CNOTES CFL BEST BETS-NEWS-NOTES-WRITEUPS !

Cnotes53

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JULY'S CFL BEST BETS !!

07/13/2025.................1 - 1 - 0..................50.00%.............- 1.00
07/12/2025.................2 -.2 - 0..................50.00%.............- 1.00
07/06/2025.................0 - 2 - 0..................00.00%.............- 11.00
07/05/2025.................1 - 1 - 0..................50.00%..............- 0.50
07/04/2025.................0 - 2 - 0..................00.00%..............- 11.00
07/03/2025.................2 - 0 - 0.................100.00%.............+ 10.00

TOTALS......................6 - 8 - 0...................42.85%..............- 14.50

***********************************
JUNE'S TOTALS.........19 - 13 - 0..................59.37%..............+ 23.50
 

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Tuesday’s 6-pack:
Results of the last six All-Star Games:
2024- American League, 5-3
2023- National League, 3-2
2022- American League, 3-2
2021- American League, 5-2
2019- American League, 4-3
2018- American League, 8-6 (10)

Quote of the Day
“Zalupski is expected to keep the team in the Tampa Bay area, with a strong preference to be in Tampa rather than St. Petersburg.”
Unnamed source on the proposed sale of the Tampa Bay Rays, which could happen this fall

Tuesday’s quiz
Two years ago, when the NL beat the AL in the All-Star Game, ending a 9-game losing skid to in the All-Star Game, who was the MVP?

Monday’s quiz
In the movie Message In a Bottle, where Kevin Costner dies trying to save a family in a boating accident, Paul Newman played Costner’s father.

Sunday’s quiz
Joe Girardi was the manager of the Phillies before Rob Thomson.

***********************************

Tuesday’s Den: NL teams’ record with each starting pitcher

Teams’ records by starting pitcher:
(thru All-Star break)

Diamondbacks (47-50)
Gallen 9-11 (over 8-1 last nine)
Kelly 10-10 (1-4 last five home starts)
Burnes 6-5 (under 5-1 last six)
Pfaadt 10-9 (over 9-2 last 11)
Rodriguez 6-10 (over 10-3 last 13)
Nelson 6-4 (under 7-3)
DeSclafani 0-1

— Braves (42-53)
Sale 8-7 (under 8-3 last eleven)
Schwellenbach 12-5 (over 9-4 last 13)
Smith-Shawver 5-4 (under 7-2)
Holmes 7-12 (under 10-4 last 14)
Elder 6-9 (under 9-3 last 12)
Strider 3-8 (under 9-2)
Daniel 0-1
Lopez 0-1
Fuentes 1-3 (over 3-1)
Bummer 1-1 (opener)
Blewett 0-1

— Cubs (57-39)
Imanaga 8-4 (under 9-3)
Steele 3-1 (over 4-0)
Taillon 8-9
Boyd 11-8 (won last four; under 7-2 last nine)
Brown 7-7 (over 11-3)
Rea 12-4 (over 3-1 last four)
Horton 7-4 (under 6-3 last nine)
Flexen 0-1
Pomeranz 2-1 (opener)
Keller 1-0 (opener)

— Reds (50-47)
Greene 6-5 (under 8-2 last ten)
Lodolo 10-9 (under 6-1 last seven)
Abbott 12-4 (over 4-1 last five)
Martinez 7-12 (over 7-2 last nine)
Singer 10-9 (under 12-3 last 15)
Burns 1-3 (under 3-1)
Miley 2-0 (over 2-0)
Petty 0-2
Suter 2-1 (opener)
Spiers 0-2

— Rockies (22-74)
Freeland 3-14 (over 6-2 last 8)
Senzatela 5-13 (under 3-1 last four)
Marquez 6-13
Dollander 4-11 (under 8-1 last nine)
Palmquist 1-6 (under 5-2)
Gomber 1-5 (under 3-1 last four)
Blalock 0-4
Feltner 1-5 (under 4-0 last four)
Gordon 1-2
Rolison 0-1 (opener)

— Dodgers (58-39)
Yamamoto 11-8 (under 4-1 last five)
Kershaw 7-3 (under 3-0 last three)
May 9-8
Ohtani 3-2 (opener)
Snell 2-0 (over 2-0)
Glasnow 3-3 (under 3-1 last four)
Sheehan 1-1
Sasaki 6-2 (over 6-2)
Knack 5-2 (over 5-2)
Gonsolin 3-4
Wrobleski 0-2
Miller 1-0
Casparius 1-2 (opener)
Dreyer 4-1 (opener)
Sauer 1-0 (opener)
Trivino 1-1 (opener)

— Marlins (44-51)
Alcantara 7-11 (over 3-0 last three)
Quantrill 10-8 (under 10-2 last 1)
EPerez 5-2 (3-0, 0.50 last three)
Cabrera 8-8 (under 11-5)
Junk 4-1 (under 4-1)
Weathers 2-3
Mazur 0-1
Bellozo 1-4
Meyer 5-7 (over 7-1 last eight)
Gillispie 1-5 (over 5-1)
Gibson 1-0 (opener)
Veneziano 0-1 (opener)

— Brewers (56-40)
Peralta 13-7 (won last six; over 5-0 last five)
Woodruff 2-0
Patrick 5-13 (under 13-5)
Quintana 8-3 (under 9-2)
Priester 6-6 (under 8-4)
Misioroski 4-1
Myers 2-3
Rodriguez 0-2 (over 2-0)
Alexander 2-2 (over 3-1)
Henderson 3-1 (over 3-1)
Hall 3-0
Zastryzny 1-0 (opener)
Civale 3-2
Cortes 1-1

Famous birthdays, July 15th:
Billy Truax, 82
Jesse Ventura, 74
John Stallworth, 73
Lolita Davidovich, 64
Brigitte Nielsen, 62
Carnell Lake, 58
Khalid Reeves, 53
Damian Lillard, 35
Tobias Harris, 33
Masataka Yoshida, 32
Ramon Laureano, 31
Landon Knack, 28

