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Cnotes53

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Monday’s 6-pack:
— UNLV 75, Stanford 74- Good road win for the banged-up Rebels.
— SMU 93, Texas A&M 80 OT- Mustangs led by 15 early in second half.
— Nebraska 71, Creighton 50- Cornhuskers are 9-0, with four top 100 wins.
— San Francisco 65, Miss State 62- State shot 8-28 on arc, 2-8 on foul line.
— Kansas 80, Missouri 60- Frosh Peterson scored 17 in his return to action.
— Hofstra 80, Pittsburgh 73- Panthers lost five of their last seven games.

Quote of the Day
“Their strength of schedule was the highest in the top 11, and felt like in spite of their performance yesterday in the conference championship, they deserve to stay within that 9 spot.”
CFP selection committee chair Hunter Yurachek, on why Alabama is the #9-seed in the college football playoff

Monday’s quiz
Since 1998, which major league team has hit the fewest home runs?

Sunday’s quiz
Chargers’ QB Justin Herbert played his college football at Oregon.

Saturday’s quiz
In history of the Tampa Bay Buccaneers, Tom Brady threw for the most yards in a season, in 2021.

***********************************************

Monday’s Den: Wrapping up an NFL Sunday…….

Packers 28, Bears 21
Green Bay picked off a pass in end zone with 0:22 to preserve the win.
Packers converted 8-12 third down plays; Chicago was 8-16.
Green Bay is 9-0-1 when it scores 23+ points, 0-3 otherwise.
As a head coach, Matt LaFleur is 12-1 against Chicago.
Chicago in first half: 29 plays, 76 yards, 3 points.
Bears’ 1st 3 drives in 2nd half: 34 plays, 184 yards, 17 points.
Chicago is 0-3 when they score less than 24 points.
With the loss, Bears slipped from #1 seed in NFC to #7 seed.

Bills 39, Bengals 34
Bengals led 28-18 with 8:00 left in the game.
Buffalo took lead for good on a pick-6 with 5:25 left.
Bills in second half: 35 plays, 240 yards, 21 points.
Cincinnati was 10-12 on third down, Bills 6-11.
Cincinnati lost nine of its last 12 games.
Bengals covered four of last five games as an underdog.
Buffalo is 9-0 when they score 26+ points, 0-4 when they don’t.
QB Allen threw for 251 yards, 3 TD’s on a snowy day.

Texans 20, Chiefs 10
Houston won five in row, 8 of last 10 games.
Texans are 7-0 when they score 20+ points.
Houston is 14-9 ATS last 23 games as an underdog.
Last ten games, Texans are +15 in turnovers.
Chiefs in first half: 27 plays, 113 yards, zero points.
Under is 7-1 in last eight Kansas City games.
Kansas City has lost four of its last five games.
Chiefs are 6-7, their worst record thru 13 games since 2012.

Titans 31, Browns 29
Titans led 31-17 with 5:00 left in the game.
Browns then scored two TD’s, but went 0-2 on 2-point conversions.
Tennessee ran ball 35 times for 184 yards.
Titans scored TD on their first drive for first time this year.
Browns’ QB Sanders threw for 364 yards, three TD’s.
Browns outgained Tennessee 412-292.
Cleveland lost five of its last six games.
Browns are 0-10 when they allow more than 10 points.

Steelers 27, Ravens 22
7-6 Steelers led 17-9 at half, took over first place in AFC North.
Rodgers threw for 284 yards and a TD, also ran for a TD.
Pittsburgh is 6-2 when it allows less than 31 points.
Since 2018, Pittsburgh is 41-21-1 ATS as an underdog.
Ravens outgained Pittsburgh, 420-318.
Baltimore is 0-6 when they allow more than 19 points.
Ravens are minus-14 in turnovers in losses, +9 in wins.
Ravens are 5-10 ATS in last 15 AFC North home games.

Saints 24, Buccaneers 20
Tampa Bay led 10-7 at halftime.
Saints’ first three drives in 2nd half: 23 plays, 153 yards, 17 points.
Saints won five of their last seven visits to Tampa.
Saints are 15-4-1 ATS in last 20 NFC South road games.
Buccaneers were 2-7 on 4th down conversions in this game.
Tampa Bay is 1-6 when they allow 24+ points.
Tampa Bay lost four of its last five games.
7-6 Buccaneers are tied with Carolina atop NFC South.

Famous birthdays, December 8th:
Gus Otto, 82
Kim Basinger, 72
Steve Dils, 70
George Rogers, 67
Wendell Pierce, 62
Teri Hatcher, 61
Jeff George, 58
Mike Mussina, 57
Vernon Wells, 47
Philip Rivers, 44
Josh Donaldson, 40
Dwight Howard, 40

Rams 45, Cardinals 17
Rams’ first drive: 10 plays, 60 yards, FG.
Rams’ second drive: 6 plays, 74 yards, TD.
Rams’ third drive: 10 plays, 65 yards, TD.
Rams’ last drive in 1st half: 7 plays, 92 yards, TD.
WR Nukua caught 7 passes for 167 yards, 2 TD’s.
Rams won seven of their last eight games.
Cardinals lost five in row, 10 of last 11 games.
Cardinals are 0-7 when they allow more than 22 points.

Dolphins 34, Jets 10
Dolphins’ first three drives: 15 plays, 178 yards, 21 points.
Miami won its last four games, giving up 13.3 ppg.
Dolphins ran ball 41 times for 239 yards (5.8 yards/carry)
Miami is 14-6 ATS in last 20 AFC East road games.
Undrafted rookie QB Cook played most of game, his NFL debut.
Jets were outgained 358-207, were minus-3 in turnovers.
Jets are 0-8 when they score less than 27 points.
Last five games, Jets gained 169-245-282-269-207 total yards.

Jaguars 36, Colts 19
Jaguars had short TD drives, of 21-28 yards.
Indy QB Jones tore his achilles, is out for the year.
Jacksonville won five of last six games, scoring 30.3 ppg
Jaguars are 9-1 if they allow fewer than 31 points.
Indy lost four of last five games, after a 7-1 start.
Colts’ QB’s now: rookie Leonard, journeyman Brett Rypien.
Colts are 0-5 when they score less than 29 points.
Indy has lost its last ten visits to Jacksonville.

