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Udog

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Thursday’s 6-pack:
NFL spreads for Week 12:
— Giants @ Detroit (-10)
— Jaguars (-3) @ Arizona
— Browns @ Las Vegas (-4)
— Falcons @ New Orleans (-1.5)
— Eagles (-3.5) @ Dallas
— Panthers @ San Francisco (-7)

Quote of the Day
“I’m not surprised by anything. This is kind of the nature of the position. But I put my energy and my focus on trying to go out there and do my best and trying to learn, trying to build, trying to take in the things that I can to try and improve.”
Eagles QB Jalen Hurts

Thursday’s quiz
Where did Shaquille O’Neal play his college basketball?

Wednesday’s quiz
2105 was the last time Kentucky’s basketball team made the Final Four.

Tuesday’s quiz
Raiders’ QB Geno Smith played his college football at West Virginia.

*****************************************************************

Thursday’s Den: Doing some thinking out loud…….

Arizona 71, UConn 67
Arizona out-rebounded the Huskies, 43-23.
Wildcats are rebounding 38.8% of their missed shots (#37)
UConn was 9-18 on foul line, 8-25 on the arc.
Arizona is 5-0, with three top 30 wins; none of those were in Tucson.

Alabama 90, Illinois 86
Illinois led 19-10 early on, but that didn’t last.
Alabama was 13-36 on the arc, 17-30 inside arc; they scored 1.14 ppp.
So far this month, 52% of Alabama’s shots have been 3’s.
Alabama has already played three top 20 games (2-1); they’re playing the #5 pace in the country. Fun team to watch.

Oklahoma State 103, South Florida 95
USF led by 13 points late in the first half.
Bulls shot 15-39 on the arc, 15-25 inside the arc.
OSU is 5-0 with two top 100 wins, playing #3 pace in country.

Dayton 77, Marquette 71 OT
Dayton led by 12 with 8:27 left in regulation.
Flyers had 25 turnovers, Marquette 20.
Marquette is 0-3 vs top 70 teams; they need PG Jones to get healthy.

Famous birthdays, November 20:
Veronica Hamel, 82
Louie Dampier, 81
Rick Monday, 80
Richard Masur, 77
Bo Derek, 69
Dwight Stephenson, 68
Sean Young, 66
Callie Thorne, 56
JD Drew, 50
Carlos Boozer, 44
David Fry, 30
Tarik Skubal, 29

Miami OH 37, Buffalo 20
Freshman QB Gotkowski was 13-23/185 passing in his first college start.
Miami was +3 in turnovers; they’re bowl eligible for fifth year in a row.
Buffalo QB Roberson threw for 303 yards, two TD’s.

Central Michigan 28, Akron 16
Chippewas led 14-3 at halftime.
CMU had an 18-play, 75-yard TD drive in the first quarter.
Kent State’s first TD came on a 59-yard punt return.

Akron 19, Bowling Green 16
Matthew Schramm kicked four FG’s, including a career-long 48-yarder.
Game was tied 6-6 at halftime.
Akron QB Finley threw a 75-yard TD pass; he played for three schools in his six years as a college QB, also playing for NC State and California.

Western Michigan 35, Northern Illinois 19
Huskies led 10-0 after the first quarter.
RB Buckley ran for 133 yards, two TD’s.
Western Michigan ran ball 59 times for 361 yards (6.1 yards/attempt).

Ohio U 42, UMass 14
RB Bangura ran for 196 yards, two TD’s.
Bobcats ran for 363 yards, threw only 8 passes.
UMass finishes the season a dismal 0-11.

Movie of the Day: Forget Paris (1995)- An NBA referee travels to France to bury his father; he meets and becomes friends with an airline employee. Their story gets told in flashbacks by their friends, as they wait for the couple to show up at a restaurant.
Great cast: Billy Crystal is the ref, Debra Winger his friend. Joe Mantegna, John Spencer, Cathy Moriarty, Richard Masur are also in this movie, as well as a lot of NBA stars.

South Alabama 71, Jacksonville State 65
Gamecocks led 26-11 early in the game.
Jaguars were 15-24 on foul line; Jax State, playing at home, was 1-4.
South Alabama is 6-0; only one of their five D-I wins was at home. They’re #307 team in the country in experience.

Arkansas 84, Winthrop 83
Red flag game; SEC teams should beat Winthrop by more than one point, especially since they won their previous game 79-75 over Samford.
Arkansas has games with Duke/Louisville coming up soon, which will be interesting.

— In baseball, Orioles traded P Grayson Rodriguez to the Angels, for veteran hitter Taylor Ward.
Rodriguez is 20-8, 4.11 in 43 big league starts, but he’s been hurt a lot; his last major league game was in July, 2024.
Ward hit 36 homers this year, knocked in 103 runs, but he’s a free agent after the ’26 season.

— RIP to former big league pitcher Randy Jones, who passed away at age 75.
Jones went 20-12/22-14 for the Padres in 1975-76, throwing 600 innings those two years, back when starting pitchers went deeper into games. Those Padre teams went 71-91/73-89, so he was ace for a cruddy team. He wasn’t a hard thrower, but he was very good.

RIP, sir.
 