— Mets (55-42)
Holmes 12-7 (over 3-1 last four)
Megill 6-8 (over 9-2 last 11)
Senga 10-4 (under 12-2)
Peterson 10-8 (home team 17-1)
Montas 2-2 (over 3-1)
Canning 12-4 (over 5-2 last seven)
Blackburn 1-3 (under 3-1)
Tidwell 0-2
Brazoban 1-2 (opener)
Devenski 0-1 (opener)
Haberman 1-0
Waddell 0-1 (opener)

— Phillies (55-41)
Wheeler 13-6 (under 3-1 last four)
Luzardo 11-8 (over 6-2 last eight)
Suarez 8-5 (under 10-3)
Sanchez 14-5 (under 6-0 last six)
Walker 4-5 (under 4-1 last five)
Nola 3-6 (under 6-3)
Abel 3-3
Ross 0-1 (opener)
Banks 1-0 (opener)

— Pirates (39-58)
Skenes 9-11 (under 12-4 last 16)
Keller 6-16 (2-0, 2.11 last four; under 10-3 last 13)
Falter 10-9
Heaney 6-12 (over 3-1 last four)
Burrows 3-5 (over 3-1 last four)
Mlodzinski 3-6 (under 4-1 last five)
Harrington 0-1
Ashcraft 1-0

— Cardinals (51-46)
Gray 15-4 (under 7-2 last nine)
Fedde 5-14 (2-9 last 11; under 5-2 last seven)
Mikolas 9-9 (over 6-2 last 8)
Liberatore 9-9 (over 7-2 last nine)
Pallante 9-9
Matz 2-0
McGreevy 2-1 (over 3-0)

— Padres (52-44)
Cease 9-10 (0-3, 7.88 last three)
Vasquez 12-7 (under 12-7)
Pivetta 12-7 (2-0, 0.71 last four)
Darvish 1-1
Bergert 5-1 (under 5-1)
Hart 3-3 (over 4-2)
Kolek 4-8 (under 5-2 last seven)
Waldron 0-1
Reynolds 0-1
King 5-5 (1-5 last six) (over 3-0-1 last four)
Morgan 1-0 (opener)

— Giants (52-45)
Ray 15-5 (under 12-4 last 16)
Webb 11-9 (under 6-2 last eight)
Verlander 4-11 (2-9 last eleven)
Roupp 11-8 (under 9-2 last eleven)
Birdsong 4-5 (over 5-1 last six)
Harrison 3-1 (under 3-1)
Hjelle 0-1 (opener)
Hicks 4-5 (over 7-2)

— Nationals (38-58)
Gore 8-11
Irvin 10-10 (over 5-1 last six)
Parker 9-10 (over 5-1 last six)
Williams 6-11 (under 4-1 last five)
Soroka 4-9 (over 5-0 last five)
Okasawaga 0-2
Lord 2-4

If the baseball playoffs started today (they do not):
AL: Blue Jays, Tigers, Astros. Wild Cards: New York, Red Sox, Mariners
NL: Phillies, Cubs, Dodgers. Wild Cards: Brewers, Mets, Padres
 

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Mon, Jul 14 at 10:32 AM


CFL Last Week

Games In 10

CFL 2025 Recap: BC @ Edmonton - Week 6​


CFL 2025 Recap: Ottawa @ Hamilton - Week 6​


CFL 2025 Recap: Calgary @ Saskatchewan - Week 6​


 

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Wednesday’s 6-pack:
Major League team payrolls:
$323,099,099—Mets
$321,287,291— Dodgers (doesn’t count Ohtani’s deferred $68M)
$293,488,972— Bronx
$284,210,820— Phillies
$239,642,532—Blue Jays
$220,541,332— Rangers

Quote of the Day
“That’s something that I wrestle with on a daily basis. It’s like showing up at the Masters every year; it’s like why do I want to win this golf tournament so badly? Why do I want to win the Open Championship so badly? I don’t know because, if I win, it’s going to be awesome for two minutes.”
Golfer Scottie Scheffler

Wednesday’s quiz
Which catcher has hit the most home runs in one season?

Tuesday’s quiz
Two years ago, when the NL beat the AL in the All-Star Game, ending a 9-game losing skid to in the All-Star Game, Elias Diaz was the MVP.

Monday’s quiz
In the movie Message In a Bottle, where Kevin Costner dies trying to save a family in a boating accident, Paul Newman played Costner’s father.

***************************************

Wednesday’s Den: AL teams’ record with each starting pitcher

AL teams’ records, by starting pitcher:
(thru All-Star break)

— Orioles (43-52)
Eflin 6-6
Morton 8-7 (7-1 last eight; under 8-2 last 10)
Kremer 9-9 (under 11-3 last 14)
Sugano 11-7 (under 12-3 last 15)
Povich 4-8
Young 1-5 (over 4-2)
Gibson 0-4 (over 3-1)
Rogers 4-2
McDermott 0-1
Akin 0-3 (opener)
Blewett 1-0 (opener)

— Red Sox (53-45)
Crochet 13-7 (under 14-6)
Houck 2-7 (over 5-1 last six)
Buehler 9-7
Pitts 2-6 (under 6-2)
Newcomb 2-3 (over 4-1)
Dobbins 8-3
Bello 8-7
Giolito 9-4 (over 4-0 last four)
Bernadino 0-1 (opener)

— White Sox (32-65)
Burke 7-10
Cannon 4-9 (won last 3; over 7-2 last nine)
Smith 4-14 (0-5 last five)
Martin 3-10
Houser 6-3 (4-0 last four; under 9-0)
Wilson 3-2 (over 4-1)
Civale 0-6 (under 4-1-1)
Gilbert 1-2 (opener)
Eisert 1-2 (opener)
Shuster 0-2 (opener)
Vasil 0-3 (opener)
Taylor 0-1 (opener)
Leasure 0-1 (opener)
Perez 2-2

— Guardians (46-49)
Lively 7-2 (under 6-2 last eight)
Williams 9-10 (1-6 last 7; over 12-7)
Bibee 9-10
Ortiz 6-10 (under 9-3 last 12)
Allen 8-9 (under 6-2 last eight)
Cecconi 5-5 (under 8-2)
Cantillo 2-1
Nikhazy 0-1
Allard 1-0

