Alabama
Monday’s quiz
In the TV show Ted Lasso, an English soccer team hires a new coach, who used to be the football coach at which American college?
Sunday’s quiz
Butler lost the national championship game two years in a row, in 2010/2011; they were in the Horizon League back then, which is how coach Brad Stevens vaulted into the NBA.
Saturday’s quiz
Four major leaguers who have hit 600+ home runs are not in the Hall of Fame:
Bonds, Pujols, Alex Rodriguez, Sosa.
********************************************
Monday’s Den: Wrapping up a sports weekend……..
— St John’s 79, Creighton 73St John’s has won 11 of its last 12 games.
Red Storm was +10 in turnovers (15-5)
Two games vs St John’s this year, Bluejays were only 17-56 on the arc.
— Michigan 86, Ohio State 83
Michigan is 20-5; they were 8-24 last season.
Wolverines have won six games in a row, all by 4 or fewer points.
Michigan out-rounded the Buckeyes, 46-31.
— Nebraska 68, Northwestern 64
Northwestern led 41-21 early in the second half.
Nebraska was 22-28 on foul line, Wildcats were 5-8.
Cornhuskers have won five of their last six games.
— New Mexico 82, Utah State 79
Aggies led 42-36 at halftime.
Lobos were 27-34 on foul line, Utah State 13-16.
New Mexico’s subs played a total of only 23:00.
— Bradley 61, Drake 59
Bradley shot 61.5% inside the arc.
Loss snaps Drake’s 11-game winning streak.
Drake still leads Bradley by a game atop the MVC standings.
— South Dakota State 94, South Dakota 91
State’s big man Cluff had 21 points, 16 rebounds.
Jackrabbits out-rebounded South Dakota, 44-30.
State won eight of its last nine games.
— Green Bay 79, Wright State 68
Green Bay snaps their 21-game losing streak.
Green Bay was 26-34 on foul line; frosh G Tweedy was 15-16.
Wright State is 4-7 in its last eleven games.
— Famous birthdays, February 17
Dick Bosman, 81
Rene Russo, 71
Neil Lomax, 66
Lou Diamond Phillips, 63
Michael Jordan, 62
David Klingler, 56
Jerry O’Connell, 51
Kelly Carlson, 49
Jeff Ulbrich, 48
Josh Willingham, 46
Case Keenum, 37
Sony Michel, 30
Monday would’ve been the great actor Hal Holbrook’s 100th birthday.
— Wichita State 84, Memphis 79 OT
Memphis led by 4 with 0:38 left in regulation.
Loss snaps the Tigers’ eight-game winning streak.
Wichita won its last four games, by 8-5-5-5 points.
PJ Carter is a senior guard for Memphis; he played for Texas-San Antonio last year, and from 2020-22, he played for the Campbell Camels. He’s scoring 5.5 ppg in 14.5 minutes/game for Memphis this season. I’m guessing that sometime down the road, he’ll be able to write a very good book about his travels through college basketball.
— Want to buy 10% of an NFL team? New Jersey Giants are selling a 10% non-controlling stake in the team- they hired an investment bank and strategic adviser explore the sale.
Giants’ ownership has been split 50-50 between the Mara and Tisch families since 1991; it is unclear how much the Giants’ franchise is worth, but the Eagles were recently valued at $8.3B- most people think the Giants are with more than that.
10% of $8B is $800M, a healthy piece of change, so if you’ve got $800M to toss around, feel free to give the Giants a call.
— Remember when NFL Films miked Chiefs coach Hank Stram during Super Bowl IV? Chiefs were a big underdog, but they whacked Minnesota 23-7 and Stram became famous because of his quirky vocabulary— “Keep matriculating the ball down the field, boys!!!”
After his coaching days were done, Stram had a good career doing Monday night games on the radio with the great Jack Buck- they were an excellent combination.
Found out this week that when NFL Films wanted to mike Stram during the Super Bowl, he held out for some money— they wound up paying him $500, which in 1970 was a decent paycheck for doing something that hadn’t been done very often. Stram did it very, very well.
