CNOTES 2025-2026 FOOTBALL SCHEDULE + NEWS, NOTES BEST BETS !

Cnotes53

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Friday’s 6-pack:
Chris Paul’s career earnings, by team:
$122M— Clippers
$100M— Suns
$60M— Rockets
$44M— Hornets
$36M— Thunder
$31M— Warriors
$11M— Spurs

Quote of the Day
“Obviously it’s a difficult season. It’s probably one of the most difficult seasons just off of the circumstances, having a young quarterback, having a different team, having young players on the team. So it’s just one of those years. Not every year is going to be a top-tier year for me.”
Vikings WR Justin Jefferson

Friday’s quiz
28 major leaguers have hit 500+ career home runs; of those 28 players, who had the highest batting average?

Thursday’s quiz
Ben Roethlisberger played his college football at Miami OH

Wednesday’s quiz
Since 1999, Cleveland Browns have started 42 different QB’s; during that time, Tim Couch/Baker Mayfield (59 starts each) have the most starts for Cleveland.

****************************************************************

Friday’s Den: Random stuff, with the weekend here…….

— Lions 44, Cowboys 30
Lions had 11 drives: 5 TD’s, 3-4 on FG’s, 2 punts.
Goff threw for 309 yards and a TD.
Detroit is 11-1 ATS last 12 games coming off a loss.
Last 12 games, Lions are +9 in turnovers.
Lions are 18-11 ATS last 29 games as a home favorite.
Detroit has six wins this year by 13+ points.

Prescott threw for 376 yards, but threw two INTs.
Dallas is 5-0-1 scoring 33+ points, 1-6 scoring less than 33.

Big West started conference play Thursday:

— Cal-Santa Barbara 84, Long Beach State 77 OT

Gauchos were 32-38 on foul line, Long Beach 19-24.
Aidan Mahaney played 40:00, scored 26 points for UCSB.
UCSB is 8-2, but 1-2 vs teams ranked in top 150.

— Cal Poly 94, Fullerton 91
Cal Poly plays #2 tempo in country; they shot 18-37 on the arc.
Peter Bandelj scored 37 points for the Mustangs.
Fullerton’s bench outscored Cal Poly’s subs, 55-18.

— Cal-Irvine 73, Cal-Riverside 60
Both teams shot under 40% inside the arc.
Anteaters shot 10-18 on the arc; unusual for them.
Right now, Irvine has the #4 eFG% defense in the country.

— Cal-Northridge 87, Cal-Bakersfield 66
Matadors shot 65.1% inside the arc- they need to get layups.
Northridge is shooting 27.1% on arc (#335), 66.5% on line (#298)
Roadrunners are 1-5 vs teams ranked in the top 250.

— Robert Morris 80, Green Bay 78
Colonials outscored Green Bay 15-2 over the final 2:53.
Green Bay shot 63.3% inside arc, was 25-31 on foul line.
Robert Morris is off to 7-3 start; they were 26-9 last year.

— Merrimack 68, Rider 66
Merrimack shot 56% inside arc; they’re shooting 45.4% for year (#324)
6-2 frosh Kennedy played all 40:00, scored 19 points.
Merrimack is #363 team in country on defensive boards.

Famous birthdays, December 5th:
Jeroen Krabbe, 81
Jim Plunkett, 78
Bill Simpson, 74
Babe Laufenberg, 66
Charlie Batch, 51
LeGarrette Blount, 39

— If you had Boston College +7.5 Wednesday night at home vs LSU, you had a very bad beat; game went to overtime, and LSU won by nine, 78-69. Three of BC’s top four scorers were guys who didn’t start.

— Chris Paul is in his 21st season in the NBA, but the LA Clippers sent him home this week and he is no longer on the team, a surprising event. Clippers are 5-16, have lost 14 of their last 16 games.
He’s made $403M in salary in his Hall of Fame career

— San Francisco Giants hired former big league manager Ron Washington as infield coach; Washington had heart bypass surgery this past summer, he is 73 years old. Giants have a new manager this coming year, former Tennessee Vols manager Tony Vitello.

— Some bowl matchups have been set:
Cure Bowl- South Florida vs Old Dominion
Xbox Bowl- Arkansas State vs Missouri State
Hawai’i Bowl- California @ Hawai’i

— James Madison hired former Florida coach Billy Napier as its new football coach; Napier was 40-12 in four years at Louisiana, 22-23 in four years with the Gators- he got fired this year when Florida started the season 3-4.
James Madison is 101-21 since 2016, as they moved up to the I-A level.

— Red Sox-Pirates made a trade Thursday:

Pirates acquired:
OF Jhostynxon Garcia
P Jesus Travieso

Red Sox acquired:
P Johan Oviedo
P Tyler Samaniego
C Adonys Guzman
 

Cnotes53

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Saturday’s 6-pack:
Most targets per game this year in the NFL:
11.9— Ja’Marr Chase
10.4— Drake London
9.8— Trey McBride/Rashee Rice
9.7— Puka Nacua
9.6— Chris Olave
9.3— Jaxon Smith-Njigba

Quote of the Day
“The only way you’ll see actual player stability is if they go to employment status and have a contract. That would be the only thing holding them… which would be nice, so agents wouldn’t be able to rob kids anymore.”
UCLA basketball coach Mick Cronin

Saturday’s quiz
In history of the Tampa Bay Buccaneers, what QB threw for the most yards in a season?

Friday’s quiz
28 major leaguers have hit 500+ career home runs; of those 28 players, Ted Williams had the highest batting average.

Thursday’s quiz
Ben Roethlisberger played his college football at Miami OH

*********************************************

Saturday’s Den: Clearing out a cluttered mind……..

— Tulane 34, North Texas 21
UNT outgained Tulane 415-344, but was minus-5 in turnovers.
Green Wave led 24-6 at halftime; they’ll probably be in the 12-team playoff.
Both head coaches in this game are moving on to bigger $$$ jobs.
North Texas freshman QB Mestamaker has led the Mean Green to an 11-2 record; he didn’t start any games when he was in high school. Kind of amazing.

— James Madison 31, Troy 14
12-1 Dukes ran the ball 42 times for 318 yards (7.6 yards/carry)
JMU outgained the Trojans, 411-177.
Dukes led 17-14 at halftime.
JMU’s last TD was a defensive score that salted the game away.

— Kennesaw State 19, Jacksonville State 15
Owls win Conference USA in their first year as a I-A team.
Kennesaw drove 75 yards, scored game-winning TD with 0:51 left.
Owls led 12-0 after three quarters, but Jax State led 15-12 with 4:00 left.

— Boise State 38, UNLV 21
Broncos win their third straight Mountain West title.
Next year, Boise is joining the revamped Pac-12.
Boise led 21-0 midway thru the second quarter.
Broncos are likely going to play Washington in the LA Bowl.

— Gonzaga 94, Kentucky 59
Gonzaga crushed the Wildcats; they led 43-20 at halftime.
Zags lost their previous game, nine days ago, 101-61 to Michigan.
Kentucky is 5-4, 0-4 vs top 100 teams, 0-4 when they allow 60+ points.

