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Cnotes53

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Monday’s 6-pack:
— Reds 1, Cubs 0- If the playoffs started today, Cincinnati would be in.
— Mariners 7, Astros 3- Seattle sweeps the Astros, leads AL West by 3 games.
— Twins 6, Guardians 2- Loss ends Cleveland’s 10-game winning streak.
— Rays 7, Red Sox 3- Boston/Cleveland are tied for AL’s last Wild Card slot.
— Blue Jays 8, Royals 5- Toronto clinches a spot in the playoffs.
— Marlins 4, Rangers 2- Marlins have won six games in a row.

Quote of the Day
“I loved it, and also their D-coordinator was the one that cut me in Carolina.”
Baker Mayfield, talking about Jets’ DC Steve Wilks

Monday’s quiz
Who is the Carolina Panthers’ all-time leader in passing yardage?

Sunday’s quiz
Hall of Famer Dick Vermeil is the only head coach who coached both the Eagles, Rams in a Super Bowl.

Saturday’s quiz
Of all the current major league ballplayers, Giancarlo Stanton has hit the most career home runs.

***************************************

Monday’s Den: Wrapping up an NFL Sunday……..

Browns 13, Packers 10
Browns kicked a 55-yard FG at the gun for the win.
Green Bay led 10-0 with 4:00 left in the game.
Cleveland’s first seven drives: 41 plays, 113 yards, no points
Cleveland’s last three drives: 18 plays, 83 yards, 13 points
Packers had 14 penalties for 75 yards, Browns 8 for 90.
Green Bay was 10-18 on third down, Cleveland 4-13.
Packers are 4-12-1 ATS last 17 games as a road favorite.
Total yardage: Green Bay 230, Cleveland 221.

Buccaneers 29, Jets 27
Jets took 27-26 lead, scoring TD on blocked FG with 1:49 left.
Tampa Bay kicked a 36-yard FG 0:03 left for the win.
Bucs are 3-0, with all three wins coming on last-minute scores.
Last time Tampa Bay was 3-0 was 2005.
Buccaneers led 23-6 after the third quarter.
Bucs outgained Jets 347-267; they were +2 in turnovers.
Tampa Bay survived 14 penalties for 124 yards.
Jets lost first three games, giving up 34-30-29 points.

Eagles 33, Rams 27
Rams led 26-7 early in the third quarter.
Rams had two FG’s blocked; the last one was run back for a TD.
Eagles in first half: 21 plays, 29 yards, 7 points
Eagles in second half: 40 plays, 260 yards, 20 points
Saquon Barkley was held to 55 yards on 22 touches.
AJ Brown caught six passes for 109 yards.
Eagles won ten of last eleven series games.
Rams were 4-6 on FG’s; need to be better in red zone.

Chargers 23, Broncos 20
Chargers kicked a 43-yard FG at the gun for the win.
Chargers had tied game on a 20-yard TD pass with 2:44 left.
Bolts have already beaten all three of their AFC West rivals.
Justin Herbert is the youngest QB ever with 2,000 career completions.
Chargers were 8-17 on third down, Denver 2-13.
Bolts ran 80 plays for 376 yards, Denver 48 plays for 265 yards.
Chargers are 7-2 SU/9-0 ATS last 9 games vs AFC West rivals.
Under Payton, Denver is 6-9 ATS as a road underdog.

Colts 41, Titans 20
Colts are off to a 3-0 start, scoring 32-29-41 points.
Colts have scored on 20 of 25 drives, have punted once.
Indianapolis led 20-6 at halftime.
Colts outgained first two opponents by 207-149-83 yards.
Rookie QB Ward threw a horrendous pick-6 on third play of game.
Titans have three TD’s, 10 FG’s on their 34 drives.
Tennessee is 3-11 ATS last 14 games as an underdog.
Indianapolis won/covered last five series games.

Jaguars 17, Texans 10
Jaguars drove 83 yards in 7 plays, scored winning TD with 1:48 left.
Just third win for Jaguars in last 15 games vs Houston.
Jaguars are 5-2 ATS in last seven AFC South home games.
Jaguars have had three takeaways in all three games this year.
Houston’s only TD was a 50-yard pass to Collins with 9:17 left.
Texans lost first three games, by 1-5-7 points.
Texans have only three TD’s on 30 drives this year.
Both teams converted 4-15 third down plays.

Steelers 21, Patriots 14
Steelers drove 67 yards in nine plays, scored GW TD with 2:16 left.
Steelers’ first two drives: 20 plays, 144 yards, 14 points
Steelers are 26-14-1 ATS last 41 games with spread of 3 or fewer points.
Pittsburgh ran ball 26 times for only 64 yards.
NE outgained Steelers 369-203, but had 5 turnovers, losing 4 fumbles.
Patriots are 4-13-1 ATS last 18 games as a home underdog.
NE is 9-18-3 ATS last 30 games with spread of 3 or fewer points.
Patriots had a drive that took 17 plays, 92 yards, but it ended in an INT.

Famous birthdays, September 22:
Harold Carmichael, 76
Jeffrey Leonard, 70
Wally Backman, 66
Scott Baio, 65
Vince Coleman, 64
Mark Guthrie, 60
Mike Matheny, 55
Alexei Ramírez, 44
Carlos Correa, 31
Jeremy Pena, 28

Vikings 48, Bengals 10
Vikings had defensive TD’s of 87-66 yards in the first half.
Minnesota outgained the Bengals, 352-171.
Will Reichard made a 62-yard FG, longest in Viking history.
QB Wentz has a 48-47-1 record; he’s won a game for 5 different teams. .
Cincinnati got outgained by 186-50-181 yards in their first 3 games.
Bengals have run ball 61 times for only 147 yards in those games.
Bengals’ first four drives: 17 plays, 20 yards, no points.
Cincinnati turned ball over five times on 13 drives.

Panthers 30, Falcons 0
Panthers scored on 11-yard pick-6 to go ahead 17-0 in 3rd quarter.
Ryan Fitzgerald made a 57-yard field goal for Carolina.
Panthers are 13-8-1 ATS last 22 games as a home underdog.
Carolina is 7-2-1 ATS in last ten NFC South home games.
Falcons missed FG’s (49-55 yards) on two of first three drives.
Under Morris, Atlanta is 3-6-1 ATS as a road favorite.
Under Morris, Atlanta is 5-11 ATS in games coming off a win.
Morris is 30-49 as a head coach.

Commanders 41, Raiders 24
Washington ran for 174 yards in 1st half, led 20-10 at half.
Under Quinn, Commanders are 8-2 ATS as a home favorite.
Last three years, Washington is 10-6 ATS vs AFC opponents.
Mariota was 15-21/207 yards passing in his first start since 2022.
Commanders ran a punt back 90 yards for a TD.
Raiders were 3-14 on third down, Las Vegas 5-10.
Raiders have run ball 71 times for only 217 yards.
Las Vegas is 19-25-1 ATS in last 45 games coming off a loss.

49ers 16, Cardinals 15
49ers kicked a 35-yard FG with 0:04 left for the win.
49ers drove 57 yards in 10 plays to set up the FG.
Cardinals took 15-13 lead on a safety with 3:26 left.
49ers led 6-3 at half; it was 6-6 after three quarters.
49ers outgained Arizona 355-260, but ran for only 73 yards.
Last 2+ years, 49ers are 7-12-1 ATS in games coming off a win.
Last two years, 49ers are 1-6 ATS in NFC West home games.
49ers are 3-0, took over first place in NFC West.

Seahawks 44, Saints 13
Seattle ran a punt back 95 yards for a TD in first quarter.
Seattle also blocked a punt later in the first quarter.
Seattle’s first seven drives: 39 plays, 283 yards, 37 points
Jason Myers kicked a 56-yard field goal for the Seahawks.
Saints have converted only 12-36 third down plays.
New Orleans has been outscored 71-23 in first half of games.
Spencer Rattler is 0-9 as an NFL starting QB.
Saints are 7-14 ATS in last 21 games coming off a loss.

Bears 31, Cowboys 14
Caleb Williams threw for 298 yards, four TD’s.
Williams hit Luther Burden with a 65-yard TD pass on a flea flicker.
Bears scored on four of first six drives, led 24-14 at halftime.
Chicago is 6-3-1 ATS last ten games as a home underdog.
Last two games, Cowboys allowed 422-298 passing yards.
Chicago was 8-14 on third down, Dallas 3-11.
Chicago averaged 10.6 yards/pass attempt.
Dallas is 4-7 ATS in last 11 games with spread of 3 or fewer points.

Chiefs 22, Giants 9
Chiefs were 3-4 on field goals, on five first half drives (led 9-6 at half)
Chiefs in second half: 29 plays, 184 yards, 13 points.
Chiefs were 8-15 on third down, Giants 1-10.
Chiefs are 8-4 ATS in last 12 games coming off a loss.
Last 14 years, Giants are 2-12 SU/1-13 ATS in home openers.
Malik Nabers caught only two passes for 13 yards.
Giants in second half: 33 plays, 152 yards, 3 points.
QB Wilson is 130-88-1 as an NFL starter, 23-35 last 4+ years.
 

Udog

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NFL
Weather Report

Monday, September 22


F7SVXBF.png





NFL
Armadillo's Write-up

Week 3

Lions
@ Ravens (-4.5)
Lions (1-1)
Lions lost 27-13 at Green Bay, squashed the Bears 52-21 LW.
Detroit is 22-11 ATS last 33 games coming off a win.
QB Goff is 86-58-1 as an NFL starter, 44-31-1 with Detroit.
Campbell is 47-38-1 as an NFL head coach.
Detroit has two new coordinators this season.
Lions are 13-9 ATS last 22 games as a road underdog.
Detroit is 13-7 ATS in last 20 games vs AFC teams


Ravens (1-1)
Ravens lost 41-40 in Buffalo, beat the Browns 41-17.
LW, Ravens scored 24 points on four 2nd half drives.
Last two years, Baltimore is 14-10 ATS coming off a win.
QB Jackson is 74-30 as an NFL starter
John Harbaugh is 186-116 as an NFL head coach.
Last 2+ years, Baltimore is 11-6 ATS as a home favorite.
Ravens are 10-5 ATS in last 15 games vs NFC teams.


