Yes, it is his own fault, but it has nothing to do with his pitching and hence why it is not reflected on his pitching stats.
CNOTES 2025-2026 FOOTBALL SCHEDULE + NEWS, NOTES BEST BETS !
- Thread starter Cnotes53
- Start date
NFL BEST BETS !
09/28/2025.......................9 - 8 - 0..................52.94%....................+ 1.00
09/22/2025.......................1 - 1 - 0...................50.00%...................- 0.50
09/21/2025.....................11 - 7 - 1...................61.11%..................+ 16.50
09/18/2025......................2 - 0 - 0..................100.00%..................+ 10.00
09/15/2025......................2 - 2 - 0....................50.00%..................- 1.00
09/14/2025.....................4 - 12 - 0..................25.00%...................- 40.50
09/11/2025......................0 - 2 - 0...................00.00%...................- 11.00
09/08/2025......................0 - 2 - 0...................00.00%...................- 11.00
09/07/2025......................8 - 7 - 0...................53.33%....................+ 1.50
TOTALS.........................37 -41 - 1...................47.43%....................- 35.00
09/28/2025.......................9 - 8 - 0..................52.94%....................+ 1.00
09/22/2025.......................1 - 1 - 0...................50.00%...................- 0.50
09/21/2025.....................11 - 7 - 1...................61.11%..................+ 16.50
09/18/2025......................2 - 0 - 0..................100.00%..................+ 10.00
09/15/2025......................2 - 2 - 0....................50.00%..................- 1.00
09/14/2025.....................4 - 12 - 0..................25.00%...................- 40.50
09/11/2025......................0 - 2 - 0...................00.00%...................- 11.00
09/08/2025......................0 - 2 - 0...................00.00%...................- 11.00
09/07/2025......................8 - 7 - 0...................53.33%....................+ 1.50
TOTALS.........................37 -41 - 1...................47.43%....................- 35.00
Monday’s 6-pack:
— Marlins 4, Mets 0- Cincinnati clinches NL’s last Wild Card slot
— Blue Jays 13, Rays 4- Toronto clinches AL East
— Guardians 9, Rangers 8 (10)- Cleveland wins AL Central
— White Sox 8, Nationals 0- Shane Smith took perfect game into 6th inning
Wild Card series, starting Tuesday:
— AL: Tigers @ Guardians, Boston @ New York
— NL: Padres @ Cubs, Reds @ Dodgers
Quote of the Day
“It’s hard to describe. I just got done addressing the team and there’s no word to describe what we’re going through. It’s pain. It’s frustration. You name it. We came in with a lot of expectations and here we are going home. Not only did we fall short, we didn’t even get into October.”
Mets’ manager Carlos Mendoza
Monday’s quiz
Where did Matthew Stafford play his college football?
Sunday’s quiz
Milwaukee Brewers have played in one World Series; it against the Cardinals, in 1982.
Saturday’s quiz
In the history of the Rams, Jim Everett has thrown for the most yards.
***********************************************
Green Bay led 13-0; PAT after 2nd TD was blocked, run back for 2 points.
Packers in 2nd half/OT: 47 plays, 329 yards, 27 points
Green Bay was 10-14 on third down, Dallas 4-11.
Packers are 4-12-1 ATS last 17 games as a road favorite.
Dallas won its first home game 40-37 in OT, then this happened.
Last three games, Cowboys allowed 506-385-489 total yards.
First three Dallas drives: 11 plays, 35 yards, 3 punts
Last seven Dallas drives: 57 plays, 406 yards, 38 points
Jaguars 26, 49ers 21
Jaguars are 3-1 for the second time in the last 18 years.
Jaguars have 13 takeaways already, are +9 in turnovers.
Jaguars ran punt back 87 yards for TD to grab a 26-14 lead.
Jacksonville held last three opponents to 48-87-83 rushing yards.
49ers turned ball over on two of first three series.
49ers were 8-13 on third down, Jacksonville 4-14
49ers had 12 penalties for 90 yards, Jaguars 5 for 54.
Last 2+ years, 49ers are 7-13-1 ATS in games coming off a win.
Bears 25, Raiders 24
Bears drove 73 yards, scored game-winning TD with 1:34 left.
Bears blocked 54-yard FG on last play to preserve the win.
Chicago had four takeaways for second game in a row.
Chicago was 7-16 on third down, Las Vegas 2-8.
Raiders led 14-9 at halftime.
Las Vegas ran ball 31 times for 240 yards.
Ashton Jeanty carried ball 21 times for 138 yards.
Bears are 7-13-3 ATS in last 23 games with spread of 3 or fewer points.
Giants 21, Chargers 18
Rookie QB Dart threw for 111 yards, ran for 54 more in his first NFL start.
Giants’ first four drives: 34 plays, 154 yards, 13 points.
Giants’ last six drives: 36 plays, 107 yards, 8 points.
Under Daboll, Giants are 10-6-1 ATS vs AFC teams.
Giants were 7-15 on third down, Chargers 4-12.
Bolts held last three opponents to 218-265-250 total yards.
Chargers had 14 penalties for 107 yards, Giants 8 for 43
Rookie RB Hampton ran ball 12 times for 128 yards and a TD.
Eagles 31, Buccaneers 25
Eagles blocked punt for TD for the game’s first score.
Eagles led 24-6 at halftime, hung on for dear life.
Mayfield threw INT in red zone midway thru 4th quarter.
Eagles are 5-2 ATS in last seven games as a road favorite.
Buccaneers outgained Philly, 376-200.
Tampa Bay turned ball over on three of their last five drives.
Tampa Bay is 3-7 ATS last ten games as a home underdog.
NFC South teams are 5-7 ATS in non-divisional games.
Rams 27, Colts 20
Stafford’s 88-yard TD pass to Atwell (1:33 left) was a game-winner.
Rams’ last two drives: 12 plays, 171 yards, 14 points.
Stafford threw for 375 yards, three TD’s.
Nucua caught 13 passes for 170 yards and a TD.
Rams had 13-play, 96-yard drive to take 13-10 lead at half.
Rams are 9-3-1 ATS last 13 games vs AFC opponents.
Colts had three turnovers, and 11 penalties for 88 yards.
Colts didn’t turn ball over in their first three games.
Famous birthdays, September 29th:
Ian McShane, 83
Tim Flannery, 68
Craig Lefferts, 68
Andrew Dice Clay, 68
Hersey Hawkins, 59
Erika Eleniak, 56
Zachary Levi, 45
Calvin Johnson, 40
Kevin Durant, 37
Tyler Mahle, 31
Ashley Frangipane, 31 (Halsey)
Lucas Havrisik, 26
Chiefs 37, Ravens 20
Ravens gave up 41-38-37 points in their three losses.
Star QB Jackson left game with an ankle injury.
AFC North teams are 4-7 ATS in non-divisional games.
Chiefs’ first four drives: 34 plays, 223 yards, 20 points.
Mahomes threw for 270 yards, 4 TD’s, to four different guys.
Chiefs won seven of last eight games vs Baltimore.
Chiefs are 11-7 ATS in last 18 games with spread of 3 or fewer points.
Steelers 24, Vikings 21
Steelers led 14-6 at halftime of first-ever game in Ireland.
Steelers scored 34-21-24 points in wins, 17 in their loss.
Steelers have run ball 87 times for only 259 yards.
Steelers are 27-14-1 ATS last 41 games with spread of 3 or fewer points.
Rodgers threw an 80-yard TD pass to Metcalf.
Vikings QB Wentz threw for 350 yards, but also two INTs.
Vikings scored 27-48 points in their wins, 6-21 in losses.
WR Jefferson caught 10 catches for 126 yards,
Texans 26, Titans 0
Tennessee is 0-4 SU/ATS, losing by 8-14-21-26 points.
Titans have three TD’s, 10 FG’s on their 44 drives.
Tennessee is 3-12 ATS in last 15 games as an underdog.
Texans outgained Tennessee, 353-175.
Texans led this game 6-0 at halftime.
This was Houston’s first shutout since 2010.
Houston was 6-15 on third down, Tennessee 2-11.
Texans’ first four drives of 2nd half: 31 plays, 190 yards, 20 points.
Falcons 34, Commanders 27
QB Penix was 20-26/313 passing, with two TD’s.
Falcons’ first three drives: 28 plays, 181 yards, 17 points.
Atlanta led 17-10 at halftime.
Falcons outgained Washington, 435-294
Falcons were 6-12 on third down, Commanders 1-8.
Washington is 0-2 on road, losing 27-18/34-37.
In its wins, Commanders ran ball for 220-201 yards.
Its losses, Commanders ran 51-147 yards.
Bills 31, Saints 19
Saints’ first nine drives ended in Buffalo territory.
Bills led by only 14-10 at halftime.
Buffalo won its first four games,. scoring 41-30-31-31 points.
Last 3+ years, Bills are 3-8-1 ATS as a double digit favorite.
Saints lost first four games, 20-13/26-21/44-13/31-19.
Since 2018, Saints are 19-9-1 ATS as a road underdog.
Rattler is 0-10 as an NFL starting QB.
New Orleans has been outscored 85-33 in first half of games.
Lions 34, Browns 10
Detroit led this game 20-7 at halftime.
Lions scored 52-38-34 points in their last three games.
Lions are 16-8 ATS last 24 games as a home favorite.
Detroit is 15-7 ATS in last 22 games vs AFC teams
Browns scored 16-17-13-10 points in their four games.
Cleveland is minus-6 in turnovers this year.
Browns are 6-15-1 ATS last 22 games coming off a win.
Browns allowed only 277 yards, most they’ve given up this year.
Patriots 42, Panthers 13
Down 6-0, Patriots ran a punt back 87 yards for a TD.
Patriots also ran a punt back 61 yards to set up another TD.
NE’s first four drives: 21 plays, 151 yards, 21 points.
Patriots scored 33-42 points in wins, 13-14 points in losses.
Carolina drove 76 yards for a TD on first drive.
Carolina’s next five drives: 30 plays, 93 yards, no points.
Panthers are 6-14-1 ATS last 21 games as a road underdog.
Carolina is 7-15 ATS in last 22 games vs AFC opponents.
— Playoff picture with postseason starting Tuesday:
NL: Phillies, Brewers, Dodgers. Wild Cards: Cubs, Padres, Reds
AL: Blue Jays, Guardians, Mariners. Wild Cards: New York, Red Sox, Tigers
— Marlins 4, Mets 0- Cincinnati clinches NL’s last Wild Card slot
— Blue Jays 13, Rays 4- Toronto clinches AL East
— Guardians 9, Rangers 8 (10)- Cleveland wins AL Central
— White Sox 8, Nationals 0- Shane Smith took perfect game into 6th inning
Wild Card series, starting Tuesday:
— AL: Tigers @ Guardians, Boston @ New York
— NL: Padres @ Cubs, Reds @ Dodgers
Quote of the Day
“It’s hard to describe. I just got done addressing the team and there’s no word to describe what we’re going through. It’s pain. It’s frustration. You name it. We came in with a lot of expectations and here we are going home. Not only did we fall short, we didn’t even get into October.”
Mets’ manager Carlos Mendoza
Monday’s quiz
Where did Matthew Stafford play his college football?
Sunday’s quiz
Milwaukee Brewers have played in one World Series; it against the Cardinals, in 1982.
Saturday’s quiz
In the history of the Rams, Jim Everett has thrown for the most yards.
***********************************************
Monday’s Den: Wrapping up an NFL Sunday…….
Packers 40, Cowboys 40 OTGreen Bay led 13-0; PAT after 2nd TD was blocked, run back for 2 points.
Packers in 2nd half/OT: 47 plays, 329 yards, 27 points
Green Bay was 10-14 on third down, Dallas 4-11.
Packers are 4-12-1 ATS last 17 games as a road favorite.
Dallas won its first home game 40-37 in OT, then this happened.
Last three games, Cowboys allowed 506-385-489 total yards.
First three Dallas drives: 11 plays, 35 yards, 3 punts
Last seven Dallas drives: 57 plays, 406 yards, 38 points
Jaguars 26, 49ers 21
Jaguars are 3-1 for the second time in the last 18 years.
Jaguars have 13 takeaways already, are +9 in turnovers.
Jaguars ran punt back 87 yards for TD to grab a 26-14 lead.
Jacksonville held last three opponents to 48-87-83 rushing yards.
49ers turned ball over on two of first three series.
49ers were 8-13 on third down, Jacksonville 4-14
49ers had 12 penalties for 90 yards, Jaguars 5 for 54.
Last 2+ years, 49ers are 7-13-1 ATS in games coming off a win.
Bears 25, Raiders 24
Bears drove 73 yards, scored game-winning TD with 1:34 left.
Bears blocked 54-yard FG on last play to preserve the win.
Chicago had four takeaways for second game in a row.
Chicago was 7-16 on third down, Las Vegas 2-8.
Raiders led 14-9 at halftime.
Las Vegas ran ball 31 times for 240 yards.
Ashton Jeanty carried ball 21 times for 138 yards.
Bears are 7-13-3 ATS in last 23 games with spread of 3 or fewer points.
Giants 21, Chargers 18
Rookie QB Dart threw for 111 yards, ran for 54 more in his first NFL start.
Giants’ first four drives: 34 plays, 154 yards, 13 points.
Giants’ last six drives: 36 plays, 107 yards, 8 points.
Under Daboll, Giants are 10-6-1 ATS vs AFC teams.
Giants were 7-15 on third down, Chargers 4-12.
Bolts held last three opponents to 218-265-250 total yards.
Chargers had 14 penalties for 107 yards, Giants 8 for 43
Rookie RB Hampton ran ball 12 times for 128 yards and a TD.
Eagles 31, Buccaneers 25
Eagles blocked punt for TD for the game’s first score.
Eagles led 24-6 at halftime, hung on for dear life.
Mayfield threw INT in red zone midway thru 4th quarter.
Eagles are 5-2 ATS in last seven games as a road favorite.
Buccaneers outgained Philly, 376-200.
Tampa Bay turned ball over on three of their last five drives.
Tampa Bay is 3-7 ATS last ten games as a home underdog.
NFC South teams are 5-7 ATS in non-divisional games.
Rams 27, Colts 20
Stafford’s 88-yard TD pass to Atwell (1:33 left) was a game-winner.
Rams’ last two drives: 12 plays, 171 yards, 14 points.
Stafford threw for 375 yards, three TD’s.
Nucua caught 13 passes for 170 yards and a TD.
Rams had 13-play, 96-yard drive to take 13-10 lead at half.
Rams are 9-3-1 ATS last 13 games vs AFC opponents.
Colts had three turnovers, and 11 penalties for 88 yards.
Colts didn’t turn ball over in their first three games.
Famous birthdays, September 29th:
Ian McShane, 83
Tim Flannery, 68
Craig Lefferts, 68
Andrew Dice Clay, 68
Hersey Hawkins, 59
Erika Eleniak, 56
Zachary Levi, 45
Calvin Johnson, 40
Kevin Durant, 37
Tyler Mahle, 31
Ashley Frangipane, 31 (Halsey)
Lucas Havrisik, 26
Chiefs 37, Ravens 20
Ravens gave up 41-38-37 points in their three losses.
Star QB Jackson left game with an ankle injury.
AFC North teams are 4-7 ATS in non-divisional games.
Chiefs’ first four drives: 34 plays, 223 yards, 20 points.
Mahomes threw for 270 yards, 4 TD’s, to four different guys.
Chiefs won seven of last eight games vs Baltimore.
Chiefs are 11-7 ATS in last 18 games with spread of 3 or fewer points.
Steelers 24, Vikings 21
Steelers led 14-6 at halftime of first-ever game in Ireland.
Steelers scored 34-21-24 points in wins, 17 in their loss.
Steelers have run ball 87 times for only 259 yards.
Steelers are 27-14-1 ATS last 41 games with spread of 3 or fewer points.
Rodgers threw an 80-yard TD pass to Metcalf.
Vikings QB Wentz threw for 350 yards, but also two INTs.
Vikings scored 27-48 points in their wins, 6-21 in losses.
WR Jefferson caught 10 catches for 126 yards,
Texans 26, Titans 0
Tennessee is 0-4 SU/ATS, losing by 8-14-21-26 points.
Titans have three TD’s, 10 FG’s on their 44 drives.
Tennessee is 3-12 ATS in last 15 games as an underdog.
Texans outgained Tennessee, 353-175.
Texans led this game 6-0 at halftime.
This was Houston’s first shutout since 2010.
Houston was 6-15 on third down, Tennessee 2-11.
Texans’ first four drives of 2nd half: 31 plays, 190 yards, 20 points.
Falcons 34, Commanders 27
QB Penix was 20-26/313 passing, with two TD’s.
Falcons’ first three drives: 28 plays, 181 yards, 17 points.
Atlanta led 17-10 at halftime.
Falcons outgained Washington, 435-294
Falcons were 6-12 on third down, Commanders 1-8.