— Tigers (59-38)
Skubal 13-5 (over 4-1 last five)
Flaherty 6-13
Olson 6-5
Jobe 9-1
Mize 11-5 (over 9-2 last 11)
Montero 6-1 (under 6-1)
Gipson-Long 1-1
Enns 1-1
Holton 2-3 (opener)
Hurter 2-2 (opener)
Guenther 0-1 (opener)
Brieske 0-1 (opener)

— Astros (56-40)
Valdez 14-5 (under 7-4 last 11)
Brown 13-6
Arrighetti 1-1
Blanco 5-4 (under 5-1 last six)
Wesneski 2-4 (under 5-1)
Gusto 6-6
McCullers 5-4
Gordon 7-3 (under 7-3)
Walter 2-5
Blubaugh 0-1
Alexander 1-0

— Royals (47-50)
Ragans 5-5 (over 5-1 last six)
Lugo 9-8 (under 5-1 last six)
Bubic 10-8 (under 11-4 last 15)
Lorenzen 10-8
Wacha 8-11 (1-6 last seven)
Cameron 4-8 (under 9-3)
Lynch 1-1 (opener)
Zerpa 0-1 (opener)

Famous birthdays, July 16th:
Ron Yary, 79
Ron Brewer, 70
Gary Anderson, 66
Terry Pendleton, 65
Phoebe Cates, 62
Charles Smith, 60
Will Ferrell, 58
Barry Sanders, 57
Aaron Glenn, 53

— Angels (47-49)
Kikuchi 10-10 (over 5-2 last 7)
Soriano 8-12
TAnderson 12-7 (under 4-1 last five)
Hendricks 9-9 (over 6-2 last eight)
Kochanowicz 8-11

— Twins (47-49)
Lopez 7-4
Ryan 9-9
Ober 8-9 (over 7-1-1 last nine)
Paddack 5-14
Woods-Richardson 8-6 (under 5-1 last six)
Matthews 3-1
Festa 5-4 (under 4-1 last five)
Topa 0-1 (opener)
Sands 2-0 )opener)
Coulombe 0-1 (opener)

— New York (53-43)
Rodon 10-10 (over 3-0 last 3)
Fried 14-6
Warren 11-9 (under 5-2 last 7)
Carrasco 2-4 (under 4-2)
Schmidt 7-7 (under 7-2 last nine)
Stroman 4-2 (over 6-0)
Yarbrough 4-4
Schimmer 1-0
Winans 0-1

— A’s (41-57)
Severino 5-15 (over 10-3 last 13)
Springs 10-8 (under 5-1 last six)
Bido 4-5 (over 4-1 last five)
Sears 10-9
Lopez 6-4 (under 6-1 last seven)
Spence 2-5
Hoglund 2-4
Ginn 2-2 (under 3-1)
Estes 0-2
Sterner 0-1 (opener)
Holman 0-2 (opener)

— Mariners (51-45)
Gilbert 9-3 (over 6-2 last 8)
Castillo 11-8 (over 5-2 last seven)
Miller 4-6 (over 6-0 last six)
Woo 10-8
Kirby 6-4
Hancock 7-8 (over 4-1 last five)
Evans 4-5 (over 7-2)
JFCastillo 1-1 (opener)
Legumina 0-1 (opener)

— Rays (50-47)
Pepiot 8-12 (under 6-3 last nine)
Littell 10-9
Bradley 6-7
Rasmussen 7-6 (under 11-2)
Baz 12-7 (under 4-0 last four)
Boyle 1-0

— Rangers (48-49)
Eovaldi 9-7 (under 12-4)
Leiter 5-11
Mahle 7-7 (under 12-2)
deGrom 12-7 (over 5-1 last six)
Rocker 6-5 (under 6-2 last 8)
Corbin 7-10 (over 5-1 last six)
Armstrong 1-1
Latz 2-0

— Blue Jays (55-41)
Berrios 12-8
Gausman 11-8
Bassitt 12-7 (over 7-1-1 last nine)
Francis 4-10 (over 7-2 last nine)
Lucas 2-2
Scherzer 3-2 (over 4-1)
Lauer 6-2 (under 6-2)
Urena 1-1
Schultz 2-0 (opener)
Rodriguez 1-0 (opener)
Fisher 1-0 (opener)
Turnbull 0-1 (opener)
 

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Prediction Time: CFL.ca writers’ Week 7 picks​


TORONTO — We have two new leaders in the CFL.ca writer picks and in the CFL standings.

Vicki Hall and Pat Steinberg both went 3-0 in Week 6, vaulting them to the top of the writers’ leaderboard.

It was a similar story on the field with movement in the standings after the week was over. Calgary’s win over Saskatchewan pushed them into first in the West and Hamilton defeated Ottawa and now claim first in the East.

Three games only separate first from last in the writer picks, so it’s still anyone’s for the taking with plenty of football left to be played this year.

What happens in Week 7?




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TORONTO AT MONTREAL

Thursday, July 17
7:30 p.m. ET
TSN/RDS/CBSCN/CFL+




Both the Argos and Alouettes are coming off a bye week as they get set to meet at Percival Molson Memorial Stadium to kick off Week 7. Montreal dropped their last two contests before their week of rest and will hope to reset with a win in front of a home crowd. There’s some good news for the Als as well, with their starting quarterback Davis Alexander set to make his return this week. Toronto, on the other hand, may need to wait a bit longer for their starting quarterback to return with Chad Kelly listed as limited and a non-participant to start the week of preparations. The writers are all rolling with the Als in this one.

WRITERS’ PICK: 100% Montreal

CALGARY AT WINNIPEG

Friday, July 18
8:30 p.m. ET
TSN/RDS2/CBSSN/CFL+




For the second week in a row, the Calgary Stampeders handed an undefeated team their first loss of the season. Before they beat the, at the time 4-0, Riders last week, it started with Winnipeg (3-0 at the time) two weeks ago, the same Bombers team they face in Week 7. Winnipeg had a taste of the Stampeders stellar defence in that meeting, scoring just 16 points and Zach Collaros throwing two interceptions returned for touchdowns. Winnipeg won’t want a repeat performance this time around at Princess Auto Stadium and Calgary will look to stay atop the west. The writers are mostly siding with Calgary to improve to 5-1.