Ravens are 5-0 SU/4-1 in last five series games.
Lions lost last three visits to Baltimore: 38-6/44-20/48-3.
 

Cnotes53

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Monday, September 22

GameTime(ET)PickUnits
DET at BAL08:15 PMBAL -4.5
O 53.5
+500 +500
 

lostinamerica

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Between Green Bay and Iowa City
Thank you to CNotes and Udog for all the nuggets of information you share with your weekly posts of News & Notes.

If the last play of the heavily bet Rams vs. Eagles game was not a Top Twenty All-time Bad Beat, it was definitely in my personal Top Ten.

GL
 
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Cnotes53

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NFL BEST BETS !

09/22/2025.......................1 - 1 - 0...................50.00%...................- 0.50
09/21/2025.....................11 - 7 - 1...................61.11%..................+ 16.50
09/18/2025......................2 - 0 - 0..................100.00%..................+ 10.00
09/15/2025......................2 - 2 - 0....................50.00%..................- 1.00
09/14/2025.....................4 - 12 - 0..................25.00%...................- 40.50
09/11/2025......................0 - 2 - 0...................00.00%...................- 11.00
09/08/2025......................0 - 2 - 0...................00.00%...................- 11.00
09/07/2025......................8 - 7 - 0...................53.33%....................+ 1.50

TOTALS.........................28 -33 - 1...................45.90%....................- 36.00
 

Cnotes53

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Tuesday’s 6-pack:
Week 4 NFL spreads…….
— Seahawks @ Arizona (-1.5)
— Vikings (-3.5) vs Steelers (@ Dublin, Ireland)
— Chargers (-6.5) @ Giants
— Titans @ Houston (-6.5)
— Commanders (-2.5) @ Atlanta
— Saints @ Buffalo (-15.5)

Quote of the Day
“I’ve said it a million times to you guys — I don’t think I’ve obviously said it enough to our team — the goal is to go 1-0 every week. And it pisses me off when we start talking about things outside of the next game. Things that are way down the road. Like, focus on, keep the focus on the present, on the now, and worry about getting better each and every day.”
Green Bay coach Matt LaFleur

Tuesday’s quiz
In the history of the Milwaukee Brewers, who has hit the most home runs?

Monday’s quiz
Cam Newton is the Carolina Panthers’ all-time leader in passing yardage.

Sunday’s quiz
Hall of Famer Dick Vermeil is the only head coach who coached both the Eagles, Rams in a Super Bowl.

*******************************************************

Tuesday’s Den: Trends for every MLB team……

Trends for every major league team
(thru Sunday’s games)

— Arizona (79-77)
Arizona is 7-4 its last eleven games.
Diamondbacks are 20-27 in one-run games.
Arizona is 25-21 vs NL West foes, 54-56 vs everyone else.
Arizona scored in 1st inning in 11 of last 16 home games.

— Braves (73-83)
Braves won their last eight games.
Atlanta is 36-39 at home, 37-44 on the road.
Braves are 28-21 vs NL East rivals, 45-62 vs everyone else.
Over is 5-2-1 in their last eight games.

— Cubs (88-68)
Chicago lost its last four games.
Cubs are holding #1 Wild Card slot in NL
Under is 13-5-2 in their last 20 road games.
Cubs are 69-46 vs righty starters, 19-22 vs lefties.

— Reds (80-76)
Cincinnati won its last five games.
Reds are 60-53 vs righty starters, 20-23 vs lefties.
Under is 8-3-1 in their last 11 road games.
Reds are holding the NL’s last Wild Card slot.

— Rockies (43-113)
Colorado lost 16 of its last 20 games.
Over is 6-2 in Rockies’ last eight games.
Rockies are 8-34 vs lefty starters, 35-79 vs righties.
Colorado scored a first inning run in only one of last 37 road games.

— Dodgers (88-68)
Dodgers won 10 of their last 14 games.
LA leads San Diego by three games in NL West.
Dodgers are 64-45 vs righty starters, 24-23 vs lefties.
Under is 3-1-1 in their last five games.

— Marlins (76-80)
Marlins are 10-1 in their last 11 games.
Miami is 36-42 at home, 40-38 on the road.
Over is 9-4 in Marlins’ last 13 games.
Marlins are 57-55 vs righty starters, 19-25 vs lefties.

— Brewers (95-61)
Brewers are 6-3 in their last nine games.
Milwaukee is 51-27 at home, 44-34 on the road.
Over is 17-7-1 in their last 25 home games.
Right now, Milwaukee is the #1 seed in the NL.

— Mets (80-76)
Mets are 4-11 in their last fifteen games.
Mets are 49-32 at home, 31-44 on the road.
Over is 8-5-1 in their last 14 road games.
Right now, Mets trail Cincinnati by half-game for last NL Wild Card slot.

— Phillies (92-64)
Phillies are 1-3 in their last four games.
Phillies are 70-39 vs righty starters, 22-25 vs lefties.
Over is 10-2 in their last 12 games.
Right now, Phillies are #2 seed in the NL.

— Pirates (67-89)
Pirates lost 12 of their last 15 games.
Pittsburgh is 44-37 at home, 23-52 on the road.
Under is 11-4 in their last 15 games.
Pirates are 53-69 vs righty starters, 14-20 vs lefties.

— St Louis (76-80)
St Louis is 4-8 in its last 12 games.
Cardinals are 1-5 in last six series openers.
St Louis is 44-37 at home, 32-43 on the road.
Under is 8-3 in their last eleven home games.

— Padres (85-71)
San Diego is 9-10 in its last 19 games.
Padres are 47-28 at home, 38-43 on the road.
Padres are 61-48 vs righty starters, 24-23 vs lefties.
San Diego has a 5-game for the #2 Wild Card slot in NL.

— Giants (77-79)
Giants lost eight of their last 11 games.
Giants are 61-51 vs righty pitchers, 16-28 vs lefties.
Over is 7-2 in their last nine home games.
SF is three games out of the NL’s last Wild Card slot.


— Washington (64-92)
Nationals are 4-8 in their last 12 games.
Washington is 47-64 vs righty starters, 17-28 vs lefties.
Under is 5-3-1 in their last nine games.
Nationals are 22-16 in one-run games.

Famous birthdays, September 23rd:
Bruce Springsteen, 76
Dennis Lamp, 73
Jason Alexander, 66
Larry Krystkowiak, 61
Pete Harnisch, 59
Cuonzo Martin, 54
Matt Kemp, 41
Brian Brohm, 40

— Orioles (73-83)
Baltimore is 12-7 in its last 19 games.
Orioles are 52-58 vs vs righty starters, 21-25 vs lefties.
Under is 15-0 in their last fifteen home games.
Orioles are 20-26 vs AL East rivals, 53-57 vs everyone else.

— Red Sox (85-71)
Red Sox are 4-6 in their last ten games.
Boston is 46-32 at home, 39-39 on road.
Over is 3-0 in their last three games.
Red Sox have #2 AL Wild Card slot, one game ahead of Cleveland/Houston.

— White Sox (58-98)
Chicago lost eight of its last eleven games.
White Sox are 33-48 at home, 25-50 on the road.
Under is 8-2 in their last ten games.
Chicago is 43-77 vs righty starters, 15-21 vs lefties.

— Cleveland (84-72)
Cleveland is 14-2 in its last 16 games.
Guardians are tied with Astros for AL’s last Wild Card slot.
Guardians are also game behind Detroit in AL Central.
Guardians are 66-48 vs righty starters, 18-24 vs lefties.
Under is 16-3 in their last nineteen games.

— Detroit (85-71)
Detroit is 7-18 in its last 25 games.
Tigers lead Cleveland by one game in AL Central.
Over is 12-6 in their last eighteen games.
Detroit is 20-10 in one-run games.

— Houston (84-72)
Astros are tied for last Wild Card slot in AL.
Astros are 14-21 in their last 35 home games.
Astros trail Seattle by three games in AL West.
Over is 8-2 in their last ten home games.

— Royals (78-78)
Royals are 14-17 in their last 31 games.
Kansas City is 61-66 vs righty starters, 17-12 vs lefties.
Over is 7-2 in Royals’ last nine games.
Royals scored in first inning in 15 of last 28 home games.

— Angels (70-86)
Angels are 11-24 in their last 35 games.
Over is 10-6 in their last sixteen games.
Angels are 59-70 vs righty starters, 11-16 vs lefties.
Angels are in last place in AL West ($206M payroll)

— Twins (67-89)
Twins lost 26 of their last 38 games.
Minnesota is 38-43 at home, 29-46 on the road.
Over is 16-6 in their last 22 home games.
Twins are 2-10 in last 12 games where winning run scored from 7th inning on.

— New York (88-68)
New York is 8-3 in its last 11 games.
Under is 4-0 in their last four games.
New York is 71-51 vs righty starters, 17-17 vs lefties.
Right now, New York has the #1 Wild Card slot in AL.

— A’s (73-83)
A’s are 7-3 in their last ten games.
A’s didn’t score in their last two games.
A’s are 55-68 vs righty starters, 18-15 vs lefties.
A’s are 9-5 in extra innings this season.

