CNOTES 2025 2026 NHL NEWS, BEST BETS, AND OPINION !

[Cnotes53]

Monday, December 15​

Game	Time(ET)	Pick	Units
ANA at NYR	07:00 PM	U 6.0*****	+500
FLA at TB	07:00 PM	TB -120***** U 6.0*****	+500 +500
OTT at WIN	07:30 PM	O 6.0*****	+500
NAS at STL	08:00 PM	STL -110***** O 6.0*****	+500 +500
LA at DAL	08:00 PM	DAL -135***** U 5.5*****	+500 +500

 

[Cnotes53]

CNOTES NHL DECEMBER BEST BETS !

12/15/2025......................5 - 3 - 0.....................62.50%........................+ 8.50
12/14/2025......................2 - 3 - 1.....................40.00%.......................- 4.00
12/13/2025......................6 - 6 - 0......................50.00%......................+ 4.75
12/12/2025.......................0 -2 - 0......................00.00%......................- 10.25
12/11/2025.......................5 - 5 - 0......................50.00%.....................+ 3.00
12/10/2025......................3 - 3 - 0......................50.00%......................+ 0.55
12/09/2025......................9 - 3 - 0......................75.00%......................+ 28.00
12/08/2025......................4 - 2 - 0......................66.66%.......................+ 7.75
12/07/2025......................5 - 5 - 0......................50.00%.......................+ 7.25
12/06/2025......................4 - 5 - 0......................44.44%.......................- 6.75
12/05/2025......................3 - 4 - 0.....................42.85%........................- 4.00
12/04/2025......................9 - 3 - 1.....................75.00%........................+34.20
12/03/2025......................2 - 6 - 0.....................25.00%........................- 23.75
12/01/2025......................6 - 1 - 2......................85.71%.......................+ 26.50

TOTALS.........................63 - 51 - 4.....................55.26%........................+ 71.95

 

[Cnotes53]

Tuesday’s 7-pack:
There are seven unbeaten teams left in college basketball:
Arizona
Duke
Iowa State
Miami OH
Michigan
Nebraska
Vanderbilt

Quote of the Day
“It has been a tumultuous time. A lot of … first disbelief, then anger, then really, what we’re in right now is the kids, quite frankly, feel very betrayed, and we’re trying to work through that. Lots of arms around shoulders, lot of listening, lot of telling them that you love them, but showing it, because words are cheap, and that takes a lot of time. What it really takes is you being willing to listen.”
Michigan’s interim football coach, Biff Poggi

Tuesday’s quiz
In the movie Moneyball, what actor played A’s manager Art Howe?

Monday’s quiz
First three picks in the 2024 NFL Draft:
Caleb Williams, Jayden Daniels, Drake Maye, all QB’s.
Marvin Harrison Jr was the 4th player taken in the 2024 Draft.

Sunday’s quiz
Philip Rivers broke into the NFL with the San Diego Chargers in 2004; the Chargers’ coach back then was Marty Schottenheimer, whose son coaches the Cowboys now.

******************************************

Tuesday’s Den: Nobody asked me, but…….​

I write this with a heavy heart; this weekend in Los Angeles, Rob Reiner and his wife were murdered in their home- their 32-year old son is being charged with the crime.
Rob Reiner was a film director, producer, screenwriter, actor, and political activist; he was smart, decent, funny and very talented. We need more decent people in this world.
Our world is a lesser place today. RIP to the Reiners.

— Steelers 28, Dolphins 15
Pittsburgh won its 23rd straight Monday night home game.
Steelers are 8-6, lead AFC North by a game over the Ravens.
Steelers-Ravens play in Week 18 in Pittsburgh.
Rodgers was 23-27/224 passing, with two TD’s.
Dolphins in first 3 quarters on a cold night: 26 plays, 82 yards, 3 points.
Kicker Patterson booted a career-high 54-yard FG for an early 3-0 lead.
Miami only ran the ball 16 times, for 63 yards.
Miami is 5-11 ATS last 16 games as a road underdog.

— I’d like to see a breakdown of each quarterback’s interceptions:
Underthrows
Overthrows
Balls that bounced off of receivers’ hands
Deflected passes
Field position for the INT’s; think it would be interesting.

— First three picks in the 2024 NFL Draft:
Caleb Williams, Jayden Daniels, Drake Maye. All quarterbacks.
If that draft was held tomorrow, would they still go in the same order?

— Atlanta Falcons committed 19 penalties for 125 yards last week, and they still won at Tampa Bay. Hard to win with that many penalties.

— Famous birthdays, December 16:
Joyce Bulifant, 88
Jan van Breda Kolff, 74
Bart Oates, 67
Jeff Ruland, 67
Jerry Gray, 63
William Perry, 63
Bill Ripken, 61
Pete Fairbanks, 32

— Why are Oklahoma/Oklahoma State in different leagues?
Same with Washington/Washington State, Oregon-Oregon State.
It is nonsensical.

— Arizona Wildcats are first college basketball team in the last 30 years to beat five top 25 teams in the first nine games of a season.

