CNOTES 2025-2026 FOOTBALL SCHEDULE + NEWS, NOTES BEST BETS !

Cnotes53

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Friday’s 6-pack:
College hoop teams forcing highest %age of turnovers (strength of schedule):
26.5%— McNeese State (122)
26.4%— Iowa State (76)
24.5%— Dayton (126)
24.4%— Florida State (154)
24%— Bradley (305)
23.9%— Seton Hall (316)

Quote of the Day
“The Mets do have young talent that deserves some runway, and you don’t want to block too many opportunities. But losing Alonso means there is a need for certainty in the middle-of-the-order/run production department. So an aggressive push for Kyle Tucker or Cody Bellinger would be well-timed.”
Bradford Doolittle

Friday’s quiz
Where did Kirk Cousins play his college football?

Thursday’s quiz
Seth Smith played 11 years in the major leagues, was Eli Manning’s backup QB at Mississippi; he played in 18 baseball playoff games and was in one World Series, with the Rockies.

Wednesday’s quiz
Edwin Diaz break into the major leagues with the Seattle Mariners.

********************************************

Friday’s Den: Random stuff on another cold freakin’ day…….

— Falcons 29, Buccaneers 28
Atlanta drove 45 yards, kicked 43-yard field goal on the last play.
Falcons got a first down on that drive after they had a 3rd-and-28
Tampa Bay led 28-14 with 10:00 left in the game.
Loss drops Buccaneers to 7-7, half-game behind Carolina in NFC South.

Falcons’ last three drives: 26 plays, 178 yards, 15 points.
Kyle Pitts caught 11 passes for 166 yards, three TD’s for Atlanta.
Atlanta was penalized 19 times for 125 yards. Lot of penalties.
Kirk Cousins threw ball for 373 yards, three TD’s.

— Iowa State 66, Iowa 62
Hawkeyes led 33-25 at halftime.
Iowa State was 17-23 on foul line, Iowa 3-5.
Cyclones are 10-0, with six top 100 wins.

— Syracuse 71, St Joe’s 63
Tough for road team to shoot in a dome; St Joe’s was 5 for 26 on the arc.
Hawks out-rebounded Syracuse, 44-34.
Syracuse is 6-3, despite shooting 56.8% on foul line, worst in country.

— Cincinnati Bearcats have a basketball player, Kerr Kriisa, who has had an interesting journey thru college basketball.
2020-23- Arizona
2023-24- West Virginia
2024-25- Kentucky
2025-26- Cincinnati

Four teams in four years; he must be good at packing.
— Fresno State’s basketball team has seven foreign players who come from five countries.

— Over is 11-0 in LA Lakers’ home games this season.

Famous birthdays, December 12th:
Allan Lewis, 84
Ralph Garr, 80
Gorman Thomas, 75
Darleen Carr, 75
Rafael Septien, 72
Jennifer Connelly, 55
John Salmons, 47
Andrew Whitworth, 44
Ervin Santana, 43
Luis Castillo, 33
Cristopher Sanchez, 29
Cole Ragans, 28

Today was my uncle Roy’s birthday; he was a construction worker who was a good guy. He passed away while having one of the first-ever heart bypass operations.

Frank Sinatra was born on December 12, 1915

— LSU is sending four assistant coaches back to Ole Miss to help the Rebels prepare for the college football playoff game against Tulane December 20- Rebels pounded Tulane 45-20 in September, will be interesting to see how they play after all the chaos they’ve had recently.

— Apparently the LA Bowl and the Bahamas Bowl are going under after this season; the way college/minor league football has gone off the rails, it figures there will be lot fewer bowl games in the coming years.

— Guy named Dave Logan played WR in the NFL for nine years from 1976-84; these days, he is a radio analyst on Denver Broncos’ games, but he also coached high school football for 24 years, during which time he won 13 state championships at four different schools.

— Denver Broncos/New England Patriots are both 11-2, but they’re both home underdogs this week, kind of unusual for this late in the season.

— Olympics are in Los Angeles in 2028; sounds like USC is going to play home football games that year in SoFi Stadium, because the LA Coliseum won’t be available.

— Pittsburgh Steelers’ star pass rusher TJ Watt is in the hospital for lung evaluation after he experienced discomfort at the team’s practice facility Wednesday.

— Carolina Panthers are only NFL team that has never won a game they trailed in by more than 17 points.

— Atlanta Braves signed reliever Robert Suarez for three years, $45M; last two years, Suarez saved 76 games for the Padres.
 

Cnotes53

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Saturday’s 6-pack:
Some of the best college hoop teams in terms of continuity:
2) Harvard
3) VMI
4) Northern Iowa
5) Yale
6) Miami OH
7) Purdue

Quote of the Day
“The time is right to step down from my position as the head coach at the University of Utah. It’s been an honor and a privilege to lead the program for the past 21 years, and I’m very grateful for the relationships forged with all the players and assistant coaches that have worked so hard and proudly worn the drum and feather during our time here.”
Kyle Whittingham, who stepped down Friday

Saturday’s quiz
Where did Philip Rivers play his college football?

Friday’s quiz
Kirk Cousins played his college football at Michigan State.

Thursday’s quiz
Seth Smith played 11 years in the major leagues, was Eli Manning’s backup QB at Mississippi; he played in 18 baseball playoff games and was in one World Series, with the Rockies.

*************************************

Saturday’s Den: An early look at some college basketball conferences

Here’s a look at 10 of the better leagues in college basketball

— Big East
Rick Pitino is 56-21 in 2+ seasons at St John’s.
His son Richard is the new coach at Xavier, also in the Big East.
St John’s-Xavier play this year January 24/February 9
Right now, Big East is #5 league, their worst ranking in five years.
Big East has only 2 of top 35 teams in KenPom ratings.
Seton Hall is 9-1, but they’ve played schedule #316
5-5 Marquette is ranked #92, their lowest ranking since 2016.

— SEC
SEC is #1 league right now, with 8 of the top 30 teams in country.
Vanderbilt is 9-0; only unbeaten team in SEC. Commodores have four top 100 wins, have the #4 eFG% in the country.
11 of 16 SEC teams are in the top 100 in experience.
Auburn is playing at tempo #176, their slowest tempo since 2012.
Texas A&M is #15 in experience, #339 in continuity; their subs play 8th-most minutes. New coach McMillan was 93-39 coaching Samford the last four years.
Kentucky is a disappointing 6-4; their best win is over #198 Valparaiso.

— ACC
Ranked #4 league right now, their best ranking since 2020.
Duke is 10-0, with five top 100 wins; their eFG% defense is #1 in country.
9-1 Virginia is playing #221 tempo, their fastest pace since 2009.
ACC has six of the top 30 teams in the country.
ACC has six top 100 teams in continuity, four teams outside top 300 in continuity .

— Big 18
7-3 Wisconsin is playing pace #57, their fastest pace this century; over half their shots from the floor this season have been 3’s (33.1%, #191)
Indiana is #1 in country in experience, #347 in continuity- they did lot of poaching.
Nebraska is 9-0, 5-0 vs top 100 foes; going back to last year, they’ve won 14 games in a row.
9-1 Purdue is #21 in experience, #7 in continuity; they’re 4-1 vs top 100 teams.
Michigan is 9-0, with seven wins by 25+ points; Dusty May got Florida Atlantic to the Final Four three years ago, Florida freakin’ Atlantic. Wow.

— Mountain West
Right now, Mountain West is #6 league, their 6th year in a row in top 7.
8 of 12 teams in the league are outside the top 200 in continuity.
Colorado State is 8-2, making 45.4% of their 3’s (#1 in country); half their shots this season have come from behind the arc.
Utah State is 8-1; they’ve played only four home games. Jerrod Calhoun is their 6th coach win 12 years, with only one losing season during that time.
UNLV is 4-5; new coach, lot of new players (#335 in continuity); lot of their big guys have been hurt, but the Rebels have won at Memphis/at Stanford.