— Seattle (87-69)
Mariners won 14 of their last 15 games.
Seattle is 33-10 in its last 43 home games.
Over is 13-6 in their last nineteen games.
Seattle leads Houston by three games in AL West.

— Tampa Bay (76-80)
Tampa Bay is 4-7 in its last 11 games.
Rays are 41-40 at home, 35-40 on the road.
Over is 5-2 in their last seven road games.
Rays are 7-15 in last 22 games where winning run scored from 7th inning on.

— Texas (79-77)
Rangers lost their last seven games.
Texas is five games out of the AL’s last Wild Card slot.
Texas is 62-55 vs righty starters, 17-22 vs lefties
Rangers are 47-31 at home, 32-46 on road.

— Toronto (90-66)
Blue Jays are 1-4 in their last five games.
Blue Jays scored total of 11 runs in those five games.
Under is 11-5 in their last 16 games.
Toronto leads New York by two games in AL East.
 

Udog

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NFL

Week 4


------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Trend Report
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

Thursday, September 25
8:15 PM ET
Seattle VS Arizona
Seattle is 2-5 ATS in its last 7 games.
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Seattle's last 9 games.
Seattle is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games.
Seattle is 6-1 ATS in its last 7 games against Arizona.
Arizona is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games.
The total has gone UNDER in 8 of Arizona's last 12 games against Seattle.
Arizona is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games at home.
Arizona is 1-7 SU in its last 8 games when playing at home against Seattle.

Sunday, September 28
9:30 AM ET
Minnesota VS Pittsburgh
Minnesota is 6-3 ATS in its last 9 games.
Minnesota is 11-3 SU in its last 14 games.
Minnesota is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games against Pittsburgh.
Minnesota is 5-2 SU in its last 7 games on the road.
Pittsburgh is 2-6 ATS in its last 8 games.
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Pittsburgh's last 9 games.
Pittsburgh is 2-6 SU in its last 8 games.
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Pittsburgh's last 10 games against Minnesota.

1:00 PM ET
Tennessee VS Houston
Tennessee is 1-8 ATS in its last 9 games.
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Tennessee's last 7 games.
Tennessee is 0-9 SU in its last 9 games.
Tennessee is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games against Houston.
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Houston's last 5 games.
Houston is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games.
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Houston's last 6 games against Tennessee.
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Houston's last 10 games at home.

1:00 PM ET
Washington VS Atlanta
Washington is 6-3 ATS in its last 9 games.
Washington is 9-2 SU in its last 11 games.
Washington is 6-1 ATS in its last 7 games against Atlanta.
Washington is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games against Atlanta.
Atlanta is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games.
The total has gone UNDER in 9 of Atlanta's last 12 games.
Atlanta is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games.
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Atlanta's last 6 games at home.

1:00 PM ET
New Orleans VS Buffalo
New Orleans is 1-5 ATS in its last 6 games.
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of New Orleans' last 9 games.
New Orleans is 0-7 SU in its last 7 games.
New Orleans is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games against Buffalo.
Buffalo is 12-6 ATS in its last 18 games.
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Buffalo's last 5 games.
Buffalo is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games.
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Buffalo's last 6 games against New Orleans.

1:00 PM ET
Carolina VS New England
Carolina is 9-3 ATS in its last 12 games.
The total has gone OVER in 13 of Carolina's last 18 games.
Carolina is 5-12 SU in its last 17 games.
Carolina is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games against New England.
The total has gone OVER in 7 of New England's last 10 games.
New England is 2-8 SU in its last 10 games.
New England is 2-13 SU in its last 15 games at home.
New England is 1-9 SU in its last 10 games against an opponent in the National Football Conference conference.

1:00 PM ET
Los Angeles VS New York
LA Chargers is 6-1 ATS in its last 7 games.
The total has gone OVER in 6 of LA Chargers' last 8 games.
LA Chargers is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games.
LA Chargers is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games against NY Giants.
NY Giants is 3-12 ATS in its last 15 games.
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of NY Giants' last 6 games.
NY Giants is 1-14 SU in its last 15 games.
The total has gone OVER in 6 of NY Giants' last 7 games against LA Chargers.

1:00 PM ET
Philadelphia VS Tampa Bay
Philadelphia is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games.
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Philadelphia's last 6 games.
Philadelphia is 9-0 SU in its last 9 games.
Philadelphia is 2-5 ATS in its last 7 games against Tampa Bay.
The total has gone OVER in 12 of Tampa Bay's last 18 games.
Tampa Bay is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games.
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Tampa Bay's last 5 games against Philadelphia.
Tampa Bay is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games at home.

4:05 PM ET
Indianapolis VS Los Angeles
Indianapolis is 4-2 ATS in its last 6 games.
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Indianapolis' last 6 games.
Indianapolis is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games.
Indianapolis is 3-7 ATS in its last 10 games against LA Rams.
LA Rams is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games.
The total has gone OVER in 4 of LA Rams' last 6 games.
LA Rams is 8-3 SU in its last 11 games.
The total has gone OVER in 7 of LA Rams' last 7 games against Indianapolis.

4:05 PM ET
Jacksonville VS San Francisco
Jacksonville is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games.
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Jacksonville's last 9 games.
Jacksonville is 6-14 SU in its last 20 games.
Jacksonville is 0-6 ATS in its last 6 games against San Francisco.
San Francisco is 3-9 ATS in its last 12 games.
The total has gone OVER in 4 of San Francisco's last 6 games.
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of San Francisco's last 7 games against Jacksonville.
San Francisco is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games at home.

4:25 PM ET
Chicago VS Las Vegas
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Chicago's last 6 games.
Chicago is 2-12 SU in its last 14 games.
Chicago is 6-2 ATS in its last 8 games against Las Vegas.
Chicago is 5-2 SU in its last 7 games against Las Vegas.
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Las Vegas' last 9 games.
Las Vegas is 3-13 SU in its last 16 games.
Las Vegas is 1-6 SU in its last 7 games at home.
Las Vegas is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games when playing at home against Chicago.

8:20 PM ET
Green Bay VS Dallas
Green Bay is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games.
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Green Bay's last 5 games.
Green Bay is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games.
Green Bay is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games against Dallas.
Dallas is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games.
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Dallas' last 5 games against Green Bay.
Dallas is 3-9 ATS in its last 12 games at home.
The total has gone OVER in 7 of Dallas' last 7 games when playing at home against Green Bay.

Monday, September 29
7:15 PM ET
New York VS Miami
The total has gone OVER in 8 of NY Jets' last 10 games.
NY Jets is 1-5 SU in its last 6 games.
NY Jets is 4-10 ATS in its last 14 games against Miami.
NY Jets is 2-8 SU in its last 10 games against Miami.
Miami is 3-6 ATS in its last 9 games.
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Miami's last 6 games.
Miami is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games.
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Miami's last 7 games against NY Jets.

8:15 PM ET
Cincinnati VS Denver
The total has gone OVER in 9 of Cincinnati's last 13 games.
Cincinnati is 7-1 SU in its last 8 games.
Cincinnati is 5-2 ATS in its last 7 games against Denver.
Cincinnati is 6-14 SU in its last 20 games against Denver.
Denver is 1-6 ATS in its last 7 games.
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Denver's last 5 games.
Denver is 2-5 SU in its last 7 games.
Denver is 6-0 SU in its last 6 games at home.


------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
 

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Armadillo's Write-up

Week 4

Thursday’s game
Seahawks
(–1.5) @ Cardinals
Seahawks (2-1)
Seahawks won last two games, scoring 31-44 points.
LW, Seattle ran punt back for TD, also blocked a punt.
Seattle is 1-3-2 ATS in last six games as a road favorite.
Darnold is 37-40 as an NFL starter.
Seahawks are his 4th team the last four years.
MacDonald is 12-8 as a head coach.
Since 2020, Seattle is 16-22-3 ATS in games coming off a win.
Seahawks are 7-5 ATS last 12 NFC West road games.
Seattle is 12-14-2 ATS in last 28 games with spread of 3 or fewer points.


Cardinals (2-1)
Cardinals lost 16-15 at gun to the 49ers last week.
Last two games, Cardinals converted only 8-24 third down plays.
Under Gannon, Arizona is 7-4 ATS as a home underdog.
Murray is 38-47-1 as an NFL starter.
Gannon is 14-23 in 2+ years as a head coach.
Since 2019, Arizona is 6-12 ATS in NFC West home games.
Arizona is 21-13 ATS in last 34 games coming off a win.
Arizona is 13-10 ATS in last 23 games with spread of 3 or fewer points.


Seattle won last six series games (5-1 ATS).
Seahawks are 7-1 SU/4-3-1 ATS in last eight visits to Arizona.
Under is 4-1 in last five meetings.
 

Cnotes53

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Wednesday’s 6-pack:
NBA players with the all-time best plus-minus differentials:
+9,509— Tim Duncan
+9,208— Kareem Abdul-Jabbar
+8,263— Tony Parker
+7,298— Manu Ginobili
+6,714— Bill Russell
+6,679— Scottie Pippen

Quote of the Day
“It’s baseball. If they were asking us to do calculus, I’d be scared to death….…as long as this stays baseball, let’s go see if we are good enough.”
Reds’ manager Terry Francona

Wednesday’s quiz
Right now, which college football team has the longest active winning streak?

Tuesday’s quiz
In the history of the Milwaukee Brewers, Ryan Braun has hit the most home runs.

Monday’s quiz
Cam Newton is the Carolina Panthers’ all-time leader in passing yardage.

***************************************

Wednesday’s Den: Mid-week musings……..

— Guardians 5, Tigers 2
Teams are now tied for first in AL Central.
On July 8, Detroit was 15.5 games ahead of Cleveland.
Detroit hitters struck out 19 times in this game.