— Hofstra beat Syracuse 70-69 in the Carrier Dome Saturday; Hofstra made 12-18 shots on the arc, 6-6 on the foul line, 10 days after they lost to Columbia of the Ivy League.

— Movie of the Day: A Few Good Men (1992)- A military lawyer tries to prove that two US Marines charged with murdering a fellow Marine were only following their base commander’s orders. Tremendous movie, directed by Rob Reiner, written by Aaron Sorkin.
Excellent cast: Tom Cruise, Demi Moore, Kevin Pollak are the lawyers defending the Marines, Kevin Bacon is the opposing lawyer, Jack Nicholson is a Marine colonel- the scene when he is on the witness stand is one of the best scenes in movie history.
JT Walsh, Kiefer Sutherland, Noah Wyle, Joshua Malina are also in this movie, which you can see on BBC America these days.

Baseball transactions:
— Phillies signed OF Adolis Garcia for one year, $10M
— Twins signed 1B Josh Bell for one year, $7M
— Diamondbacks signed P Merrill Kelly for two years, $40M
— Mets signed IF/DH Jorge Polanco for two years, $40M
— Royals signed 3B Maikel Garcia for five years, $57.5M
— Blue Jays signed reliever Tyler Rogers for three years, $37M

— The guy that runs the Cardinals now, Chaim Bloom, is the guy who traded Mookie Betts to the Dodgers, when he was running the Red Sox. Yikes.

— Arizona 2B Ketel Marte’s no-trade list:
A’s
Pirates
Giants
Cardinals
Bronx

 

[Udog]

NHL
Dunkel

Tuesday, December 16

 

[Udog]

NHL

Tuesday, December 16

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Trend Report
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Utah VS Boston
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Utah's last 5 games.
Utah is 7-13 SU in its last 20 games.
Utah is 4-16 SU in its last 20 games against Boston.
Utah is 3-9 SU in its last 12 games on the road.
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Boston's last 6 games.
Boston is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games.
Boston is 9-2 SU in its last 11 games at home.
Boston is 10-0 SU in its last 10 games when playing at home against Utah.

Anaheim VS Columbus
The total has gone OVER in 9 of Anaheim's last 12 games.
Anaheim is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games.
Anaheim is 7-1 SU in its last 8 games against Columbus.
Anaheim is 3-6 SU in its last 9 games on the road.
Columbus is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games.
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Columbus' last 7 games against Anaheim.
Columbus is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games at home.
Columbus is 0-6 SU in its last 6 games when playing at home against Anaheim.

New York VS Detroit
The total has gone UNDER in 12 of NY Islanders' last 16 games.
NY Islanders is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games.
NY Islanders is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games against Detroit.
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of NY Islanders' last 6 games on the road.
The total has gone OVER in 8 of Detroit's last 12 games.
Detroit is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games.
The total has gone OVER in 7 of Detroit's last 8 games at home.
Detroit is 5-2 SU in its last 7 games when playing at home against NY Islanders.

Philadelphia VS Montreal
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Philadelphia's last 5 games.
Philadelphia is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games.
Philadelphia is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games against Montreal.
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Philadelphia's last 7 games on the road.
The total has gone OVER in 14 of Montreal's last 20 games.
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Montreal's last 5 games against Philadelphia.
The total has gone OVER in 10 of Montreal's last 13 games at home.
Montreal is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Philadelphia.

Vancouver VS New York
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Vancouver's last 8 games.
Vancouver is 4-12 SU in its last 16 games.
Vancouver is 1-6 SU in its last 7 games against NY Rangers.
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Vancouver's last 6 games on the road.
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of NY Rangers' last 5 games.
NY Rangers is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games.
The total has gone OVER in 7 of NY Rangers' last 8 games against Vancouver.
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of NY Rangers' last 8 games at home.

Chicago VS Toronto
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Chicago's last 6 games.
Chicago is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games.
Chicago is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games against Toronto.
Chicago is 1-5 SU in its last 6 games on the road.
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Toronto's last 6 games.
The total has gone OVER in 9 of Toronto's last 13 games against Chicago.
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Toronto's last 5 games at home.
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Toronto's last 7 games when playing at home against Chicago.

Edmonton VS Pittsburgh
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Edmonton's last 6 games.
Edmonton is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games.
Edmonton is 7-1 SU in its last 8 games against Pittsburgh.
Edmonton is 6-12 SU in its last 18 games on the road.
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Pittsburgh's last 9 games.
Pittsburgh is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games.
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Pittsburgh's last 9 games against Edmonton.
Pittsburgh is 1-7 SU in its last 8 games at home.

Washington VS Minnesota
Washington is 10-4 SU in its last 14 games.
Washington is 2-7 SU in its last 9 games against Minnesota.
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Washington's last 7 games on the road.
The total has gone OVER in 8 of Washington's last 9 games when playing on the road against Minnesota.
The total has gone UNDER in 12 of Minnesota's last 17 games.
Minnesota is 12-3 SU in its last 15 games.
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Minnesota's last 6 games against Washington.
Minnesota is 7-1 SU in its last 8 games at home.

