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Udog

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NFL

Week 2


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Trend Report
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Thursday, September 11
8:15 PM ET
Washington VS Green Bay
Washington is 5-2 ATS in its last 7 games.
Washington is 8-1 SU in its last 9 games.
Washington is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games against Green Bay.
Washington is 4-8 SU in its last 12 games against Green Bay.
Green Bay is 6-3 ATS in its last 9 games.
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Green Bay's last 6 games.
Green Bay is 12-6 SU in its last 18 games.
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Green Bay's last 7 games against Washington.

Sunday, September 14
1:00 PM ET
Cleveland VS Baltimore
Cleveland is 1-6 ATS in its last 7 games.
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Cleveland's last 6 games.
Cleveland is 0-7 SU in its last 7 games.
Cleveland is 4-2 ATS in its last 6 games against Baltimore.
Baltimore is 5-2 ATS in its last 7 games.
The total has gone OVER in 15 of Baltimore's last 20 games.
Baltimore is 13-5 SU in its last 18 games.
Baltimore is 7-1 SU in its last 8 games at home.

1:00 PM ET
New York VS Dallas
NY Giants is 2-11 ATS in its last 13 games.
The total has gone UNDER in 13 of NY Giants' last 19 games.
NY Giants is 1-12 SU in its last 13 games.
NY Giants is 4-12 ATS in its last 16 games against Dallas.
Dallas is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games.
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Dallas' last 9 games.
Dallas is 4-9 SU in its last 13 games.
The total has gone OVER in 9 of Dallas' last 13 games against NY Giants.

1:00 PM ET
San Francisco VS New Orleans
San Francisco is 2-8 ATS in its last 10 games.
The total has gone OVER in 4 of San Francisco's last 6 games.
San Francisco is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games.
San Francisco is 6-2-1 ATS in its last 9 games against New Orleans.
New Orleans is 4-10 ATS in its last 14 games.
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of New Orleans' last 7 games.
New Orleans is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games.
The total has gone OVER in 6 of New Orleans' last 9 games against San Francisco.

1:00 PM ET
Los Angeles VS Tennessee
LA Rams is 8-1 ATS in its last 9 games.
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of LA Rams' last 7 games.
LA Rams is 7-2 SU in its last 9 games.
LA Rams is 0-5 ATS in its last 5 games against Tennessee.
Tennessee is 1-6 ATS in its last 7 games.
Tennessee is 0-7 SU in its last 7 games.
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Tennessee's last 5 games against LA Rams.
Tennessee is 0-8 ATS in its last 8 games at home.

1:00 PM ET
Jacksonville VS Cincinnati
Jacksonville is 8-3-1 ATS in its last 12 games.
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Jacksonville's last 7 games.
Jacksonville is 5-14 SU in its last 19 games.
Jacksonville is 2-7 SU in its last 9 games against Cincinnati.
Cincinnati is 4-2 ATS in its last 6 games.
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Cincinnati's last 6 games.
Cincinnati is 6-0 SU in its last 6 games.
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Cincinnati's last 7 games at home.

1:00 PM ET
Chicago VS Detroit
Chicago is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games.
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Chicago's last 6 games.
Chicago is 1-11 SU in its last 12 games.
Chicago is 1-5 SU in its last 6 games against Detroit.
Detroit is 13-7 ATS in its last 20 games.
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Detroit's last 7 games.
Detroit is 14-3 SU in its last 17 games.
Detroit is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games at home.

1:00 PM ET
New England VS Miami
The total has gone OVER in 6 of New England's last 8 games.
New England is 1-7 SU in its last 8 games.
New England is 0-9 ATS in its last 9 games against Miami.
New England is 1-8 SU in its last 9 games against Miami.
Miami is 2-5 ATS in its last 7 games.
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Miami's last 6 games at home.
Miami is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games when playing at home against New England.
Miami is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games against an opponent in the American Football Conference conference.

1:00 PM ET
Buffalo VS New York
Buffalo is 11-5 ATS in its last 16 games.
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Buffalo's last 6 games.
Buffalo is 13-3 SU in its last 16 games.
Buffalo is 8-2 SU in its last 10 games against NY Jets.
NY Jets is 5-10 ATS in its last 15 games.
The total has gone OVER in 7 of NY Jets' last 8 games.
NY Jets is 3-12 SU in its last 15 games.
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of NY Jets' last 7 games against Buffalo.

1:00 PM ET
Seattle VS Pittsburgh
Seattle is 0-5 ATS in its last 5 games.
The total has gone UNDER in 8 of Seattle's last 12 games.
Seattle is 6-3 SU in its last 9 games.
Seattle is 2-5 SU in its last 7 games against Pittsburgh.
Pittsburgh is 1-5 ATS in its last 6 games.
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Pittsburgh's last 7 games.
Pittsburgh is 1-5 SU in its last 6 games.
Pittsburgh is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games at home.

4:05 PM ET
Carolina VS Arizona
Carolina is 7-3 ATS in its last 10 games.
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Carolina's last 5 games.
Carolina is 5-15 SU in its last 20 games.
Carolina is 7-1 ATS in its last 8 games against Arizona.
Arizona is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games.
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Arizona's last 6 games.
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Arizona's last 8 games against Carolina.
Arizona is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games at home.

4:05 PM ET
Denver VS Indianapolis
Denver is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games.
Denver is 6-3 SU in its last 9 games.
Denver is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games against Indianapolis.
Denver is 4-10 SU in its last 14 games against Indianapolis.
Indianapolis is 2-5 ATS in its last 7 games.
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Indianapolis' last 9 games.
Indianapolis is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games.
Indianapolis is 6-2 SU in its last 8 games at home.

4:25 PM ET
Philadelphia VS Kansas City
Philadelphia is 10-4 ATS in its last 14 games.
Philadelphia is 7-0 SU in its last 7 games.
Philadelphia is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games against Kansas City.
Philadelphia is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games against Kansas City.
Kansas City is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games.
Kansas City is 16-4 SU in its last 20 games.
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Kansas City's last 5 games against Philadelphia.
Kansas City is 13-0 SU in its last 13 games at home.

8:20 PM ET
Atlanta VS Minnesota
Atlanta is 1-7-1 ATS in its last 9 games.
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Atlanta's last 10 games.
Atlanta is 2-7 SU in its last 9 games.
Atlanta is 1-6 ATS in its last 7 games against Minnesota.
Minnesota is 5-2 ATS in its last 7 games.
Minnesota is 10-2 SU in its last 12 games.
Minnesota is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home.
Minnesota is 13-4 SU in its last 17 games when playing at home against Atlanta.

Monday, September 15
7:00 PM ET
Tampa Bay VS Houston
The total has gone OVER in 11 of Tampa Bay's last 16 games.
Tampa Bay is 7-2 SU in its last 9 games.
Tampa Bay is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games against Houston.
Tampa Bay is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games on the road.
Houston is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games.
Houston is 8-3 SU in its last 11 games at home.
Houston is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games against an opponent in the National Football Conference conference.
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Houston's last 6 games against an opponent in the National Football Conference South division.

10:00 PM ET
Los Angeles VS Las Vegas
LA Chargers is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games.
The total has gone OVER in 6 of LA Chargers' last 6 games.
LA Chargers is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games.
LA Chargers is 6-3 ATS in its last 9 games against Las Vegas.
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Las Vegas' last 7 games.
Las Vegas is 3-11 SU in its last 14 games.
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Las Vegas' last 6 games against LA Chargers.
Las Vegas is 1-5 SU in its last 6 games at home.


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Cnotes53

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Thursday’s 6-pack:
NFL offensive lines that are getting paid the most this year:
$95.3M— Carolina
$81.5M— Kansas City
$67.7M— Giants
$66.1M— Chicago
$64.4M— Minnesota
$63.9M— Detroit

Quote of the Day
“My team meeting got very long after some of the things that happened in that game.”
Browns coach Kevin Stefanski, talking about the Cowboys-Eagles game, and the spitting incident early in the game

Thursday’s quiz

When was the last season without a no-hitter in the major leagues?

Wednesday’s quiz
Chicago Bears have never had a QB pass for 4,000 yards in a season; Erik Kramer holds the Bears’ single-season record for passing yards, with 3,898 in 1995.

Tuesday’s quiz
Jay Cutler played QB for the Chicago Bears, last time they won a playoff game.

***********************************************

Thursday’s Den: Doing some thinking out loud…….

— If you’re planning ahead, there are two Monday night football games this week:
7:00 Tampa Bay plays at Houston
10:00 Chargers visit the Raiders in Las Vegas

— Kyle Schwarber is the 34th big leaguer to hit 50+ home runs in a season; he is also a free agent this winter. Really good timing on his part.
Schwarber, Phillies teammate JT Realmuto are both free agents this winter; GM Dave Dombrowski is going to have an interesting winter.

— Mets have used 45 pitchers this season; 17 of them have started at least one game.