— Mets 9, Cubs 7
Cubs led this game 6-1 after four innings.
Francisco Alvarez hit the game-winning HR in the 8th inning.
Mets regain the NL’s last Wild Card slot, by a game over Reds/Arizona.

— Pirates 4, Reds 2
Oneil Cruz hit a two-run homer for Pittsburgh.
Pirates scored all four of their runs in the 2nd inning.
Reds have won five straight games four times this year, but are now 0-4 in that sixth game.

— Diamondbacks 5, Dodgers 4
Dodgers led 4-0 in the 7th inning.
Geraldo Perdomo’s 2-run single was a walk-off in the 9th.
Shohei Ohtani allowed 5 baserunners in his six scoreless IP.

— Red Sox 4, Blue Jays 1
Toronto has lost five of six games; their AL East lead is one game.
Tied 1-1 after five innings, Boston scored 3 runs in the sixth.
Red Sox lead Detroit by a game for the AL’s #2 Wild Card slot.

— Mariners 4, Rockies 3
Josh Naylor hit a 3-run double in the bottom of the 8th.
Mariners clinched a playoff spot; they’re 15-1 in their last 16 games.
Right now, Seattle would be the #2-seed in the AL.

— A’s 5, Astros 1
A’s first run scored when an easy pop-up fell safely in front of the mound.
Jeffrey Springs allowed three hits in his five IP.
Houston is a game behind Detroit for the AL’s last Wild Card slot.

— Major League Baseball will have a replay challenge system for balls/strikes, starting next season; this will be very interesting to follow.
The rules, according to MLB:
Each team will get two challenges and can keep them if they’re successful
Challenges can only be initiated by a pitcher, catcher, or batter, and the request must come right after the pitch

To signal a challenge, the pitcher, catcher, or batter will tap his hat or helmet to let the umpire know
No help from the dugout or other players on the field is allowed

Famous birthdays, September 24th:
Joe Greene, 79
Gordon Clapp, 77
Hubie Brooks, 69
Rafael Palmeiro, 61
Kevin Millar, 54
Eddie George, 52
Drew Gooden, 44
Keith Null, 40
Luis Morales, 23

Lions 38, Ravens 30
Detroit ran ball for 224 yards, outgained Ravens 426-318.
Montgomery had 12 carries for 151 yards.
Lions in second half: 28 plays, 221 yards, 24 points.
Detroit converted 7-14 on third down, 3-3 on fourth down
Score was tied 14-14 at halftime.
Ravens have scored 40-41-30 points, but are 1-2.
Baltimore allowed 41-38 points in its two losses.
In Week 3, favorites were 9-7 ATS; over was 8-8.

— New Jersey Giants are starting rookie QB Jaxson Dart against the Chargers this week, which will be his first NFL start.
Likely reason: Russell Wilson’s stats in the red zone so far:
4-for-18 passing, 16 yards, no TD’s, one first down. Not good.

— 0-3 Tennessee Titans are changing playcallers; QB coach Bo Hardegree is taking over for head coach Brian Callahan. Hardegree was the interim offensive coordinator for the Raiders for the second half of the 2023 season.

— Tampa Bay Bucs’ star WR Mike Evans is expected to miss 3-4 weeks (hamstring strain).

— Since 1939, only one NFL team has had a three-game span with:
No turnovers
Zero or one punt.
The 2025 Indianapolis Colts, off to a 3-0 start.

— Syracuse QB Steve Angeli tore his Achilles tendon, is out for the year; he was 98-156/1,352 passing in Syracuse’s 3-1 start.

— Oklahoma QB John Mateer hurt his thumb last week, is going to have surgery on Wednesday and is expected to miss 3+ weeks. So far this season, Mateer is 95-141/1,215 passing in the Sooners’ 4-0 start.
 

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Thursday’s 7-pack:
Last seven NFL QB’s who started in Week 1 of their rookie season
— Cam Ward, Titans
— Caleb Williams, Bears
— Jayden Daniels, Commanders
— Bo Nix, Broncos
— Bryce Young, Panthers
— CJ Stroud, Texans
— Anthony Richardson, Colts

Quote of the Day
“I believe the only way to protect my own rights is to protect the rights of others.”
Dwight Eisenhower, 1953

Thursday’s quiz
First time the Seattle Seahawks played in a Super Bowl, who was their QB?

Wednesday’s quiz
Right now, Memphis Tigers have the longest active winning streak in college football- they’ve won their last eight games.

Tuesday’s quiz
In the history of the Milwaukee Brewers, Ryan Braun has hit the most home runs.

****************************

Thursday’s Den: Doing some thinking out loud…….

— Guardians 5, Tigers 1
George Valera had the go-ahead home run for Cleveland.
Guardians now lead AL Central by a game, with four games left.
Detroit has lost 8 in a row, is out of first place for first time since April 22.

— A’s 6, Astros 0
Shea Langeliers went 4-for-4 with a home run.
Luis Severino got 19 outs, allowed only three hits.
Astros have lost 5 in a row, trail Detroit by a game for last Wild Card slot.

— Cubs 10, Mets 3
Cubs scored 5 runs in third inning, snapped a five-game losing skid.
Matthew Boyd got 16 outs, allowed only two hits.
Juan Soto hit his 43rd home run for the Mets

— Pirates 4, Reds 3 (11)
Spencer Horwitz had the game-winning double for Pittsburgh.
Reds remain a game behind the Mets for the last NL’s Wild Card slot.
Noelvi Marte hit an inside-the-park home run for the Reds.

— Mariners 9, Rockies 2
Seattle clinches its first AL West title since 2001.
Cal Raleigh hit two home runs, now has 60 this season.
Luis Castillo got 22 outs, allowed only one baserunner.

— Red Sox 7, Blue Jays 1
Garrett Crochet tossed 8 shutout innings.
Red Sox lead Detroit by two games for the AL’s second Wild Card.
Toronto/New York are now tied for first in AL East.

Famous birthdays, September 25th:
Michael Douglas, 81
Bob McAdoo, 74
Glenn Hubbard, 68
Geno Petralli, 66
Heather Locklear, 64
Scottie Pippen, 60
Will Smith, 56
Catherine Zeta-Jones, 55
Matt Hasselbeck, 50
Rocco Baldelli, 44
Alec Ogletree, 34
Brandin Cooks, 32

— College football conference trends:
Home favorites in conference games are 12-10 ATS
Home underdogs in conference games are 11-7 ATS

American
Home underdogs 1-5 ATS in non-conference games
Road underdogs 8-4 ATS in non-conference games

ACC
Home favorites 6-10 ATS in non-conference games
Road underdogs 1-5 ATS in non-conference games

Big 10
Favorites 14-16 ATS in non-conference games

Big X
Favorites 13-9 ATS in non-conference games
Underdogs 3-4 ATS in non-conference games

Conference USA
14-9 ATS in non-conference games, 6-3 at home.

Mid American
Underdogs 18-15 ATS in non-conference games

Mountain West
Underdogs 12-6 ATS in non-conference games

SEC
19-16 ATS in non-conference games, 4-2 as underdogs

Sun Belt
Underdogs 10-13 ATS in non-conference games

— Tampa Bay Rays were sold for $1.7B this week, are expected to stay in the Tampa/St Pete area of western Florida. Stuart Sternberg had owned the team since 2004; back then, he bought the team for $200M, so a tidy profit right there.

— Was watching the Brewers-Padres game Monday night; Roberto Ortiz was the home plate umpire and boy, did the Milwaukee TV guys shred his performance.
Don’t think I’ve ever heard TV guys rip an umpire like that, especially considering that the Brewers are already locked in to a really good seed in the playoffs, not like it was a huge game for them, but hitters/pitchers looked confused by several of his calls.

— Auburn basketball coach Bruce Pearl stepped down this week; he takes an ambassador’s role in the athletic department, while his son Steven Pearl got a 5-year contract to take over for his father.
He went 246-125 at Auburn, leading the Tigers to two Final Fours.

— Oklahoma State fired longtime football coach Mike Gundy, who was 170-90 in 21 years coaching the Cowboys, 12-6 in bowl games. He gets paid $15M to go away; would like to hear him on TV, think he’d be an interesting voice in today’s NIL-dominated world.

— Atlanta Falcons fired their WR coach Ike Hilliard after Sunday’s 30-0 loss at Carolina; Passing game coordinator T.J. Yates is going to take over Hilliard’s duties, and offensive coordinator Zac Robinson will be on the sideline during games, instead of in the press box.

— Playoff picture with 4 days left in the regular season:
NL: Phillies, Brewers, Dodgers. Wild Cards: Cubs, Padres, Mets
AL: Blue Jays, Guardians, Mariners. Wild Cards: New York, Red Sox, Tigers
 

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Thursday, September 25


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NFL
Armadillo's Write-up

Week 4

Thursday’s game
Seahawks
(–1.5) @ Cardinals
Seahawks (2-1)
Seahawks won last two games, scoring 31-44 points.
LW, Seattle ran punt back for TD, also blocked a punt.
Darnold is 37-40 as an NFL starter.
Seahawks are his 4th team the last four years.
MacDonald is 12-8 as a head coach.


Seattle is 1-3-2 ATS in last six games as a road favorite.
Since 2020, Seattle is 16-22-3 ATS in games coming off a win.
Seahawks are 7-5 ATS last 12 NFC West road games.
Seattle is 12-14-2 ATS in last 28 games with spread of 3 or fewer points.


Cardinals (2-1)
Cardinals lost 16-15 at gun to the 49ers last week.
Last two games, Cardinals converted only 8-24 third down plays.
Murray is 38-47-1 as an NFL starter.
Gannon is 14-23 in 2+ years as a head coach.