— Boston College is having a rough season; they’re 10-15, 2-12 in ACC games. Three of their last five losses came in overtime, though; Eagles lost in triple OT at Syracuse February 8th, then lost the next game in double overtime at home to Notre Dame.
Eagles haven’t been in the NCAA’s since 2009; moving to the ACC hasn’t been good for their basketball program. Coach Earl Grant won a lot at Charleston; we’ll see if he can get BC over the hump.
— Bracketology has 14 SEC teams getting into the NCAA Tournament; I’m guessing it will be less than 14 teams. How can you justify a team that finished 14th in a 16-team league getting to play for a national title? Would rather see some teams who fared better in the regular season in a lesser league get to play in the NCAA’s.
— Draymond Green has made $203M in salary in his NBA career; he’s on the books for another $53M the next two seasons. He’s won four NBA championship rings.
You’d think he’d be a little more upbeat about the state of the NBA, but he thinks “It’s just who can run faster, who can hit more 3s, it’s no substance. I think it’s very boring.”
Golden State Warriors are probably more responsible than any other team for leading the NBA into this spacing and shooting era, the kind of stuff Green thinks makes the NBA “boring” but it has also made Green famous and really, really rich.
In other words, he should play ball and keep his negative thoughts to himself.
- Sep 10, 2018
- 19,829
- 25
- 48
NCAAB
Armadillo's Write-Up
Monday, February 17
4 of Monday’s best college basketball games:
Northern Iowa vs Murray State (@ Nashville)
This game was scheduled for Sunday, but a power outage at Murray State got the game postponed until tonight, in Belmont’s arena.
Northern Iowa (17-9, 11-4)
KenPom rating: 105
Tempo: 288
Experience: 186
Continuity: 78
Northern Iowa won its last four games, giving up 67 ppg.
Panthers are 7-3 ATS in their last ten games.
Northern Iowa is 6-7 against top 150 teams.
Panthers have #11 eFG% offense in country.
Under is 6-3 in Northern Iowa’s last nine games.
Murray State (13-13, 7-8)
KenPom rating: 144
Tempo: 323
Experience: 21
Continuity: 135
Murray State won its last two games, giving up 56-53 points.
Racers are 3-5 ATS in their last eight games.
Murray State is 6-9 against top 200 opponents.
Racers have a 49.8% eFG% in MVC games (#11 of 12)
Murray State is getting 22.4% of its points on foul line (#33)
Murray State (+5.5) won 71-68 at UNI January 8th.
Racers shot 12-21 on the arc in that game.
UNI/Murray State split their four series games.
MVC favorites are 38-52 ATS this season.
Duke (-14.5) @ Virginia
Duke (22-3, 14-1)
KenPom rating: 2
Tempo: 284
Experience: 129
Continuity: 263
Duke won 18 of its last 19 games.
Blue Devils are 5-2 ATS as an ACC road favorite.
Duke’s last four wins were all by 17+ points.
Blue Devils have #6 eFG% offense, #5 eFG% defense.
Duke has a trip to NYC up next; they play Illinois Saturday.
Virginia (23-2, 13-2)
KenPom rating: 60
Tempo: 364
Experience: 358
Continuity: 338
Virginia won its last three games, scoring 73.7 ppg.
Cavaliers are 0-3 ATS as an ACC home underdog.
Five of their last seven losses were by 14+ points.
Cavaliers are shooting 37.7% on the arc (#27)
ACC opponents are shooting 52.5% inside arc (#14 of 18)
Virginia is 3-4 SU in last seven series games.
ACC home favorites are 39-43 ATS in conference games.
Kansas State @ Utah (-1.5)
Kansas State (13-12, 7-7)
KenPom rating: 59
Tempo: 184
Experience: 46
Continuity: 294
K-State won six of its last seven games.
Wildcats are 8-1 ATS in their last nine games.
K-State is 5-2 ATS in Big X road games.
Wildcats are 6-10 vs top 100 opponents.
K-State is #15 team on defensive boards in Big X play (15th of 16)
Utah (14-11, 6-8)
KenPom rating: 78
Tempo: 93
Experience: 122
Continuity: 192
Utah is 3-5 SU in its last eight games; they beat Kansas Saturday.
Utes are 5-2 SU/4-3 ATS in Big X home games.