— Xavier 79, Cincinnati 74
Crosstown rivalry game was 37-37 at halftime.
Xavier shot 66.7% inside arc, only 6-28 on the arc.
In a 74-possession game, Xavier had only four turnovers.

— Notre Dame 87, TCU 85 OT
Horned Frogs led by 11 late in the first half.
Notre Dame won despite going 9-20 on the foul line.
Notre Dame shot 61.8% inside arc, made 12-26 on the arc.

— UAB 74, Drake 69
Blazers out-rebounded Drake, 44-30.
Drake led by 5 early in the second half.
UAB was 21-28 on foul line, Bulldogs 12-16.

Famous birthdays, December 6th:
Larry Bowa, 80
Steven Wright, 70
Lindsay Scott, 65
Lance Blankenship, 62
Kevin Appier, 58
Sarah Rafferty, 58
Kevin Cash, 48
Adam Eaton, 37
Johnny Manziel, 33
Giannis Antetokounmpo, 31

— Penn State hit the jackpot with their coaching search, hiring former Iowa State coach Matt Campbell as their new football coach.
Campbell was 35-15 in four years at Toledo, then went to Iowa State and was 72-55 in ten years coaching the Cyclones. Iowa State is tough place to win; Campbell is a very good coach.

— Iowa State is replacing Campbell with Washington State coach Jimmy Rogers, who led the Coogs to a 6-6 record this year, despite not being in a league. Next year, Wazzu will have its third head coach in three years, but at least they’ll back in a league.

— Kansas State changed football coaches this week; Chris Klieman retired after going 54-34 in the Little Apple, an impressive run. There were reports that the players voted to skip going to a bowl game this year, after a 6-6 regular season, but K-State alum Collin Klein is the new coach, and whole bowl thing was still up in the air late Friday night.

— Random fact: 17 NFL teams play their home games on artificial turf fields, 15 play on natural grass.

— Dallas Cowboys kicker Brandon Aubrey kicked five field goals Thursday night, making kicks from 55-57-63 yards; he is the first kicker EVER to make three FG’s of 55+ yards in the same game.

— If you like college basketball, you should have ESPN+; they show ton of games on there, and you can watch replays of games all night, including teams from smaller leagues
.
 

Cnotes53

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Sunday’s 6-pack:
Leading scorers in the NBA:
35.3— Luka Doncic, LAL
32.8— Shai Gilgeous-Alexander, OKC
31.6— Tyrese Maxey, Phil
30.6— Donovan Mitchell, Clev
29.3— Austin Reaves, LAL
29.2— Nikola Jokic, Den

Quote of the Day
“If this game applies to and takes away from our résumé, I don’t think that’s right. I really don’t. I think the precedent’s been set and I don’t know how you can go into a conference playoff game when you’re the No. 1 seed and did all these things throughout the year — and playing in this game against one of the top teams in the country as well — how that can hurt you and keep you out of the playoff when again, we’ve done what we’ve done all year.”
Alabama football coach Kalen DeBoer

Sunday’s quiz
Where did Chargers’ QB Justin Herbert play his college football?

Saturday’s quiz
In history of the Tampa Bay Buccaneers, Tom Brady threw for the most yards in a season, in 2021.

Friday’s quiz
28 major leaguers have hit 500+ career home runs; of those 28 players, Ted Williams had the highest batting average.

********************************************

Sunday’s Den: Wrapping up a busy Saturday…….

— Iowa State 81, Purdue 58
Cyclones shot 11-23 on arc, scored 1.25 ppp
Iowa State outscored Purdue 46-27 in second half.
First loss for 8-1 Purdue, which has played schedule #26.

— Duke 66, Michigan State 60
Michigan State shot only 29.5% inside the arc.
First loss for 8-1 Spartans, who have played schedule #35.
Duke is 10-0, with five top 100 wins.

— Washington 84, USC 76
Trojans led 48-30 at halftime.
Huskies out-rebounded USC, 45-31.
First loss for 8-1 USC, which has five wins by 5 or fewer points.

— Louisville 87, Indiana 78
Cardinals led 41-27 at halftime.
Louisville shot 13-31 on the arc, 12-23 inside the arc.

Ryan Conwell is a senior G for Louisville. His college career:
2022-23- South Florida- coach got fired after 14-18 season
2023-24- Indiana State- coach bolted to Saint Louis after a 32-7 season
2024-25- Xavier- coach bolted to Texas after a 22-12 season
2025-26- Louisville

— Memphis 78, Baylor 71
Memphis subs outscored Baylor’s thin bench, 37-15
Baylor’s subs play #356 minutes in country, bottom 10 figure.
Bears shot only 33.3% inside arc in this game.

Basketball Upsets of the Day:
Omaha (+8.5) 60, Portland State 55
SE Missouri State (+6.5) 74, Chattanooga 70
Western Michigan (+6.5) 83, SIU-Edwardsville 73
NC-Greensboro (+6.5) 82, East Carolina 78
Iowa State (+5.5) 81, Purdue 58
Boise State (+5.5) 77, Butler 68
Cal-Riverside (+5.5) 88, Cal Poly 84

— Georgia 28, Alabama 7

Alabama ran the ball 16 times, for minus-3 yards.
Just 2nd win For Georgia in last 12 games vs Alabama.
Alabama is on the bubble now to get into the 12-team playoff.

— Indiana 13, Ohio State 10
Down 13-10, Buckeyes missed a 27-yard field goal with 2:48 left.
Indiana wins its first league title since 1967.
Ohio State ran ball 26 times for only 58 yards.

— Duke 27, Virginia 20 OT
Virginia scored 10 points in last 4:00 to force overtime.
Duke scored TD in OT on a 4th down pass play.
8-5 Duke wins ACC title; will ACC have team in the playoff?

— Texas Tech 34, BYU 7
BYU drove 90 yards for a TD on their first drive.
Rest of game, BYU ran 45 plays for 110 yards.
Texss Tech likely gets a first-round bye in the playoff.

— Western Michigan 23, Miami OH 13
Broncos had a 67-yard TD run 1:27 into the game.
WMU ran ball 56 times for 286 yards (5.1 yards/carry)
Western Michigan is 9-3-1 against spread this year.

Famous birthdays, December 7th:
Ellen Burstyn, 93
Al Woodall, 80
Johnny Bench, 78
Larry Bird, 69
Mel Owens, 67
C Thomas Howell, 59
Eric Chavez, 48
Lou Amundson, 43
Jake McQuaide, 38
Kyle Hendricks, 36
Pete Alonso, 31
Hunter Henry, 31

One of my favorites, the late Ted Knight, was born on this day in 1923.

— Illinois 75, Tennessee 62
Tennessee led 32-30 at halftime.
Illinois shot 11-28 on arc, scored 1.21 points/possession.
Tennessee lost its last three gams, after a 7-0 start.

— New Hampshire 88, Boston U 82 OT
Terriers led 65-40 with 10:42 left in the game.
New Hampshire had been 0-7 vs Division I opponents.

— Oral Roberts 72, Montana State 68
Bobcats led 42-22 at halftime.
Oral Roberts was 24-26 on foul line, Montana State 9-13.
Ty Harper was 14-16 on foul line; took more FT’s than the other team.