Under Gannon, Arizona is 7-4 ATS as a home underdog.
Since 2019, Arizona is 6-12 ATS in NFC West home games.
Arizona is 21-13 ATS in last 34 games coming off a win.
Arizona is 13-10 ATS in last 23 games with spread of 3 or fewer points.


Seattle won last six series games (5-1 ATS).
Seahawks are 7-1 SU/4-3-1 ATS in last eight visits to Arizona.
Under is 4-1 in last five meetings.
NFL-wide, home teams are 8-11 ATS in divisional games.
 

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Seahawks vs. Cardinals: Three must-know storylines for Thursday's Week 4 prime-time game

  • WHERE: State Farm Stadium (Glendale, Ariz.)
  • WHEN: 8:15 p.m. ET
  • WAYS TO WATCH: Prime Video, NFL+
The Cardinals and Seahawks will meet in a key early-season divisional matchup on Thursday at State Farm Stadium. Each team enters Week 4 in at 2-1, even if they appear to be approaching via different vectors.
After dropping a close one in Week 1, the Seahawks impressively beat the Steelers and Saints by multiple scores, thanks to an improving offense and terrific special teams. Arizona, meanwhile, was fortunate to win its first two games and couldn’t protect a late lead this past Sunday at San Francisco.
Seattle is going for its eighth straight win over the Cardinals. The Seahawks have beaten the Cardinals four straight times in Glendale, Ariz., with Arizona last beating them at home in 2020.
The loser will fall to 0-2 in the NFC West. According to NFL Research, only 18 out of the 187 teams that started 0-2 in division games made the playoffs (9.6%) since division realignment in 2002.

Three must-know storylines

1) Darnold coming on, but Seahawks' run game remains limited

It might be too soon to say the Seahawks have a top-10 offense, but that unit is trending in the right direction. Sam Darnold has been mostly good through three games in Seattle, completing 70.3% of his passes (sixth-best in the NFL), averaging a career-best 9.0 yards per attempt and taking only three sacks. Jaxon Smith-Njigba has assumed the lead receiving role, Cooper Kupp has been solid and rookie WR Tory Horton is making a case for more chances, with three TDs in three games. Kenneth Walker III and Zach Charbonnet have combined for 15 first downs and four TDs, even if the run game hasn't been phenomenal yet. Darnold hasn't scrambled much, and the Seahawks have yet to weaponize rookie QB Jalen Milroe as a runner, so perhaps we might see some of that on Thursday. The Cardinals have mostly done a good job defending opponents' ground games, and they've allowed only one first-half TD total this season, but defending the pass is a growing concern. They're neither supplying enough pressure nor making enough plays against the pass.

Related Links

2) Cardinals offense stuck in neutral, must find answers post-Conner
As if Sunday's late loss to the Niners wasn't painful enough, the news that James Conner would be done for the season due to a foot injuyr might have hurt more. Trey Benson will hop into the lead role now, averaging 5.0 yards per rush in his career, but Benson has never had more than 13 touches in an NFL game. He's going to need help, and run blocking must be better. Left tackle Paris Johnson Jr. and his backup, Kelvin Beachum, are both injury questions for Thursday. But it's not just the run game that needs fixing. Kyler Murray hasn't been bad, but the passing-game limitations have been glaring. There were three critical dropped passes in the second half vs. the 49ers. Trey McBride has been good but is below his 2024 production rate. Surprisingly, so is Marvin Harrison Jr., who was guilty of a bad drop on Sunday and hasn't had more than six targets in a game this season. No other receiver or tight end has more than four receptions in 2025, and the Cardinals have only two TD passes in their past 10 quarters. Jonathan Gannon has defended play caller Drew Petzing, but the Cardinals have to show more offensively going forward.

3) Seahawks defense becoming a top-tier unit
You might be surprised to realize that Seattle is allowing the second-fewest points per game (15.7) through three weeks, allowing 18 or fewer in all three games. The biggest issue has been in the secondary, having played the past two games without Pro Bowl cornerback Devon Witherspoon (knee) and rookie defensive back Nick Emmanwori (ankle). Julian Love (hamstring) also was hurt in Week 3, although Derion Kendrick, who replaced Witherspoon on Sunday, had two interceptions. It's not clear who among those three will be available on Thursday at Arizona, but the Seahawks have made do without each of them. The run defense ranks third at 3.2 yards per attempt. The Seahawks are also generating the fourth-best QB pressure rate at 44.3 percent, despite blitzing at the second-lowest rate in the NFL (17.2 percent). One big reason has been the play of Byron Murphy II, who leads all NFL defensive tackles with 13 pressures. He's not been double-teamed as often this season and is wreaking more havoc inside.

Seahawks' Week 4 injury report

PlayerGame statusMon. practiceTues. practiceWed. practice
Elijah Arroyo, TE (groin)---LPLPFP
Zach Charbonnet, RB (foot)QUESTIONABLEFPFPFP
Nick Emmanwori, S (ankle)DOUBTFULLPLPFP
Ernest Jones, LB (shoulder)---FPFPFP
Josh Jones, G/T (ankle)OUTDNPDNPDNP
Julian Love, S (hamstring)---LPLPFP
Boye Mafe, LB (toe)QUESTIONABLELPLPFP
Robbie Ouzts, FB (ankle)DNPDNPIR
Jalen Sundell, C (ankle/elbow)---LPLPFP
Leonard Williams, DE (elbow/shoulder)---LPLPFP
Devon Witherspoon, CB (knee)---LPLPFP
Anthony Bradford, G (back)QUESTIONABLE------LP

Cardinals' Week 4 injury report

PlayerGame statusMon. practiceTues. practiceWed. practice
Kelvin Beachum, OT (knee/rest)QUESTIONABLEDNPDNPLP
Evan Brown, G (ankle)QUESTIONABLELPLPLP
James Conner, RB (foot)DNPIR
Akeem Davis-Gaither, LB (elbow)QUESTIONABLELPLPLP
Darren Hall, CB (ankle)QUESTIONABLELPLPLP
Will Hernandez, G (knee)QUESTIONABLELPLPLP
Paris Johnson, OT (knee)QUESTIONABLELPLPLP
Will Johnson, CB (groin)DOUBTFULDNPDNPDNP
Zay Jones, WR (concussion)OUTDNPDNPDNP
 

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Friday’s 7-pack:
Batters who hot 30+ home runs each of the last three years:
Pete Alonso
Aaron Judge
Shohei Ohtani
Cal Raleigh
Brent Rooker
Kyle Schwarber
Juan Soto

Quote of the Day
“Everyone needs to see a little bit of positivity in the game. We are human. We feed off a ton of things, including the good things. Of course everyone takes a collective breath.”
Tigers manager AJ Hinch

Friday’s quiz
Last time the Detroit Tigers played in a World Series, who was their manager?

Thursday’s quiz
First time the Seattle Seahawks played in a Super Bowl, Matt Hasselbeck was their QB.

Wednesday’s quiz
Right now, Memphis Tigers have the longest active winning streak in college football- they’ve won their last eight games.

********************************************

Friday’s Den: Random stuff with the weekend here…….

Seahawks 23, Cardinals 20
Seahawks kicked a 52-yard FG at the gun for a walk-off win.
Seattle led 14-3 at halftime.
Seattle ran for 155 yards, outgained Cardinals, 384-253
Seahawks are 8-1 SU/5-3-1 ATS in last eight visits to Arizona.
Cardinals lost on a last-second field goal last week, too.
Arizona’s first nine drives: 46 plays, 147 yards, 6 points.
Arizona’s last two drives: 20 plays, 130 yards, 14 points.
Since 2019, Arizona is 6-13 ATS in NFC West home games.

— East Carolina 28, Army 6
Pirates led 21-0 in the first quarter.
ECU was 7-12 on third down, Army 2-15.
Pirates outgained Army, 431-290

— Reds 2, Pirates 1
RF Noelvi Marte made a HR-saving catch in 9th inning to preserve the win.
Nick Lodolo struck out 12 batters in 6.1 scoreless IP.
Reds are a game behind the Mets for the NL’s last Wild Card slot.

— Mets 8, Cubs 5
Francisco Lindor homered, is a 30-30 guy for the second time.
Mets led this game 6-0 in the 4th inning.
Brett Baty went 2-for-4, with 3 RBI

— Dodgers 8, Diamondbacks 0
Shohei Ohtani hit his 54th home run.
Dodgers clinch NL West for 12th time in 13 years.
Arizona falls two games behind the Mets for the NL’s last Wild Card slot.

— Tigers 4, Guardians 2
Detroit used six pitchers in this win, tying Cleveland for AL Central lead.
Tigers hit three solo home runs.
This weekend, Cleveland hosts Texas, Tigers visit Boston.

— Obscure Fact of the Day: Actor Russell Johnson played the Professor on the old TV show Gilligan’s Island, but before he was an actor, Russell Johnson flew 44 combat missions as a WWII bombardier. His plane was shot down in 1945; he broke both his ankles.
He earned a Purple Heart, a Bronze Star and the admiration of Ginger and Mary Ann.

Famous birthdays, September 26th:
Kent McCord, 83
Dave Duncan, 80
Mike Bragg, 79
Lucius Allen, 78
John Roche, 76
Melissa Sue Anderson, 63
Sean Doolittle, 39
Michael Kidd-Gilchrist, 32
Shake Milton, 29

— Washington Nationals are hiring Paul Toboni as their new head of baseball operations. The 35-year old Toboni rose quickly in the Red Sox organization to become assistant GM and is widely regarded as one of the best young executives in MLB.

— Astros 11, A’s 5
Houston remains a game behind Detroit for the AL’s last playoff slot.
Christian Walker homered, had three RBI
Win ends Astros’ 7-game losing streak against the A’s.

