CNOTES CFL BEST BETS-NEWS-NOTES-WRITEUPS !

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Cnotes53

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AUGUST CFL BEST BETS !!

08/07/2025......................0 - 2 - 0.........................00.00%......................- 11.00
08/02/2025......................3 - 1 - 0.........................75.00%......................+ 9.50
08/01/2025......................1 - 1 - 0.........................50.00%......................- 0.50

TOTALS...........................4 - 4 - 0..........................50.00%......................- 1.00

***********************************
JULY'S TOTALS..........17 - 15 - 0..................53.12%..............+ 2.50
JUNE'S TOTALS.........19 - 13 - 0..................59.37%..............+ 23.50
 
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Edmonton Elks @ Montreal Alouettes

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Cnotes53

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AUGUST CFL BEST BETS !!

08/08/2025......................2 - 0 - 0........................100.00%.....................+ 10.00
08/07/2025......................0 - 2 - 0.........................00.00%......................- 11.00
08/02/2025......................3 - 1 - 0.........................75.00%......................+ 9.50
08/01/2025......................1 - 1 - 0.........................50.00%......................- 0.50

TOTALS...........................6 - 4 - 0..........................60.00%......................+ 9.00

***********************************
JULY'S TOTALS..........17 - 15 - 0..................53.12%..............+ 2.50
JUNE'S TOTALS.........19 - 13 - 0..................59.37%..............+ 23.50
 
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Cnotes53

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Nov 5, 2017
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AUGUST CFL BEST BETS !!

08/09/2025......................0 - 2 - 0.........................00.00%.....................- 11.00
08/08/2025......................2 - 0 - 0........................100.00%.....................+ 10.00
08/07/2025......................0 - 2 - 0.........................00.00%......................- 11.00
08/02/2025......................3 - 1 - 0.........................75.00%......................+ 9.50
08/01/2025......................1 - 1 - 0.........................50.00%......................- 0.50

TOTALS...........................6 - 6 - 0.........................50.00%....................... - 3.00

***********************************

JULY'S TOTALS..........17 - 15 - 0..................53.12%..............+ 2.50
JUNE'S TOTALS.........19 - 13 - 0..................59.37%..............+ 23.50
 
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Weekly Predictor: Who wins in Week 11?​


Week 10 of the CFL fell the right way (for the most part) for this prognosticator.

Since there were wild finishes in all four games, it could have had you look like you picked the right team only to see it turn on a dime and go the other way.

The entertainment value of the week, especially at the end of the games, hasn’t been this good all year and hopefully it’s a sign of things to come.

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The downside is that everyone across the league is starting to find their legs. There are no automatic picks any more and the secret is to sense the trend of a team. It could be small or it could be as obvious as Cody Fajardo putting a belief in the Elks that they’re never out of a game.

Fajardo fought the Elks back in his first start, hit a game-winning touchdown pass that was dropped in his second, and then finished the job with a win in his third.

It’s clear the Elks are trending in the right direction. Are the REDBLACKS following suit with back-to-back wins? Is something truly wrong in Winnipeg or will they turn it around like they did last year around this time?

These are just some of the questions to answer this week and in the weeks ahead. The CFL is not a sprint and the marathon is only half over.

Good luck again this week.

OTTAWA AT WINNIPEG​

Thursday, August 14
8:30 p.m. ET
TSN/RDS/CBSSN/CFL+

Dru Brown’s return to Winnipeg ended far too prematurely last year after leaving the game with a head injury. This year, Brown leads the REDBLACKS back to Winnipeg on a two-game winning streak after throwing five touchdown passes in Ottawa’s Week 10 victory over Toronto.

Yes, the Bombers defence is a more consistent unit than Toronto’s, but we’ve seen rare inconsistencies across the board from the Bombers this season.

I really do believe Ottawa can go into Winnipeg and do some damage, but what I can’t get my head around is if Nick Arbuckle and the Argonauts can move the ball that well against Ottawa’s defence, what can Zach Collaros and company do?

But I’m going to take my own advice and try to read the tea leaves of momentum and confidence in a team and when you go head-to-head at quarterback right now, Dru Brown is feeling it. And he returns to Winnipeg to haunt his former team.

PICK: OTTAWA

TORONTO AT EDMONTON​

Friday, August 15
9:00 p.m. ET
TSN/CFL+

Cody Fajardo has played Saskatchewan, Hamilton, and Montreal tough with two of those games on the road.

Now he’s home against a team that just got lit up for five touchdown passes by Dru Brown. The Elks are starting to believe in each other and the system that they’re all just learning together this season.