— Arizona 97, Auburn 68
Arizona led 44-32 at halftime.
Arizona is 8-0, with four top 40 wins.
Auburn is 7-3, 3-3 vs top 100 opponents.
 

Udog

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NFL
Weather Report

Sunday, December 7


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Udog

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NFL
Armadillo's Write-up

Week 14

Sunday’s games
Dolphins
(-2.5) @ Jets
Dolphins (4-7)
Miami won three of last four games, after a 1-6 start.
Miami allowed 27+ points in all seven losses.
Dolphins are 4-0 when they allow less than 27 points.
QB Tagovailoa is 42-32 as an NFL starter.
McDaniel is 32-32 as a head coach.


Miami is 4-6-2 ATS last 12 games as a favorite.
Miami is 3-8 ATS in last 11 games coming off a win.
Last three games, Dolphins ran ball for 197-169-164 yards.
Dolphins went over their team total six of last nine games.
Miami is 13-6 ATS in last 19 AFC East road games.


Jets (3-9)
Jets are 3-2 in last five games, after an 0-7 start.
Jets are 0-7 when they score less than 27 points.
Last four games, Jets gained 169-245-282-269 total yards.
Taylor is 29-31-1 as an NFL starter.
Aaron Glenn is 3-9 as a head coach.


Jets are 12-17 ATS last 29 games as a home underdog
Jets are 7-15-1 ATS last 23 games coming off a win.
Jets are 5-8 ATS in last 13 AFC East home games.
Jets are minus-12 in turnovers this season.
Jets are 3-5 in games decided by 7 or fewer points.


Dolphins (-2.5) beat Jets 27-21 at home in Week 4.
Miami won 10 of last 12 series games.
Teams split their last eight meetings in New Jersey.
Over is 5-1 in last six series games.


Steelers @ Ravens (-6)
Steelers (6-6)
Steelers lost five of last seven games, after a 4-1 start.
Pittsburgh is 5-2 when it allows less than 31 points.
Steelers are +12 in turnovers in wins, minus-6 in losses.
Rodgers is 170-102-1 as an NFL starter
Tomlin is 197-124-2 as a head coach.


Steelers are 11-9 ATS last 20 games as a road underdog.
Since 20018, Pittsburgh is 40-21-1 ATS as an underdog.
Steelers are 12-7 ATS last 19 games coming off a loss.
Steelers are 9-7 ATS in last 16 AFC North road games.
Under is 4-1 in their last five games.


Ravens (6-6)
Baltimore won five of its last five games, after a 1-5 start.
Baltimore is 0-4 when they allow more than 19 points.
Ravens are minus-13 in turnovers in losses, +9 in wins.
QB Jackson is 78-33 as an NFL starter
John Harbaugh is 191-121 as an NFL head coach.


Ravens are 12-10 ATS last 22 games as a home favorite.
Ravens are 8-4 ATS last 12 games coming off a loss.
Ravens are 5-9 ATS in last 14 AFC North home games.
Last two games, Baltimore converted 5-21 third down plays.
Under is 6-1 in their last seven games.


Teams split their last six series games.
Steelers lost 34-17/28-14 in last two visits to Baltimore.
Over is 8-1 in last nine meetings.


Saints @ Buccaneers (-8.5)
Saints (2-10)
Saints lost six of their last seven games.
Saints are +6 in turnovers in wins, minus-11 in losses.
Saints allowed 14-7 points in their two wins
26-year old rookie QB Shough is 1-3 as an NFL starter.
Kellen Moore is 2-10 as a head coach.


Saints are 6-6 ATS last 12 games as a road underdog.
Saints are 7-13 ATS in last 20 games coming off a loss.
In seven of last eight games, Saints ran ball for less than 90 yards.
Saints are 0-4 in games decided by 7 or fewer points.
Saints are 14-4-1 ATS in last 19 NFC South road games.


Buccaneers (7-5)
Tampa Bay lost four of its last six games, after a 5-1 start.
Last eleven games, Tampa Bay is +9 in turnovers.
Bucs are 5-0 when they allow less than 24 points.
Mayfield is 59-61 as an NFL starter, 27-22 with the Bucs.
Bowles is 61-73 as a head coach, 35-32 with Tampa Bay.


Tampa Bay is 6-6-1 ATS last 13 games as a home favorite.
Bucs are 5-9 ATS in last 14 games coming off a win.
Last two games, Bucs converted 16-32 third down plays.
Bucs are 5-2 in games decided by six or fewer points.
Over is 4-1 in Tampa Bay’s home games this year.

Tampa Bay (-4) won 23-3 in the Superdome in Week 8
Bucs won six of last seven series games.
Saints won five of their last seven visits to Tampa.
Under is 5-2 in last seven meetings.


Colts (-1.5) @ Jaguars
Colts (8-4)
Indy lost three of last four games, after a 7-1 start.
Colts are 8-0 scoring 29+ points (20-20-20-16 in losses)
Indy is minus-4 in turnovers in losses, +9 in wins.
QB Jones is 33-49-1 is as an NFL starter.
Steichen is 25-21 SU as a head coach


Colts are 4-6 ATS last 10 games as a road favorite.
Under Steichen, Colts are 12-9 ATS as a favorite.
Colts are 3-4 in games decided by 7 or fewer points.
Colts are 6-1 ATS in last seven AFC South road games.
Colts’ team total: over 8-4.


Jaguars (8-4)
Jacksonville won four of last five games, scoring 29.3 ppg
Jaguars are 8-1 if they allow fewer than 31 points.
Jacksonville is 5-3 in games decided by 8 or fewer points.
QB Lawrence is 31-43 as an NFL starter.
Liam Coen is 8-4 as an NFL head coach.


Jaguars are 4-1 SU at home this season.
Jaguars are 17-14 ATS in last 31 games coming off a win.
Jaguars held nine of last 11 opponents under 100 yards rushing.
Last two games, Jaguars converted 6-24 third down plays.
Jaguars are 5-2 ATS in last seven AFC South home games.


Jaguars won four of last five series games.
Colts lost their last ten visits to Jacksonville.
Over is 5-1 in last six meetings.


Titans @ Browns (-4.5)
Titans (1-11)
Tennessee is 0-7 SU/3-4 ATS in last seven games.
Last four games, Titans ran ball for only 79.3 yards/game.
Interim coach McCoy was 28-38 coaching Chargers from 2013-16.
Rookie QB Ward is 1-11 as an NFL starter.
Titans are 2-3 ATS as a road underdog this season.


Titans were held under 300 TY in 10 of 12 games.
Titans are 7-16 ATS in last 23 games as an underdog.
Tennessee is 5-16-1 ATS last 22 games coming off a loss.
Last seven games, Titans are minus-7 in turnovers.
Over is 7-4 in their last eleven games.


Browns (3-9)
Cleveland lost four of its last five games.
Browns are 0-9 when they allow more than 10 points.
Browns haven’t gained more than 278 yards since Week 5.
Rookie QB Sanders is 1-1 as an NFL starter
Stefanski is 44-57 as a head coach.