— Blue Jays 6, Red Sox 1
Daulton Varsho hit his 5th career grand slam.
Toronto/New York remain tied atop the AL East; Blue Jays own tiebreaker.
Boston’s magic number to clinch a playoff spot is one.

— Phillies 1, Marlins 0
Only run of the game scored on a first inning ground out.
Walker Buehler pitched five shutout innings.
Surprising fact: This loss eliminated the Marlins, who have had a good year.

— Royals 9, Angels 4
Bobby Witt Jr went 4-for-5, scored two runs.
Mike Trout hit his 401st career home run.

— Random opinion: If a run scores because of an error on the pitcher, that should be an earned run. Why should the pitcher’s stats benefit because he made an error?

— Playoff picture with 3 days left in the regular season:
NL: Phillies, Brewers, Dodgers. Wild Cards: Cubs, Padres, Mets
AL: Blue Jays, Guardians, Mariners. Wild Cards: New York, Red Sox, Tigers
 

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Saturday’s 6-pack:
Josh Naylor’s stolen bases, the last six years:
2020— 1
2021— 1
2022— 6
2023— 10
2024— 6
2025— 30

Quote of the Day
“This is as exciting as it gets. To not admit that you’re nervous, I think that would be wrong. I’m nervous as hell.”
Reds manager Terry Francona

Saturday’s quiz
In the history of the Rams, what QB has thrown for the most yards?

Friday’s quiz
Last time the Detroit Tigers played in a World Series, Hall of Famer Jim Leyland was their manager.

Thursday’s quiz
First time the Seattle Seahawks played in a Super Bowl, Matt Hasselbeck was their QB.

********************************************

Saturday’s Den: Wrapping up a busy Friday night…….

— Reds 3, Brewers 1
Cincinnati bullpen got 14 outs, didn’t allow a hit.
Gavin Lux went 2-for-4, scored two runs.
Reds take over the NL’s last Wild Card slot.

— Marlins 6, Mets 2
Sandy Alcantara threw 100 pitches, got a win in his last ’25 start.
Down 2-0, Marlins scored six runs in the fifth inning.
Connor Norby hit Miami’s 9th pinch-hit homer this season.

— Padres 7, Diamondbacks 4
Fernando Tatis hit a 4th inning grand slam that broke the game open.
Luis Arraez had four hits for San Diego.
Loss puts Arizona on the verge of missing the playoffs.

— Red Sox 4, Tigers 3
Ceddanne Rafaela hit a walk-off triple off the centerfield fence.
Red Sox clinch their first playoff spot since 2021.
Detroit/Cleveland remain tied atop AL Central.

— Rangers 7, Guardians 3
Alejandro Osuna hit a 3-run homer in the first inning.
Jack Leiter struck out 10 hitters for Texas.
Guardians have lost consecutive games for first time since September 2nd.

— White Sox 10, Nationals 9
Colson Montgomery hit a 2-run homer in ninth inning.
White Sox led 8-2 after the fifth inning.
Luis Garcia Jr hit three home runs in a losing cause.

— Angels 4, Astros 3
Mike Trout homered twice, now has 403 career home runs.
Houston led 3-0 in the 4th inning.
Loss puts the Astros on the verge of missing the playoffs.

— Baseball has changed a lot thru the years; here are the numbers of pitchers these guys hit against in the season where they hit 60+ home runs:
1927 Babe Ruth 60 homers, faced 64 pitchers/7 teams
1961 Roger Maris 61 homers, faced 101 pitchers/9 teams
2022 Aaron Judge 62 homers, faced 256 pitchers/20 teams
2025 Cal Raleigh 60 homers, faced 290 pitchers/28 teams

Famous birthdays, September 27th:
Dickie Post, 80
Ken Geddes, 79
Mike Schmidt, 76
Steve Kerr, 60
Rob Moore, 57
Gwyneth Paltrow, 53
Chris Herren, 50
Christian Wood, 30
Mitchell Parker, 26
The great actor Wilford Brimley was born 91 years ago today.

— Virginia 46, Florida State 38 OT
Virginia led 14-0 early in the second quarter.
FSU forced OT, scoring a TD with 0:36 left in regulation.
Seminoles ran for 256 yards, outgained Virginia 514-440.
Both teams turned the ball over three times.

— Arizona State 27, TCU 24
Sun Devils scored 10 points in the last 1:50 to pull off a comeback win.
TCU led 17-0 midway thru the second quarter.
ASU outscored the Horned Frogs, 497-269

— Washington Commanders are going with backup QB Marcus Mariota again the week, in Atlanta. Commanders beat Las Vegas 41-24 LW with Mariota under center. Star WR Terry McLaurin is also expected to miss Sunday’s game.

— In the last 25 years, the 2018 Houston Texans are the only team to start a season 0-3 and still make the playoffs.

— Over is 17-5 in Lamar Jackson’s last 22 starts.

— Playoff picture with 2 days left in the regular season:
NL: Phillies, Brewers, Dodgers. Wild Cards: Cubs, Padres, Reds
AL: Blue Jays, Guardians, Mariners. Wild Cards: New York, Red Sox, Tigers
 

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Sunday’s 6-pack:
— Tigers 2, Red Sox 1- Detroit clinches a playoff spot.
— Guardians 3, Rangers 2- Cleveland clinches a playoff spot.
— Reds 7, Brewers 4- Cincinnati’s magic number for playoffs: 1
— Mets 5, Marlins 0- Holmes allowed one hit in six IP.
— Twins 5, Phillies 0- Milwaukee clinches #1 seed in NL.
— One playoff spot left to decide; #3 Wild Card in NL.

Quote of the Day

“Love the way we competed for four quarters, playing the next play, playing the next series. Offensively, special teams, man there’s a whole lot that can be a lot cleaner. End of the day, it’s a win for who we consider to be the good guys. At the end of the day, love competing with these guys.”
Tennessee football coach Josh Heupel

Friday’s quiz
Milwaukee Brewers have played in one World Series; who was it against?

Saturday’s quiz
In the history of the Rams, Jim Everett has thrown for the most yards.

Friday’s quiz
Last time the Detroit Tigers played in a World Series, Hall of Famer Jim Leyland was their manager.

***********************************************

Sunday’s Den: Wrapping up a sports Saturday…….

— Ole Miss 24, LSU 19
QB Chambliss passed for 314 yards and a TD.
Last year, Chambliss was playing at D-II Ferris State.
Rebels led 17-7 at halftime.
Ole Miss outgained LSU, 480-254.

— Tennessee 41, Mississippi State 34 OT
Tennessee forced OT, scoring a TD with 1:55 left.
Vols’ QB Aguilar threw for 335 yards and a TD.
Miss State ran ball 57 times for 198 yards.

—Texas A&M 16, Auburn 10
Aggies are 4-0 for the first time since 2016.
Auburn gained total of 177 yards, was 0-12 on third down.
A&M outgained them 414-177; they were only 3-14 on third down.
Aggies ran the ball 47 times for 207 yards.

— Alabama 24, Georgia 21
Alabama led 24-14 at halftime.
Crimson Tide was 13-19 on third down, Georgia 2-8.
Kirby Smart is 1-7 as a head coach vs Alabama.
Georgia’s home winning streak ends at 33.

Upsets of the Week:
Virginia Tech (+10.5) 23, NC State 21
Virginia (+6.5) 46, Florida State 38 OT
Illinois (+6.5) 34, USC 32
Hawai’i (+6.5) 44, Air Force 35
California (+6.5) 28, Boston College 24
Hawai’i (+6.5) 44, Air Force 35
Cincinnati (+4.5) 37, Kansas 34

— Illinois 34, USC 32

Illini kicked a 41-yard FG at the gun for a walk-off win.
USC had taken a 32-31 lead on a TD with 1:55 left.
Illinois QB Alymyer threw for 328 yards.
USC QB Maiava threw for 364 yards, two TD’s.

— Georgia Tech 30, Wake Forest 29, OT
Wake Forest led 17-3 at halftime.
Tech forced OT, kicking a 33-yard FG with 0:02 left in regulation.
Tech scored 7 points in OT; Wake scored a TD, but went for two points and the win- they didn’t get it.
Tech’s two ACC wins are by a total of four points.

— Cincinnati 37, Kansas 34
Bearcats drove 75 yards, scored on a 2-yard TD with 0:29 left.
Lot of offense; total yards- Cincy 603 yards, Jayhawks 597.
Cincinnati had four TD’s called back because of penalties.

— Oregon 30, Penn State 24 OT
Oregon led 17-3 with 11:00 left in the game.
Penn State tied it on a TD with 0:30 left.
Ducks outgained Penn State, 424-276.
Game was 3-3 at halftime.

— Memphis 55, Florida Atlantic 26
Tigers have won nine in a row, the country’s longest active win streak. Memphis’ lead was only 17-16 at halftime.
Tigers ran ball 46 times for 291 yards (6.3 yards/carry).

Famous birthdays, September 28th:
Brigitte Bardot, 91
Steve Largent, 71
Todd Worrell, 66
Irving Fryar, 63
Johnny Dawkins, 62
Janeane Garofalo, 61
Mira Sorvino, 58
Ryan Zimmerman, 41
Chem Birch, 33
Tyler Shough, 26
Riley Greene, 25
Spencer Rattler, 25

— Vanderbilt 55, Utah State 35
#18 Commodores are 5-0 for first time since 2008.
QB Pavia threw for 321 yards, five TD’s, also ran for a TD.
Only 8 of Vanderbilt’s 65 plays came on third down.