Calgary VS San Jose
Calgary is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games.
Calgary is 7-0 SU in its last 7 games against San Jose.
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Calgary's last 8 games on the road.
Calgary is 6-0 SU in its last 6 games when playing on the road against San Jose.
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of San Jose's last 5 games.
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of San Jose's last 7 games against Calgary.
San Jose is 7-2 SU in its last 9 games at home.
San Jose is 0-6 SU in its last 6 games when playing at home against Calgary.

Colorado VS Seattle
The total has gone UNDER in 8 of Colorado's last 12 games.
Colorado is 16-3 SU in its last 19 games.
Colorado is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games against Seattle.
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Colorado's last 7 games on the road.
The total has gone UNDER in 8 of Seattle's last 11 games.
Seattle is 1-8 SU in its last 9 games.
The total has gone UNDER in 13 of Seattle's last 17 games against Colorado.
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Seattle's last 7 games at home.


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[Udog]

 

[Cnotes53]

Tuesday, December 16​

Game	Time(ET)	Pick	Units
NYI at DET	07:00 PM	NYI +110***** U 6.0	+500 +500
PHI at MON	07:00 PM	PHI +105*****	+500
VAN at NYR	07:00 PM	VAN -102	+500
ANA at CLB	07:00 PM	ANA +118***** O 6.5*****	+500 +500
UTAH at BOS	07:00 PM	O 6.5*****	+500
CHI at TOR	07:00 PM	CHI +165*****	+500
EDM at PIT	07:30 PM	PIT +120***** O 6.5*****	+500 +500
WAS at MIN	08:00 PM	WAS -102	+500
CAL at SJ	10:00 PM	SJ +118***** O 5.5*****	+500 +500
COL at SEA	10:00 PM	SEA +260*****	+500

 

[Cnotes53]

CNOTES NHL DECEMBER BEST BETS !

12/16/2025......................5 - 6 - 0.....................45.45%........................- 4.25
12/15/2025......................5 - 3 - 0.....................62.50%........................+ 8.50
12/14/2025......................2 - 3 - 1.....................40.00%.......................- 4.00
12/13/2025......................6 - 6 - 0......................50.00%......................+ 4.75
12/12/2025.......................0 -2 - 0......................00.00%......................- 10.25
12/11/2025.......................5 - 5 - 0......................50.00%.....................+ 3.00
12/10/2025......................3 - 3 - 0......................50.00%......................+ 0.55
12/09/2025......................9 - 3 - 0......................75.00%......................+ 28.00
12/08/2025......................4 - 2 - 0......................66.66%.......................+ 7.75
12/07/2025......................5 - 5 - 0......................50.00%.......................+ 7.25
12/06/2025......................4 - 5 - 0......................44.44%.......................- 6.75
12/05/2025......................3 - 4 - 0.....................42.85%........................- 4.00
12/04/2025......................9 - 3 - 1.....................75.00%........................+34.20
12/03/2025......................2 - 6 - 0.....................25.00%........................- 23.75
12/01/2025......................6 - 1 - 2......................85.71%.......................+ 26.50

TOTALS.........................68 - 57 - 4.....................54.40%.........................+ 67.70

 

[Cnotes53]

Wednesday’s 6-pack:
Top seven teams in country in 2-point FG% defense:
38.7%— Michigan
39.9%— Duke
40.3%— North Carolina
40.6%— Cal-Irvine
42.4%— Syracuse/Seton Hall
42.6%— Indiana

Quote of the Day
“We’re all frustrated. Joe (Lacob) is frustrated. I’m frustrated. Steph and [Draymond Green], everybody’s frustrated. This is kind of how the league works. I hate when people are going to post private emails. Imagine if everyone’s emails were just publicly posted, how tough that would be to live our lives. Joe supports me 100 percent. I support him. We have a great connection. We’ve had so much continuity here. Our stable environment in our organization is one of our strengths.”
Steve Kerr, after the Warriors slipped to 13-14 this year

Wednesday’s quiz
When was the last time a team from the Big 10 Conference won the national championship in college basketball?

Tuesday’s quiz
In the movie Moneyball, Philip Seymour Hoffman played A’s manager Art Howe.

Monday’s quiz
First three picks in the 2024 NFL Draft:
Caleb Williams, Jayden Daniels, Drake Maye, all QB’s.
Marvin Harrison Jr was the 4th player taken in the 2024 Draft.

***************************************

Wednesday’s Den: Mid-week musings…….​

— Jacksonville State 17, Troy State 13
Trojans led 13-7 at halftime- their only TD was scored by the defense.
Troy in second half: 31 plays, 81 yards, two turnovers.
WR Johnson caught six passes for 101 yards for Jax State.
Troy State had won their last 79 games when they led after the third quarter.

— Knicks 124, Spurs 113
Knicks outscored San Antonio 35-19 in fourth quarter.
OG Anunoby scored 28 points for New York.
Knicks win the third annual NBA Cup.

— Teams that won the first two NBA Cup tournaments:
2023- Lakers finished 47-35, lost in first round of the real playoffs
2024- Bucks finished 48-34, lost in first round of the real playoffs

— St John’s 79, DePaul 66
Red Storm shot 10-22 on arc, DePaul 7-25
Blue Demons are 8-4 this year, 1-3 vs top 100 teams, but…….
…..since 2008, DePaul is 56-264 in Big East conference games.

