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[Cnotes53]

LEADING OFF: Deadline day drama for Minor, Bauer, others
July 30, 2019
By The Associated Press

A look at what's happening around the majors Wednesday:

ON THE BLOCK

With the trade deadline set for 4 p.m. ET, the hot stove is brimming with big arms that have long been mentioned in rumors. Madison Bumgarner, Noah Syndergaard, Trevor Bauer, Mike Minor, Zack Wheeler and Robbie Ray are the biggest names that might move, and that would provide a spark for what's otherwise been a quiet trade season, with Marcus Stroman's deal from Toronto to the Mets by far the biggest one completed. Of those pitchers, Minor is the only one set to start on deadline day, with the Rangers left-hander slated to face Seattle four hours after the deadline.

DEADLINE DRAMA

If Trevor Bauer is traded away from Cleveland, he'll leave with slightly lighter pockets. The right-hander was fined by Major League Baseball for heaving a ball from the pitcher's mound over the center field wall at Kansas City last weekend, a person familiar with the discipline told The Associated Press. An All-Star last year, Bauer made the toss in the fifth inning of Cleveland's 9-6 loss Sunday. When manager Terry Francona emerged from the dugout to make a pitching change, Bauer turned, took a couple steps and threw the ball over the 410-foot mark. Bauer apologized to the organization and his teammates. His name has been mentioned often in trade rumors, but no deal had emerged as of Tuesday night. Bauer is 9-8 with a 3.79 ERA in 24 starts.

TOUGH SELL

Blue Jays closer Ken Giles seemed likely to move before the deadline until he got a cortisone shot Tuesday in his right elbow to treat what the club called mild inflammation. Toronto head athletic trainer Nikki Huffman says an MRI showed no structural problems, and that the shot would provide Giles with ''a long-lasting effect.'' Giles won't resume throwing until after the 4 p.m. deadline, though, and it's unlikely a team would try to acquire the right-hander without a clearer picture of his health.

SNAKES-YANKS

The teams conclude their quick two-game series with a Wednesday matinee. RHP Zack Greinke (10-4, 2.87 ERA) pitches for the Diamondbacks against RHP Masahiro Tanaka (7-6, 4.79) in a matchup of 2019 All-Stars. Greinke went 7 2/3 innings to beat the Yankees 3-1 on April 30 in Arizona. Tanaka lasted only four innings the following day and lost 3-2. Tanaka was tagged for 12 runs on 12 hits and three walks in 3 1/3 innings of a 19-3 loss at Boston last Thursday. The only Yankees pitcher to give up more earned runs in a game was Carl Mays, who allowed 13 in a 1923 complete game against Cleveland.

SLIDING INTO FORM

After some early season struggles, Mets ace Jacob deGrom again looks the part of a reigning Cy Young Award winner. He's doing it differently, though. He threw his slider a career-high 58 times over seven scoreless innings against San Diego last week, averaging a stunning 91.8 mph with the pitch. He's used that pitch more and more over the past month, following a league-wide trend of increased breaking ball usage. He's gotten a lot of uncomfortable swings with the pitch, including one from Francisco Mejia last week that wobbled the rookie, buckled his left ankle and nearly caused him to fall over.

 

[Cnotes53]

AP source: Indians deal Bauer to Reds in 3-team deal
July 30, 2019
By The Associated Press

CLEVELAND (AP) Trevor Bauer's final act for the Indians was throwing a ball over the center-field wall.

Yasiel Puig ended his season with Cincinnati in another brawl.

Cleveland agreed to trade Bauer, the talented but taxing right-hander, to the Reds on Tuesday night for Puig in a three-team deal that also involves the San Diego Padres, a person familiar with the negotiations told The Associated Press.

The Indians, who are trying to catch the Minnesota Twins in the AL Central, also would get left-hander Scott Moss from Cincinnati and slugging outfielder Franmil Reyes, lefty Logan Allen and infielder Victor Nova from the Padres, said the person who spoke on condition of anonymity because the trade had not been announced.

San Diego would receive minor league outfielder Taylor Trammell from the Reds, the person said.

In his last start for the Indians on Sunday, Bauer, who is not eligible for free agency until after the 2020 season, threw a ball in frustration from the mound in Kansas City over the center-field wall. The moment seemed to push the Indians over the edge with the enigmatic 28-year-old, who has one of baseball's best arms but can be difficult.

Bauer was fined by Major League Baseball for his startling heave, a person familiar with the discipline told the AP. The person spoke Tuesday on condition of anonymity because the discipline was not announced.

Bauer exchanged hugs with several teammates in the clubhouse following Cleveland's 2-0 loss to Houston before he departed around 10:45 p.m. He declined to speak with reporters.

While the trade was still being completed, Indians second baseman Jason Kipnis credited the team's front office for another bold move.

''That's the value in having that much starting pitching depth where you might be able to take a shot to fill in some other spots,'' Kipnis said. ''They knew that was our strong point and that'd probably give us the biggest return, our starting depth. So I'm guessing that's what's happened here.''

The Reds did not confirm the trade, but Puig said he's bound for Cleveland, where Indians executives Chris Antonetti and Mike Chernoff were being celebrated for not only getting rid of Bauer but adding young, quality players who can impact the playoff race.

''I'm going to miss all my teammates here,'' Puig said after the Reds lost 11-4 to Pittsburgh. ''This part of the year is amazing for me, being on this team and the city. Now it's time to move forward and go to my new team and help my team go to the playoffs. ... I want to say thank you to all the city, Cincinnati. We stay next door - we're going to Cleveland.''

Reds outfielder Jesse Winker was excited about Bauer coming aboard.

''Man, I can't wait. That's a legit ace, man,'' he said. ''We already had a legit pitching staff, it just got more legit. Welcome Trevor Bauer, to the cooler city of Ohio.''

A former All-Star, Puig is batting .252 with 22 home runs, 61 RBIs and 14 steals in 100 games with the Reds, who acquired him in December in a seven-player swap with the Dodgers.

The Cuban-born outfielder has a career .275 average with 130 homers and 391 RBIs in 812 games. He's eligible for free agency after the 2019 season.

Bauer is 9-8 with a 3.79 ERA in 24 starts this season, but he hasn't been as consistent as the Indians have needed while waiting for two-time Cy Young Award winner Corey Kluber (broken arm) and Carlos Carrasco (leukemia) to return to their rotation. Bauer had angered the Indians during the offseason for comments he made after winning his arbitration case and pledging he would only sign one-year deals going forward.

Cleveland has been looking to add power to its lineup and Puig and Reyes will help.

However, Puig is facing a possible suspension after he was involved in another brawl with the Pirates just as the trade was coming together.

In the ninth inning, Reds reliever Amir Garrett rushed the Pirates' dugout and threw punches, starting a brawl prolonged by Puig. As he left the field for the final time, Puig was given a warm ovation from Reds fans. He was also at the center of a melee between the teams in April, when Puig seemed to be taking on the entire Pirates team by himself near home plate.

The 24-year-old Reyes hit .255 with 27 homers and 46 RBIs in 99 games with the Padres this season. In his last 29 games, the right-handed hitter is batting .290 with eight homers and 13 RBIs.

 

[Cnotes53]

Give me a break: Japanese coach takes heat for resting ace
July 31, 2019
By The Associated Press

TOKYO (AP) A decision by a high school baseball coach to rest his star pitcher in a crucial qualifying game for the prestigious national tournament has the Japanese sports fraternity up in arms.

The gamble ended in defeat, and the Ofunato High School was inundated with phone calls from people demanding an explanation.

It sparked harsh criticism of the coach but also a wider debate about the popular tournament's win-at-all-costs approach, with even Chicago Cubs pitcher Yu Darvish weighing in.

The debate has entered a second week. Ofunato manager Yohei Kokubo opted not to use ace pitcher Roki Sasaki in the final of the Iwate Prefecture qualifier on July 25. His team needed to win the game to seal a spot in the National High School Baseball Championship - commonly known as Koshien - which in Japan carries the same weight as March Madness, the NCAA Division 1 men's basketball tournament in the United States.

But with Sasaki on the bench, Ofunato lost 12-2 to Hanamaki Higashi High School.

Sasaki, an 18-year-old right-hander, had already thrown 435 pitches from July 16 to 24 and would have had to pitch the game against Hanamaki after throwing 129 pitches in the semifinals and 194 pitches over 12 innings three days before that.

Sasaki reportedly had some elbow discomfort, though the school has denied this. Kokudo said the reason for keeping Sasaki out was to prevent injury.

''I think Sasaki's manager showed a lot of courage,'' said Robert Whiting, who has written books on Japanese baseball. ''He could have won the national title with Sasaki if he had followed the usual pattern of throwing the team ace out there on consecutive days.''

Asked about the decision, Sasaki stoically said he wanted to pitch but the manager's decision was final.

An unapologetic Kokubo said he'd had the pitcher's well-being in mind.

''The reason was to prevent injury,'' Kokubo said.

Asked after the game whether winning was less important than Sasaki's future, Kokubo was defiant.

''That's certainly not the case,'' he said. ''Our goal is to win, regardless of whether Sasaki pitches or not.''

Japanese baseball great Isao Harimoto, known for his old-school views, described Kokubo's decision as hugely disappointing, saying young players need to face adversity to meet the harsh challenges of baseball.

Darvish, a former Japanese high school standout himself, disagreed.

''Those who say things like asking why (Sasaki) didn't pitch are not giving a single thought to the kids,'' Darvish told Japan's national news agency, Kyodo.

Kokubo's decision has been widely discussed on weekly news programs with numerous former professionals, current players and TV personalities all chiming in with analysis and opinions.

Sasaki has a fastball that has been clocked at 163 kph (101 mph) and hit 160 (99.4) during his 194-pitch outing. He's already drawing comparisons with players like Shohei Ohtani and Daisuke Matsuzaka, the former major leaguer who threw 250 pitches in 17 innings in the quarterfinals of the 1998 Summer high school baseball tournament, one day after a 148-pitch complete game shutout.

For those not familiar with the game, most teams in Major League Baseball stick to a general guideline of 100 pitches for starting pitchers in order to avoid the kind of strain that could lead to injury.