Washington is 0-2 on road, losing 27-18/34-37.
In its wins, Commanders ran ball for 220-201 yards.
Its losses, Commanders ran 51-147 yards.
Bills 31, Saints 19
Saints’ first nine drives ended in Buffalo territory.
Bills led by only 14-10 at halftime.
Buffalo won its first four games,. scoring 41-30-31-31 points.
Last 3+ years, Bills are 3-8-1 ATS as a double digit favorite.
Saints lost first four games, 20-13/26-21/44-13/31-19.
Since 2018, Saints are 19-9-1 ATS as a road underdog.
Rattler is 0-10 as an NFL starting QB.
New Orleans has been outscored 85-33 in first half of games.
Lions 34, Browns 10
Detroit led this game 20-7 at halftime.
Lions scored 52-38-34 points in their last three games.
Lions are 16-8 ATS last 24 games as a home favorite.
Detroit is 15-7 ATS in last 22 games vs AFC teams
Browns scored 16-17-13-10 points in their four games.
Cleveland is minus-6 in turnovers this year.
Browns are 6-15-1 ATS last 22 games coming off a win.
Browns allowed only 277 yards, most they’ve given up this year.
Patriots 42, Panthers 13
Down 6-0, Patriots ran a punt back 87 yards for a TD.
Patriots also ran a punt back 61 yards to set up another TD.
NE’s first four drives: 21 plays, 151 yards, 21 points.
Patriots scored 33-42 points in wins, 13-14 points in losses.
Carolina drove 76 yards for a TD on first drive.
Carolina’s next five drives: 30 plays, 93 yards, no points.
Panthers are 6-14-1 ATS last 21 games as a road underdog.
Carolina is 7-15 ATS in last 22 games vs AFC opponents.
— Playoff picture with postseason starting Tuesday:
NL: Phillies, Brewers, Dodgers. Wild Cards: Cubs, Padres, Reds
AL: Blue Jays, Guardians, Mariners. Wild Cards: New York, Red Sox, Tigers
- Sep 10, 2018
- 19,474
- 25
- 48
NFL
Weather Report
Monday, September 29
NFL
Armadillo's Write-up
Week 4
Monday’s games
Jets @ Dolphins (-2.5)
Jets (0-3)
Jets lost first two games, giving up 34-30-29 points.
Jets’ losses are by 2-20-2 points. (opponents over 3-0 team total)
Taylor is 28-30-1 as an NFL starter, Fields 14-32.
Aaron Glenn is 0-3 as a head coach.
In three games, Jets are minus-6 in turnovers.
Jets are 3-7-1 ATS in last 11 games as a road underdog.
Jets are 3-11-1 ATS last 15 AFC East road games.
Jets are 8-14-1 ATS in last 23 games coming off a loss.
Dolphins (0-3)
Dolphins lost their first two games,, giving up 33-33-31 points.
Miami is minus-5 in turnovers in its first three games.
QB Tagovailoa is 38-28 as an NFL starter.
McDaniel is 28-28 as a head coach.
Under McDaniel, Miami is 12-8-2 ATS as a home favorite.
Under McDaniel, Miami is 8-12-1 ATS in games with spread of 3 or less points.
Under McDaniel, Dolphins are 6-3-1 ATS in AFC East home games.
Under McDaniel, Miami is 11-11-1 ATS in games coming off a loss.
Dolphins won nine of last 11 series games.
Jets are 0-9 SU/1-5-3 ATS in last nine visits to Miami.
Over is 4-1 in last five series games.
Bengals @ Broncos (-7.5)
Bengals (2-1)
Bengals won their first two games, by 1-4 points.
Cincinnati lost 48-10 at Minnesota LW, with a backup QB.
Backup QB Browning is 4-4 as an NFL starter (7 starts in 2023).
Taylor is 53-55-1 as a head coach.
Last two games, Cincinnati is minus-6 in turnovers.
In three games, Bengals have run ball 61 times for only 147 yards.
Bengals are 8-5-1 ATS last 14 games as road underdogs.
Bengals are 22-13-1 ATS last 36 coming off a loss.
AFC North teams are 3-5 ATS in divisional games.
Broncos (1-2)
Denver lost last two games, 29-28 Colts/23-20 Chargers.
Denver beat Titans 20-12 in its only home games.
QB Nix is 11-10 as an NFL starter.
Payton is 180-116 as an NFL head coach, 19-19 with Denver.
Last two games, Denver converted 6-22 third down plays.
QB Nix is 11-9 as an NFL starter.
Payton is 180-115 as an NFL head coach, 19-18 with Denver.
Denver is 25-20-1 ATS in last 46 games coming off a loss.
AFC West teams are 2-4 ATS in divisional games.
Cincinnati won three of last four series games.
Bengals won 15-10/20-17 in last two visits to Denver.
Under is 4-2 in last six meetings.
Weather Report
Monday, September 29
NFL
Armadillo's Write-up
Week 4
Monday’s games
Jets @ Dolphins (-2.5)
Jets (0-3)
Jets lost first two games, giving up 34-30-29 points.
Jets’ losses are by 2-20-2 points. (opponents over 3-0 team total)
Taylor is 28-30-1 as an NFL starter, Fields 14-32.
Aaron Glenn is 0-3 as a head coach.
In three games, Jets are minus-6 in turnovers.
Jets are 3-7-1 ATS in last 11 games as a road underdog.
Jets are 3-11-1 ATS last 15 AFC East road games.
Jets are 8-14-1 ATS in last 23 games coming off a loss.
Dolphins (0-3)
Dolphins lost their first two games,, giving up 33-33-31 points.
Miami is minus-5 in turnovers in its first three games.
QB Tagovailoa is 38-28 as an NFL starter.
McDaniel is 28-28 as a head coach.
Under McDaniel, Miami is 12-8-2 ATS as a home favorite.
Under McDaniel, Miami is 8-12-1 ATS in games with spread of 3 or less points.
Under McDaniel, Dolphins are 6-3-1 ATS in AFC East home games.
Under McDaniel, Miami is 11-11-1 ATS in games coming off a loss.
Dolphins won nine of last 11 series games.
Jets are 0-9 SU/1-5-3 ATS in last nine visits to Miami.
Over is 4-1 in last five series games.
Bengals @ Broncos (-7.5)
Bengals (2-1)
Bengals won their first two games, by 1-4 points.
Cincinnati lost 48-10 at Minnesota LW, with a backup QB.
Backup QB Browning is 4-4 as an NFL starter (7 starts in 2023).
Taylor is 53-55-1 as a head coach.
Last two games, Cincinnati is minus-6 in turnovers.
In three games, Bengals have run ball 61 times for only 147 yards.
Bengals are 8-5-1 ATS last 14 games as road underdogs.
Bengals are 22-13-1 ATS last 36 coming off a loss.
AFC North teams are 3-5 ATS in divisional games.
Broncos (1-2)
Denver lost last two games, 29-28 Colts/23-20 Chargers.
Denver beat Titans 20-12 in its only home games.
QB Nix is 11-10 as an NFL starter.
Payton is 180-116 as an NFL head coach, 19-19 with Denver.
Last two games, Denver converted 6-22 third down plays.
QB Nix is 11-9 as an NFL starter.
Payton is 180-115 as an NFL head coach, 19-18 with Denver.
Denver is 25-20-1 ATS in last 46 games coming off a loss.
AFC West teams are 2-4 ATS in divisional games.
Cincinnati won three of last four series games.
Bengals won 15-10/20-17 in last two visits to Denver.
Under is 4-2 in last six meetings.
Monday, September 29
| Game | Time(ET) | Pick | Units |
|---|---|---|---|
| NYJ at MIA | 07:15 PM | NYJ +2.5 O 44.5 | +500 +500 |
| CIN at DEN | 08:15 PM | CIN +7.5 U 44.5 | +500 +500 |
NFL BEST BETS !
09/29/2025......................2 - 2 - 0....................50.00%...................- 1.00
09/28/2025.......................9 - 8 - 0..................52.94%....................+ 1.00
09/22/2025.......................1 - 1 - 0...................50.00%...................- 0.50
09/21/2025.....................11 - 7 - 1...................61.11%..................+ 16.50
09/18/2025......................2 - 0 - 0..................100.00%..................+ 10.00
09/15/2025......................2 - 2 - 0....................50.00%..................- 1.00
09/14/2025.....................4 - 12 - 0..................25.00%...................- 40.50
09/11/2025......................0 - 2 - 0...................00.00%...................- 11.00
09/08/2025......................0 - 2 - 0...................00.00%...................- 11.00
09/07/2025......................8 - 7 - 0...................53.33%....................+ 1.50
TOTALS.........................38 -42 - 1...................47.50%....................- 36.00
09/29/2025......................2 - 2 - 0....................50.00%...................- 1.00
09/28/2025.......................9 - 8 - 0..................52.94%....................+ 1.00
09/22/2025.......................1 - 1 - 0...................50.00%...................- 0.50
09/21/2025.....................11 - 7 - 1...................61.11%..................+ 16.50
09/18/2025......................2 - 0 - 0..................100.00%..................+ 10.00
09/15/2025......................2 - 2 - 0....................50.00%..................- 1.00
09/14/2025.....................4 - 12 - 0..................25.00%...................- 40.50
09/11/2025......................0 - 2 - 0...................00.00%...................- 11.00
09/08/2025......................0 - 2 - 0...................00.00%...................- 11.00
09/07/2025......................8 - 7 - 0...................53.33%....................+ 1.50
TOTALS.........................38 -42 - 1...................47.50%....................- 36.00
Tuesday’s 6-pack:
Week 5 NFL trends:
— 49ers @ LA Rams (-5.5)
— Vikings (-3.5) vs Browns (@ London)
— Texans @ Baltimore (-3.5)
— Giants @ New Orleans (-1.5)
— Broncos @ Philadelphia (-4.5)
— Cowboys (-2.5) @ Jets
Quote of the Day
“I believe Carlos (Mendoza) has all the same traits and assets that I believed [he had] when we hired him two years ago. And I think over the course of his tenure here, he has demonstrated that. We had a tough year this year. There’s no question. We are all disappointed. We were all frustrated — Mendy, as much or more than anybody else. But I still believe he’s a very good manager, and I think he’s going to demonstrate that.”
Mets’ general manager David Stearns
Tuesday’s quiz
In the history of the New York Jets, who has thrown for the most yards?
Monday’s quiz
Matthew Stafford played his college football at Georgia.
Sunday’s quiz
Milwaukee Brewers have played in one World Series; it against the Cardinals, in 1982.
******************************************************
Jets ran ball for 197 yards, but had 13 penalties for 101 yards.
Jets lost first four games, giving up 34-30-29-27 points.
Only one of their four losses was by more than six points.
Jets are 3-12-1 ATS last 16 AFC East road games.
Miami’s first five drives: 42 plays, 235 yards, 24 points.
Under McDaniel, Miami is 13-8-2 ATS as a home favorite.
Dolphins won 10 of last 12 series games.
Jets are 0-10 SU/1-6-3 ATS in last nine visits to Miami.
— Broncos 28, Bengals 3
Broncos dominated game, outgaining Cincy 512-159.
Denver is 2-0 at home; they didn’t allow a TD either game.
JK Dobbins ran ball 16 times for 101 yards.
Bo Nix threw for 326 yards, two TD’s.
Zac Taylor is 45-32-1 SU when Joe Burrow plays, 8-24 when he doesn’t.
In four games, Bengals have run ball 76 times for only 200 yards.
Denver was 8-14 on third down, Bengals 2-11.
AFC North teams are 5-7 ATS in non-divisional games.
— Future Hall of Famer Bruce Bochy will not return as manager of the Texas Rangers; he won the World Series with Texas in 2023, went 78-84/81-81 the last two years. Texas had an awful lot of injuries this past year.
Overall, Bochy has won four World Series titles, three with the Giants.
— Speaking of the Giants, they fired Bob Melvin Monday, a few weeks after they extended his contract thru next year. Giants went 81-81 this year, but new GM Buster Posey didn’t hire him. Lot of times GM’s want to hire “their guy” as manager.
A 3-time Manager of the Year who won the award in both leagues, Melvin has a career regular-season record of 1,678-1,588 with 8 postseason appearances for five different teams. Melvin made the playoffs six times in 10 years with the A’s; he is a very good manager.
— Minnesota Twins fired manager Rocco Baldelli after they went 70-92 this year, while the team was going a tumultuous season in the front office, owner-wise. Baldelli made the playoffs three times in seven seasons managing the Twins.
— How the five biggest baseball payrolls made out this season:
$350,300,236- Dodgers won NL West
$342,377,486- Mets went 83-79, missed the playoffs
$300,187,616- Bronx is #1 Wild Card in AL
$290,286,320- Phillies won NL East
$255,380,936- Blue Jays won AL East
— How the five smallest baseball payrolls made out this season:
$67,950,708- Marlins went 79-83, 41-40 on the road
$78,824,978- White Sox went 60-102, 19 games better than last year.
$79,118,043- A’s went 76-86, seven games better than last year.
$84,423,338- Pirates went 71-91; they were 44-37 at home.
$87,629,788- Rays went 77-85 playing home games on a minor league field.
— Famous birthdays, September 30th:
Angie Dickinson, 94
Dave Magadan, 63
Eric Piatkowski, 55
Jenna Elfman, 54
Jamal Anderson, 53
Kenley Jansen, 38
Aaron Holiday, 29
Jesus Luzardo, 28
— After the Jaguars upset San Francisco 26-21 Sunday, 49ers defensive coordinator Robert Saleh accused Jacksonville and its head coach, Liam Coen, of using a sign-stealing system.
In the week leading up to the game, Saleh claimed that Coen and the Jaguars use an “advanced” legal sign-stealing system while speaking with reporters.
After Sunday’s win, all Coen said was; “Not a big deal. We’ll keep that between us.”
— Arkansas Razorbacks fired football coach Sam Pittman Monday, named Bobby Petrino their interim coach. Arkansas was 32-34 under Pittman, losing their last three games, including a loss to Memphis when the Razorbacks blew an 18-point lead.
Petrino is 119-56 as a college coach; he was Lamar Jackson’s coach at Louisville. He also was 34-17 as coach of Arkansas, back from 2008-11.
— Weird college football stat: Under Lincoln Riley, USC is 0-12 ATS as a road favorite, in games not played in California.
— Houston Astros missed the baseball playoffs this year for the first time since 2016.
— Baseball is a long season, lot of ups and downs:
Cleveland Guardians made the playoffs, despite a 10-game losing streak from June 26-July 6.
— Detroit Tigers also made the playoffs.
From July 9th-26th, Tigers went 1-12…..from September 16-24, they went 0-8.
— Mets had a lot of expectations this year with such a big payroll- that put a lot of pressure on them, and they wound up missing the playoffs, losing 2 of 3 games in Miami over the weekend. Mets finished 83-79.
Mets were 45-25 on June 13th; rest of the season, they went 38-54.
After Sunday’s win, Miami’s team had a team picture taken in front of their dugout, like they were celebrating something. Marlins finished 79-83, going over their season over/under win total by 15.5 games. They had a very good season.
Week 5 NFL trends:
— 49ers @ LA Rams (-5.5)
— Vikings (-3.5) vs Browns (@ London)
— Texans @ Baltimore (-3.5)
— Giants @ New Orleans (-1.5)
— Broncos @ Philadelphia (-4.5)
— Cowboys (-2.5) @ Jets
Quote of the Day
“I believe Carlos (Mendoza) has all the same traits and assets that I believed [he had] when we hired him two years ago. And I think over the course of his tenure here, he has demonstrated that. We had a tough year this year. There’s no question. We are all disappointed. We were all frustrated — Mendy, as much or more than anybody else. But I still believe he’s a very good manager, and I think he’s going to demonstrate that.”
Mets’ general manager David Stearns
Tuesday’s quiz
In the history of the New York Jets, who has thrown for the most yards?
Monday’s quiz
Matthew Stafford played his college football at Georgia.
Sunday’s quiz
Milwaukee Brewers have played in one World Series; it against the Cardinals, in 1982.
******************************************************
Tuesday’s Den: Nobody asked me, but……..
— Dolphins 27, Jets 21Jets ran ball for 197 yards, but had 13 penalties for 101 yards.
Jets lost first four games, giving up 34-30-29-27 points.
Only one of their four losses was by more than six points.
Jets are 3-12-1 ATS last 16 AFC East road games.
Miami’s first five drives: 42 plays, 235 yards, 24 points.
Under McDaniel, Miami is 13-8-2 ATS as a home favorite.
Dolphins won 10 of last 12 series games.
Jets are 0-10 SU/1-6-3 ATS in last nine visits to Miami.
— Broncos 28, Bengals 3
Broncos dominated game, outgaining Cincy 512-159.
Denver is 2-0 at home; they didn’t allow a TD either game.
JK Dobbins ran ball 16 times for 101 yards.