— Since the All-Star break, 57% of the Miami Marlins’ hits have come from rookies; during that time, no other team has more than 35% of its hits from rookies.

— Was watching Cleveland-Tampa Bay game last week; the Guardians’ TV guys were critical of Rays’ star Junior Caminero, citing lackadaisical play by Caminero as a reason Cleveland won a game in Tampa. Seemed like an odd comment at the time.
But back in November 2021, Cleveland traded Caminero to the Rays for P Tobias Myers, who the Guardians dealt to San Francisco the next summer. Not a good look for the Cleveland front office, seeing how Caminero has 41 homers this year and is only 21 years old.

— Rough week for MAC football teams last week; two of them lost to I-AA opponents. LIU beat Eastern Michigan 28-23, UMass lost to Bryant 27-26. Not great.

— If your kid can snap a football 15 yards behind him to a punter, he might want to call up the football office at Oregon State. He might get a scholarship.
Last week against Fresno State, Beavers bounced at least five snaps to their punter or holder for kicks in a 36-27 loss to the Bulldogs. Poor kid who was snapping for Oregon State had never done it in a game before, and it showed- the Beavers’ regular long snapper is hurt.
I’m guessing they held tryouts this week, trying to find another kid to snap the ball.

Famous birthdays, September 11th:
Jeff Newman, 77
Rod Perry, 72
Kristy McNichol, 63
Gerald Wilkins, 62
Ellis Burks, 61
Harry Connick Jr, 58
Bern Brostek, 57
Christopher Bridges, 48 (Ludacris)
Ed Reed, 47
Shaun Livingston, 40
Andrew Cashner, 39
Zay Flowers, 25

— Phillies 11, Mets 3
Max Kepler homered, drove in five runs.
Mets have lost five games in a row.
Phillies’ magic number to clinch NL East is 7.

— Reds 2, Padres 1
Cincinnati scored twice in the 8th inning.
Andrew Abbott allowed five hits in his 8 IP.
Reds are two games behind the Mets for the last NL Wild Card slot.

— Astros 3, Blue Jays 2
Carlos Correa hit his 200th career home run.
Yainer Diaz had the game-winning homer in the 9th inning.
Toronto had tied the game with two runs in bottom of 8th.

— Orioles 2, Pirates 1 (10)
Rookie OF Beavers, hitting .305, had a walk-off single.
Paul Skenes threw only 64 pitches in a short, 5-inning start.
Spencer Horwitz homered for the Pirates’ only run.

— Royals 4, Guardians 3
Royals scored twice in top of 7th for the winning runs.
Vinnie Pasquantino got to 100 RBI for first time in his career.
Cleveland had its five-game win streak snapped.

— A’s 5, Red Sox 4
Lawrence Butler had the walk-off single for the A’s.
Nick Kurtz hit his 30th home run; he is the 32nd rookie to hit 30+ homers.
Just the 5th win for the A’s in their last 21 games against Boston.

— If the baseball playoffs started today (they do not):
NL: Phillies, Brewers, Dodgers. Wild Cards: Cubs, Padres, Mets
AL: Blue Jays, Tigers, Astros. Wild Cards: Red Sox, New York, Mariners
 

Udog

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NFL
Weather Report

Thursday, September 11


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NFL
Armadillo's Write-up

Week 2

Thursday
Commanders
(1-0) @ Packers (1-0) (–3.5)
Washington outgained Giants 432-231 in LW’s 21-6 home win.
Under Quinn, Commanders are 7-4 ATS coming off a win
QB Daniels is 15-6 as an NFL starter.
Quinn is 61-50 as an NFL coach, 5-3 in playoffs.
Last four years, Commanders are 11-13 ATS as a road underdog.
Washington is 1-5 SU/2-4 ATS in last six road openers.
Commanders’ last four road openers went over the total.


Green Bay has four sacks in LW’s 27-13 home win over rival Detroit.
Last four years, Packers are 23-16-1 ATS coming off a win.
QB Love is 20-17 as an NFL starter
LaFleur is 71-38 as an NFL head coach.
Since 2019, Packers are 26-16-1 ATS as a home favorite.
Under is 6-3-1 in their last ten home games.
Last three years, Green Bay was 2-4 SU in Thursday games.


These teams haven’t met since 2022.
Teams split their last eight meetings.
Commanders are 0-6 SU/1-4-1 ATS in last six visits to Lambeau.
 

Cnotes53

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Thursday, September 11

GameTime(ET)PickUnits
WAS at GB08:15 PMWAS +3.5
O 49.0
+500 +500
 

Cnotes53

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Friday’s 6-pack:
College football lines that have moved a lot this week:
— Temple was +28 vs Oklahoma; now they’re +22
— Missouri was -21 vs Louisiana, now they’re -27
— Troy was +9 vs Memphis, now they’re +3.5
— Arizona State was -13 vs Texas State, now they’re -17.5
— Boston College was -9 vs Stanford, now they’re -13.5
— Arkansas was +10 vs Ole Miss, now they’re +6.5

Quote of the Day

“No matter what anyone says, just show up and do the work……true grit leads to true success.”
Jon Gordon

Friday’s quiz

Washington Redskins coach Joe Gibbs won three Super Bowls, with three different QB’s; who were they?

Thursday’s quiz
2005 was the last season without a no-hitter in the major leagues; there hasn’t been one so far this season.

Wednesday’s quiz
Chicago Bears have never had a QB pass for 4,000 yards in a season; Erik Kramer holds the Bears’ single-season record for passing yards, with 3,898 in 1995.

*************************************************

Friday’s Den: Random stuff with the weekend here…….

— Packers 27, Commanders 18
Green Bay had early TD drives of 96-92 yards, grabbed a 14-0 lead.
Jordan Love threw for 292 yards, two TD’s.
Last 4+ years, Packers are 24-16-1 ATS coming off a win.
Since 2019, Packers are 27-16-1 ATS as a home favorite.
Washington’s first three drives: 12 plays, 13 yards, three punts.
Green Bay outgained the Commanders, 404-230.
Washington ran the ball 19 times for only 51 yards.
Last 4+ years, Commanders are 11-14 ATS as a road underdog.

— NC State 34, Wake Forest 24
Wake Forest led 24-14 with 4:00 left in 2nd quarter.
Deacons ran the opening kickoff back 98 yards for a TD.
3-0 Wolfpack ran the ball 44 times for 205 yards.

— Phillies 6, Mets 4
Mets scored four runs on five hits in top of first inning.
Mets didn’t get another baserunner the rest of the game.
Mets have lost six in a row; their lead for last Wild Card slot is 1.5 games.

— Mariners 7, Angels 6 (12)
Seattle won in 13 innings Wednesday, 12 innings in this game.
#9 hitter JP Crawford knocked in three runs for Seattle.
Mike Trout hit his 399th career home run in the 5th inning.
Mariners/Astros are now tied for first in the AL West.

— Guardians 3, Royals 2
Rookie CJ Kayfus hit a 2-run homer in bottom of the 8th inning.
Guardians have won six of their last seven games.
Royals’ 1B Vinnie Pasquantino has 33 RBI in his last 30 games.

— New York 9, Tigers 3
Aaron Judge hit two home runs, has 46 this season.
New York led 9-1 in the fourth inning.
New York leads the Red Sox by half a game for the AL’s first Wild Card slot.

— Padres 2, Rockies 0
Randy Vasquez struck out a career-high nine in six shutout IP.
Jackson Merrill homered in the fourth inning.
Padres pulled within 2.5 game of the Dodgers in the NL West.

Famous birthdays, September 12th:
Mickey Lolich, 85
Linda Gray, 85
Joe Pantoliano, 74
Rachel Ward, 68
Deron Cherry, 66
Vernon Maxwell, 60
Ki-Jana Carter, 52
Luis Castillo, 50 (Marlins’ 2B)
Yao Ming, 45
Freddie Freeman, 36
Andrew Luck, 36
Kyle Bradish, 29

— Blue Jays 6, Astros 0
Kavin Gausman threw a complete game, 2-hit shutout.
This was the 27th complete game of the season (28 last year)
Astros are 4-8 in their last 12 games.

— If the baseball playoffs started today (they do not):
NL: Phillies, Brewers, Dodgers. Wild Cards: Cubs, Padres, Mets
AL: Blue Jays, Tigers, Astros. Wild Cards: Red Sox, New York, Mariners

Elsewhere in the world…….

— NFL needs to re-do its onside kick rule; one of the spring football leagues had/has a rule which is good, and the NFL should adopt it.
If a team wants to onside kick, they simply get the ball on their own 30 (or 35) yard line, it is 4th and 15 and they play on from there. Gives them a chance to come back

— Mac Jones is expected to strata QB for the 49ers in New Orleans Sunday, with starter Brock Purdy nursing toe/shoulder injuries. Jones is 20-30 as an NFL starter, for Patriots/Jaguars.