Famous birthdays, December 13th:
Dick Van Dyke, 100
Ferguson Jenkins, 83
Dave Hamilton, 78
Larry Kenon, 73
Phil Hubbard, 69
Richard Dent, 65
Gray Zimmerman, 64
Andre Turner, 61
Jamie Foxx, 58
Ricky Nolasco, 43
Taylor Swift, 36
Gleyber Torres, 29

— Big X
Big X is #2 league; last time Big X wasn’t in top 3 was 2011.
Big X has 5 of the top 20 teams in the country.
West Virginia is #4 in experience, #347 in continuity; they’re 6-3 vs schedule #355, losing three of four games vs top 200 teams.
9-1 Houston is playing tempo #357; they’re 9-1, 4-1 vs top 100 teams. Houston’s eFG% defenses #8 in the country.
10-0 Iowa State won by 23 at Purdue; they’re forcing turnovers 26.4% of time (#2).

— American
Right now, they’re #10 league; last year was first time they only got one team in NCAA’s.
Tulsa is 9-1, shooting 41.6% on arc; their only loss was 84-83 at Kansas State.
7-3 UAB is a top 20 rebounding team in country, but they’re shooting 25.7% on arc.
7-3 Tulane has played schedule #305; opponents are shooting 40.4% on arc.
South Florida is playing tempo #20; they’re 6-4, 1-3 vs top 100 teams. Bulls are #28 in country at forcing turnovers.

— Missouri Valley
Right now, they’re #9 league, their best ranking since 2018.
Northern Iowa is 7-2, with the #26 eFG% defense; they’re #4 in continuity. Last two years, Panthers are 26-14 in Valley games.
Last four years, MVC has been a one-bid league, making Arch Madness a bigger deal. Looks like this year will be the same; #75 Belmont is the highest-ranked team.

— Big West
Right now, they’re the #16 league; last year, they were #12, their best rating in years.
Cal Poly. Fullerton. Northridge.
When any of these teams play each other, bet the over. Cal Poly is #2 in country in tempo, Fullerton is #4, Northridge #14.
Last three years, Cal-Irvine is 49-11 in conference games, but Anteaters haven’t made the NCAA’s since 2019. This year, Irvine is #295 in experience.
Long Beach State is 1-9 vs D-I teams; two of their last three losses were in overtime.
Cal-San Diego is 8-1; they’ve got the #10 eFG% in the country.

— WCC
They’re #8 league; next year, with conference re-alignment, we won’t recognize the WCC.
Gonzaga is 9-1, with six top 100 wins, but they lost by 40 to Michigan. Last year was the first time since 2014 that the Zags didn’t make the Sweet 16.
Last four years, Saint Mary’s is 58-7 in WCC games, but they haven’t made the Sweet 16 in the NCAA’s since 2010. This year, the Gaels 9-1, with the #16 eFG% defense.
Santa Clara is 8-2, 3-2 vs top 100 teams; they’re #6 in country on offensive boards.
 

Cnotes53

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Sunday’s 6-pack:
Teams shooting the highest %age inside the arc
65.1%— Georgia
64.5%— Michigan
64.3%— Furman
63.5%— Vanderbilt
63.4%— Belmont
63.1%— Duke

Quote of the Day
“To the parents who have to worry about their children … we’re the only country that lives this way. The college football cycle has been in the news a million times, and are we going to report about this? Like, it’s the guns. We’re the only country that lives this way.”
USC women’s basketball coach/Brown alumnus Lindsay Gottlieb, talking about the fatal shooting at her alma mater Saturday

Saturday’s quiz
Philip Rivers broke into the NFL with the San Diego Chargers in 2004; who was the Chargers’ coach back then?

Friday’s quiz
Philip Rivers played his college football at NC State.

Thursday’s quiz
Kirk Cousins played his college football at Michigan State.

*****************************************

Sunday’s Den: Wrapping up a sports Saturday…….

Kansas 77, NC State 76 OT
Council scored 36 points, including Jayhawks’ last 13 points in regulation.
Council shot 9-15 on the arc; rest of the Kansas team was 2-15.
Kansas freshman Peterson re-injured his hamstring late in this game.

— Arizona 96, Alabama 75
Alabama led this game 41-39 at halftime.
6-4 frosh Burries scored 28 points, had 7 rebounds.
Arizona had only 4 turnovers, Alabama 15.
Wildcats out-rebounded Alabama, 52-32

— Arkansas 93, Texas Tech 86
Tech led by 10 points late in the first half
Red Raiders only used six players in this game.
Arkansas shot 10-19 on the arch, scored 1.36 ppp.

— Butler 113, Providence 110, 2OT
6-7 senior Ajayi scored 28 points, had 15 rebounds.
Providence led by 8 early in the second half.
Butler is 8-2, with the #45 eFG% in the country.

Basketball Upsets of the Day:
UMass (+11.5) 103, Florida State 95
Hofstra (+10.5) 70, Syracuse 69
Nebraska (+9.5) 83, Illinois 80
Western Illinois (+7.5) 69, North Dakota 66 OT
DePaul (+6.5) 61, Wichita State 58
Murray State (+6.5) 115, Akron 100
Ohio U (+5.5) 88, St Bonaventure 83 OT
North Dakota State (+5.5) 99, Drake 94
Georgia State (+5.5) 77, Jacksonville State 73

— Navy 17, Army 16

Navy drove 50 yards, scored game-winning TD with 6:37 left.
Navy was 11-18 on third down, Army 3-10.
Last 20 years, under is now 18-2 in this game.

— Washington 38, Boise State 10
Huskies led 24-3 at halftime.
Washington QB Williams threw for 214 yards, four TD’s.
Boise is 1-4 SU/0-5 ATS in its last five bowls.

— Mets signed IF Jorge Polanco for two years, $40M; Polanco hit 26 homers last year, had an .821 OPS. He’ll be 33 in July, is expected to play some 1B and also be a DH.

— St Louis Cardinals signed P Dustin May to a one-year contract; he was 7-11, 4.96 last year for the Red Sox/Dodgers, throwing a career-high 132 innings.

— Kansas City Royals traded lefty P Angel Zerpa to Milwaukee for OF Isaac Collins, P Nick Mears. Zerpa was 5-2, 4.18 in 69 IP last year, with only two starts and no saves in 69 games. Collins hit .263 in 130 games LY, with 16 stolen bases. Mears was 5-3, 3.49 in 63 games, with one save, no starts.

Famous birthdays, December 14th:
Dee Wallace, 77
Tony Nathan, 69
Craig Biggio, 60
Eldridge Recasner, 58
Scott Hatteberg, 56
Vanessa Hudgens, 37
Adam Frazier, 34
Taylor Ward, 32
Ryan McMahon, 31
DK Metcalf, 28

— Kentucky 72, Indiana 60
First win for Kentucky in five games vs top 100 teams.
Hoosiers led 39-32 at halftime.
Indiana had 18 turnovers, Kentucky had 4.
Teams combined to shoot 7-39 on the arc.

— Arizona State 82, Santa Clara 79
Santa Clara led 55-38 at halftime.
ASU’s coach got thrown out when Sun Devils were down 19 early in 2nd half.
Arizona State shot 59.4% inside the arc.

— Ohio State 89, West Virginia 88, 2OT
Buckeyes were down 14 with 12:53 left in the game.
West Virginia was 12-26 on arc, Ohio State 4-21.
Four players on West Virginia played 40:00+.

— Nebraska 83, Illinois 80
Lawrence hit a 3-pointer with less than 0:01 left for the win.
Nebraska is 11-0, with six top 100 wins.
Only 63 possessions, slow pace; Cornhuskers scored 1.32 ppp.

— Michigan 101, Maryland 83
Maryland led by 9 early in the second half.
Michigan shot 59% inside arc, scored 1.44 ppp.
Wolverines are 10-0, with eight wins by 18+ points.
 

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NFL
Weather Report

Thursday, December 11


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Udog

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NFL
Armadillo's Write-up

Week 15

Sunday’s games
Bills
(-2.5) @ Patriots
Bills (9-4)
Bills won five of their last seven games.
Buffalo scored 26+ points in wins, 20-14-13-19 in losses.
Buffalo is +7 in turnovers in wins, minus-8 in losses.
QB Allen is 92-44 as an NFL starter.
McDermott is 101-56 as an NFL head coach.