The dual threat of Justin Rankin in the run game and pass game adds an extremely difficult matchup for defenders. Rankin isn’t just floating out to catch swing passes or screens, he’s going downfield and finding holes in the zone or running away from a linebacker tasked to him.

Toronto has been on a wild ride over the last few weeks, even when they score big like they did with Ottawa last week or Hamilton in Week 5, they’ve lost. They’ve also been downed by last-second field goals.

A 1-4 record over their last five games and sliding into the basement of the East Division should send off alarm bells around the Argonauts facility.

They need to show a certain amount of urgency, but the Elks have already shown that in their own game and I think it continues for Edmonton.

PICK: EDMONTON

HAMILTON AT SASKATCHEWAN​

Saturday, August 16
3:00 p.m. ET
TSN/CTV/CBSSN/CFL+

I’m calling this one the game of the week with two top teams in each division squaring off in what realistically could be a 112th Grey Cup preview. Sorry if I’m getting ahead of myself, but it’s true.

Bo Levi Mitchell and Trevor Harris are proving age is but a number as they are having two of the finest seasons of their careers.

The Tiger-Cats finally get some rest this week after three consecutive short weeks of preparation, but that rest doesn’t match what the Roughriders got as they come off a bye week.

The Riders laid an egg a few weeks ago after their first bye week of the season so the veterans on the team should have learned from that.

Hamilton’s offence, and specifically the passing game, is electric, which is a great thing for Hamilton as they take on Saskatchewan, who allow a lot of yards through the air. But the Riders come in with a strong rushing attack against a Hamilton defence that struggles in stopping the run.

Saskatchewan sent a message in Montreal that they are the team to beat and until someone beats them, it’ll be hard for me to pick against them, especially in front of what could be a capacity crowd of 33,000 on Saturday.

PICK: SASKATCHEWAN

MONTREAL AT BC​

Saturday, August 16
7:00 p.m. ET
TSN/RDS/CBSSN/CFL+

Is Davis Alexander back?

Probably not?

Okay, this will be a trend of picking Alouette games moving forward as their quarterback play is just not good enough right now and their strong defence can only do so much.

Now they have to take that long trip West to battle a Nathan Rourke-led Lions team who just walked it off in a big win on the road in Hamilton.

BC has already proven they can beat the Alouettes this season with a 21-20 victory in Montreal. Now they’re at home and Nathan Rourke is finding himself at quarterback again.

The Lions defence still leaves much to be desired, but so does the Als offence without their starting quarterback.

PICK: BC
 
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CFL
Dunkel

Week 11

DUNKEL INDEX PREDICTION FOR OTTAWA AT WINNIPEG
Date: Thursday, August 14, 2025
Time: 8:30 PM ET
Dunkel Ratings: Ottawa 114.281; Winnipeg 111.206
Dunkel Line & Total: Ottawa by 3; 49
Vegas Line & Total: Winnipeg by 6 1/2; 51 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Ottawa (+6 1/2); Under

DUNKEL INDEX PREDICTION FOR TORONTO AT EDMONTON
Date: Friday, August 15, 2025
Time: 9:00 pm ET
Dunkel Ratings: Toronto 110.936; Edmonton 107.521
Dunkel Line & Total: Toronto by 3 1/2; 61
Vegas Line & Total: Edmonton by 2 1/2; 53 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Toronto (+2 1/2); Over

DUNKEL INDEX PREDICTION FOR HAMILTON AT SASKATCHEWAN
Date: August 16, 2025
Time: 3:00 pm ET
Dunkel Ratings: Hamilton 113.562; Saskatchewan 123.090
Dunkel Line & Total: Saskatchewan by 9 1/2; 57
Vegas Line & Total: Saskatchewan by 3; 53 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Saskatchewan (-3); Over

DUNKEL INDEX PREDICTION FOR MONTREAL AT BC
Date: August 16, 2025
Time: 7:00 pm ET
Dunkel Ratings: Montreal 106.589; BC 114.979
Dunkel Line & Total: BC by 8 1/2; 46
Vegas Line & Total: BC by 4; 51 1/2
Dunkel Pick: BC (-4); Under





CFL

Week 11

------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Trend Report
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

Thursday, August 14
8:30 PM ET
Ottawa VS Winnipeg
Ottawa is 5-11 ATS in its last 16 games.
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Ottawa's last 7 games.
Ottawa is 4-12 SU in its last 16 games.
Ottawa is 4-8 ATS in its last 12 games against Winnipeg.
Winnipeg is 13-7 ATS in its last 20 games.
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Winnipeg's last 6 games.
Winnipeg is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games.
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Winnipeg's last 7 games against Ottawa.