— Packers star Micah Parsons is making $47M/year, but now that he lives in Green Bay, he is subject to Wisconsin’s 7.65% state income tax, which reduces his salary to $43.4M/year.
Texas doesn’t have state income taxes, but the Cowboys were offering him $40.5M, so he is still making $2.9M more per year now than if he had signed with Dallas.

— Patriots defensive coordinator Terrell Williams is under the weather, has been away from the team for a few days; it is unclear who will call defensive signals for New England Sunday.

— Carlie Irsay-Gordon, daughter of the late Jim Irsay, is the Indianapolis Colts’ new owner/CEO; she was on the sidelines during last week’s win over Miami, listening to the coaches on her headset. You don’t see that every day.

— In Week 1 of the NFL season, 75.6% of kickoffs were returned, up from the 33.1% in Week 1 of the 2024 season. There were 3,074 kick return yards, the most in any week since Week 15, 2010.
 

Cnotes53

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NFL BEST BETS !

09/11/2025......................0 - 2 - 0...................00.00%...................- 11.00
09/08/2025......................0 - 2 - 0...................00.00%...................- 11.00
09/07/2025......................8 - 7 - 0...................53.33%....................+ 1.50

TOTALS............................8 -11 - 0...................42.10%....................- 20.50
 

Cnotes53

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Saturday’s 6-pack:
Blue Ribbon Basketball’s top six college teams for this season:
6) St John’s
5) UConn
4) Duke
3) Houston
2) Purdue
1) Florida

Quote of the Day
“I’m obviously going to be optimistic. I understand that I took myself out of a game and that’s the first time I’ve ever done that in my career, so I understand that there’s some sort of concern.”
Tarik Skubal, who left Friday’s start with pain in his left side

Saturday’s quiz

When the Texas Rangers won the World Series two years ago, who did they beat?

Friday’s quiz
Washington Redskins coach Joe Gibbs won three Super Bowls, with three different QB’s; Joe Theismann, Doug Williams, Mark Rypien.

Thursday’s quiz
2005 was the last season without a no-hitter in the major leagues; there hasn’t been one so far this season.

*******************************************

Saturday’s Den: Wrapping up a busy Friday…….

— Rangers 8, Mets 3
Texas scored six runs in top of the first vs rookie P Tong.
Jacob deGrom won in his first start against Mets at Citi Field
Mets have now lost seven games in a row.

— A’s 3, Reds 0
Cincinnati was 0-12 with runners in scoring position.
Reds remain 1.5 games behind the Mets for the last Wild Card slot.
Carlos Cortes homered twice in this game for the A’s; he played his 21st game in the outfield Friday, but he’s also played a game at third base. When he plays the outfield, Cortes throws left-handed, but when he plays the infield, he throws right-handed.
Never heard of anyone doing that before.

— Giants 5, Dodgers 1
Patrick Bailey hit a walk-off grand slam for the Giants.
Justin Verlander allowed four hits in 7 IP.
Yoshinobu Yamamoto allowed only one hit in 7 IP.

— NL Wild Card race:
3) Mets 76-72
Giants 75-72
Reds 74-73
Arizona 73-75

— Houston 36, Colorado 20
QB Weigman threw for 222 yards, ran for 83 more.
Cougars outgained Colorado, 431-300.
Houston ran ball for 209 yards; they were +2 in turnovers.

— Arizona 23, Kansas State 17
Arizona led 17-3 at halftime.
Ismail Mahdi ran ball 22 times for 189 yards.
K-State is 0-3 vs I-A teams, with losses by 3-3-6 points.

— New Mexico 35, UCLA 10
Lobos were a 17.5-point underdog in this game.
UCLA is 0-3 this season, outscored 108-43, with two losses to Mountain West teams.

Famous birthdays, September 13th:
Jacqueline Bisset, 81
Rick Wise, 80
Kathleen Lloyd, 77
Clyde Kusatsu, 77
Rick Dempsey, 76
Jim Cleamons, 76
Jean Smart, 74
Mike Pagel, 65
Denny Neagle, 57
Bernie Williams, 57
AJ McCarron, 35
Troy Reeder, 31

— New York 4, Red Sox 1
Luis Gil threw six innings, didn’t give up a hit.
Aaron Judge hit his 47th home run of the year.
Red Sox fall to 4.5 games behind Toronto in the AL East.

— Mariners 2, Angels 1
Mitch Garver hit a solo home run in the 7th inning.
Luis Castillo allowed three hits in six IP.
Mariners remain tied for first with Astros in AL West

— Guardians 4, White Sox 0
Tanner Bibee threw a complete game, 2-hit shutout.
It was Cleveland’s first complete game shutout in six years.
Guardians have won seven of their last eight games.

— AL Wild Card race:
3) Hst/Sea 80-68
Rangers 78-70
Guardians 76-71
Royals 74-74

— Nationals 6, Pirates 5
Pittsburgh led 3-0 in sixth inning.
Dylan Crews hit a 2-run homer for Washington.
LF James Wood threw out the tying run at the plate in the 9th inning.

— Astros 11, Braves 3
Zach Cole went 3-for-4, homered in his first MLB at-bat.
Astros had scored a total of 8 runs in their previous four games.
Houston-Seattle are tied for first in the AL West.AL West

— Twins 9, Diamondbacks 8
Arizona scored four runs in top of the 9th
Minnesota scored three runs in bottom of 9th.
Kody Clemens hit three home runs for the Twins; he has 19 this year.
 

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Sunday’s 6-pack:
Major league leaders in strikeouts:
228— Garrett Crochet, Bos
224— Tarik Skubal, Det
203— Paul Skenes, Pitt
201— Dylan Cease SD/Logan Webb SF
200— Jesus Luzardo, Phil
195— Zack Wheeler, Phil

Quote of the Day
“Unfortunately, he didn’t make the one before, but he had his head high. That’s the life of being a kicker, you know what I mean? I love the way he responded. He’ll continue to grow, and we have great trust in him. Unfortunately, he didn’t finish that one.”
Tennessee coach Josh Heupel, after a tough OT loss to Georgia

Sunday’s quiz

When the Rams beat Tennessee in Super Bowl XXXIV, who was the Titans’ QB?

Saturday’s quiz
When the Texas Rangers won the World Series two years ago, they beat Arizona.

Friday’s quiz
Washington Redskins coach Joe Gibbs won three Super Bowls, with three different QB’s; Joe Theismann, Doug Williams, Mark Rypien.

*********************************

Sunday’s Den: Wrapping up a sports Saturday……

— Georgia 44, Tennessee 41, OT
Dawgs score TD in OT; they’ve beaten Vols nine times in a row.
Tennessee led 21-7 after the first quarter.
Vols missed a 43-yard FG with 0:03 left in regulation.

— Georgia Tech 24, Clemson 21
Yellow Jackets kicked a 55-yard FG at the gun for the win.
Tech QB King passed for 216 yards, ran for 103 more.
Clemson is is off to a disappointing 1-2 start.

— Ole Miss 41, Arkansas 35
Backup QB Chambliss (transfer from Ferris State) threw for 353 yards.
Ferris State won the Division II national title last year.
Arkansas was in Ole Miss red zone in last 2:00, but lost a fumble.

— Texas A&M 41, Notre Dame 40
Aggies threw an 11-yard TD pass on 4th-and-goal with 0:13 left.
Notre Dame missed PAT after TD that put them ahead 40-34.
Aggies’ QB Reed threw for 360 yards, two TD’s.

— West Virginia 31, Pittsburgh 24 OT
Pitt led 24-14 with 6:00 left in regulation.
WVU tied game on a TD with 0:11 left.
Mountaineers outgained Pitt, 434-349.

Upsets of the Week:
New Mexico (+17.5) 35, UCLA 10
Delaware (+10.5) 44, UConn 41
Georgia Tech (+9.5) 24, Clemson 21
Middle Tennessee (+9.5) 14, Nevada 13
Old Dominion (+7.5) 45, Virginia Tech 26
West Virginia (+6.5) 31, Pittsburgh 24 OT
Texas A&M (+6.5) 41, Notre Dame 40
Bowling Green (+6.5) 23, Liberty 13
Vanderbilt (+5.5) 31, South Carolina 7

— Rangers 3, Mets 2

Mets led 2-0 after seven innings.
Texas has won six games in a row.
Mets have lost eight games in a row.
Juan Soto hit his 40th homer for the Mets.

— Milwaukee Brewers are first team to clinch a playoff spot this year; Brewers are in the playoffs for the 7th time in the last eight years.

Famous birthdays, September 14th:
Larry Brown, 85
Alvin Scott, 70
Tim Wallach, 68
Stephen Bishop, 55
Tyler Perry, 55
David Bell, 53
Chad Bradford, 51
Brandon Hicks, 40
Deshaun Watson, 30
Bubba Chandler, 23

— LSU 20, Florida 10
LSU led 13-10 at half; they intercepted five passes.
LSU QB Nussmeier threw for 220 yards and a TD.
Florida outgained LSU 366-316, but the five INT’s were a killer.