Browns are 2-7 SU/3-6 ATS in last nine games.
Browns are 2-3 SU/4-1 ATS at home this year.
Cleveland is 7-2 ATS last nine games as a home favorite.
Browns are 8-13 ATS in last 21 games coming off a loss.
Last eight games, Browns are +6 in turnovers.


Browns won last two series games, 27-3/41-35.
Titans won three of their five visits to Cleveland.
Over is 5-2 in last seven meetings.


Commanders @ Vikings (-2.5)
Commanders (3-9)
Commanders are 0-7 SU/1-6 ATS in their last seven games.
Washington lost last two games by a combined four points.
Washington is 0-8 when it allows more than 24 points.
QB Mariota is 36-45 as an NFL starter; Josh Johnson is the backup.
Quinn is 63-58 as an NFL coach.


Commanders allowed 354+ yards in nine of last ten games.
Commanders are 0-5 in games decided by 9 or fewer points.
Opponents’ over/under total: over 8-3 last eleven games.
Washington is 16-25-1 ATS in last 42 games coming off a loss.
Last seven games, Washington is minus-8 in turnovers.


Vikings (4-7)
Vikings lost four in row, six of their last seven games.
Vikings were outscored 49-6 in their last two games.
Unsure who QB will be; #4 QB Wolford might be best one.
Last nine games, Minnesota is minus-17 in turnovers.
O’Connell is 38-26 as an NFL head coach.


Vikings are 5-7 ATS last 12 games as a home favorite.
Five of last six games, Vikings gained less than 270 yards.
Vikings are 8-12-1 ATS in last 21 games coming off a loss.
Last four Minnesota games stayed under the total.
Last six games, Vikings converted only 17 of 67 third down plays.


Vikings won seven of last nine series games.
Washington is 1-3 SU/2-2 ATS in last four visits to the Twin Cities
Over is 6-2 in last eight meetings.


Seahawks (-7) @ Falcons
Seahawks (9-3)
Seahawks won six of their last seven games.
Seattle’s three losses were by 3-4-2 points.
Seahawks held 9 of last 11 opponents under 300 TY.
Darnold is 44-42 as an NFL starter.
MacDonald is 19-10 as a head coach.


Seattle has five wins by 14+ points.
In losses, Seahawks are minus-5 in turnovers; in wins, +5.
Seattle is 7-10-2 ATS last 19 games as a road favorite.
Seattle is 10-4-1 ATS in last 15 games coming off a win
Opponents’ team total: under 8-3-1.


Falcons (4-8)
Atlanta lost six of its last seven games.
Falcons are 1-5 in games decided by 7 or fewer points.
Atlanta is 1-8 when it allows more than 14 points.
QB Cousins is 85-79-2 as an NFL starter.
Morris is 33-55 as a head coach.


Atlanta is 6-3-1 ATS last 10 games as a home underdog.
Falcons are 10-13-1 ATS last 24 games coming off a loss.
Atlanta went over its team total in its last five games.
Falcons lost 27-24 to the Jets LW, but outgained them 389-269.
Over is 4-1 in last five Atlanta games.


Seattle won five of last seven series games.
Seahawks are 4-0 SU/3-1 ATS in last four visits to Atlanta.
Over is 4-2 in last six meetings.


Bengals @ Bills (-5.5)
Bengals (4-8)
Bengals lost eight of their last ten games.
Bengals are 3-3 in games decided by 6 or fewer points.
QB Burrow threw for 261 yards, 2 TD’s in his return from injury LW.
Burrow is 46-32-1 as an NFL starter.
Taylor is 55-62-1 as a head coach.


Bengals covered four of last five games as an underdog.
Cincinnati is 10-7-1 ATS last 18 games as road underdogs.
Bengals are 19-9-1 ATS last 29 games coming off a win.
Bengals are +7 in turnovers in wins, minus-10 in losses.
Under is 3-0 in last three Cincinnati games.


Bills (8-4)
Bills won four of their last six games.
Buffalo scored 26+ points in wins, 20-14-13-19 in losses.
Buffalo is +6 in turnovers in wins, minus-8 in losses.
QB Allen is 91-44 as an NFL starter.
McDermott is 100-56 as an NFL head coach.


Bills are 10-11 ATS last 21 games as a home favorite.
Bills are 14-15-1 ATS in last 30 games coming off a win.
Buffalo is 8-0 when they score more than 20 points.
Last four games, Buffalo is minus-5 in turnovers.
Last two weeks, Bills held foes to 261-166 total yards.


Cincinnati won six of last eight series games.
Bengals won three of their last four visits to Buffalo.
Under is 4-1 in last five meetings.


Broncos (-7.5) @ Raiders
Broncos (10-2)
Broncos won their last nine games, last four by 3-3-3-1 points.
Seven of their last eight wins were by 4 or fewer points.
Last three games, Denver ran ball for 84-59-87 yards.
QB Nix is 20-10 as an NFL starter.
Payton is 189-116 as an NFL head coach, 28-19 with Denver.


Denver is 2-6 ATS last eight games as a road favorite.
Denver is 5-4 ATS in its last nine games overall.
Denver is 5-8 ATS in last 13 AFC West road games.
Denver is 10-7 ATS in last 17 games coming off a win.
Under is 7-3 in their last ten games.


Raiders (2-10)
Raiders lost six games in a row, 10 of last 11.
Raiders allowed 13-10 points in their wins
Last six games, Raiders ran the ball for only 48.9 yards/game.
QB Geno Smith is 42-54 as an NFL starter.
Carroll is 183-141-1 as an NFL head coach.


Raiders are 11-18-2 ATS last 31 games as an underdog.
Raiders are 5-6-2 ATS last 13 games as a home underdog.
Las Vegas is 15-10 ATS last 25 AFC West home games.
Raiders are 12-17-1 ATS in last 30 games coming off a loss.
Las Vegas has seven losses by 11+ points this season.


Broncos gained only 188 yards, but beat Raiders 10-7 at home in Week 10.
Denver won last three series games, by 16-10-3 points.
Broncos won 29-19 in Vegas LY, snapping 0-8 skid in road series games.
Over is 4-2 in last six meetings.


Bears @ Packers (-6.5)
Bears (9-3)
Bears won five in row, nine of last ten games.
Bears are 9-1 scoring 24+ points, 0-2 scoring less.
In wins, Chicago was +20 in turnovers; minus-3 in losses.
Ben Johnson is 9-3 as an NFL head coach.
QB Williams is 14-15 as an NFL starter.


Chicago is 16-22-1 ATS last 39 games as a road underdog.
Chicago is 11-15-1 ATS in last 27 games coming off a win.
Bears are 7-0 when they allow less than 27 points.
Bears are 6-1 in games decided by 5 or fewer points.
Chicago is 5-3 ATS in last eight NFC North road games.


Packers (8-3-1)
Green Bay is 8-0-1 when it scores 23+ points, 0-3 otherwise.
Green Bay scored 10-13-7 points in its losses.
Packers held eight of 12 opponents under 300 TY.
QB Love is 27-20-1 as an NFL starter
LaFleur is 78-41-1 as an NFL head coach.