Friday, August 15
9:00 PM ET
Toronto VS Edmonton
Toronto is 3-6 ATS in its last 9 games.
The total has gone OVER in 13 of Toronto's last 20 games.
Toronto is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games.
Toronto is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games against Edmonton.
Edmonton is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games.
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Edmonton's last 5 games.
Edmonton is 2-6 SU in its last 8 games.
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Edmonton's last 5 games against Toronto.

Saturday, August 16
3:00 PM ET
Hamilton VS Saskatchewan
The total has gone OVER in 11 of Hamilton's last 16 games.
Hamilton is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games.
Hamilton is 4-11 ATS in its last 15 games against Saskatchewan.
Hamilton is 4-11 SU in its last 15 games against Saskatchewan.
Saskatchewan is 6-2 ATS in its last 8 games.
Saskatchewan is 7-1 SU in its last 8 games.
The total has gone UNDER in 14 of Saskatchewan's last 20 games against Hamilton.
Saskatchewan is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games at home.

7:00 PM ET
Montreal VS British Columbia
Montreal is 1-5 ATS in its last 6 games.
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Montreal's last 5 games.
Montreal is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games.
Montreal is 0-5 ATS in its last 5 games against British Columbia.
The total has gone OVER in 4 of British Columbia's last 6 games.
The total has gone UNDER in 8 of British Columbia's last 11 games against Montreal.
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of British Columbia's last 10 games at home.
British Columbia is 6-0 SU in its last 6 games when playing at home against Montreal.


-----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
 
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Wednesday’s 6-pack:
Major League leaders in stolen bases:
35— Caballero, TB/NYY
34— Cruz, Pitt
33— Ramirez Clev/Simpson TB
31— Robert CWS/Scott StL/De La Cruz Cin
30— Witt KC/Crow-Armstrong Chi
26— Turner Phil/Abrams Wash

Quote of the Day
“Three-time Pro Bowl WR Odell Beckham Jr. has drawn interest from several teams and plans to play somewhere in 2025, per source. As OBJ posted himself, he is not retiring, and he continues to train in anticipation of being on the field soon.”
Tom Pelissero

Thursday’s quiz
Where did Odell Beckham Jr. play his college football?

Wednesday’s quiz
Other than Hank Aaron, Hall of Famer Eddie Mathews hit the most home runs for the Braves.

Tuesday’s quiz
Bills’ QB Josh Allen played his college football at Wyoming.


********************************************

Thursday’s Den: Trends for Big 18 football teams and other stuff……​

Trends for Big 18 football teams:

— Illinois
Under Bret Bielema, Illini is 15-4 ATS in road games.

— Indiana
In four years as a I-A coach, Curt Cignetti is 23-8 ATS as a favorite.

— Iowa
Since 2015, Hawkeyes are 19-8-1 ATS as a road favorite. Iowa’s new QB this season started 55 games at I-AA South Dakota State.

— Maryland
In his career, Mike Locksley is 10-17 ATS as a home favorite, 11-22 as a road underdog.

— Michigan
Last three years, Wolverines are 7-11-1 ATS as a home favorite, 6-3 as a road favorite

— Michigan State
Last three years, Spartans are 9-16-2 ATS in conference games.

— Minnesota
Since 2019, Golden Gophers are 5-0 SU/4-1 ATS in bowl games.

— Nebraska
In nine years as a college coach, Matt Rhule is 34-19-1 ATS as an underdog.

— Northwestern
Since 2018, Wildcats are 5-14-1 ATS as a home favorite.

— Famous birthdays, August 14th:
Steve Martin, 80
Guido Merkens, 70
Earvin (Magic) Johnson, 66
Mark Gubicza, 63
Halle Berry, 58
Wayne Chrebet, 52
Mike Vrabel, 50
Mila Kunis, 42
Tim Tebow, 38
Josh Bell, 33
TJ Friedl, 30
Eric Wagaman, 28

— Ohio State
Buckeyes won/covered last four bowl games, with all four wins by 14+ points.

— Oregon
Under Dan Lanning, Ducks are 21-11 ATS as a favorite.

— Penn State
Last four years, Nittany Lions are 28-11-1 ATS as a favorite.

— Purdue
Since 2018, Boilermakers are 5-16 ATS as a home favorite.

— Rutgers
Scarlet Knights are 12-6 ATS last 18 games as a home favorite, 14-6-2 last 22 games as a road dog.

— USC
In eight years as a college coach, Lincoln Riley is 9-21-1 ATS as a road favorite.

— UCLA
Since 2015, Bruins are 14-27 ATS as a home favorite.

— Washington
Since 2018, Huskies are 22-38 ATS in conference games..

— Wisconsin
Since 2015, Badgers are 23-11 ATS as a road favorite.
 
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