Seahawks 37, Falcons 9
Seattle kicked 48-yard FG with 0:04 left to tie game 6-6 at the half.
Shaheed ran back opening kick of 3rd quarter 100 yards for a TD.
Seahawks in second half: 33 plays, 259 yards, 24 points.
Seahawks won seven of their last eight games.
Falcons in second half: 31 plays, 163 yards, 3 turnovers, 3 points.
Falcons were 1-13 on third down, committed 3 turnovers.
Atlanta lost seven of its last eight games.
Atlanta is 1-9 when it allows more than 14 points.

Vikings 31, Commanders 0
Vikings’ first two drives: 26 plays, 159 yards, 14 points.
Vikings were +3 in turnovers; they were minus-15 coming into game.
Minnesota ran ball for 162 yards; they were 6-11 on third down.
Last five Minnesota games stayed under the total.
Commanders are 0-8 SU/1-7 ATS in their last eight games.
Washington is 0-9 when it allows more than 24 points.
QB Daniels re-injured his left (non-throwing) elbow.
Last eight games, Washington is minus-11 in turnovers.

Broncos 24, Raiders 17
Broncos won their last 10 games, last four by 3-3-3-1-7 points.
First game this season that Denver never trailed in.
Denver is 2-7 ATS last nine games as a road favorite.
Broncos outgained Las Vegas 356-229.
Denver was 7-12 on third down, Raiders 3-9.
Raiders lost seven games in a row, 11 of last 12.
Last eight games, Raiders ran the ball for only 47.8 yards/game.
QB Smith got hurt; Kenny Pickett/Aidan O’Connell are the backups.
 

Udog

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NCAAF
Dunkel

Army vs Navy


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NCAAF

Army vs Navy


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Trend Report
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Army VS Navy
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Army's last 8 games.
Army is 5-2 SU in its last 7 games.
Army is 6-14 SU in its last 20 games against Navy.
Army is 14-5 SU in its last 19 games against an opponent in the American Conference conference.
Navy is 2-6 ATS in its last 8 games.
The total has gone OVER in 8 of Navy's last 11 games.
Navy is 12-2 SU in its last 14 games.
The total has gone UNDER in 16 of Navy's last 19 games against Army.


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Cnotes53

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Tuesday’s 6-pack:
Week 15 NFL spreads:
— Falcons @ Tampa Bay (-4.5)
— Bills (-1.5) @ New England
— Ravens (-2.5) @ Cincinnati
— Jets @ Jacksonville (-12.5)
— Chargers @ Kansas City (-4.5)
— Cardinals @ Houston (-9.5)

Quote of the Day
“There are a lot of older gentlemen with beards playing college basketball right now. He’s waving up into the stands at his kids. Crazy thing, he’s using NIL for his first wife’s alimony. Are we nuts?”
John Calipari

Tuesday’s quiz
New York/New Jersey Jets have existed since 1960; the first three years they played, they had a different nickname- they weren’t the Jets. Who were they?

Monday’s quiz
Since 1998, Kansas City Royals have hit the fewest home runs.

Sunday’s quiz
Chargers’ QB Justin Herbert played his college football at Oregon.

********************************************

Tuesday’s Den: Nobody asked me, but…….

— Indianapolis Colts have QB injury issues, big ones; they’re actually bringing 44-year old Philip Rivers in for a workout Tuesday. He hasn’t played in the NFL since 2020; he will be on next year’s ballot for the Pro Football Hall of Fame, but if he plays this year, that pushes his Hall of Fame induction back a few years.
Rivers turned 44 Monday; he’s been a high school coach in Alabama the last five years, where he has posted a 44-16 record, losing in the state semi-finals the last two seasons.

— When the Dolphins beat the Jets on a cold day in New Jersey Sunday, it was Tua Tagovailoa’s first career win in eight games when the temperature was less than 47 degrees.

— Arizona Cardinals’ QB Kyler Murray is out for the year with a foot injury; it is doubtful if Murray ever play for the Cardinals again, but his contract is an issue.
Murray’s contract the next three years:
2026- $42.5M
2027- $36.3M
2028- $46.35M

— Eight of the last 11 years, the team that won March Madness was still unbeaten on December 6th. Since 2008, every national champ was ranked in the top 12 of the AP poll in Week 6.
Here is this week’s top 12 in the AP poll:
Arizona-Michigan-Duke-Iowa State
UConn-Purdue-Houston-Gonzaga
Michigan State-BYU-Louisville-Alabama

Famous birthdays, December 9th:
Darold Knowles, 84
Beau Bridges, 84
Michael Nouri, 80
Doc Medich, 77
John Malkovich, 72
Jim Haslett, 70
Otis Birdsong, 70
Richard Brooks, 63
Todd Van Poppel, 54
David Akers, 51

— If you don’t think Indiana football coach Curt Cignetti is a great freakin’ coach, think again. Here is Indiana’s 2023 season, the year before Cignetti went to the Hoosiers.
Indiana went 3-9
One of the wins was against Akron, in 4 overtimes.
Hoosiers lost four games by 17+ points.
Indiana’s last three losses were by 3-3-4 points.
In two years under Cignetti, Indiana is 24-2.

— College/minor league sports are off the rails; several teams declined invitations to bowl games. You’d think players would enjoy going to bowls, but some schools are queasy that bigger $$$ teams are going to scout their players, then poach them for next year.
Then there is Notre Dame, which is whining because they got left out of the playoffs; starting next year, if they’re ranked in the top 12 at this time, they’ll automatically be in the playoff.

— Georgia Southern is going bowling; seven teams declined a chance to play the Eagles in a bowl. Finally, Sun Belt rival Appalachian State signed up to play the Eagles in the Birmingham Bowl December 29th.
Georgia Southern won 25-23 at Appalachian State November 6th.

— Aside from that game between Sun Belt rivals, Sun Belt has eight other teams are going to bowls; they don’t get on national TV much. Five of those eight games will be a Sun Belt team against an opponent from Conference USA.

— Big X fined both Iowa State/Kansas State $500,000 for declining bowl bids; both teams had their coach leave (one bolted, one retired).

— 11 SEC teams are going bowling; Oklahoma-Alabama is a first round matchup in the 12-team playoff. Seven of the other nine SEC teams in bowls will be favored in their game.

— Eight Big X are going bowling; seven of them will be favored in their game.
 