WRITERS’ PICK: 60% Calgary

SASKATCHEWAN AT BC

Saturday, July 19
7:00 p.m. ET
TSN/CTV/CBSSN/CFL+




Nathan Rourke has tallied three 300-yard games in the four games he’s played this season, including a season-high 345 against the Elks last week. The Lions have won two straight and will be looking to go to three against a Riders team that lost their first contest of the season in Week 6. Saskatchewan won the meeting between these two teams in Week 4, but it was Jeremiah Masoli and not Rourke behind centre for the Leos. Both teams had differing outputs on the ground last week; James Butler is coming off a career-best 30 carries for 172 yards and a touchdown while AJ Ouellette only racked up nine yards on six carries. Could that make the difference? The pick makers aren’t on the same page.

WRITERS’ PICK: 60% BC

HAMILTON AT OTTAWA

Sunday, July 20
7:00 p.m. ET
TSN/RDS/CFL+




The final game of Week 7 is the second half of a home-and-home between Hamilton and Ottawa. With just about two minutes left in the game at Hamilton Stadium, Bo Levi Mitchell found Kenny Lawler in the end zone for the game-winning score. The loss pushed Ottawa to 1-5 on the season while Hamilton moved to the top of the East (3-1), moving above .500 for the first time since late in the 2021 season. It’s a unanimous selection in Sunday night’s matchup, with the writers taking the visitors.

WRITERS’ PICK: 100% Hamilton
 

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Thursday’s 6-pack:
NBA players who made the most $$$ last year, on/off the court:
$155.8M- Stephen Curry
$133.7M- LeBron James
$103.8M- Giannis Antetokounmpo
$97.9M- Kevin Durant
$66.8M- Damian Lillard
$59.4M- Joel Embiid

Quote of the Day
“When you reach the end of your rope, tie a knot in it, and hang on.”
Franklin D Roosevelt

Thursday’s quiz
Where did Stephen Curry play his college basketball?

Wednesday’s quiz
Salvador Perez hit 48 home runs in 2021, the most home runs in one season by a catcher; he was a DH for some of those home runs. Javy Lopez (2003) holds the record for most home runs in a season by guys who were catchers when they homered.

Tuesday’s quiz
Two years ago, when the NL beat the AL in the All-Star Game, ending a 9-game losing skid to in the All-Star Game, Elias Diaz was the MVP.

****************************************

Thursday’s Den: Clearing out a cluttered mind…….

— Tuesday was a good night for baseball; the All-Star Game was interesting, the new ball/strike challenge system was a success and the game had an interesting, albeit weird ending.
Home Run Derby is a good way to decide the outcome of an exhibition game, especially since one of the teams was out of pitchers. What was weird is that apparently, the players didn’t know the Home Run Derby was going to happen, until like 10 minutes before it happened.
Would’ve been better TV if Aaron Judge/Shohei Ohtani had been in the Home Run Derby, but they were long gone by then. Tough loss if you bet on the American League, losing a bet that way, when no one even knew Home Run Derby was an option.
In the future, I’d kind of want the option to take a push on the bet if the game goes to extra innings. With live betting so prevalent, that should be a choice.

— Dan Iassogna was the home plate umpire for the All-Star Game; does that mean he has graded out the best out of all the umpires this season?

— Corbin Carroll is the first Diamondback to homer in an All-Star Game; Brett Rooker is the first A’s player since Terry Steinbach in 1988 to homer in an All-Star Game.

— In the history of the Chicago Cubs, three players have hit three home runs in a game against the St Louis Cardinals:
1939- Hank Leiber
2003- Moises Alou
2025- Michael Busch
I mention this because all three of those games happened on the 4th of July.

— If you’re looking for a hitter to add in your fantasy baseball league, Giancarlo Stanton has four homers, 10 RBI in his last nine games, with six runs scored, two walks. He is rostered in only 47% of CBS fantasy leagues.

— Major League home run leaders, over the last 365 days:
59- Aaron Judge
57- Shohei Ohtani
52- Cal Raleigh
51- Eugenio Suarez
49- Kyle Schwarber
Schwarber is the first Phillies player since Johnny Callison in 1964 to be MVP of an All-Star Game.

Famous birthdays, July 17th:
Don Kessinger, 83
David Hasselhoff, 73
Scott Norwood, 65
Bobby Thigpen, 62
Frank Stams, 60
Calbert Cheaney, 54
Kevin Curtis, 47
Mason Rudolph, 30
OG Anunoby, 28
Noah Cameron, 25
Today would’ve been the great actor Donald Sutherland’s 90th birthday.

— It takes ten fouls to foul out of an NBA Summer League game, which is a lot, but it has happened this year.
Memphis Grizzlies rookie Jahmai Mashack, who played college ball at Tennessee, played 23:00 in a summer league game this week, scoring 5 points, dishing out 9 assists, grabbing 4 rebounds, all while he committed 10 fouls. It was a very busy 23 minutes for him.
It was also a productive 23:00-; Memphis was +6 in the 23:00 that Mashack played.

— Grizzlies head coach Tuomas Iisalo is also coaching their summer league team, which is very unusual, but Iisalo only coached nine games with Memphis last year, so he is getting his footing as an NBA head coach.

— Dallas Mavericks rookie Joan Beringer has looked pretty good in summer league, but he’s only played basketball for four years, starting when he was 14 years old and grew out of his soccer cleats while growing up in France.

— Mavericks shut down rookie Cooper Flagg after his second summer league game, after h scored 31 points in that game, after he shot 5-for-21 in his debut. Not really sure why they shut him down; he could use the experience, but maybe they just used his 31-point game to try and promote their new star get fans to buy season tickets

— Wednesday, Bulls beat Milwaukee 102-96 in a Summer League game.
Chicago’s coach was Billy Donovan III, whose father is the Bulls’ head coach.
Milwaukee’s coach was Spencer Rivers, whose father is the Bucks’ head coach.

— Former Marquette/Indiana coach Tom Crean is great as an analyst on TV; has been fun listening to him on summer league games, Sean Farnham, Isiah Thomas have been good too; they just talk about basketball, with a minimum of nonsense.

— It has been hot around here the last couple weeks; there is a convenience store near my house that makes great milkshakes, so I go there a few times a week. Was in there Tuesday and there is a guy in there wearing a Willie Stargell Pirates’ number 8 jersey.
There is no way this guy was alive when Stargell was playing (he retired in 1982) but it was pretty cool to see anyone wearing a Pirates’ jersey these days.