— Vanderbilt 31, South Carolina 7
Commodores snapped a 16-game losing streak to South Carolina.
Vandy is 3-0 for the first time since 2017.
Gamecocks’ QB Sellers was KO’d in the 2nd quarter, didn’t return.

— Tulane 34, Duke 27
Duke QB Mensah passed for 313 yards, 3 TD’s against team he played for last year.
Tulane QB Retzlaff (transfer from BYU) passed for 245 yards, 10.7 yards/attempt.
Duke paid Mensah $4M to play for them this season.

— Iowa State 24, Arkansas State 16
Cyclones start season 4-0 for 2nd year in row; its the first time they’ve done that.
Iowa State ran ball 34 times for 187 yards.
Ark State had 10 penalties for 90 yards, Cyclones 3 for 31.

— Delaware 44, UConn 41, OT
Delaware gets its first I-A win as a I-A team.
Blue Hens kicked a 43-yard FG at the gun in regulation to force OT.
Delaware ran ball 45 times for 247 yards.

— Buffalo 31, Kent State 28
Buffalo threw a 22-yard TD pass with 1:03 left for the win.
Bulls’ QB Roberson threw for 318 yards, three TD’s.
Buffalo has won its last five MAC games.
 

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NFL
Armadillo's Write-up

Week 2

Sunday’s games
Rams
(1-0) (–5.5) @ Titans (0-1)
Rams held Houston without a TD in LW’s 14-9 win.
Last two years, Rams were 13-6-1 ATS coming off a win.
QB Stafford is 40-25 as the Rams’ starter (114-118-1 overall).
McVay is 89-57 as an NFL head coach.
Last three years, Rams are 6-1 ATS as a road favorite.
Last 2+ years, Rams are 7-3-1 ATS vs AFC teams.
Under McVay, Rams are 7-1 SU/5-3 ATS in road openers,


Tennessee (+8.5) lost 20-12 in Denver LW, kicking four field goals.
Three of their four FG drives started in Denver territory.
Titans were outgained 317-133 by the Broncos.
Last 4 years, Tennessee is 12-13-2 ATS coming off a loss.
Titans are 3-9 ATS in last 12 games as an underdog.
Tennessee is 3-8 SU/ATS in last 11 home openers.
Rookie QB Ward is making his first NFL home start.
Callahan is 3-15 as an NFL head coach.


Teams split their last six meetings.
Rams lost two of three visits to Tennessee
Rams beat Titans 23-16 in Super Bowl XXXIV


Jaguars (1-0) @ Bengals (1-0) (-3.5)
Jaguars won 26-10 LW, outgaining Carolina 378-255.
Jaguars ran ball for 200 yards LW, threw for 178 more.
QB Lawrence is 24-39 as an NFL starter.
This is Liam Coen’s first road game as a head coach.
Last two years, Jaguars were 6-4-1 ATS as a road underdog.
Since 2020, Jaguars are 13-11 ATS coming off a win.
Jaguars are 6-2 ATS in last eight road openers.


LW, Bengals were outgained 327-141, but won 17-16 in Cleveland.
Since 2022, Bengals are 18-7-1 ATS coming off a win.
QB Burrow is 44-32-1 as an NFL starter.
Taylor is 52-54-1 as a head coach.
Last three years, Bengals are 12-7-2 ATS as home favorites.
Cincinnati is 2-7 SU in last nine home openers.


Bengals won seven of last nine meetings.
Jaguars are 1-4 SU/2-2-1 ATS in last five visits to Cincinnati.


Browns (0-1) @ Ravens (-11.5) (0-1)
Browns outgained Bengals 327-141 LW, but lost 17-16 at home.
Last 3 years, Browns are 14-12-1 ATS coming off a loss.
Since 2021, Cleveland is 8-15-1 ATS as a road underdog.
QB Flacco is 115-93 as an NFL starter (7-15 since 2020)
Flacco won a Super Bowl with Ravens in 2012.
Stefanski is 41-47 as a head coach.
Last six years, Cleveland is 4-14 ATS in AFC North road games.
Cleveland is 5-2 ATS in its last seven road openers.


Ravens blew a 40-25 lead with 5:00 left LW, lost 41-40 in Buffalo.
Ravens ran for 238 yards, scored 40 points and lost; first team ever to do that.
Last two years, Baltimore was 7-1 ATS coming off a loss.
QB Jackson is 73-30 as an NFL starter
John Harbaugh is 185-116 as an NFL head coach.
Last two years, Baltimore was 10-6 ATS as a home favorite.
Last four years, Ravens are 4-8 ATS in AFC North home games.
Ravens are 7-2 SU/6-3 ATS in last nine home openers.


Teams split their last eight meetings.
Browns are 1-4 SU/2-3 ATS in last five visits to Baltimore.


Bills (-6.5) @ Jets
Bills (1-0)
Buffalo won 41-40 LW, outscoring Ravens 16-0 in last 3:56
Bills gave up 238 rushing yards, a red flag.
QB Allen is 84-40 as an NFL starter.
McDermott is 94-52 as an NFL head coach.
Last four years, Bills are 13-11 ATS as a road favorite.
Last four years, Bills are 7-5 ATS in AFC East road games.
Buffalo is 5-1 SU/4-2 ATS in last six road openers.


Jets (0-1)
Jets lost 34-32 LW; they outgained Steelers, 394-271
Jets ran ball for 182 yards, were 7-14 on third down.
QB Fields is 14-31 as an NFL starter.
Last week was Aaron Glenn’s first game as a head coach.
Jets are 10-15 ATS last 25 games as a home underdog.
Last 4+ years, Jets are minus-29 in turnovers.
Jets are 7-13-1 ATS in last 21 games coming off a loss.


Bills won nine of last 11 series games.
Buffalo is 5-2 SU/4-3 ATS in last seven visits to the Garden State.
Under is 8-4 in last 12 meetings.


Patriots @ Dolphins (-1.5)
Patriots (0-1)
Patriots lost 20-13 to Raiders LW, running for only 60 yards.
NE is 7-3 SU/ATS in last ten road openers.
NE is 8-17-3 ATS last 28 games with spread of 3 or fewer points.
QB Maye is 3-10 as an NFL starter.
Vrabel is 56-49 as an NFL head coach.
Patriots are 5-7 ATS in last 12 AFC East road games.
Last two years, NE is 9-16 ATS in games coming off a loss.


Dolphins (0-1)
Dolphins lost 33-8 at Indy LW; they were outgained, 418-211.
Since 2021, Miami is 11-16-1 ATS in games with spread of 3 or fewer points.
Under McDaniel, Dolphins are 12-7-2 ATS as a home favorite.
QB Tagovailoa is 38-26 as an NFL starter.
McDaniel is 28-26 as a head coach, 0-2 in playoffs.
Under McDaniel, Dolphins are 6-2-1 ATS in AFC East home games.
Under McDaniel, Miami is 10-10-1 ATS in games coming off a loss.


Miami won last five series games, covered last eight.
Patriots are 0-5 SU/ATS in last five visits to Miami.
Under is 7-4 in last eleven meetings.


49ers (-3.5) @ Saints
49ers (1-0)
QB Purdy (toe/shoulder) is banged up, may not play
Mac Jones (20-30 as a starter) is the 49ers’ backup QB.
Since 2020, 49ers are 17-14-1 ATS as a road favorite.
QB Purdy is 28-15 as an NFL starter; Jones is 20-30.
Shanahan is 79-66 as an NFL head coach
49ers outgained Seattle 384-230 in LW’s 17-13 win at Seattle.
Last 2 years, 49ers were 6-11-1 ATS in games coming off a win.


Saints (0-1)
Saints lost 20-13 at home to Arizona LW
Saints were in red zone four times, scored only 13 points.
New Orleans outgained the Cardinals, 315-276.
Last 4+ years, Saints are 7-12 ATS as a home underdog.
Last week was Kellen Moore’s first game as a head coach.
Rattler is 0-7 as an NFL starting QB.
Saints are 7-12 ATS in last 19 games coming off a loss.


Teams split their last six meetings.
49ers won three of last five visits to Bourbon Street.


Giants @ Cowboys (-5.5)
Giants (0-1)
Giants lost 21-6 LW, were outgained 432-231.
Giants converted 4-16 third down plays last week.
QB Wilson is 130-86-1 as an NFL starter, 23-33 last 4+ years.
Daboll is 19-34-1 as an NFL head coach, 1-1 in playoffs.
Under Daboll, Giants are 12-11 ATS as a road underdog
Under Daboll, Giants are 5-5 ATS on road vs NFC East rivals.
Since 2020, Giants are 9-7 ATS in NFC East road games.