Utah is 5-10 vs top 100 opponents.
Opponents are shooting 46.1% inside arc (#23)
Utah is shooting 61.9% on foul line (3rd-worst in country).
Big X home favorites are 42-35 ATS in conference games.
Arizona @ Baylor (-1.5)
Arizona (17-8, 11-3)
KenPom rating: 12
Tempo: 43
Experience: 29
Continuity: 147
Arizona lost its last two games, by 3-4 points.
Wildcats are 5-2 SU/ATS in Big X road games.
Arizona is 5-7 vs top 50 opponents.
Wildcats are shooting 55.4% inside arc (#46), 31.3% on arc (#299)
Arizona has #33 eFG% defense in country.
Baylor (16-9, 8-6)
KenPom rating: 29
Tempo: 297
Experience: 31
Continuity: 230
Baylor split its last six games, won last four at home.
Bears are 4-3 ATS as Big X home favorites.
Baylor is 5-8 vs top 50 opponents.
Bears are #26 team in country on offensive boards.
Opponents are shooting 36.4% on the arc (#315)
Arizona (-5.5) beat Baylor 81-70 at home January 14th.
Big X home favorites are 42-35 ATS in conference games.
Armadillo's Write-Up
Monday, February 17
4 of Monday’s best college basketball games:
Northern Iowa vs Murray State (@ Nashville)
This game was scheduled for Sunday, but a power outage at Murray State got the game postponed until tonight, in Belmont’s arena.
Northern Iowa (17-9, 11-4)
KenPom rating: 105
Tempo: 288
Experience: 186
Continuity: 78
Northern Iowa won its last four games, giving up 67 ppg.
Panthers are 7-3 ATS in their last ten games.
Northern Iowa is 6-7 against top 150 teams.
Panthers have #11 eFG% offense in country.
Under is 6-3 in Northern Iowa’s last nine games.
Murray State (13-13, 7-8)
KenPom rating: 144
Tempo: 323
Experience: 21
Continuity: 135
Murray State won its last two games, giving up 56-53 points.
Racers are 3-5 ATS in their last eight games.
Murray State is 6-9 against top 200 opponents.
Racers have a 49.8% eFG% in MVC games (#11 of 12)
Murray State is getting 22.4% of its points on foul line (#33)
Murray State (+5.5) won 71-68 at UNI January 8th.
Racers shot 12-21 on the arc in that game.
UNI/Murray State split their four series games.
MVC favorites are 38-52 ATS this season.
Duke (-14.5) @ Virginia
Duke (22-3, 14-1)
KenPom rating: 2
Tempo: 284
Experience: 129
Continuity: 263
Duke won 18 of its last 19 games.
Blue Devils are 5-2 ATS as an ACC road favorite.
Duke’s last four wins were all by 17+ points.
Blue Devils have #6 eFG% offense, #5 eFG% defense.
Duke has a trip to NYC up next; they play Illinois Saturday.
Virginia (23-2, 13-2)
KenPom rating: 60
Tempo: 364
Experience: 358
Continuity: 338
Virginia won its last three games, scoring 73.7 ppg.
Cavaliers are 0-3 ATS as an ACC home underdog.
Five of their last seven losses were by 14+ points.
Cavaliers are shooting 37.7% on the arc (#27)
ACC opponents are shooting 52.5% inside arc (#14 of 18)
Virginia is 3-4 SU in last seven series games.
ACC home favorites are 39-43 ATS in conference games.
Kansas State @ Utah (-1.5)
Kansas State (13-12, 7-7)
KenPom rating: 59
Tempo: 184
Experience: 46
Continuity: 294
K-State won six of its last seven games.
Wildcats are 8-1 ATS in their last nine games.
K-State is 5-2 ATS in Big X road games.
Wildcats are 6-10 vs top 100 opponents.
K-State is #15 team on defensive boards in Big X play (15th of 16)
Utah (14-11, 6-8)
KenPom rating: 78
Tempo: 93
Experience: 122
Continuity: 192
Utah is 3-5 SU in its last eight games; they beat Kansas Saturday.
Utes are 5-2 SU/4-3 ATS in Big X home games.