Udog

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Weather Report

Thursday, November 20


yY8HJqY.png
 

Cnotes53

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Thursday, November 20

GameTime(ET)PickUnits
NICH at SELA07:00 PMSELA -16.5
U 48.5
+500 +500
SFA at NWST07:30 PMNWST +37.5
O 50.5
+500 +500
ULL at ARST07:30 PMARST -2.5*****
U 54.0*****
+500 +500
 

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CNOTES CFB NOVEMBER'S BEST BETS !

11/20/2025...................0 - 2 - 0....................00.00 5..............- 11.00
11/19/2025...................2 - 2 - 0....................50.00%..............- 1.00
11/18/2025...................1 - 5 - 0....................16.66%...............- 22.50
11/15/2025.................10- 8 - 0.....................55.55%..............+ 6.00
11/14/2025..................2 - 2 - 0.....................50.00%..............- 1.00
11/13/2025..................0 - 2 - 0.....................00.00%.............- 11.00
11/12/2025...................3 - 1 - 0....................75.00%..............+ 9.50
11/11/2025...................3 - 1 - 0....................75.00%..............+ 9.50
11/08/2025.................12 - 6 - 0....................66.66%..............+ 27.00
11/07/2025...................4 - 2 - 0....................66.66%...............+ 9.00
11/06/2025...................4 - 0 - 0..................100.00%..............+ 20.00
11/05/2025...................2 - 2 - 0....................50.00%...............- 1.00
11/04/2025...................3 - 1 - 0....................75.00%...............+ 9.50
11/01/2025...................8 - 9 - 0,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,47.05%...............- 9.50

TOTALS......................54 - 43 - 0....................55.67%...............+ 33.50
 

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Friday’s 6-pack:
Teams shooting the most 3-pointers so far this month…….
57.1% of their shots are 3’s— New Mexico State
55.8%— Colorado State
55.2%— Army
54.3%— VMI
52.9%— Wisconsin
52.8%— Cornell, William & Mary

Quote of the Day
“It’s unacceptable. We understand as an offense, we have to be better, I have to be better, protecting the football. We’re doing everything that we can in practice and when the game comes to try to take care of the football a little bit better.”
Seahawks QB Sam Darnold

Friday’s quiz
Jared Goff was the first pick in the 2016 NFL Draft; who was the second pick?

Thursday’s quiz
Shaquille O’Neal played his college basketball at LSU

Wednesday’s quiz
2105 was the last time Kentucky’s basketball team made the Final Four.

************************************

Friday’s Den: Random stuff with the weekend here…….

— Texans 23, Bills 19
Bills had ball on Houston 22-yard line on last drive, but didn’t score.
Texans were outgained 326-261, but were +3 in turnovers.
Houston is 6-2 in last eight games, after an 0-3 start.
Texans are 5-0 when they score 20+ points.
Bills only scored one offensive TD on 10 drives; they kicked two FG’s.
Buffalo led 16-13 after a 97-yard kick return for a TD.
Buffalo scored 28+ points in wins, 20-14-13-19 in losses.
Bills are 0-6 SU/1-5 ATS in last six visits to Houston.

— Cal Poly 92, Utah 85
Mustangs were a 14-point underdog.
Cal Poly shot 14-25 on the arc in a fast (84 possessions) game.
Mustangs are playing the #2 pace in country so far this month.
Cal Poly is 3-3; they don’t play a D-I home game until December 6th.

— Kansas State 98, Mississippi State 77
Wildcats made 14-30 on the arc, scored 1.31 ppp.
PJ Haggerty scored 37 points, had 8 assists.
K-State is 5-0, with top 100 wins over Miss State, Cal.

— Central Florida 77, Pittsburgh 67
Knights shot 60.5% inside the arc.
UCF is 5-1, with top 100 wins over Pitt, Texas A&M
Pittsburgh is 0-2 vs teams ranked in the top 150.

Baha Mar tournament

— Purdue 80, Memphis 71

Boilermakers shot 54.3% inside the arc, scored 1.18 ppp.
Memphis was 17-25 on foul line, Purdue 9-11
Purdue- Texas Tech is final of this tournament Friday night.

— Texas Tech 84, Wake Forest 83
Wake led by 7 with 13:16 left inn the game.
Deacons were only 13-22 on the foul line.
Tech is 4-1, with an 81-77 loss at Illinois.
Tech had 16 offensive boards, out-rebounded Wake 44-33.

— One of the quirks of the NIL era, especially in basketball, has to be team chemistry; Player A transferred in and got $2M to play, will Player B resent that money? Player C?
Watching the games may be more critical than ever before; stats/numbers are important, but observing how teams work together can tell you a lot.

— These days, college basketball in November is about gathering knowledge, figuring out who is where, who did the best raiding the transfer portal. It has been suggested that coaches who have been junior college coaches have an advantage— JC coaches re-stock their rosters every year, that is the nature of the job at that level. More and more, D-I ball is becoming like that.

Famous birthdays, November 21st:
Marlo Thomas, 88
Goldie Hawn, 80
Bill Almon, 73
Troy Aikman, 59
Ken Griffey Jr, 56
Michael Strahan, 54
Danny Kanell, 52
Stromile Swift, 46
Jena Malone, 41
Brice Turang, 26

— Louisiana 34, Arkansas State 30
Cajuns stopped Ark State on the 1-yard line on last play of the game.
Louisiana ran ball 46 times for 202 yards.
ULL had 11 penalties for 76 yards, Red Wolves 1 for 15.
Both teams need to win their last game to become bowl eligible.