Cnotes53

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Wednesday’s 6-pack:
Week 15 NFL spreads:
— Colts @ Seattle (-13.5)
— Packers (-2.5) @ Denver
— Titans @ San Francisco (-12.5)
— Panthers (-2.5) @ New Orleans
— Vikings @ Dallas (-5.5)
— Dolphins @ Pittsburgh (-3)

Quote of the Day
“There are so many guys in that locker room that are fighting through so many different injuries and things worse than what I’m going through. So, it’s the least I can do to show up and give my best effort for them.”
Chargers QB Justin Herbert

Wednesday’s quiz
What team did Edwin Diaz break into the major leagues with?

Tuesday’s quiz
New York/New Jersey Jets have existed since 1960; the first three years they played, they had a different nickname- they weren’t the Jets, they were the New York Titans.

Monday’s quiz
Since 1998, Kansas City Royals have hit the fewest home runs.

*******************************************

Wednesday’s Den: Mid-week musings…….

— DH/OF Kyle Schwarber re-signed with the Phillies, getting a contract worth $150M over five years. 32-year old Schwarber hit 187 home runs for the Phillies the last four years- he hit 56 HR’s last year, knocked in 132 runs.

— Los Angeles Dodgers signed closer Edwin Diaz, giving him $69M for the next three years. Diaz will be 31 in March; he had 28 saves for the Mets last year.

— Chicago White Sox won the #1 pick in the 2026 amateur draft, Tampa Bay got the #2 pick. White Sox lost 121-102 games the last two years.

— 44-year old Philip Rivers has un-retired, signed with the Indianapolis Colts’ practice squad; Rivers coaches a high school team in Alabama. He hasn’t played since 2020.
Right now, Brett Rypien is the Colts’ only healthy QB; Riley Leonard is banged up, Daniel Jones is out for the year, Anthony Richardson is on IR.

— NFL divisional trends:

AFC East

12-6 ATS non-divisional underdog

AFC North
Home teams 5-2 ATS divisional games
13-24 ATS non-divisional games
7-15 ATS non-divisional underdog

AFC South
Home teams 5-3 ATS divisional games
14-7 ATS non-divisional underdog

AFC West
Home teams 5-1 ATS divisional games
1-9 ATS non-divisional road favorite

NFC East
Home teams 4-2 ATS divisional games
8-12 ATS non-divisional underdog

NFC North
Favorites 5-2 ATS divisional games
8-5 ATS non-divisional home favorite

NFC South
Home teams 1-4 ATS divisional games
3-7 ATS non-divisional favorites

NFC West
Home teams 1-6 ATS divisional games
22-12 ATS non-divisional games

Famous birthdays, December 10th:
Susan Dey, 73
Mark Aguirre, 66
Paul Assenmacher, 65
Luis Polonia, 62
Bryant Stith, 55
Will Myers, 35
Carlos Rodon, 33
Sheldon Neuse, 31
Nestor Cortes, 31
Joe Burrow, 29
 

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Thursday’s 6-pack:
Highest paid NBA coaches:
$17.5M— Steve Kerr
$15M— Erik Spoelstra
$15M— Tyronn Lue
$11M— Rick Carlisle
$11M— Doc Rivers
$11M— Ime Udoka
$11M— Joe Mazzulla

Quote of the Day
“I totally understand the fans’ reaction. There is lots of offseason left to put a playoff team on the field.”
Mets owner Steve Cohen

Thursday’s quiz
Which retired major league outfielder, who played 11 years in the major leagues, was Eli Manning’s backup QB at Mississippi?
Hint: He played in 18 playoff games and was in one World Series

Wednesday’s quiz
Edwin Diaz break into the major leagues with the Seattle Mariners.

Tuesday’s quiz
New York/New Jersey Jets have existed since 1960; the first three years they played, they had a different nickname- they weren’t the Jets, they were the New York Titans.

************************************************

Thursday’s Den: Nobody asked me, but…….

Lot of stuff going on this week…….

— Pete Alonso bolts from the Mets to Baltimore, getting a 5-year, $155M deal; Alonso hit 264 home runs in seven years with the Mets. He played in 152+ games in all six of his non-COVID years in New York. His career OPS is .857.
Unsure what is going on with the Mets; they traded Brandon Nimmo, and have lost Edwin Diaz and Alonso to free agency this week. GM David Stearns has a lot of work to do this winter, to get their roster back to where the Mets are a contending team.
If you were wondering, Alonso’s per game rate is $191,358.

— Atlanta Braves signed 35-year old OF Mike Yastrzemski for two years, $23M; he is a career .238 hitter who figures to take over in LF if free agent Marcell Ozuna goes to another team.

— If you’re into fantasy baseball, here’s a player recommendation; Washington OF Daylen Lile, who hit .299 in 91 games as a rookie last year. In the second half of the season, Lile hit .333 with a .956 OPS; he hit 7 triples, 6 home runs in September, the first big leaguer to hit 7+ triples, 6+ homers in a calendar month since Wille Mays, in 1957.

— Pittsburgh Pirates signed lefty reliever Gregory Soto to a one-year, $7.75M deal; Soto had a 4.18 ERA last year, the Orioles/Mets.

— Joe Buck will be getting the Ford Frick Award at the Hall of Fame next summer, joining his father Jack in the broadcasting area of the Hall of Fame.

— Right now, San Diego Padres manager Craig Stammen is the only major league manager who was a pitcher in his playing days.

— This week is the 60th anniversary of one of the worst trades in MLB history, the Reds dealing Frank Robinson for Milt Pappas. The trade was so one-sided it gets referenced at the start of the movie Bull Durham (“bad trades are a part of baseball”).
Robinson had a .944 OPS in six years for the Orioles, who played in four World Series during those six years. Pappas was 30-29, 4.04 in 75 starts over three years for the Reds.

Famous birthdays, December 11th:
Rita Moreno, 94
Jay Bell, 60
Gary Dourdan, 59
Derek Bell, 57
Willie McGinest, 54
Robert Holcombe, 50
Joe Blanton, 45
Roy Hibbert, 39
Jacoby Brissett, 33
Malcolm Brogdon, 33
Hailee Steinfeld, 29
Mark Vientos, 26

— New Mexico 81, VCU 78
VCU led 46-41 at halftime.
Lobos have won five in a row, are 8-2, 3-1 vs top 100 teams.
VCU is 6-4, but 0-4 when they allow 80+ points.