Matsuzaka, who underwent Tommy John surgery in 2011 while with the Boston Red Sox, is currently pitching for the Chunichi Dragons but has missed most of this season with an arm injury.

Sasaki has already been widely scouted by teams in MLB.

Marathon pitching outings on consecutive days have long been commonplace in Japanese high school baseball tournaments. Pitching a complete game, even those going into extra innings, is seen as an expression of the fighting spirit that dominates Japan's sports culture.

But times are changing, even in the tradition-bound world of Japanese high school baseball where players shave their heads, go through grueling practice sessions and adhere to strict codes of conduct.

Amateur baseball officials are considering the introduction of pitch limits aimed at preventing injuries to high school players.

The Japan high school federation has taken several other steps to protect players during the summer tournament which is played in sweltering heat. In 2000, it capped the number of extra innings to 15, down from 18. In 2013, it introduced a rest day after the quarterfinals.

Whether Kokubo's decision will lead to change is yet to be known.

''It's too early to tell whether this is a groundbreaking decision,'' Whiting said. ''Wait until the last few days of the Koshien tournament to see how many aces are rested. My guess is that the two pitchers in the final will have pitched three complete games in a row.''

 

[Cnotes53]

Braves acquire reliever Chris Martin from Rangers
July 30, 2019
By The Associated Press

ARLINGTON, Texas (AP) The NL East-leading Atlanta Braves have gotten some bullpen help, acquiring hard-throwing reliever Chris Martin from the Texas Rangers for former first-round draft pick Kolby Allard.

Martin, whose fastball has averaged 96 mph this season, has 24 strikeouts and only one walk over his last 19 appearances since May 24 for his hometown Rangers. The 6-foot-8 Martin has four saves and a 3.08 ERA in 38 games this year, with 43 strikeouts and four walks in 38 innings.

''We felt he had as much upside as anybody on the trade market,'' Braves general manager Alex Anthopoulos said Tuesday night after the deal was announced.

Allard, a 21-year-old lefty, was the 14th overall pick by the Braves in the 2015 amateur draft and signed for a $3,042,400 bonus. That was the same year that Dansby Swanson, now Atlanta's shortstop, was the first overall pick by Arizona before Houston used the second pick to get Alex Bregman, the All-Star third baseman for the Astros.

The Rangers were playing a home game against Seattle when the 33-year-old Martin was seen high-fiving teammates in the bullpen before leaving down the tunnel. Texas announced the trade a few minutes later.

Atlanta assumes the remaining $737,903 of Martin's $2.25 million salary. He has earned $100,000 in bonuses for 15 games finished, would get another $50,000 for 20, and $100,000 each for 25 and each additional five through 40.

Martin, who has only five career saves in 124 big league games, might get a chance to close in Atlanta. Luke Jackson has 17 saves but has struggled at times, failing to convert seven other chances.

Martin made his big league debut with the Colorado Rockies in 2014 and then pitched with the New York Yankees for part of the 2015 season. After two years in Japan, he signed with Texas before the 2018 season.

The Rangers optioned Allard to Triple-A Nashville. He was 7-5 with a 4.17 ERA in 20 starts this season for Triple-A Gwinnett.

''He's a young starter who already has significant experience at the upper levels,'' Rangers general manager Jon Daniels said. ''His reputation as a competitor is well known, and we look forward to watching him compete as a Ranger for a long time to come.''

Allard was regarded as one of the Braves' top pitching prospects and got a call to the big leagues in 2018 at age 20. But after being rocked for a 12.38 ERA in three appearances, giving up 19 hits and three homers in eight innings, he spent all of this season at Triple-A.

Even as the team made numerous moves looking to bolster its shaky rotation, it was clear the lefty had dropped behind other pitchers in Atlanta's deep farm system.

The Braves could still be looking for more help, but Anthopoulos gave no indication of how close they may be to another deal.

''Any opportunity to do a good baseball trade that makes sense for us, regardless of who they are, we're going to look to do it,'' said Anthopoulos, who in the past has been reluctant to deal the team's top prospects.

He said the market is flush with available relievers, which is why he decided to followed that path rather than go after a starting pitcher. The Braves might have pursued an outfielder to replace the injured Nick Markakis, but Adam Duvall's strong start since being called up last week from Gwinnett made that less of a priority.

''If we saw the value that we saw in the relief market in the position player market or the starting position market, we would've gone down that path,'' Anthopoulos said.

Markakis is expected to be out until at least mid-September with a fractured wrist. But Duvall, a former All-Star who endured a dismal 2018 season, revitalized his career with 29 homers in Triple-A this season. He hit two more homers against the Nationals on Tuesday night, giving him three in four games since returning to Atlanta.

''I know it's a small sample,'' Anthopoulos said. ''But this is not a surprise. This is the player he was if you look at his career. The outlier was 2018.''

 

[Cnotes53]

951Atlanta -952 Washington
WASHINGTON is 13-2 SU (11.9 Units) vs. a starting pitcher whose gives up 0.5 or less HR's/start in the current season.

953Pittsburgh -954 Cincinnati
PITTSBURGH is 28-37 SU (-19.7 Units) vs. NL teams scoring 4.5 or more runs/game on the season in the current season.

955La Dodgers -956 Colorado
LA DODGERS are 3-12 SU (-9.6 Units) when playing against a marginal losing team (Win Pct. 46% to 49%) in the current season.

957San Francisco -958 Philadelphia
SAN FRANCISCO is 10-0 SU (10 Units) when the total is 10 or higher in the current season.

959Chicago Cubs -960 St Louis
ST LOUIS are 10-3 SU (10.6 Units) in home games vs. a starting pitcher with good control (less than 1.75 BB's/start) in the current season.

961Toronto -962 Kansas City
TORONTO is 22-12 SU (11.6 Units) vs. a bad bullpen that blows 38% or more of their save opportunities in the current season.

963Detroit -964 La Angels
DETROIT is 18-37 SU (-23.2 Units) vs. good power teams - averaging 1.25 or more HR's/game in the current season.

965Tampa Bay -966 Boston
BOSTON is 8-23 SU (-16.7 Units) in home games vs. good fielding teams - averaging <=0.6 errors/game in the current season.

967Houston -968 Cleveland
CLEVELAND is 16-4 SU (11.6 Units) in home games when playing on Wednesday over the last 2 seasons.

969Seattle -970 Texas
TEXAS are 45-27 SU (16.4 Units) vs. an AL team with a team batting average of .265 or worse in the current season.

971Arizona -972 Ny Yankees
NY YANKEES are 13-3 SU (9.7 Units) at home with a money line of -100 to -150 in the current season.

973Minnesota -974 Miami
MIAMI is 53-36 SU (13.4 Units) in home games in the second half of the season in the last 3 seasons.

975Ny Mets -976 Chi White Sox
NY METS are 25-35 SU (-17.7 Units) vs. a team with a poor bullpen whose ERA is 4.20 or worse in the current season.

977Milwaukee -978 Oakland
MILWAUKEE is 10-30 SU (-20.4 Units) vs teams who strand 6.9 or less runners on base per game in the current season.

 

[Cnotes53]

MLB
Armadillo's Write-Up

Wednesday, July 31

National League
Giants (54-53) @ Phillies (56-50)
Samardzija is 3-1, 2.48 in his last five starts; he is 2-5, 8.51 in 12 games (6 starts) vs Philly. Team in his starts: 11-10
5-inning record: 6-8-7 Allowed run in 1st inning: 6-21 Over/under: 13-8

Velasquez is 1-1, 4.38 in his last five starts; he is 1-1, 3.12 in three starts vs SF. Team in his starts: 6-6
5-inning record: 6-5-1 Allowed run in 1st inning: 2-12 Over/under: 3-8-1

Giants are 15-5 in last 20 games; under is 4-1 in their last five games. Over/under 1st 5 innings: over 4-3 last seven games.

Philly won seven of last ten games; over is 6-2 in their last eight home games. Over/under 1st 5 innings: over 5-2-1 last eight home games.

Braves (63-45) @ Nationals (57-50)
Soroka is 1-1, 3.63 in his last four starts; he is 0-1, 4.50 in two starts vs Washington this year. Team in his starts: 14-4
5-inning record: 12-4-2 Allowed run in 1st inning: 4-18 Over/under: 7-9-2

Sanchez is 3-0, 3.00 in his last five starts; he is 2-0, 3.71 in three starts vs Atlanta this season. Team in his starts: 10-9
5-inning record: 10-6-3 Allowed run in 1st inning: 7-19 Over/under: under 5-0 last five

Braves are 5-8 in their last 13 games; four of their last five games went over. Over/under 1st 5 innings: under 6-3-1 last ten games.

Washington lost four of last six games; over is 4-2 in their last six games. Over/under 1st 5 innings: under 9-2-1 last 12 games.

Pirates (47-60) @ Reds (49-56)
Agrazal is 0-1, 3.63 in his last three starts. Team in his starts: 3-3
5-inning record: 2-2-2 Allowed run in 1st inning: 2-6 Over/under: 2-3-1

Castillo is 2-1, 3.65 in his last four starts; he is 0-0, 3.27 in two starts vs Pitt this year. Team in his starts: 11-10
5-inning record: 12-6-3 Allowed run in 1st inning: 5-21 Over/under: 6-15

Pirates lost nine of their last ten games; under is 8-5-2 in their last 15 games. Over/under 1st 5 innings: under 6-5-1 last 12 games.

Cincy won five of last eight games; over is 6-4 in their last 10 home games. Over/under 1st 5 innings: under 5-5 last ten games.

Cubs (56-50) @ Cardinals (57-49)
Hendricks is 0-1, 2.00 in his last three starts; he is 2-0, 0.56 in two starts vs StL this year. Team in his starts: lost last six
5-inning record: 10-7-2 Allowed run in 1st inning: 7-19 Over/under: under 8-0-1 last nine

Mikolas is 2-1, 2.57 in his last three starts; he is 0-1, 3.27 in two starts vs Chicago this season. Team in his starts: 11-10
5-inning record: 6-11-4 Allowed run in 1st inning: 6-21 Over/under: 6-12-3

Cubs are 8-21 in last 29 road games; under is 4-1 in their last five games. Over/under 1st 5 innings: over 6-4 last ten games.