Cowboys (0-1)
Dallas lost 24-20 at Philly last week
Cowboys in first half: 32 plays, 240 yards, 20 points
Cowboys in 2nd half: 26 plays, 127 yards, no points
Cowboys are 17-8 ATS last 25 games as a home favorite.
Dallas had 3 extra days to prep; they played on Thursday last week.
QB Prescott is 78-52 as an NFL starter.


LW was Brian Schottenheimer’s first game as a head coach.
Cowboys are 6-2 SU/5-3 ATS in last eight home openers.
Dallas is 10-2 ATS in last 12 NFC East home games.


Cowboys are 9-0 SU/6-3 ATS in last nine series games.
Giants are 0-8 SU/2-6 ATS in last eight visits to Dallas.
Over is 7-5 in last 12 meetings.


Bears @ Lions (-5.5)
Bears (0-1)
Bears lost 27-24 Monday night, after leading 17-6 in 3rd quarter.
Bears in 2nd half Monday: 33 plays, 145 yards, 7 points.
Last week was Ben Johnson’s first game as an NFL head coach.
QB Williams is 5-13 as an NFL starter.
Since 2020, Chicago is 10-13 ATS as a road underdog.
Last three years, Bears are 4-5 ATS on road vs NFC North rivals.
Chicago is 0-4 SU/1-3 ATS in last four road openers.


Lions (0-1)
Lions lost 27-13 at Green Bay LW, gaining only 246 yards.
Last two years, Detroit was 7-0 ATS coming off a loss.
QB Goff is 85-58-1 as an NFL starter, 43-31-1 with Detroit.
Campbell is 46-38-1 as an NFL head coach.
Detroit has two new coordinators this season.
Last three years, Lions are 14-8 ATS as a home favorite.
Last 5 years, Detroit is 10-5 ATS in home games vs NFC North rivals.


Bears coach Ben Johnson was a Lions assistant the last six years.
Detroit is 5-1 SU/3-3 SU in last six meetings.
Bears are 5-2 ATS in last seven visits to the Motor City.


Seahawks @ Steelers (-2.5)
Seahawks (0-1)
Last week, Seahawks lost 17-13 at home to the 49ers.
Seattle in 2nd half LW: 24 plays, 121 yards, 3 points.
Since 2021, Seattle is 11-14-2 ATS in games with spread of 3 or fewer points.
Darnold is 35-40 as an NFL starter.
Seahawks are his 4th team the last four years.
Seahawks are 9-3 ATS in last 12 games as a road underdog.
MacDonald is 10-8 as a head coach.
Seattle is 5-1 SU/4-2 ATS in last six road openers.


Steelers (1-0)
Steelers won 34-32 LW; they were outgained 394-271.
Steelers ran ball 20 times for only 53 yards.
Last three years, Pittsburgh is 4-9-1 ATS as a home favorite.
QB Rodgers is 165-97-1 as an NFL starter.
Tomlin is 192-118-2 as an NFL head coach.
Tomlin won a Super Bowl, but it was in 2008.
Rodgers won a Super Bowl, but it was in 2010.
Steelers are 2-5 SU/1-6 ATS in last seven home openers.
Steelers are 25-13-1 ATS last 39 games with spread of 3 or fewer points.


Steelers won five of last seven series games.
Seattle lost three of last four visits to Pittsburgh.
Steelers beat Seattle 21-10 in Super Bowl, 20 years ago.


Broncos (-1.5) @ Colts
Broncos (1-0)
Denver (-8.5) beat Tennessee 20-12 LW, despite turning ball over 4 times.
Broncos outgained Titans 317-133, had six sacks.
Broncos are 8-1 ATS last nine games as a favorite.
Since 2017, Denver is 7-10 ATS as a road favorite.
QB Nix is 11-8 as an NFL starter.
Payton is 180-114 as an NFL head coach, 19-17 with Denver.
Denver is 1-7 SU/3-5 ATS in last eight road openers.


Colts (1-0)
Colts hammered Miami 33-8 last week; they led 20-0 at half.
Indy outgained Dolphins 418-211, was +3 in turnovers.
QB Jones is 26-45-1 is as an NFL starter.
Steichen is 18-17 SU in 2+ years as a head coach
Under Steichen, Indy is 13-6 ATS in games with spread of 3 or fewer points.
Under Steichen, Indy is 8-8 ATS in games coming off a win.


Teams split their last eight meetings.
This is Broncos’ first visit to Indy since 2019.
Three of last four series games stayed under the total.


Panthers @ Cardinals (-6.5)
Panthers (0-1)
Panthers (+3.5) lost 26 -10 at Jacksonville last week.
Jaguars led 20-3 at half; outgained Carolina 378-255.
Carolina converted 8-15 on 3r down, but turned ball over 3 times.
QB Young is 6-23 as an NFL starter,
Canales is 5-13 as a head coach.
Since 2021, Panthers are 11-21-1 ATS as a road underdog.
Carolina is 9-15-2 ATS in last 26 games coming off a loss.


Cardinals (1-0)
Cardinals (-6.5) won 20-13 at New Orleans last week.
Cardinals held Saints to 13 points on four red zone drives.
Under Gannon, Arizona is 11-6 ATS as a favorite, 5-3 at home.
Murray is 37-46-1 as an NFL starter.
Gannon is 13-22 in 2+ years as a head coach.
Cardinals are 4-1 SU/3-2 ATS in last five home openers.
Arizona is 5-9 ATS in last 14 games coming off a win.


Carolina won/covered five of last six series game.
Panthers won six of last eight visits to Arizona.
Over is 5-1 in last six series games.


Eagles (-1.5) @ Chiefs
Eagles (1-0)
LW, Eagles (-6.5) beat Dallas 24-20, running for 158 yards.
Philly is 21-16-2 ATS in last 39 games coming off a win.
QB Hurts is 52-23 as an NFL starter, 5-3 in playoff games.
Sirianni is 54-23 as an NFL coach, 5-3 in playoff games.
Eagles are 11-2-1 ATS in last 14 games with spread of 3 or fewer points.
Philly is 10-5 ATS in last fifteen games vs AFC teams.
Eagles are 4-0 SU/3-1 ATS in last four road openers.


Chiefs (0-1)
Last week, Chiefs (-3.5) lost 27-21 to the Chargers in Brazil.
Chiefs are 7-3 ATS in last ten games coming off a loss.
Chiefs are 13-8 ATS in last 21 games vs NFC teams.
QB Mahomes is 106-27 as an NFL starter, 17-3 in playoff games.
Andy Reid is 301-164-1 as an NFL head coach
Chiefs won seven of their last eight home openers.
Kansas City is 13-7-1 ATS in last 21 games with spread of 3 or fewer points.


Eagles routed Chiefs 40-22 in last year’s Super Bowl.
Chiefs beat Eagles 38-35 in Super Bowl three years ago.
Eagles are 4-2 SU in six visits to Arrowhead.


Falcons @ Vikings (-3.5)
Falcons (0-1)
LW, Atlanta (-1.5) lost 23-20 at home to Tampa Bay.
Falcons missed a 44-yard FG to tie game at the end.
Atlanta is 9-16-2 ATS in last 27 games coming off a loss.
QB Penix is 1-3 as an NFL starter.
Morris is 29-48 as a head coach.
Under Morris, Atlanta is 2-7 ATS as a road underdog.
Last seven years, Atlanta is 1-6 SU/3-4 ATS in road openers.


Vikings (1-0)
Vikings beat Bears 27-24 Monday night, after trailing 17-6.
Minnesota is 14-5-2 ATS in last 21 games coming off a win.
QB McCarthy is 1-0 as an NFL starter; he was hurt last year.
O’Connell is 35-19 as an NFL head coach.
Under O’Connell, Vikings are 8-9 ATS as a home favorite.
Under O’Connell, Vikings are 27-9 SU in games decided by 8 or fewer points.
Last eight years, Minnesota is 1-6-1 SU in home openers.


Vikings won six of last seven series games.
Falcons are 1-3 SU/ATS in last four visits to Minnesota.
Last three meetings went over the total.
 

Cnotes53

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Sunday, September 14

GameTime(ET)PickUnits
CHI at DET01:00 PMDET -6.5+500
CLE at BAL01:00 PMCLE +13.5+500
SEA at PIT01:00 PMSEA +4.0
U 40.5
+500 +500
NYG at DAL01:00 PMDAL -5.5+500
NE at MIA01:00 PMMIA -2.5+500
SF at NO01:00 PMSF -3.0
U 40.5
+500 +500
BUF at NYJ01:00 PMNYJ +6.0
U 47.5
+500 +500
LA at TEN01:00 PMU 41.5+500
JAC at CIN01:00 PMU 49.5+500
DEN at IND04:05 PMDEN -2.5
U 43.0
+500 +500
CAR at ARI04:05 PMARI -7.5+500
PHI at KC04:25 PMPHI -1.0
O 47.5
+500 +500
ATL at MIN08:20 PMMIN -3.5
U 44.5
+500 +500
 

Cnotes53

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NFL BEST BETS !