Bills are 13-12 ATS last 25 games as a road favorite.
Bills are 14-16-1 ATS in last 31 games coming off a win.
Buffalo is 9-0 when they score more than 20 points.
Last five games, Buffalo is minus-4 in turnovers.
Last three weeks, Bills held foes to 253 yards/game.
Buffalo is 5-6 ATS in last 11 AFC East road games.


Patriots (11-2)
Patriots won their last ten games (8-2 ATS).
Patriots were held to 13-14 points in their losses.
Opponents’ team total: under 10-1 last eleven
QB Maye is 14-11 as an NFL starter.
Vrabel is 67-50 as an NFL head coach.


Patriots are 4-13-1 ATS last 18 games as a home underdog.
NE is 1-4 ATS in last five post-bye games.
Patriots held six of eight seven foes under 300 total yards.
Over is 5-2 in their last seven games.
Patriots are 3-1 ATS in four AFC East home games.


Patriots (+7) won 23-20 at Buffalo in Week 5.
New England won three of last four series games.
Bills lost 23-16/29-25 in their last two visits to Foxboro.
Over is 7-4 in last eleven meetings.


Ravens (-2.5) @ Bengals
Ravens (6-7)
Baltimore lost its last two games, giving up 32-27 points.
Baltimore is 0-5 when they allow more than 19 points.
Ravens are minus-14 in turnovers in losses, +9 in wins.
QB Jackson is 78-34 as an NFL starter
John Harbaugh is 191-122 as an NFL head coach.


Ravens are 15-9 ATS last 24 games as a road favorite.
Ravens are 8-5 ATS last 13 games coming off a loss.
Ravens are 5-8 ATS in last 13 AFC North road games.
Last three games, Baltimore converted 12-39 third down plays.
Under is 6-2 in their last eight games.


Bengals (4-9)
Bengals lost nine of their last eleven games.
Bengals scored 32-34 points in their last two games.
QB Burrow threw for 545 yards in his 2 games back from injury.
Burrow is 46-33-1 as an NFL starter.
Taylor is 55-63-1 as a head coach.


Bengals covered five of last six games as an underdog.
Cincinnati is 9-6-1 ATS last 16 games as home underdogs.
Bengals are 9-6 ATS last 15 games coming off a loss.
Bengals are +7 in turnovers in wins, minus-11 in losses.
Bengals are 3-4 in games decided by 6 or fewer points.


Bengals (+7) upset Ravens 32-14 in Baltimore two weeks ago.
Ravens won five of last six series games.
Baltimore won its last three visits to Cincinnati (2-1 ATS).
Over is 8-2 in last ten meetings.


Jets @ Jaguars (-13.5)
Jets (3-10)
Jets split their last six games, after an 0-7 start.
Jets are 0-8 when they score less than 27 points.
Last five games, Jets gained 169-245-282-269-207 TY.
Taylor is 29-32-1 as an NFL starter.
Undrafted rookie QB Cook was 14-30/163 LW; this would be his first start.
Aaron Glenn is 3-10 as a head coach.


Jets are 5-9-1 ATS last 15 games as a road underdog
Jets are 12-17-1 ATS last 30 games coming off a loss.
Jets have three losses by more than 13 points.
Jets are minus-15 in turnovers this season.
Jets are 3-5 in games decided by 7 or fewer points.


Jaguars (9-4)
Jacksonville won their last four games, giving up 13 ppg
Jaguars are 9-1 if they allow fewer than 31 points.
Jacksonville has four wins by more than 13 points.
QB Lawrence is 32-43 as an NFL starter.
Liam Coen is 9-4 as an NFL head coach.


Jaguars are 6-4 ATS last ten games as a home favorite.
Jaguars are 18-14 ATS in last 32 games coming off a win.
Jaguars held 10 of last 12 opponents under 100 yards rushing.
Last two games, Jaguars are +4 in turnovers.
Jaguars gave ip 31+ points in three of their four losses.


Teams split last six series games.
Teams split their last four meetings in Jacksonville.
Over is 5-1 in last six series games.


Chargers @ Chiefs (-5.5)
Chargers (9-4)
Short week/travel for Chargers after Monday night’s win.
Chargers won five of their last six games.
Bolts are 5-1 in games decided by 7 or fewer points.
QB Herbert is 40-44 as an NFL starter.
Jim Harbaugh is 68-33-1 as an NFL head coach.


Chargers are 1-4 ATS last five games as a road underdog.
Chargers are 15-11-2 ATS in last 28 AFC West road games.
Bolts are 8-1 when they allow 21 or fewer points.
Chargers are +6 in turnovers in wins, minus-5 in losses.
Chargers are 10-7 ATS in last 17 games coming off a win.


Chiefs (6-7)
Chiefs are 6-7 for the first time since 2012
Chiefs are 6-2 giving up 20 or less points, 0-5 giving up 21+.
Chiefs are 5-1 SU/4-2 ATS in last six home games.
QB Mahomes is 112-33 as an NFL starter.
Andy Reid is 307-170-1 as an NFL head coach


Chiefs are 20-24 ATS last 44 games as a home favorite.
Chiefs are 18-26 ATS last 44 games coming off a loss.
Chiefs held six of last eight opponents under 100 yards rushing.
Last six games, Chiefs team total: under 5-0-1.
Under is 7-1 in last eight Kansas City games.


Chargers (+2.5) beat Chiefs 27-21 in Brazil in Week 1.
Chiefs won six of last seven series games.
Chargers are 0-3 SU/2-1 ATS last three visits to Arrowhead.
Under is 4-2 in last six meetings.


Cardinals @ Texans (-9.5)
Cardinals (3-10)
Cardinals lost five in row, 10 of last 11 games.
Last four games, Arizona ran ball for 36-55-95-51 yards.
Cardinals are 0-7 when they allow more than 22 points.
Brissett is 20-41 as an NFL starter.
Gannon is 15-32 as an NFL head coach.


Last five games, Arizona gave up 37.4 ppg.
Cardinals are 10-2 ATS last 12 games as a road underdog.
Under Gannon, Arizona is 21-14 ATS as an underdog.
Arizona is 24-18 ATS in last 41 games coming off a loss.
Cardinals are 9-4 ATS in last 13 games vs AFC teams.


Texans (8-5)
Houston won its last four games, by 7-3-4-4-10 points.
Texans are 7-0 when they score 20+ points.
Texans held 10 of 13 opponents under 300 TY.
Stroud is 26-20 as an NFL starter.
Ryans is 30-21 in as an NFL head coach.


Houston is 8-16-1 ATS last 25 games as a home favorite.
Texans are 13-10-1 ATS last 24 games coming off a win.
Texans are 9-16-3 ATS last 28 games vs NFC opponents.
Houston is 4-0 in games decided by 10+ points, 4-5 in games decided by 8 or less.
Last ten games, Texans are +15 in turnovers.


Teams split last six series games.
Home team won all six games.
Cardinals lost last three visits to Houston, by 5-10-11 points.
Over is 3-3 in last six meetings.


Browns @ Bears (-7.5)
Browns (3-10)
Cleveland lost five of its last six games.
Browns are 0-10 when they allow more than 10 points.
Last three games, Browns are minus-4 in turnovers.
Rookie QB Sanders is 1-2 as an NFL starter
Stefanski is 44-58 as a head coach.


Browns are 2-8 SU/3-7 ATS in last ten games.
Browns are 9-19-1 ATS last 29 games as a road underdog.
Cleveland is 8-14 ATS in last 22 games coming off a loss.
Browns are 2-7 ATS in last nine games vs NFC opponents.
Browns held last three opponents under 300 total yards.


Bears (9-4)
Bears won five of six, nine of last eleven games.
Bears are 9-1 scoring 24+ points, 0-3 scoring less.
In wins, Chicago was +20 in turnovers; minus-3 in losses.
Ben Johnson is 9-4 as an NFL head coach.
QB Williams is 14-16 as an NFL starter.


Chicago is 5-2 ATS last seven games as a home favorite.
Chicago is 13-10-1 ATS in last 24 games coming off a loss.
Bears are 7-0 when they allow less than 27 points.
Bears are 6-1 in games decided by 5 or fewer points.
Chicago is 8-9-2 ATS in last 19 games vs AFC opponents.