St Louis lost three of last five games; under is 9-2 in their last 11 home games. Over/under 1st 5 innings: over 4-3 last seven games.

Dodgers (70-39) @ Rockies (50-58)
Ryu is 2-0, 1.35 in his last four starts; he is 0-1, 9.00 in two starts vs Colorado this year. Team in his starts: 15-5
5-inning record: 15-4-1 Allowed run in 1st inning: 7-20 Over/under: 9-10-1

Marquez is 2-0, 2.57 in his last two starts; he is 2-1, 2.89 in seven starts vs LA. Team in his starts: 15-8
5-inning record: 10-8-5 Allowed run in 1st inning: 8-23 Over/under: over 9-2-1 last 12

Dodgers are 6-4 in their last ten games; over is 8-3 last 11 road games. Over/under 1st 5 innings: under 5-1-1 last seven games.

Colorado lost 11 of last 15 games; over is 12-7 in their last 19 home games. Over/under 1st 5 innings: under 6-3 last nine games.

American League
Astros (69-39) @ Indians (62-44)
Urquidy is 1-0, 1.38 in his last two starts. Team in his starts: 3-1
5-inning record: 2-2 Allowed run in 1st inning: 1-4 Over/under: 2-2

Plesac is 2-0, 1.69 in his last three starts. Team in his starts: 8-3
5-inning record: 4-4-3 Allowed run in 1st inning: 2-11 Over/under: over 5-2 last seven

Astros won 10 of last 12 games; under is 9-2 in their last 11 games. Over/under 1st 5 innings: over 8-3 last 11 road games.

Cleveland won 12 of its last 16 games; over is 3-1 in their last four games. Over/under 1st 5 innings: under 6-1 last seven games.

Rays (61-48) @ Red Sox (59-49)
Bullpen game for the Rays. Team in bullpen games: 16-12
5-inning record: 17-8-3 Allowed run in 1st inning: 4-28 Over/under: 11-14-3

Porcello is 4-0, 7.54 in his last four starts; Boston scored 56 runs in those games. He is 0-1, 4.63 in two starts vs TB this year. Team in his starts: 13-8
5-inning record: 13-7-1 Allowed run in 1st inning: 5-21 Over/under: over 5-0 last five

Rays won four of last five games; over is 5-2 in their last seven games. Over/under 1st 5 innings: over 6-1 last seven games.

Boston lost four of last five games; over is 9-2 in their last 11 games. Over/under 1st 5 innings: over 12-3-2 last 17 games.

Mariners (47-63) @ Rangers (53-54)
LeBlanc is 1-0, 3.27 in his last two games; they use an opener ahead of him. Team in his starts: 0-0
5-inning record: 0-0 Allowed run in 1st inning: 0-0 Over/under: 0-0

Minor is 0-2, 6.45 in his last four starts; he is 2-1, 3.79 in three starts vs Seattle this season. Team in his starts: 10-11
5-inning record: 11-6-4 Allowed run in 1st inning: 5-21 Over/under: under 9-2 last 11

Mariners won their last six games; under is 4-2-1 in their last seven games. Over/under 1st 5 innings: under 3-2-1 last six games.

Texas lost 12 of last 15 games; under is 8-3 in their last 11 games. Over/under 1st 5 innings: under 3-2-1 last six games.

Blue Jays (42-67) @ Royals (40-69)
Waguespack is 1-1, 5.85 in four starts. Team in his starts: 2-2
5-inning record: 0-2-2 Allowed run in 1st inning: 1-4 Over/under: 1-2-1

Junis is 2-1, 3.12 in his last four starts; he is 1-0, 2.84 in two starts vs Toronto. Team in his starts: 9-13
5-inning record: 9-12-1 Allowed run in 1st inning: 10-22 Over/under: 10-10-2

Toronto won three of last four games; over is 3-0-1 in their last four games. Over/under 1st 5 innings: under 5-1-1 last seven road games.

Royals lost five of last six games; over is 4-0-1 in their last five games. Over/under 1st 5 innings: under 9-1 last ten games.

Tigers (31-72) @ Angels (56-53)
Norris is 0-3, 6.00 in his last six starts; he is 0-2, 4.32 in three starts vs LAA. Team in his starts: 4-14
5-inning record: 7-9-2 Allowed run in 1st inning: 5-18 Over/under: over 5-2 last seven

Suarez is 0-0, 6.43 in his last five games; they sometimes use an opener ahead him. Team in his starts: 0-0
5-inning record: 0-0 Allowed run in 1st inning: 0-0 Over/under: 0-0

Detroit lost 29 of last 34 games; under is 7-1-1 in their last nine games. Over/under 1st 5 innings: under 7-1-1 last nine games.

Angels lost four of their last six games; under is 3-0 in their last three games. Over/under 1st 5 innings: over 9-3-1 last 13 home games.

Interleague
Diamondbacks (54-54) @ New York (67-39)
Greinke is 2-1, 2.18 in his last five starts. Team in his starts: 13-9
5-inning record: 13-5-4 Allowed run in 1st inning: 9-22 Over/under: under 4-1 last five

Tanaka is 2-1, 11.69 in his last five starts; NY scored 43 runs in those games. Team in his starts: 13-8
5-inning record: 12-6-3 Allowed run in 1st inning: 3-21 Over/under: over 5-1 last six

Arizona is 5-6 in its last 11 games; under is 4-1 in their last five games. Over/under 1st 5 innings: under 4-1 last five games.

New York lost four of last five games; over is 9-1 in their last ten games. Over/under 1st 5 innings: over 7-1-2 last ten games.

Twins (65-41) @ Marlins (42-64)
Berrios is 1-0, 3.06 in his last three starts. Team in his starts: 13-8
5-inning record: 11-5-5 Allowed run in 1st inning: 5-21 Over/under: 10-8-3

Alcantara is 0-3, 6.28 in his last five starts. Team in his starts: 7-13
5-inning record: 5-10-5 Allowed run in 1st inning: 5-20 Over/under: 9-11

Twins won six of last eight road games; over is 6-3 in their last nine games. Over/under 1st 5 innings: over 7-2 last nine games.

Miami won three of last five games; under is 5-2 in their last seven home games. Over/under 1st 5 innings: over 15-5-1 last 21 home games.

Mets (51-55) @ White Sox (46-58)
deGrom is 2-0, 1.04 in his last four starts. Team in his starts: 7-14
5-inning record: 10-8-3 Allowed run in 1st inning: 3-21 Over/under: 13-8

Giolito is 0-3, 7.06 in his last four starts. Team in his starts: 13-7
5-inning record: 11-6-3 Allowed run in 1st inning: 8-20 Over/under: 8-11-1

Mets won six of last seven games; under is 7-3-2 in their last 12 games. Over/under 1st 5 innings: over 3-2-1 last six games.

White Sox lost seven of their last eight games; under is 7-3 in their last ten games. Over/under 1st 5 innings: over 3-2 last five games.

Brewers (56-52) @ A?s (61-47)
Team in his starts: 0-0
5-inning record: 0-0 Allowed run in 1st inning: 0-0 Over/under: 0-0

Anderson is 1-1, 4.56 in his last four starts. Team in his starts: 15-6
5-inning record: 11-8-2 Allowed run in 1st inning: 6-21 Over/under: under 8-3 last 11

Brewers won three of last five games; over is 6-2 in their last eight games. Over/under 1st 5 innings: under 13-5 last 18 games.

A?s won their last three games; under is 8-4 in their last 12 games. Over/under 1st 5 innings: under 11-5-1 last 17 games.

Umpires
Atl-Wsh- Under is 6-2 in first 5 innings of last eight Cuzzi games.
Pitt-Cin- Five of last seven DeJesus games stayed under.
LA-Col- Underdogs are 5-3 in last eight Danley games.
SF-Phil- Three of last four Dreckman games stayed under.
Chi-StL- Under is 5-2 in last seven Visconti games.

Tor-KC- Four of last five Whitson games stayed under.
Det-LAA- 10 of last 12 Meals games stayed under total.
TB-Bos- Last six Barber games stayed under.
Hst-Clev- Over is 5-3 in last eight Segal games.
Sea-Tex- Favorites won six of last seven Muchinski games.

Az-NYY- Favorites won 15 of last 17 O?Nora games.
Min-Mia- Eight of last nine Everitt games went over.
NY-Chi- Underdogs won seven of last 10 Wegner games.
Mil-A?s- Under is 4-2 in Mahrley games this season.

%age of times teams score in first inning (road/home/total)
Team (road-home-total)- thru 7/25
Ariz 17-54??12-49??29
Atl 16-50?..19-53??35
Cubs 14-48??19-54?..33
Reds 18-51??16-49?..34
Colo 11-53??19-50??30
LA 14-50??20-54??34
Mia 8-50??12-50??20
Milw 15-50?..19-54?..34
Mets 20-57??14-45?..34
Philly 13-51?..18-52??31
Pitt 15-52?..14-50??29
StL 14-54?..12-48??.26
SD 16-50??12-50?..28
SF 6-49??10-52??.16
Wash 13-52?..13-48??,26

Orioles 12-51??.17-51..?..29
Boston 13-54??.17-50??30
W Sox 11-51??.17-49??.28
Clev 14-49?..16-53??..30
Det 15-50??14-48??..29
Astros 20-51?..11-53??..31
KC 15-52?..20-52??..35
Angels 17-53??12-51??.29
Twins 20-50??13-52??33
NYY 16-47??17-56??33
A?s 12-52?..14-52??.26
Sea 12-51?..16-55??.28
TB 19-51?..16-52??.35
Texas 15-51?..18-52??.33
Toronto 12-53?..14-51??.26

Interleague play- 2019
NL @ AL? 58-41 NL, favorites -$1,533 under 47-46-3
AL @ NL? 41-40 AL, favorites -$1,887 over 41-38-5
Total: 98-82 NL, favorites -$3,420 Over 87-85-8

 

[Cnotes53]

MLB

Wednesday, July 31

------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Trend Report
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