Bo Nix threw for 326 yards, two TD’s.
Zac Taylor is 45-32-1 SU when Joe Burrow plays, 8-24 when he doesn’t.
In four games, Bengals have run ball 76 times for only 200 yards.
Denver was 8-14 on third down, Bengals 2-11.
AFC North teams are 5-7 ATS in non-divisional games.
— Future Hall of Famer Bruce Bochy will not return as manager of the Texas Rangers; he won the World Series with Texas in 2023, went 78-84/81-81 the last two years. Texas had an awful lot of injuries this past year.
Overall, Bochy has won four World Series titles, three with the Giants.
— Speaking of the Giants, they fired Bob Melvin Monday, a few weeks after they extended his contract thru next year. Giants went 81-81 this year, but new GM Buster Posey didn’t hire him. Lot of times GM’s want to hire “their guy” as manager.
A 3-time Manager of the Year who won the award in both leagues, Melvin has a career regular-season record of 1,678-1,588 with 8 postseason appearances for five different teams. Melvin made the playoffs six times in 10 years with the A’s; he is a very good manager.
— Minnesota Twins fired manager Rocco Baldelli after they went 70-92 this year, while the team was going a tumultuous season in the front office, owner-wise. Baldelli made the playoffs three times in seven seasons managing the Twins.
— How the five biggest baseball payrolls made out this season:
$350,300,236- Dodgers won NL West
$342,377,486- Mets went 83-79, missed the playoffs
$300,187,616- Bronx is #1 Wild Card in AL
$290,286,320- Phillies won NL East
$255,380,936- Blue Jays won AL East
— How the five smallest baseball payrolls made out this season:
$67,950,708- Marlins went 79-83, 41-40 on the road
$78,824,978- White Sox went 60-102, 19 games better than last year.
$79,118,043- A’s went 76-86, seven games better than last year.
$84,423,338- Pirates went 71-91; they were 44-37 at home.
$87,629,788- Rays went 77-85 playing home games on a minor league field.
— Famous birthdays, September 30th:
Angie Dickinson, 94
Dave Magadan, 63
Eric Piatkowski, 55
Jenna Elfman, 54
Jamal Anderson, 53
Kenley Jansen, 38
Aaron Holiday, 29
Jesus Luzardo, 28
— After the Jaguars upset San Francisco 26-21 Sunday, 49ers defensive coordinator Robert Saleh accused Jacksonville and its head coach, Liam Coen, of using a sign-stealing system.
In the week leading up to the game, Saleh claimed that Coen and the Jaguars use an “advanced” legal sign-stealing system while speaking with reporters.
After Sunday’s win, all Coen said was; “Not a big deal. We’ll keep that between us.”
— Arkansas Razorbacks fired football coach Sam Pittman Monday, named Bobby Petrino their interim coach. Arkansas was 32-34 under Pittman, losing their last three games, including a loss to Memphis when the Razorbacks blew an 18-point lead.
Petrino is 119-56 as a college coach; he was Lamar Jackson’s coach at Louisville. He also was 34-17 as coach of Arkansas, back from 2008-11.
— Weird college football stat: Under Lincoln Riley, USC is 0-12 ATS as a road favorite, in games not played in California.
— Houston Astros missed the baseball playoffs this year for the first time since 2016.
— Baseball is a long season, lot of ups and downs:
Cleveland Guardians made the playoffs, despite a 10-game losing streak from June 26-July 6.
— Detroit Tigers also made the playoffs.
From July 9th-26th, Tigers went 1-12…..from September 16-24, they went 0-8.
— Mets had a lot of expectations this year with such a big payroll- that put a lot of pressure on them, and they wound up missing the playoffs, losing 2 of 3 games in Miami over the weekend. Mets finished 83-79.
Mets were 45-25 on June 13th; rest of the season, they went 38-54.
After Sunday’s win, Miami’s team had a team picture taken in front of their dugout, like they were celebrating something. Marlins finished 79-83, going over their season over/under win total by 15.5 games. They had a very good season.
- Sep 10, 2018
- 19,474
- 25
- 48
NFL
Week 5
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Trend Report
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Thursday, October 2
8:15 PM ET
San Francisco VS Los Angeles
San Francisco is 3-10 ATS in its last 13 games.
The total has gone OVER in 5 of San Francisco's last 7 games.
San Francisco is 4-8 SU in its last 12 games.
San Francisco is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games against LA Rams.
LA Rams is 6-1 ATS in its last 7 games.
LA Rams is 9-3 SU in its last 12 games.
The total has gone OVER in 4 of LA Rams' last 5 games against San Francisco.
LA Rams is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games at home.
Sunday, October 5
9:30 AM ET
Minnesota VS Cleveland
Minnesota is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games.
Minnesota is 11-4 SU in its last 15 games.
Minnesota is 7-2 SU in its last 9 games against Cleveland.
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Minnesota's last 6 games on the road.
Cleveland is 2-8 ATS in its last 10 games.
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Cleveland's last 9 games.
Cleveland is 1-9 SU in its last 10 games.
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Cleveland's last 6 games at home.
1:00 PM ET
New York VS New Orleans
NY Giants is 4-12 ATS in its last 16 games.
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of NY Giants' last 5 games.
NY Giants is 2-14 SU in its last 16 games.
NY Giants is 3-7 SU in its last 10 games against New Orleans.
New Orleans is 2-5 ATS in its last 7 games.
The total has gone OVER in 4 of New Orleans' last 5 games.
New Orleans is 0-8 SU in its last 8 games.
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of New Orleans' last 5 games against NY Giants.
1:00 PM ET
Houston VS Baltimore
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Houston's last 5 games.
Houston is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games.
Houston is 0-5 ATS in its last 5 games against Baltimore.
Houston is 0-6 SU in its last 6 games against Baltimore.
Baltimore is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games.
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Baltimore's last 5 games.
Baltimore is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games.
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Baltimore's last 5 games against Houston.
1:00 PM ET
Miami VS Carolina
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Miami's last 5 games.
Miami is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games.
Miami is 7-1 ATS in its last 8 games against Carolina.
Miami is 6-2 SU in its last 8 games against Carolina.
Carolina is 9-4 ATS in its last 13 games.
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Carolina's last 8 games.
Carolina is 3-8 SU in its last 11 games.
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Carolina's last 6 games against Miami.
1:00 PM ET
Las Vegas VS Indianapolis
Las Vegas is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games.
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Las Vegas' last 10 games.
Las Vegas is 3-14 SU in its last 17 games.
Las Vegas is 10-5 ATS in its last 15 games against Indianapolis.
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Indianapolis' last 7 games.
Indianapolis is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games.
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Indianapolis' last 7 games against Las Vegas.
Indianapolis is 7-2 SU in its last 9 games at home.
1:00 PM ET
Dallas VS New York
The total has gone OVER in 8 of Dallas' last 12 games.
Dallas is 1-4-1 SU in its last 6 games.
Dallas is 4-1-1 ATS in its last 6 games against NY Jets.
Dallas is 2-5 SU in its last 7 games on the road.
NY Jets is 6-12 ATS in its last 18 games.
The total has gone OVER in 5 of NY Jets' last 6 games.
NY Jets is 1-6 SU in its last 7 games.
NY Jets is 1-5 SU in its last 6 games at home.
1:00 PM ET
Denver VS Philadelphia
Denver is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games.
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Denver's last 6 games.
Denver is 4-2 ATS in its last 6 games against Philadelphia.
Denver is 4-8 SU in its last 12 games against Philadelphia.
Philadelphia is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games.
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Philadelphia's last 7 games.
Philadelphia is 10-0 SU in its last 10 games.
The total has gone OVER in 7 of Philadelphia's last 8 games against Denver.
4:05 PM ET
Tennessee VS Arizona
Tennessee is 1-9 ATS in its last 10 games.
Tennessee is 0-10 SU in its last 10 games.
Tennessee is 0-5 ATS in its last 5 games against Arizona.
Tennessee is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games against Arizona.
Arizona is 10-5 ATS in its last 15 games.
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Arizona's last 6 games.
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Arizona's last 5 games against Tennessee.
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Arizona's last 5 games at home.
4:05 PM ET
Tampa Bay VS Seattle
Tampa Bay is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games.
The total has gone OVER in 13 of Tampa Bay's last 19 games.
Tampa Bay is 9-3 SU in its last 12 games.
Tampa Bay is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games against Seattle.
Seattle is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games.
The total has gone UNDER in 9 of Seattle's last 12 games against Tampa Bay.
Seattle is 2-7 ATS in its last 9 games at home.
Seattle is 5-2 SU in its last 7 games when playing at home against Tampa Bay.
4:25 PM ET
Washington VS Los Angeles
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Washington's last 6 games.
Washington is 9-3 SU in its last 12 games.
Washington is 1-4-1 ATS in its last 6 games against LA Chargers.
Washington is 1-5 SU in its last 6 games against LA Chargers.
LA Chargers is 12-4 ATS in its last 16 games.
The total has gone OVER in 6 of LA Chargers' last 9 games.
LA Chargers is 6-2 SU in its last 8 games.
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of LA Chargers' last 6 games against Washington.
4:25 PM ET
Detroit VS Cincinnati
Detroit is 6-2 ATS in its last 8 games.
The total has gone OVER in 7 of Detroit's last 10 games.
Detroit is 17-3 SU in its last 20 games.
Detroit is 1-6 ATS in its last 7 games against Cincinnati.
Cincinnati is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games.
The total has gone OVER in 13 of Cincinnati's last 20 games.
Cincinnati is 7-2 SU in its last 9 games.
The total has gone OVER in 7 of Cincinnati's last 8 games at home.
8:20 PM ET
New England VS Buffalo
The total has gone OVER in 8 of New England's last 11 games.
New England is 5-15 SU in its last 20 games.
New England is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games against Buffalo.
New England is 2-6 SU in its last 8 games against Buffalo.
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Buffalo's last 6 games.
Buffalo is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games.
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Buffalo's last 5 games against New England.
Buffalo is 13-0 SU in its last 13 games at home.
Monday, October 6
8:15 PM ET
Kansas City VS Jacksonville
Kansas City is 6-12 ATS in its last 18 games.
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Kansas City's last 6 games.
Kansas City is 15-5 SU in its last 20 games.
Kansas City is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games against Jacksonville.
Jacksonville is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games.
Jacksonville is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games.
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Jacksonville's last 7 games against Kansas City.
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Jacksonville's last 6 games at home.
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Week 5
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Trend Report
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Thursday, October 2
8:15 PM ET
San Francisco VS Los Angeles
San Francisco is 3-10 ATS in its last 13 games.
The total has gone OVER in 5 of San Francisco's last 7 games.
San Francisco is 4-8 SU in its last 12 games.
San Francisco is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games against LA Rams.
LA Rams is 6-1 ATS in its last 7 games.
LA Rams is 9-3 SU in its last 12 games.
The total has gone OVER in 4 of LA Rams' last 5 games against San Francisco.
LA Rams is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games at home.
Sunday, October 5
9:30 AM ET
Minnesota VS Cleveland
Minnesota is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games.
Minnesota is 11-4 SU in its last 15 games.
Minnesota is 7-2 SU in its last 9 games against Cleveland.
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Minnesota's last 6 games on the road.
Cleveland is 2-8 ATS in its last 10 games.
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Cleveland's last 9 games.
Cleveland is 1-9 SU in its last 10 games.
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Cleveland's last 6 games at home.
1:00 PM ET
New York VS New Orleans
NY Giants is 4-12 ATS in its last 16 games.
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of NY Giants' last 5 games.
NY Giants is 2-14 SU in its last 16 games.
NY Giants is 3-7 SU in its last 10 games against New Orleans.
New Orleans is 2-5 ATS in its last 7 games.
The total has gone OVER in 4 of New Orleans' last 5 games.
New Orleans is 0-8 SU in its last 8 games.
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of New Orleans' last 5 games against NY Giants.
1:00 PM ET
Houston VS Baltimore
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Houston's last 5 games.
Houston is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games.
Houston is 0-5 ATS in its last 5 games against Baltimore.
Houston is 0-6 SU in its last 6 games against Baltimore.
Baltimore is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games.
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Baltimore's last 5 games.
Baltimore is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games.
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Baltimore's last 5 games against Houston.
1:00 PM ET
Miami VS Carolina
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Miami's last 5 games.
Miami is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games.
Miami is 7-1 ATS in its last 8 games against Carolina.
Miami is 6-2 SU in its last 8 games against Carolina.
Carolina is 9-4 ATS in its last 13 games.
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Carolina's last 8 games.
Carolina is 3-8 SU in its last 11 games.
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Carolina's last 6 games against Miami.
1:00 PM ET
Las Vegas VS Indianapolis
Las Vegas is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games.
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Las Vegas' last 10 games.
Las Vegas is 3-14 SU in its last 17 games.
Las Vegas is 10-5 ATS in its last 15 games against Indianapolis.
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Indianapolis' last 7 games.
Indianapolis is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games.
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Indianapolis' last 7 games against Las Vegas.
Indianapolis is 7-2 SU in its last 9 games at home.
1:00 PM ET
Dallas VS New York
The total has gone OVER in 8 of Dallas' last 12 games.
Dallas is 1-4-1 SU in its last 6 games.
Dallas is 4-1-1 ATS in its last 6 games against NY Jets.
Dallas is 2-5 SU in its last 7 games on the road.
NY Jets is 6-12 ATS in its last 18 games.
The total has gone OVER in 5 of NY Jets' last 6 games.
NY Jets is 1-6 SU in its last 7 games.
NY Jets is 1-5 SU in its last 6 games at home.
1:00 PM ET
Denver VS Philadelphia
Denver is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games.
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Denver's last 6 games.
Denver is 4-2 ATS in its last 6 games against Philadelphia.
Denver is 4-8 SU in its last 12 games against Philadelphia.
Philadelphia is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games.
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Philadelphia's last 7 games.
Philadelphia is 10-0 SU in its last 10 games.
The total has gone OVER in 7 of Philadelphia's last 8 games against Denver.
4:05 PM ET
Tennessee VS Arizona
Tennessee is 1-9 ATS in its last 10 games.
Tennessee is 0-10 SU in its last 10 games.
Tennessee is 0-5 ATS in its last 5 games against Arizona.
Tennessee is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games against Arizona.
Arizona is 10-5 ATS in its last 15 games.
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Arizona's last 6 games.
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Arizona's last 5 games against Tennessee.
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Arizona's last 5 games at home.
4:05 PM ET
Tampa Bay VS Seattle
Tampa Bay is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games.
The total has gone OVER in 13 of Tampa Bay's last 19 games.
Tampa Bay is 9-3 SU in its last 12 games.
Tampa Bay is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games against Seattle.
Seattle is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games.
The total has gone UNDER in 9 of Seattle's last 12 games against Tampa Bay.
Seattle is 2-7 ATS in its last 9 games at home.
Seattle is 5-2 SU in its last 7 games when playing at home against Tampa Bay.
4:25 PM ET
Washington VS Los Angeles
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Washington's last 6 games.
Washington is 9-3 SU in its last 12 games.
Washington is 1-4-1 ATS in its last 6 games against LA Chargers.
Washington is 1-5 SU in its last 6 games against LA Chargers.
LA Chargers is 12-4 ATS in its last 16 games.
The total has gone OVER in 6 of LA Chargers' last 9 games.
LA Chargers is 6-2 SU in its last 8 games.
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of LA Chargers' last 6 games against Washington.
4:25 PM ET
Detroit VS Cincinnati
Detroit is 6-2 ATS in its last 8 games.
The total has gone OVER in 7 of Detroit's last 10 games.
Detroit is 17-3 SU in its last 20 games.
Detroit is 1-6 ATS in its last 7 games against Cincinnati.
Cincinnati is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games.
The total has gone OVER in 13 of Cincinnati's last 20 games.
Cincinnati is 7-2 SU in its last 9 games.
The total has gone OVER in 7 of Cincinnati's last 8 games at home.
8:20 PM ET
New England VS Buffalo
The total has gone OVER in 8 of New England's last 11 games.
New England is 5-15 SU in its last 20 games.
New England is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games against Buffalo.
New England is 2-6 SU in its last 8 games against Buffalo.
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Buffalo's last 6 games.
Buffalo is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games.
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Buffalo's last 5 games against New England.
Buffalo is 13-0 SU in its last 13 games at home.
Monday, October 6
8:15 PM ET
Kansas City VS Jacksonville
Kansas City is 6-12 ATS in its last 18 games.
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Kansas City's last 6 games.
Kansas City is 15-5 SU in its last 20 games.
Kansas City is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games against Jacksonville.
Jacksonville is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games.
Jacksonville is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games.
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Jacksonville's last 7 games against Kansas City.
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Jacksonville's last 6 games at home.