— St Bonaventure 85, Colgate 77
Colgate led 47-34 at halftime.
Bonnies shot 58.7% inside the arc.
St Bonaventure is 10-1, with only loss to North Carolina.

— Merrimack 59, Princeton 56
Merrimack won last four games, giving up 61.3 ppg.
Princeton out-rebounded the Warriors, 45-26
Princeton has had six winning years in a row, but they’re 3-10 this year.

— Cal-Northridge 89, Fresno State 87
5-5 CSUN led 47-37 at halftime.
Matadors start four seniors; they scored 87+ points in their wins.
Fresno lost despite shooting 13-29 on arc, scoring 1.23 ppp.

— UMass 76, Boston College 74
UMass won despite going 13-24 on the foul line.
BC led 63-56 with 6:05 left in the game.
Could be a rough year for BC; they’re 1-5 vs top 200 teams.

Movie of the Day: The Natural (1984)- A middle-aged unknown comes seemingly out of nowhere to become a legendary baseball player who can really hit.
Robert Redford is the ballplayer, Wilford Brimley is the team’s manager, Kim Basinger, Glenn Close, Robert Duvall, Barbara Hershey and Joe Don Baker are also in this well-known movie.
The baseball scenes were filmed in Buffalo, in the stadium where the Bills played before they built Rich Stadium.

— Michigan fired football coach Sherrone Moore with cause Wednesday, meaning they won’t have to pay him the $12M he had left on his contract.
He got fired for off-field reasons; Biff Poggi is the Wolverines’ interim coach.

— South Florida QB Byrum Brown is opting out of the Bulls’ bowl game against Old Dominion next week; Brown has thrown for 2,883 yards this year, with 24 TD’s, 7 INT’s.

I know I’m an older guy with older ideas, but if I was an NFL executive scouting players for the draft, I’d frown upon any QB who bailed out on his teammates before a season was over.

— 10 teams have opted out of bowl games, five of them from the Big X.

— South Carolina is hiring Kendal Briles as their new offensive coordinator; Briles comes from TCU, but he’s also coached at Arkansas, FAU. Baylor and Houston.

— New Jersey Jets are the first team ever with no interceptions in their first 13 games of a season, which adds up to 809 plays.

— Denver Broncos’ practice squad QB Sam Ehlinger got an offer from the Colts to return to their team, but Ehlinger turned them down, preferring to stay on Denver’s practice squad, Yikes.
 

Cnotes53

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Friday’s 6-pack:
College hoop teams forcing highest %age of turnovers (strength of schedule):
26.5%— McNeese State (122)
26.4%— Iowa State (76)
24.5%— Dayton (126)
24.4%— Florida State (154)
24%— Bradley (305)
23.9%— Seton Hall (316)

Quote of the Day
“The Mets do have young talent that deserves some runway, and you don’t want to block too many opportunities. But losing Alonso means there is a need for certainty in the middle-of-the-order/run production department. So an aggressive push for Kyle Tucker or Cody Bellinger would be well-timed.”
Bradford Doolittle

Friday’s quiz
Where did Kirk Cousins play his college football?

Thursday’s quiz
Seth Smith played 11 years in the major leagues, was Eli Manning’s backup QB at Mississippi; he played in 18 baseball playoff games and was in one World Series, with the Rockies.

Wednesday’s quiz
Edwin Diaz break into the major leagues with the Seattle Mariners.

********************************************

Friday’s Den: Random stuff on another cold freakin’ day…….

— Falcons 29, Buccaneers 28
Atlanta drove 45 yards, kicked 43-yard field goal on the last play.
Falcons got a first down on that drive after they had a 3rd-and-28
Tampa Bay led 28-14 with 10:00 left in the game.
Loss drops Buccaneers to 7-7, half-game behind Carolina in NFC South.

Falcons’ last three drives: 26 plays, 178 yards, 15 points.
Kyle Pitts caught 11 passes for 166 yards, three TD’s for Atlanta.
Atlanta was penalized 19 times for 125 yards. Lot of penalties.
Kirk Cousins threw ball for 373 yards, three TD’s.

— Iowa State 66, Iowa 62
Hawkeyes led 33-25 at halftime.
Iowa State was 17-23 on foul line, Iowa 3-5.
Cyclones are 10-0, with six top 100 wins.

— Syracuse 71, St Joe’s 63
Tough for road team to shoot in a dome; St Joe’s was 5 for 26 on the arc.
Hawks out-rebounded Syracuse, 44-34.
Syracuse is 6-3, despite shooting 56.8% on foul line, worst in country.

— Cincinnati Bearcats have a basketball player, Kerr Kriisa, who has had an interesting journey thru college basketball.
2020-23- Arizona
2023-24- West Virginia
2024-25- Kentucky
2025-26- Cincinnati

Four teams in four years; he must be good at packing.
— Fresno State’s basketball team has seven foreign players who come from five countries.

— Over is 11-0 in LA Lakers’ home games this season.

Famous birthdays, December 12th:
Allan Lewis, 84
Ralph Garr, 80
Gorman Thomas, 75
Darleen Carr, 75
Rafael Septien, 72
Jennifer Connelly, 55
John Salmons, 47
Andrew Whitworth, 44
Ervin Santana, 43
Luis Castillo, 33
Cristopher Sanchez, 29
Cole Ragans, 28

Today was my uncle Roy’s birthday; he was a construction worker who was a good guy. He passed away while having one of the first-ever heart bypass operations.

Frank Sinatra was born on December 12, 1915

— LSU is sending four assistant coaches back to Ole Miss to help the Rebels prepare for the college football playoff game against Tulane December 20- Rebels pounded Tulane 45-20 in September, will be interesting to see how they play after all the chaos they’ve had recently.

— Apparently the LA Bowl and the Bahamas Bowl are going under after this season; the way college/minor league football has gone off the rails, it figures there will be lot fewer bowl games in the coming years.

— Guy named Dave Logan played WR in the NFL for nine years from 1976-84; these days, he is a radio analyst on Denver Broncos’ games, but he also coached high school football for 24 years, during which time he won 13 state championships at four different schools.

— Denver Broncos/New England Patriots are both 11-2, but they’re both home underdogs this week, kind of unusual for this late in the season.