— Sounds like the MLB.TV package is moving to the ESPN app; pretty soon we’ll need a scorecard to tell which leagues are televised on which channels.

— Phillies-Twins are going to play a Field of Dreams game in Iowa next summer.

— Astros traded utility guy Mauricio Dubon to Atlanta for SS Nick Allen; Dubon is versatile, Allen is a slick fielder who can’t hit a lick.

— Good program on Netflix; Last Chance U, about junior colleges and players who play there, trying to get scholarships to four-year schools. There is a football version and one for basketball that provide insight on what kids/coaches go through, behind the scenes.

— Ben DiNucci/Chase Daniel were both backup QB’s in NFL who have a presence on social media now; this week, they’ve both been talking about how backup QBs don’t get many practice reps with the first team offense, which makes it tougher for them when they become starters.

— Jay Bilas has gotten better (less annoying) as a TV analyst since Mike Krzyzewski retired as coach of Duke; less critiquing of refs, more normal analysis, but when he works a Duke game, like he did this week, it is still the basketball equivalent of fingernails on a chalkboard.

— There’s a chance I watch too much TV; there are an incredible amount of podcasts posted on YouTube, on a wide variety of subjects. You have to pick/choose to find the good ones, but once you do, there is good information to be had.

Late Tuesday night I watched a fantasy baseball draft; 15 teams, 23 rounds, was interesting to hear opinions about the 345 players who were drafted.
 

Cnotes53

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Friday, November 21

GameTime(ET)PickUnits
FSU at NCST08:00 PMFSU -6.5*****
U 59.0*****
+500 +500
HAW at UNLV10:30 PMUNLV -2.5*****
O 64.5*****
+500 +500
 

Cnotes53

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CNOTES CFB NOVEMBER'S BEST BETS !

11/21/2025...................2 - 2 - 0....................50.00%.............- 1.00
11/20/2025...................0 - 2 - 0....................00.00%..............- 11.00
11/19/2025...................2 - 2 - 0....................50.00%..............- 1.00
11/18/2025...................1 - 5 - 0....................16.66%...............- 22.50
11/15/2025.................10- 8 - 0.....................55.55%..............+ 6.00
11/14/2025..................2 - 2 - 0.....................50.00%..............- 1.00
11/13/2025..................0 - 2 - 0.....................00.00%.............- 11.00
11/12/2025...................3 - 1 - 0....................75.00%..............+ 9.50
11/11/2025...................3 - 1 - 0....................75.00%..............+ 9.50
11/08/2025.................12 - 6 - 0....................66.66%..............+ 27.00
11/07/2025...................4 - 2 - 0....................66.66%...............+ 9.00
11/06/2025...................4 - 0 - 0..................100.00%..............+ 20.00
11/05/2025...................2 - 2 - 0....................50.00%...............- 1.00
11/04/2025...................3 - 1 - 0....................75.00%...............+ 9.50
11/01/2025...................8 - 9 - 0,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,47.05%...............- 9.50

TOTALS......................56 - 45 - 0....................55.44%...............+ 32.50
 

Cnotes53

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Saturday’s 6-pack:
— Nets 113, Celtics 105- Nic Claxton had his first triple-double in NBA
— Suns 114, Minnesota 113- Timberwolves led by 8 with 1:09 left.
— Nuggets 112, Rockets 109- Jokic had 34 points, 10 rebounds, 9 assists
— Trail Blazers 127, Warriors 123- Deni Avdija had 26 points, 14 assists.
— UNLV 38, Hawai’i 10- QB Colandrea threw 3 TD’s for the 9-2 Rebels.
— NC State 21, Florida State 11- Wolfpack is 6-5; they’re bowl eligible.

Quote of the Day
“The whole reason you do all this is to start a season with a potential contender that has an ace. You can’t throw that away before the season starts. How long will it take to get here again?”
Unnamed baseball executive, on whether the Tigers should trade Tarik Skubal

Saturday’s quiz
Green Bay Packers won the first two Super Bowls; who won Super Bowl III?

Friday’s quiz
Jared Goff was the first pick in the 2016 NFL Draft; Carson Wentz was the second pick.

Thursday’s quiz
Shaquille O’Neal played his college basketball at LSU

*********************************************

Saturday’s Den: Wrapping up a college football Friday…….

— Purdue 86, Texas Tech 56
Purdue had a 20-0 run, led 49-26 at halftime.
Boilers are 6-0, with four top 75 wins.
Purdue out-rebounded Tech 43-25.
Right now, November 22, Purdue is the best team in the country.

— Wake Forest 69, Memphis 68
Deacons ran the Bryce Drew play, hit a 3-pointer at the buzzer for a comeback win.
Memphis led 19-6 early, but they’re 1-4, their worst start in long time.
Memphis is #45 in experience, but #345 in continuity; they’re getting used to each other.

— Nebraska 86, Kansas State 85
Nebraska shot 25-29 (86.2%) inside arc, only 8-32 on arc.
Cornhuskers led by 10 at the half, trailed by 5 with 7:21 left to play.
Nebraska has won 10 in a row, longest win streak in country.

— Louisville 74, Cincinnati 64
Cincinnati led 32-28 at halftime.
Louisville was 24-28 on foul line, Bearcats 10-16.
Louisville is 5-0, with wins over Cincinnati, Kentucky.