Packers are 9-7-1 ATS last 17 games as a home favorite.
Packers are 27-19-1 ATS last 47 games coming off a win.
Green Bay is 12-8 ATS in last 20 NFC North home games.
Last three games, Green Bay is +5 in turnovers.
Packers converted 32 of last 63 third down plays.


These teams play again in two weeks, in Chicago.
Packers won 17 of last 19 series games.
Bears are 1-8 SU/2-7 ATS in last nine visits to Lambeau.
Over is 6-4 in last ten meetings.


Rams (-8.5) @ Cardinals
Rams (9-3)
Rams won six of their last seven games.
Rams are 8-0 when they allow less than 26 points.
In their losses, Rams gave up 33-26-31 points.
QB Stafford is 48-28 as the Rams’ starter (122-121-1 overall).
McVay is 97-60 as an NFL head coach.


Last eight games, Rams outscored opponents 147-59 in first half.
Rams are 10-3 ATS in last 13 NFC West road games.
Rams are 17-9 ATS in last 26 games as a favorite.
Rams went over team total in eight of last 11 games.
Rams are 17-9-1 ATS in last 27 games coming off a loss.


Cardinals (3-9)
Cardinals lost four in row, nine of last ten games.
Last three games, Arizona ran ball for 36-55-95 yards.
Cardinals are 0-6 when they allow more than 22 points.
Brissett is 20-40 as an NFL starter.
Gannon is 15-31 as an NFL head coach.


Nine of 12 Arizona games were decided by 7 or fewer points,
Cardinals are 8-6 ATS last 14 games as a home underdog.
Under Gannon, Arizona is 21-13 ATS as an underdog.
Arizona is 24-17 ATS in last 41 games coming off a loss.
Cardinals are 6-14 ATS in last 20 NFC West home games.


Rams won 15 of last 18 series games (14-4 ATS)
Rams won nine of their last 10 visits to Arizona.
Over is 5-3 in last eight meetings.


Texans @ Chiefs (-4.5)
Texans (7-5)
Houston won its last four games, by 7-3-4-4 points.
Texans are 6-0 when they score 20+ points.
Texans held nine of 12 opponents under 300 TY.
Stroud is 25-20 as an NFL starter.
Ryans is 29-21 in as an NFL head coach.


Houston is 13-9 ATS last 22 games as an underdog.
Texans are 13-9-1 ATS last 23 games as a road underdog.
Texans are 12-10-1 ATS last 23 games coming off a win.
Houston is 3-0 in games decided by 11+ points, 4-5 in games decided by 8 or less.
Last nine games, Texans are +12 in turnovers.


Chiefs (6-6)
Chiefs are 5-0 SU/4-1 ATS in last five home games.
Chiefs are 6-1 giving up 20 or less points, 0-5 giving up 21+.
Chiefs are 1-6 in games decided by 7 or less points.
QB Mahomes is 112-32 as an NFL starter.
Andy Reid is 307-169-1 as an NFL head coach


Chiefs are 20-23 ATS last 43 games as a home favorite.
Chiefs are 18-25 ATS last 43 games coming off a loss.
Chiefs held five of last seven opponents under 100 yards rushing.
Last five games, Chiefs team total: under 4-0-1.
Under is 6-1 in last seven Kansas City games.


Chiefs won four in row, 8 of last 10 series games.
Texans are 1-5 SU/2-4 ATS last six visits to Arrowhead.
Over is 5-1-1 in last seven meetings.
 
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Cnotes53

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Sunday, December 7

GameTime(ET)PickUnits
SEA at ATL01:00 PMSEA -6.5*****
O 44.5
+500 +500
WAS at MIN01:00 PMMIN +1.5+500
CIN at BUF01:00 PMBUF -6.0******
O 53.5******
+500 +500
IND at JAC01:00 PMJAC +2.0
U 46.5*****
+500 +500
MIA at NYJ01:00 PMNYJ +2.5*****
U 41.5
+500 +500
PIT at BAL01:00 PMBAL -6.0*****
U 43.5
+500 +500
NO at TB01:00 PMTB -8.0+500
TEN at CLE01:00 PMCLE -3.5
O 33.0*****
+500 +500
DEN at LV04:05 PMLV +8.5+500
CHI at GB04:25 PMCHI +6.5*****
U 44.5*****
+500 +500
LA at ARI04:25 PMARI +10.0
O 47.5*****
+500 +500
HOU at KC08:20 PMHOU +3.5*****
O 42.0*****
+500 +500
 

Cnotes53

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CNOTES DECEMBER NFL BEST BETS !

12/07/2025................4 - 8 - 0............33.33%.............- 24.00
12/04/2025...............0 - 2 - 0.............00.00%............- 11.00
12/01/2025...............1 - 1 - 0.............50.00%.............- 0.50

TOTALS....................5 -11 - 0..............31.25%............- 35.50
 

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Monday’s 6-pack:
— UNLV 75, Stanford 74- Good road win for the banged-up Rebels.
— SMU 93, Texas A&M 80 OT- Mustangs led by 15 early in second half.
— Nebraska 71, Creighton 50- Cornhuskers are 9-0, with four top 100 wins.
— San Francisco 65, Miss State 62- State shot 8-28 on arc, 2-8 on foul line.
— Kansas 80, Missouri 60- Frosh Peterson scored 17 in his return to action.
— Hofstra 80, Pittsburgh 73- Panthers lost five of their last seven games.

Quote of the Day
“Their strength of schedule was the highest in the top 11, and felt like in spite of their performance yesterday in the conference championship, they deserve to stay within that 9 spot.”
CFP selection committee chair Hunter Yurachek, on why Alabama is the #9-seed in the college football playoff

Monday’s quiz
Since 1998, which major league team has hit the fewest home runs?

Sunday’s quiz
Chargers’ QB Justin Herbert played his college football at Oregon.

Saturday’s quiz
In history of the Tampa Bay Buccaneers, Tom Brady threw for the most yards in a season, in 2021.

***********************************************

Monday’s Den: Wrapping up an NFL Sunday…….

Packers 28, Bears 21
Green Bay picked off a pass in end zone with 0:22 to preserve the win.
Packers converted 8-12 third down plays; Chicago was 8-16.
Green Bay is 9-0-1 when it scores 23+ points, 0-3 otherwise.
As a head coach, Matt LaFleur is 12-1 against Chicago.
Chicago in first half: 29 plays, 76 yards, 3 points.
Bears’ 1st 3 drives in 2nd half: 34 plays, 184 yards, 17 points.
Chicago is 0-3 when they score less than 24 points.
With the loss, Bears slipped from #1 seed in NFC to #7 seed.

Bills 39, Bengals 34
Bengals led 28-18 with 8:00 left in the game.
Buffalo took lead for good on a pick-6 with 5:25 left.
Bills in second half: 35 plays, 240 yards, 21 points.
Cincinnati was 10-12 on third down, Bills 6-11.
Cincinnati lost nine of its last 12 games.
Bengals covered four of last five games as an underdog.
Buffalo is 9-0 when they score 26+ points, 0-4 when they don’t.
QB Allen threw for 251 yards, 3 TD’s on a snowy day.