— Olympics are in Los Angeles in 2028; sounds like USC is going to play home football games that year in SoFi Stadium, because the LA Coliseum won’t be available.

— Pittsburgh Steelers’ star pass rusher TJ Watt is in the hospital for lung evaluation after he experienced discomfort at the team’s practice facility Wednesday.

— Carolina Panthers are only NFL team that has never won a game they trailed in by more than 17 points.

— Atlanta Braves signed reliever Robert Suarez for three years, $45M; last two years, Suarez saved 76 games for the Padres.
 

Udog

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NCAAF
Dunkel

Bowl Season


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NCAAF

Bowl Season


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Trend Report
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Army VS Navy
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Army's last 8 games.
Army is 5-2 SU in its last 7 games.
Army is 6-14 SU in its last 20 games against Navy.
Army is 14-5 SU in its last 19 games against an opponent in the American Conference conference.
Navy is 2-6 ATS in its last 8 games.
The total has gone OVER in 8 of Navy's last 11 games.
Navy is 12-2 SU in its last 14 games.
The total has gone UNDER in 16 of Navy's last 19 games against Army.

Boise State VS Washington
Boise State is 8-3-1 ATS in its last 12 games.
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Boise State's last 6 games.
Boise State is 15-5 SU in its last 20 games.
Boise State is 0-6 ATS in its last 6 games against Washington.
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Washington's last 9 games.
Washington is 8-4 SU in its last 12 games.
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Washington's last 6 games against Boise State.
Washington is 6-0 SU in its last 6 games against an opponent in the Mountain West conference.


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NCAAF
Armadillo's Write-Up

Bowl Season

Saturday’s games

Army vs Navy (-6) (@ Baltimore)
Army (6-5, 4-4)
Army is 5-0 allowing 21 or less points, 1-5 giving up 24+.
Cadets won five of their last seven games.
Army also lost 30-27 to I-AA Tarleton State
Army has 4 starters back on offense, 5 on defense
Black Knights have 42 starts back on offensive line.
Junior QB Hellums has run for 1,070 yards, passed for 504


Black Knights have run ball for 224+ yards in 10 of 11 games.
Last eight games, Army is +9 in turnovers.
Under Monken, Army is 25-23-3 ATS as an underdog.
Army is 14-10-1 ATS last 25 games coming off a win.
Six of last eight Army games stayed under the total.


Navy (9-2, 7-1)
Navy was held to 17-10 points in its two losses.
Middies allowed 31+ points in five of last six games.
Navy has 8 starters back on offense, 5 on defense.
Middies have 31 returning starts on the offensive line.
Senior QB Horvath has 13 career starts.


Under Newberry, Navy is 9-11 ATS as a favorite.
Navy is 2-5 ATS as a favorite this year.
Middies allowed 424+ yards in six of last seven games.
Navy is 18-11 ATS in last 29 games coming off a win.
Over is 7-3 in their I-A games.


Teams split last six games in this rivalry.
Underdogs are 8-3 ATS in last 11 series games.
Under is 17-2 in last 19 meetings.
Favorites are 33-23 ATS in AAC games.


Los Angeles Bowl
Boise State
vs Washington (-9.5)
Boise State (9-4)
Broncos were held to 7 points in all four of their losses
Boise was minus-10 in turnovers in those games.
Boise has 7 starters back on offense, 7 on defense.
Broncos have 99 starts returning on the offensive line.
LY, Junior QB Madsen threw for 3,018 yards, with 23 TD’s, 6 INTs


All four Boise losses were by 10+ points.
Boise State is 9-5-1 ATS last 15 games as an underdog.
Broncos are 7-11-1 ATS in last 19 non-conference games.
Under Danielson, Boise is 12-6-2 ATS in games coming off a win.
Under is 5-1 in their last six games.
Mountain West teams are 15-8 ATS as a non-conference underdog.
Boise State is 1-3 SU/0-4 ATS in last four bowls.


Washington (8-4)
Washington was held to 14 or fewer points in its losses.
Washington split last six games, after a 5-1 start.
Huskies have 5 starters back on offense, 7 on defense.
Huskies have 54 returning starts on offensive line.
Soph QB Williams started two games at last year.


Under Fisch, Washington is 9-5 ATS as a favorite.
Huskies are 19-15 ATS in last 34 games as a favorite.
Washington is 9-5-1 ATS in last 15 non-conference games.
Under is 6-3 in their last nine games.
Big 18 teams are 15-16 ATS as a non-conference favorite.
Washington is 3-2 SU in its last five bowls.


Washington (-14) whacked Boise 56-19 in 2023 season opener.
Mountain West teams are 3-1 SU/ATS in this bowl
This year, Big 18 teams are 3-2 SU/0-5 ATS vs Mountain West teams.
 

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Saturday’s 6-pack:
Some of the best college hoop teams in terms of continuity:
2) Harvard
3) VMI
4) Northern Iowa
5) Yale
6) Miami OH
7) Purdue

Quote of the Day
“The time is right to step down from my position as the head coach at the University of Utah. It’s been an honor and a privilege to lead the program for the past 21 years, and I’m very grateful for the relationships forged with all the players and assistant coaches that have worked so hard and proudly worn the drum and feather during our time here.”
Kyle Whittingham, who stepped down Friday

Saturday’s quiz
Where did Philip Rivers play his college football?

Friday’s quiz
Kirk Cousins played his college football at Michigan State.

Thursday’s quiz
Seth Smith played 11 years in the major leagues, was Eli Manning’s backup QB at Mississippi; he played in 18 baseball playoff games and was in one World Series, with the Rockies.

*************************************

Saturday’s Den: An early look at some college basketball conferences

Here’s a look at 10 of the better leagues in college basketball

— Big East
Rick Pitino is 56-21 in 2+ seasons at St John’s.
His son Richard is the new coach at Xavier, also in the Big East.
St John’s-Xavier play this year January 24/February 9
Right now, Big East is #5 league, their worst ranking in five years.
Big East has only 2 of top 35 teams in KenPom ratings.
Seton Hall is 9-1, but they’ve played schedule #316
5-5 Marquette is ranked #92, their lowest ranking since 2016.