Atlanta Braves
Atlanta is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games
Atlanta is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games
The total has gone UNDER in 13 of Atlanta's last 19 games
Atlanta is 7-3 ATS in its last 10 games on the road
Atlanta is 15-8 SU in its last 23 games on the road
Atlanta is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Atlanta's last 6 games on the road
Atlanta is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games when playing Washington
Atlanta is 4-8 SU in its last 12 games when playing Washington
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Atlanta's last 6 games when playing Washington
Washington Nationals
Washington is 16-8 SU in its last 24 games
The total has gone UNDER in 18 of Washington's last 24 games
Washington is 4-2 ATS in its last 6 games when playing Atlanta
Washington is 8-4 SU in its last 12 games when playing Atlanta
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Washington's last 6 games when playing Atlanta

Pittsburgh Pirates
Pittsburgh is 1-6 ATS in its last 7 games
Pittsburgh is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games
Pittsburgh is 3-6 ATS in its last 9 games on the road
Pittsburgh is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games on the road
Pittsburgh is 15-5 SU in its last 20 games when playing Cincinnati
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Pittsburgh's last 7 games when playing Cincinnati
Cincinnati Reds
Cincinnati is 5-2 ATS in its last 7 games
Cincinnati is 5-2 SU in its last 7 games
Cincinnati is 5-15 SU in its last 20 games when playing Pittsburgh
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Cincinnati's last 7 games when playing Pittsburgh

Arizona Diamondbacks
Arizona is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games
Arizona is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games
Arizona is 4-8 SU in its last 12 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Arizona's last 6 games on the road
Arizona is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing NY Yankees
Arizona is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games when playing NY Yankees
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Arizona's last 8 games when playing NY Yankees
Arizona is 1-5 SU in its last 6 games when playing on the road against NY Yankees
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Arizona's last 5 games when playing on the road against NY Yankees
New York Yankees
NY Yankees is 15-7 ATS in its last 22 games
The total has gone OVER in 5 of NY Yankees's last 5 games
NY Yankees is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Arizona
NY Yankees is 1-5 SU in its last 6 games when playing Arizona
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of NY Yankees's last 8 games when playing Arizona
NY Yankees is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games when playing at home against Arizona
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of NY Yankees's last 5 games when playing at home against Arizona

Toronto Blue Jays
Toronto is 4-2 ATS in its last 6 games
Toronto is 5-2 ATS in its last 7 games on the road
Toronto is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Kansas City
Toronto is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing Kansas City
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Toronto's last 5 games when playing Kansas City
Toronto is 2-9 ATS in its last 11 games when playing on the road against Kansas City
Toronto is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games when playing on the road against Kansas City
Toronto is 5-10 SU in its last 15 games when playing on the road against Kansas City
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Toronto's last 6 games when playing on the road against Kansas City
The total has gone UNDER in 8 of Toronto's last 12 games when playing on the road against Kansas City
Kansas City Royals
Kansas City is 6-3 ATS in its last 9 games
Kansas City is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Kansas City's last 5 games
Kansas City is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Toronto
Kansas City is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games when playing Toronto
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Kansas City's last 5 games when playing Toronto
Kansas City is 9-2 ATS in its last 11 games when playing at home against Toronto
Kansas City is 10-5 SU in its last 15 games when playing at home against Toronto
Kansas City is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games when playing at home against Toronto
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Kansas City's last 6 games when playing at home against Toronto
The total has gone UNDER in 8 of Kansas City's last 12 games when playing at home against Toronto

Los Angeles Dodgers
LA Dodgers is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games
LA Dodgers is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of LA Dodgers's last 6 games
LA Dodgers is 7-3 ATS in its last 10 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 7 of LA Dodgers's last 10 games on the road
LA Dodgers is 9-4 ATS in its last 13 games when playing Colorado
LA Dodgers is 13-3 SU in its last 16 games when playing Colorado
LA Dodgers is 6-3 ATS in its last 9 games when playing on the road against Colorado
LA Dodgers is 6-3 SU in its last 9 games when playing on the road against Colorado
The total has gone OVER in 4 of LA Dodgers's last 6 games when playing on the road against Colorado
Colorado Rockies
Colorado is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games
Colorado is 6-18 ATS in its last 24 games
Colorado is 6-18 SU in its last 24 games
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Colorado's last 7 games
Colorado is 4-9 ATS in its last 13 games when playing LA Dodgers
Colorado is 3-13 SU in its last 16 games when playing LA Dodgers
Colorado is 3-6 ATS in its last 9 games when playing at home against LA Dodgers
Colorado is 3-6 SU in its last 9 games when playing at home against LA Dodgers
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Colorado's last 6 games when playing at home against LA Dodgers

Detroit Tigers
Detroit is 6-15 ATS in its last 21 games
Detroit is 1-7 SU in its last 8 games
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Detroit's last 5 games
Detroit is 5-13 ATS in its last 18 games on the road
Detroit is 1-9 SU in its last 10 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Detroit's last 5 games on the road
Detroit is 2-6 ATS in its last 8 games when playing LA Angels
Detroit is 2-6 SU in its last 8 games when playing LA Angels
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Detroit's last 10 games when playing LA Angels
Detroit is 1-5 ATS in its last 6 games when playing on the road against LA Angels
Detroit is 1-5 SU in its last 6 games when playing on the road against LA Angels
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Detroit's last 8 games when playing on the road against LA Angels
Los Angeles Angels
LA Angels is 1-5 ATS in its last 6 games
LA Angels is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games
LA Angels is 1-7 ATS in its last 8 games at home
LA Angels is 2-6 SU in its last 8 games at home
LA Angels is 6-2 ATS in its last 8 games when playing Detroit
LA Angels is 6-2 SU in its last 8 games when playing Detroit
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of LA Angels's last 10 games when playing Detroit
LA Angels is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games when playing at home against Detroit
LA Angels is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games when playing at home against Detroit
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of LA Angels's last 8 games when playing at home against Detroit

San Francisco Giants
San Francisco is 17-8 ATS in its last 25 games
San Francisco is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games
San Francisco is 19-6 SU in its last 25 games
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of San Francisco's last 5 games
San Francisco is 15-3 ATS in its last 18 games on the road
San Francisco is 11-3 SU in its last 14 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of San Francisco's last 7 games on the road
San Francisco is 5-16 ATS in its last 21 games when playing Philadelphia
San Francisco is 3-7 SU in its last 10 games when playing Philadelphia
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of San Francisco's last 5 games when playing Philadelphia
San Francisco is 0-5 ATS in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Philadelphia
San Francisco is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Philadelphia
Philadelphia Phillies
Philadelphia is 5-2 SU in its last 7 games
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Philadelphia's last 9 games
Philadelphia is 3-8 ATS in its last 11 games at home
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Philadelphia's last 5 games at home
Philadelphia is 16-5 ATS in its last 21 games when playing San Francisco
Philadelphia is 7-3 SU in its last 10 games when playing San Francisco
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Philadelphia's last 5 games when playing San Francisco
Philadelphia is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games when playing at home against San Francisco
Philadelphia is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against San Francisco

Houston Astros
Houston is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games
Houston is 10-2 SU in its last 12 games
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Houston's last 6 games
Houston is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games on the road
Houston is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Houston's last 5 games on the road
Houston is 6-2 SU in its last 8 games when playing Cleveland
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Houston's last 5 games when playing Cleveland
Houston is 7-2 ATS in its last 9 games when playing on the road against Cleveland
Houston is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games when playing on the road against Cleveland
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Houston's last 6 games when playing on the road against Cleveland
Cleveland Indians
Cleveland is 12-4 SU in its last 16 games
Cleveland is 7-2 SU in its last 9 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 8 of Cleveland's last 12 games at home
Cleveland is 2-6 SU in its last 8 games when playing Houston
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Cleveland's last 5 games when playing Houston
Cleveland is 2-7 ATS in its last 9 games when playing at home against Houston
Cleveland is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games when playing at home against Houston
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Cleveland's last 6 games when playing at home against Houston

Tampa Bay Rays
Tampa Bay is 4-9 ATS in its last 13 games
Tampa Bay is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Tampa Bay's last 7 games
Tampa Bay is 2-5 ATS in its last 7 games on the road
Tampa Bay is 7-3 ATS in its last 10 games when playing Boston
Tampa Bay is 7-3 SU in its last 10 games when playing Boston
Tampa Bay is 7-1 ATS in its last 8 games when playing on the road against Boston
Tampa Bay is 7-1 SU in its last 8 games when playing on the road against Boston
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Tampa Bay's last 9 games when playing on the road against Boston
Boston Red Sox
Boston is 4-2 ATS in its last 6 games
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Boston's last 5 games
Boston is 4-2 ATS in its last 6 games at home
Boston is 8-17 ATS in its last 25 games at home
Boston is 5-2 SU in its last 7 games at home
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Boston's last 5 games at home
Boston is 3-7 ATS in its last 10 games when playing Tampa Bay
Boston is 3-7 SU in its last 10 games when playing Tampa Bay
Boston is 1-7 ATS in its last 8 games when playing at home against Tampa Bay
Boston is 1-7 SU in its last 8 games when playing at home against Tampa Bay
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Boston's last 9 games when playing at home against Tampa Bay

Minnesota Twins
Minnesota is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Minnesota's last 9 games
Minnesota is 6-2 ATS in its last 8 games on the road
Minnesota is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 8 of Minnesota's last 10 games on the road
Miami Marlins
Miami is 6-1 ATS in its last 7 games
Miami is 5-2 SU in its last 7 games
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Miami's last 7 games
Miami is 7-1 ATS in its last 8 games at home
Miami is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Miami's last 7 games at home

Seattle Mariners
Seattle is 4-2 ATS in its last 6 games
Seattle is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
Seattle is 1-6 ATS in its last 7 games on the road
Seattle is 1-9 SU in its last 10 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Seattle's last 6 games on the road
Seattle is 4-8 SU in its last 12 games when playing Texas
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Seattle's last 6 games when playing Texas
Seattle is 3-8 ATS in its last 11 games when playing on the road against Texas
Seattle is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Texas
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Seattle's last 9 games when playing on the road against Texas
Texas Rangers
Texas is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games
Texas is 3-12 SU in its last 15 games
Texas is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games at home
Texas is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games at home
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Texas's last 5 games at home
Texas is 8-4 SU in its last 12 games when playing Seattle
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Texas's last 6 games when playing Seattle
Texas is 8-3 ATS in its last 11 games when playing at home against Seattle
Texas is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Seattle
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Texas's last 9 games when playing at home against Seattle