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Wednesday’s 6-pack:
Most receiving yards in NFL, Week 4:
170— Puka Nucua, Rams
134— George Pickens,
126— Justin Jefferson, Vikings
126— DK Metcalf, Steelers
114— Jordan Addison, Vikings
110—Drake London, Falcons
Quote of the Day
“It’s a challenge that it doesn’t matter how difficult it is, no one [outside the building] really cares. You have to find a way to get yourself to continue to get better, like all teams, for you to stay in the win column.”
Dolphins coach Mike McDaniel
Wednesday’s quiz
When was the last time the World Series went to seven games?
Tuesday’s quiz
In the history of the New York Jets, Joe Namath has thrown for the most yards.
Monday’s quiz
Matthew Stafford played his college football at Georgia.
****************************************************
Cleveland had tying run on third, no one out in 9th inning, but didn’t score.
Tarik Skubal struck out 14 guys in 7 IP, throwing 107 pitches.
Zach McKinstry knocked the game-winning run in with a sac bunt in 7th inning.
— Cubs 3, Padres 1
Chicago’s bullpen got 14 outs, didn’t allow a baserunner.
Suzuki/Kelly hit back/back home runs in fifth inning.
Top three hitters in San Diego’s lineup were a combined 0-11.
— Red Sox 3, Bronx 1
Yoshida’s 7th inning pinch-hit single was a game-winner.
Max Fried got 19 outs, didn’t allow a run.
New York’s bullpen gave up three runs in 2.2 IP.
Bronx had bases loaded, none out in 9th inning, but didn’t score.
— Dodgers 10, Reds 5
Hernandez, Ohtani both homered twice for the Dodgers.
Pitching in his hometown, Reds P Greene gave up 5 runs in three IP
Blake Snell allowed four hits in seven IP.
— Since the current best-of-three Wild Card series began in 2022, road teams have won 8 of 12 series including three of four last year.
How big is Game 1? The winner of Game 1 has won all 12 series, 10 of those in a 2-game sweep.
— Toronto Blue Jays have a bye this week; they’re hosting intrasquad games at Rogers Centre this week, to keep their players sharp. Fans can attend for $10.
First pitch is 4:00, with gates opening at 3:15. Games “will be four to five innings and structured as informal scrimmages, featuring players from the Blue Jays and AAA Buffalo Bisons”
— Angels parted ways Tuesday with manager Ron Washington, interim manager Ray Montgomery. 73-year old Washington was 99-137 managing the Angels; he had health issues this year and missed most of the season.
— Giants’ SS Willie Adames hit 30 home runs this year, the first player to hit 30 homers in one season for San Francisco since Barry Bonds, in 2004.
— Famous birthdays, October 1st
Julie Andrews, 90
Rod Carew, 80
Mark McGwire, 62
Zach Galifianakis, 56
Matt Cain, 41
Brie Larson, 36
Dustin Hopkins, 35
Robbie Ray, 34
Xander Bogaerts, 33
Cedric Mullins, 31
Otto Lopez, 27
Jordan Whittington, 25
— College football conference ATS trends:
American- Home teams 1-7 ATS in conference play.
ACC- Non-conference home favorites are 6-11 ATS
Big 18- Underdogs are 9-4 ATS in conference games.
Big X- Home favorites are 6-3 ATS in conference games.
C-USA- Home teams are 6-3 ATS in non-conference games.
MAC- Home teams are 5-0 ATS in conference games.
Mountain West- Teams are 21-10 ATS in non-conference games.
SEC- Underdogs are 8-4 ATS in conference games.
Sun Belt- Home teams are 4-1 ATS in conference games.
— NFL divisional ATS trends:
AFC East- home teams 1-3 ATS in divisional games.
AFC North- teams are 4-8 ATS in non-divisional games.
AFC South- teams are 5-5 ATS in non-divisional games.
AFC West- teams are 5-5 ATS in non-divisional games.
NFC East- teams are 6-4 ATS in non-divisional games.
NFC North- home teams are 4-1 ATS in non-divisional games.
NFC South- home teams are 1-4 ATS in non-divisional games.
NFC West- teams are 7-3 ATS in non-divisional games.
— Dolphins WR Tyreek Hill dislocated his left knee Monday night, is out for the rest of this year and maybe longer- he’ll need multiple surgeries.
— There is a survivor pool at the Circa Sportsbook in Las Vegas that has over 12,000 entries; this past week, 784 people got knocked out when the Chargers lost to the Giants.
— Sunday was Davante Adams’ 64th career game with 50+ receiving yards and a receiving touchdown.
That is 5th-most in the last 25 years, behind:
73- Larry Fitzgerald
69- Antonio Gates
68- Terrell Owens
66- Mike Evans
— Tampa Bay kicker Chase McLaughlin kicked a 65-yard field goal, the longest outdoor field goal in NFL history.
— Random trivia: Jesse Owens won four gold medals at the 1936 Olympics in Germany, one of which was in the 200-meter sprint, where he set a new Olympic record.
The person who won the silver medal in the 200-meter sprint was Matthew Robinson, who also broke the Olympic record in that race. He had a younger brother who was became a lot more famous, baseball player Jackie Robinson.
Most receiving yards in NFL, Week 4:
170— Puka Nucua, Rams
134— George Pickens,
126— Justin Jefferson, Vikings
126— DK Metcalf, Steelers
114— Jordan Addison, Vikings
110—Drake London, Falcons
Quote of the Day
“It’s a challenge that it doesn’t matter how difficult it is, no one [outside the building] really cares. You have to find a way to get yourself to continue to get better, like all teams, for you to stay in the win column.”
Dolphins coach Mike McDaniel
Wednesday’s quiz
When was the last time the World Series went to seven games?
Tuesday’s quiz
In the history of the New York Jets, Joe Namath has thrown for the most yards.
Monday’s quiz
Matthew Stafford played his college football at Georgia.
****************************************************
Wednesday’s Den: Mid-week musings…….
— Tigers 2, Guardians 1Cleveland had tying run on third, no one out in 9th inning, but didn’t score.
Tarik Skubal struck out 14 guys in 7 IP, throwing 107 pitches.
Zach McKinstry knocked the game-winning run in with a sac bunt in 7th inning.
— Cubs 3, Padres 1
Chicago’s bullpen got 14 outs, didn’t allow a baserunner.
Suzuki/Kelly hit back/back home runs in fifth inning.
Top three hitters in San Diego’s lineup were a combined 0-11.
— Red Sox 3, Bronx 1
Yoshida’s 7th inning pinch-hit single was a game-winner.
Max Fried got 19 outs, didn’t allow a run.
New York’s bullpen gave up three runs in 2.2 IP.
Bronx had bases loaded, none out in 9th inning, but didn’t score.
— Dodgers 10, Reds 5
Hernandez, Ohtani both homered twice for the Dodgers.
Pitching in his hometown, Reds P Greene gave up 5 runs in three IP
Blake Snell allowed four hits in seven IP.
— Since the current best-of-three Wild Card series began in 2022, road teams have won 8 of 12 series including three of four last year.
How big is Game 1? The winner of Game 1 has won all 12 series, 10 of those in a 2-game sweep.
— Toronto Blue Jays have a bye this week; they’re hosting intrasquad games at Rogers Centre this week, to keep their players sharp. Fans can attend for $10.
First pitch is 4:00, with gates opening at 3:15. Games “will be four to five innings and structured as informal scrimmages, featuring players from the Blue Jays and AAA Buffalo Bisons”
— Angels parted ways Tuesday with manager Ron Washington, interim manager Ray Montgomery. 73-year old Washington was 99-137 managing the Angels; he had health issues this year and missed most of the season.
— Giants’ SS Willie Adames hit 30 home runs this year, the first player to hit 30 homers in one season for San Francisco since Barry Bonds, in 2004.
— Famous birthdays, October 1st
Julie Andrews, 90
Rod Carew, 80
Mark McGwire, 62
Zach Galifianakis, 56
Matt Cain, 41
Brie Larson, 36
Dustin Hopkins, 35
Robbie Ray, 34
Xander Bogaerts, 33
Cedric Mullins, 31
Otto Lopez, 27
Jordan Whittington, 25
— College football conference ATS trends:
American- Home teams 1-7 ATS in conference play.
ACC- Non-conference home favorites are 6-11 ATS
Big 18- Underdogs are 9-4 ATS in conference games.
Big X- Home favorites are 6-3 ATS in conference games.
C-USA- Home teams are 6-3 ATS in non-conference games.
MAC- Home teams are 5-0 ATS in conference games.
Mountain West- Teams are 21-10 ATS in non-conference games.
SEC- Underdogs are 8-4 ATS in conference games.
Sun Belt- Home teams are 4-1 ATS in conference games.
— NFL divisional ATS trends:
AFC East- home teams 1-3 ATS in divisional games.
AFC North- teams are 4-8 ATS in non-divisional games.
AFC South- teams are 5-5 ATS in non-divisional games.
AFC West- teams are 5-5 ATS in non-divisional games.
NFC East- teams are 6-4 ATS in non-divisional games.
NFC North- home teams are 4-1 ATS in non-divisional games.
NFC South- home teams are 1-4 ATS in non-divisional games.
NFC West- teams are 7-3 ATS in non-divisional games.
— Dolphins WR Tyreek Hill dislocated his left knee Monday night, is out for the rest of this year and maybe longer- he’ll need multiple surgeries.
— There is a survivor pool at the Circa Sportsbook in Las Vegas that has over 12,000 entries; this past week, 784 people got knocked out when the Chargers lost to the Giants.
— Sunday was Davante Adams’ 64th career game with 50+ receiving yards and a receiving touchdown.
That is 5th-most in the last 25 years, behind:
73- Larry Fitzgerald
69- Antonio Gates
68- Terrell Owens
66- Mike Evans
— Tampa Bay kicker Chase McLaughlin kicked a 65-yard field goal, the longest outdoor field goal in NFL history.
— Random trivia: Jesse Owens won four gold medals at the 1936 Olympics in Germany, one of which was in the 200-meter sprint, where he set a new Olympic record.
The person who won the silver medal in the 200-meter sprint was Matthew Robinson, who also broke the Olympic record in that race. He had a younger brother who was became a lot more famous, baseball player Jackie Robinson.
- Sep 10, 2018
- 19,474
- 25
- 48
NFL
Weather Report
Thursday, October 2
NFL
Armadillo's Write-up
Week 5
Thursday
49ers @ Rams (–5.5)
49ers (3-1)
49ers’ four games were all decided by 5 or fewer points.
Last three games, SF ran ball for 77-73-83 yards.
Unclear whether Jones/Purdy will start at QB.
QB Purdy is 28-16 as an NFL starter; Jones is 22-30.
Shanahan is 81-67 as an NFL head coach
First four games, 49ers have allowed only 280.5 yards/game.
Last two games, 49ers were minus-5 in turnovers.
Since 2022, 49ers are 0-3 ATS as a road underdog.
49ers are 6-8 ATS in last 14 games coming off a loss.
49ers are 7-2-1 ATS last 10 NFC West road games.
Rams (3-1)
Rams allowed 9-19-20 points in wins, 33 in their one loss.
Rams won both their home games, 14-9/27-20.
QB Stafford is 42-26 as the Rams’ starter (116-119-1 overall).
McVay is 91-58 as an NFL head coach.
Rams have allowed only 285.8 yards/game.
Rams are 14-7-1 ATS in last 22 games coming off a win.
Rams are 9-13 ATS in last 22 games as a home favorite.
Rams are 3-2-1 ATS last six NFC West home games.
NFL-wide, home favorites are 9-5 ATS in divisional games.
Rams won three of last four series games.
49ers won five of last seven visits to Los Angeles.
Underdogs are 4-0-1 ATS in last five series games.
Under is 4-2 in last six meetings.
Weather Report
Thursday, October 2
NFL
Armadillo's Write-up
Week 5
Thursday
49ers @ Rams (–5.5)
49ers (3-1)
49ers’ four games were all decided by 5 or fewer points.
Last three games, SF ran ball for 77-73-83 yards.
Unclear whether Jones/Purdy will start at QB.
QB Purdy is 28-16 as an NFL starter; Jones is 22-30.
Shanahan is 81-67 as an NFL head coach
First four games, 49ers have allowed only 280.5 yards/game.
Last two games, 49ers were minus-5 in turnovers.
Since 2022, 49ers are 0-3 ATS as a road underdog.
49ers are 6-8 ATS in last 14 games coming off a loss.
49ers are 7-2-1 ATS last 10 NFC West road games.
Rams (3-1)
Rams allowed 9-19-20 points in wins, 33 in their one loss.
Rams won both their home games, 14-9/27-20.
QB Stafford is 42-26 as the Rams’ starter (116-119-1 overall).
McVay is 91-58 as an NFL head coach.
Rams have allowed only 285.8 yards/game.
Rams are 14-7-1 ATS in last 22 games coming off a win.
Rams are 9-13 ATS in last 22 games as a home favorite.
Rams are 3-2-1 ATS last six NFC West home games.
NFL-wide, home favorites are 9-5 ATS in divisional games.
Rams won three of last four series games.
49ers won five of last seven visits to Los Angeles.
Underdogs are 4-0-1 ATS in last five series games.
Under is 4-2 in last six meetings.
Thursday’s 6-pack:
Best college football teams against the spread this year:
5-0— Louisiana Tech
5-0— Memphis
5-0— Mississippi State
5-0— Utah State
4-0— James Madison
3-0-1— Ohio State
Quote of the Day
“From the second he’s (Dillon Gabriel) been here, he’s been working very hard. He’s a very intelligent young man. He’s done a nice job throughout practice, and this whole season he’s been learning how to get yourself ready and understand the rhythm of an NFL week and what that looks like as a backup. Obviously, now feel like he’s ready to go as a starter.”
Browns coach Kevin Stefanski
Thursday’s quiz
Which major league team has gone the longest since the last time they won a playoff series?
Wednesday’s quiz
2019 was last time the World Series went to seven games, when Washington beat Houston.
Tuesday’s quiz
In the history of the New York Jets, Joe Namath has thrown for the most yards.
************************************************
Here is the schedule:
3:00 Tigers @ Cleveland
5:00 Padres @ Chicago
8:00 Red Sox @ New York
This is the first time since 1981 there are three winner-take-all games on the same day.
— Guardians 6, Tigers 1
Cleveland scored five runs in the bottom of the 8th.
Rocchio, Naylor homered in that 8th inning.
Flaherty vs Cecconi is Thursday’s matchup.
— Padres 3, Cubs 0
San Diego bullpen got 16 outs, allowed one baserunner.
Machado hit a 2-run homer in the fifth inning.
Darvish vs Taillon is Thursday’s matchup.
— New York 4, Red Sox 3
Austin Wells had game-winning hit, in the 8th inning.
Trevor Story knocked in all three Boston runs.
Early vs Schlittler is Thursday’s matchup.
— Dodgers 8, Reds 4
Mookie Betts went 4-for-5, with three RBI
Spots 7-9 in Dodger batting order went 7-12 with five runs scored.
Dodgers move on to play the Phillies in the next round.
— Monday in New York City, Mets’ president of baseball operations David Stearns hosted a press conference the day after the Mets’ season ended without the Mets making the playoffs, even though their payroll was $340,085,003.
What went wrong? Mets were 45-25 on June 13th, then went 38-54 the rest of the season.
Lot of tough questions at the news conference, Stearns kept his cool, it is all part of the job, but it had to be a rough couple of hours for him.
Juan Soto, Francisco Lindor, Pete Alonso earned a combined $125,975,000 this year, that’s $126M for three guys, but three really good guys, money well spent. Some of the other high-paid players didn’t do so well.
$22,009,731- Sean Manaea
$20,250,000- Brandon Nimmo
$19,500,000- Starling Marte
$17,000,000- Frankie Montas
$7,500,000- Jesse Winker
These are the guys that Stearns has to answer for; the Marlins had a payroll of $69,510,827 and they went 79-83, only four games behind the Mets.
By way of comparison, Stearns’ old team, the Milwaukee Brewers had the #23 payroll this year, $115,136,217, and they got a first round bye in the playoffs.
— Famous birthdays, October 2nd:
Lorraine Bracco, 71
Dave Beard, 66
Mark Rypien, 63
Kelly Ripa, 55
Aaron McKie, 53
Tyson Chandler, 43
Joe Ingels, 38
Lance McCullers Jr, 32
— Brian Snitker won’t be back as manager of the Atlanta Braves next year; he went 835-691 in 10 years managing the Braves, winning the 2021 World Series, but Snitker is going to be 70 in a couple weeks, and the Braves went 76-86 this year, their first losing season since 2017.
— Colorado Rockies went 43-119 this year; they fired GM Bill Schmidt this week, largely because their team really sucks- the last three years, they’ve lost 323 games. Colorado had winning years as recently as 2017-2018, but that seems like a long time ago.
— Red Sox P Garrett Crochet threw 100+ pitches in 16 games this season, the most of any major league pitcher this year.
