- Sep 10, 2018
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NCAAF
Armadillo's Write-Up
Week 1
Nevada @ New Mexico State
Nevada
— 2 starters back on offense, 4 on defense
— 44 starts back on offensive line; soph QB had 3 starts at Oklahoma State
— 30-18 SU last four years- their coach bolted to a conference rival
— were +16 in turnovers LY, but were only 8-5.
— Since 2019, they’re 3-2 ATS as a road favorite
— Since 2016, Nevada is 9-15 ATS out of conference.
— 45 players from last year have departed.
New Mexico State
— 4 starters back on offense, 9 on defense
— 65 starts back on offensive line; new coach, new QBs
— 8-30 SU last four years- their coach bolted to a conference rival
— last four years, they’re 1-8 ATS as a home underdog.
— new coach Kill is 25-19 ATS as an underdog.
— have been to one bowl since 1960 (2017 Arizona Bowl)
— Nevada (-30) beat Aggies 55-28 last year.
— Aggies threw for 425 yards, but were sacked six times.
Northwestern vs Nebraska (@ Dublin, Ireland)
Northwestern
— 9 starters back on offense, 5 on defense
— 110 starts return on offensive line; junior QB has 16 starts
— Under Fitzgerald: 37-21 as an underdog away from home.
— 35-25 ATS in last 60 conference games.
— 12-20 SU last three years
Nebraska
— 7 starters back on offense, 5 on defense
— 78 starts return on offensive line; junior QB started 10 games at Texas
— Last five years, they’re 19-37 SU.
— last three years, they’re 10-15-1 ATS in Big 14 games.
— Under Frost, they’re 8-15 ATS when favored.
— Nebraska’s last bowl was in 2016
— Nebraska (-11) hammered Wildcats 56-7 last year.
— Cornhuskers ran ball for 427 yards, outgained NWern 657-293
— Northwestern won three of last five series games.
Connecticut @ Utah State
Connecticut
— 7 starters back on offense, 8 on defense
— 38 starts back on offensive line; new coach/new QB
— This is Jim Mora Jr’s first game as coach at UConn
— Since 2018, Huskies are 5-11 ATS as a road underdog
— Last six years, UConn is 10-50 SU; they didn’t play in 2020.
— UConn hasn’t been to a bowl since 2015
Utah State
— Visit Alabama next week; look-ahead?
— 7 starters back on offense, 5 on defense
— 102 starts back on offensive line; senior QB has 29 starts
— 15-4-1 ATS in last 20 games as a home favorite.
— Coach Anderson is 25-15 ATS as a home favorite.
— Aggies are 11-4 ATS in conference games.
— played in a bowl four of last five years
— These teams haven’t met in the last five years.
Wyoming @ Illinois
Wyoming
— Cowboys have 4 starters back on offense, 4 on defense.
— Wyoming has 66 returning starts on offensive line.
— Wyoming has no experience at QB; two QB’s transferred out
— Last four years, Wyoming is 5-8 ATS as a road underdog.
— Last three years, Cowboys are 7-3 ATS out of conference.
— Coach Bohl is 30-25 ATS as an underdog.
— Wyoming went to a bowl four of last six years.
Illinois
— 7 starters back on offense, 6 on defense
— 74 starts return on offensive line; QB started 18 games at Syracuse.
— Last five years, they’re 4-7 ATS as a home favorite.
— Last 10 years, they’re 39-79 SU
— In his career, Bielema is 33-30 ATS as a home favorite.
— Last bowl win was in 2011; last bowl was 2019. .
— These teams have never met before.
Charlotte @ Florida Atlantic
Charlotte
— 8 starters back on offense, 6 on defense
— 46 starts back on offensive line; senior QB has 35 starts
— Have one winning season out of nine as a I-A team
— Under Healy, they’re 4-8 ATS as a road dog.
— Last year, they gave up 49 ppg in losing their last three games.
— lost their only bowl game 31-9 in 2019.