— Clemson 70, West Virginia 67
WVU led by 11 points with 10:57 left in the game.
Clemson shot 56.7% inside the arc.
Clemson had five guys score in double figures, including two subs.

— Georgia 78, Xavier 77
Dawgs hit a 3-pointer with 0:11 left to pull out a win.
Georgia led by 14 early in second half.
Georgia’s subs played total of 63:00, Xavier’s only 31:00

— Seattle 77, Stanford 69
Stanford led by 13 with 10:55 left in the game.
Seattle was 20-24 on foul line, Cardinal 16-25.
Seattle is 4-1; they’re #10 in country in eFG%.

Famous birthdays, November 22nd:
Rich McKinney, 79
Jack Reynolds, 78
Greg Luzinski, 75
Jamie Lee Curtis, 67
Mark Malone, 67
Hugh Millen, 62
Benoit Benjamin, 61
Eric Allen, 60
Mark Ruffalo, 58
Ricky Ledee, 52
Scarlett Johansson, 41
Adam Ottavino, 40
Brock Osweiler, 35
Griffin Jax, 31
Missed a birthday Friday; Earl Monroe, the great basketball player, turned 81 on Friday.

— Virginia 83, Northwestern 78
Cavaliers were 30-36 on foul line, Northwestern 17-24.
Virginia had 21 offensive boards, out-rebounded Wildcats 49-25.
Virginia is 5-0, scoring 89.2 ppg; Ryan Odom is an excellent coach.

— Butler 79, South Carolina 72
Butler out-rebounded the Gamecocks, 48-29.
South Carolina never led; they shot 7-26 on the arc.
Big East team over an SEC team has significance for both leagues.

— Utah State 96, Tulane 75
Aggies shot 12-23 on the arc, 68.6% inside arc; they scored 1.39 ppp.
Tulane shot 15-30 on the arc, still lost by 21.

Utah State always seems to win, but with lot of different coaches:
1998-2015- Stew Morrill, 402-156
2015-18- Tim Duryea, 48-49
2018-21- Craig Smith, 74-24
2021-2023- Ryan Odom, 44-25
2023-24- Danny Sprinkle, 28-7
2024-26- Jerrod Calhoun, 31-8

— Kind of similar to VCU’s recent history:
2003-06- Jeff Capel, 79-41
2006-09- Anthony Grant, 76-25
2009-15- Shaka Smart, 161-56
2015-17- Will Wade, 51-20
2017-23- Mike Rhoades, 129-61
2024-26- Ryan Odom, 52-21
2025-26- Phil Martelli Jr, 2-2

— USC 107, Troy 106 3OT- This game was Thursday night
Troy led by 6 with 1:43 left in the third OT
USC led by 11 with 9:37 left in regulation.

This was Troy’s 4th game in seven nights in the Los Angeles area; they won in double OT at San Diego State Tuesday, then played this game in triple OT two nights later.

Five players fouled out of this game.
Four players played 47:00+ in this game.
USC was 34-46 on the foul line, Troy 25-35.
USC subs were a combined 4-13 from the floor, Troy 2-11.

One of the most interesting games I’ve watched in years.
 

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Armadillo's Write-Up

Week 13

Saturday’s games
Missouri
@ Oklahoma (-6.5)
Missouri (7-3, 3-3)
Mizzou lost three of last five games, after a 5-0 start.
Tigers are 6-0 when they score 29+ points.
Tigers have 6 starters back on offense, 9 on defense.
Tigers have 77 returning starts on the offensive line.
Junior QB Pribula (ankle) is a game time decision.


Mizzou split only two road games (W23-17 Auburn/L10-17 Vandy)
Under Drinkwitz, Mizzou is 8-9 ATS as a road underdog.
In his career, Drinkwitz is 11-9 ATS as a road underdog.
Under Drinkwitz, Mizzou is 26-21-1 ATS in SEC games.
Under Drinkwitz, Mizzou is 20-20-1 in games coming off a win.
Four of last six Mizzou games stayed under the total.


Oklahoma (8-2, 4-2)
Oklahoma beat Tennessee/Alabama last two games, by 6-2 points.
Last three games, Oklahoma allowed 344.7 passing yards/game.
Oklahoma has 8 starters back on offense, 8 on defense.
Sooners have 111 returning starts on the offensive line.
Soph QB Matter started 12 games for Wazzu last year.


Oklahoma is 10-4 ATS last 14 games as a home favorite.
Under Venables, Oklahoma is 14-17-1 ATS in conference games.
Last four games, Sooners are +5 in turnovers.
Under Venables, Sooners are 12-16-1 ATS coming off a win.
Under is 7-2 in Oklahoma’s I-A games.


Oklahoma won eight of last ten series games.
This is only 2nd meeting since 2011.
Mizzou (+3) beat Oklahoma 30-23 at home LY.
Over is 5-0 in last five meetings.
SEC home favorites are 19-17 ATS in conference games.


Louisville @ SMU (-3.5)
Louisville (7-3, 4-3)
Louisville lost its last two games by total of four points.
Cardinals are 3-0 on road, scoring 34-24-28 points.
Cardinals have 8 starters back on offense, 8 on defense.
Louisville has 203 returning starts on offensive line.
Senior QB Moss started 10 games at USC


Under Brohm, Louisville is 2-1 ATS as a road underdog.
In his career, Brohm is 17-11-1 as a road underdog.
Under Brohm, Cardinals are 10-14 ATS in ACC games.
Under Brohm, Louisville is 3-6 ATS in games coming off a loss.
Under is 4-2 in their last six games.