— I love game shows; was glad to see that ABC is bringing Match Game back, with Martin Short as the new host.

— Notes for the Cleveland Browns:
Kevin Stefanski is 40-44 in four years with the Browns, 3-14 last year.
Browns has only 12 takeaways last year, were minus-22 in turnovers.
Browns gave up 66 sacks last year, were minus-25 in sacks.
Former college QB Tommy Rees is the new OC; he was with Cleveland last year, was with Nick Saban at Alabama before that.
Last year, Browns were 3-4 in games decided by 8 or fewer points.
Cleveland was 0-10 in games decided by more than 8 points.
Browns are 7-13 ATS in last 20 games as an underdog.
Cleveland is 4-13 ATS in its last 17 road games.
Under is 11-5 in their last sixteen home games.
This year, Browns are #19 in NFL in $$$ spent on offensive players.
This year, Browns are #6 in NFL in $$$ spent on defensive players, #1 on CB’s.

— It is July 17th, NFL training camps will all be open soon, and the Saints/Browns don’t seem to know who their starting quarterback is going to be. Both teams have rookie QB’s who figure to take over at some point, but when? It is a difficult decision.

— Only two of 32 second round draft picks have signed their contract; Cincinnati is the only team that hasn’t signed its first round pick yet.
 

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CFL
Dunkel

Week 7

DUNKEL INDEX PREDICTION FOR TORONTO AT MONTREAL

Date: July 17, 2025
Time: 7:30 pm ET
Dunkel Ratings: Toronto 105.244; Montreal 118.785
Dunkel Line & Total: Montreal by 13 1/2; 47
Vegas Line & Total: Montreal by 10; 50 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Montreal (-10); Under

DUNKEL INDEX PREDICTION FOR CALGARY AT WINNIPEG
Date: July 18, 2025
Time: 8:30 pm ET
Dunkel Ratings: Calgary 111.319; Winnipeg 121.862
Dunkel Line & Total: Winnipeg by 10 1/2; 48
Vegas Line & Total: Winnipeg by 3; 50
Dunkel Pick: Winnipeg (-3); Under

DUNKEL INDEX PREDICTION FOR SASKATCHEWAN AT BC
Date: July 19, 2025
Time: 7:00 pm ET
Dunkel Ratings: Saskatchewan 115.033; BC 113.198
Dunkel Line & Total: Saskatchewan by 2; 58
Vegas Line & Total: BC by 2 1/2; 52 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Saskatchewan (+2 1/2); Over

DUNKEL INDEX PREDICTION FOR HAMILTON AT OTTAWA
Date: July 20, 2025
Time: 7:00 pm ET
Dunkel Ratings: Hamilton 110.057; Ottawa 113.201
Dunkel Line & Total: Ottawa by 3; 57
Vegas Line & Total: Hamilton by 1 1/2; 54
Dunkel Pick: Ottawa (+1 1/2); Over




CFL

Week 7


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Trend Report
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Thursday, July 17
Toronto VS Montreal

Toronto is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games.
The total has gone OVER in 7 of Toronto's last 10 games.
Toronto is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games.
Toronto is 7-3 SU in its last 10 games against Montreal.
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Montreal's last 7 games.
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Montreal's last 6 games against Toronto.
Montreal is 11-5 SU in its last 16 games at home.
Montreal is 1-5 SU in its last 6 games when playing at home against Toronto.

Friday, July 18
Calgary VS Winnipeg

Calgary is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games.
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Calgary's last 9 games.
Calgary is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games.
Calgary is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games against Winnipeg.
Winnipeg is 9-4 ATS in its last 13 games.
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Winnipeg's last 7 games.
Winnipeg is 13-3 SU in its last 16 games.
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Winnipeg's last 6 games at home.

Saturday, July 19
Saskatchewan VS British Columbia

Saskatchewan is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games.
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Saskatchewan's last 6 games.
Saskatchewan is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games.
Saskatchewan is 7-1 ATS in its last 8 games against British Columbia.
The total has gone UNDER in 8 of British Columbia's last 10 games.
The total has gone OVER in 4 of British Columbia's last 6 games against Saskatchewan.
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of British Columbia's last 8 games at home.
British Columbia is 1-7 ATS in its last 8 games when playing at home against Saskatchewan.

Sunday, July 20
Hamilton VS Ottawa

Hamilton is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games.
The total has gone OVER in 9 of Hamilton's last 12 games.
Hamilton is 8-4 SU in its last 12 games.
Hamilton is 12-2 SU in its last 14 games against Ottawa.
Ottawa is 3-10 ATS in its last 13 games.
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Ottawa's last 9 games.
Ottawa is 1-6 SU in its last 7 games.
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Ottawa's last 6 games at home.


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Game Day July 16, 2025

3 keys to victory for Toronto, Montreal in Week 7


MONTREAL – The Toronto Argonauts and Montreal Alouettes meet for the second time this season when they square off at Percival Molson Memorial Stadium on Thursday night.

Montreal secured an impressive 28-10 win over Toronto in Week 1.

Here’s three keys to victory for both teams ahead of Thursday’s 7:30 p.m. ET kickoff, which can be watched on TSN and RDS in Canada, CFL+ internationally and on CBSSN in the U.S.

TORONTO ARGONAUTS

1. DEONTA MCMAHON MAKES HIS RETURN

The Argos’ run game has struggled so far this season, and if they hope to get it going, it’ll be up to Deonta McMahon to get comfortable quickly after being out since Week 2 with an ankle injury. Without quarterback Chad Kelly for at least another week, McMahon should see consistent handoffs as head coach Ryan Dinwiddie tries to keep the Als’ defence off balance. Montreal won’t make it easy, as they lead the league in average rushing yards allowed per game.

2. HOLDING STRONG UP FRONT

As much as their own run game needs to get going, the same could be said for stopping opposing rushers. Alouettes running back Sean Thomas Erlington is having a respectable season, putting up 5.2 yards per carry, so the offensive line – led by Andrew Chatfield – needs to be ready.