Utah is 5-10 vs top 100 opponents.
Opponents are shooting 46.1% inside arc (#23)
Utah is shooting 61.9% on foul line (3rd-worst in country).
Big X home favorites are 42-35 ATS in conference games.
Arizona @ Baylor (-1.5)
Arizona (17-8, 11-3)
KenPom rating: 12
Tempo: 43
Experience: 29
Continuity: 147
Arizona lost its last two games, by 3-4 points.
Wildcats are 5-2 SU/ATS in Big X road games.
Arizona is 5-7 vs top 50 opponents.
Wildcats are shooting 55.4% inside arc (#46), 31.3% on arc (#299)
Arizona has #33 eFG% defense in country.
Baylor (16-9, 8-6)
KenPom rating: 29
Tempo: 297
Experience: 31
Continuity: 230
Baylor split its last six games, won last four at home.
Bears are 4-3 ATS as Big X home favorites.
Baylor is 5-8 vs top 50 opponents.
Bears are #26 team in country on offensive boards.
Opponents are shooting 36.4% on the arc (#315)
Arizona (-5.5) beat Baylor 81-70 at home January 14th.
Big X home favorites are 42-35 ATS in conference games.
- Sep 10, 2018
- 19,829
- 25
- 48
If this report updates, I'll add it.
NCAAB
Monday, February 17
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Trend Report
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Incarnate Word vs UTRGV
UTRGV is 7-2 SU in its last 9 games at home
Duke vs Virginia
Duke is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games on the road
Duke is 18-6 SU in its last 24 games when playing Virginia
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Virginia's last 5 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Virginia's last 6 games when playing at home against Duke
Kansas State vs Utah
Kansas State is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Kansas State's last 8 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Utah's last 5 games at home
Utah is 19-3 SU in its last 22 games at home
Arizona vs Baylor
Arizona is 5-2 ATS in its last 7 games on the road
Arizona is 5-2 SU in its last 7 games on the road
Baylor is 13-1 SU in its last 14 games at home
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Baylor's last 5 games at home
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
NCAAB
Monday, February 17
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Trend Report
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Incarnate Word vs UTRGV
UTRGV is 7-2 SU in its last 9 games at home
Duke vs Virginia
Duke is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games on the road
Duke is 18-6 SU in its last 24 games when playing Virginia
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Virginia's last 5 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Virginia's last 6 games when playing at home against Duke
Kansas State vs Utah
Kansas State is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Kansas State's last 8 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Utah's last 5 games at home
Utah is 19-3 SU in its last 22 games at home
Arizona vs Baylor
Arizona is 5-2 ATS in its last 7 games on the road
Arizona is 5-2 SU in its last 7 games on the road
Baylor is 13-1 SU in its last 14 games at home
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Baylor's last 5 games at home
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Monday, February 17
| Game | Time(ET) | Pick | Units |
|---|---|---|---|
| AAMU at ARPB | 07:00 PM | AAMU -2.0 O 162.0 | +500 +500 |
| ALST at MVSU | 07:00 PM | MVSU +18.0 O 137.5 | +500 +500 |
| UNI at MURR | 07:00 PM | MURR +2.0 O 133.5 | +500 +500 |
| ALCN at FAMU | 07:00 PM | ALCN +3.0 U 138.0 | +500 +500 |
| MCNS at SELA | 07:00 PM | MCNS -9.0 O 139.0 | +500 +500 |
| JKST at COOK | 07:00 PM | COOK -3.5 U 146.0 | +500 +500 |
| LEH at BUCK | 07:00 PM | LEH +6.5 U 140.0 | +500 +500 |
| LAM at NWST | 07:30 PM | LAM +1.0 O 132.0 | +500 +500 |
| NICH at UNO | 07:30 PM | UNO +9.5 O 147.0 | +500 +500 |
| SFA at TAMC | 07:30 PM | SFA -5.0 O 133.5 | +500 +500 |
| MORG at NCCU | 07:30 PM | NCCU -8.5 U 162.0 | +500 +500 |
| COPP at SCST | 07:30 PM | COPP +16.0 U 141.0 | +500 +500 |
| IW at UTRGV | 07:30 PM | UTRGV -4.5 O 145.5 | +500 +500 |
| PV at GRAM | 07:30 PM | GRAM -8.5 U 142.5 | +500 +500 |
| HBU at AMCC | 08:00 PM | HBU +10.0 O 137.5 | +500 +500 |
| DUKE at UVA | 08:00 PM | UVA +14.5 O 132.5 | +500 +500 |
| DSU at NORF | 08:00 PM | DSU +9.0 U 149.5 | +500 +500 |
| TXSO at SOU | 09:00 PM | TXSO +7.0 U 143.5 | +500 +500 |
| KSU at UTAH | 09:00 PM | UTAH -3.0 U 147.0 | +500 +500 |
| ARIZ at BAY | 10:00 PM | BAY -1.5 O 152.0 | +500 +500 |
BEST BETS CBB FEB.