— UConn 79, Butler 60
UConn lead 39-25 at halftime.
Huskies out-rebounded Butler, 47-29
UConn has won 7 in a row, is 11-1 (lost 71-67 to Arizona)

— Tennessee 83, Louisville 62
Louisville’s PG Brown didn’t play, and it showed.
Tennessee shot 62.9% inside the arc, snapped 3-game skid.
Louisville is 9-2, losing road games at Arkansas/Tennessee.

— Dayton 97, Florida State 69
Dayton was 40-47 on foul line; they shot 64.3% inside arc.
Flyers are forcing turnovers 24.4% of time (#3 in country)
Seminoles have lost five in a row, giving up 96.8 ppg.

— Clemson 68, South Carolina 61
Teams combined to shoot 9-40 on the arc.
Clemson is 9-3, 3-1 vs top 100 teams.
Gamecocks are 0-4 vs top 100 teams (all four losses by 7 or less points)

— Missouri State 63, Oral R0berts 62
Missouri State shot 57.7% inside the arc.
Oral Roberts shot 33.3% inside the arc.
Just second win for Bears, in their 7th game vs D-I teams. (5-5 overall)

— Former Alabama football coach Nick Saban is now a part-owner of the NHL’s Nashville Predators.

— Famous birthdays, December 17th:
Ernie Hudson, 80
Eugene Levy, 79
Bill Pullman, 72
Bob Ojeda, 68
Albert King, 66
Claire Forlani, 54
Chase Utley, 47
Buddy Hield, 33
Daniel Vogelbach, 33
Caden Dana, 22

— Washington Commanders QB Jayden Daniels (left elbow) is done for the year; he’s thrown for 1,262 yards in seven games this season, after leading Washington to a 12-5 record last year.

— Colts QB, 44-year old Philip Rivers has 10 kids (ten!!!); by playing this month, he’s extended his family’s NFL-paid for health insurance thru August 2031.

— When the NFL schedule came out last spring, wonder if the Dolphins howled about having to play a night game in Pittsburgh on December 14th?

— Texas Longhorns QB Arch Manning will be back in Austin next fall; he’s thrown for 2,553 yards this year for the 9-3 Longhorns, with 20 TD’s, 7 INTs.

— Minimum salary in major league baseball? $760,000.

— Major league players have a pension plan:
Full pensions comes with 10 years of service; if it isn’t claimed until age 62, it is worth $265,000 a year. Players can start collecting at age 45, but those payoffs would be lower.
Every 43 days spent on a big league roster earns a player credit.
The plan bumps up every year with a 1.8% cost of living increase.

— San Francisco Giants signed P Adrian Houser for two years, $22M. Houser was 8-5, 3.31 in 21 starts last year, for the White Sox/Rays.

— World Baseball Classic will happen in couple months; Dominican Republic has a very impressive lineup:
OF- Juan Soto, Julio Rodriguez, Fernando Tatis
1B- Vladimir Gurerrero
2B- Ketel Marte
SS- Geraldo Perdomo
3B- Jose Ramirez
C- Manier Diaz
DH- Junior Caminero
P- Sandy Alcantara

 

[Udog]

NHL
Dunkel

Wednesday, December 17

NHL

Wednesday, December 17

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Trend Report
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Los Angeles VS Florida
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Los Angeles' last 8 games.
Los Angeles is 2-5 SU in its last 7 games.
Los Angeles is 7-3 SU in its last 10 games against Florida.
Los Angeles is 1-5 SU in its last 6 games on the road.
The total has gone OVER in 8 of Florida's last 12 games.
Florida is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games.
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Florida's last 5 games against Los Angeles.
Florida is 2-5 SU in its last 7 games at home.

Utah VS Detroit
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Utah's last 5 games.
Utah is 6-12 SU in its last 18 games.
Utah is 8-2 SU in its last 10 games against Detroit.
Utah is 3-10 SU in its last 13 games on the road.
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Detroit's last 5 games.
Detroit is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games.
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Detroit's last 5 games at home.
Detroit is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Utah.

Carolina VS Nashville
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Carolina's last 5 games.
Carolina is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games.
Carolina is 2-5 SU in its last 7 games against Nashville.
Carolina is 6-2 SU in its last 8 games on the road.
The total has gone OVER in 9 of Nashville's last 11 games.
Nashville is 5-2 SU in its last 7 games.
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Nashville's last 5 games against Carolina.
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Nashville's last 5 games at home.

Winnipeg VS St. Louis
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Winnipeg's last 5 games.
Winnipeg is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games.
Winnipeg is 15-5 SU in its last 20 games against St. Louis.
Winnipeg is 1-5 SU in its last 6 games on the road.
The total has gone OVER in 4 of St. Louis' last 5 games.
The total has gone OVER in 5 of St. Louis' last 5 games against Winnipeg.
St. Louis is 6-12 SU in its last 18 games at home.
The total has gone OVER in 5 of St. Louis' last 6 games when playing at home against Winnipeg.