Browns won last two series games, 20-7/26-6.
This is Browns’ first visit to Chicago since 2017.
Under is 4-1-1 in last six meetings.


Commanders @ Giants (-2.5)
Commanders (3-9)
QB Daniels (left elbow) is out; backup Mariota will start.
Commanders are 0-8 SU/1-7 ATS in their last eight games.
Washington is 0-9 when it allows more than 24 points.
QB Mariota is 36-45 as an NFL starter.
Quinn is 63-59 as an NFL coach.


Last eight games, Commanders are minus-11 in turnovers.
Commanders are 0-5 in games decided by 9 or fewer points.
Opponents’ over/under total: over 9-3 last dozen games.
Washington is 16-26-1 ATS in last 43 games coming off a loss.
Washington is 4-9 ATS last 13 NFC East road games.


Giants (2-11)
Giants lost their last seven games (3-4 ATS)
Giants allowed 18-17 points in wins, 21+ points in losses.
Giants have fired their head coach, defensive coordinator.
Rookie QB Dart is 2-6 as an NFL starter.
OC Kafka is the interim coach, is also calling plays.


Giants are favored for the first time this season.
Giants are 21-19 ATS in last 40 games coming off a loss.
Seven of Giants’ last eight games went over the total.
Giants are +4 in turnovers in wins, minus-11 in losses.
Giants are 9-13 ATS in last 22 NFC East home games.
Giants are 5-6 ATS in last 11 post-bye games.


Washington (-6.5) beat Giants 21-6 at home in Week 1.
Commanders are 2-1-1 SU/2-2 ATS in last four trips to New Jersey.
Under is 9-3 in last dozen meetings.


Raiders @ Eagles (-11.5)
Raiders (2-11)
Raiders lost seven games in a row, 11 of last 12.
Raiders allowed 13-10 points in their wins
Last eight games, Raiders ran the ball for only 45.3 yards/game.
QB Geno Smith is 42-55 as an NFL starter.
Carroll is 183-142-1 as an NFL head coach.


Raiders are 12-18-2 ATS last 32 games as an underdog.
Raiders are 5-9 ATS last 14 games as a road underdog.
Las Vegas is 9-12-2 ATS last 23 games vs NFC opponents.
Raiders are 13-17-1 ATS in last 31 games coming off a loss.
Las Vegas has seven losses by 11+ points this season.


Eagles (8-5)
Eagles lost last three games, by 3-9-3 points.
Philly is 5-0 when they score more than 21 points.
Eagles are 7-3 in games decided by 8 or fewer points.
QB Hurts is 59-28 as an NFL starter.
Sirianni is 61-28 as an NFL coach.


Eagles are 9-11-1 ATS last 21 games as a home favorite.
Philly is 4-10 ATS in last 14 games coming off a loss.
Last five games, Eagles stayed under their team total.
Last two games, Eagles are minus-3 in turnovers.
Eagles are 10-7-1 ATS in last 17 games vs AFC teams.


Eagles won four of last six series games.
Raiders are 0-3 SU/1-1-1 ATS in last three visits to Philly.
Under is 4-3 in last seven meetings.


Colts @ Seahawks (-13.5)
Colts (8-5)
Colts have QB injury issues; 44-year old Philip Rivers might play.
Indy lost four of last five games, after a 7-1 start.
Colts are 8-0 scoring 29+ points (20-20-20-16 in losses)
QB Rypien is 2-2 is as NFL starter; Rivers is 139-113- he last played in 2020.
Rypien was on Seattle’s practice squad in 2023.
Steichen is 25-22 SU as a head coach


Colts are 6-3 ATS last nine games as a road underdog.
Under Steichen, Colts are 13-10 as an underdog.
Last three games, Colts ran ball for 83 yards/game.
Last three games, Colts gained 255-281-285 total yards.
Colts are 5-13 ATS in last 18 games vs NFC teams.


Seahawks (10-3)
Seahawks won seven of their last eight games.
Last two games, Seattle allowed no TDs, 3 FG’s on 21 drives.
Seahawks held 10 of last 12 opponents under 300 TY.
Darnold is 45-42 as an NFL starter.
MacDonald is 20-10 as a head coach.


Seattle has six wins by 14+ points.
In losses, Seahawks are minus-5 in turnovers; in wins, +7.
Seattle is 4-1 ATS as a home favorite this year.
Seattle is 15-4-1 ATS in last 16 games coming off a win
Opponents’ team total: under 9-3-1.


Seahawks won last two series games, 28-16/46-18.
Colts lost 46-18/28-13 in last two visits to Seattle.
Over is 3-1 in last four meetings.


Packers (-2.5) @ Broncos
Packers (8-3-1)
Packers won/covered their last four games.
Green Bay is 9-0-1 when it scores 23+ points, 0-3 otherwise.
Green Bay scored 10-13-7 points in its losses.
QB Love is 28-20-1 as an NFL starter
LaFleur is 79-41-1 as an NFL head coach.


Packers are 6-14-1 ATS last 21 games as a road favorite.
Packers are 28-19-1 ATS last 48 games coming off a win.
Green Bay is 8-10 ATS in last 18 games vs AFC teams.
Last four games, Green Bay is +5 in turnovers.
Packers converted 40 of last 75 third down plays.


Broncos (11-2)
Broncos won their last 10 games, last five by 3-3-3-1-7 points.
Seven of their last nine wins were by 4 or fewer points.
Denver held 4 of last 5 opponents under 80 rushing yards.
QB Nix is 21-10 as an NFL starter.
Payton is 190-116 as an NFL head coach, 29-19 with Denver.


Denver is 9-3 ATS last 12 games as a home favorite.
Underdogs covered their last five games.
Denver is 7-2 ATS in last nine games vs NFC teams.
Denver is 10-8 ATS in last 18 games coming off a win.
Under is 7-4 in their last eleven games.


Home team won last four series games.
Packers lost 19-17/29-10 in last two visits to Denver.
Under is 4-2 in last six meetings.


Titans @ 49ers (-12.5)
Titans (2-11)
Tennessee snapped a seven-game losing skid last week.
Titans covered four of their last five games.
Interim coach McCoy was 28-38 coaching Chargers from 2013-16.
Rookie QB Ward is 2-11 as an NFL starter.
Titans are 3-3 ATS as a road underdog this season.


Titans were held under 300 TY in 11 of 13 games.
Titans are 8-16 ATS in last 24 games as an underdog.
Tennessee is 0-9 ATS last nine games coming off a win.
Titans held three of last four foes under 80 yards rushing.
Over is 5-2 in their last seven games.


49ers (9-4)
49ers won last three games, by 19-11-18 points.
49ers allowed 26-30-26-42 points in losses, 24 or less in wins.
In their four losses, 49ers were minus-8 in turnovers.
Purdy is 31-16 as an NFL starter.
Shanahan is 87-70 as an NFL head coach


49ers are 9-11 ATS last 20 games as a home favorite.
49ers’ last four wins were all by 10+ points.
Last three games, 49ers are +4 in turnovers.
49ers are 6-12 ATS in last 18 games vs AFC teams.
49ers are 3-10 ATS in last 13 post-bye games.


Teams split last four series games.
This is Titans’ first visit to Santa Clara since 2017.
Over is 4-1 in last five meetings.


Panthers (-2.5) @ Saints
Panthers (7-6)
Carolina is 5-1 when they score 27+ points, 2-5 when they don’t
Panthers are 6-1 in games decided by 7 or fewer points.
Carolina is +6 in turnovers in wins, minus-6 in losses
QB Young is 13-27 as an NFL starter.
Canales is 12-18 as a head coach.


Since 2019, Panthers are 3-2 ATS as a road favorite.
Carolina is 3-0 ATS this year in last three post-bye games.
Carolina is 2-4 when it allows more than 24 points.
Four of last six games, Panthers gained less than 270 yards.
Carolina is 5-7-1 ATS in last 13 NFC South road games.


Saints (3-10)
Saints split their last four games, after a 1-7 start.
Saints are +6 in turnovers in wins, minus-11 in losses.
Saints gained less than 300 yards in seven of last eight games
26-year old rookie QB Shough is 2-3 as an NFL starter.
Kellen Moore is 3-10 as a head coach.