— SEC
SEC is #1 league right now, with 8 of the top 30 teams in country.
Vanderbilt is 9-0; only unbeaten team in SEC. Commodores have four top 100 wins, have the #4 eFG% in the country.
11 of 16 SEC teams are in the top 100 in experience.
Auburn is playing at tempo #176, their slowest tempo since 2012.
Texas A&M is #15 in experience, #339 in continuity; their subs play 8th-most minutes. New coach McMillan was 93-39 coaching Samford the last four years.
Kentucky is a disappointing 6-4; their best win is over #198 Valparaiso.

— ACC
Ranked #4 league right now, their best ranking since 2020.
Duke is 10-0, with five top 100 wins; their eFG% defense is #1 in country.
9-1 Virginia is playing #221 tempo, their fastest pace since 2009.
ACC has six of the top 30 teams in the country.
ACC has six top 100 teams in continuity, four teams outside top 300 in continuity .

— Big 18
7-3 Wisconsin is playing pace #57, their fastest pace this century; over half their shots from the floor this season have been 3’s (33.1%, #191)
Indiana is #1 in country in experience, #347 in continuity- they did lot of poaching.
Nebraska is 9-0, 5-0 vs top 100 foes; going back to last year, they’ve won 14 games in a row.
9-1 Purdue is #21 in experience, #7 in continuity; they’re 4-1 vs top 100 teams.
Michigan is 9-0, with seven wins by 25+ points; Dusty May got Florida Atlantic to the Final Four three years ago, Florida freakin’ Atlantic. Wow.

— Mountain West
Right now, Mountain West is #6 league, their 6th year in a row in top 7.
8 of 12 teams in the league are outside the top 200 in continuity.
Colorado State is 8-2, making 45.4% of their 3’s (#1 in country); half their shots this season have come from behind the arc.
Utah State is 8-1; they’ve played only four home games. Jerrod Calhoun is their 6th coach win 12 years, with only one losing season during that time.
UNLV is 4-5; new coach, lot of new players (#335 in continuity); lot of their big guys have been hurt, but the Rebels have won at Memphis/at Stanford.

Famous birthdays, December 13th:
Dick Van Dyke, 100
Ferguson Jenkins, 83
Dave Hamilton, 78
Larry Kenon, 73
Phil Hubbard, 69
Richard Dent, 65
Gray Zimmerman, 64
Andre Turner, 61
Jamie Foxx, 58
Ricky Nolasco, 43
Taylor Swift, 36
Gleyber Torres, 29

— Big X
Big X is #2 league; last time Big X wasn’t in top 3 was 2011.
Big X has 5 of the top 20 teams in the country.
West Virginia is #4 in experience, #347 in continuity; they’re 6-3 vs schedule #355, losing three of four games vs top 200 teams.
9-1 Houston is playing tempo #357; they’re 9-1, 4-1 vs top 100 teams. Houston’s eFG% defenses #8 in the country.
10-0 Iowa State won by 23 at Purdue; they’re forcing turnovers 26.4% of time (#2).

— American
Right now, they’re #10 league; last year was first time they only got one team in NCAA’s.
Tulsa is 9-1, shooting 41.6% on arc; their only loss was 84-83 at Kansas State.
7-3 UAB is a top 20 rebounding team in country, but they’re shooting 25.7% on arc.
7-3 Tulane has played schedule #305; opponents are shooting 40.4% on arc.
South Florida is playing tempo #20; they’re 6-4, 1-3 vs top 100 teams. Bulls are #28 in country at forcing turnovers.

— Missouri Valley
Right now, they’re #9 league, their best ranking since 2018.
Northern Iowa is 7-2, with the #26 eFG% defense; they’re #4 in continuity. Last two years, Panthers are 26-14 in Valley games.
Last four years, MVC has been a one-bid league, making Arch Madness a bigger deal. Looks like this year will be the same; #75 Belmont is the highest-ranked team.

— Big West
Right now, they’re the #16 league; last year, they were #12, their best rating in years.
Cal Poly. Fullerton. Northridge.
When any of these teams play each other, bet the over. Cal Poly is #2 in country in tempo, Fullerton is #4, Northridge #14.
Last three years, Cal-Irvine is 49-11 in conference games, but Anteaters haven’t made the NCAA’s since 2019. This year, Irvine is #295 in experience.
Long Beach State is 1-9 vs D-I teams; two of their last three losses were in overtime.
Cal-San Diego is 8-1; they’ve got the #10 eFG% in the country.

— WCC
They’re #8 league; next year, with conference re-alignment, we won’t recognize the WCC.
Gonzaga is 9-1, with six top 100 wins, but they lost by 40 to Michigan. Last year was the first time since 2014 that the Zags didn’t make the Sweet 16.
Last four years, Saint Mary’s is 58-7 in WCC games, but they haven’t made the Sweet 16 in the NCAA’s since 2010. This year, the Gaels 9-1, with the #16 eFG% defense.
Santa Clara is 8-2, 3-2 vs top 100 teams; they’re #6 in country on offensive boards.
 

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Saturday, December 13

GameTime(ET)PickUnits
ARMY at NAVY03:00 PMNAVY -6.5
U 38.5*****
+500 +500
SDAK at MONT03:30 PMU 59.5*****+500
ILST at UCD05:00 PMUCD -2.5*****+500
BSU at WASH08:00 PMWASH -10.0*****
O 52.5*****
+500 +500
 

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CNOTES COLLEGE FOOTBALL BEST BETS THRU CHAMPIONSHIP GAME !

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TOTALS......................15 - 6 - 0......................71.42%........................+ 38.50
 

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Sunday’s 6-pack:
Teams shooting the highest %age inside the arc
65.1%— Georgia
64.5%— Michigan
64.3%— Furman
63.5%— Vanderbilt
63.4%— Belmont
63.1%— Duke

Quote of the Day
“To the parents who have to worry about their children … we’re the only country that lives this way. The college football cycle has been in the news a million times, and are we going to report about this? Like, it’s the guns. We’re the only country that lives this way.”
USC women’s basketball coach/Brown alumnus Lindsay Gottlieb, talking about the fatal shooting at her alma mater Saturday

Saturday’s quiz
Philip Rivers broke into the NFL with the San Diego Chargers in 2004; who was the Chargers’ coach back then?

Friday’s quiz
Philip Rivers played his college football at NC State.

Thursday’s quiz
Kirk Cousins played his college football at Michigan State.

*****************************************

Sunday’s Den: Wrapping up a sports Saturday…….