09/14/2025.....................4 - 12 - 0..................25.00%...................- 40.50
09/11/2025......................0 - 2 - 0...................00.00%...................- 11.00
09/08/2025......................0 - 2 - 0...................00.00%...................- 11.00
09/07/2025......................8 - 7 - 0...................53.33%....................+ 1.50


TOTALS.........................12 -23 - 0...................34.28%....................- 61.00
 

Cnotes53

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Monday’s 6-pack:
— Mets 5, Rangers 2 (10)- Alonso’s walk-off HR ended Mets’ 8-game skid.
— Mariners 11, Angels 2- Seattle has a one-game lead in AL West.
— Blue Jays 11, Orioles 2- Toronto leads the AL East by four games.
— A’s 7, Reds 4- The A’s sweep the Reds, are out of last place!!!
— Dodgers 10, Giants 2- Teoscar Hernandez went 4-6, scored twice.
— Padres 9, Rockies 6- Jackson Merrill hit a 3-run homer.

Quote of the Day

“When we execute with the players that we have and the scheme that we have, we got a high probability to be successful.”
Matthew Stafford

Monday’s quiz

Rangers’ manager Bruce Bochy was catcher for three different teams; what team did he play for the most?
Hint: He played in a World Series

Sunday’s quiz
When the Rams beat Tennessee in Super Bowl XXXIV, Steve McNair was the Titans’ QB.

Saturday’s quiz
When the Texas Rangers won the World Series two years ago, they beat Arizona.

************************************************

Monday’s Den: Wrapping up an NFL Sunday……..

Cowboys 40, Giants 37 OT
Cowboys drove 42 yards, kicked 46-yard FG with 0:04 left in OT.
Dallas kicked a 64-yard FG at end of regulation to force OT
Giants had taken lead on a 48-yard TD pass with 0:25 left.
Giants are 0-9 SU/3-6 ATS in last nine visits to Dallas.
Wilson was 30-41/450 passing, with three TD’s.
Prescott was 38-52/361 passing with two TD’s.
Giants in 4th quarter: 14 plays, 186 yards, 21 points.
Giants in overtime: 6 plays, 3 yards, no points.

Bengals 31, Jaguars 27
QB Burrow injured the big toe on his left foot (check status)
Backup QB Browning scored the game-winning TD with 0:18 left.
Cincinnati ran ball 17 times for only 48 yards.
Bengals are 2-0 for the first time since 2018.
Cincinnati’s winning drive was 15 plays, 92 yards.
Ja’marr Chase caught 14 passes for 165 yards.
Jacksonville led 17-10 at halftime.
Jags’ QB Lawrence was 24-42/271 passing (3 TD’s, 2 INT’s)

Patriots 33 Dolphins 27
Patriots snap a five-game losing skid to the Dolphins in Miami.
Dolphins took 27-23 lead with 74-yard punt return for TD.
Patriots took lead back with 90-yard kickoff return for a TD.
It was first time since 1992 that a punt return TD was immediately followed by a kickoff return for a TD.
Dolphins are 0-2, giving up 33 points in both games.
New England’s first three drives: 36 plays, 209 yards, 15 points.
Since 2021, Miami is 11-17-1 ATS in games with spread of 3 or fewer points.
Patriots were 7-12 on third down, Dolphins 4-10.

Colts 29, Broncos 28
Colts kicked 45-yard FG at gun to go to 2-0 for first time since 2009.
Colts missed 60-yard FG on previous play, but a 15-yard penalty on Denver gave Indy a second chance.
Indianapolis scored 4 TD’s, kicked 6 FG’s on its first 10 drives this season.
Indy hasn’t punted in its first two games.
Denver’s first four drives: 26 plays, 172 yards, three TD’s.
Denver rest of game: 29 plays, 147 yards, one TD.
Since 2017, Broncos are 7-11 ATS as a road favorite.
Under Steichen, Indy is 14-6 ATS in games with spread of 3 or fewer points.

Eagles 20, Chiefs 17
Game was tied 10-10 at halftime.
Barkley ran ball 22 times for 88 yards and a TD.
Philly is 11-5 ATS in last sixteen games vs AFC teams.
Eagles are 12-2-1 ATS in last 15 games with spread of 3 or fewer points.
Chiefs threw INT in red zone early in 4th quarter; Kelce dropped an easy throw.
KC’s first four drives of 2nd half: 24 plays, 90 yards, no points, 2 turnovers.
Chiefs are 0-2 for the first time since 2014.
Chiefs are o-2 in one-score games; before this year, they had won 11 consecutive one-score game.

]Lions 52, Bears 21
Goff passed for 334 yards, five TD’s, three of them to St. Brown
Detroit scored a TD on six of its last seven possessions.
Last 3+ years, Lions are 15-8 ATS as a home favorite.
Last 5+ years, Detroit is 11-5 ATS in home games vs NFC North rivals.
Since leading 17-6 in Week 1, Bears have been outscored, 73-28.
Chicago in 2nd half of this game: 32 plays, 131 yards, 7 points.
QB Williams is 5-14 as an NFL starter.
Since 2020, Chicago is 10-14 ATS as a road underdog.

Rams 33, Titans 19
Tennessee led 13-10 at halftime.
Rams in 2nd half: 35 plays, 262 yards, 23 points.
Titans in 2nd half: 31 plays, 75 yards, 6 points.
Last 3+ years, Rams are 7-1 ATS as a road favorite.
Rams outgained Tennessee, 439-252.
In two games, Rams have allowed one TD on 20 drives.
In two games, Titans have kicked 8 FG’s, scored only one TD.
Titans are 3-10 ATS in last 13 games as an underdog.

Famous birthdays, September 15th:
Tommy Lee Jones, 79
Oliver Stone, 79
LeRoy Irvin, 68
Dan Marino, 64
Earnest Byner, 63
Sherman Douglas, 59
Jason Terry, 48
Mike Dunleavy Jr., 45
Terry McLaurin, 30
Easton Stick, 30

Seahawks 31, Steelers 17
Leading 17-14, Seahawks scored a TD when the Steelers didn’t cover a kickoff that went in the end zone and Seattle fell on it for a TD that made score 24-14.
Seattle in 2nd half: 33 plays, 207 yards, 17 points.
Seahawks outscored Pittsburgh, 395-267.
Seahawks are 10-3 ATS in last 13 games as a road underdog.
Pittsburgh led 14-7 at halftime.
Steelers in 2nd half: 33 plays, 183 yards, 3 points, 2 turnovers.
Steelers ran ball 21 times for only 72 times.
Last 3+ years, Pittsburgh is 4-10-1 ATS as a home favorite.

Cardinals 27, Panthers 22
Cardinals scored a defensive TD 1:33 into the game.
Arizona’s first four drives: 28 plays, 148 yards, 13 points.
Arizona led 20-3 at halftime, then hung on for dear life.
Down 27-22 with 1:58 left, Carolina recovered an onside kick, but was stopped on downs by the Cardinal defense.
Panthers in first half: 29 plays, 111 yards, 3 points.
Carolina ran the ball 19 times for only 49 yards.
QB Young is 6-24 as an NFL starter; Canales is 5-14 as a head coach.
Carolina is 9-16-2 ATS in last 26 games coming off a loss.

Ravens 41, Browns 17
Lamar Jackson was 19-29/225 passing, with four TD’s.
Ravens scored 40-41 points in first two games, but split the pair.
Ravens lead was only 10-3 at halftime.
Up 27-10, Ravens scored defensive TD on 63-yard fumble return.
Ravens in second half: 24 plays, 158 yards, 24 points.
Browns in second half: 38 plays, 250 yards, 14 points.
Since 2021, Cleveland is 8-16-1 ATS as a road underdog.
Last 6+ years, Cleveland is 4-14 ATS in AFC North road games.

Bills 30, Jets 10
Buffalo outgained the Jets, 403-154.
Bills ran the ball 43 times for 224 yards.
James Cook ran 21 times for 132 yards, two TD’s.
Last 4+ years, Bills are 8-5 ATS in AFC East road games.
Bills were 5-14 on third down, Jets 0-11.
Buffalo led 20-3 at halftime.
Jets in first half: 24 plays, 78 yards, 3 points.
Bills won ten of last 12 series games.

49ers 26, Saints 21
Backup QB Jones threw for 279 yards and three TD’s.
49ers led this game 16-7 at halftime.
SF ran the ball 26 times for only 77 yards.
49ers were 8-15 on third down, New Orleans 4-11
Saints’ first four drives: 17 plays, 57 yards, no points.
Last 4+ years, Saints are 7-13 ATS as a home underdog.
Rattler is 0-8 as an NFL starting QB.
Saints are 7-13 ATS in last 19 games coming off a loss.