New Jersey VS Vegas
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of New Jersey's last 7 games.
New Jersey is 2-7 SU in its last 9 games.
New Jersey is 1-5 SU in its last 6 games against Vegas.
New Jersey is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games on the road.
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Vegas' last 5 games.
Vegas is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games.
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Vegas' last 5 games against New Jersey.
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Vegas' last 9 games at home.


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[Cnotes53]

Wednesday, December 17​

Game	Time(ET)	Pick	Units
LA at FLA	07:00 PM	LA +120***** O 6.0*****	+500 +500
UTAH at DET	07:30 PM	UTAH +105***** U 6.0*****	+500 +500
CAR at NAS	08:00 PM	NAS +150***** O 6.0*****	+500 +500
WIN at STL	08:00 PM	WIN -150 U 5.5*****	+500 +500
NJ at VEG	10:00 PM	VEG -160 U 5.5*****	+500 +500

 

[Cnotes53]

CNOTES NHL DECEMBER BEST BETS !

12/17/2025.....................4 - 4 - 0......................50.00%.......................- 0.75
12/16/2025......................5 - 6 - 0.....................45.45%........................- 4.25
12/15/2025......................5 - 3 - 0.....................62.50%........................+ 8.50
12/14/2025......................2 - 3 - 1.....................40.00%.......................- 4.00
12/13/2025......................6 - 6 - 0......................50.00%......................+ 4.75
12/12/2025.......................0 -2 - 0......................00.00%......................- 10.25
12/11/2025.......................5 - 5 - 0......................50.00%.....................+ 3.00
12/10/2025......................3 - 3 - 0......................50.00%......................+ 0.55
12/09/2025......................9 - 3 - 0......................75.00%......................+ 28.00
12/08/2025......................4 - 2 - 0......................66.66%.......................+ 7.75
12/07/2025......................5 - 5 - 0......................50.00%.......................+ 7.25
12/06/2025......................4 - 5 - 0......................44.44%.......................- 6.75
12/05/2025......................3 - 4 - 0.....................42.85%........................- 4.00
12/04/2025......................9 - 3 - 1.....................75.00%........................+34.20
12/03/2025......................2 - 6 - 0.....................25.00%........................- 23.75
12/01/2025......................6 - 1 - 2......................85.71%.......................+ 26.50

TOTALS.........................72 - 61 - 4.....................54.13%.........................+ 66.95

 

[Cnotes53]

Thursday’s 6-pack:
Week 16 NFL spreads:
— Rams @ Seattle (-1.5)
— Eagles (-6.5) @ Washington
— Packers @ Chicago (-1.5)
— Jets @ New Orleans (-4.5)
— Bills (-10.5) @ Cleveland
— Chiefs (-3) @ Tennessee

Quote of the Day
“I want to meet all of them. Every coach who gets the opportunity to come here, I want to have conversations throughout the process with them. I’m going to be here for that whole time.”
Titans rookie QB Cam Ward, talking about the team’s coaching search

Thursday’s quiz
Which major league baseball team drafted Tom Brady as a catcher?

Wednesday’s quiz
2000 was the last time a team from the Big 10 Conference won the national championship in college basketball, when Michigan State won

Tuesday’s quiz
In the movie Moneyball, Philip Seymour Hoffman played A’s manager Art Howe.

******************************************

Thursday’s Den: NFL trends, and NCAA Tournament trends……..​

Was wondering if there are any trends that could identify teams that will win March Madness this year, so I broke down the last 13 teams that won the national title.

— 10 of the last 13 national champs were #1 seeds:
Exceptions:
2014 UConn was a 7-seed
2016 Villanova was a 2-seed
2023 UConn was a 4-seed

— National champs come from the elite leagues:
5- Big East
3- ACC
2- SEC
2- Big X
1- AAC (UConn in 2014)
0- Big 18

— National champs come from big leagues; they generally play cheesy non-conference schedules. Five of last six national champs played a non-conference slate outside the top 200.

— Making shots seems like a big deal; 10 of the last 13 national champs were in the top 40 in eFG% (eFG% is FG%, only 3-pointers count as 1.5 baskets made).
Defense seems important; 9 of the last 13 national champs were in the top 50 in eFG% defense.

— 9 of the last 13 national champs were in the top 40 in offensive rebounding %age.

— The last 13 national champs all won the first game in their conference tournament; however, 5 of the 13 national champs went WL in their conference tournament.
5 of the also 13 national champs won their conference tournament.

— Only 3 of the last 13 national champs played a tempo in top 100; 6 of 13 were outside top 200

— Stats that don’t seem to matter much:
None of the last 11 national champs were in the top 100 in % of points scored on foul line; there are fewer fouls called in the NCAA’s, you have to be able to play through contact.

— Only 2 of the last 13 national champs were in the top 200 in bench minutes; last one was North Carolina in 2017. TV timeouts are longer in NCAA’s, fewer fouls are cools, making depth less important.

— We’ll tuck this away until March, then identify teams we think fit the bill of a champ.