— Movie of the Day: Hustle (2022)- A basketball scout discovers a great ballplayer in Spain, and sees the prospect as his chance to move up from scouting to being an assistant coach.
Adam Sandler is the scout, Queen Latifah is his wife, Robert Duvall has a cameo as the owner of the 76ers, and a lot of NBA players appear in the movie.
If you like basketball, you’ll like this movie. It is really good.
— Cleveland Browns will start rookie QB Dillon Gabriel Sunday when they play the Vikings in London; Browns scored only 14 ppg in their 1-3 start.
Gabriel will become the 41st different quarterback the Browns have started since returning to the NFL in 1999, the most in the league during that time.
— Last 25 years, 2018 Houston Texans are the only team that started a season 0-3 and made the playoffs that year.
— Pitches thrown by the starting pitchers the last couple days:
Tigers- Skubal 107, Mize 62
Guardians- Williams 88, Bibee 87
Red Sox- Crochet 117, Bello 28
Bronx- Fried 102, Rodon 91
Padres- Pivetta 85, Cease 69
Cubs- Boyd 58, Imanaga 67 (opener Kittredge threw 20)
Reds- Greene 65, Littell 52
Dodgers- Snell 91, Yamamoto 113
Best college football teams against the spread this year:
5-0— Louisiana Tech
5-0— Memphis
5-0— Mississippi State
5-0— Utah State
4-0— James Madison
3-0-1— Ohio State
Quote of the Day
“From the second he’s (Dillon Gabriel) been here, he’s been working very hard. He’s a very intelligent young man. He’s done a nice job throughout practice, and this whole season he’s been learning how to get yourself ready and understand the rhythm of an NFL week and what that looks like as a backup. Obviously, now feel like he’s ready to go as a starter.”
Browns coach Kevin Stefanski
Thursday’s quiz
Which major league team has gone the longest since the last time they won a playoff series?
Wednesday’s quiz
2019 was last time the World Series went to seven games, when Washington beat Houston.
Tuesday’s quiz
In the history of the New York Jets, Joe Namath has thrown for the most yards.
************************************************
Thursday’s Den: Doing some thinking out loud…….
— ESPN had a good day Wednesday; three of the four Wild Card series are tied 1-1, so we have three winner-take-all games Thursday. Winner-take-all games get good ratings.Here is the schedule:
3:00 Tigers @ Cleveland
5:00 Padres @ Chicago
8:00 Red Sox @ New York
This is the first time since 1981 there are three winner-take-all games on the same day.
— Guardians 6, Tigers 1
Cleveland scored five runs in the bottom of the 8th.
Rocchio, Naylor homered in that 8th inning.
Flaherty vs Cecconi is Thursday’s matchup.
— Padres 3, Cubs 0
San Diego bullpen got 16 outs, allowed one baserunner.
Machado hit a 2-run homer in the fifth inning.
Darvish vs Taillon is Thursday’s matchup.
— New York 4, Red Sox 3
Austin Wells had game-winning hit, in the 8th inning.
Trevor Story knocked in all three Boston runs.
Early vs Schlittler is Thursday’s matchup.
— Dodgers 8, Reds 4
Mookie Betts went 4-for-5, with three RBI
Spots 7-9 in Dodger batting order went 7-12 with five runs scored.
Dodgers move on to play the Phillies in the next round.
— Monday in New York City, Mets’ president of baseball operations David Stearns hosted a press conference the day after the Mets’ season ended without the Mets making the playoffs, even though their payroll was $340,085,003.
What went wrong? Mets were 45-25 on June 13th, then went 38-54 the rest of the season.
Lot of tough questions at the news conference, Stearns kept his cool, it is all part of the job, but it had to be a rough couple of hours for him.
Juan Soto, Francisco Lindor, Pete Alonso earned a combined $125,975,000 this year, that’s $126M for three guys, but three really good guys, money well spent. Some of the other high-paid players didn’t do so well.
$22,009,731- Sean Manaea
$20,250,000- Brandon Nimmo
$19,500,000- Starling Marte
$17,000,000- Frankie Montas
$7,500,000- Jesse Winker
These are the guys that Stearns has to answer for; the Marlins had a payroll of $69,510,827 and they went 79-83, only four games behind the Mets.
By way of comparison, Stearns’ old team, the Milwaukee Brewers had the #23 payroll this year, $115,136,217, and they got a first round bye in the playoffs.
— Famous birthdays, October 2nd:
Lorraine Bracco, 71
Dave Beard, 66
Mark Rypien, 63
Kelly Ripa, 55
Aaron McKie, 53
Tyson Chandler, 43
Joe Ingels, 38
Lance McCullers Jr, 32
— Brian Snitker won’t be back as manager of the Atlanta Braves next year; he went 835-691 in 10 years managing the Braves, winning the 2021 World Series, but Snitker is going to be 70 in a couple weeks, and the Braves went 76-86 this year, their first losing season since 2017.
— Colorado Rockies went 43-119 this year; they fired GM Bill Schmidt this week, largely because their team really sucks- the last three years, they’ve lost 323 games. Colorado had winning years as recently as 2017-2018, but that seems like a long time ago.
— Red Sox P Garrett Crochet threw 100+ pitches in 16 games this season, the most of any major league pitcher this year.
— Movie of the Day: Hustle (2022)- A basketball scout discovers a great ballplayer in Spain, and sees the prospect as his chance to move up from scouting to being an assistant coach.
Adam Sandler is the scout, Queen Latifah is his wife, Robert Duvall has a cameo as the owner of the 76ers, and a lot of NBA players appear in the movie.
If you like basketball, you’ll like this movie. It is really good.
— Cleveland Browns will start rookie QB Dillon Gabriel Sunday when they play the Vikings in London; Browns scored only 14 ppg in their 1-3 start.
Gabriel will become the 41st different quarterback the Browns have started since returning to the NFL in 1999, the most in the league during that time.
— Last 25 years, 2018 Houston Texans are the only team that started a season 0-3 and made the playoffs that year.
— Pitches thrown by the starting pitchers the last couple days:
Tigers- Skubal 107, Mize 62
Guardians- Williams 88, Bibee 87
Red Sox- Crochet 117, Bello 28
Bronx- Fried 102, Rodon 91
Padres- Pivetta 85, Cease 69
Cubs- Boyd 58, Imanaga 67 (opener Kittredge threw 20)
Reds- Greene 65, Littell 52
Dodgers- Snell 91, Yamamoto 113
CNOTES NFL BEST BETS FOR OCTOBER !
10/02/2025......................1 - 1 - 0........................50.00%....................- 0.50
TOTALS...........................1 - 1 -- 0........................50.00%....................- 0.50
10/02/2025......................1 - 1 - 0........................50.00%....................- 0.50
TOTALS...........................1 - 1 -- 0........................50.00%....................- 0.50
Friday’s 6-pack:
Thru four weeks, most pass plays of 20+ yards:
17— Rams
16— 49ers
15— Raiders
14— Bills, Bears, Seahawks
13— Cowboys, Chargers, Buccaneers
12— Packers, Texans, Colts, Giants, Patriots
Quote of the Day
“I’d love to manage again. Obviously, Atlanta would be amazing, but there’s nothing to really elaborate on.”
Former major league catcher/manager David Ross
Friday’s quiz
In the history of the Houston Oilers/Tennessee Titans, who has thrown for the most yards?
Thursday’s quiz
1995 was the last time the Cincinnati Reds won a playoff series, the longest current drought in the major leagues.
Wednesday’s quiz
2019 was last time the World Series went to seven games, when Washington beat Houston.
*************************************************
Dillon Dingler hit the go-ahead homer in the 6th inning.
Tigers broke game open, scoring four runs in 7th inning.
Detroit-Seattle will meet in the ALDS.
— Cubs 3, Padres 1
Taillon allowed two baserunners in four scoreless IP (60 PT)
San Diego was 0-8 with runners in scoring position.
Cubs play Milwaukee in the NLDS.
— Bronx 4, Red Sox 0
Rookie Schlittler struck out 12 in eight scoreless IP.
Bronx scored all four of its runs in the fourth inning.
New York-Toronto will meet in the ALDS.
— 49ers 26, Rams 23 OT
SF stopped the Rams on 4th-and-1 to end the game.
Rams forced OT, kicking a 48-yard FG with 0:02 left
Rams also fumbled on the 49ers’ 1-yard line with 1:02 left.
49ers’ five games have all been decided by 5 or fewer points.
SF WR Bourne caught 10 passes for 142 yards.
49ers’ first two drives: 25 plays, 163 yards, 14 points.
49ers won six of last eight visits to Los Angeles.
Underdogs are 5-0-1 ATS in last six series games.
— New Mexico State 37, Sam Houston State 10
New Mexico State led 13-10 after the third quarter.
Aggies threw ball for 255 yards (9.4 yards/attempt)
Aggies were 9-13 on third down, Sam Houston 3-11
— Knicks 99, 76ers 84
Exhibition game was played in Abu Dhabi.
Knicks outscored Philly 28-18 in second quarter.
Knicks played 19 different players, 76ers played 13 guys.
— Movie of the Day: All the President’s Men (1976)- Washington Post reporters Bob Woodward and Carl Bernstein uncover details of the Watergate scandal that leads to President Richard Nixon’s resignation.
Tremendous cast: Robert Redford, Dustin Hoffman, Jack Warden, Hal Holbrook, Jason Robards, Martin Balsam, Ned Beatty, Meredith Baxter.
—Famous birthdays, October 3rd:
Dave Winfield, 74
Greg Foster, 57
Janel Moloney, 56
Anquan Boldin, 45
Courtney Lee, 40
Mike Gesicki, 30
CJ Abrams, 25
CJ Stroud, 24
Abdul Carter, 22
Seven baseball players who could be free agents this winter:
— Pete Alonso 1B- Has $24M option with the Mets for next year, but can probably make way more than that, even though he is 31. Last five years, he’s hit 195 homers, played in 158 games a year. Durable and productive; Mets will probably re-sign him.
— Luis Arraez 1B/2B- Won three of last four batting titles, slumped to .292 this year. Does not have a lot of power, not real fast, average fielder, but he gets a lot of hits.
— Bo Bichette SS- Hit .311 this year with an .840 OPS. Led the league in hits in 2021/2022; he had an injury-plagued season last year. Had 94 RBI this season.
— Alex Bregman 3B- Can opt out of the last two years of his contract, which would pay $80M; had an .821 OPS this year, his best since 2019. It is assumed that he will opt out.
— Kyle Schwarber OF/DH- Is 33 years old, but he hit 56 homers, had 132 RBI this year, has 187 homers the last four seasons. Philly is an excellent hitters’ park; should he stay there?
— Kyle Tucker OF- Hit 134 homers the last five years, has career OPS of .865. Hurt his hand in July and struggled in second half of season.
— Framber Valdez, P- Is 32 years old; over last four years, is 57-35 in 121 starts. He’s pitched in the playoffs five of the last six years.
Thru four weeks, most pass plays of 20+ yards:
17— Rams
16— 49ers
15— Raiders
14— Bills, Bears, Seahawks
13— Cowboys, Chargers, Buccaneers
12— Packers, Texans, Colts, Giants, Patriots
Quote of the Day
“I’d love to manage again. Obviously, Atlanta would be amazing, but there’s nothing to really elaborate on.”
Former major league catcher/manager David Ross
Friday’s quiz
In the history of the Houston Oilers/Tennessee Titans, who has thrown for the most yards?
Thursday’s quiz
1995 was the last time the Cincinnati Reds won a playoff series, the longest current drought in the major leagues.
Wednesday’s quiz
2019 was last time the World Series went to seven games, when Washington beat Houston.
*************************************************
Friday’s Den: Wrapping up a busy Thursday……
— Tigers 6, Guardians 3Dillon Dingler hit the go-ahead homer in the 6th inning.
Tigers broke game open, scoring four runs in 7th inning.
Detroit-Seattle will meet in the ALDS.
— Cubs 3, Padres 1
Taillon allowed two baserunners in four scoreless IP (60 PT)
San Diego was 0-8 with runners in scoring position.
Cubs play Milwaukee in the NLDS.
— Bronx 4, Red Sox 0
Rookie Schlittler struck out 12 in eight scoreless IP.
Bronx scored all four of its runs in the fourth inning.
New York-Toronto will meet in the ALDS.
— 49ers 26, Rams 23 OT
SF stopped the Rams on 4th-and-1 to end the game.
Rams forced OT, kicking a 48-yard FG with 0:02 left
Rams also fumbled on the 49ers’ 1-yard line with 1:02 left.
49ers’ five games have all been decided by 5 or fewer points.
SF WR Bourne caught 10 passes for 142 yards.
49ers’ first two drives: 25 plays, 163 yards, 14 points.
49ers won six of last eight visits to Los Angeles.
Underdogs are 5-0-1 ATS in last six series games.
— New Mexico State 37, Sam Houston State 10
New Mexico State led 13-10 after the third quarter.
Aggies threw ball for 255 yards (9.4 yards/attempt)
Aggies were 9-13 on third down, Sam Houston 3-11
— Knicks 99, 76ers 84
Exhibition game was played in Abu Dhabi.
Knicks outscored Philly 28-18 in second quarter.
Knicks played 19 different players, 76ers played 13 guys.
— Movie of the Day: All the President’s Men (1976)- Washington Post reporters Bob Woodward and Carl Bernstein uncover details of the Watergate scandal that leads to President Richard Nixon’s resignation.
Tremendous cast: Robert Redford, Dustin Hoffman, Jack Warden, Hal Holbrook, Jason Robards, Martin Balsam, Ned Beatty, Meredith Baxter.
—Famous birthdays, October 3rd:
Dave Winfield, 74
Greg Foster, 57
Janel Moloney, 56
Anquan Boldin, 45
Courtney Lee, 40
Mike Gesicki, 30
CJ Abrams, 25
CJ Stroud, 24
Abdul Carter, 22
Seven baseball players who could be free agents this winter:
— Pete Alonso 1B- Has $24M option with the Mets for next year, but can probably make way more than that, even though he is 31. Last five years, he’s hit 195 homers, played in 158 games a year. Durable and productive; Mets will probably re-sign him.
— Luis Arraez 1B/2B- Won three of last four batting titles, slumped to .292 this year. Does not have a lot of power, not real fast, average fielder, but he gets a lot of hits.
— Bo Bichette SS- Hit .311 this year with an .840 OPS. Led the league in hits in 2021/2022; he had an injury-plagued season last year. Had 94 RBI this season.
— Alex Bregman 3B- Can opt out of the last two years of his contract, which would pay $80M; had an .821 OPS this year, his best since 2019. It is assumed that he will opt out.
— Kyle Schwarber OF/DH- Is 33 years old, but he hit 56 homers, had 132 RBI this year, has 187 homers the last four seasons. Philly is an excellent hitters’ park; should he stay there?
— Kyle Tucker OF- Hit 134 homers the last five years, has career OPS of .865. Hurt his hand in July and struggled in second half of season.
— Framber Valdez, P- Is 32 years old; over last four years, is 57-35 in 121 starts. He’s pitched in the playoffs five of the last six years.
Saturday’s 6-pack:
Thru four weeks, teams with fewest pass plays of 20+ yards:
4— Saints
5— Cardinals
6— Commanders
7— Bengals, Dolphins
8— Browns, Jaguars, Eagles, Titans
9— Jets
Quote of the Day
“The Yankees, they’re not a good team. I don’t care what their record is.”
Blue Jays’ TV analyst Buck Martinez. Hopefully he was kidding.
Saturday’s quiz
Where did Jared Goff play his college football?
Friday’s quiz
In the history of the Houston Oilers/Tennessee Titans, Warren Moon has thrown for the most yards.
Thursday’s quiz
1995 was the last time the Cincinnati Reds won a playoff series, the longest current drought in the major leagues.
*************************************
(All teams 4 games/8 halves, except SF/Rams (5/10))
NFC East
Dallas:
outscored 34-7 on first drive of a half
outgained 197-88 on first drive of games
Giants:
10-10 on first drive of each half
last three weeks, Giants gained 190 yards on first drive of game.
Eagles:
outscored opponents 27-14 on first drive of a half
scored TD on first drive in 3 of 4 games.
Commanders:
outscored 16-10 on first drive of a half
first drives of a game: 17 plays, 43 yards
NFC North
Bears:
outscored opponents 28-10 on first drive of a half
have four takeaways in first drive of a half (+4)
first drive of half: 4 TD’s, 4 three/outs.
Lions:
outscored 35-27 on first drive of a half
Allowed a TD on first drive in all four games
39 plays, 325 yards, four TD’s
Packers:
outscored opponents 24-3 on first drive of a half
opponents’ first drive of game: 17 plays, 38 yards, no points
Vikings:
outscored opponents 17-13 on first drive of a half
opponents on 1st drive, last 4 halves: 12 plays, 8 yards, 4 punts
NFC South
Falcons
outscored opponents 23-10 on first drive of a half
first drive of game: 28 plays, 197 yards, 13 points.