Florida Atlantic
— 8 starters back on offense, 6 on defense
— 125 starts back on offensive line; senior QB has 21 starts
— 10-11 SU in two years since Lane Kiffin left.
— Under Taggart is 3-5-1 ATS as a home favorite.
— Last two years, Owls are 5-9 ATS in C-USA games.
— FAU played in bowls three of last five years.
— FAU won last two meetings, 45-27/38-9.
— Underdogs covered three of last four series games.
North Texas @ Texas- El Paso
North Texas
— 8 starters back on offense, 5 on defense
— 106 starts back on offensive line; junior QB has 12 starts
— Last three years, they’re 14-21 SU
— Last four years, UNT is 4-6 ATS as a road favorite.
— under Littrell, they’re 19-29 ATS in C-USA games
— played in bowl game five of last six years
Texas- El Paso
— 7 starters back on offense, 8 on defense
— 94 starts back on offensive line; junior QB has 19 starts
— 7-6 LY, their second winning season in last 10 years
— Last two years, they’re 3-1 ATS as a home underdog.
— In his career, Dimel is 10-14 ATS as a home underdog.
— Last year was their first bowl game since 2014.
— North Texas won last five series games (last two, 45-43/20-17)
— Mean Green won last two visits here, 27-24/45-43
Vanderbilt @ Hawai’i
Vanderbilt:
— 7 starters back on offense, 7 on defense
— 81 starts back on offensive line; they have 2 soph QBs who both played some LY.
— 5-28 SU the last three years.
— Last eight years, Vandy is 2-0 ATS as a road favorite.
— Last three years, Vandy is 2-6 ATS out of conference.
— Last played in a bowl in 2018; last bowl win, 2013.
— 4 starters back on offense, 2 on defense
— 110 starts back on offensive line; unsure who QB is
— Since 2019, Hawai’i is 7-1-1 ATS as a home underdog
— Last four years, they’re 8-11 ATS out of conference.
— won three of last four bowls (underdogs 4-0 SU)
— New coach is Hawai’i alum Chang, a former Rainbow QB
— These teams have never met.
Armadillo's Write-Up
Week 1
Nevada @ New Mexico State
Nevada
— 2 starters back on offense, 4 on defense
— 44 starts back on offensive line; soph QB had 3 starts at Oklahoma State
— 30-18 SU last four years- their coach bolted to a conference rival
— were +16 in turnovers LY, but were only 8-5.
— Since 2019, they’re 3-2 ATS as a road favorite
— Since 2016, Nevada is 9-15 ATS out of conference.
— 45 players from last year have departed.
New Mexico State
— 4 starters back on offense, 9 on defense
— 65 starts back on offensive line; new coach, new QBs
— 8-30 SU last four years- their coach bolted to a conference rival
— last four years, they’re 1-8 ATS as a home underdog.
— new coach Kill is 25-19 ATS as an underdog.
— have been to one bowl since 1960 (2017 Arizona Bowl)
— Nevada (-30) beat Aggies 55-28 last year.
— Aggies threw for 425 yards, but were sacked six times.
Northwestern vs Nebraska (@ Dublin, Ireland)
Northwestern
— 9 starters back on offense, 5 on defense
— 110 starts return on offensive line; junior QB has 16 starts
— Under Fitzgerald: 37-21 as an underdog away from home.
— 35-25 ATS in last 60 conference games.
— 12-20 SU last three years
Nebraska
— 7 starters back on offense, 5 on defense
— 78 starts return on offensive line; junior QB started 10 games at Texas
— Last five years, they’re 19-37 SU.
— last three years, they’re 10-15-1 ATS in Big 14 games.
— Under Frost, they’re 8-15 ATS when favored.
— Nebraska’s last bowl was in 2016
— Nebraska (-11) hammered Wildcats 56-7 last year.
— Cornhuskers ran ball for 427 yards, outgained NWern 657-293
— Northwestern won three of last five series games.