SMU (7-3, 5-1)
SMU won five of its last six games.
SMU is 1-2 in games decided by less than 11 points.
Mustangs have 7 starters back on offense, 5 on defense.
Mustangs have 117 returning starts on the offensive line.
Soph QB Jennings started 13 times the last two years.


Mustangs are 29-6 SU the last three years.
Under Lashlee, Mustangs are 12-8 ATS as a home favorite.
Under Lashlee, Mustangs are 20-12 ATS in conference games.
SMU is 16-12 ATS in last 28 games coming off a win.
Under is 6-2 in their last eight games.


SMU (+7) upset Louisville 34-27 on the road last year.
ACC home favorites are 15-20 ATS in conference games.


Kansas @ Iowa State (-3.5)
Kansas (5-5, 3-4)
Kansas lost three of its last four games.
Jayhawks are when they give up more than 21 points.
Jayhawks have 5 starters back on offense, 5 on defense.
Kansas has 82 returning starts on offensive line.
Senior QB Daniels started 12 games last year.


In his career, Leipold is 14-23-1 ATS as a road underdog.
Under Leipold, Kansas is 8-13 ATS as a road underdog.
Kansas is 14-11 ATS in its last 25 Big X games.
Kansas is 8-6 ATS in last 14 games coming off a loss.
Over is 3-1 in their last four games.


Iowa State (6-4, 3-4)
Iowa State lost 4 of last 5 games, after a 5-0 start.
Iowa State Is 6-0 when it allows less than 24 points.
Cyclones have 7 starters back on offense, 6 on defense.
Cyclones have 105 returning starts on offensive line.
Soph QB Becht started 13 games last season.


Iowa State is 1-3 ATS as a home favorite this year.
In his career, Campbell is 31-33-1 ATS as a home favorite.
Cyclones are 17-18 ATS in last 35 Big X games.
Iowa State is 12-20 ATS in last 32 games coming off a win
Under is 3-1 in their last four games.


Kansas won last three series games, by 9-7-3 points.
Jayhawks are 1-7 SU/4-4 ATS last eight visits to Ames.
Over is 4-2 in last six meetings.
Big X home favorites are 24-14 ATS in conference games.


Baylor @ Arizona (-6.5)
Baylor (5-5, 3-4)
Baylor allowed 27+ points in eight of its ten games.
Baylor announced coach Aranda will return next year.
Bears have 10 starters back on offense, 8 on defense.
Bears have 97 returning starts on the offensive line.
Senior QB Robertson had 3,071 PY (28 TD’s, 8 INTs) LY.


Baylor is 1-7 ATS in their last eight games overall.
Under Aranda, Baylor is 11-10 ATS as a road underdog.
Under Aranda, Baylor is 24-28-1 ATS in Big X games.
Under Aranda, Baylor is 14-16 ATS in games coming off a loss.
Over is 4-2 in their last six games.


Arizona (7-3, 5-3)
Arizona is 7-0 when they allow less than 31 points.
Wildcats gave up 39-33-31 points in their losses.
Arizona has 7 starters back on offense, 9 on defense
Wildcats have 84 starts back on offensive line.
Junior QB Fifita has 21 career starts


Under Brennan, Arizona is 3-6 ATS as a home favorite.
In his career, Brennan is 14-14 ATS as a road underdog.
Arizona is 6-11 ATS in its last 17 conference games.
In his career, Brennan is 38-33-1 ATS in conference games.
Arizona is 9-13 ATS in last 22 games coming off a win.
Under is 4-1 in Arizona’s D-I home games.


These teams have not met in the last 25 years.
Big X home favorites are 24-14 ATS in conference games.


USC @ Oregon (-10.5)
USC (8-2, 6-1)
Trojans won last three games, allowing 295.3 yards/game.
Trojans allowed 34 points in both their losses.
USC has 9 starters back on offense, 7 on defense.
Trojans have 75 returning starts on the offensive line.
Junior QB Maiava started 15 games the last two years.


Under Riley, USC is 4-3 ATS as an underdog.
In his career, Riley is 7-3 ATS as an underdog.
Under Riley, USC is 14-17 ATS in games coming off a win.
Under Riley, USC is 14-21 ATS in Big 18 games.
Under is 4-1 in last four USC games.


Oregon (9-1, 6-1)
Oregon won last four games, giving up 11.5 ppg.
Ducks only loss: 30-20 at home to Indiana.
Oregon has 8 starters back on offense, 6 on defense.
Ducks have 124 returning starts on the offensive line.
Soph QB Moore started 5 games at UCLA in 2023.


Under Lanning, Ducks are 14-9 ATS as a home favorite.
Under Lanning, Oregon is 22-15 ATS in conference games.
Ducks are 19-11 ATS in last 30 games coming off a win.
Oregon held last four opponents under 240 total yards.
Under is 5-3 in Ducks last eight games.


Oregon won seven of last nine series games.
Trojans are 1-4 SU/2-3 ATS last five visits to Eugene.
Under is 3-1 in last four meetings.
Big 18 home favorites are 18-20 ATS in conference games.