Saints are 7-15 ATS last 22 games as a home underdog.
Saints are 7-13 ATS in last 20 games coming off a win.
In seven of last eight games, Saints gained less than 300 yards.
Saints are 1-4 in games decided by 7 or fewer points.
Saints are 3-8 ATS in last 11 NFC South home games.


Saints (+5) won 17-7 at Carolina in Week 10.
New Orleans outgained the Panthers 388-175 that day.
Saints won five of last eight series games.
Carolina lost five of its last six visits to New Orleans.
Under is 7-2 in last nine meetings.


Lions @ Rams (-6)
Lions (8-5)
Detroit is 4-4 in its last seven games, after a 4-1 start.
Lions are 1-5 when they score less than 34 points.
Detroit was held to 13-17-24-9-24 points in its losses.
QB Goff is 93-62-1 as an NFL starter, 51-35-1 with Detroit.
Campbell is 55-42-1 as an NFL head coach.
.
Lions are 1-3 ATS as an underdog this year.
Lions are 14-10 ATS last 24 games as a road underdog.
Lions are 25-14 ATS last 39 games coming off a win.
Last 12 games, Lions are +9 in turnovers.
Last three weeks, Detroit allowed 431 yards/game.


Rams (10-3)
Rams won seven of their last eight games.
Rams are 8-0 when they allow less than 26 points.
In their losses, Rams gave up 33-26-31 points.
QB Stafford is 49-28 as the Rams’ starter (123-121-1 overall).
McVay is 98-60 as an NFL head coach.


Last nine games, Rams outscored opponents 171-69 in first half.
Rams are 8-7 ATS in last 15 games as a home favorite.
Rams are 18-9 ATS in last 27 games as a favorite.
Rams went over team total in nine of last 12 games.
Rams are 12-6 ATS in last 18 games coming off a win.


Stafford/Goff were traded for each other five years ago.
Home team won seven of last eight series games.
Lions lost last three road series games, by 9-7-7 points.
Last four meetings stayed under the total.


Vikings @ Cowboys (-5.5)
Vikings (5-7)
Vikings lost six of their last eight games.
Vikings are 1-8 when they score less than 27 points.
Last three games, Vikings held foes to 288-219-206 yards.
McCarthy is 3-4 as an NFL starter.
O’Connell is 39-26 as an NFL head coach.


Vikings are 6-8-1 ATS last 15 games as a road underdog.
Five of last seven games, Vikings gained less than 270 yards.
Vikings are 14-8-1 ATS in last 23 games coming off a win.
Last five Minnesota games stayed under the total.
Last five games, Vikings are minus-8 in turnovers.


Cowboys (6-6-1)
Dallas won three of its last three games, scoring 33-24-31-30 points.
Last five games, Dallas is minus-9 in turnovers
Dallas is minus-12 in turnovers in losses, +3 in wins.
QB Prescott is 84-57-1 as an NFL starter.
Brian Schottenheimer is 6-6-1 as a head coach.


Cowboys are 11-6 ATS last 17 games as a home favorite.
Dallas is 5-0-1 scoring 33+ points, 1-6 otherwise.
Cowboys are 5-8 ATS last 13 games coming off a loss.
Over is 4-2 in their home games this year.
Last eight games, Dallas’ team total: over 6-1-1


Cowboys won five of last six series games.
Vikings split last four visits to Dallas; last visit was 2019.
Under is 4-2 in last six meetings.
 
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Sunday, December 14

GameTime(ET)PickUnits
NYJ at JAC01:00 PMJAC -13.5
O 40.5*****
+500 +500
LV at PHI01:00 PMPHI -12.5
O 38.5*****
+500 +500
ARI at HOU01:00 PMHOU -9.5*****+500
BAL at CIN01:00 PMCIN +3.0*****
O 51.5*****
+500 +500
WAS at NYG01:00 PMNYG -2.5
O 46.5*****
+500 +500
BUF at NE01:00 PMNE +1.0
U 49.5*****
+500 +500
CLE at CHI01:00 PMCHI -7.5*****+500
LAC at KC01:00 PMLAC +6.0+500
GB at DEN04:25 PMDEN +1.0
U 43.0*****
+500 +500
IND at SEA04:25 PMSEA -13.5+500
DET at LA04:25 PMDET +6.0
U 55.0*****
+500 +500
TEN at SF04:25 PMSF -12.5*****
O 44.5*****
+500 +500
CAR at NO04:25 PMCAR -2.5*****
U 40.5*****
+500 +500
MIN at DAL08:20 PMMIN +5.5
O 47.5*****
+500 +500
 

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CNOTES DECEMBER NFL BEST BETS !

12/14/2025...............8 - 7 - 0............53.33%............+ 1.50
12/11/2025...............1 - 1 - 0............50.00%............- 0.50
12/08/2025...............2 - 0 - 0...........100.00%...........+ 10.00
12/07/2025...............4 - 8 - 0............33.33%............- 24.00
12/04/2025...............0 - 2 - 0.............00.00%...........- 11.00
12/01/2025...............1 - 1 - 0.............50.00%............- 0.50


TOTALS..................16 -19 - 0.............45.71%............- 24.50
 

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NFL
Weather Report

Monday, December 15


dM0EKBy.png





NFL
Armadillo's Write-up

Week 15

Dolphins
@ Steelers (-3)
Dolphins (6-7)
Miami won their last four games, after a 2-7 start.
Miami allowed 27+ points in all seven losses.
Dolphins are 6-0 when they allow less than 27 points.
QB Tagovailoa is 43-32 as an NFL starter.
McDaniel is 33-32 as a head coach.


Miami is 5-10 ATS last 15 games as a road underdog.
Miami is 4-8 ATS in last 12 games coming off a win.
Last four games, Dolphins ran ball for 192.3 yards/game.
Dolphins went over their team total seven of last ten games.
Last four games, Miami is +7 in turnovers.


Steelers (7-6)
Steelers lost five of last eight games, after a 4-1 start.
Pittsburgh is 6-2 when it allows less than 31 points.
Steelers are +13 in turnovers in wins, minus-6 in losses.
Rodgers is 171-102-1 as an NFL starter
Tomlin is 198-124-2 as a head coach.


Steelers are 5-2 ATS last seven games as a home favorite.
Pittsburgh is 12-9 ATS last 21 games as a favorite.
Steelers are 17-13-1 ATS last 31 games coming off a win.
Five of last seven games, Steelers ran ball for less than 100 yards.
Under is 4-2 in their last six games.


Dolphins won three of last four series games.
Underdogs covered last five meetings.
Miami is 1-3 SU/3-1 ATS last four visits to Pittsburgh.
Last three meetings stayed under the total.
 
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Monday’s 6-pack:
Boise State 68, Saint Mary’s 67- Broncos shot 57.6% inside the arc.
North Texas 58, South Alabama 57- UNT shot 9-40 on arc, 10-16 inside arc.
Troy 86, UAB 85- Troy shot 14-28 on arc, scored 1.26 ppp.
East Carolina 73, Buffalo 70- 9-2 Buffalo led by 12 with 5:37 left to play.
USC 68, Washington State 61- Trojans were 27-34 on foul line, 1-13 on arc.
Fairfield 73, Monmouth 65- Stags are 6-5, against schedule #352.

Quote of the Day
“I’m grateful that I was out there, and it was a blast. But, obviously, the emotions now are disappointment. This isn’t about me. We’ve got a team that was scrapping like crazy to try to stay alive and get in the postseason, so obviously, we’re all disappointed. We came up just short.”
Philip Rivers, after his first NFL game in five years

Monday’s quiz
First three picks in the 2024 NFL Draft:
Caleb Williams, Jayden Daniels, Drake Maye, all QB’s.

Who was the 4th player taken in the 2024 Draft?

Sunday’s quiz
Philip Rivers broke into the NFL with the San Diego Chargers in 2004; the Chargers’ coach back then was Marty Schottenheimer, whose son coaches the Cowboys now.

Saturday’s quiz
Philip Rivers played his college football at NC State.

******************************************************************************

Monday’s Den: Wrapping up an NFL Sunday…….