Falcons 22, Vikings 6
Falcons ran 63 plays for 326 yards, Vikings 46 plays for 198.
Minnesota turned ball over four times on 10 drives.
Falcons led 9-6 at halftime.
Only TD of game came on an 88-yard drive by Atlanta late in game.
McCarthy was 11-21/158 passing with two INT’s.
Vikings in first half of their 2 games: 51 plays, 219 yards, 4 FG’s.
Last nine years, Minnesota is 1-7-1 SU in home openers.
Under O’Connell, Vikings are 8-10 ATS as a home favorite.
 

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NFL
Weather Report

Monday, September 15


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NFL
Armadillo's Write-up

Week 2

Monday’s games
Buccaneers @ Texans (-2.5)

Buccaneers (1-0)
LW, Tampa Bay (-1.5) won 23-20 in Atlanta.
Buccaneers had TD drives of 52-32-63 yards.
Mayfield is 53-56 as an NFL starter, 21-17 with the Bucs.
Bowles is 55-68 as a head coach, 29-27 with Tampa Bay.
Last two years, Tampa Bay is 11-2 ATS as a road underdog.
Bucs are 7-3 ATS in last ten games vs AFC opponents.
Bucs are 8-6-1 ATS in last 15 games with spread of 3 or fewer points.

Texans (0-1)
Last week, Texans (+3.5) lost 14-9 to the Rams at SoFi.
Houston converted only 2-9 third down plays.
QB Stroud is 21-16 as an NFL starter.
Ryans is 22-17 in 2+ years as an NFL head coach.
Since 2019,, Texans are 6-14-1 ATS as a home favorite.
Under Ryans, Texans are 5-5-1 ATS vs NFC teams.
Under Ryans, Houston is 9-8 ATS in games with spread of 3 or fewer points.
Last 7 times they were favored in a home opener, Texans are 1-6 ATS.

Texans are 5-1 in games against Tampa Bay.
Bucs are 0-3 vs Texans in Houston, losing by 14-10-2 points.
Houston won last meeting, 39-37, two years ago.

Chargers (-3.5) @ Raiders
Chargers (1-0)
LW, Chargers (+3.5) beat Chiefs 27-21 in Brazil.
Bolts gained 394 yards, converted 7-13 on third down.
Chargers are 5-2 SU/7-0 ATS last 7 games vs AFC West rivals .
QB Herbert is 42-40 as an NFL starter, 0-2 in playoff games.
Jim Harbaugh is 61-29-1 as an NFL head coach.
Chargers are 9-3 ATS in last 12 games as a road favorite.
Under Harbaugh, Chargers are 6-3 ATS in games coming off a win.

Raiders (1-0)
LW, Raiders (+2.5) won 20-13 at New England.
Raiders threw for 333 yards, ran 24 times for only 56 yards.
QB Geno Smith is 41-44 as an NFL starter.
Carroll is 182-131-1 as an NFL head coach, 11-11 in playoffs.
Since 2018, Raiders are 14-15-2 ATS as a home underdog.
Las Vegas is 7-4 ATS in last 11 games coming off a win.
Last 3 years, Raiders are 5-4 ATS in home games vs AFC West opponents.

Chargers won six of last nine series games.
Bolts swept the Raiders last year, 22-10/34-20.
Chargers lost three of last four visits to Las Vegas.
 

Cnotes53

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Monday, September 15

GameTime(ET)PickUnits
TB at HOU07:00 PMTB +2.5
U 42.5
+500 +500
LAC at LV10:00 PMLV +3.5
O 46.5
+500 +500
 

Cnotes53

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NFL BEST BETS !

09/15/2025......................2 - 2 - 0....................50.00%..................- 1.00
09/14/2025.....................4 - 12 - 0..................25.00%...................- 40.50
09/11/2025......................0 - 2 - 0...................00.00%...................- 11.00
09/08/2025......................0 - 2 - 0...................00.00%...................- 11.00
09/07/2025......................8 - 7 - 0...................53.33%....................+ 1.50

TOTALS.........................14 -25 - 0...................35.89%....................- 62.00
 

Cnotes53

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Tuesday’s 6-pack:
NFL spreads for Week 3:
— Dolphins @ Buffalo (-12.5)
— Bengals @ Minnesota (-2.5)
— Steelers (-1.5) @ New England
— Colts (-3.5) @ Tennessee
— Texans (-1.5) @ Jacksonville
— Falcons (-5.5) @ Carolina

Quote of the Day
“Whether you think you can, or think you can’t, you’re right.”
Henry Ford

Tuesday’s quiz

LA/San Diego Chargers have played in one Super Bowl; who was their QB in that game?

Monday’s quiz
Rangers’ manager Bruce Bochy was catcher for three different teams; he played the most for San Diego, playing for the Padres in the 1984 World Series.

Sunday’s quiz
When the Rams beat Tennessee in Super Bowl XXXIV, Steve McNair was the Titans’ QB.

**********************************************

Tuesday’s Den: Nobody asked me, but……..

I’m not sure if/when you’ll be reading this; had some major Internet issues at Armadillo World HQ late Monday night. Hopefully you’re reading this and all is well with the world…….

Buccaneers 20, Texans 19
Bucs drove 80 yards, scored game-winning TD with 0:06 left.
Tampa Bay opens up 2-0 for the fifth year in a row.
Bucs’ first two drives: 23 plays, 147 yards, two TD’s
Last two years, Tampa Bay is 12-2 ATS as a road underdog.
Houston took a 19-14 lead on a 25-yard run by Chubb with 2:10 left.
Tampa Bay outgained the Texnas, 360-266.
In two games, Houston has converted 4-18 third down plays.
Since 2019, Texans are 6-15-1 ATS as a home favorite.

Chargers 20, Raiders 9
Chargers picked off three passes, outgained Raiders 317-218.
Chargers led 17-6 at halftime.
Chargers are 6-2 SU/8-0 ATS last 7 games vs AFC West rivals.
Chargers are 10-3 ATS in last 13 games as a road favorite.
Raiders had drive of 19 plays, 62 yards; it took 11:07, but they kicked a FG.
Three drives after that, Raiders ran 14 plays for 27 yards, no points.
In two games (1-1), Raiders have run ball 43 times for 124 yards.
Since 2018, Raiders are 14-15-2 ATS as a home underdog.

— Tom Brady is part-owner of the Raiders; he was wearing a headset during the game Monday night, it is said that he consults with Raiders’ OC Chip Kelly on the game plan during the week.
How the BLEEP is he allowed to also broadcast games on network TV, where he meets with coaches of other teams during the week?!?!?!??
Raiders play Chicago in Week 4; if you’re Ben Johnson, do you want him in a production meeting where you will discuss your strategy??? I don’t think so.
NFL needs to put a stop to this.

— Through two weeks of the NFL…….
Home underdogs in divisional games are 1-5 ATS
Home underdogs in non-divisional games are 3-4 ATS
Home favorites in non-divisional games are 5-6 ATS
Home favorites in divisional games are 4-3 ATS
Overall, favorites are 17-15 ATS.

— Rough day for NFL quarterbacks………
Minnesota Vikings are expecting to start Carson Wentz this week, with JJ McCarthy nursing an ankle surgery.
Vikings are playing Cincinnati this week, which will be starting backup Jake Browning the next three months, after Joe Burrow had surgery on his foot/toe.
Commanders’ QB Jayden Daniels (knee) is a ??? for Washington’s game with the Raiders this week.
Also, Cowboys’ center Cooper Beebe is expected to miss 6-8 weeks with a sprained ankle.

— Famous birthdays, September 16th
Ed Begley, Jr, 76
Mickey Rourke, 73
Wilbert Montgomery, 71
Robin Yount, 70
Eric Hipple, 68
Jennifer Tilly, 67
Orel Hershiser, 67
Tim Raines, 66
Chad Harville, 49
Dan Dickau, 47
Brandon Moss, 42
Robbie Grossman, 36
Aaron Gordon, 30
Quinn Priester, 25
Sam Howell, 25

— In college football…….
AAC home teams are 3-6 ATS out of conference.
AAC road teams are 9-6 ATS out of conference.
AAC favorites are 7-5, home dogs are 0-4.
ACC non-conference home favorites are 4-8 ATS
Overall, ACC teams are 10-16 ATS out of conference.
Big 10 teams are 15-18 ATS out of conference.
Big X teams non-conference favorites are 9-8, underdogs are 3-4.
Conference USA teams are 11-6 ATS out of conference, 8-4 as road underdogs.
MAC teams are 15-10 ATS in non-conference games.
Mountain West teams are 13-7 ATS, road underdogs are 7-3 ATS
SEC home favorites are 7-11 ATS out of conference; overall, SEC teams are 15-13 ATS in non-conference games.
Sun Belt teams 12-14 ATS in non-conference games.

— Over the weekend, UCLA/Virginia Tech fired their football coaches; September is half-over today, and two college/minor league teams have already fired their coaches. Yikes.