Kentucky @ Vanderbilt (-8.5)
Kentucky (5-5, 2-5)
Kentucky won last three games, giving up 3-7-10 points.
Kentucky needs one more win to become bowl eligible.
Wildcats have 8 starters back on offense, 5 on defense.
Wildcats have 170 returning starts on the offensive line.
Frosh QB Boley is 159-231/1,780 passing (13 TD’s/8 INTs)


Kentucky is 9-5 ATS last 14 games as a road underdog.
Last 4+ years, Kentucky is 21-18 ATS in SEC games.
Wildcats are 18-12 ATS last 29 games coming off a win.
Kentucky allowed 30+ points in four of its five losses.
Over is 6-2-1 in their last nine games.


Vanderbilt (8-2, 4-2)
Vandy scored 31+ points in eight of their ten games.
Commodores allowed 30-34 points in their two losses.
Commodores have 9 starters back on offense, 8 on defense.
Commodores have 139 returning starts on OL; lot of transfers.
Senior QB Pavia has started 36 college games


Under Lea, Vandy is 5-7 ATS as a home favorite.
Under Lea, Vandy is 6-9 ATS as a favorite.
Under Lea, Vandy is 21-17 ATS in SEC games (11-3 last 14)
Vandy is 5-2 ATS in last seven games coming off a win.
Over is 5-2 in Vandy’s last seven games.


Kentucky won seven of last nine series games.
Kentucky won last four visits to Vandy (3-1 ATS)
Under is 3-1 in last four meetings.
SEC home favorites are 19-17 ATS in conference games.


Arkansas @ Texas (-8.5)
Arkansas (2-8, 0-6)
Arkansas lost last eight games, six of them by 6 or less points
Last five games, Hogs are minus-9 in turnovers.
Arkansas gave up 210+ rushing yards in five of last seven games.
Razorbacks have 7 starters back on offense, 6 on defense.
Razorbacks have 101 returning starts on the offensive line;


Senior QB Green has started 35 college games.
Arkansas is 13-5 ATS last 18 games as a road underdog.
Razorbacks are 27-19-2 ATS last 48 SEC games.
Since 2015, Hogs are 40-30-2 ATS games coming off a loss.
Over is 7-2 in Arkansas’ last nine games.


Texas (7-3, 4-2)
Texas has won four of their last five games.
Longhorns were held to 7-21-10 points in its losses.
Longhorns have 4 starters back on offense, 7 on defense.
Longhorns have 47 returning starts on the offensive line.
QB Manning has thrown for 2,374 yards (19 TD’s, 7 INT’s)


Under Sarkisian, Texas is 17-13 ATS as a home favorite.
In his career, Sarkisian is 34-24 ATS as a home favorite.
In his career, Sarkisian is 47-53 ATS in conference games.
Under Sarkisian, Texas is 18-25 ATS in conference games.
Under is 6-4 in their games this season.


Teams split their last six meetings.
This is Razorbacks’ first visit to Austin since 2008.
SEC home favorites are 19-17 ATS in conference games.


Duke (-6.5) @ North Carolina
Duke (5-5, 4-2)
Duke is 0-5 when it scores less than 38 points.
Blue Devils are +11 in turnovers in wins, minus-8 in losses.
3 of last 4 games, Duke ran ball for less than 80 yards.
Blue Devils have 6 starters back on offense, 7 on defense.
Duke has 37 returning starts on the offensive line.


QB Mensah started 13 games at Tulane.
Under Diaz, Duke is 4-1 ATS as a road favorite.
In his career, Manny Diaz is 6-5 ATS as a road favorite.
Since 2022, Duke is 19-11 ATS in ACC games.
Duke is 10-6 ATS in last 16 games coming off a loss.
Over is 6-3 in their I-A games.


North Carolina (4-6, 2-4)
North Carolina lost five of its last seven games.
UNC is 4-0 when they score 20+ points.
Tar Heels have 7 starters back on offense, 5 on defense.
Tar Heels have 155 returning starts on offensive line.
QB Lopez started 11 games at South Alabama LY.


Since 2020, Tar Heels are 1-4 ATS as a home underdog.
Tar Heels are 16-23 ATS in last 39 conference games.
UNC gained less than 300 yards in five of last seven games.
UNC is 4-1 ATS this year in games coming off a loss.
Under is 7-2 in their last nine games.


North Carolina won five of last six series games.
Duke is 1-4 SU/3-2 ATS last five visits to Chapel Hill.
Under is 3-1 in last four meetings played here.
ACC home underdogs are 10-12 ATS in conference games.


Kansas State @ Utah (-17.5)
Kansas State (5-5, 4-4)
Wildcats won four of their last six games, after a 1-3 start.
K-State is 1-4 in games decided by 6 or less points.
Wildcats have 5 starters back on offense, 5 on defense.
K-State has 43 returning starts on the offensive line.
QB Johnson started 13 games last year.


Under Klieman, K-State is 19-11 ATS as an underdog.
Under Klieman, K-State is 12-7 ATS as a road underdog.
Under Klieman, Wildcats are 56-43 ATS in Big X games.
K-State is 4-8 ATS in last 12 games coming off a win.
Last six games, Wildcats are +8 in turnovers.
Five of last six K-State games went over the total.