3. THE ARM OF NICK ARBUCKLE

It seems like everyone is waiting on Kelly’s return, but current starter Nick Arbuckle has held his own with 1,449 yards and seven touchdowns, totals that rank third and tied for second in the league. He’ll have to take care of the ball this week against a talented Als secondary that has seven interceptions, the same number Arbuckle has thrown.




MONTREAL ALOUETTES

1. DAVIS ALEXANDER BACK UNDER CENTRE

The Alouettes’ offence will get a much-needed boost with quarterback Davis Alexander returning. Alexander has been out since Week 3, and in the two games he missed, the Als averaged 18.5 points. Over his three starts this season, they’ve put up an average of 35 points per game.

2. GETTING OPEN FOR DAVIS ALEXANDER

As Alexander gets comfortable in the pocket, it’s the job of star receivers Tyson Philpot and Austin Mack, along with the supporting cast of Tyler Snead, Cole Spieker and Charleston Rambo, to give him open targets.

3. PROTECTING THE PIVOT

With their quarterback working his way back from an injury, limiting the contact he faces is imperative. Montreal’s seven sacks allowed are the fourth most. At a position that rarely gets the glory but is necessary for scoring points, offensive linemen Nick Callender, Justin Lawrence, Pier-Olivier Lestage, Jamar McGloster and Donald Ventrelli have to be on their game to stop the Argos pass rushers.

NEED TO KNOW

  • Montreal can retake the East Division lead with a win.
  • Toronto’s only win this season came on the road in Week 4 against Ottawa.
  • Argos linebacker Wynton McManis will play in his first game since Week 2 after missing three games with a knee injury.
  • Kickoff is scheduled for 7:30 p.m. ET and can be watched on TSN and RDS in Canada, CFL+ internationally and on CBSSN in the U.S.
 

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Friday’s 6-pack:
Baseball teams with smallest payrolls this season:
$67,412,619— Marlins
$73,118,981— A’s
$79,216,312— Rays
$82,279,825— White Sox
$87,645,246— Pirates
$100,522,729— Guardians

Quote of the Day
“It is never too late to do the right thing.”
Nelson Mandela

Friday’s quiz
Other than the Chiefs, who was the last team to win the AFC West, and who was their QB that season?

Thursday’s quiz
Stephen Curry played his college basketball at Davidson.

Wednesday’s quiz
Salvador Perez hit 48 home runs in 2021, the most home runs in one season by a catcher; he was a DH for some of those home runs. Javy Lopez (2003) holds the record for most home runs in a season by guys who were catchers when they homered.

**********************************************

Friday’s Den: Umpire trends, and some other stuff…….

Before I start today, the Home Run Derby after the All-Star Game was fun, but there is no way on God’s green earth that this should become a permanent thing in baseball. No chance.
It is good gimmick for exhibition games, that’s it.

Umpire trends for the baseball season so far:
Home plate umps with lot of runs scored in their games:
over 13-4- Hanahan
over 12-4- Barrett, Barry
over 13-5- Livensparger
over 12-6- Johnson
over 12-7- Fletcher
over 10-5- Bellino
over 10-6- Additon
over 12-8- Wolcott

Home plate umps with not a lot of runs scored in their games:
under 11-1- Ramos
under 14-4- Hudson, Blaser
under 13-4- Libka
under 12-4- Emil Jimenez
under 12-5- Bacchus, Segal, Tichenor
under 13-6- Lentz
under 12-6- Cuzzi
under 11-5- Scheurwater

Home plate umps where home teams have done well:
home 15-4- Clemons
home 13-3- Ceja
home 12-4- Bucknor, Ramos
home 12-5- Blakeney
home 13-6- Diaz
home 12-6- Gibson, Hudson
home 11-5- Barry
Home plate umps where road teams have done well:
road 13-6- DeJesus

road 12-6- Blaser
road 8-3- Valentine
road 11-6- Edwin Jimenez
road 13-8- Carapazza, Morales
road 10-6- Dreckman

Movie of the Day: The Fabulous Baker Boys (1989)- The lives of two struggling musicians, who are brothers, inevitably change when they team up with a beautiful, up-and-coming singer.
Jeff/Beau Bridges are the brothers, Michelle Pfeiffer is the singer, and she sings all her own songs in the movie. This is a very good movie.

— Notes for the Dallas Cowboys:
Dallas went 7-10 LY, fired Mike McCarthy, after they made the playoffs the three years before that. Brian Schottenheimer is the new head coach. Dallas hasn’t played in the NFC title game since 1995.
This year, Dallas is #1 in NFL in $$$ spent on offensive players (#2 at QB).
Dallas is #13 in NFL in $$$ spent on defensive players
Last year, Cowboys were minus-6 in turnovers (22-28)
Last year, Cowboys were +14 in sacks (52-38)
Dallas was 2-5 LY in games decided by 9+ points, 5-5 in games decided by 8 or fewer points.
Cowboys were favored in only 3 of 17 games last year.
Last two years, Dallas is 6-12 ATS as an underdog.
Last two years, over is 11-6 in their home games.

Famous birthdays, July 18th:
James Brolin, 85
Joe Torre, 85
Dick Shiner, 83
Wally Walker, 71
Audrey Landers, 69
Mike Greenwell, 62
Jeff Lageman, 58
Anfernee Hardaway, 54
Torii Hunter, 50
Eugenio Suarez, 34
Dinelson Lamet, 33
Kyle Manzardo, 25

— Pittsburgh Steelers signed TJ Watt to a 3-year deal oath $123M, making him the highest paid non-QB in NFL history.
— Washington Commanders signed 36-year old Von Miller to a one-year deal; he played for the Bills the last three seasons. Washington already had the oldest roster in the NFL, now they’ve gotten a little bit older.

— Damian Lillard signed a 3-year, $42M deal to return to the Portland Trailblazers, where he played the first eleven years of his career. Lillard is rehabbing from a torn Achilles he suffered in the first round of the playoffs, so he’ll be out next season.

— If you hear that an NBA player signs a “two-way contract” with a team, it means he will be paid $578,577 for that season, which is half the minimum salary for an NBA player. He’ll split his time between the G League and the NBA.