New York Mets
NY Mets is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games
NY Mets is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of NY Mets's last 5 games
NY Mets is 8-1 ATS in its last 9 games on the road
NY Mets is 6-3 SU in its last 9 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of NY Mets's last 5 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of NY Mets's last 5 games when playing Chi White Sox
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of NY Mets's last 6 games when playing on the road against Chi White Sox
Chicago White Sox
Chi White Sox is 1-6 ATS in its last 7 games
Chi White Sox is 1-6 SU in its last 7 games
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Chi White Sox's last 7 games
Chi White Sox is 1-6 ATS in its last 7 games at home
Chi White Sox is 1-6 SU in its last 7 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Chi White Sox's last 7 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Chi White Sox's last 5 games when playing NY Mets
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Chi White Sox's last 6 games when playing at home against NY Mets

Chicago Cubs
Chi Cubs is 2-8 ATS in its last 10 games
Chi Cubs is 2-6 SU in its last 8 games
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Chi Cubs's last 5 games
Chi Cubs is 2-6 ATS in its last 8 games on the road
Chi Cubs is 2-6 SU in its last 8 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Chi Cubs's last 5 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Chi Cubs's last 5 games when playing St. Louis
Chi Cubs is 2-6 ATS in its last 8 games when playing on the road against St. Louis
Chi Cubs is 1-7 SU in its last 8 games when playing on the road against St. Louis
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Chi Cubs's last 8 games when playing on the road against St. Louis
St. Louis Cardinals
St. Louis is 9-3 ATS in its last 12 games
St. Louis is 7-2 SU in its last 9 games
St. Louis is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games at home
St. Louis is 6-3 SU in its last 9 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 9 of St. Louis's last 11 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of St. Louis's last 5 games when playing Chi Cubs
St. Louis is 6-2 ATS in its last 8 games when playing at home against Chi Cubs
St. Louis is 7-1 SU in its last 8 games when playing at home against Chi Cubs
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of St. Louis's last 8 games when playing at home against Chi Cubs

Milwaukee Brewers
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Milwaukee's last 5 games
Milwaukee is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games on the road
Milwaukee is 5-10 SU in its last 15 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Milwaukee's last 8 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Milwaukee's last 7 games when playing Oakland
Milwaukee is 1-5 SU in its last 6 games when playing on the road against Oakland
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Milwaukee's last 5 games when playing on the road against Oakland
Oakland Athletics
Oakland is 0-5 ATS in its last 5 games
Oakland is 17-8 SU in its last 25 games
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Oakland's last 7 games
Oakland is 0-5 ATS in its last 5 games at home
Oakland is 9-2 SU in its last 11 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Oakland's last 7 games when playing Milwaukee
Oakland is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games when playing at home against Milwaukee
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Oakland's last 5 games when playing at home against Milwaukee

 

[Cnotes53]

MLB
Dunkel

Wednesday, July 31


Atlanta @ Washington

Game 951-952
July 31, 2019 @ 12:05 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Atlanta
(Soroka) 17.471
Washington
(Sanchez) 13.795
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Atlanta
by 3 1/2
13
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Atlanta
-120
10
Dunkel Pick:
Atlanta
(-120); Over

Pittsburgh @ Cincinnati

Game 953-954
July 31, 2019 @ 12:34 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Pittsburgh
(Agrazal) 14.054
Cincinnati
(Castillo) 15.564
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Cincinnati
by 1 1/2
9
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Cincinnati
-200
9 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Cincinnati
(-200); Under

Arizona @ NY Yankees

Game 971-972
July 31, 2019 @ 1:05 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Arizona
(Greinke) 14.485
NY Yankees
(Tanaka) 13.425
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Arizona
by 1
13
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
NY Yankees
-135
9 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Arizona
(+115); Over

Toronto @ Kansas City

Game 961-962
July 31, 2019 @ 1:15 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Toronto
(Wguespck) 15.840
Kansas City
(Junis) 13.647
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Toronto
by 2
8
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Kansas City
-125
10
Dunkel Pick:
Toronto
(+105); Under

LA Dodgers @ Colorado

Game 955-956
July 31, 2019 @ 3:10 pm

Dunkel Rating:
LA Dodgers
(Ryu) 17.893
Colorado
(Marquez) 13.107
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
LA Dodgers
by 5
13
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
LA Dodgers
-135
12
Dunkel Pick:
LA Dodgers
(-135); Over

Detroit @ LA Angels

Game 963-964
July 31, 2019 @ 4:07 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Detroit
(Norris) 11.954
LA Angels
(Suarez) 14.468
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
LA Angels
by 2 1/2
12
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
LA Angels
-200
10
Dunkel Pick:
LA Angels
(-200); Over

San Francisco @ Philadelphia

Game 957-958
July 31, 2019 @ 7:05 pm

Dunkel Rating:
San Francisco
(Samrdzja) 12.899
Philadelphia
(Velasquez)
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Philadelphia
by 4 1/2
11
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Philadelphia
-130
10
Dunkel Pick:
Philadelphia
(-130); Over

Minnesota @ Miami

Game 973-974
July 31, 2019 @ 7:10 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Minnesota
(Berrios) 16.338
Miami
(Alcntara) 14.386
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Minnesota
by 2
6
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Minnesota
-185
8
Dunkel Pick:
Minnesota
(-185); Under

Houston @ Cleveland

Game 967-968
July 31, 2019 @ 7:10 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Houston
(Urquidy) 18.365
Cleveland
(Plesac) 16.395
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Houston
by 2
12
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Houston
-145
10
Dunkel Pick:
Houston
(-145); Over

Tampa Bay @ Boston

Game 965-966
July 31, 2019 @ 7:10 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Tampa Bay
(Kittredge) 16.131
Boston
(Porcello) 15.025
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Tampa Bay
by 1
13
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Tampa Bay
No Line
N/A
Dunkel Pick:
Tampa Bay
N/A

Seattle @ Texas

Game 969-970
July 31, 2019 @ 8:05 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Seattle
(TBD) 12.727
Texas
(Minor) 15.236
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Texas
by 2 1/2
11
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Texas
No Line
N/A
Dunkel Pick:
Texas
N/A

NY Mets @ Chicago White Sox

Game 975-976
July 31, 2019 @ 8:10 pm

Dunkel Rating:
NY Mets
(deGrom) 14.340
Chicago White Sox
(Gioliito) 15.464
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Chicago White Sox
by 1
7
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
NY Mets
-170
8
Dunkel Pick:
Chicago White Sox
(+150); Under

Chicago Cubs @ St. Louis

Game 959-960
July 31, 2019 @ 8:15 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Chicago Cubs
(Hendrcks) 15.521
St. Louis
(Mikolas) 16.992
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
St. Louis
by 1 1/2
7
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Chicago Cubs
-115
8
Dunkel Pick:
St. Louis
(-105); Under

Milwaukee @ Oakland

Game 977-978
July 31, 2019 @ 10:07 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Milwaukee
(Lyles) 15.657
Oakland
(Anderson) 14.359
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Milwaukee
by 1 1/2
8
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Oakland
-125
9
Dunkel Pick:
Milwaukee
(+105); Under

 

[Cnotes53]

MLB
Long Sheet

Wednesday, July 31

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

ATLANTA (63 - 45) at WASHINGTON (57 - 50) - 12:05 PM
MIKE SOROKA (R) vs. ANIBAL SANCHEZ (R)
Top Trends for this game.
ATLANTA is 63-45 (+10.1 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
ATLANTA is 39-28 (+11.1 Units) against the money line on the road when the money line is +125 to -125 over the last 2 seasons.
ATLANTA is 33-22 (+12.2 Units) against the money line in road games this season.
ATLANTA is 76-44 (+31.2 Units) against the money line against division opponents over the last 2 seasons.
ATLANTA is 27-18 (+10.0 Units) against the money line in road games against right-handed starters this season.
ATLANTA is 86-66 (+18.2 Units) against the money line after a win over the last 2 seasons.
ATLANTA is 74-63 (+18.3 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.
SOROKA is 18-5 (+12.0 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
SOROKA is 11-2 (+9.8 Units) against the money line in road games over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
SOROKA is 10-1 (+9.3 Units) against the money line against division opponents over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
WASHINGTON is 57-50 (-8.5 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
WASHINGTON is 72-64 (-26.1 Units) against the money line in home games over the last 2 seasons.
WASHINGTON is 82-78 (-30.8 Units) against the money line in day games over the last 3 seasons.
WASHINGTON is 89-71 (-21.7 Units) against the money line in home games against right-handed starters over the last 3 seasons.
WASHINGTON is 35-40 (-18.8 Units) against the money line in home games when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
WASHINGTON is 6-5 (+1.8 Units) against ATLANTA this season
6 of 10 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL this season . (Under=+1.7 Units)

MIKE SOROKA vs. WASHINGTON since 1997
SOROKA is 0-1 when starting against WASHINGTON with an ERA of 4.50 and a WHIP of 1.500.
His team's record is 1-1 (-0.7 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 2-0. (+2.0 units)

ANIBAL SANCHEZ vs. ATLANTA since 1997
SANCHEZ is 7-11 when starting against ATLANTA with an ERA of 4.80 and a WHIP of 1.407.
His team's record is 7-14 (-5.7 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 12-8. (+3.0 units)

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

PITTSBURGH (47 - 60) at CINCINNATI (49 - 56) - 12:35 PM
DARIO AGRAZAL (R) vs. LUIS CASTILLO (R)
Top Trends for this game.
PITTSBURGH is 41-36 (+10.8 Units) against the money line when the total is 9 to 9.5 over the last 2 seasons.
PITTSBURGH is 63-61 (+11.2 Units) against the money line against division opponents over the last 2 seasons.
PITTSBURGH is 99-95 (+11.8 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters over the last 2 seasons.
CINCINNATI is 49-78 (-23.0 Units) against the money line against division opponents over the last 2 seasons.
CINCINNATI is 14-30 (-15.9 Units) against the money line in day games this season.
CINCINNATI is 82-114 (-22.8 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters over the last 2 seasons.
CINCINNATI is 32-44 (-14.5 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 2 seasons.
CINCINNATI is 11-20 (-12.8 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a losing record in the second half of the season over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
PITTSBURGH is 8-4 (+5.6 Units) against CINCINNATI this season
6 of 11 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL this season . (Over=+0.5 Units)

DARIO AGRAZAL vs. CINCINNATI since 1997
No recent starts.