Utah (8-2, 5-2)
Utah won its last three games, scoring 53-45-55 points
Last six games, Utah ran ball for 302.2 yards/game
Utes have 10 starters back on offense, 7 on defense.
Utah has 113 returning starts on offensive line.
Junior QB Dampier started 12 games at New Mexico.


Utah is 13-7 ATS last 20 games as a home favorite.
Utes scored 31+ points in its wins, 10-21 in losses.
Utah is 8-10 ATS in last 18 games coming off a win.
Utes have played only one game decided by less than 24 points.
Over is 5-1 in their last six games.


These teams haven’t met in the last 25 years.
Big X home favorites are 24-14 ATS in conference games.


TCU @ Houston (-1.5)
TCU (6-4, 3-4)
TCU lost last two games, scoring 17-13 points.
Horned Frogs are 5-0 when it scores 35+ points.
TCU has 6 starters back on offense, 8 on defense.
Horned Frogs have 93 returning starts on the offensive line.
Junior QB Hoover started 19 games the last two years.


Under Dykes, TCU is 3-4-2 ATS as a road underdog.
In his career, Dykes is 23-23-2 ATS as a road underdog.
Under Dykes, Frogs are 17-15-3 ATS in Big X games.
TCU is +9 in turnovers in wins, minus-7 in losses.
Under is 5-3 in last eight TCU games.


Houston (8-2, 5-2)
Houston scored 24+ points in all its wins.
Cougars gave up 35-45 points in their losses.
Houston has 9 starters back on offense, 7 on defense.
Cougars have 92 returning starts on offensive line.
Junior QB Weigman started five games at Texas A&M last year.


Under Fritz, Houston is 10-9 ATS as a home favorite.
In his career, Fritz is 30-26 ATS as a home favorite.
Houston is 14-18-1 ATS in last 33 conference games.
Cougars are 9-13 ATS in last 22 games coming off a win.
Over is 7-2 in Houston’s last nine games.


TCU won six of last seven series games.
Favorites covered five of those six games.
Last four meetings stayed under the total.
Big X home favorites are 24-14 ATS in conference games.


Tennessee (-4.5) @ Florida
Tennessee (7-3, 4-3)
Vols allowed 31+ points in 5 of last 6 games (44-37-33 in losses).
Vols has gained 410+ yards in all ten games.
Tennessee has 5 starters back on offense, 8 on defense.
Vols have 46 returning starts on the offensive line;
Senior QB Aguilar started 24 games at Appalachian State.


Under Heupel, Tennessee is 7-5 ATS as a road favorite.
In his career, Heupel is 14-13 ATS as a road favorite.
Under Heupel, Vols are 19-21 ATS in games coming off a win.
Under Heupel, Tennessee is 16-22 ATS in SEC games.
Over is 6-3 in their I-A games.


Florida (3-7, 2-5)
Gators lost las three games, giving up 24-38-34 points.
Florida scored 29-23 points in their I-A wins.
Florida has 8 starters back on offense, 7 on defense.
Gators have 98 returning starts on the offensive line.
Soph QB Lagway started eight games last year.


Gators are 3-6 ATS in last nine games overall.
Florida is 8-4 ATS last 12 games as a home underdog.
Florida is 7-10 ATS last 17 games coming off a loss.
Florida is 17-14 ATS in last 31 SEC games.
Over is 4-2 in Florida’s last six games.


Florida won 17 of last 20 series games.
Vols lost their last ten visits to Gainesville (2-8 ATS).
Under is 5-1 in last six meetings.
SEC home underdogs are 8-8 ATS in conference games.


BYU @ Cincinnati (-2.5)
BYU (9-1, 6-1)
BYU scored 33+ points in four of its last six games.
BYU is +11 in turnovers in wins, was minus-3 in only loss.
Cougars have 5 starters back on offense, 4 on defense.
Broncos have 61 starts returning on the offensive line.
QB Bachmeier is 172-272/2,177 passing (13 TD’s, 4 INTs)


BYU covered four of its last five games.
BYU is 8-2 ATS in last ten games as an underdog.
BYU is 10-7 ATS in last 17 conference games.
BYU is 12-6 ATS in its last 18 games coming off a win.
Over is 4-2 in BYU’s last six games.


Cincinnati (7-3, 5-2)
Cincinnati lost last two games, giving up 45-30 points.
Cincinnati was held to 17-14-24 points in their losses.
Bearcats have 7 starters back on offense, 8 on defense.
Bearcats have 81 returning starts on offensive line.
Soph QB Sorsby has 19 career starts.


Under Satterfield, Cincinnati is 5-9 ATS as a home favorite.
In his career, Satterfield is 28-30-1 ATS as a home favorite.
In his career, Satterfield is 39-42-4 ATS in conference games.
Cincinnati is 5-2 SU/4-3 ATS in conference games this year.
Over is 5-3 in their last eight I-A games.


BYU won/covered last three series games.
This is BYU’s first visit to Cincinnati since 2016.
Big X home favorites are 24-14 ATS in conference games.


Utah State @ Fresno State (-2.5)
Utah State (5-5, 3-3)
Utah State lost four of its last six games.
Aggies are 4-0 when they allow less than 29 points.
Utah State has 2 starters back on offense, 6 on defense.
Aggies have 10 starts returning on offensive line.
Senior QB Barnes has 3 career starts.