Bills 35, Patriots 31

New England led 21-0 3:00 before halftime.
Bills’ next six drives: 47 plays, 298 yards, 5 TD’s.
Buffalo is 9-0 when they score more than 20 points.
Bills won five of their last seven games.

Loss snaps New England’s 10-game winning streak.
Patriots still lead Buffalo by game in AFC East.
Patriots ran ball 25 times for 246 yards (9.8 yards/carry)
New England is 4-14-1 ATS last 19 games as a home underdog.

Broncos 34, Packers 26
Green Bay led 16-14 at halftime.
Denver first 4 drives in 2nd half: 30 plays, 202 yards, 21 points.
Broncos won their last 11 games, last six by 8 or fewer points.
Bo Nix threw for 302 yards, four TD’s.

Packers lost star LB Parsons (tore ACL) for the year.
Packers are 6-15-1 ATS last 22 games as a road favorite.
Green Bay was penalized 10 times for 75 yards.
Green Bay splits to the #7-seed in the NFC, last playoff spot.

Seahawks 18, Colts 16
Seattle kicked a 56-yard FG with 0:18 left for the win.
Colts had kicked a 60-yard FG with 0:47 left to take 16-15 lead.
Seahawks had 10 drives, scored no TD’s, kicked six FG’s.
Seattle ran ball 22 times for 50 yards; they were 2-13 on third down.

44-year old Philip Rivers threw for 120 yards in his first game in five years.
Seahawks outgained Indianapolis, 314-215.
Colts are 7-3 ATS last ten games as a road underdog.
Colts are 8-0 scoring 29+ points (20-20-20-16-16 in losses)

Chargers 16, Chiefs 13
Chiefs will be out of the playoffs for first time since 2014.
QB Mahomes tore his ACL near the end of the game.
Kansas City led 13-10 at halftime.
Chiefs in second half: 27 plays, 113 yards, 2 punts, 2 INT’s.

Chargers won six of their last seven games.
Bolts are 6-1 in games decided by 7 or fewer points.
Chargers are 9-1 when they allow 21 or fewer points.
Chargers are currently the #5-seed in the AFC.

Saints 20, Panthers 17
Carolina/Tampa Bay are both 7-7, tied for 1st in NFC South.
They play each other in two of the last three games.
Rookie K Smyth kicked 47-yard game-winning FG at the gun.
Carolina led 17-10 with 3:00 left in the game.

Carolina is 5-1 when they score 27+ points, 2-6 when they don’t
Saints are 3-2 in last five games, after a 1-7 start.
New Orleans outgained the Panthers, 337-281.
Carolina was penalized 11 times for 103 yards.

Rams 41, Lions 34
Detroit led 24-17 at halftime.
Lions’ first three drives of 2nd half: 9 plays, 6 yards, 3 punts.
Rams’ first three drives of 2nd half: 22 plays, 179 yards, 17 points.
Former Ram Goff threw for 338 yards, three TD’s.

Former Lion Stafford threw for 368 yards, two TD’s.
WR Nacua caught nine passes for 181 yards.
Rams won eight of their last nine games.
Rams are 19-9 ATS in last 28 games as a favorite.

Ravens 24, Bengals 0
Bengals were shut out for first time with Burrow at QB.
Cincinnati had four drives get into Raven territory, but didn’t score.
Bengals ran 71 plays, but were only 3-15 on third down.
Ravens scored on a 95-yard pick-6 in fourth quarter.

Baltimore won its fourth straight road game.
RB Henry ran ball 11 times for 100 yards.
Ravens are 16-9 ATS last 25 games as a road favorite.
Ravens won six of last seven series games.

Famous birthdays, December 15th:
Art Howe, 79
Don Johnson, 76
Mo Vaughn, 58

Rodney Harrison, 53
Joey Bart, 29
Jonathan India, 29

Jaguars 48, Jets 20
QB Lawrence threw for 330 yards, five TD’s.
Jaguars’ first three drives: 19 times, 161 yards, 21 points.
Jacksonville won their last five games, giving up 10.4 ppg
Jaguars are 10-1 if they allow fewer than 31 points.

Jacksonville leads Houston by a game in AFC South.
Jaguars are 7-4 ATS last eleven games as a home favorite.
Jets are 0-9 when they score less than 27 points.
Undrafted rookie QB Cook threw for 176 yards in his first NFL start.

Texans 40, Cardinals 20
QB Stroud threw for 260 yards, three TD’s.
Houston won its last six games, is right now #7-seed in AFC.
Houston’s first five drives: 34 plays, 213 yards, TD, three FG’s.
Texans led 23-7 at halftime.

Cardinals lost six in row, 11 of last 12 games.
Last six games, Arizona gave up 37.8 ppg.
Last five games, Arizona ran ball for 36-55-95-51-72 yards.
Cardinals are 0-8 when they allow more than 22 points.

Bears 31, Browns 3
Cleveland’s first six drives: 21 plays, 57 yards, six punts.
Chicago led 14-0 at halftime.
Bears won six of seven, 10 of last 12 games.
Bears lead NFC North by half-game, are #2-seed in NFC.

Bears outgained Cleveland, 361-192.
Cleveland lost six of its last seven games.
Last four games, Browns are minus-7 in turnovers.
Browns are 0-11 when they allow more than 10 points.

Commanders 29, Giants 21
Washington snaps an eight-game losing skid.
Washington’s first four drives: 31 plays, 176 yards, 13 points.
Commanders led 22-7 at halftime.
QB Mariota threw for 211 yards and a TD.

Giants lost their last eight games (3-5 ATS)
Giants were favored for the first time this season.
Giants are 9-14 ATS in last 23 NFC East home games.
Eight of Giants’ last nine games went over the total.

Eagles 31, Raiders 0
Raiders in first half: 25 plays, 53 yards, no points.
Backup QB Pickett was 15-25/64 passing in his first start this year.
Eagles were 10-13 on third down, Raiders 3-12.
Raiders lost eight games in a row, and 12 of last 13.

Philadelphia led 17-0 at halftime.
Total yardage: Eagles 387, Raiders 75
Eagles lead NFC East by 2.5 games, are #3-seed in NFC.
Philly is 6-0 when they score more than 21 points.

49ers 37, Titans 24
49ers’ first five drives: 52 plays, 352 yards, 31 points.
San Francisco led 17-10 at halftime.
49ers were 9-15 on third down, Tennessee 3-9.
49ers won last four games, by 19-11-18-13 points.

Tennessee lost eight of its last nine games.
49ers outgained Tennessee, 430-306.
Titans are 8-17 ATS in last 25 games as an underdog.
Tennessee is 0-10 ATS last ten games coming off a win.

Vikings 34, Cowboys 26
Vikings averaged 10.4 yards per pass attempt.
McCarthy threw for 250 yards and two TD’s.
Vikings won last two games, scoring 31-34 points.
Minnesota is 5-0 when it scores 27+ points.

Dallas outgained Vikings 423-327, tried FG’s on 6 of last 7 drives.
Dallas is 5-0-1 scoring 33+ points, 1-7 scoring less than 33.
Cowboys were 2-12 on third down, Minnesota 2-9.
Over is 5-2 in their home games this year.
 

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CNOTES DECEMBER NFL BEST BETS !

12/15/2025...............1 - 1 - 0.............50.00%............- 0.50
12/14/2025...............8 - 7 - 0............53.33%............+ 1.50
12/11/2025...............1 - 1 - 0............50.00%............- 0.50
12/08/2025...............2 - 0 - 0...........100.00%...........+ 10.00
12/07/2025...............4 - 8 - 0............33.33%............- 24.00
12/04/2025...............0 - 2 - 0.............00.00%...........- 11.00
12/01/2025...............1 - 1 - 0.............50.00%............- 0.50


TOTALS..................17 -20 - 0.............45.94%............- 25.00
 

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Tuesday’s 7-pack:
There are seven unbeaten teams left in college basketball:
Arizona
Duke
Iowa State
Miami OH
Michigan
Nebraska
Vanderbilt

Quote of the Day
“It has been a tumultuous time. A lot of … first disbelief, then anger, then really, what we’re in right now is the kids, quite frankly, feel very betrayed, and we’re trying to work through that. Lots of arms around shoulders, lot of listening, lot of telling them that you love them, but showing it, because words are cheap, and that takes a lot of time. What it really takes is you being willing to listen.”
Michigan’s interim football coach, Biff Poggi

Tuesday’s quiz
In the movie Moneyball, what actor played A’s manager Art Howe?