Texans 20, Chiefs 10
Houston won five in row, 8 of last 10 games.
Texans are 7-0 when they score 20+ points.
Houston is 14-9 ATS last 23 games as an underdog.
Last ten games, Texans are +15 in turnovers.
Chiefs in first half: 27 plays, 113 yards, zero points.
Under is 7-1 in last eight Kansas City games.
Kansas City has lost four of its last five games.
Chiefs are 6-7, their worst record thru 13 games since 2012.

Titans 31, Browns 29
Titans led 31-17 with 5:00 left in the game.
Browns then scored two TD’s, but went 0-2 on 2-point conversions.
Tennessee ran ball 35 times for 184 yards.
Titans scored TD on their first drive for first time this year.
Browns’ QB Sanders threw for 364 yards, three TD’s.
Browns outgained Tennessee 412-292.
Cleveland lost five of its last six games.
Browns are 0-10 when they allow more than 10 points.

Steelers 27, Ravens 22
7-6 Steelers led 17-9 at half, took over first place in AFC North.
Rodgers threw for 284 yards and a TD, also ran for a TD.
Pittsburgh is 6-2 when it allows less than 31 points.
Since 2018, Pittsburgh is 41-21-1 ATS as an underdog.
Ravens outgained Pittsburgh, 420-318.
Baltimore is 0-6 when they allow more than 19 points.
Ravens are minus-14 in turnovers in losses, +9 in wins.
Ravens are 5-10 ATS in last 15 AFC North home games.

Saints 24, Buccaneers 20
Tampa Bay led 10-7 at halftime.
Saints’ first three drives in 2nd half: 23 plays, 153 yards, 17 points.
Saints won five of their last seven visits to Tampa.
Saints are 15-4-1 ATS in last 20 NFC South road games.
Buccaneers were 2-7 on 4th down conversions in this game.
Tampa Bay is 1-6 when they allow 24+ points.
Tampa Bay lost four of its last five games.
7-6 Buccaneers are tied with Carolina atop NFC South.

Famous birthdays, December 8th:
Gus Otto, 82
Kim Basinger, 72
Steve Dils, 70
George Rogers, 67
Wendell Pierce, 62
Teri Hatcher, 61
Jeff George, 58
Mike Mussina, 57
Vernon Wells, 47
Philip Rivers, 44
Josh Donaldson, 40
Dwight Howard, 40

Rams 45, Cardinals 17
Rams’ first drive: 10 plays, 60 yards, FG.
Rams’ second drive: 6 plays, 74 yards, TD.
Rams’ third drive: 10 plays, 65 yards, TD.
Rams’ last drive in 1st half: 7 plays, 92 yards, TD.
WR Nukua caught 7 passes for 167 yards, 2 TD’s.
Rams won seven of their last eight games.
Cardinals lost five in row, 10 of last 11 games.
Cardinals are 0-7 when they allow more than 22 points.

Dolphins 34, Jets 10
Dolphins’ first three drives: 15 plays, 178 yards, 21 points.
Miami won its last four games, giving up 13.3 ppg.
Dolphins ran ball 41 times for 239 yards (5.8 yards/carry)
Miami is 14-6 ATS in last 20 AFC East road games.
Undrafted rookie QB Cook played most of game, his NFL debut.
Jets were outgained 358-207, were minus-3 in turnovers.
Jets are 0-8 when they score less than 27 points.
Last five games, Jets gained 169-245-282-269-207 total yards.

Jaguars 36, Colts 19
Jaguars had short TD drives, of 21-28 yards.
Indy QB Jones tore his achilles, is out for the year.
Jacksonville won five of last six games, scoring 30.3 ppg
Jaguars are 9-1 if they allow fewer than 31 points.
Indy lost four of last five games, after a 7-1 start.
Colts’ QB’s now: rookie Leonard, journeyman Brett Rypien.
Colts are 0-5 when they score less than 29 points.
Indy has lost its last ten visits to Jacksonville.

Seahawks 37, Falcons 9
Seattle kicked 48-yard FG with 0:04 left to tie game 6-6 at the half.
Shaheed ran back opening kick of 3rd quarter 100 yards for a TD.
Seahawks in second half: 33 plays, 259 yards, 24 points.
Seahawks won seven of their last eight games.
Falcons in second half: 31 plays, 163 yards, 3 turnovers, 3 points.
Falcons were 1-13 on third down, committed 3 turnovers.
Atlanta lost seven of its last eight games.
Atlanta is 1-9 when it allows more than 14 points.

Vikings 31, Commanders 0
Vikings’ first two drives: 26 plays, 159 yards, 14 points.
Vikings were +3 in turnovers; they were minus-15 coming into game.
Minnesota ran ball for 162 yards; they were 6-11 on third down.
Last five Minnesota games stayed under the total.
Commanders are 0-8 SU/1-7 ATS in their last eight games.
Washington is 0-9 when it allows more than 24 points.
QB Daniels re-injured his left (non-throwing) elbow.
Last eight games, Washington is minus-11 in turnovers.

Broncos 24, Raiders 17
Broncos won their last 10 games, last four by 3-3-3-1-7 points.
First game this season that Denver never trailed in.
Denver is 2-7 ATS last nine games as a road favorite.
Broncos outgained Las Vegas 356-229.
Denver was 7-12 on third down, Raiders 3-9.
Raiders lost seven games in a row, 11 of last 12.
Last eight games, Raiders ran the ball for only 47.8 yards/game.
QB Smith got hurt; Kenny Pickett/Aidan O’Connell are the backups.
 

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NFL
Weather Report

Monday, December 8


CrvEJSW.png





NFL
Armadillo's Write-up

Week 14

Eagles
(-2.5) @ Chargers
Eagles (8-4)
Eagles lost last two games; they miss injured OL Johnson.
Those two games, Philly ran ball for only 63-87 yards.
Eagles are 7-2 in games decided by 8 or fewer points.
QB Hurts is 59-27 as an NFL starter.
Sirianni is 61-27 as an NFL coach.


Eagles are 7-4 ATS last 11 games as a road favorite.
Philly is 4-9 ATS in last 13 games coming off a loss.
Last four games, Eagles stayed under their team total.
Eagles ran for less than 100 yards in seven of last ten games.
Eagles are 10-6-1 ATS in last 17 games vs AFC teams.


Chargers (8-4)
Chargers won four of their last five games.
Chargers are 9-7 ATS in last 16 games coming off a win.
Bolts are 4-1 in games decided by 7 or fewer points.
QB Herbert is 48-44 as an NFL starter.
Jim Harbaugh is 67-33-1 as an NFL head coach.


Chargers are 5-4 ATS last nine games as a home underdog.
Chargers are 8-9-1 ATS in last 18 games vs NFC teams.
Bolts are 7-1 when they allow 21 or fewer points.
Chargers are +4 in turnovers in wins, minus-5 in losses.
Chargers held four of last five opponents under 225 total yards.


Chargers won three of last four series games.
Four of last five meetings were decided by 3 or fewer points.
Over is 4-0 in last four meetings.
 

Cnotes53

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CNOTES DECEMBER NFL BEST BETS !