Panthers
outscored opponents 24-20 on first drive of a half
Last two games, had TD drives of 61-76 yards on their 1st drive.
Saints
outscored 27-14 on first drive of a half
Last 2 games, gave up 3 TD’s and FG on first drive of the half.
Buccaneers
outscored 24-13 on first drive of a half
opponents on 1st drive of half: 28 plays, 253 yards, 24 points
NFC West
Cardinals
outscored opponents 16-10 on first drive of a half
opponents on 1st drive of game: 15 plays, 42 yards, no points
Rams
outscored opponents 27-20 on first drive of a half
in their two losses, opponent scored a TD on their first drive.
49ers
outscored opponents 17-0 on first drive of a game
Last 2 games, 49ers averaged 64.3 yards/1st drive of a half
Seahawks
outscored opponents 27-10 on first drive of a half
last three games, have 3 TD’s, 2 FG’s on first drive of half.
Famous birthdays, October 4th:
Susan Sarandon, 79
Tony LaRussa, 81
John Wathan, 76
Truck Robinson, 74
AC Green, 62
Mark McLemore, 61
Liev Schreiber, 58
Kurt Thomas, 53
Tony Gwynn Jr, 43
Derrick Rose, 37
Dakota Johnson, 36
Oneil Cruz, 27
AFC East
Bills
outscored opponents 52-24 on first drive of a half
1st drives of a half: 70 plays, 560 yards, 7 TD’s, FG
Dolphins
outscored 34-20 on first drive of a half
opponents average 74.3 yards/opening drive of game.
Patriots
outscored 31-14 on first drive of a half
opponents on 1st drive of game: 24 plays, 201 yards, 21 points.
Jets
outscored 33-13 on first drive of a half
Opponents on 1st drive of half: 3 TD’s, 4 field goals
AFC North
Ravens
outscored 38-37 on first drive of a half
last two games, started game with TD drives of 80-70 yards
Bengals
outscored 28-17 on first drive of a half
allowed TD on first drive in three of four games
Browns
outscored opponents 14-10 on first drive of a half
Last 3 games: 13 plays, 19 plays on first drive of 3rd quarter
Steelers
17-17 on first drive of each half
first drive of 2nd half: 15 plays, 30 yards, no points
AFC South
Texans
outscored 17-10 on first drive of a half
first drive of 2nd half: 23 plays, 58 yards, no points
Colts
outscored 24-22 on first drive of a half
1st drive of half: one TD, 5 FG’s, 2 turnovers
Jaguars
outscored 20-13 on first drive of a half
Opponents on 1st drive of 3rd quarter: 27 plays, 245 yards, 14 points
AFC West
Broncos
outscored opponents 14-10 on first drive of a half
opponents on 1st drive of half: 66 plays, 341 yards, 7 FG’s
Chiefs
outscored opponents 27-20 on first drive of a half
1st drive of 3rd quarter: 32 plays, 224 yards, 21 points
Raiders
17-17 on first drive of each half
last 3 games, threw three INT’s on first drive of a half.
Chargers
outscored 24-19 on first drive of a half
opponents on 1st drive of 3rd quarter: 41 plays, 228 yards, 17 points
Thru four weeks, teams with fewest pass plays of 20+ yards:
4— Saints
5— Cardinals
6— Commanders
7— Bengals, Dolphins
8— Browns, Jaguars, Eagles, Titans
9— Jets
Quote of the Day
“The Yankees, they’re not a good team. I don’t care what their record is.”
Blue Jays’ TV analyst Buck Martinez. Hopefully he was kidding.
Saturday’s quiz
Where did Jared Goff play his college football?
Friday’s quiz
In the history of the Houston Oilers/Tennessee Titans, Warren Moon has thrown for the most yards.
Thursday’s quiz
1995 was the last time the Cincinnati Reds won a playoff series, the longest current drought in the major leagues.
*************************************
Saturday’s Den: How NFL teams do on first drive of a half
How NFL teams do on first drive of a half:(All teams 4 games/8 halves, except SF/Rams (5/10))
NFC East
Dallas:
outscored 34-7 on first drive of a half
outgained 197-88 on first drive of games
Giants:
10-10 on first drive of each half
last three weeks, Giants gained 190 yards on first drive of game.
Eagles:
outscored opponents 27-14 on first drive of a half
scored TD on first drive in 3 of 4 games.
Commanders:
outscored 16-10 on first drive of a half
first drives of a game: 17 plays, 43 yards
NFC North
Bears:
outscored opponents 28-10 on first drive of a half
have four takeaways in first drive of a half (+4)
first drive of half: 4 TD’s, 4 three/outs.
Lions:
outscored 35-27 on first drive of a half
Allowed a TD on first drive in all four games
39 plays, 325 yards, four TD’s
Packers:
outscored opponents 24-3 on first drive of a half
opponents’ first drive of game: 17 plays, 38 yards, no points
Vikings:
outscored opponents 17-13 on first drive of a half
opponents on 1st drive, last 4 halves: 12 plays, 8 yards, 4 punts
NFC South
Falcons
outscored opponents 23-10 on first drive of a half
first drive of game: 28 plays, 197 yards, 13 points.
Panthers
outscored opponents 24-20 on first drive of a half
Last two games, had TD drives of 61-76 yards on their 1st drive.
Saints
outscored 27-14 on first drive of a half
Last 2 games, gave up 3 TD’s and FG on first drive of the half.
Buccaneers
outscored 24-13 on first drive of a half
opponents on 1st drive of half: 28 plays, 253 yards, 24 points
NFC West
Cardinals
outscored opponents 16-10 on first drive of a half
opponents on 1st drive of game: 15 plays, 42 yards, no points
Rams
outscored opponents 27-20 on first drive of a half
in their two losses, opponent scored a TD on their first drive.
49ers
outscored opponents 17-0 on first drive of a game
Last 2 games, 49ers averaged 64.3 yards/1st drive of a half
Seahawks
outscored opponents 27-10 on first drive of a half
last three games, have 3 TD’s, 2 FG’s on first drive of half.
Famous birthdays, October 4th:
Susan Sarandon, 79
Tony LaRussa, 81
John Wathan, 76
Truck Robinson, 74
AC Green, 62
Mark McLemore, 61
Liev Schreiber, 58
Kurt Thomas, 53
Tony Gwynn Jr, 43
Derrick Rose, 37
Dakota Johnson, 36
Oneil Cruz, 27
AFC East
Bills
outscored opponents 52-24 on first drive of a half
1st drives of a half: 70 plays, 560 yards, 7 TD’s, FG
Dolphins
outscored 34-20 on first drive of a half
opponents average 74.3 yards/opening drive of game.
Patriots
outscored 31-14 on first drive of a half
opponents on 1st drive of game: 24 plays, 201 yards, 21 points.
Jets
outscored 33-13 on first drive of a half
Opponents on 1st drive of half: 3 TD’s, 4 field goals
AFC North
Ravens
outscored 38-37 on first drive of a half
last two games, started game with TD drives of 80-70 yards
Bengals
outscored 28-17 on first drive of a half
allowed TD on first drive in three of four games
Browns
outscored opponents 14-10 on first drive of a half
Last 3 games: 13 plays, 19 plays on first drive of 3rd quarter
Steelers
17-17 on first drive of each half
first drive of 2nd half: 15 plays, 30 yards, no points
AFC South
Texans
outscored 17-10 on first drive of a half
first drive of 2nd half: 23 plays, 58 yards, no points
Colts
outscored 24-22 on first drive of a half
1st drive of half: one TD, 5 FG’s, 2 turnovers
Jaguars
outscored 20-13 on first drive of a half
Opponents on 1st drive of 3rd quarter: 27 plays, 245 yards, 14 points
AFC West
Broncos
outscored opponents 14-10 on first drive of a half
opponents on 1st drive of half: 66 plays, 341 yards, 7 FG’s
Chiefs
outscored opponents 27-20 on first drive of a half
1st drive of 3rd quarter: 32 plays, 224 yards, 21 points
Raiders
17-17 on first drive of each half
last 3 games, threw three INT’s on first drive of a half.
Chargers
outscored 24-19 on first drive of a half
opponents on 1st drive of 3rd quarter: 41 plays, 228 yards, 17 points
Sunday’s 6-pack:
Over last 120 years, players who hit 7+ triples, 6+ HR’s in a month:
1911— Frank Schilte
1914— Ed Lennox
1921— Ty Cobb
1929— Babe Herman
1957— Willie Mays
2025— Daylen Lile
Quote of the Day
“The main thing we need to do is to keep doing what we’re doing but do them better. Fundamentally we’re not doing the wrong things, we’re just not doing them well enough. It’s a lack of concentration, and part of that is coaching, too, so I’ll take my share of the responsibility.”
North Carolina coach Bill Belichick
Sunday’s quiz
Since 2021, which NFL team has the best record against the spread?
Saturday’s quiz
Jared Goff played his college football for the Cal Golden Bears.
Friday’s quiz
In the history of the Houston Oilers/Tennessee Titans, Warren Moon has thrown for the most yards.
*****************************************
Bruins, with an interim head coach, were 24.5-point underdogs.
UCLA led this game 27-7 at halftime.
Nico Iamaleava threw for 166 yards, 2 TD’s, ran for 128 yards, 3 TD’s.
— Miami 28, Florida State 22
Carson Beck threw for 240 yards, four TD’s
Hurricanes led 28-3 after three quarters, hung on for the win.
Miami was +3 in turnovers; they had 12 penalties for 98 yards.
— Florida 29, Texas 21
Florida gets its first I-A win in four tries.
Gators had scored total of 33 points in their three losses.
Texas is 0-2 on road, losing this game, also 14-7 at Ohio State.
— Alabama 30, Vanderbilt 14
Game was tied 14-14 at halftime.
Crimson Tide outgained Vandy, 486-333.
Alabama threw for 340 yards (11.0 Yards/attempt)
— UNLV 31, Wyoming 17
October 4th, and it snowed in Laramie, Wyoming.
5-0 Rebels led this game 24-3 at halftime.
UNLV ran for 153 yards, was +2 in turnovers.
— Upsets of the Day:
UCLA (+24.5) 42, Penn State 37
Ball State (+14.5) 20, Ohio U 14
Arkansas State (+13.5) 31, Texas State 30
Akron (+8.5) 28, Central Michigan 22
Virginia (+7.5) 30, Louisville 27 OT
Florida (+6.5) 29, Texas 21
Wake Forest (+6.5) 30, Virginia Tech 23
Temple (+6.5) 27, Tex-San Antonio 21
— Brewers 9, Cubs 3
Milwaukee scored six runs in the first inning.
Jackson Chourio had 3 RBI, but aggravated his leg injury.
Freddy Peralta got 17 outs, allowed two runs.
— Blue Jays 10, New York 1
Alejandro Kirk hit two home runs.
Leading 2-1, Blue Jays scored four runs in 7th, four more in 8th.
This was Toronto’s first win in a playoff game since 2016
— Dodgers 5, Phillies 3
Teoscar Hernandez hit a 3-run homer in the 7th inning.
Phillies led 3-0 after five innings.
Tyler Glasnow got 5 outs, in his first relief stint in seven years.
— Tigers 3, Mariners 2 (11)
Zack McKinstry had the game-winning single in the 11th inning.
Detroit used 8 pitchers; they were 2-8 with RISP.
McKinstry’s hit was Detroit’s only hit after the fifth inning.
— Famous birthdays, October 5th:
Trace Armstrong, 60
Jeff Lebo, 59
Rex Chapman, 58
Grant Hill, 53
Kate Winslet, 50
Jesse Palmer, 47
Travis Kelce, 36
Zack Littell, 30
Michael Hoecht, 28
— Virginia 30, Louisville 27 OT
Virginia led 24-14 after three quarters.
Louisville forced OT, kicked 50-yard FG with 1:08 left.
4-1 Louisville outgained the 5-1 Cavaliers, 383-237
— Clemson 38, North Carolina 10
Clemson’s first four drives: 16 plays, 253 yards, 28 points.
Tigers passed for 399 yards (10.2 yards/attempt)
North Carolina is 1-3 vs I-A teams, giving up 34-48-38 points in losses.
— Washington 24, Maryland 20
Maryland led this game 20-0 in the third quarter.
Washington’s last five drives: 45 plays, 298 yards, 24 points.
Maryland’s last four drives: 19 plays, 52 yards, no points.
— Appalachian State 27, Oregon State 23
App State led 17-0 in first quarter; they were +3 in turnovers.
Beavers outgained App State, 456-354.
Oregon State QB Murphy threw for 358 yards, 2 TD’s, 2 INTs
— Texas Tech 35, Houston 11
Tech QB Morton threw for 345 yards and a TD.
5-0 Red Raiders led 25-11 at halftime.
Tech outgained Houston, 552-267.
Over last 120 years, players who hit 7+ triples, 6+ HR’s in a month:
1911— Frank Schilte
1914— Ed Lennox
1921— Ty Cobb
1929— Babe Herman
1957— Willie Mays
2025— Daylen Lile
Quote of the Day
“The main thing we need to do is to keep doing what we’re doing but do them better. Fundamentally we’re not doing the wrong things, we’re just not doing them well enough. It’s a lack of concentration, and part of that is coaching, too, so I’ll take my share of the responsibility.”
North Carolina coach Bill Belichick
Sunday’s quiz
Since 2021, which NFL team has the best record against the spread?
Saturday’s quiz
Jared Goff played his college football for the Cal Golden Bears.
Friday’s quiz
In the history of the Houston Oilers/Tennessee Titans, Warren Moon has thrown for the most yards.
*****************************************
Sunday’s Den: Wrapping up a sports Saturday…….
— UCLA 42, Penn State 37Bruins, with an interim head coach, were 24.5-point underdogs.
UCLA led this game 27-7 at halftime.
Nico Iamaleava threw for 166 yards, 2 TD’s, ran for 128 yards, 3 TD’s.
— Miami 28, Florida State 22
Carson Beck threw for 240 yards, four TD’s
Hurricanes led 28-3 after three quarters, hung on for the win.
Miami was +3 in turnovers; they had 12 penalties for 98 yards.
— Florida 29, Texas 21
Florida gets its first I-A win in four tries.
Gators had scored total of 33 points in their three losses.
Texas is 0-2 on road, losing this game, also 14-7 at Ohio State.
— Alabama 30, Vanderbilt 14
Game was tied 14-14 at halftime.
Crimson Tide outgained Vandy, 486-333.
Alabama threw for 340 yards (11.0 Yards/attempt)
— UNLV 31, Wyoming 17
October 4th, and it snowed in Laramie, Wyoming.
5-0 Rebels led this game 24-3 at halftime.
UNLV ran for 153 yards, was +2 in turnovers.
— Upsets of the Day:
UCLA (+24.5) 42, Penn State 37
Ball State (+14.5) 20, Ohio U 14
Arkansas State (+13.5) 31, Texas State 30
Akron (+8.5) 28, Central Michigan 22
Virginia (+7.5) 30, Louisville 27 OT
Florida (+6.5) 29, Texas 21
Wake Forest (+6.5) 30, Virginia Tech 23
Temple (+6.5) 27, Tex-San Antonio 21
— Brewers 9, Cubs 3
Milwaukee scored six runs in the first inning.
Jackson Chourio had 3 RBI, but aggravated his leg injury.
Freddy Peralta got 17 outs, allowed two runs.
— Blue Jays 10, New York 1
Alejandro Kirk hit two home runs.
Leading 2-1, Blue Jays scored four runs in 7th, four more in 8th.
This was Toronto’s first win in a playoff game since 2016
— Dodgers 5, Phillies 3
Teoscar Hernandez hit a 3-run homer in the 7th inning.
Phillies led 3-0 after five innings.
Tyler Glasnow got 5 outs, in his first relief stint in seven years.
— Tigers 3, Mariners 2 (11)
Zack McKinstry had the game-winning single in the 11th inning.
Detroit used 8 pitchers; they were 2-8 with RISP.
McKinstry’s hit was Detroit’s only hit after the fifth inning.
— Famous birthdays, October 5th:
Trace Armstrong, 60
Jeff Lebo, 59
Rex Chapman, 58
Grant Hill, 53
Kate Winslet, 50
Jesse Palmer, 47
Travis Kelce, 36
Zack Littell, 30
Michael Hoecht, 28
— Virginia 30, Louisville 27 OT
Virginia led 24-14 after three quarters.
Louisville forced OT, kicked 50-yard FG with 1:08 left.
4-1 Louisville outgained the 5-1 Cavaliers, 383-237
— Clemson 38, North Carolina 10
Clemson’s first four drives: 16 plays, 253 yards, 28 points.
Tigers passed for 399 yards (10.2 yards/attempt)
North Carolina is 1-3 vs I-A teams, giving up 34-48-38 points in losses.