Kansas 77, NC State 76 OT
Council scored 36 points, including Jayhawks’ last 13 points in regulation.
Council shot 9-15 on the arc; rest of the Kansas team was 2-15.
Kansas freshman Peterson re-injured his hamstring late in this game.

— Arizona 96, Alabama 75
Alabama led this game 41-39 at halftime.
6-4 frosh Burries scored 28 points, had 7 rebounds.
Arizona had only 4 turnovers, Alabama 15.
Wildcats out-rebounded Alabama, 52-32

— Arkansas 93, Texas Tech 86
Tech led by 10 points late in the first half
Red Raiders only used six players in this game.
Arkansas shot 10-19 on the arch, scored 1.36 ppp.

— Butler 113, Providence 110, 2OT
6-7 senior Ajayi scored 28 points, had 15 rebounds.
Providence led by 8 early in the second half.
Butler is 8-2, with the #45 eFG% in the country.

Basketball Upsets of the Day:
UMass (+11.5) 103, Florida State 95
Hofstra (+10.5) 70, Syracuse 69
Nebraska (+9.5) 83, Illinois 80
Western Illinois (+7.5) 69, North Dakota 66 OT
DePaul (+6.5) 61, Wichita State 58
Murray State (+6.5) 115, Akron 100
Ohio U (+5.5) 88, St Bonaventure 83 OT
North Dakota State (+5.5) 99, Drake 94
Georgia State (+5.5) 77, Jacksonville State 73

— Navy 17, Army 16

Navy drove 50 yards, scored game-winning TD with 6:37 left.
Navy was 11-18 on third down, Army 3-10.
Last 20 years, under is now 18-2 in this game.

— Washington 38, Boise State 10
Huskies led 24-3 at halftime.
Washington QB Williams threw for 214 yards, four TD’s.
Boise is 1-4 SU/0-5 ATS in its last five bowls.

— Mets signed IF Jorge Polanco for two years, $40M; Polanco hit 26 homers last year, had an .821 OPS. He’ll be 33 in July, is expected to play some 1B and also be a DH.

— St Louis Cardinals signed P Dustin May to a one-year contract; he was 7-11, 4.96 last year for the Red Sox/Dodgers, throwing a career-high 132 innings.

— Kansas City Royals traded lefty P Angel Zerpa to Milwaukee for OF Isaac Collins, P Nick Mears. Zerpa was 5-2, 4.18 in 69 IP last year, with only two starts and no saves in 69 games. Collins hit .263 in 130 games LY, with 16 stolen bases. Mears was 5-3, 3.49 in 63 games, with one save, no starts.

Famous birthdays, December 14th:
Dee Wallace, 77
Tony Nathan, 69
Craig Biggio, 60
Eldridge Recasner, 58
Scott Hatteberg, 56
Vanessa Hudgens, 37
Adam Frazier, 34
Taylor Ward, 32
Ryan McMahon, 31
DK Metcalf, 28

— Kentucky 72, Indiana 60
First win for Kentucky in five games vs top 100 teams.
Hoosiers led 39-32 at halftime.
Indiana had 18 turnovers, Kentucky had 4.
Teams combined to shoot 7-39 on the arc.

— Arizona State 82, Santa Clara 79
Santa Clara led 55-38 at halftime.
ASU’s coach got thrown out when Sun Devils were down 19 early in 2nd half.
Arizona State shot 59.4% inside the arc.

— Ohio State 89, West Virginia 88, 2OT
Buckeyes were down 14 with 12:53 left in the game.
West Virginia was 12-26 on arc, Ohio State 4-21.
Four players on West Virginia played 40:00+.

— Nebraska 83, Illinois 80
Lawrence hit a 3-pointer with less than 0:01 left for the win.
Nebraska is 11-0, with six top 100 wins.
Only 63 possessions, slow pace; Cornhuskers scored 1.32 ppp.

— Michigan 101, Maryland 83
Maryland led by 9 early in the second half.
Michigan shot 59% inside arc, scored 1.44 ppp.
Wolverines are 10-0, with eight wins by 18+ points.
 

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Monday’s 6-pack:
— Boise State 68, Saint Mary’s 67- Broncos shot 57.6% inside the arc.
— North Texas 58, South Alabama 57- UNT shot 9-40 on arc, 10-16 inside arc.
— Troy 86, UAB 85- Troy shot 14-28 on arc, scored 1.26 ppp.
— East Carolina 73, Buffalo 70- 9-2 Buffalo led by 12 with 5:37 left to play.
— USC 68, Washington State 61- Trojans were 27-34 on foul line, 1-13 on arc.
— Fairfield 73, Monmouth 65- Stags are 6-5, against schedule #352.

Quote of the Day
“I’m grateful that I was out there, and it was a blast. But, obviously, the emotions now are disappointment. This isn’t about me. We’ve got a team that was scrapping like crazy to try to stay alive and get in the postseason, so obviously, we’re all disappointed. We came up just short.”
Philip Rivers, after his first NFL game in five years

Monday’s quiz
First three picks in the 2024 NFL Draft:
Caleb Williams, Jayden Daniels, Drake Maye, all QB’s.
Who was the 4th player taken in the 2024 Draft?

Sunday’s quiz
Philip Rivers broke into the NFL with the San Diego Chargers in 2004; the Chargers’ coach back then was Marty Schottenheimer, whose son coaches the Cowboys now.

Saturday’s quiz
Philip Rivers played his college football at NC State.

********************************************

Monday’s Den: Wrapping up an NFL Sunday…….

Bills 35, Patriots 31
New England led 21-0 3:00 before halftime.
Bills’ next six drives: 47 plays, 298 yards, 5 TD’s.
Buffalo is 9-0 when they score more than 20 points.
Bills won five of their last seven games.
Loss snaps New England’s 10-game winning streak.
Patriots still lead Buffalo by game in AFC East.
Patriots ran ball 25 times for 246 yards (9.8 yards/carry)
New England is 4-14-1 ATS last 19 games as a home underdog.

Broncos 34, Packers 26
Green Bay led 16-14 at halftime.
Denver first 4 drives in 2nd half: 30 plays, 202 yards, 21 points.
Broncos won their last 11 games, last six by 8 or fewer points.
Bo Nix threw for 302 yards, four TD’s.
Packers lost star LB Parsons (tore ACL) for the year.
Packers are 6-15-1 ATS last 22 games as a road favorite.
Green Bay was penalized 10 times for 75 yards.
Green Bay splits to the #7-seed in the NFC, last playoff spot.