— Phillies 6, Dodgers 5 (10)
Phillies clinch the NL East with this win.
Dodgers lead NL West by two games over San Diego.
Kyle Schwarber hit his 53rd home run; he has hit 22 homers off of lefties this year, tied with Stan Musial (1949), Matt Olson (2021) for most homers hit by a lefty off of lefties in one year.

— Diamondbacks 8, Giants 1
Arizona broke open a close game, scoring six runs in sixth inning.
Geraldo Perdomo was 3-fot-3 with 2 walks, scored a run.
Zac Gallen allowed two hits in six IP.
— Arizona is 1.5 games behind the Mets for the NL’s last playoff spot; Giants are now two games behind the Mets.

— Reds 11, Cardinals 6
Sal Stewart was 3-for-5, with 3 runs scored, 2 RBI
Cincinnati is also within two games of the NL’s last playoff spot.

— Astros 6, Rangers 3
Jeremy Pena was 2-for-4, with three RBI
Oft-injured Yordan Alvarez left this game with a sprained ankle.
Houston’s bullpen got 13 outs, didn’t allow run.

— Blue Jays 2, Rays 1 (11)
Trey Yesavage allowed a run in five IP in his MLB debut.
Toronto has a five-game lead in the NL East; their magic number is 8.
 

Udog

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NFL

Week 3


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Trend Report
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Thursday, September 18
8:15 PM ET
Miami VS Buffalo
Miami is 2-6 ATS in its last 8 games.
Miami is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games.
Miami is 0-6 SU in its last 6 games against Buffalo.
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Miami's last 6 games on the road.
Buffalo is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games.
The total has gone OVER in 10 of Buffalo's last 14 games.
Buffalo is 14-3 SU in its last 17 games.
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Buffalo's last 6 games against Miami.

Sunday, September 21
1:00 PM ET
Cincinnati VS Minnesota
Cincinnati is 5-2 ATS in its last 7 games.
The total has gone OVER in 12 of Cincinnati's last 18 games.
Cincinnati is 7-0 SU in its last 7 games.
Cincinnati is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games against Minnesota.
Minnesota is 10-3 SU in its last 13 games.
Minnesota is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games at home.
Minnesota is 6-0 SU in its last 6 games when playing at home against Cincinnati.
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Minnesota's last 5 games against an opponent in the American Football Conference conference.

1:00 PM ET
Indianapolis VS Tennessee
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Indianapolis' last 5 games.
Indianapolis is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games.
Indianapolis is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games against Tennessee.
Indianapolis is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games against Tennessee.
Tennessee is 1-7 ATS in its last 8 games.
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Tennessee's last 9 games.
Tennessee is 0-8 SU in its last 8 games.
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Tennessee's last 6 games against Indianapolis.

1:00 PM ET
Atlanta VS Carolina
Atlanta is 2-7-1 ATS in its last 10 games.
The total has gone UNDER in 8 of Atlanta's last 11 games.
Atlanta is 3-7 SU in its last 10 games.
Atlanta is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games against Carolina.
Carolina is 8-3 ATS in its last 11 games.
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Carolina's last 6 games.
Carolina is 2-7 SU in its last 9 games.
The total has gone OVER in 7 of Carolina's last 8 games at home.

1:00 PM ET
Green Bay VS Cleveland
Green Bay is 7-3 ATS in its last 10 games.
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Green Bay's last 7 games.
Green Bay is 11-5 SU in its last 16 games.
Green Bay is 4-2 ATS in its last 6 games against Cleveland.
Cleveland is 1-7 ATS in its last 8 games.
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Cleveland's last 7 games.
Cleveland is 0-8 SU in its last 8 games.
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Cleveland's last 5 games at home.

1:00 PM ET
Houston VS Jacksonville
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Houston's last 9 games.
Houston is 2-5 SU in its last 7 games.
Houston is 12-2 SU in its last 14 games against Jacksonville.
Houston is 6-0 SU in its last 6 games when playing on the road against Jacksonville.
Jacksonville is 5-15 SU in its last 20 games.
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Jacksonville's last 6 games against Houston.
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Jacksonville's last 5 games at home.
Jacksonville is 0-6 SU in its last 6 games when playing at home against Houston.

1:00 PM ET
Pittsburgh VS New England
Pittsburgh is 1-6 ATS in its last 7 games.
Pittsburgh is 1-6 SU in its last 7 games.
Pittsburgh is 1-5-1 ATS in its last 7 games against New England.
Pittsburgh is 1-8 SU in its last 9 games against New England.
The total has gone OVER in 7 of New England's last 9 games.
New England is 4-14 SU in its last 18 games.
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of New England's last 5 games against Pittsburgh.
The total has gone OVER in 6 of New England's last 7 games at home.

1:00 PM ET
Los Angeles VS Philadelphia
LA Rams is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games.
LA Rams is 8-2 SU in its last 10 games.
LA Rams is 2-8 ATS in its last 10 games against Philadelphia.
LA Rams is 1-9 SU in its last 10 games against Philadelphia.
Philadelphia is 6-2 ATS in its last 8 games.
Philadelphia is 8-0 SU in its last 8 games.
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Philadelphia's last 7 games against LA Rams.
Philadelphia is 10-0 SU in its last 10 games at home.

1:00 PM ET
New York VS Tampa Bay
NY Jets is 5-11 ATS in its last 16 games.
The total has gone OVER in 7 of NY Jets' last 9 games.
NY Jets is 3-13 SU in its last 16 games.
NY Jets is 9-1 ATS in its last 10 games against Tampa Bay.
Tampa Bay is 8-4 ATS in its last 12 games.
Tampa Bay is 8-2 SU in its last 10 games.
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Tampa Bay's last 5 games against NY Jets.
Tampa Bay is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games against an opponent in the American Football Conference conference.

1:00 PM ET
Las Vegas VS Washington
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Las Vegas' last 8 games.
Las Vegas is 3-12 SU in its last 15 games.
Las Vegas is 1-5 ATS in its last 6 games against Washington.
Las Vegas is 1-5 SU in its last 6 games against Washington.
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Washington's last 6 games.
Washington is 8-2 SU in its last 10 games.
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Washington's last 5 games against Las Vegas.
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Washington's last 6 games at home.

4:05 PM ET
Denver VS Los Angeles
Denver is 1-5 ATS in its last 6 games.
Denver is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games.
Denver is 1-6 SU in its last 7 games on the road.
The total has gone UNDER in 10 of Denver's last 12 games when playing on the road against LA Chargers.
LA Chargers is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games.
The total has gone OVER in 6 of LA Chargers' last 7 games.
LA Chargers is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games.
The total has gone OVER in 6 of LA Chargers' last 6 games at home.

4:05 PM ET
New Orleans VS Seattle
New Orleans is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games.
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of New Orleans' last 8 games.
New Orleans is 0-6 SU in its last 6 games.
New Orleans is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games against Seattle.
Seattle is 1-5 ATS in its last 6 games.
Seattle is 7-3 SU in its last 10 games.
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Seattle's last 6 games against New Orleans.
Seattle is 1-7 ATS in its last 8 games at home.

4:25 PM ET
Arizona VS San Francisco
Arizona is 9-4 ATS in its last 13 games.
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Arizona's last 7 games.
Arizona is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games.
Arizona is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games against San Francisco.
San Francisco is 3-8 ATS in its last 11 games.
The total has gone OVER in 4 of San Francisco's last 5 games.
San Francisco is 3-7 SU in its last 10 games.
The total has gone OVER in 6 of San Francisco's last 7 games against Arizona.

4:25 PM ET
Dallas VS Chicago
Dallas is 6-3 ATS in its last 9 games.
The total has gone OVER in 7 of Dallas' last 10 games.
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Dallas' last 6 games on the road.
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Dallas' last 6 games when playing on the road against Chicago.
Chicago is 2-5 ATS in its last 7 games.
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Chicago's last 5 games.
Chicago is 1-12 SU in its last 13 games.
The total has gone OVER in 8 of Chicago's last 8 games against Dallas.

8:20 PM ET
Kansas City VS New York
Kansas City is 1-5 ATS in its last 6 games.
Kansas City is 15-5 SU in its last 20 games.
Kansas City is 1-9 ATS in its last 10 games against NY Giants.
Kansas City is 4-11 SU in its last 15 games against NY Giants.
NY Giants is 3-11 ATS in its last 14 games.
The total has gone UNDER in 13 of NY Giants' last 20 games.
NY Giants is 1-13 SU in its last 14 games.
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of NY Giants' last 7 games against Kansas City.

Monday, September 22
8:15 PM ET
Detroit VS Baltimore
Detroit is 12-6 ATS in its last 18 games.
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Detroit's last 8 games.
Detroit is 15-3 SU in its last 18 games.
Detroit is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games against Baltimore.
Baltimore is 6-2 ATS in its last 8 games.
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Baltimore's last 5 games.
Baltimore is 6-2 SU in its last 8 games.
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Baltimore's last 9 games against Detroit.


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