— If the Tampa Bay Rays make the playoffs, they can host playoff games at their temporary home, a minor-league stadium with a seating capacity of 10,046 that the Bronx Bombers use for their spring training games.
 

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JULY'S CFL BEST BETS !!

07/17/2025.................1 - 0 - 1................100.00%............+ 5.00
07/13/2025.................1 - 1 - 0..................50.00%.............- 1.00
07/12/2025.................2 -.2 - 0..................50.00%.............- 1.00
07/06/2025.................0 - 2 - 0..................00.00%.............- 11.00
07/05/2025.................1 - 1 - 0..................50.00%..............- 0.50
07/04/2025.................0 - 2 - 0..................00.00%..............- 11.00
07/03/2025.................2 - 0 - 0.................100.00%.............+ 10.00

TOTALS.......................7 - 8 - 1..................46.66%..............- 9.50

***********************************
JUNE'S TOTALS.........19 - 13 - 0..................59.37%..............+ 23.50
 

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3 keys to victory for Calgary, Winnipeg in Week 7​


WINNIPEG – The Calgary Stampeders will try to create some separation atop the West Division standings when they travel to Winnipeg to take on the Blue Bombers on Friday Night Football.

Calgary is off to a 4-1 start, which includes a 37-16 win over Winnipeg in Week 5. Last week, they took down Saskatchewan, 24-10, on the road.

Winnipeg was on a bye in Week 6.

Here’s three keys to victory for both teams ahead of Friday’s game, which can be watched on TSN and RDS2 in Canada, CFL+ internationally and on CBSSN in the U.S.

CALGARY STAMPEDERS

1. DAMIEN ALFORD

Calgary was hoping they had a star when they selected Damien Alford with the first overall pick in the 2025 Canadian Football League draft, and he’s beginning to show exactly what he’s capable of. After 156 receiving yards and two touchdowns against the Riders, quarterback Vernon Adams Jr. should feel good about turning his way.

2. DEFENCE

The Stampeders and Blue Bombers are the only two teams that have yet to allow 100 points this season. Keeping opposing offences out of the end zone has been a collective effort, with defensive linemen Clarence Hicks and Jaylon Hutchings standing out up front and Adrian Greene and Derrick Moncrief holding it down in the secondary. Their hands will be full this week going up against quarterback Zach Collaros and running back Brady Oliveira.

3. STAYING DISCIPLINED

Sometimes, it’s just as important not to beat yourself up. The Stampeders have taken the fewest penalties (5.4), resulting in the second-fewest free yards (49.6) per game heading into this week’s action. Facing a team with as much talent as the Bombers, discipline and not surrendering extra opportunities will be important.

WINNIPEG BLUE BOMBERS

1. CONTROLLING THE CLOCK

The Blue Bombers feel confident when the ball is in quarterback Zach Collaros’ hands, and he’s had it a lot as they lead the league in time of possession. Collaros has also helped them to a touchdown on 20 per cent of their drives, a mark that’s third best in the league.

2. SECONDARY SHUTTING IT DOWN

Adams Jr. is coming off a game in which he completed 28-of-36 passes for 428 yards, but he was held to 222 yards in his first meeting with the Bombers. It will be a game of adjustments for both sides, with defensive backs Marquise Bridges and Jamal Parker Jr. trying to keep the pivot’s options under tight coverage.

3. TOUCHES FOR OLIVEIRA

Brady Oliveira is going to get his fair share of looks this week as he continues to find his form after an early-season injury. Back in their Week 5 matchup, he amassed 61 yards on 13 carries.

NEED TO KNOW

  • Calgary can take over sole possession of first in the West Division with a win.
  • With a victory, Winnipeg can make it a three-way tie atop the division with Calgary and Saskatchewan.
  • Kickoff is scheduled for 8:30 p.m. ET and can be watched on TSN and RDS2 in Canada, CFL+ internationally and on CBSSN in the U.S.
 

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( REVISED LINE CORRECTION )
JULY'S CFL BEST BETS !!

07/17/2025.................1 - 1- 0..................50.00%..............- 0.50
07/13/2025.................1 - 1 - 0..................50.00%.............- 0.50
07/12/2025.................2 -.2 - 0..................50.00%.............- 1.00
07/06/2025.................0 - 2 - 0..................00.00%.............- 11.00
07/05/2025.................1 - 1 - 0..................50.00%..............- 0.50
07/04/2025.................0 - 2 - 0..................00.00%..............- 11.00
07/03/2025.................2 - 0 - 0.................100.00%.............+ 10.00

TOTALS......................7 - 9 - 1...................43.75%..............-14.50

***********************************

JUNE'S TOTALS.........19 - 13 - 0..................59.37%..............+ 23.50
 

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Calgary Stampeders @ Winnipeg Blue Bombers​


The Calgary Stampeders have surged to the top of the CFL power ratings with a 4-1 record after beating the previously undefeated Saskatchewan Roughriders 24-10 as 6.5-point underdogs last week at Mosaic Stadium.

However, this could be a letdown spot for the Stamps, who are facing a Winnipeg Blue Bombers squad fresh off a bye. The Bombers are playing at home, where they've gone an incredible 43-6 straight up and 34-15 against the spread since 2019.

This is also a revenge spot for Winnipeg, which had a perfect 3-0 record before losing at McMahon Stadium in Week 5. Winnipeg outgained Calgary 408-334 in that contest and had a 29-16 edge in first downs with four more minutes of possession.

However, the Bombers lost the turnover battle and had a pair of interceptions returned for touchdowns, which turned the tide in Calgary's favor. This Winnipeg squad is simply too experienced and well-coached to put together another sloppy performance like that.

Expect a bounce-back performance from two-time CFL MOP Zach Collaros and back him to lead Winnipeg to a win and cover here.

The Bombers allowed 37 points to Calgary in Week 5, but that was largely due to uncharacteristic turnovers. Winnipeg has allowed the second-fewest offensive touchdowns in the CFL (8) while also ranking second in opponent pass efficiency (86.3).

The Stamps are the only team in the league to allow fewer offensive touchdowns than the Bombers (5). Their defense also leads the CFL in points per game allowed (18.2), yards allowed per pass attempt (6.88), and big plays allowed (7)

In addition, Calgary's WR corps is decimated by injuries, while Winnipeg will likely be missing stud wideout Dalton Schoen and All-Star LT Stanley Bryant.




jCLhm3e.png
 

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JULY'S CFL BEST BETS !!