12/08/2025...............2 - 0 - 0..........100.00%..........+ 10.00
12/07/2025...............4 - 8 - 0...........33.33%...........- 24.00
12/04/2025...............0 - 2 - 0...........00.00%...........- 11.00
12/01/2025...............1 - 1 - 0...........50.00%............- 0.50

TOTALS....................7 -11 - 0...........38.88%............- 25.50
 

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Tuesday’s 6-pack:
Week 15 NFL spreads:
— Falcons @ Tampa Bay (-4.5)
— Bills (-1.5) @ New England
— Ravens (-2.5) @ Cincinnati
— Jets @ Jacksonville (-12.5)
— Chargers @ Kansas City (-4.5)
— Cardinals @ Houston (-9.5)

Quote of the Day
“There are a lot of older gentlemen with beards playing college basketball right now. He’s waving up into the stands at his kids. Crazy thing, he’s using NIL for his first wife’s alimony. Are we nuts?”
John Calipari

Tuesday’s quiz
New York/New Jersey Jets have existed since 1960; the first three years they played, they had a different nickname- they weren’t the Jets. Who were they?

Monday’s quiz
Since 1998, Kansas City Royals have hit the fewest home runs.

Sunday’s quiz
Chargers’ QB Justin Herbert played his college football at Oregon.

********************************************

Tuesday’s Den: Nobody asked me, but…….

— Indianapolis Colts have QB injury issues, big ones; they’re actually bringing 44-year old Philip Rivers in for a workout Tuesday. He hasn’t played in the NFL since 2020; he will be on next year’s ballot for the Pro Football Hall of Fame, but if he plays this year, that pushes his Hall of Fame induction back a few years.
Rivers turned 44 Monday; he’s been a high school coach in Alabama the last five years, where he has posted a 44-16 record, losing in the state semi-finals the last two seasons.

— When the Dolphins beat the Jets on a cold day in New Jersey Sunday, it was Tua Tagovailoa’s first career win in eight games when the temperature was less than 47 degrees.

— Arizona Cardinals’ QB Kyler Murray is out for the year with a foot injury; it is doubtful if Murray ever play for the Cardinals again, but his contract is an issue.
Murray’s contract the next three years:
2026- $42.5M
2027- $36.3M
2028- $46.35M

— Eight of the last 11 years, the team that won March Madness was still unbeaten on December 6th. Since 2008, every national champ was ranked in the top 12 of the AP poll in Week 6.
Here is this week’s top 12 in the AP poll:
Arizona-Michigan-Duke-Iowa State
UConn-Purdue-Houston-Gonzaga
Michigan State-BYU-Louisville-Alabama

Famous birthdays, December 9th:
Darold Knowles, 84
Beau Bridges, 84
Michael Nouri, 80
Doc Medich, 77
John Malkovich, 72
Jim Haslett, 70
Otis Birdsong, 70
Richard Brooks, 63
Todd Van Poppel, 54
David Akers, 51

— If you don’t think Indiana football coach Curt Cignetti is a great freakin’ coach, think again. Here is Indiana’s 2023 season, the year before Cignetti went to the Hoosiers.
Indiana went 3-9
One of the wins was against Akron, in 4 overtimes.
Hoosiers lost four games by 17+ points.
Indiana’s last three losses were by 3-3-4 points.
In two years under Cignetti, Indiana is 24-2.

— College/minor league sports are off the rails; several teams declined invitations to bowl games. You’d think players would enjoy going to bowls, but some schools are queasy that bigger $$$ teams are going to scout their players, then poach them for next year.
Then there is Notre Dame, which is whining because they got left out of the playoffs; starting next year, if they’re ranked in the top 12 at this time, they’ll automatically be in the playoff.

— Georgia Southern is going bowling; seven teams declined a chance to play the Eagles in a bowl. Finally, Sun Belt rival Appalachian State signed up to play the Eagles in the Birmingham Bowl December 29th.
Georgia Southern won 25-23 at Appalachian State November 6th.

— Aside from that game between Sun Belt rivals, Sun Belt has eight other teams are going to bowls; they don’t get on national TV much. Five of those eight games will be a Sun Belt team against an opponent from Conference USA.

— Big X fined both Iowa State/Kansas State $500,000 for declining bowl bids; both teams had their coach leave (one bolted, one retired).

— 11 SEC teams are going bowling; Oklahoma-Alabama is a first round matchup in the 12-team playoff. Seven of the other nine SEC teams in bowls will be favored in their game.

— Eight Big X are going bowling; seven of them will be favored in their game.
 

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NFL

Week 15


------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Trend Report
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

Atlanta VS Tampa Bay
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Atlanta's last 6 games.
Atlanta is 1-7 SU in its last 8 games.
Atlanta is 5-2 ATS in its last 7 games against Tampa Bay.
Atlanta is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games against Tampa Bay.
Tampa Bay is 0-5 ATS in its last 5 games.
Tampa Bay is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games.
The total has gone OVER in 14 of Tampa Bay's last 19 games against Atlanta.
Tampa Bay is 1-7 ATS in its last 8 games at home.

Cleveland VS Chicago
Cleveland is 5-14 ATS in its last 19 games.
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Cleveland's last 7 games.
Cleveland is 3-16 SU in its last 19 games.
Cleveland is 1-13 SU in its last 14 games on the road.
Chicago is 8-3 ATS in its last 11 games.
Chicago is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games.
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Chicago's last 6 games against Cleveland.
Chicago is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games at home.

Arizona VS Houston
Arizona is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games.
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Arizona's last 5 games.
Arizona is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games.
Arizona is 6-1 ATS in its last 7 games on the road.
Houston is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games.
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Houston's last 7 games.
Houston is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games.
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Houston's last 6 games at home.

Los Angeles VS Kansas City
LA Chargers is 4-2 ATS in its last 6 games.
LA Chargers is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games.
LA Chargers is 1-7 SU in its last 8 games against Kansas City.
LA Chargers is 1-5 ATS in its last 6 games on the road.
Kansas City is 0-5 ATS in its last 5 games.
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Kansas City's last 8 games.
Kansas City is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games.
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Kansas City's last 5 games against LA Chargers.

Baltimore VS Cincinnati
Baltimore is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games.
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Baltimore's last 6 games.
Baltimore is 5-2 SU in its last 7 games.
Baltimore is 5-2 ATS in its last 7 games against Cincinnati.
The total has gone OVER in 8 of Cincinnati's last 12 games.
Cincinnati is 1-5 SU in its last 6 games.
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Cincinnati's last 7 games against Baltimore.
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Cincinnati's last 7 games at home.

New York VS Jacksonville
NY Jets is 4-2 ATS in its last 6 games.
The total has gone OVER in 14 of NY Jets' last 20 games.
NY Jets is 3-10 SU in its last 13 games.
NY Jets is 5-10 ATS in its last 15 games against Jacksonville.
Jacksonville is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games.
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Jacksonville's last 6 games.
Jacksonville is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games.
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Jacksonville's last 7 games against NY Jets.