Seahawks 18, Colts 16
Seattle kicked a 56-yard FG with 0:18 left for the win.
Colts had kicked a 60-yard FG with 0:47 left to take 16-15 lead.
Seahawks had 10 drives, scored no TD’s, kicked six FG’s.
Seattle ran ball 22 times for 50 yards; they were 2-13 on third down.
44-year old Philip Rivers threw for 120 yards in his first game in five years.
Seahawks outgained Indianapolis, 314-215.
Colts are 7-3 ATS last ten games as a road underdog.
Colts are 8-0 scoring 29+ points (20-20-20-16-16 in losses.

Chargers 16, Chiefs 13
Chiefs will be out of the playoffs for first time since 2014.
QB Mahomes tore his ACL near the end of the game.
Kansas City led 13-10 at halftime.
Chiefs in second half: 27 plays, 113 yards, 2 punts, 2 INT’s.
Chargers won six of their last seven games.
Bolts are 6-1 in games decided by 7 or fewer points.
Chargers are 9-1 when they allow 21 or fewer points.
Chargers are currently the #5-seed in the AFC.

Saints 20, Panthers 17
Carolina/Tampa Bay are both 7-7, tied for 1st in NFC South.
They play each other in two of the last three games.
Rookie K Smyth kicked 47-yard game-winning FG at the gun.
Carolina led 17-10 with 3:00 left in the game.
Carolina is 5-1 when they score 27+ points, 2-6 when they don’t
Saints are 3-2 in last five games, after a 1-7 start.
New Orleans outgained the Panthers, 337-281.
Carolina was penalized 11 times for 103 yards.

Rams 41, Lions 34
Detroit led 24-17 at halftime.
Lions’ first three drives of 2nd half: 9 plays, 6 yards, 3 punts.
Rams’ first three drives of 2nd half: 22 plays, 179 yards, 17 points.
Former Ram Goff threw for 338 yards, three TD’s.
Former Lion Stafford threw for 368 yards, two TD’s.
WR Nacua caught nine passes for 181 yards.
Rams won eight of their last nine games.
Rams are 19-9 ATS in last 28 games as a favorite.

Ravens 24, Bengals 0
Bengals were shut out for first time with Burrow at QB.
Cincinnati had four drives get into Raven territory, but didn’t score.
Bengals ran 71 plays, but were only 3-15 on third down.
Ravens scored on a 95-yard pick-6 in fourth quarter.
Baltimore won its fourth straight road game.
RB Henry ran ball 11 times for 100 yards.
Ravens are 16-9 ATS last 25 games as a road favorite.
Ravens won six of last seven series games.

Famous birthdays, December 15th:
Art Howe, 79
Don Johnson, 76
Mo Vaughn, 58
Rodney Harrison, 53
Joey Bart, 29
Jonathan India, 29

Jaguars 48, Jets 20
QB Lawrence threw for 330 yards, five TD’s.
Jaguars’ first three drives: 19 times, 161 yards, 21 points.
Jacksonville won their last five games, giving up 10.4 ppg
Jaguars are 10-1 if they allow fewer than 31 points.
Jacksonville leads Houston by a game in AFC South.
Jaguars are 7-4 ATS last eleven games as a home favorite.
Jets are 0-9 when they score less than 27 points.
Undrafted rookie QB Cook threw for 176 yards in his first NFL start.

Texans 40, Cardinals 20
QB Stroud threw for 260 yards, three TD’s.
Houston won its last six games, is right now #7-seed in AFC.
Houston’s first five drives: 34 plays, 213 yards, TD, three FG’s.
Texans led 23-7 at halftime.
Cardinals lost six in row, 11 of last 12 games.
Last six games, Arizona gave up 37.8 ppg.
Last five games, Arizona ran ball for 36-55-95-51-72 yards.
Cardinals are 0-8 when they allow more than 22 points.

Bears 31, Browns 3
Cleveland’s first six drives: 21 plays, 57 yards, six punts.
Chicago led 14-0 at halftime.
Bears won six of seven, 10 of last 12 games.
Bears lead NFC North by half-game, are #2-seed in NFC.
Bears outgained Cleveland, 361-192.
Cleveland lost six of its last seven games.
Last four games, Browns are minus-7 in turnovers.
Browns are 0-11 when they allow more than 10 points.

Commanders 29, Giants 21
Washington snaps an eight-game losing skid.
Washington’s first four drives: 31 plays, 176 yards, 13 points.
Commanders led 22-7 at halftime.
QB Mariota threw for 211 yards and a TD.
Giants lost their last eight games (3-5 ATS)
Giants were favored for the first time this season.
Giants are 9-14 ATS in last 23 NFC East home games.
Eight of Giants’ last nine games went over the total.

Eagles 31, Raiders 0
Raiders in first half: 25 plays, 53 yards, no points.
Backup QB Pickett was 15-25/64 passing in his first start this year.
Eagles were 10-13 on third down, Raiders 3-12.
Raiders lost eight games in a row, and 12 of last 13.
Philadelphia led 17-0 at halftime.
Total yardage: Eagles 387, Raiders 75
Eagles lead NFC East by 2.5 games, are #3-seed in NFC.
Philly is 6-0 when they score more than 21 points.

49ers 37, Titans 24
49ers’ first five drives: 52 plays, 352 yards, 31 points.
San Francisco led 17-10 at halftime.
49ers were 9-15 on third down, Tennessee 3-9.
49ers won last four games, by 19-11-18-13 points.
Tennessee lost eight of its last nine games.
49ers outgained Tennessee, 430-306.
Titans are 8-17 ATS in last 25 games as an underdog.
Tennessee is 0-10 ATS last ten games coming off a win.

Vikings 34, Cowboys 26
Vikings averaged 10.4 yards per pass attempt.
McCarthy threw for 250 yards and two TD’s.
Vikings won last two games, scoring 31-34 points.
Minnesota is 5-0 when it scores 27+ points.
Dallas outgained Vikings 423-327, tried FG’s on 6 of last 7 drives.
Dallas is 5-0-1 scoring 33+ points, 1-7 scoring less than 33.
Cowboys were 2-12 on third down, Minnesota 2-9.
Over is 5-2 in their home games this year.
 
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