07/18/2025.................1 - 1 - 0.................50.00%..............- 0.50
07/17/2025.................1 - 1- 0..................50.00%..............- 0.50
07/13/2025.................1 - 1 - 0..................50.00%.............- 0.50
07/12/2025.................2 -.2 - 0..................50.00%.............- 1.00
07/06/2025.................0 - 2 - 0..................00.00%.............- 11.00
07/05/2025.................1 - 1 - 0..................50.00%..............- 0.50
07/04/2025.................0 - 2 - 0..................00.00%..............- 11.00
07/03/2025.................2 - 0 - 0.................100.00%.............+ 10.00

TOTALS......................8 -10 - 1...................44.44%.............-15.00

***********************************

JUNE'S TOTALS.........19 - 13 - 0..................59.37%..............+ 23.50
 

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Saturday’s 6-pack:
— Marlins 8, Royals 7 (10)- Kyle Stowers homered twice, including a walk-off clout.
— Reds 8, Mets 4- Austin Hays homered twice for the Reds.
— Mariners 6, Astros 1- Luis Castillo got 20 outs, didn’t allow a run.
— Rangers 2, Tigers 0- Corey Seager hit a 2-run double in 8th inning.
— Blue Jays 4, Giants 0- Chris Bassitt gave up 10 hits, but didn’t allow a run.
— Rays 11, Orioles 1- Junior Caminero homered twice, had four RBI.

Quote of the Day
“In the spring (roster retention) is a daily job. If we hear a guy may be getting in the portal, we tell our coaches, he needs some first team reps. We want to see what he has, but we also want him to think he has a chance.”
Arkansas football coach Sam Pittman

Saturday’s quiz
Who was the first New York Met to hit a home run in an All-Star Game?

Friday’s quiz
Other than the Chiefs, Denver was the last team to win the AFC West- their QB that season, when they also won the Super Bowl, was Peyton Manning.

Thursday’s quiz
Stephen Curry played his college basketball at Davidson.

**********************************************

Saturday’s Den: Trends for teams in the Big Ten Conference

Trends for football teams in the Big Ten (Big 18) Conference:

— Illinois
Since 2017, they’re 9-16-1 ATS as a home favorite.
Since 2015, they’re 26-35 ATS coming off a loss.
In his career, Bielema is 27-17-1 ATS as a road underdog.

— Indiana
Cignetti is 23-8 ATS as a favorite.
Indiana was 11-2 SU last year, +15 in turnovers.
From 2021-23, Indiana was 9-27, minus-22 in turnovers.

— Iowa
Since 2014, Hawkeyes are 21-8-1 ATS as a road favorite.
In his career, Ferentz is 18-13-2 ATS as a home underdog.

— Maryland
Since 2017, Terrapins are 17-7 ATS in non-conference games.
In his career, Locksley is 11-22 ATS as a road underdog.

— Michigan
Michigan was 8-5 SU last year (40-3 SU from 2021-23)
Wolverines are 7-11-2 ATS in last 20 games as a home favorite.
Since 2019, Michigan is 31-20-3 ATS in conference games.

— Michigan State
Last three years, Spartans went 5-7/4-8/5-7 (minus-18 in turnovers)
In his career, Jonathan Smith is 16-9 ATS as a road underdog.

— Minnesota
In his career, Fleck is 25-14-1 ATS as a road underdog.
Gophers won/covered their last five bowl games.

— Nebraska
Ruhle is 34-19-1 ATS as an underdog, 13-7 as a home dog, 11-5 as a road favorite.
Since 2015, Nebraska is 25-37-3 ATS at home.

— Northwestern
Since 2021, Wildcats are 2-8 ATS as a home favorite.
Since 2015, Wildcats are 23-14 ATS as a road underdog.
Northwestern won its last five bowl games (was underdog in 3 of the 5)

Famous birthdays, July 19th:
George Dzundza, 80
Alvan Adams, 71
Anthony Edwards, 63
LeRoy Butler, 57
Rick Ankiel, 46
Adam Morrison, 41
LaMarcus Aldridge, 40
Yan Gomes, 38
Patrick Corbin, 36
Mauricio Dubon, 31
Jonathan Cannon, 25
Ethan Evans, 24

— Ohio State
Ryan Day is 26-16 ATS as a home favorite.
In their last 131 games, Buckeyes are 2-1 ATS as an underdog.
Former NFL coach Matt Patricia is Ohio State’s new defensive coordinator.

— Oregon
Last three years, Oregon is 26-15 ATS.
Ducks are 9-3 ATS as a road favorite in conference games.
Oregon is 14-4 ATS as a single digit favorite in conference games.

— Penn State
Last three years, PSU is 34-8 SU (+11/+16/+11 in turnovers)
Since 2021, Penn State is 16-8-1 ATS as a home favorite.
Overall, Nittany Lions are 27-11-1 ATS in last 39 games as a favorite.

— Purdue
Last three years, Purdue was 2-15 ATS at home.
Since 2016, Purdue is 5-16 ATS as a home favorite.
In his career, new coach Odom is 20-13 ATS as a home favorite.
Since 2020, Boilermakers are 14-28 ATS in conference games.

— Rutgers
Since 2021, Scarlet Knights are 12-3 ATS in non-conference games.
In his career, Schiano is 36-22-3 ATS as a road underdog.

— USC
In his career, Riley is 29-19 ATS as a home favorite, 9-21-1 as a road favorite.
Since 2021, Trojans are 14-23 ATS in conference games.

— UCLA
Since 2015, Bruins are 14-27 ATS as a home favorite.
Since 2015, Bruins are 10-20-1 ATS in non-conference games.
UCLA lost three of last four bowl games, giving up 37.8 ppg.

— Washington
Since 2018, Washington is 22-38 ATS in conference games.
Since 2015, Huskies are 8-14 ATS as an underdog.
Since 2017, under is 24-11 in Washington’s away games.

— Wisconsin
Since 2018, Wisconsin is 16-24 ATS as a home favorite.
Since 2015, Badgers are 23-11 ATS as a road favorite.
 
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