Connecticut @ Utah State
Connecticut
— 7 starters back on offense, 8 on defense
— 38 starts back on offensive line; new coach/new QB
— This is Jim Mora Jr’s first game as coach at UConn
— Since 2018, Huskies are 5-11 ATS as a road underdog
— Last six years, UConn is 10-50 SU; they didn’t play in 2020.
— UConn hasn’t been to a bowl since 2015
Utah State
— Visit Alabama next week; look-ahead?
— 7 starters back on offense, 5 on defense
— 102 starts back on offensive line; senior QB has 29 starts
— 15-4-1 ATS in last 20 games as a home favorite.
— Coach Anderson is 25-15 ATS as a home favorite.
— Aggies are 11-4 ATS in conference games.
— played in a bowl four of last five years
— These teams haven’t met in the last five years.
Wyoming @ Illinois
Wyoming
— Cowboys have 4 starters back on offense, 4 on defense.
— Wyoming has 66 returning starts on offensive line.
— Wyoming has no experience at QB; two QB’s transferred out
— Last four years, Wyoming is 5-8 ATS as a road underdog.
— Last three years, Cowboys are 7-3 ATS out of conference.
— Coach Bohl is 30-25 ATS as an underdog.
— Wyoming went to a bowl four of last six years.
Illinois
— 7 starters back on offense, 6 on defense
— 74 starts return on offensive line; QB started 18 games at Syracuse.
— Last five years, they’re 4-7 ATS as a home favorite.
— Last 10 years, they’re 39-79 SU
— In his career, Bielema is 33-30 ATS as a home favorite.
— Last bowl win was in 2011; last bowl was 2019. .
— These teams have never met before.
Charlotte @ Florida Atlantic
Charlotte
— 8 starters back on offense, 6 on defense
— 46 starts back on offensive line; senior QB has 35 starts
— Have one winning season out of nine as a I-A team
— Under Healy, they’re 4-8 ATS as a road dog.
— Last year, they gave up 49 ppg in losing their last three games.
— lost their only bowl game 31-9 in 2019.
Florida Atlantic
— 8 starters back on offense, 6 on defense
— 125 starts back on offensive line; senior QB has 21 starts
— 10-11 SU in two years since Lane Kiffin left.
— Under Taggart is 3-5-1 ATS as a home favorite.
— Last two years, Owls are 5-9 ATS in C-USA games.
— FAU played in bowls three of last five years.
— FAU won last two meetings, 45-27/38-9.
— Underdogs covered three of last four series games.
North Texas @ Texas- El Paso
North Texas
— 8 starters back on offense, 5 on defense
— 106 starts back on offensive line; junior QB has 12 starts
— Last three years, they’re 14-21 SU
— Last four years, UNT is 4-6 ATS as a road favorite.
— under Littrell, they’re 19-29 ATS in C-USA games
— played in bowl game five of last six years
Texas- El Paso
— 7 starters back on offense, 8 on defense
— 94 starts back on offensive line; junior QB has 19 starts
— 7-6 LY, their second winning season in last 10 years
— Last two years, they’re 3-1 ATS as a home underdog.
— In his career, Dimel is 10-14 ATS as a home underdog.
— Last year was their first bowl game since 2014.
— North Texas won last five series games (last two, 45-43/20-17)
— Mean Green won last two visits here, 27-24/45-43
Vanderbilt @ Hawai’i
Vanderbilt:
— 7 starters back on offense, 7 on defense
— 81 starts back on offensive line; they have 2 soph QBs who both played some LY.
— 5-28 SU the last three years.
— Last eight years, Vandy is 2-0 ATS as a road favorite.
— Last three years, Vandy is 2-6 ATS out of conference.
— Last played in a bowl in 2018; last bowl win, 2013.
— 4 starters back on offense, 2 on defense
— 110 starts back on offensive line; unsure who QB is
— Since 2019, Hawai’i is 7-1-1 ATS as a home underdog
— Last four years, they’re 8-11 ATS out of conference.
— won three of last four bowls (underdogs 4-0 SU)
— New coach is Hawai’i alum Chang, a former Rainbow QB
— These teams have never met.