Monday’s quiz
First three picks in the 2024 NFL Draft:
Caleb Williams, Jayden Daniels, Drake Maye, all QB’s.
Marvin Harrison Jr was the 4th player taken in the 2024 Draft.

Sunday’s quiz
Philip Rivers broke into the NFL with the San Diego Chargers in 2004; the Chargers’ coach back then was Marty Schottenheimer, whose son coaches the Cowboys now.

******************************************

Tuesday’s Den: Nobody asked me, but…….

I write this with a heavy heart; this weekend in Los Angeles, Rob Reiner and his wife were murdered in their home- their 32-year old son is being charged with the crime.
Rob Reiner was a film director, producer, screenwriter, actor, and political activist; he was smart, decent, funny and very talented. We need more decent people in this world.
Our world is a lesser place today. RIP to the Reiners.

— Steelers 28, Dolphins 15
Pittsburgh won its 23rd straight Monday night home game.
Steelers are 8-6, lead AFC North by a game over the Ravens.
Steelers-Ravens play in Week 18 in Pittsburgh.
Rodgers was 23-27/224 passing, with two TD’s.
Dolphins in first 3 quarters on a cold night: 26 plays, 82 yards, 3 points.
Kicker Patterson booted a career-high 54-yard FG for an early 3-0 lead.
Miami only ran the ball 16 times, for 63 yards.
Miami is 5-11 ATS last 16 games as a road underdog.

— I’d like to see a breakdown of each quarterback’s interceptions:
Underthrows
Overthrows
Balls that bounced off of receivers’ hands
Deflected passes
Field position for the INT’s; think it would be interesting.

— First three picks in the 2024 NFL Draft:
Caleb Williams, Jayden Daniels, Drake Maye. All quarterbacks.
If that draft was held tomorrow, would they still go in the same order?

— Atlanta Falcons committed 19 penalties for 125 yards last week, and they still won at Tampa Bay. Hard to win with that many penalties.

Famous birthdays, December 16:
Joyce Bulifant, 88
Jan van Breda Kolff, 74
Bart Oates, 67
Jeff Ruland, 67
Jerry Gray, 63
William Perry, 63
Bill Ripken, 61
Pete Fairbanks, 32

— Why are Oklahoma/Oklahoma State in different leagues?
Same with Washington/Washington State, Oregon-Oregon State.
It is nonsensical.

— Arizona Wildcats are first college basketball team in the last 30 years to beat five top 25 teams in the first nine games of a season.

— Hofstra beat Syracuse 70-69 in the Carrier Dome Saturday; Hofstra made 12-18 shots on the arc, 6-6 on the foul line, 10 days after they lost to Columbia of the Ivy League.

Movie of the Day: A Few Good Men (1992)- A military lawyer tries to prove that two US Marines charged with murdering a fellow Marine were only following their base commander’s orders. Tremendous movie, directed by Rob Reiner, written by Aaron Sorkin.
Excellent cast: Tom Cruise, Demi Moore, Kevin Pollak are the lawyers defending the Marines, Kevin Bacon is the opposing lawyer, Jack Nicholson is a Marine colonel- the scene when he is on the witness stand is one of the best scenes in movie history.
JT Walsh, Kiefer Sutherland, Noah Wyle, Joshua Malina are also in this movie, which you can see on BBC America these days.

Baseball transactions:
— Phillies signed OF Adolis Garcia for one year, $10M
— Twins signed 1B Josh Bell for one year, $7M
— Diamondbacks signed P Merrill Kelly for two years, $40M
— Mets signed IF/DH Jorge Polanco for two years, $40M
— Royals signed 3B Maikel Garcia for five years, $57.5M
— Blue Jays signed reliever Tyler Rogers for three years, $37M

— The guy that runs the Cardinals now, Chaim Bloom, is the guy who traded Mookie Betts to the Dodgers, when he was running the Red Sox. Yikes.

— Arizona 2B Ketel Marte’s no-trade list:
A’s
Pirates
Giants
Cardinals
Bronx
 

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NFL

Week 16


------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Trend Report
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

Los Angeles VS Seattle
LA Rams is 7-2 ATS in its last 9 games.
The total has gone OVER in 4 of LA Rams' last 6 games.
LA Rams is 8-1 SU in its last 9 games.
LA Rams is 8-2 ATS in its last 10 games against Seattle.
Seattle is 7-2 ATS in its last 9 games.
Seattle is 8-1 SU in its last 9 games.
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Seattle's last 6 games against LA Rams.
Seattle is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games at home.

Philadelphia VS Washington
Philadelphia is 13-7 ATS in its last 20 games.
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Philadelphia's last 6 games.
Philadelphia is 15-5 SU in its last 20 games.
Philadelphia is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games against Washington.
Washington is 2-7 ATS in its last 9 games.
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Washington's last 6 games.
Washington is 1-8 SU in its last 9 games.
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Washington's last 6 games against Philadelphia.

Green Bay VS Chicago
Green Bay is 4-8 ATS in its last 12 games.
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Green Bay's last 5 games.
Green Bay is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games.
Green Bay is 11-2 ATS in its last 13 games against Chicago.
Chicago is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games.
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Chicago's last 6 games.
Chicago is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games.
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Chicago's last 6 games against Green Bay.

Los Angeles VS Dallas
LA Chargers is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games.
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of LA Chargers' last 5 games.
LA Chargers is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games.
LA Chargers is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games on the road.
The total has gone OVER in 9 of Dallas' last 11 games.
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Dallas' last 5 games against LA Chargers.
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Dallas' last 7 games at home.
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Dallas' last 6 games against an opponent in the American Football Conference conference.

New York VS New Orleans
The total has gone OVER in 5 of NY Jets' last 7 games.
NY Jets is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games.
NY Jets is 3-7 ATS in its last 10 games against New Orleans.
NY Jets is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games against New Orleans.
New Orleans is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games.
The total has gone UNDER in 9 of New Orleans' last 10 games.
New Orleans is 4-14 SU in its last 18 games.
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of New Orleans' last 5 games at home.

Kansas City VS Tennessee
Kansas City is 0-6 ATS in its last 6 games.
The total has gone UNDER in 8 of Kansas City's last 9 games.
Kansas City is 1-5 SU in its last 6 games.
Kansas City is 1-6 ATS in its last 7 games against Tennessee.
Tennessee is 6-14 ATS in its last 20 games.
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Tennessee's last 8 games.
Tennessee is 2-18 SU in its last 20 games.
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Tennessee's last 7 games against Kansas City.

Tampa Bay VS Carolina
Tampa Bay is 0-6 ATS in its last 6 games.
The total has gone OVER in 8 of Tampa Bay's last 12 games.
Tampa Bay is 1-5 SU in its last 6 games.
Tampa Bay is 7-3 ATS in its last 10 games against Carolina.
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Carolina's last 6 games.
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Carolina's last 5 games against Tampa Bay.
The total has gone OVER in 8 of Carolina's last 10 games at home.
Carolina is 1-5 SU in its last 6 games when playing at home against Tampa Bay.

Buffalo VS Cleveland
Buffalo is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games.
Buffalo is 5-1-1 ATS in its last 7 games against Cleveland.
Buffalo is 5-2 SU in its last 7 games against Cleveland.
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Buffalo's last 7 games on the road.
Cleveland is 5-15 ATS in its last 20 games.
Cleveland is 1-6 SU in its last 7 games.
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Cleveland's last 5 games at home.
Cleveland is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Buffalo.

Minnesota VS New York
Minnesota is 3-6 ATS in its last 9 games.
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Minnesota's last 6 games.
Minnesota is 3-6 SU in its last 9 games.
Minnesota is 4-2 ATS in its last 6 games against NY Giants.
The total has gone OVER in 8 of NY Giants' last 9 games.
NY Giants is 0-8 SU in its last 8 games.
NY Giants is 3-12 SU in its last 15 games at home.
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of NY Giants' last 6 games when playing at home against Minnesota.