— San Diego State 6, Northern Illinois 3
Aztecs kicked a 25-yard FG at the gun for the walk-off win.
Both teams kicked FG’s on their first drive, then no one scored again until the last play.
Total yardage: San Diego State 266, Northern Illinois 179

— Minnesota 31, Rutgers 28
Scarlet Knights led 14-0 early, 21-14 at halftime.
Gophers drove 72 yards, scored winning TD with 3:19 left.
Minnesota won despite running ball 18 times for only 35 yards.

— Playoff picture with one day left in the regular season:
NL: Phillies, Brewers, Dodgers. Wild Cards: Cubs, Padres, Reds
AL: Blue Jays, Guardians, Mariners. Wild Cards: New York, Red Sox, Tigers
 

Udog

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Sep 10, 2018
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NFL
Armadillo's Write-up

Week 4

Sunday’s games
Steelers
vs Vikings (–2.5) (@ Dublin, Ireland)
Steelers (2-1)
Steelers scored 34-21 points in wins, 17 in their loss.
Steelers have run ball 67 times for only 189 yards.
Pittsburgh is +5 in turnovers this season.
QB Rodgers is 166-98-1 as an NFL QB
Tomlin is 193-119-2 as an NFL head coach.


Tomlin won a Super Bowl, but it was in 2008.
Rodgers won a Super Bowl, but it was in 2010.
Pittsburgh is 10-6 ATS last 16 games vs NFC teams.
Steelers are 26-14-1 ATS last 41 games with spread of 3 or fewer points.
Pittsburgh is 16-10-1 in last 27 games coming off a win.
AFC North teams are 3-5 ATS in non-divisional games.


Vikings (2-1)
Vikings scored 27-48 points in their wins, lost 22-6 to Atlanta.
Vikinga beat Bengals (w/backup QB) 48-10 last week.
Backup QB Wentz is 48-47-1 as an NFL starter, for five different teams.
O’Connell is 36-20 as an NFL head coach.


Under O’Connell, Vikings are 8-10 ATS as a home favorite.
Vikings anew 8-3-1 ATS in last 12 games with spread of 3 or fewer points.
Minnesota is 14-6-2 ATS in last 22 games coming off a win.
Minnesota is 10-3-2 ATS in last 15 games vs AFC teams.
Under O’Connell, Vikings are 27-9 SU in games decided by 8 or fewer points.
NFC North teams are 4-2 ATS in non-divisional games.


Teams split the last four series games.
Favorites covered four of last five meetings.
Four of last six series games stayed under the total.


Chargers (–6.5) @ Giants
Chargers (3-0)
Chargers are 3-0, beating all three AFC West rivals.
Bolts held last two opponents to 218-265 total yards.
QB Herbert is 44-40 as an NFL starter.
Jim Harbaugh is 63-29-1 as an NFL head coach.


Chargers are 10-3 ATS in last 13 games as a road favorite.
Chargers are 12-9-2 ATS last 23 games vs NFC teams.
Under Harbaugh, Chargers are 8-3 ATS in games coming off a win.
Chargers have converted 19-41 third down plays.
AFC West teams are 2-4 ATS in non-divisional games.


Giants (0-3)
Giants lost 21-6, 40-37 in OT in their road games,
LW, Giants lost home opener 22-9 to Kansas City.
Rookie QB Dart is making his first NFL start here.
Daboll is 19-36-1 as an NFL head coach.


Under Daboll, Giants are 10-10-1 ATS as a home underdog
Under Daboll, Giants are 9-6-1 ATS vs AFC teams.
Under Daboll, Giants are 17-15 ATS in games coming off a loss.
Giants have converted only 10-40 third down plays.
NFC East teams are 3-3 ATS in non-divisional games, 0-2 as dogs.


Chargers won/covered last five meetings.
Chargers won 27-22/21-20 in last two visits here.
Over is 4-1 in last five series games.


Titans @ Texans (-7.5)
Titans (0-3)
Tennessee is 0-3 SU/ATS, losing by 8-14-21 points.
Titans have three TD’s, 10 FG’s on their 34 drives.
Rookie QB Ward is 0-3 as an NFL starter.
Callahan is 3-17 as an NFL head coach.
Titans are switching play callers this week; the QB coach is calling plays now.


Titans were outgained by 184-187-83 yards in their games.
Last 4+ years, Tennessee is 12-15-2 ATS coming off a loss.
Titans are 3-11 ATS in last 14 games as an underdog.
Titans are 1-5 ATS in last six AFC South road games.


Texans (0-3)
Texans lost first three games, by 5-1-7 points.
Texans have only three TD’s on 30 drives.
Houston has converted only 8-33 third down plays.
QB Stroud is 21-18 as an NFL starter.


Ryans is 22-19 in 2+ years as an NFL head coach.
Texans are 6-15-1 ATS last 22 games as a home favorite.
Texans are 2-7 ATS in last nine AFC South home games.
Houston is 3-6 ATS in last nine games coming off a loss.


Texans won five of last seven series games.
Tennessee won five of its last six visits to Houston.
Under is 5-2 in last seven meetings.
NFL-wide, home teams are 8-11 ATS in divisional games.


Commanders (-1.5) @ Falcons
Commanders (2-1)
Home team has won/covered all three Washington games.
Washington (+3.5) lost only road game, 27-18 at Green Bay.
QB Daniels is 15-7 as an NFL starter (check status).
Backup QB Mariota (37-41 record) was 15-21/207 passing in LW’s win.
Quinn is 62-51 as an NFL coach, 5-3 in playoffs.


In its wins, Commanders ran ball for 220-201 yards.
Since 2020, Commanders are 6-4 ATS as a road favorite.
Opponents have converted only 12 of 40 third down plays.
Under Quinn, Commanders are 7-5 ATS in games coming off a win.
Mariota was 5-8 as Atlanta’s QB in 2022.
NFC East teams are 3-3 ATS in non-divisional games.


Falcons (1-2)
Atlanta is 1-2 despite outgaining foes by 98-128-108 yards.
Falcons held first three opponents to 260-198-224 total yards.
QB Penix is 2-4 as an NFL starter.
Morris is 30-49 as a head coach.


Under Morris, Atlanta is 1-3 ATS as a home underdog.
Last two games, Falcons had one TD on 20 drives.
Under Morris, Atlanta is 6-11-1 ATS in games coming off a loss.
NFC South teams are 3-5 ATS in non-divisional games.


Dan Quinn was 46-44 coaching the Falcons from 2015-20
He led them to the Super Bowl after the 2016 season.
Commanders won/covered last four series games.
Commanders won 24-16/34-30 in last two visits to Atlanta.


Saints @ Bills (-15.5)
Saints (0-3)
Saints lost first three games, 20-13/26-21/44-13.
Saints have converted only 12-36 third down plays.
New Orleans has been outscored 71-23 in first half of games.
Since 2018, Saints are 18-9-1 ATS as a road underdog.


Kellen Moore is 0-3 as a head coach.
Rattler is 0-9 as an NFL starting QB.
Saints are 7-14 ATS in last 21 games coming off a loss.
Saints are 5-10 ATS last 15 games vs AFC opponents.
NFC South teams are 3-5 ATS in non-divisional games.


Bills (3-0)
Buffalo won its first three games,. scoring 41-30-31 points.
Last 3+ years, Bills are 3-7-1 ATS as a double digit favorite.
QB Allen is 86-40 as an NFL starter.
McDermott is 96-52 as an NFL head coach.


Buffalo held last two opponents to 154-276 total yards.
Last 5+ years, Bills are 21-17-1 ATS as a home favorite.
Bills are 17-10-1 ATS in last 28 games vs NFC opponents.
Buffalo is 10-6 ATS in last sixteen games coming off a win.


New Orleans won/covered six of last six series games.
Saints won last three visits to Buffalo, by 37-18-20 points.
Favorites covered four of last five meetings.


Eagles (-3.5) @ Buccaneers
Eagles (3-0)
Eagles beat Dallas 24-20, Chiefs 20-17, Rams 33-26.
Last two games, Eagles were held to 216-288 total yards.
QB Hurts is 54-23 as an NFL starter.
Sirianni is 56-23 as an NFL coach.


Philly blocked two field goals in their win last week.
Eagles are 5-2 ATS in last seven games as a road favorite.
Philly is 23-16-2 ATS in last 41 games coming off a win.
Last two games, opponents converted only 7-22 third down plays.
NFC East non-divisional favorites are 3-1 ATS


Buccaneers (3-0)
Tampa Bay is 3-0, with three last-minute wins.
Buccaneers have won games by 3-1-2 points.
Mayfield is 55-56 as an NFL starter, 23-17 with the Bucs.
Bowles is 57-68 as a head coach, 31-27 with Tampa Bay.


Tampa Bay is 3-6 ATS last nine games as a home underdog.
Bucs held their three opponents to 69-84-99 rushing yards.
Bucs are 4-7 ATS in last 11 games coming off a win.
Bucs are only team in last 55 years to start season 3-0, with all three wins coming on last-minute touchdowns.
NFC South teams are 3-5 ATS in non-divisional games.


Tampa Bay won six of last seven series games.
Eagles lost four of last five visits to Tampa Bay.
Under is 3-1 in last four meetings.


Browns @ Lions (-9.5)
Browns (1-2)
Browns scored 16-17-13 points in their three games.
Cleveland is minus-4 in turnovers.
Browns are 6-14-1 ATS last 21 games coming off a win.
Cleveland is 8-16-1 ATS last 25 games as a road underdog.


Browns have held opponents to 141-242-230 total yards.
QB Flacco is 116-94 as an NFL starter (8-16 since 2020)
Stefanski is 42-48 as a head coach.
Last five years, Cleveland is 15-9-1 ATS vs NFC teams.
AFC North teams are 3-5 ATS in non-divisional games.