Buffalo VS New England
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Buffalo's last 9 games.
Buffalo is 5-2 SU in its last 7 games.
Buffalo is 0-5 ATS in its last 5 games against New England.
Buffalo is 8-4 SU in its last 12 games against New England.
New England is 8-2 ATS in its last 10 games.
The total has gone OVER in 5 of New England's last 7 games.
New England is 10-0 SU in its last 10 games.
The total has gone OVER in 6 of New England's last 9 games against Buffalo.

Washington VS New York
Washington is 1-7 ATS in its last 8 games.
Washington is 0-8 SU in its last 8 games.
Washington is 1-7 SU in its last 8 games on the road.
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Washington's last 8 games when playing on the road against NY Giants.
The total has gone OVER in 7 of NY Giants' last 8 games.
NY Giants is 0-7 SU in its last 7 games.
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of NY Giants' last 6 games against Washington.
NY Giants is 3-11 SU in its last 14 games at home.

Las Vegas VS Philadelphia
Las Vegas is 4-8 ATS in its last 12 games.
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Las Vegas' last 6 games.
Las Vegas is 0-7 SU in its last 7 games.
Las Vegas is 6-1 ATS in its last 7 games against Philadelphia.
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Philadelphia's last 5 games.
Philadelphia is 14-5 SU in its last 19 games.
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Philadelphia's last 6 games against Las Vegas.
Philadelphia is 15-2 SU in its last 17 games at home.

Detroit VS Los Angeles
Detroit is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games.
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Detroit's last 6 games.
Detroit is 8-4 SU in its last 12 games.
Detroit is 11-3 SU in its last 14 games on the road.
LA Rams is 15-5 ATS in its last 20 games.
LA Rams is 7-1 SU in its last 8 games.
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of LA Rams' last 6 games against Detroit.
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of LA Rams' last 7 games at home.

Indianapolis VS Seattle
Indianapolis is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games.
Indianapolis is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games.
Indianapolis is 2-6 SU in its last 8 games on the road.
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Indianapolis' last 5 games when playing on the road against Seattle.
Seattle is 7-1 ATS in its last 8 games.
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Seattle's last 7 games.
Seattle is 7-1 SU in its last 8 games.
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Seattle's last 7 games against Indianapolis.

Tennessee VS San Francisco
Tennessee is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games.
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Tennessee's last 7 games.
Tennessee is 2-17 SU in its last 19 games.
Tennessee is 8-1-1 ATS in its last 10 games against San Francisco.
San Francisco is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games.
San Francisco is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games.
The total has gone OVER in 5 of San Francisco's last 6 games against Tennessee.
San Francisco is 2-5 ATS in its last 7 games at home.

Green Bay VS Denver
The total has gone OVER in 7 of Green Bay's last 10 games.
Green Bay is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games.
Green Bay is 4-2 ATS in its last 6 games against Denver.
Green Bay is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games against Denver.
The total has gone UNDER in 10 of Denver's last 15 games.
Denver is 10-0 SU in its last 10 games.
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Denver's last 6 games against Green Bay.
Denver is 11-0 SU in its last 11 games at home.

Carolina VS New Orleans
Carolina is 8-4 ATS in its last 12 games.
The total has gone OVER in 13 of Carolina's last 20 games.
Carolina is 6-3 SU in its last 9 games.
Carolina is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games against New Orleans.
The total has gone UNDER in 8 of New Orleans' last 9 games.
New Orleans is 3-14 SU in its last 17 games.
The total has gone UNDER in 8 of New Orleans' last 10 games against Carolina.
New Orleans is 1-8 SU in its last 9 games at home.

Minnesota VS Dallas
Minnesota is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games.
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Minnesota's last 5 games.
Minnesota is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games.
Minnesota is 10-4 ATS in its last 14 games against Dallas.
The total has gone OVER in 8 of Dallas' last 10 games.
The total has gone UNDER in 9 of Dallas' last 13 games against Minnesota.
Dallas is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games at home.
Dallas is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games when playing at home against Minnesota.

Miami VS Pittsburgh
Miami is 4-2 ATS in its last 6 games.
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Miami's last 6 games.
Miami is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games.
Miami is 4-2 ATS in its last 6 games against Pittsburgh.
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Pittsburgh's last 6 games.
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Pittsburgh's last 5 games against Miami.
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Pittsburgh's last 5 games at home.
Pittsburgh is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games when playing at home against Miami.


------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
 

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Wednesday’s 6-pack:
Week 15 NFL spreads:
— Colts @ Seattle (-13.5)
— Packers (-2.5) @ Denver
— Titans @ San Francisco (-12.5)
— Panthers (-2.5) @ New Orleans
— Vikings @ Dallas (-5.5)
— Dolphins @ Pittsburgh (-3)

Quote of the Day
“There are so many guys in that locker room that are fighting through so many different injuries and things worse than what I’m going through. So, it’s the least I can do to show up and give my best effort for them.”
Chargers QB Justin Herbert

Wednesday’s quiz
What team did Edwin Diaz break into the major leagues with?

Tuesday’s quiz
New York/New Jersey Jets have existed since 1960; the first three years they played, they had a different nickname- they weren’t the Jets, they were the New York Titans.

Monday’s quiz
Since 1998, Kansas City Royals have hit the fewest home runs.

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Wednesday’s Den: Mid-week musings…….

— DH/OF Kyle Schwarber re-signed with the Phillies, getting a contract worth $150M over five years. 32-year old Schwarber hit 187 home runs for the Phillies the last four years- he hit 56 HR’s last year, knocked in 132 runs.

— Los Angeles Dodgers signed closer Edwin Diaz, giving him $69M for the next three years. Diaz will be 31 in March; he had 28 saves for the Mets last year.

— Chicago White Sox won the #1 pick in the 2026 amateur draft, Tampa Bay got the #2 pick. White Sox lost 121-102 games the last two years.

— 44-year old Philip Rivers has un-retired, signed with the Indianapolis Colts’ practice squad; Rivers coaches a high school team in Alabama. He hasn’t played since 2020.
Right now, Brett Rypien is the Colts’ only healthy QB; Riley Leonard is banged up, Daniel Jones is out for the year, Anthony Richardson is on IR.

— NFL divisional trends:

AFC East

12-6 ATS non-divisional underdog

AFC North
Home teams 5-2 ATS divisional games
13-24 ATS non-divisional games
7-15 ATS non-divisional underdog

AFC South
Home teams 5-3 ATS divisional games
14-7 ATS non-divisional underdog

AFC West
Home teams 5-1 ATS divisional games
1-9 ATS non-divisional road favorite

NFC East
Home teams 4-2 ATS divisional games
8-12 ATS non-divisional underdog

NFC North
Favorites 5-2 ATS divisional games
8-5 ATS non-divisional home favorite

NFC South
Home teams 1-4 ATS divisional games
3-7 ATS non-divisional favorites

NFC West
Home teams 1-6 ATS divisional games
22-12 ATS non-divisional games

Famous birthdays, December 10th:
Susan Dey, 73
Mark Aguirre, 66
Paul Assenmacher, 65
Luis Polonia, 62
Bryant Stith, 55
Will Myers, 35
Carlos Rodon, 33
Sheldon Neuse, 31
Nestor Cortes, 31
Joe Burrow, 29
 
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