— Washington 24, Maryland 20
Maryland led this game 20-0 in the third quarter.
Washington’s last five drives: 45 plays, 298 yards, 24 points.
Maryland’s last four drives: 19 plays, 52 yards, no points.
— Appalachian State 27, Oregon State 23
App State led 17-0 in first quarter; they were +3 in turnovers.
Beavers outgained App State, 456-354.
Oregon State QB Murphy threw for 358 yards, 2 TD’s, 2 INTs
— Texas Tech 35, Houston 11
Tech QB Morton threw for 345 yards and a TD.
5-0 Red Raiders led 25-11 at halftime.
Tech outgained Houston, 552-267.
- Sep 10, 2018
- 19,474
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NFL
Armadillo's Write-up
Week 5
Sunday’s games
Browns vs Vikings (–3.5) (@ London)
Browns (1-3)
Rookie QB Gabriel is getting his first NFL start here.
Browns scored 16-17-13-10 points in their three games.
Cleveland is minus-6 in turnovers.
Browns are 5-10 ATS last 15 games coming off a loss.
Cleveland is 8-16-1 ATS last 25 games as a road underdog.
Browns have held opponents to 141-242-230-277 total yards.
Browns ran ball for 49-96-79 yards in losses, 115 in their one win.
Stefanski is 42-49 as a head coach.
Last 5+ years, Cleveland is 15-10-1 ATS vs NFC teams.
AFC North teams are 4-8 ATS in non-divisional games.
Vikings (2-2)
Vikings lost 41-21 in Ireland LW, now they’re in England.
Vikings are +5 in turnovers in wins, minus-5 in losses.
Backup QB Wentz is 48-48-1 as an NFL starter, for five different teams.
O’Connell is 36-21 as an NFL head coach.
Under O’Connell, Vikings are 19-13-3 ATS as a favorite.
Minnesota is 6-8-1 ATS in last 15 games coming off a loss.
Minnesota is 10-4-2 ATS in last 16 games vs AFC teams.
Under O’Connell, Vikings are 27-9 SU in games decided by 8 or fewer points.
NFC North teams are 5-5 ATS in non-divisional games.
Vikings won three of last five meetings.
Three of last four series games went over the total.
Texans (–1.5) @ Ravens
Texans (1-3)
Texans won 26-0 LW, after losing their first three games.
Texans held three of four opponents under 300 TY.
Houston has converted only 14-48 third down plays.
QB Stroud is 22-18 as an NFL starter.
Ryans is 23-19 in 2+ years as an NFL head coach.
Since 2016, Texans are 4-10-2 ATS as a road favorite.
Under Ryans, Texans are 9-11 ATS games with spread of 3 or fewer points.
Houston is 4-6 ATS in last ten games coming off a loss.
AFC South teams are 5-5 ATS in non-divisional games.
Ravens (1-3)
QB Jackson (hamstring) left early last week; check status.
Ravens gave up 41-38-37 points in their three losses.
Ravens are giving up 406.8 yards/game.
Ravens are 1-3, despite scoring 40-41-30-20 points.
Baltimore is 8-2 ATS last ten games coming off a loss.
QB Jackson is 74-32 as an NFL starter
Backup QB Rush is 9-5 as an NFL starter
John Harbaugh is 186-118 as an NFL head coach.
Since 2019, Baltimore is 6-1 ATS as a home underdog.
Ravens are 20-8 ATS in last 28 games with spread of 3 or fewer points.
AFC North teams are 4-8 ATS in non-divisional games.
Baltimore won last six series games, covered last five.
Texans are 0-8 SU/3-5 ATS in last eight visits to Baltimore.
Under is 6-2 in last eight meetings.
Giants @ Saints (-1.5)
Giants (1-3)
Giants won 21-18 LW, in rookie QB Dart’s first start.
Dart threw for 111 yards, ran for 55 more in that game.
Giants are 5-8-1 ATS in last 14 games with spread of 3 or fewer points.
Daboll is 20-36-1 as an NFL head coach.
Giants gained 281 or fewer yards in three of four games.
Under Daboll, Giants are 13-11 ATS as a road underdog
Under Daboll, Giants are 10-6-1 ATS in games coming off a win.
Giants were 7-15 on 3rd down LW (10-40 first three games).
NFC East teams are 6-4 ATS in non-divisional games.
Saints (0-4)
Saints lost first four games, 20-13/26-21/44-13/31-19.
Saints have converted only 17-49 third down plays.
New Orleans has been outscored 85-33 in first half of games.
Since 2021, Saints are 7-9-1 ATS as a home favorite.
Kellen Moore is 0-4 as a head coach.
Rattler is 0-10 as an NFL starting QB.
Saints are 7-15 ATS in last 22 games coming off a loss.
Saints are 8-14-2 ATS games last 24 games with spread of 3 or fewer points.
NFC South teams are 5-7 ATS in non-divisional games.
Saints won seven of last ten meetings.
Giants are 1-5 SU/1-4-1 ATS in last six visits to Bourbon Street.
Under is 4-1 in last five series games.
Broncos @ Eagles (-3.5)
Broncos (2-2)
Denver is 0-2 on road, losing 29-28 Colts/23-20 Chargers.
Denver allowed 12-3 points in its two wins.
QB Nix is 12-10 as an NFL starter.
Payton is 181-116 as an NFL head coach, 20-19 with Denver.
LW, Denver ran for 186 yards, outgained Bengals 512-159
Under Payton, Denver is 6-9 ATS as a road underdog.
Under Payton, Denver is 9-9 ATS in games coming off a win.
Broncos are 12-8 ATS in last 20 games vs NFC teams.
AFC West teams are 5-5 ATS in divisional games.
Eagles (4-0)
Eagles are 4-0, with wins by 4-3-7-6 points.
Last three games, Eagles were held to 216-288-200 total yards.
QB Hurts is 55-23 as an NFL starter.
Sirianni is 57-23 as an NFL coach.
Philly is 7-9-1 ATS in last 17 games as a home favorite.
Philly is 24-16-2 ATS in last 42 games coming off a win.
Last three games, opponents converted only 10-35 third down plays.
Eagles are 10-5-1 ATS in last 16 games vs AFC teams.
NFC East non-divisional favorites are 4-2 ATS
Philly DC Fangio was Denver’s HC from 2019-21 (19-30)
Eagles won three of last four series games.
Broncos lost 51-23/30-27 in last two visits to Philly.
Over is 4-1 in last five meetings.
Cowboys (–2.5) @ Jets
Cowboys (1-2-1)
Dallas allowed 37-31-40 points in its last three games.
Dallas scored 20-14 in its losses, 40-40 in win/tie.
Cowboys lost their road games (24-20 Eagles/31-14 Bears)
QB Prescott is 79-53-1 as an NFL starter.
Brian Schottenheimer is 1-2-1 as a head coach.
Last three weeks, Dallas allowed 506-385-489 total yards.
Since 2021, Cowboys are 11-6 ATS as a road favorite.
Cowboys are 8-7 ATS last 15 games vs AFC teams.
Dallas is minus-4 in turnovers this season.
Dallas is 4-7 ATS last 11 games with spread of 3 or fewer points.
NFC East teams are 6-4 ATS in non-divisional games.
Jets (0-4)
Jets lost first four games, giving up 34-30-29-27 points.
Jets’ losses are by 2-20-2-6 points. (opponents over 4-0 team total)
Fields is 14-33 as an NFL starter.
Aaron Glenn is 0-4 as a head coach.
In three games, Jets are minus-7 in turnovers.
Jets are 10-16 ATS in last 26 games as a home underdog.
Jets are 6-18-1 ATS last 25 games vs NFC teams.
Jets are 8-15-1 ATS in last 24 games coming off a loss.
Jets are 8-16-1 ATS last 25 games with spread of 3 or fewer points.
Jets won three of last four series games.
Dallas lost 24-22/27-24 in last two meetings played here.
Over is 3-1 in last four series games.
Raiders @ Colts (-6.5)
Raiders (1-3)
Raiders lost last three games, giving up 20-41-25 points.
Raiders ran ball for 240 yards LW (total of 217 yards/1st 3 games).
QB Geno Smith is 41-47 as an NFL starter.
Carroll is 182-134-1 as an NFL head coach.
Las Vegas outgained Bears 357-271 LW, lost on a blocked FG.
Since 2019, Raiders are 22-17 ATS as a road underdog.
Las Vegas is 20-25-1 ATS in last 46 games coming off a loss.
Last two games, Raiders converted only 5-22 third down plays.
AFC West teams are 5-5 ATS in divisional games.
Colts (3-1)
Colts are 2-0 at home, scoring 33-29 points.
Colts were minus-2 in turnovers LW (+5/first 3 games)
QB Jones is 28-46-1 is as an NFL starter.
Steichen is 20-18 SU in 2+ years as a head coach
Under Steichen, Indy is 6-2 ATS as a home favorite.
Under Steichen, Indy is 9-7 ATS in games coming off a loss.
Last two games, Colts converted 6-20 third down plays.
AFC South teams are 5-5 ATS in non-divisional games.
Colts are 8-3 SU/5-6 ATS in last eleven meetings.
Raiders are 3-3 SU/5-1 ATS in last six visits to Indy.
Six of last seven series games went over the total.
Dolphins (–1.5) @ Panthers
Dolphins (1-3)
Short week for Miami after getting first win Monday night.
Dolphins are 0-2 on road (33-8 Colts/31-21 Bills)
QB Tagovailoa is 39-28 as an NFL starter.
McDaniel is 29-28 as a head coach.
Under McDaniel, Miami is 6-3 ATS as a road favorite.
Under McDaniel, Miami is 9-12-1 ATS in games with spread of 3 or less points.
Under McDaniel, Miami is 14-13 ATS in games coming off a win.
Under McDaniel, Miami is 7-8 ATS vs NFC teams.
AFC East teams are 4-4 ATS in non-divisional games.
Panthers (1-3)
Carolina blanked Atlanta 30-0 in its only home game.
Panthers are 0-3 on road, giving up 31.7 ppg.
QB Young is 7-25 as an NFL starter.
Canales is 6-15 as a head coach.
Under Canales, Panthers are 5-3 ATS as a home underdog.
Under Canales, Carolina is 8-6 ATS in games coming off a loss.
Carolina is 7-15 ATS in last 22 games vs AFC opponents.
Last three games, Panthers converted 13-39 third down plays.
NFC South teams are 5-7 ATS in non-divisional games.
Miami won five of last seven series games.
Teams split last two meetings in Charlotte.
Over is 3-1 in last four series games.
Buccaneers @ Seahawks (-3.5)
Buccaneers (3-1)
Tampa Bay is 2-0 on road, with wins by 1-3 points..
Last two games, Buccaneers converted only 7-25 third down plays.
Mayfield is 55-57 as an NFL starter, 23-18 with the Bucs.
Bowles is 57-69 as a head coach, 31-28 with Tampa Bay.
Tampa Bay is 12-2 ATS last 14 games as a road underdog.
Bucs held their opponents to 69-84-99-88 rushing yards.
Bucs held last three foes to 267 or fewer total yards.
Bucs are 10-3-1 ATS in last 14 games coming off a loss.
NFC South teams are 5-7 ATS in non-divisional games.
Seahawks (2-2)
Seahawks won last three games, scoring 31-44-23 points.
Darnold is 38-40 as an NFL starter.
Seahawks are his 4th team the last four years.
MacDonald is 13-8 as a head coach.
Seattle held last three opponents to 284 or fewer total yards.
Seattle is 7-12-1 ATS in last 20 games as a home favorite.
Since 2020, Seattle is 17-22-3 ATS in games coming off a win.
Opponents’ team total: under 4-0
NFC West teams are 7-3 ATS in non-divisional games.
Tampa Bay won five of last seven series games.
Buccaneers are 1-3 SU/2-2 ATS in last four visits to Seattle.
Home team won last five meetings.
Under is 7-3 in last ten series games.
Titans @ Cardinals (-7.5)
Titans (0-4)
Tennessee is 0-4 SU/ATS, losing by 8-14-21-26 points.
Rookie QB Ward is 0-4 as an NFL starter.
Callahan is 3-18 as an NFL head coach.
Titans switched play callers last week, not ideal in Week 4.
Titans have three TD’s, 10 FG’s on their 44 drives.
Titans were outgained by 184-187-83-168 yards in their games.
Last 4+ years, Tennessee is 12-16-2 ATS coming off a loss.
Titans are 3-12 ATS in last 14 games as an underdog.
Titans are 0-6 ATS in last six games vs NFC teams.
Cardinals (2-1)
Cardinals lost last two games by total of four points.
Last three games, Cardinals converted only 14-39 third down plays.
Murray is 38-48-1 as an NFL starter.
Gannon is 14-24 in 2+ years as a head coach.
Cardinals have gained 293 or fewer yards in all four games.
Under Gannon, Arizona is 3-4 ATS as a home favorite.
Under Gannon, Arizona is 8-2 ATS vs AFC teams.
Arizona is 14-9 ATS in last 23 games coming off a loss.
Cardinals won/covered four of last five series games.
Titans lost 12-7/20-10 in last two visits to Arizona.
Under is 4-1 in last five meetings.
Commanders @ Chargers (-2.5)
Commanders (2-2)
Home team has won/covered all four Washington games.
Washington is 0-2 on road: 27-18 Packers/34-27 Falcons.
QB Daniels is 15-7 as an NFL starter (check status).
Backup QB Mariota has a 37-42 record.
Quinn is 62-52 as an NFL coach.
In its wins, Commanders ran ball for 220-201 yards.
Under Quinn, Commanders are 1-4 ATS as a road underdog.
Opponents have converted only 13 of 48 third down plays.
Under Quinn, Commanders are 4-2 ATS in games coming off a loss.
Washington is 10-6 ATS last 16 games vs AFC opponents
Commanders are 6-3 ATS last nine games with a spread of 3 or fewer points.
Chargers (3-1)
Chargers won their only home game, 23-20 over Denver.
Bolts held last three opponents to 218-265-250 total yards.
QB Herbert is 44-41 as an NFL starter.
Jim Harbaugh is 63-30-1 as an NFL head coach.
Under Harbaugh, Chargers are 5-1 ATS as a home favorite.
Chargers are 12-10-2 ATS last 24 games vs NFC teams.
Under Harbaugh, Chargers are 6-1 ATS in games coming off a loss.
Chargers have converted 23-53 third down plays.
AFC West teams are 5-5 ATS in non-divisional games.
Chargers are 5-1 SU/4-1-1 ATS in last six series games.
Washington is 0-3 SU/0-2-1 ATS in last three road series games.
Under is 4-2 in last six meetings.
Lions (–10.5) @ Bengals
Lions (3-1)
Lions won last three games, scoring 52-38-34 points.
Detroit is +5 in turnovers in its last three games..
QB Goff is 88-58-1 as an NFL starter, 46-31-1 with Detroit.
Campbell is 50-38-1 as an NFL head coach.
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Lions are 11-2 ATS last 13 games as a road favorite.
Detroit is 15-7 ATS in last 22 games vs AFC teams
Detroit is 24-11 ATS last 35 games coming off a win.
Detroit has two new coordinators this season.
NFC North teams are 5-5 ATS in non-divisional games.
Bengals (2-2)
Bengals lost last two games, by a combined 76-13.
Last two games, Cincinnati was outgained, 864-330.
Bengals won their only game, 31-27 over the Jaguars.
Backup QB Browning is 4-5 as an NFL starter (7 starts in 2023).
Taylor is 53-56-1 as a head coach.
Last three games, Cincinnati is minus-5 in turnovers.
In four games, Bengals have run ball 76 times for only 200 yards.
Bengals are 7-5-1 ATS last 13 games as home underdogs.
Bengals are 22-14-1 ATS last 37 coming off a loss.
AFC North teams are 4-8 ATS in divisional games.
Bengals are 6-0 SU/5-1 ATS in last six series games.
Lions lost 26-17/23-13 in last two visits to Cincinnati.
Under is 3-1 in last four meetings.
Patriots @ Bills (-7.5)
Patriots (2-2)
Patriots scored 33-42 points in wins, 13-14 in losses.
Patriots won only road game, 33-27 at Miami.
QB Maye is 5-11 as an NFL starter.
Vrabel is 58-50 as an NFL head coach.
Patriots are 9-12-1 ATS last 22 games as a road underdog.
NE is 7-6 ATS in last 13 AFC East road games.
NE is 5-8-2 ATS in last 15 games coming off a win.
Opponents’ team total; under 3-1.
Since start of 2023 season, patriots are minus-26 in turnovers.
Bills (4-0)
Buffalo won its first four games,. scoring 41-30-31-31 points.
Bills are 12-13-1 ATS last 26 games as a home favorite.
QB Allen is 87-40 as an NFL starter.
McDermott is 96-52 as an NFL head coach.
Buffalo held last three opponents to 154-276-298 total yards.