Lions (2-1)
Lions scored 52-38 points in their last two games.
Detroit gave up 27-21-30 points in its three games..
QB Goff is 87-58-1 as an NFL starter, 45-31-1 with Detroit.
Campbell is 49-38-1 as an NFL head coach.
.
Lions are 15-8 ATS last 23 games as a home favorite.
Detroit is 14-7 ATS in last 21 games vs AFC teams
Detroit is 23-11 ATS last 34 games coming off a win.
Detroit has two new coordinators this season.
NFC North teams are 4-2 ATS in non-divisional games.


Lions won/covered four of last five series games.
Browns lost 38-24/38-37 in last two visits to Detroit.
Over is 3-1 in last four meetings.
Browns DC Schwartz was the Lions’ head coach from 2009-13


Panthers @ Patriots (-5.5)
Panthers (1-2)
Panthers lost two road games, 26-22 (Jaguars), 27-22 (Arizona)
Carolina blanked Atlanta 30-0 LW, but was outgained 332-224.
QB Young is 7-24 as an NFL starter.
Canales is 6-14 as a head coach.


Panthers are 6-13-1 ATS last 20 games as a road underdog.
Carolina is 11-11 ATS in last 22 games coming off a win.
Carolina is 7-14 ATS in last 21 games vs AFC opponents.
NFC South teams are 3-5 ATS in non-divisional games.


Patriots (1-2)
Patriots were held to 13-14 points in losses; win was 33-27 (Miami)
LW, Patriots outgained Steelers 369-203, but lost 21-14.
QB Maye is 4-11 as an NFL starter.
Vrabel is 57-50 as an NFL head coach.


Last 2+ years, Patriots are 0-4 ATS as a home favorite.
NE has allowed only 181 rushing yards, on 65 attempts.
NE is 10-16 ATS in last 26 games coming off a loss.
AFC East teams are 3-3 ATS in non-divisional games.


Teams split last six series games.
Panthers covered five of those six games.
Carolina is 1-1 SU/2-0 ATS in last two visits to Foxboro.


Jaguars @ 49ers (-3.5)
Jaguars (2-1)
Home team won/covered all three Jacksonville games.
Jaguars held last two opponents to 48-87 rushing yards.
QB Lawrence is 25-40 as an NFL starter.
Liam Coen is 2-1 as an NFL head coach.


Jaguars are 6-5-1 ATS last 12 games as a road underdog.
Jaguars are 12-12 ATS last 24 games coming off a win.
Jags are 7-4 ATS in last 11 games vs NFC opponents.
In their loss, Jaguars gave up 302 PY to the Bengals.


49ers (3-0)
49ers won their first three games, by 1-4-5 points.
Mac Jones is 26-39/279 passing in relief of injured Purdy.
QB Purdy is 28-15 as an NFL starter; Jones is 22-30.
Shanahan is 81-66 as an NFL head coach


First three games, 49ers have allowed only 265.7 yards/game.
Since 2020, 49ers are 17-15-1 ATS as a home favorite.
Last 2+ years, 49ers are 7-12-1 ATS in games coming off a win.
49ers are 5-10 ATS last 15 games vs AFC opponents.


49ers won/covered last five series games.
Jaguars lost 44-33/20-3 in last two visits to Santa Clara.
Under is 4-2 in last six meetings.


Colts @ Rams (-3.5)
Colts (3-0)
Colts won first three games, scoring 32-29-41 points.
Colts have scored on 20 of 25 drives, punted only once.
Indy outgained first three opponents by 207-149-83 yards.
QB Jones is 28-45-1 is as an NFL starter.


Steichen is 20-17 SU in 2+ years as a head coach
Under Steichen, Indy is 6-5 ATS as a road underdog.
Colts are 5-10 ATS in last 15 games vs NFC opponents.
Under Steichen, Indy is 10-8 ATS in games coming off a win.
AFC South underdogs are 2-3 ATS in non-divisional games.


Rams (2-1)
Rams had two FGs blocked in LW’s 33-26 loss at Philly.
Rams outgained Eagles, 356-288, were cruddy in red zone (13 points/4 drives)
QB Stafford is 41-26 as the Rams’ starter (115-119-1 overall).
McVay is 90-58 as an NFL head coach.


LA held its three opponents to 265-252-288 total yards.
Rams are 12-13-1 ATS in last 26 games coming off a loss.
Rams are 8-13 ATS in last 21 games as a home favorite.
Rams are 8-3-1 ATS last 12 games vs AFC opponents.
NFC West favorites are 5-1 ATS in non-divisional games.


Rams are 4-0 SU/3-1 ATS in last four meetings.
Last time these teams met here, Rams won 46-9 (McVay’s first game as HC)
Last six series games went over the total.


Ravens (-2.5) @ Chiefs
Ravens (1-2)
Ravens gave up 41-38 points in its two losses.
Last two games, Ravens ran ball for only 45-85 yards.
Ravens are 1-2, despite scoring 40-41-30 points.
Baltimore is 8-1 ATS last nine games coming off a loss.


QB Jackson is 74-31 as an NFL starter
John Harbaugh is 186-117 as an NFL head coach.
Baltimore is 13-7 ATS last 20 games as a road favorite.
Ravens are 20-7 ATS in last 27 games with spread of 3 or fewer points.
AFC North teams are 3-5 ATS in non-divisional games.


Chiefs (1-2)
Chiefs lost 27-21/20-17, beat the Giants 22-9 last week.
Chiefs have gone under their team total in all three games.
QB Mahomes is 107-28 as an NFL starter.
Andy Reid is 302-165-1 as an NFL head coach


Last two games, Chiefs allowed only 216-281 total yards
Since 2020, Chiefs are 0-3 ATS as a home underdog.
Chiefs are 14-23 ATS in last 37 games coming off a win.
Chiefs are 10-7 ATS in last 17 games with spread of 3 or fewer points.
AFC West teams are 2-4 ATS in non-divisional games.


Chiefs won six of last seven series games.
Ravens are 0-3 SU/1-2 ATS in last three visits to Arrowhead.
Four of last five meetings went over the total.


Bears (-1.5) @ Raiders
Bears (1-2)
Bears were +4 in turnovers LW, beat Dallas 31-14.
Chicago lost its only road game, 52-21 at Detroit.
Ben Johnson is 1-2 as an NFL head coach.
QB Williams is 6-14 as an NFL starter.


Chicago is a road favorite for first time since 2021.
Bears are 10-8-1 ATS in last 19 games vs AFC teams.
Bears are 7-12-3 ATS in last 22 games with spread of 3 or fewer points.
Chicago is 7-12-1 ATS in last 20 games coming off a win.
NFC North teams are 4-2 ATS in divisional games.


Raiders (1-2)
Raiders lost last two games: 20-9 Chargers/41-24 Commanders.
Raiders have run ball 71 times for only 217 yards.
QB Geno Smith is 41-46 as an NFL starter.
Carroll is 182-133-1 as an NFL head coach.


Las Vegas has allowed 336-317-400 total yards this year.
Raiders are 14-15-1 ATS last 30 games as a home underdog.
Las Vegas is 19-25-1 ATS in last 45 games coming off a loss.
Raiders are 8-11-1 ATS in last 20 games vs NFC teams.
AFC West teams are 2-4 ATS in divisional games.


Chicago won five of last seven series games.
Underdogs covered five of last seven series meetings.


Packers (-6.5) @ Cowboys
Packers (2-1)
Green Bay lost LW 13-10; they led 10-0 with 4:00 left to play
Packers have allowed only 193 yards on 60 running attempts.
QB Love is 21-18 as an NFL starter
LaFleur is 72-39 as an NFL head coach.


Packers are 4-12-1 ATS last 17 games as a road favorite.
Packers are 9-11-1 ATS last 21 games coming off a loss.
Green Bay scored 27 points in both its wins this year.
Packers are 6-2 ATS in last eight games on artificial turf.
NFC North teams are 4-2 ATS in divisional games.


Cowboys (1-2)
Dallas allowed 37-31 points in its last two games.
Dallas scored 40 points in an OT win; 20-14 in its losses.
QB Prescott is 79-53 as an NFL starter.
Brian Schottenheimer is 1-2 as a head coach.


Last two weeks, Dallas allowed 506-385 total yards.
Since 2021, Cowboys are 3-6 ATS as a home underdog.
Cowboys are 3-7 ATS last 10 games coming off a loss.
Dallas is minus-5 in turnovers this season.
NFC East teams are 3-3 ATS in divisional games.


Cowboys traded Micah Parsons to Green Bay this summer.
Green Bay won/covered eight of last nine series games
Packers won/covered last four visits to Dallas.
Last four meetings went over the total.
 

Cnotes53

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Forum Member
Nov 5, 2017
32,420
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Sunday, September 28

GameTime(ET)PickUnits
CAR at NE01:00 PMCAR +5.5
O 42.5
+500 +500
CLE at DET01:00 PMCLE +10.5
O 44.5
+500 +500
NO at BUF01:00 PMBUF -14.5
U 49.0
+500 +500
TEN at HOU01:00 PMHOU -7.5
U 39.5
+500 +500
PHI at TB01:00 PMTB +3.5
U 44.0
+500 +500
LAC at NYG01:00 PMNYG +6.0
O 43.0
+500 +500
WAS at ATL01:00 PMATL -2.5
U 43.5
+500 +500
IND at LA04:05 PMLA -3.5
O 50.0
+500 +500
JAC at SF04:05 PMJAC +3.5
O 46.0
+500 +500
BAL at KC04:25 PMBAL -2.5
O 48.5
+500 +500
CHI at LV04:25 PMLV -1.5
O 48.0
+500 +500
GB at DAL08:20 PMGB -6.5
U 46.0
+500 +500
 
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