02/17/2025...............5 - 5 - 0..................50.00%.............- 2.50
02/16/2025.............16 - 10.- 0...............61.53%.............+ 25.00
02/15/2025.............20 - 18 - 0...............52.63%.............+ 1.00
02/14/2025...............10 - 6 - 0...............62.50%.............+ 17.00
02/13/2025.............29 - 21 - 0...............58.00%..............+ 29.50
02/12/2025.............14 - 12 - 1...............58.84%..............+ 4.00
02/06/2025.............23 - 27 - 0...............46.00%..............- 33.50
02/05/2025.............28 - 17 - 0................62.22%.............+ 46.50
02/04/2025.............18 - 17 - 1................51.42%..............- 3.50
02/03/2025................4 - 8 - 0.................33.00%.............- 24.00
02/02/2025.............11 - 11 - 0................50.00%..............- 5.50
02/01/2025..............22 - 22 -0................50.00%..............- 11.00
TOTALS................200 - 174 - 1...............53.47%...............+ 43.00
02/17/2025...............5 - 5 - 0..................50.00%.............- 2.50
02/16/2025.............16 - 10.- 0...............61.53%.............+ 25.00
02/15/2025.............20 - 18 - 0...............52.63%.............+ 1.00
02/14/2025...............10 - 6 - 0...............62.50%.............+ 17.00
02/13/2025.............29 - 21 - 0...............58.00%..............+ 29.50
02/12/2025.............14 - 12 - 1...............58.84%..............+ 4.00
02/06/2025.............23 - 27 - 0...............46.00%..............- 33.50
02/05/2025.............28 - 17 - 0................62.22%.............+ 46.50
02/04/2025.............18 - 17 - 1................51.42%..............- 3.50
02/03/2025................4 - 8 - 0.................33.00%.............- 24.00
02/02/2025.............11 - 11 - 0................50.00%..............- 5.50
02/01/2025..............22 - 22 -0................50.00%..............- 11.00
TOTALS................200 - 174 - 1...............53.47%...............+ 43.00
Tuesday’s 6-pack:
Pitchers who induced most whiffs on pitches in strike zone last year:
17.9%— Garrett Crochet, CWS
17.1%— Tarik Skubal, Det
16.8%— Cole Ragans, KC
16.4%— Bailey Ober, Minn
16.3%— DJ Herz, Wash
16.2%— Tanner Bibee, Clev
Quote of the Day
“OK, you’re either going to draft me or you’re not. If you don’t draft me, that’s your fault. You’ve got to remember you’re the same team that’s got to play me for the rest of my career, and I’ll remember that.”
Miami Hurricanes QB Cam Ward, who will be drafted into the NFL in April
Tuesday’s quiz
What is the only American League team that has never had a pitcher win the Cy Young award?
Monday’s quiz
In the TV show Ted Lasso, an English soccer team hires a new coach, who used to be the football coach at Wichita State.
Sunday’s quiz
Butler lost the national championship game two years in a row, in 2010/2011; they were in the Horizon League back then, which is how coach Brad Stevens vaulted into the NBA.
***************************************
“No. Third base is my position. It’s what I play. I don’t know what their plans are. We had a conversation. I made it clear on what my desires were. Whatever happens from here, I don’t know.”
Devers is a three-time All-Star, has played third base for Boston since 2017 and got a big $$$ contract from the Red Sox two years ago.