Utah State has covered seven of its nine I-A games.
In his career, Mendenhall is 34-24 ATS as a road underdog.
In his career, Mendenhall is 72-64 ATS in conference games.
Aggies are 9-11-1 ATS last 21 games as a road underdog.
Aggies are 20-17-1 ATS in last 38 Mountain West games.
Under is 3-1 in their last four games.


Fresno State (7-3, 4-2)
Fresno won its last two games, allowing 7-3 points.
Bulldogs’ three losses were by 24-28-23 points.
Bulldogs have 5 starters back on offense, 4 on defense.
Fresno has 50 starts returning on offensive line.
Frosh QB Conklin started 10 games at I-AA level last year.


Fresno is 5-4 ATS last nine games as a home favorite.
Overall, Fresno is 9-13 ATS last 22 games as a favorite.
Bulldogs are 6-14-1 ATS in their last 21 conference tilts.
In losses, Bulldogs were minus-7 in turnovers; they’re +7 in wins.
Under is 5-1 in last six games.


Teams split last six series games.
Road team won four of last five
Over is 4-1 in last five meetings series games.
Mountain West home favorites are 12-11 ATS in conference games.
 

Cnotes53

Registered
Forum Member
Nov 5, 2017
33,060
57
48

Saturday, November 22

GameTime(ET)PickUnits
MERCY at CCSU12:00 PMCCSU -10.5+500
RUTG at OSU12:00 PMU 53.5*****+500
FOR at MERR12:00 PMMERR -5.5+500
DEL at WAKE12:00 PMO 50.0*****+500
BRY at STON12:00 PMSTON -17.5+500
KU at ISU12:00 PMU 55.5*****+500
NCCU at MORG12:00 PMMORG +9.5+500
TLSA at ARMY12:00 PMARMY -10.0*****+500
SAM at TAM12:00 PMU 58.5+500
LOU at SMU12:00 PMO 49.5*****+500
HARV at YALE12:00 PMHARV -6.5+500
DART at BRWN12:00 PMU 51.5+500
MIA at VT12:00 PMVT +17.5*****
U 49.0*****
+500 +500
MIZZ at OKLA12:00 PMOKLA -5.0*****+500
MINN at NW12:00 PMNW -3.5*****+500
LEH at LAF12:30 PMLAF +10.5+500
CHAR at UGA12:45 PMCHAR +43.5
U 53.5*****
+500 +500
 

Cnotes53

Registered
Forum Member
Nov 5, 2017
33,060
57
48

Saturday, November 22

BAY at ARIZ01:00 PMBAY +7.0
O 62.5*****
+500 +500
WSU at JMU01:00 PMJMU -15.0
O 44.0*****
+500 +500
ODU at GASO01:00 PMODU -10.0+500
BALL at TOL02:00 PMBALL +29.5+500
MER at AUB02:00 PMO 51.5+500
MTST at MONT02:00 PMMONT +3.5*****+500
SDST at UND02:00 PMUND -8.5+500
NEV at WYO02:00 PMWYO -6.5*****+500
EIU at ALA02:00 PMEIU +50.5+500
MRSH at APP02:30 PMMRSH -5.0*****+500
LIB at LT03:00 PMLT -1.0+500
NMSU at UTEP03:00 PMNMSU +3.0*****+500
SHSU at MTU03:00 PMMTU -6.5+500
CONN at FAU03:00 PMCONN -6.5*****+500
USF at UAB03:00 PMUSF -21.5+500
MSU at IOWA03:30 PMIOWA -17.0*****+500
ECU at UTSA03:30 PMUTSA +2.0
O 62.5*****
+500 +500
DUKE at UNC03:30 PMUNC +7.0
U 51.0*****
+500 +500
ARK at TEX03:30 PMARK +8.5*****+500
UK at VAN03:30 PMUK +8.5*****+500
JVST at FIU03:30 PMFIU -1.0+500
SYR at ND03:30 PMU 50.5*****+500
USM at USA03:30 PMUSM -1.0+500
USC at ORE03:30 PMORE -10.0*****+500
TULN at TEM03:45 PMTEM +7.5
O 54.0*****
+500 +500
OKST at UCF04:00 PMOKST +13.0+500
KSU at UTAH04:00 PMO 52.5+500
GSU at TROY04:00 PMGSU +9.0+500
MICH at MD04:00 PMMICH -14.0*****+500
TCU at HOU04:00 PMHOU -1.5*****+500
CCU at SOCAR04:15 PMSOCAR -24.0+500
ULM at TXST05:00 PMTXST -20.0*****+500
UNM at AFA07:00 PMAFA +3.5+500
NEB at PSU07:00 PMNEB +7.5*****
U 45.0*****
+500 +500
CSU at BSU07:00 PMU 45.5+500
PITT at GT07:00 PMGT -2.5*****+500
TENN at FLA07:30 PMTENN -3.5*****+500
ILL at WIS07:30 PMILL -8.5*****+500
UNT at RICE07:30 PMUNT -17.5*****+500
CAL at STAN07:30 PMCAL -3.5*****+500
WKU at LSU07:45 PMWKU +22.5+500
BYU at CIN08:00 PMO 56.5*****+500
ASU at COLO08:00 PMCOLO +7.5+500
WASH at UCLA10:30 PMWASH -10.5+500
USU at FRES10:30 PMUSU +2.5*****+500
SJSU at SDSU10:30 PMSDSU -12.0+500
 
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