LUIS CASTILLO vs. PITTSBURGH since 1997
CASTILLO is 1-3 when starting against PITTSBURGH with an ERA of 3.55 and a WHIP of 1.211.
His team's record is 3-4 (-2.3 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 3-4. (-1.6 units)

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LA DODGERS (70 - 39) at COLORADO (50 - 58) - 3:10 PM
HYUN-JIN RYU (L) vs. GERMAN MARQUEZ (R)
Top Trends for this game.
LA DODGERS are 6-14 (-12.5 Units) against the money line in road games when playing on Wednesday over the last 2 seasons.
RYU is 7-15 (-11.8 Units) against the money line in road games after a win over the last 3 seasons. (Team's Record)
COLORADO is 142-133 (+12.8 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 2 seasons.
COLORADO is 82-76 (+18.7 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.
COLORADO is 45-36 (+17.4 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record in the second half of the season over the last 2 seasons.
RYU is 43-15 (+21.9 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a losing record since 1997. (Team's Record)
COLORADO is 6-18 (-12.7 Units) against the money line in July games this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
LA DODGERS is 9-3 (+4.4 Units) against COLORADO this season
6 of 11 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL this season . (Over=+0.4 Units)

HYUN-JIN RYU vs. COLORADO since 1997
RYU is 4-7 when starting against COLORADO with an ERA of 5.34 and a WHIP of 1.549.
His team's record is 5-7 (-5.8 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 5-5. (-1.0 units)

GERMAN MARQUEZ vs. LA DODGERS since 1997
MARQUEZ is 2-1 when starting against LA DODGERS with an ERA of 2.89 and a WHIP of 1.008.
His team's record is 3-4 (+1.3 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 4-2. (+1.8 units)

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SAN FRANCISCO (54 - 53) at PHILADELPHIA (56 - 50) - 7:05 PM
JEFF SAMARDZIJA (R) vs. VINCENT VELASQUEZ (R)
Top Trends for this game.
SAMARDZIJA is 95-132 (-43.4 Units) against the money line in all games since 1997. (Team's Record)
SAMARDZIJA is 12-27 (-17.9 Units) against the money line when playing on Wednesday since 1997. (Team's Record)
SAMARDZIJA is 39-77 (-34.6 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record since 1997. (Team's Record)
PHILADELPHIA is 455-461 (+45.8 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record in the second half of the season since 1997.
SAN FRANCISCO is 54-53 (+13.4 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
SAN FRANCISCO is 29-25 (+14.1 Units) against the money line in road games this season.
SAN FRANCISCO is 18-6 (+16.9 Units) against the money line in July games this season.
SAN FRANCISCO is 35-30 (+14.0 Units) against the money line in night games this season.
SAN FRANCISCO is 40-35 (+13.0 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters this season.
SAN FRANCISCO is 29-23 (+12.7 Units) against the money line after a loss this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
PHILADELPHIA is 1-0 (+1.0 Units) against SAN FRANCISCO this season
1 of 1 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL this season . (Under=+1.1 Units)

JEFF SAMARDZIJA vs. PHILADELPHIA since 1997
SAMARDZIJA is 1-4 when starting against PHILADELPHIA with an ERA of 9.50 and a WHIP of 1.780.
His team's record is 1-5 (-4.7 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 1-5. (-4.7 units)

VINCENT VELASQUEZ vs. SAN FRANCISCO since 1997
VELASQUEZ is 1-1 when starting against SAN FRANCISCO with an ERA of 3.12 and a WHIP of 1.039.
His team's record is 1-2 (-1.0 units) in these starts. The OVER is 0-3. (-3.1 units)

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CHICAGO CUBS (56 - 50) at ST LOUIS (57 - 49) - 8:15 PM
KYLE HENDRICKS (R) vs. MILES MIKOLAS (R)
Top Trends for this game.
CHICAGO CUBS are 1846-1882 (-273.4 Units) against the money line in all games since 1997.
CHICAGO CUBS are 82-79 (-24.2 Units) against the money line when the total is 8 to 8.5 over the last 3 seasons.
CHICAGO CUBS are 14-24 (-11.3 Units) against the money line on the road when the money line is +125 to -125 this season.
CHICAGO CUBS are 20-32 (-14.2 Units) against the money line in road games this season.
CHICAGO CUBS are 5-15 (-11.0 Units) against the money line in road games against division opponents this season.
CHICAGO CUBS are 28-33 (-9.8 Units) against the money line in night games this season.
CHICAGO CUBS are 1370-1402 (-207.3 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters since 1997.
HENDRICKS is 26-26 (-13.4 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
ST LOUIS is 15-5 (+10.4 Units) against the money line at home when the money line is +125 to -125 this season.
ST LOUIS is 16-8 (+7.0 Units) against the money line in July games this season.
ST LOUIS is 521-371 (+61.1 Units) against the money line in home games when playing against a team with a winning record since 1997.
ST LOUIS is 474-428 (+51.4 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record in the second half of the season since 1997.
MIKOLAS is 35-18 (+12.6 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)

Head-to-Head Series History
CHICAGO CUBS is 6-4 (+1.8 Units) against ST LOUIS this season
6 of 10 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL this season . (Under=+1.5 Units)

KYLE HENDRICKS vs. ST LOUIS since 1997
HENDRICKS is 7-2 when starting against ST LOUIS with an ERA of 3.06 and a WHIP of 1.066.
His team's record is 13-4 (+9.1 units) in these starts. The OVER is 9-8. (+0.5 units)

MILES MIKOLAS vs. CHICAGO CUBS since 1997
MIKOLAS is 3-1 when starting against CHICAGO CUBS with an ERA of 1.95 and a WHIP of 1.108.
His team's record is 4-2 (+2.4 units) in these starts. The OVER is 1-5. (-4.9 units)

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TORONTO (42 - 67) at KANSAS CITY (40 - 69) - 1:15 PM
JACOB WAGUESPACK (R) vs. JAKE JUNIS (R)
Top Trends for this game.
TORONTO is 12-28 (-16.1 Units) against the money line when playing on Wednesday over the last 2 seasons.
TORONTO is 25-46 (-19.2 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters this season.
TORONTO is 44-70 (-24.0 Units) against the money line after a win over the last 2 seasons.
KANSAS CITY is 33-26 (+10.5 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a losing record in the second half of the season over the last 2 seasons.
KANSAS CITY is 40-69 (-16.0 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
KANSAS CITY is 4-14 (-10.4 Units) against the money line at home when the total is 10 to 10.5 this season.
KANSAS CITY is 68-125 (-34.1 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
TORONTO is 5-1 (+4.0 Units) against KANSAS CITY this season
5 of 6 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL this season . (Over=+4.0 Units)

JACOB WAGUESPACK vs. KANSAS CITY since 1997
No recent starts.

JAKE JUNIS vs. TORONTO since 1997
JUNIS is 1-0 when starting against TORONTO with an ERA of 2.84 and a WHIP of 1.027.
His team's record is 2-0 (+2.4 units) in these starts. The OVER is 1-1. (-0.1 units)

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DETROIT (31 - 72) at LA ANGELS (56 - 53) - 4:07 PM
DANIEL NORRIS (L) vs. JOSE SUAREZ (L)
Top Trends for this game.
DETROIT is 31-72 (-28.7 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
DETROIT is 9-40 (-22.0 Units) against the money line as a road underdog of +175 to +250 over the last 2 seasons.
DETROIT is 4-20 (-14.4 Units) against the money line in July games this season.
DETROIT is 21-50 (-20.1 Units) against the money line after a loss this season.
DETROIT is 10-37 (-19.4 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record this season.
NORRIS is 5-21 (-14.8 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
LA ANGELS are 37-49 (-18.6 Units) against the money line against left-handed starters over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
DETROIT is 2-3 (+0.2 Units) against LA ANGELS this season
3 of 5 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL this season . (Under=+0.9 Units)

DANIEL NORRIS vs. LA ANGELS since 1997
NORRIS is 0-2 when starting against LA ANGELS with an ERA of 4.32 and a WHIP of 1.440.
His team's record is 1-2 (-1.1 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 3-0. (+3.1 units)

JOSE SUAREZ vs. DETROIT since 1997
No recent starts.

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TAMPA BAY (61 - 48) at BOSTON (59 - 49) - 7:10 PM
ANDREW KITTREDGE (R) vs. RICK PORCELLO (R)
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
TAMPA BAY is 7-6 (+1.1 Units) against BOSTON this season
7 of 13 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL this season . (Under=+0.7 Units)

ANDREW KITTREDGE vs. BOSTON since 1997
KITTREDGE is 0-1 when starting against BOSTON with an ERA of 3.38 and a WHIP of 1.126.
His team's record is 0-2 (-2.0 units) in these starts. The OVER is 1-1. (+0.0 units)

RICK PORCELLO vs. TAMPA BAY since 1997
PORCELLO is 14-11 when starting against TAMPA BAY with an ERA of 3.50 and a WHIP of 1.202.
His team's record is 18-12 (+4.1 units) in these starts. The OVER is 12-18. (-7.1 units)

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HOUSTON (69 - 39) at CLEVELAND (62 - 44) - 7:10 PM
JOSE URQUIDY (R) vs. ZACH PLESAC (R)
Top Trends for this game.
HOUSTON is 1-9 (-10.3 Units) against the money line in road games after shutting out their opponent over the last 3 seasons.
HOUSTON is 47-19 (+18.8 Units) against the money line as a road favorite of -125 to -175 over the last 2 seasons.
HOUSTON is 144-83 (+34.1 Units) against the money line in road games over the last 3 seasons.
HOUSTON is 63-27 (+25.8 Units) against the money line in road games after a win over the last 2 seasons.
HOUSTON is 34-11 (+20.3 Units) against the money line in road games after 3 or more consecutive wins over the last 2 seasons.
CLEVELAND is 153-118 (-26.4 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 2 seasons.
CLEVELAND is 90-74 (-26.9 Units) against the money line in night games over the last 2 seasons.
CLEVELAND is 108-85 (-25.4 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters over the last 2 seasons.
CLEVELAND is 8-14 (-19.4 Units) against the money line after getting shut out over the last 3 seasons.
CLEVELAND is 44-52 (-21.5 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.
CLEVELAND is 12-19 (-14.8 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record in the second half of the season over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
HOUSTON is 3-2 (+0.3 Units) against CLEVELAND this season
4 of 5 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL this season . (Under=+3.0 Units)

JOSE URQUIDY vs. CLEVELAND since 1997
No recent starts.