Bregman could play second base, but they also have Kristian Campbell, a 2B who is a highly-thought of prospect.
— Kansas Jayhawks are 8-6 in Big X this season, 3-4 in their last seven games. They’re ranked 23rd by the AP this week, the lowest they’ve been ranked since 2009 (they were also #23 in February, 2021).
— Northern Iowa 74, Murray State 67
Game was moved to Nashville, after there was a power outage on the Murray State campus, which caused this game to be postponed Sunday.
Northern Iowa was 20-26 on foul line, Racers were 8-12. Panthers have won five in a row, nine of last 11 games. Murray State is 3-8 in its last eleven games.
— Duke 80, Virginia 62
Duke shot 61.1% inside the arc.
Blue Devils out-rebounded Virginia, 41-24.
Three of Duke’s five starters are freshmen.
— TV recommendation; Suits LA starts on NBC Sunday night, a spin off from the old USA Network show. It is about a former New York prosecutor who starts law firm in Los Angeles that specializes in criminal and entertainment law.
Aaron Korsh is the creator; he also did the original Suits, so this figures to be a very good show.
— Famous birthdays, February 18
Dal Maxvill, 86
John Travolta, 71
Chuck Long, 62
Matt Dillon, 61
Molly Ringwald, 57
Le’Veon Bell, 33
Kentavious Caldwell-Pope, 32
Ryan Mountcastle, 28
Jake Irvin, 28
Isaac Paredes, 26
— Angels’ star Mike Trout is switching from center field to right field this year, as he tries to stay healthier as he gets older.
33-year old Trout has played in only 266 games the last four years. Angels haven’t made the playoffs since 2014; they haven’t won a playoff game since 2009.
Somehow, the Angels are actually paying 3B Anthony Rendon more than Trout, and now it looks like Rendon’s career might be over. If his Angels’ stint is over, Rendon will have played a total of 257 games, out of a possible 1,032, while banking $228M from the Halos.
— Things can fall apart quickly; four years ago, the White Sox over/under win total was 91.1 wins, for the 2021 season. This year, it is 61.5.
Last year, the Pale Hose went 41-121. No bueno.
— Mets P Frankie Montas has a high-grade lat strain, is likely out until Memorial Day— this is an injured muscle around the rib cage. Montas has been shut down for 6-8 weeks, and then will start his season over from scratch from there.
— Arizona Diamondbacks gave SS Geraldo Perdomo a 4-year, $45M contract extension; 25-year old Perdomo hit .273 with a .718 OPS last year, in 98 games.
— Kansas City Royals signed P Cole Ragans to a 3-year deal worth $13.25M; Ragans was 11-9, 3.14 in 32 starts for the Royals last year, helping the Royals make the playoffs for the first time since 2015.
— This will be the 21st year of our fantasy baseball league, a dynasty league with 14 teams in it. Our first draft took 81 days to finish. The first two players I drafted were Matt Holliday and Adam Dunn, two very different hitters.
Dunn walked a lot and hit a lot of home runs. From 2005-08, he hit exactly 40 home runs four years in a row, which doesn’t seem possible. He hit 462 home runs, had a career OPS of .854.
He was the kind of player Billy Beane talked about in Moneyball; when Dunn was 34, at the tail end of his career, he played 25 games for the A’s, but by then, he was washed up. He did help my fantasy team a lot though, when he played for Cincinnati.
Pitchers who induced most whiffs on pitches in strike zone last year:
17.9%— Garrett Crochet, CWS
17.1%— Tarik Skubal, Det
16.8%— Cole Ragans, KC
16.4%— Bailey Ober, Minn
16.3%— DJ Herz, Wash
16.2%— Tanner Bibee, Clev
Quote of the Day
“OK, you’re either going to draft me or you’re not. If you don’t draft me, that’s your fault. You’ve got to remember you’re the same team that’s got to play me for the rest of my career, and I’ll remember that.”
Miami Hurricanes QB Cam Ward, who will be drafted into the NFL in April
Tuesday’s quiz
What is the only American League team that has never had a pitcher win the Cy Young award?