— Famous birthdays, December 18th:
Steven Spielberg, 79
Brad Pitt, 62
Charles Oakley, 62
Don Beebe, 61
Rachel Griffiths, 58
Christina Aguilera, 45
Chris Carter, 39
Byron Buxton, 32
Ronald Acuna, 28
Brandon Marsh, 28
Joey Cantillo, 26
Jayden Daniels, 25

— NFL divisional trends:

AFC East
Non-divisional underdogs 12-8 ATS
Non-divisional favorites 9-7 ATS

AFC North
Non-divisional underdogs 8-15 ATS
Non-divisional favorites 7-10 ATS

AFC South
Non-divisional underdogs 15-8 ATS
Non-divisional favorites 7-5 ATS

AFC West
Non-divisional underdogs 8-6 ATS
Non-divisional road favorites 1-9 ATS

NFC East
Home teams 5-2 ATS divisional games
Non-divisional underdogs 8-12 ATS

NFC North
Non-divisional home favorites 11-5 ATS
Non-divisional underdogs 5-8 ATS

NFC South
Underdogs 8-1 ATS divisional games
Non-divisional favorites 3-7 ATS

NFC West
Non-divisional favorites 19-8 ATS
Divisional home underdogs 0-4 ATS

 

[Udog]

NHL

Thursday, December 18

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Trend Report
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Edmonton VS Boston
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Edmonton's last 7 games.
Edmonton is 5-2 SU in its last 7 games.
Edmonton is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games against Boston.
Edmonton is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games on the road.
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Boston's last 7 games.
Boston is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games.
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Boston's last 7 games against Edmonton.
Boston is 10-2 SU in its last 12 games at home.

Minnesota VS Columbus
The total has gone UNDER in 13 of Minnesota's last 18 games.
Minnesota is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games.
Minnesota is 9-3 SU in its last 12 games against Columbus.
Minnesota is 6-2 SU in its last 8 games on the road.
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Columbus' last 9 games.
Columbus is 1-5 SU in its last 6 games.
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Columbus' last 10 games against Minnesota.
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Columbus' last 5 games at home.

Chicago VS Montreal
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Chicago's last 5 games.
Chicago is 1-5 SU in its last 6 games.
Chicago is 2-5 SU in its last 7 games against Montreal.
Chicago is 1-6 SU in its last 7 games on the road.
The total has gone OVER in 13 of Montreal's last 20 games.
Montreal is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games.
The total has gone UNDER in 11 of Montreal's last 14 games against Chicago.
Montreal is 3-8 SU in its last 11 games at home.

Pittsburgh VS Ottawa
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Pittsburgh's last 5 games.
Pittsburgh is 0-6 SU in its last 6 games.
Pittsburgh is 1-6 SU in its last 7 games against Ottawa.
Pittsburgh is 1-7 SU in its last 8 games when playing on the road against Ottawa.
The total has gone OVER in 7 of Ottawa's last 10 games.
Ottawa is 3-6 SU in its last 9 games.
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Ottawa's last 5 games against Pittsburgh.
Ottawa is 1-5 SU in its last 6 games at home.

Los Angeles VS Tampa Bay
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Los Angeles' last 5 games.
Los Angeles is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games.
Los Angeles is 3-13 SU in its last 16 games against Tampa Bay.
Los Angeles is 1-6 SU in its last 7 games on the road.
Tampa Bay is 2-6 SU in its last 8 games.
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Tampa Bay's last 6 games against Los Angeles.
Tampa Bay is 9-0 SU in its last 9 games when playing at home against Los Angeles.
Tampa Bay is 8-2 SU in its last 10 games against an opponent in the Western Conference conference.

Toronto VS Washington
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Toronto's last 7 games.
Toronto is 9-4 SU in its last 13 games against Washington.
Toronto is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games on the road.
Toronto is 5-2 SU in its last 7 games when playing on the road against Washington.
Washington is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games.
Washington is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games at home.
Washington is 2-5 SU in its last 7 games when playing at home against Toronto.
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Washington's last 5 games against an opponent in the Eastern Conference conference.

Philadelphia VS Buffalo
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Philadelphia's last 6 games.
Philadelphia is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games.
Philadelphia is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games against Buffalo.
Philadelphia is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games on the road.
The total has gone UNDER in 8 of Buffalo's last 11 games.
The total has gone OVER in 14 of Buffalo's last 17 games against Philadelphia.
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Buffalo's last 8 games at home.
Buffalo is 5-2 SU in its last 7 games when playing at home against Philadelphia.

New York VS St. Louis
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of NY Rangers' last 6 games.
NY Rangers is 1-5 SU in its last 6 games.
NY Rangers is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games against St. Louis.
NY Rangers is 9-4 SU in its last 13 games on the road.
The total has gone OVER in 4 of St. Louis' last 6 games.
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of St. Louis' last 6 games against NY Rangers.
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of St. Louis' last 6 games at home.
St. Louis is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against NY Rangers.

Seattle VS Calgary
The total has gone UNDER in 8 of Seattle's last 12 games.
Seattle is 1-9 SU in its last 10 games.
Seattle is 5-10 SU in its last 15 games against Calgary.
Seattle is 2-5 SU in its last 7 games on the road.
The total has gone OVER in 10 of Calgary's last 15 games.
Calgary is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games.
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Calgary's last 6 games against Seattle.
Calgary is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games at home.