Bills are 4-5-1 ATS last 10 AFC East home games.
Buffalo is 10-7 ATS in last seventeen games coming off a win.
NFL-wide, home favorites are 8-6 ATS in divisional games.
Bills are 4-3 SU in last seven series games.
Patriots are 1-5 SU/4-2 ATS in last six visits to Buffalo.
Over is 7-3 in last ten series games.
Armadillo's Write-up
Week 5
Sunday’s games
Browns vs Vikings (–3.5) (@ London)
Browns (1-3)
Rookie QB Gabriel is getting his first NFL start here.
Browns scored 16-17-13-10 points in their three games.
Cleveland is minus-6 in turnovers.
Browns are 5-10 ATS last 15 games coming off a loss.
Cleveland is 8-16-1 ATS last 25 games as a road underdog.
Browns have held opponents to 141-242-230-277 total yards.
Browns ran ball for 49-96-79 yards in losses, 115 in their one win.
Stefanski is 42-49 as a head coach.
Last 5+ years, Cleveland is 15-10-1 ATS vs NFC teams.
AFC North teams are 4-8 ATS in non-divisional games.
Vikings (2-2)
Vikings lost 41-21 in Ireland LW, now they’re in England.
Vikings are +5 in turnovers in wins, minus-5 in losses.
Backup QB Wentz is 48-48-1 as an NFL starter, for five different teams.
O’Connell is 36-21 as an NFL head coach.
Under O’Connell, Vikings are 19-13-3 ATS as a favorite.
Minnesota is 6-8-1 ATS in last 15 games coming off a loss.
Minnesota is 10-4-2 ATS in last 16 games vs AFC teams.
Under O’Connell, Vikings are 27-9 SU in games decided by 8 or fewer points.
NFC North teams are 5-5 ATS in non-divisional games.
Vikings won three of last five meetings.
Three of last four series games went over the total.
Texans (–1.5) @ Ravens
Texans (1-3)
Texans won 26-0 LW, after losing their first three games.
Texans held three of four opponents under 300 TY.
Houston has converted only 14-48 third down plays.
QB Stroud is 22-18 as an NFL starter.
Ryans is 23-19 in 2+ years as an NFL head coach.
Since 2016, Texans are 4-10-2 ATS as a road favorite.
Under Ryans, Texans are 9-11 ATS games with spread of 3 or fewer points.
Houston is 4-6 ATS in last ten games coming off a loss.
AFC South teams are 5-5 ATS in non-divisional games.
Ravens (1-3)
QB Jackson (hamstring) left early last week; check status.
Ravens gave up 41-38-37 points in their three losses.
Ravens are giving up 406.8 yards/game.
Ravens are 1-3, despite scoring 40-41-30-20 points.
Baltimore is 8-2 ATS last ten games coming off a loss.
QB Jackson is 74-32 as an NFL starter
Backup QB Rush is 9-5 as an NFL starter
John Harbaugh is 186-118 as an NFL head coach.
Since 2019, Baltimore is 6-1 ATS as a home underdog.
Ravens are 20-8 ATS in last 28 games with spread of 3 or fewer points.
AFC North teams are 4-8 ATS in non-divisional games.
Baltimore won last six series games, covered last five.
Texans are 0-8 SU/3-5 ATS in last eight visits to Baltimore.
Under is 6-2 in last eight meetings.
Giants @ Saints (-1.5)
Giants (1-3)
Giants won 21-18 LW, in rookie QB Dart’s first start.
Dart threw for 111 yards, ran for 55 more in that game.
Giants are 5-8-1 ATS in last 14 games with spread of 3 or fewer points.
Daboll is 20-36-1 as an NFL head coach.
Giants gained 281 or fewer yards in three of four games.
Under Daboll, Giants are 13-11 ATS as a road underdog
Under Daboll, Giants are 10-6-1 ATS in games coming off a win.
Giants were 7-15 on 3rd down LW (10-40 first three games).
NFC East teams are 6-4 ATS in non-divisional games.
Saints (0-4)
Saints lost first four games, 20-13/26-21/44-13/31-19.
Saints have converted only 17-49 third down plays.
New Orleans has been outscored 85-33 in first half of games.
Since 2021, Saints are 7-9-1 ATS as a home favorite.
Kellen Moore is 0-4 as a head coach.
Rattler is 0-10 as an NFL starting QB.
Saints are 7-15 ATS in last 22 games coming off a loss.
Saints are 8-14-2 ATS games last 24 games with spread of 3 or fewer points.
NFC South teams are 5-7 ATS in non-divisional games.
Saints won seven of last ten meetings.
Giants are 1-5 SU/1-4-1 ATS in last six visits to Bourbon Street.
Under is 4-1 in last five series games.
Broncos @ Eagles (-3.5)
Broncos (2-2)
Denver is 0-2 on road, losing 29-28 Colts/23-20 Chargers.
Denver allowed 12-3 points in its two wins.
QB Nix is 12-10 as an NFL starter.
Payton is 181-116 as an NFL head coach, 20-19 with Denver.
LW, Denver ran for 186 yards, outgained Bengals 512-159
Under Payton, Denver is 6-9 ATS as a road underdog.
Under Payton, Denver is 9-9 ATS in games coming off a win.
Broncos are 12-8 ATS in last 20 games vs NFC teams.
AFC West teams are 5-5 ATS in divisional games.
Eagles (4-0)
Eagles are 4-0, with wins by 4-3-7-6 points.
Last three games, Eagles were held to 216-288-200 total yards.
QB Hurts is 55-23 as an NFL starter.
Sirianni is 57-23 as an NFL coach.
Philly is 7-9-1 ATS in last 17 games as a home favorite.
Philly is 24-16-2 ATS in last 42 games coming off a win.
Last three games, opponents converted only 10-35 third down plays.
Eagles are 10-5-1 ATS in last 16 games vs AFC teams.
NFC East non-divisional favorites are 4-2 ATS
Philly DC Fangio was Denver’s HC from 2019-21 (19-30)
Eagles won three of last four series games.
Broncos lost 51-23/30-27 in last two visits to Philly.
Over is 4-1 in last five meetings.
Cowboys (–2.5) @ Jets
Cowboys (1-2-1)
Dallas allowed 37-31-40 points in its last three games.
Dallas scored 20-14 in its losses, 40-40 in win/tie.
Cowboys lost their road games (24-20 Eagles/31-14 Bears)
QB Prescott is 79-53-1 as an NFL starter.
Brian Schottenheimer is 1-2-1 as a head coach.
Last three weeks, Dallas allowed 506-385-489 total yards.
Since 2021, Cowboys are 11-6 ATS as a road favorite.
Cowboys are 8-7 ATS last 15 games vs AFC teams.
Dallas is minus-4 in turnovers this season.
Dallas is 4-7 ATS last 11 games with spread of 3 or fewer points.
NFC East teams are 6-4 ATS in non-divisional games.
Jets (0-4)
Jets lost first four games, giving up 34-30-29-27 points.
Jets’ losses are by 2-20-2-6 points. (opponents over 4-0 team total)
Fields is 14-33 as an NFL starter.
Aaron Glenn is 0-4 as a head coach.
In three games, Jets are minus-7 in turnovers.
Jets are 10-16 ATS in last 26 games as a home underdog.
Jets are 6-18-1 ATS last 25 games vs NFC teams.
Jets are 8-15-1 ATS in last 24 games coming off a loss.
Jets are 8-16-1 ATS last 25 games with spread of 3 or fewer points.
Jets won three of last four series games.
Dallas lost 24-22/27-24 in last two meetings played here.
Over is 3-1 in last four series games.
Raiders @ Colts (-6.5)
Raiders (1-3)
Raiders lost last three games, giving up 20-41-25 points.
Raiders ran ball for 240 yards LW (total of 217 yards/1st 3 games).
QB Geno Smith is 41-47 as an NFL starter.
Carroll is 182-134-1 as an NFL head coach.
Las Vegas outgained Bears 357-271 LW, lost on a blocked FG.
Since 2019, Raiders are 22-17 ATS as a road underdog.
Las Vegas is 20-25-1 ATS in last 46 games coming off a loss.
Last two games, Raiders converted only 5-22 third down plays.
AFC West teams are 5-5 ATS in divisional games.
Colts (3-1)
Colts are 2-0 at home, scoring 33-29 points.
Colts were minus-2 in turnovers LW (+5/first 3 games)
QB Jones is 28-46-1 is as an NFL starter.
Steichen is 20-18 SU in 2+ years as a head coach
Under Steichen, Indy is 6-2 ATS as a home favorite.
Under Steichen, Indy is 9-7 ATS in games coming off a loss.
Last two games, Colts converted 6-20 third down plays.
AFC South teams are 5-5 ATS in non-divisional games.
Colts are 8-3 SU/5-6 ATS in last eleven meetings.
Raiders are 3-3 SU/5-1 ATS in last six visits to Indy.
Six of last seven series games went over the total.
Dolphins (–1.5) @ Panthers
Dolphins (1-3)
Short week for Miami after getting first win Monday night.
Dolphins are 0-2 on road (33-8 Colts/31-21 Bills)
QB Tagovailoa is 39-28 as an NFL starter.
McDaniel is 29-28 as a head coach.
Under McDaniel, Miami is 6-3 ATS as a road favorite.
Under McDaniel, Miami is 9-12-1 ATS in games with spread of 3 or less points.
Under McDaniel, Miami is 14-13 ATS in games coming off a win.
Under McDaniel, Miami is 7-8 ATS vs NFC teams.
AFC East teams are 4-4 ATS in non-divisional games.
Panthers (1-3)
Carolina blanked Atlanta 30-0 in its only home game.
Panthers are 0-3 on road, giving up 31.7 ppg.
QB Young is 7-25 as an NFL starter.
Canales is 6-15 as a head coach.
Under Canales, Panthers are 5-3 ATS as a home underdog.
Under Canales, Carolina is 8-6 ATS in games coming off a loss.
Carolina is 7-15 ATS in last 22 games vs AFC opponents.
Last three games, Panthers converted 13-39 third down plays.
NFC South teams are 5-7 ATS in non-divisional games.
Miami won five of last seven series games.
Teams split last two meetings in Charlotte.
Over is 3-1 in last four series games.
Buccaneers @ Seahawks (-3.5)
Buccaneers (3-1)
Tampa Bay is 2-0 on road, with wins by 1-3 points..
Last two games, Buccaneers converted only 7-25 third down plays.
Mayfield is 55-57 as an NFL starter, 23-18 with the Bucs.
Bowles is 57-69 as a head coach, 31-28 with Tampa Bay.
Tampa Bay is 12-2 ATS last 14 games as a road underdog.
Bucs held their opponents to 69-84-99-88 rushing yards.
Bucs held last three foes to 267 or fewer total yards.
Bucs are 10-3-1 ATS in last 14 games coming off a loss.
NFC South teams are 5-7 ATS in non-divisional games.
Seahawks (2-2)
Seahawks won last three games, scoring 31-44-23 points.
Darnold is 38-40 as an NFL starter.
Seahawks are his 4th team the last four years.
MacDonald is 13-8 as a head coach.
Seattle held last three opponents to 284 or fewer total yards.
Seattle is 7-12-1 ATS in last 20 games as a home favorite.
Since 2020, Seattle is 17-22-3 ATS in games coming off a win.
Opponents’ team total: under 4-0
NFC West teams are 7-3 ATS in non-divisional games.
Tampa Bay won five of last seven series games.
Buccaneers are 1-3 SU/2-2 ATS in last four visits to Seattle.
Home team won last five meetings.
Under is 7-3 in last ten series games.
Titans @ Cardinals (-7.5)
Titans (0-4)
Tennessee is 0-4 SU/ATS, losing by 8-14-21-26 points.
Rookie QB Ward is 0-4 as an NFL starter.
Callahan is 3-18 as an NFL head coach.
Titans switched play callers last week, not ideal in Week 4.
Titans have three TD’s, 10 FG’s on their 44 drives.
Titans were outgained by 184-187-83-168 yards in their games.
Last 4+ years, Tennessee is 12-16-2 ATS coming off a loss.
Titans are 3-12 ATS in last 14 games as an underdog.
Titans are 0-6 ATS in last six games vs NFC teams.
Cardinals (2-1)
Cardinals lost last two games by total of four points.
Last three games, Cardinals converted only 14-39 third down plays.
Murray is 38-48-1 as an NFL starter.
Gannon is 14-24 in 2+ years as a head coach.
Cardinals have gained 293 or fewer yards in all four games.
Under Gannon, Arizona is 3-4 ATS as a home favorite.
Under Gannon, Arizona is 8-2 ATS vs AFC teams.
Arizona is 14-9 ATS in last 23 games coming off a loss.
Cardinals won/covered four of last five series games.
Titans lost 12-7/20-10 in last two visits to Arizona.
Under is 4-1 in last five meetings.
Commanders @ Chargers (-2.5)
Commanders (2-2)
Home team has won/covered all four Washington games.
Washington is 0-2 on road: 27-18 Packers/34-27 Falcons.
QB Daniels is 15-7 as an NFL starter (check status).
Backup QB Mariota has a 37-42 record.
Quinn is 62-52 as an NFL coach.
In its wins, Commanders ran ball for 220-201 yards.
Under Quinn, Commanders are 1-4 ATS as a road underdog.
Opponents have converted only 13 of 48 third down plays.
Under Quinn, Commanders are 4-2 ATS in games coming off a loss.
Washington is 10-6 ATS last 16 games vs AFC opponents
Commanders are 6-3 ATS last nine games with a spread of 3 or fewer points.
Chargers (3-1)
Chargers won their only home game, 23-20 over Denver.
Bolts held last three opponents to 218-265-250 total yards.
QB Herbert is 44-41 as an NFL starter.
Jim Harbaugh is 63-30-1 as an NFL head coach.
Under Harbaugh, Chargers are 5-1 ATS as a home favorite.
Chargers are 12-10-2 ATS last 24 games vs NFC teams.
Under Harbaugh, Chargers are 6-1 ATS in games coming off a loss.
Chargers have converted 23-53 third down plays.
AFC West teams are 5-5 ATS in non-divisional games.
Chargers are 5-1 SU/4-1-1 ATS in last six series games.
Washington is 0-3 SU/0-2-1 ATS in last three road series games.
Under is 4-2 in last six meetings.
Lions (–10.5) @ Bengals
Lions (3-1)
Lions won last three games, scoring 52-38-34 points.
Detroit is +5 in turnovers in its last three games..
QB Goff is 88-58-1 as an NFL starter, 46-31-1 with Detroit.
Campbell is 50-38-1 as an NFL head coach.
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Lions are 11-2 ATS last 13 games as a road favorite.
Detroit is 15-7 ATS in last 22 games vs AFC teams
Detroit is 24-11 ATS last 35 games coming off a win.
Detroit has two new coordinators this season.
NFC North teams are 5-5 ATS in non-divisional games.
Bengals (2-2)
Bengals lost last two games, by a combined 76-13.
Last two games, Cincinnati was outgained, 864-330.
Bengals won their only game, 31-27 over the Jaguars.
Backup QB Browning is 4-5 as an NFL starter (7 starts in 2023).
Taylor is 53-56-1 as a head coach.
Last three games, Cincinnati is minus-5 in turnovers.
In four games, Bengals have run ball 76 times for only 200 yards.
Bengals are 7-5-1 ATS last 13 games as home underdogs.
Bengals are 22-14-1 ATS last 37 coming off a loss.
AFC North teams are 4-8 ATS in divisional games.
Bengals are 6-0 SU/5-1 ATS in last six series games.
Lions lost 26-17/23-13 in last two visits to Cincinnati.
Under is 3-1 in last four meetings.
Patriots @ Bills (-7.5)
Patriots (2-2)
Patriots scored 33-42 points in wins, 13-14 in losses.
Patriots won only road game, 33-27 at Miami.
QB Maye is 5-11 as an NFL starter.
Vrabel is 58-50 as an NFL head coach.
Patriots are 9-12-1 ATS last 22 games as a road underdog.
NE is 7-6 ATS in last 13 AFC East road games.
NE is 5-8-2 ATS in last 15 games coming off a win.
Opponents’ team total; under 3-1.
Since start of 2023 season, patriots are minus-26 in turnovers.
Bills (4-0)
Buffalo won its first four games,. scoring 41-30-31-31 points.
Bills are 12-13-1 ATS last 26 games as a home favorite.
QB Allen is 87-40 as an NFL starter.
McDermott is 96-52 as an NFL head coach.
Buffalo held last three opponents to 154-276-298 total yards.
Bills are 4-5-1 ATS last 10 AFC East home games.
Buffalo is 10-7 ATS in last seventeen games coming off a win.
NFL-wide, home favorites are 8-6 ATS in divisional games.
Bills are 4-3 SU in last seven series games.
Patriots are 1-5 SU/4-2 ATS in last six visits to Buffalo.
Over is 7-3 in last ten series games.