Monday’s quiz
In the TV show Ted Lasso, an English soccer team hires a new coach, who used to be the football coach at Wichita State.
Sunday’s quiz
Butler lost the national championship game two years in a row, in 2010/2011; they were in the Horizon League back then, which is how coach Brad Stevens vaulted into the NBA.
***************************************
Tuesday’s Den: Nobody asked me, but…….
— Red Sox signed 3B Alex Bregman last week for three years, $120M; they’re not saying where Bregman will play in the field this year, but incumbent 3B Rafael Devers had a lot to say about the situation Monday.“No. Third base is my position. It’s what I play. I don’t know what their plans are. We had a conversation. I made it clear on what my desires were. Whatever happens from here, I don’t know.”
Devers is a three-time All-Star, has played third base for Boston since 2017 and got a big $$$ contract from the Red Sox two years ago.
Bregman could play second base, but they also have Kristian Campbell, a 2B who is a highly-thought of prospect.
— Kansas Jayhawks are 8-6 in Big X this season, 3-4 in their last seven games. They’re ranked 23rd by the AP this week, the lowest they’ve been ranked since 2009 (they were also #23 in February, 2021).
— Northern Iowa 74, Murray State 67
Game was moved to Nashville, after there was a power outage on the Murray State campus, which caused this game to be postponed Sunday.
Northern Iowa was 20-26 on foul line, Racers were 8-12. Panthers have won five in a row, nine of last 11 games. Murray State is 3-8 in its last eleven games.
— Duke 80, Virginia 62
Duke shot 61.1% inside the arc.
Blue Devils out-rebounded Virginia, 41-24.
Three of Duke’s five starters are freshmen.
— TV recommendation; Suits LA starts on NBC Sunday night, a spin off from the old USA Network show. It is about a former New York prosecutor who starts law firm in Los Angeles that specializes in criminal and entertainment law.
Aaron Korsh is the creator; he also did the original Suits, so this figures to be a very good show.
— Famous birthdays, February 18
Dal Maxvill, 86
John Travolta, 71
Chuck Long, 62
Matt Dillon, 61
Molly Ringwald, 57
Le’Veon Bell, 33
Kentavious Caldwell-Pope, 32
Ryan Mountcastle, 28
Jake Irvin, 28
Isaac Paredes, 26
— Angels’ star Mike Trout is switching from center field to right field this year, as he tries to stay healthier as he gets older.
33-year old Trout has played in only 266 games the last four years. Angels haven’t made the playoffs since 2014; they haven’t won a playoff game since 2009.
Somehow, the Angels are actually paying 3B Anthony Rendon more than Trout, and now it looks like Rendon’s career might be over. If his Angels’ stint is over, Rendon will have played a total of 257 games, out of a possible 1,032, while banking $228M from the Halos.
— Things can fall apart quickly; four years ago, the White Sox over/under win total was 91.1 wins, for the 2021 season. This year, it is 61.5.
Last year, the Pale Hose went 41-121. No bueno.
— Mets P Frankie Montas has a high-grade lat strain, is likely out until Memorial Day— this is an injured muscle around the rib cage. Montas has been shut down for 6-8 weeks, and then will start his season over from scratch from there.
— Arizona Diamondbacks gave SS Geraldo Perdomo a 4-year, $45M contract extension; 25-year old Perdomo hit .273 with a .718 OPS last year, in 98 games.
— Kansas City Royals signed P Cole Ragans to a 3-year deal worth $13.25M; Ragans was 11-9, 3.14 in 32 starts for the Royals last year, helping the Royals make the playoffs for the first time since 2015.
— This will be the 21st year of our fantasy baseball league, a dynasty league with 14 teams in it. Our first draft took 81 days to finish. The first two players I drafted were Matt Holliday and Adam Dunn, two very different hitters.
Dunn walked a lot and hit a lot of home runs. From 2005-08, he hit exactly 40 home runs four years in a row, which doesn’t seem possible. He hit 462 home runs, had a career OPS of .854.
He was the kind of player Billy Beane talked about in Moneyball; when Dunn was 34, at the tail end of his career, he played 25 games for the A’s, but by then, he was washed up. He did help my fantasy team a lot though, when he played for Cincinnati.