Dallas VS San Jose
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Dallas' last 8 games.
Dallas is 15-5 SU in its last 20 games.
Dallas is 7-0 SU in its last 7 games against San Jose.
Dallas is 8-3 SU in its last 11 games on the road.
The total has gone UNDER in 14 of San Jose's last 20 games.
San Jose is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games.
The total has gone OVER in 7 of San Jose's last 10 games against Dallas.
San Jose is 8-2 SU in its last 10 games at home.


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[Udog]

 

[Udog]

NHL
Dunkel

Thursday, December 18

 

[Cnotes53]

Thursday, December 18​

Game	Time(ET)	Pick	Units
CHI at MON	07:00 PM	CHI +150***** O 5.5*****	+500 +500
MIN at CLB	07:00 PM	CLB +100*****	+500
EDM at BOS	07:00 PM	BOS +115*****	+500
PIT at OTT	07:00 PM	PIT +135*****	+500
TOR at WAS	07:00 PM	TOR +125*****	+500
LA at TB	07:00 PM	LA +170*****	+500
PHI at BUF	07:30 PM	PHI +118*****	+500
NYR at STL	08:00 PM	STL +118*****	+500
SEA at CAL	09:00 PM	SEA +145*****	+500
DAL at SJ	10:00 PM	SJ +170*****	+500

 

[Cnotes53]

CNOTES NHL DECEMBER BEST BETS !

12/18/2025...................1 - 10 - 0......................00.90%......................- 41.50
12/17/2025.....................4 - 4 - 0......................50.00%.......................- 0.75
12/16/2025......................5 - 6 - 0.....................45.45%........................- 4.25
12/15/2025......................5 - 3 - 0.....................62.50%........................+ 8.50
12/14/2025......................2 - 3 - 1.....................40.00%.......................- 4.00
12/13/2025......................6 - 6 - 0......................50.00%......................+ 4.75
12/12/2025.......................0 -2 - 0......................00.00%......................- 10.25
12/11/2025.......................5 - 5 - 0......................50.00%.....................+ 3.00
12/10/2025......................3 - 3 - 0......................50.00%......................+ 0.55
12/09/2025......................9 - 3 - 0......................75.00%......................+ 28.00
12/08/2025......................4 - 2 - 0......................66.66%.......................+ 7.75
12/07/2025......................5 - 5 - 0......................50.00%.......................+ 7.25
12/06/2025......................4 - 5 - 0......................44.44%.......................- 6.75
12/05/2025......................3 - 4 - 0.....................42.85%........................- 4.00
12/04/2025......................9 - 3 - 1.....................75.00%........................+34.20
12/03/2025......................2 - 6 - 0.....................25.00%........................- 23.75
12/01/2025......................6 - 1 - 2......................85.71%.......................+ 26.50

TOTALS.........................73 - 71 - 4.....................50.69%.........................+ 25.45

 

[Cnotes53]

Friday’s 6-pack:
2025 luxury taxes in baseball, 2025:
$168,657,856— Dodgers
$86,194,127— Mets
$60,205,499— Bronx
$48,112,313— Phillies
$10,000,000— Padres, Blue Jays
$1,105,612— Astros

Quote of the Day
“We have a 3.0 GPA, that’s wonderful…..if we were running a daycare. We run a competitive basketball program. We’ve got a lot of casual personalities on this team.”
NC State basketball coach Will Wade

Friday’s quiz
What southern city hosts the Independence Bowl every year?

Thursday’s quiz
In 1995, Montreal Expos drafted Tom Brady as a catcher.

Wednesday’s quiz
2000 was the last time a team from the Big 10 Conference won the national championship in college basketball, when Michigan State won.

*********************************************

Friday’s Den: Random stuff with the weekend here…….​

— Seattle 38, Rams 37 OT
Rams led 30-14 with 9:00 left in the game.
Seahawks ran a punt back 58 yards for a TD to start the comeback.
Seattle went 3-for-3 on two-point conversions.
Smith-Njigba caught 8 passes for 96 yards, all after halftime.
Stafford threw for 457 yards, three TD’s.
Nucua caught 12 passes for 225 yards, two TD’s.
Rams outgained Seattle 581-415.
Seattle takes over first place in the NFC West.

— Miami Dolphins are giving rookie QB Quinn Ewers his first career start this week, at home against Cincinnati; they’re stuck with Tua Tagovailoa for now— his upcoming cap hits:
2025- $39.1M
2026- $56.4M
2027- $53.4M
2028- $65.8M
Dolphins’ front office has a major headache here.

— San Diego Padres signed P Michael King for three years, $75M; he was 5-3, 3.44 in 15 starts last year, after being 13-9, 2.95 in 30 starts in 2024.
— President, general manager, manager of the Washington Nationals are all 35 or younger.

— World Series shares were announced; a full share got the Dodgers players/coaches $484,748 apiece. 82 full shares, 12.5 partial shares were given out.