ZACH PLESAC vs. HOUSTON since 1997
No recent starts.

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SEATTLE (47 - 63) at TEXAS (53 - 54) - 8:05 PM
MATT WISLER (R) vs. MIKE MINOR (L)
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
TEXAS is 8-6 (+2.5 Units) against SEATTLE this season
7 of 12 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL this season . (Over=+1.7 Units)

MATT WISLER vs. TEXAS since 1997
No recent starts.

MIKE MINOR vs. SEATTLE since 1997
MINOR is 2-4 when starting against SEATTLE with an ERA of 4.47 and a WHIP of 1.399.
His team's record is 2-6 (-5.1 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 4-4. (-0.5 units)

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ARIZONA (54 - 54) at NY YANKEES (67 - 39) - 1:05 PM
ZACK GREINKE (R) vs. MASAHIRO TANAKA (R)
Top Trends for this game.
ARIZONA is 26-38 (-16.0 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record in the second half of the season over the last 2 seasons.
NY YANKEES are 17-3 (+12.4 Units) against the money line as a home favorite of -125 to -175 this season.
NY YANKEES are 51-25 (+13.6 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters this season.
NY YANKEES are 38-10 (+17.9 Units) against the money line in home games after a loss over the last 2 seasons.
ARIZONA is 31-28 (+7.5 Units) against the money line in road games this season.
ARIZONA is 14-5 (+10.3 Units) against the money line in an inter-league game this season.
ARIZONA is 27-21 (+8.8 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
ARIZONA is 3-0 (+4.0 Units) against NY YANKEES this season
3 of 3 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL this season . (Under=+3.0 Units)

ZACK GREINKE vs. NY YANKEES since 1997
GREINKE is 4-4 when starting against NY YANKEES with an ERA of 4.59 and a WHIP of 1.308.
His team's record is 5-6 (-0.3 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 7-3. (+3.7 units)

MASAHIRO TANAKA vs. ARIZONA since 1997
TANAKA is 0-1 when starting against ARIZONA with an ERA of 6.75 and a WHIP of 1.500.
His team's record is 0-1 (-1.2 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 1-0. (+1.0 units)

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MINNESOTA (65 - 41) at MIAMI (41 - 64) - 7:10 PM
JOSE BERRIOS (R) vs. SANDY ALCANTARA (R)
Top Trends for this game.
MIAMI is 84-82 (+14.3 Units) against the money line in home games against right-handed starters over the last 3 seasons.
MIAMI is 17-12 (+12.3 Units) against the money line in home games when playing against a team with a winning record in the second half of the season over the last 2 seasons.
MINNESOTA is 65-41 (+15.3 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
MINNESOTA is 68-55 (+16.5 Units) against the money line when the total is 8 to 8.5 over the last 3 seasons.
MINNESOTA is 34-20 (+12.8 Units) against the money line in road games this season.
MINNESOTA is 40-25 (+12.0 Units) against the money line in night games this season.
MINNESOTA is 52-29 (+17.7 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
MINNESOTA is 1-0 (+1.0 Units) against MIAMI this season
1 of 1 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL this season . (Under=+1.0 Units)

JOSE BERRIOS vs. MIAMI since 1997
No recent starts.

SANDY ALCANTARA vs. MINNESOTA since 1997
No recent starts.

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NY METS (51 - 55) at CHI WHITE SOX (46 - 58) - 8:10 PM
JACOB DEGROM (R) vs. LUCAS GIOLITO (R)
Top Trends for this game.
NY METS are 51-55 (-11.5 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
NY METS are 23-35 (-11.4 Units) against the money line in road games this season.
NY METS are 39-41 (-10.6 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters this season.
DEGROM is 7-14 (-15.1 Units) against the money line in all games this season. (Team's Record)
DEGROM is 4-13 (-17.2 Units) against the money line in night games this season. (Team's Record)
CHI WHITE SOX are 19-12 (+13.9 Units) against the money line when the total is 8 to 8.5 this season.
CHI WHITE SOX are 38-39 (+17.9 Units) against the money line as a home underdog of +125 to +175 over the last 3 seasons.
CHI WHITE SOX are 30-28 (+13.4 Units) against the money line in night games this season.
GIOLITO is 13-7 (+8.9 Units) against the money line in all games this season. (Team's Record)
GIOLITO is 19-16 (+10.2 Units) against the money line in night games over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)

Head-to-Head Series History
NY METS is 1-0 (+1.0 Units) against CHI WHITE SOX this season
1 of 1 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL this season . (Under=+1.0 Units)

JACOB DEGROM vs. CHI WHITE SOX since 1997
DEGROM is 0-0 when starting against CHI WHITE SOX with an ERA of 1.29 and a WHIP of 1.000.
His team's record is 0-1 (-1.6 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 1-0. (+1.0 units)

LUCAS GIOLITO vs. NY METS since 1997
GIOLITO is 0-0 when starting against NY METS with an ERA of 4.69 and a WHIP of 1.825.
His team's record is 1-1 (-0.2 units) in these starts. The OVER is 1-1. (-0.1 units)

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MILWAUKEE (56 - 52) at OAKLAND (61 - 47) - 10:07 PM
JORDAN LYLES (R) vs. BRETT ANDERSON (L)
Top Trends for this game.
MILWAUKEE is 32-37 (-13.7 Units) against the money line in night games this season.
LYLES is 0-18 (-18.1 Units) against the money line in July games since 1997. (Team's Record)
LYLES is 16-49 (-25.7 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record since 1997. (Team's Record)
OAKLAND is 61-46 (+11.5 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
OAKLAND is 63-42 (+19.1 Units) against the money line when the total is 9 to 9.5 over the last 2 seasons.
OAKLAND is 84-51 (+25.8 Units) against the money line in home games over the last 2 seasons.
OAKLAND is 32-16 (+20.2 Units) against the money line in July games over the last 2 seasons.
OAKLAND is 38-29 (+8.7 Units) against the money line in night games this season.
OAKLAND is 107-80 (+26.8 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters over the last 2 seasons.
OAKLAND is 37-24 (+11.2 Units) against the money line after a win this season.
OAKLAND is 27-17 (+12.8 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record this season.
OAKLAND is 33-27 (+14.2 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record in the second half of the season over the last 2 seasons.
ANDERSON is 10-2 (+9.0 Units) against the money line after a win this season. (Team's Record)
MILWAUKEE is 158-123 (+20.5 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 2 seasons.
MILWAUKEE is 112-106 (+18.6 Units) against the money line in road games over the last 3 seasons.
MILWAUKEE is 69-52 (+14.1 Units) against the money line after a loss over the last 2 seasons.
MILWAUKEE is 73-58 (+19.4 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.
MILWAUKEE is 35-22 (+16.8 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record in the second half of the season over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
OAKLAND is 1-0 (+1.0 Units) against MILWAUKEE this season
1 of 1 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL this season . (Under=+1.0 Units)

JORDAN LYLES vs. OAKLAND since 1997
LYLES is 1-0 when starting against OAKLAND with an ERA of 1.32 and a WHIP of 1.097.
His team's record is 2-0 (+3.4 units) in these starts. The OVER is 1-0. (+1.0 units)

BRETT ANDERSON vs. MILWAUKEE since 1997
ANDERSON is 0-0 when starting against MILWAUKEE with an ERA of 5.51 and a WHIP of 1.346.
His team's record is 2-1 (+0.4 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 2-1. (+0.8 units)

 

[Cnotes53]

WEDNESDAY, JULY 31
GAME TIME(ET) PICK UNITS

ATL at WAS 12:05 PM
U 10.0

PIT at CIN 12:35 PM
U 9.5

ARI at NYY 01:05 PM
ARI +123
U 9.5

TOR at KC 01:15 PM
TOR +114
O 10.0

LAD at COL 03:10 PM
U 12.0

DET at LAA 04:07 PM
DET +173

SF at PHI 07:05 PM
SF +121
U 9.5

HOU at CLE 07:10 PM
O 10.0

MIN at MIA 07:10 PM
MIA +176
O 8.0

TB at BOS 07:10 PM
U 11.0

NYM at CHW 08:10 PM
O 8.0

CHC at STL 08:15 PM
STL +103
O 8.5

MIL at OAK 10:07 PM
O 9.0

 

[Udog]

Wednesday's Tip Sheet
Kevin Rogers

Astros (-130, 9 ?) at Indians ? 7:10 PM EST

Houston swept Cleveland out of the American League Division Series last season in three games as these two teams could meet again in the 2019 postseason. The Astros (69-39) grabbed the opener of a three-game series at Progressive Field on Tuesday, 2-0 behind another terrific effort from ace Justin Verlander, who struck out 13 batters in seven innings to pick up his 14th victory of the season.

Following last night?s win, the Astros improved to 10-2 the last 12 games, while ending a three-game skid in road series openers. In the past 10 victories, Houston has allowed three runs or fewer, while pitching its first shutout since July 6 in a 4-0 triumph over the Angels. The game finished UNDER the total of 8 ?, marking the ninth UNDER in the last 11 games for the AL West leaders.

The Indians (62-44) have dropped consecutive games for the first time since immediately after the All-Star break when Minnesota topped Cleveland twice at Progressive Field. In spite of Tuesday?s defeat, Cleveland owns a solid 12-4 record the last games to sit three games behind Minnesota in the AL Central after the Twins edged the Marlins last night.

Cleveland sends out right-hander Zach Plesac (5-3, 3.10 ERA) to the mound tonight as the Indians have won each of his past four starts. Plesac shut down the Royals in his previous trip to the mound last Friday in an 8-3 victory as a short road favorite. The former Ball State standout tossed seven innings and allowed one run as the Indians have compiled a 6-1 record in his past seven appearances since mid-June.