Cincinnati VS Miami
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Cincinnati's last 5 games.
Cincinnati is 1-6 SU in its last 7 games.
Cincinnati is 5-11 ATS in its last 16 games against Miami.
Cincinnati is 5-14 SU in its last 19 games against Miami.
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Miami's last 7 games.
Miami is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games.
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Miami's last 8 games against Cincinnati.
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Miami's last 5 games at home.

Atlanta VS Arizona
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Atlanta's last 7 games.
Atlanta is 2-7 SU in its last 9 games.
Atlanta is 10-5 SU in its last 15 games against Arizona.
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Atlanta's last 5 games on the road.
Arizona is 1-5 ATS in its last 6 games.
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Arizona's last 6 games.
Arizona is 0-6 SU in its last 6 games.
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Arizona's last 6 games against Atlanta.

Jacksonville VS Denver
Jacksonville is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games.
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Jacksonville's last 7 games.
Jacksonville is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games.
Jacksonville is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games against Denver.
Denver is 10-0 SU in its last 10 games.
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Denver's last 7 games against Jacksonville.
Denver is 12-0 SU in its last 12 games at home.
The total has gone OVER in 7 of Denver's last 8 games when playing at home against Jacksonville.

Las Vegas VS Houston
Las Vegas is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games.
The total has gone UNDER in 13 of Las Vegas' last 20 games.
Las Vegas is 0-8 SU in its last 8 games.
Las Vegas is 5-2 ATS in its last 7 games against Houston.
Houston is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games.
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Houston's last 5 games.
Houston is 6-0 SU in its last 6 games.
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Houston's last 6 games against Las Vegas.

Pittsburgh VS Detroit
Pittsburgh is 3-6 ATS in its last 9 games against Detroit.
Pittsburgh is 5-0-1 SU in its last 6 games against Detroit.
Pittsburgh is 2-7 ATS in its last 9 games on the road.
Pittsburgh is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games when playing on the road against Detroit.
Detroit is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games.
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Detroit's last 7 games.
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Detroit's last 6 games against Pittsburgh.
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Detroit's last 5 games at home.

New England VS Baltimore
New England is 8-3 ATS in its last 11 games.
The total has gone OVER in 6 of New England's last 8 games.
New England is 10-1 SU in its last 11 games.
New England is 12-5 SU in its last 17 games against Baltimore.
Baltimore is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games.
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Baltimore's last 7 games.
Baltimore is 6-2 SU in its last 8 games.
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Baltimore's last 6 games against New England.

San Francisco VS Indianapolis
San Francisco is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games.
The total has gone OVER in 4 of San Francisco's last 6 games.
San Francisco is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games.
San Francisco is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games against Indianapolis.
Indianapolis is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games.
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Indianapolis' last 6 games.
Indianapolis is 1-5 SU in its last 6 games.
Indianapolis is 8-1 SU in its last 9 games at home.


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Cnotes53

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Nov 5, 2017
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Wednesday’s 6-pack:
Top seven teams in country in 2-point FG% defense:
38.7%— Michigan
39.9%— Duke
40.3%— North Carolina
40.6%— Cal-Irvine
42.4%— Syracuse/Seton Hall
42.6%— Indiana

Quote of the Day
“We’re all frustrated. Joe (Lacob) is frustrated. I’m frustrated. Steph and [Draymond Green], everybody’s frustrated. This is kind of how the league works. I hate when people are going to post private emails. Imagine if everyone’s emails were just publicly posted, how tough that would be to live our lives. Joe supports me 100 percent. I support him. We have a great connection. We’ve had so much continuity here. Our stable environment in our organization is one of our strengths.”
Steve Kerr, after the Warriors slipped to 13-14 this year

Wednesday’s quiz
When was the last time a team from the Big 10 Conference won the national championship in college basketball?

Tuesday’s quiz
In the movie Moneyball, Philip Seymour Hoffman played A’s manager Art Howe.

Monday’s quiz
First three picks in the 2024 NFL Draft:
Caleb Williams, Jayden Daniels, Drake Maye, all QB’s.
Marvin Harrison Jr was the 4th player taken in the 2024 Draft.

***************************************

Wednesday’s Den: Mid-week musings…….

— Jacksonville State 17, Troy State 13
Trojans led 13-7 at halftime- their only TD was scored by the defense.
Troy in second half: 31 plays, 81 yards, two turnovers.
WR Johnson caught six passes for 101 yards for Jax State.
Troy State had won their last 79 games when they led after the third quarter.

— Knicks 124, Spurs 113
Knicks outscored San Antonio 35-19 in fourth quarter.
OG Anunoby scored 28 points for New York.
Knicks win the third annual NBA Cup.

— Teams that won the first two NBA Cup tournaments:
2023- Lakers finished 47-35, lost in first round of the real playoffs
2024- Bucks finished 48-34, lost in first round of the real playoffs

— St John’s 79, DePaul 66
Red Storm shot 10-22 on arc, DePaul 7-25
Blue Demons are 8-4 this year, 1-3 vs top 100 teams, but…….
…..since 2008, DePaul is 56-264 in Big East conference games.

— UConn 79, Butler 60
UConn lead 39-25 at halftime.
Huskies out-rebounded Butler, 47-29
UConn has won 7 in a row, is 11-1 (lost 71-67 to Arizona)

— Tennessee 83, Louisville 62
Louisville’s PG Brown didn’t play, and it showed.
Tennessee shot 62.9% inside the arc, snapped 3-game skid.
Louisville is 9-2, losing road games at Arkansas/Tennessee.

— Dayton 97, Florida State 69
Dayton was 40-47 on foul line; they shot 64.3% inside arc.
Flyers are forcing turnovers 24.4% of time (#3 in country)
Seminoles have lost five in a row, giving up 96.8 ppg.

— Clemson 68, South Carolina 61
Teams combined to shoot 9-40 on the arc.
Clemson is 9-3, 3-1 vs top 100 teams.
Gamecocks are 0-4 vs top 100 teams (all four losses by 7 or less points)

— Missouri State 63, Oral R0berts 62
Missouri State shot 57.7% inside the arc.
Oral Roberts shot 33.3% inside the arc.
Just second win for Bears, in their 7th game vs D-I teams. (5-5 overall)

— Former Alabama football coach Nick Saban is now a part-owner of the NHL’s Nashville Predators.

Famous birthdays, December 17th:
Ernie Hudson, 80
Eugene Levy, 79
Bill Pullman, 72
Bob Ojeda, 68
Albert King, 66
Claire Forlani, 54
Chase Utley, 47
Buddy Hield, 33
Daniel Vogelbach, 33
Caden Dana, 22

— Washington Commanders QB Jayden Daniels (left elbow) is done for the year; he’s thrown for 1,262 yards in seven games this season, after leading Washington to a 12-5 record last year.

— Colts QB, 44-year old Philip Rivers has 10 kids (ten!!!); by playing this month, he’s extended his family’s NFL-paid for health insurance thru August 2031.

— When the NFL schedule came out last spring, wonder if the Dolphins howled about having to play a night game in Pittsburgh on December 14th?

— Texas Longhorns QB Arch Manning will be back in Austin next fall; he’s thrown for 2,553 yards this year for the 9-3 Longhorns, with 20 TD’s, 7 INTs.

— Minimum salary in major league baseball? $760,000.

— Major league players have a pension plan:
Full pensions comes with 10 years of service; if it isn’t claimed until age 62, it is worth $265,000 a year. Players can start collecting at age 45, but those payoffs would be lower.
Every 43 days spent on a big league roster earns a player credit.
The plan bumps up every year with a 1.8% cost of living increase.

— San Francisco Giants signed P Adrian Houser for two years, $22M. Houser was 8-5, 3.31 in 21 starts last year, for the White Sox/Rays.

— World Baseball Classic will happen in couple months; Dominican Republic has a very impressive lineup:
OF- Juan Soto, Julio Rodriguez, Fernando Tatis
1B- Vladimir Gurerrero
2B- Ketel Marte
SS- Geraldo Perdomo
3B- Jose Ramirez
C- Manier Diaz
DH- Junior Caminero
P- Sandy Alcantara
 
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