— Famous birthdays, December 19th:
Tim Reid, 81
Elaine Joyce, 80
Kevin McHale, 68
Jennifer Beals, 62
Arvydas Sabonis, 61
Randall McDaniel, 61
Joe Slusarski, 59
Tom Gugliotta, 56
Alyssa Milano, 53
Warren Sapp, 53
Jake Plummer, 51
Rafael Soriano, 46

— Arkansas State 34, Missouri State 28
Arkansas State led this game 24-7 at halftime.
Missouri State was 8-15 on third down, Ark State 2-11.
Ark State QB Raynor threw for 288 yards, three TD’s.
Both teams had over 100 yards in penalties.

— Missouri QB Beau Pribula is going in the transfer portal, will skip Mizzou’s bowl game against Virginia in the Gator Bowl. In 10 games, Pribula completed 67.4% of his passes for 1,941 yards with 11 TD’s, 9 INT’s. He also ran for 297 yards with six TDs. Pribula spent his first two years in college at Penn State

— TCU QB Josh Hoover is going in the transfer portal, will skip TCU’s bowl game against USC. Hoover has been TCU’s starting quarterback since midway through the 2023 season, throwing for 439 yards and four TD’s in his first start against BYU. In 2024, he set a school record with 3,949 passing yards. He’s not going pro this year; he’ll transfer somewhere, make a lot of $$$ in his last year of college eligibility.

— Texas Longhorns fired their defensive coordinator, hired Will Muschamp to replace him; Muschamp was the Texas defensive coordinator from 2008-10. He was 56-51 as a head coach at Florida, South Carolina.

— Movie of the Day: Margin Call (2011)— This movie is pretty intense, about people at an investment bank over a 24-hour period during the early stages of the 2008 financial crisis.
Kevin Spacey, Demi Moore, Jeremy Irons, Mary McDonnell, Stanley Tucci— good cast.

— Bradley 108, Indiana State 99, 3OTs
Bradley led by 13 early on, trailed by 4 in the third OT.
Indiana State was 30-43 on foul line, Bradley 17-27.
Bradley’s bench outscored the Sycamores’ bench, 47-19

— Illinois State 75, Southern Illinois 68
Salukis led 35-30 at halftime.
Illinois State shot 68.8% inside the arc.
Redbirds are 9-3, shooting 57.3% inside the arc (#54)

— Murray State 81, Drake 72
Racers were 26-31 on foul line, Drake 17-23.
Murray won its last five games, scoring 91.4 ppg.
Racers are rebounding 37.9% of their missed shots (#39)

— Southern Miss 62, Louisiana 54
Southern Miss was 26-39 on foul line, Ragin’ Cajuns 10-13.
Golden Eagles won despite shooting 31.3% from the floor.
Louisiana is 1-11, has lost its last ten games.

— Long Beach State 81, Pepperdine 78
Pepperdine shot 74.2% inside the arc and still lost.
Waves committed 18 turnovers, Long Beach had only nine.
Sixth loss in last seven games for Pepperdine.

 

[Udog]

NHL

Friday, December 19

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Trend Report
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Carolina VS Florida
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Carolina's last 6 games.
Carolina is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games.
Carolina is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games against Florida.
Carolina is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games on the road.
Florida is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games.
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Florida's last 5 games at home.
Florida is 8-3 SU in its last 11 games when playing at home against Carolina.
Florida is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games against an opponent in the Eastern Conference conference.

Vancouver VS New York
The total has gone UNDER in 8 of Vancouver's last 9 games.
Vancouver is 5-12 SU in its last 17 games.
Vancouver is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games against NY Islanders.
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Vancouver's last 5 games on the road.
The total has gone UNDER in 13 of NY Islanders' last 17 games.
NY Islanders is 6-2 SU in its last 8 games.
The total has gone OVER in 10 of NY Islanders' last 10 games against Vancouver.
NY Islanders is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home.

Winnipeg VS Colorado
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Winnipeg's last 6 games.
Winnipeg is 1-5 SU in its last 6 games.
Winnipeg is 1-6 SU in its last 7 games on the road.
Winnipeg is 5-12 SU in its last 17 games when playing on the road against Colorado.
Colorado is 17-3 SU in its last 20 games.
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Colorado's last 6 games against Winnipeg.
Colorado is 10-0 SU in its last 10 games at home.
Colorado is 12-5 SU in its last 17 games when playing at home against Winnipeg.

New Jersey VS Utah
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of New Jersey's last 8 games.
New Jersey is 3-7 SU in its last 10 games.
New Jersey is 5-2 SU in its last 7 games against Utah.
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of New Jersey's last 6 games on the road.
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Utah's last 6 games.
The total has gone UNDER in 9 of Utah's last 13 games against New Jersey.
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Utah's last 5 games at home.
Utah is 1-5 SU in its last 6 games when playing at home against New Jersey.

Dallas VS Anaheim
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Dallas' last 9 games.
Dallas is 10-3 SU in its last 13 games.
Dallas is 11-4 SU in its last 15 games against Anaheim.
Dallas is 9-3 SU in its last 12 games on the road.
The total has gone OVER in 10 of Anaheim's last 13 games.
The total has gone UNDER in 10 of Anaheim's last 15 games against Dallas.
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Anaheim's last 6 games at home.
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Anaheim's last 7 games when playing at home against Dallas.


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