The Astros counter with another young arm in Jose Urquidy (1-0, 4.26 ERA), who has yielded one earned run in each of his past two starts. Urquidy shut down the Rangers on June 20 in a 6-1 home triumph by scattering two hits in seven innings, while striking out a season-high nine batters. However, the Astros couldn?t hold a 2-1 lead in his last appearance at St. Louis in a 5-3 defeat despite Urquidy allowing four hits in six innings of work.

Cubs (-110, 8 ?) at Cardinals ? 8:15 PM EST

Chicago and St. Louis have met a total of 10 times this season and the home team has yet to lose. The Cardinals (57-49) pulled into first place of the NL Central race by themselves after edging the Cubs (56-50) on Tuesday, 2-1. Paul Goldschmidt hit the tie-breaking home run in the sixth inning to give St. Louis the lead for good, while helping the Cardinals snap a two-game losing streak.

The Cubs have spun out of control lately by losing six of the last eight games, including all three series openers on their current road trip. In all three of those defeats, Chicago has lost by a run apiece, while blowing a lead in each of those losses. Following last night?s setback, the Cubs fell to 8-21 in their last 29 games away from Wrigley Field dating back to May 27.

Chicago will try to turn around its luck tonight with Kyle Hendricks (7-8, 3.26 ERA) on the mound, as the Cubs are winless in his past six starts. Hendricks hasn?t been bad in this stretch by allowing two runs or less in five straight outings, but the run support for the right-hander has not been strong with the Cubs scoring three runs or less during this 0-6 stretch. Hendricks dominated the Cardinals at Wrigley on June 9 in a 5-1 victory by tossing seven innings and giving up one run.

Miles Mikolas (7-10, 4.19 ERA) heads to the hill for the Cardinals, as the right-hander has posted a solid 2.15 ERA at Busch Stadium in 10 starts. Mikolas defeated the Pirates in his last start on July 25 in a 6-3 victory by giving up three earned runs in six innings of work. However, St. Louis hasn?t won consecutive starts made by Mikolas since early May as the Cardinals are 0-5 in his past five outings after a victory in his previous outing. The Cardinals are 1-1 in Mikolas? two starts against the Cubs this season as both games finished UNDER the total.

Brewers at Athletics (-120, 9) ? 10:05 PM EST

Sitting right behind the Cardinals and Cubs in the NL Central are the Brewers, who slipped to two games behind St. Louis for first place following Tuesday?s extra-innings loss to Oakland. The Athletics (61-47) edged the Brewers (56-52) in 10 innings, 3-2 as -125 favorites, as Milwaukee tied the game in the ninth inning thanks to a Eric Thames home run. Matt Olson walked it off for the A?s with a solo shot in the 10th to give Oakland its third consecutive win.

The Brewers slipped to 3-8 in interleague play after the loss, while falling to 2-6 away from Miller Park against American League foes. Jordan Lyles (5-7, 5.36 ERA) makes his Milwaukee debut after getting traded from Pittsburgh last week as the right-hander is winless in his past eight appearances. Lyles began the season on fire as the Pirates posted an 8-1 record in his first nine outings, but the hurler hasn?t won a start since May 23 against Colorado. Lyles allowed one earned run in 6.2 innings of a 5-3 triumph in 13 innings against Oakland back on May 5 at PNC Park.

The Athletics counter with Brett Anderson (9-6, 4.05 ERA), who was knocked around by the Rangers last Thursday by allowing five runs in 4.2 innings in an 11-3 defeat as a heavy -185 favorite. That loss snapped a four-game hot streak by Anderson, which included three road victories. Anderson has been shaky at home recently by giving up 18 earned runs in his last five starts at the Coliseum, while the A?s are 2-3 in this stretch.

Oakland has won 10 of its last 13 home contests, including three straight victories by one run apiece. Milwaukee has compiled a solid 6-2 mark in its last eight games against left-handed starting pitchers, but the Brewers are 1-8 in the past nine road Game 2?s of a series.

 

[Udog]

Diamond Trends - Wednesday
Vince Akins

SU Play ON Trend of the Day:

-- The Braves are 15-0 SU as a favorite when seeking same season revenge vs their opponents starting pitcher.

SU Play AGAINST Trend of the Day:

-- The Mets are 0-22 SU on the road off a road game in which they had twelve-plus hits, it is not the first game of a series and their opponent is not on a three-plus game winning streak.

OU Trend of the Day:

-- The Braves are 0-12 OU as a road favorite off a game as a dog when they are playing a team that has a worse record.

Starter-Based Trend of the Day:

-- The Athletics are 0-13 OU in franchise history with Brett Anderson as a favorite and he gave up no walks in his last start, staying UNDER by an average of 2.65 runs.

 

[Cnotes53]

Donaldson homers in 10th, lifts Braves over Nationals 5-4
July 31, 2019
By The Associated Press

WASHINGTON (AP) Josh Donaldson homered against Sean Doolittle in the top of the 10th, and the Atlanta Braves pulled out a 5-4 victory over the Washington Nationals on Wednesday to take two of three in the series and pad their NL East lead to 6 1/2 games.

After the Nationals scored twice in the bottom of the ninth to tie the game, Donaldson swatted a fastball from Doolittle over the center-field wall for his 25th homer of the season.

Adam Duvall homered for the fourth time in five games. Ronald Acuna Jr., Ozzie Albies and Tyler Flowers also drove in runs for the Braves, who won consecutive series in Washington for the first time since 2013. They also won two of three in late June.

Atlanta got another quality road start from Mike Soroka (10-2), who pitched seven innings and allowed just three hits, including a leadoff homer to Juan Soto in the second.

Washington starter Anibal Sanchez (6-6) could not keep pace, allowing four runs on 10 hits in five innings of work.

YANKEES 7, DIAMONDBACKS 5

NEW YORK (AP) - Austin Romine hit a go-ahead, two-run homer in the seventh inning and New York beat Arizona while the Diamondbacks completed a deal to send ace Zack Greinke to Houston.

The Yankees had been shopping for pitching and may have eyed Greinke ahead of the 4 p.m. trade deadline. The veteran right-hander gave them an impressive firsthand look, striking out seven and pitching five innings of two-run ball. He was in line for the win before Romine's shot off Yoshihisa Hirano (3-5).

Instead, the 35-year-old Greinke is off to Houston, where he'll play for a rival AL pennant contender. The Diamondbacks got a quartet of prospects in return.

Adam Ottavino (4-3) got the win with a scoreless inning.

INDIANS 10, ASTROS 4

CLEVELAND (AP) - Roberto Perez homered twice, Carlos Santana and Jason Kipnis each hit a three-run shot and Cleveland capped a power-packed day with a win over Houston.

Perez hit a three-run homer in the second inning off rookie Jose Urquidy (1-1) and a solo shot in the sixth as the Indians stayed on Minnesota's heels in the AL Central.

Santana connected for his 23rd homer in the fifth and Kipnis hit his ninth in the sixth.

Rookie right-hander Zach Plesac (6-3) recovered after a rough start and won his third start in a row.

The Indians' homer barrage came a few hours after the team acquired sluggers Yasiel Puig and Franmil Reyes in a three-team trade that sent starter Trevor Bauer to Cincinnati.

The Astros pulled off the biggest deadline deal, acquiring right-hander Zack Greinke from the Arizona Diamondbacks for four prospects.

REDS 4, PIRATES 1

CINCINNATI (AP) - Clint Hurdle and David Bell had little interaction while exchanging lineup cards one day after their teams fought on the field, and the two teams were on good behavior during Cincinnati's victory over Pittsburgh behind a strong outing from Luis Castillo.

Bell and three Reds, including now-traded Yasiel Puig, were ejected for a ninth-inning brawl during the Pirates' 11-4 win on Tuesday night. Four Pirates also were ejected. Major League Baseball was reviewing video of the fight Wednesday and was expected to hand down suspensions over the second fracas between the NL Central rivals this season.

Bell went after Hurdle during the fight and was restrained in a headlock by batting coach Rick Eckstein. Bell repeatedly cursed Hurdle as he left the field. A day later, the two managers didn't say much while handing lineup cards to the umpires.

Castillo (10-4) gave up six hits and a run over seven innings. Jesse Winker and Eugenio Suarez homered off rookie Dario Agrazal (2-2), who lasted only 3 2/3 innings.

The two teams aren't done with each other. They meet again at PNC Park on Aug. 23, and wrap up the season in Pittsburgh Sept. 27-29.

CUBS 2, CARDINALS 0

ST. LOUIS (AP) - Kyle Hendricks struck out seven in seven innings and Ian Happ hit an RBI single in the sixth inning to break a scoreless tie as Chicago beat St. Louis and moved into a tie with the Cardinals atop the NL Central.

The teams have identical 57-50 records. The Cardinal have lost three of their last four.

Hendricks (8-8) allowed seven hits and didn't walk a batter in a 104-pitch effort.

Closer Craig Kimbrel picked his eighth save in 10 chances.

Happ, who was recalled from Triple-A Des Moines on Friday, singled off Miles Mikolas (7-11) and scored Kris Bryant, who had reached on a one-out error by third baseman Tommy Edman. Chicago scored an unearned run in the eighth inning.

RANGERS 9, MARINERS 7

ARLINGTON, Texas (AP) - All-Star lefty Mike Minor won for the first time in more than a month, Shin-Soo Choo hit a solo homer and Texas beat Seattle.

Minor trailed 5-3 when he left after the top of the fifth, but Willie Calhoun's three-run homer in the bottom of the inning put the Rangers in front before they went to the bullpen.

Austin Nola and Keon Broxton homered for the Mariners, who saw the end of a six-game winning streak that had matched their longest of the season.

Minor (9-6) needed 103 pitches to get through five innings. He had five strikeouts while matching a season high in allowing 11 baserunners (seven hits, three walks and a hit batter).

Jesse Chavez, the fourth Texas reliever, worked the ninth for his first save this season.

Wade LeBlanc (6-4) was gone after 4 1/3 innings.

DODGERS 5, ROCKIES 1

DENVER (AP) - Will Smith hit a three-run home run in the ninth inning to break open a scoreless game and lead Los Angeles over Colorado.

Kristopher Negron also went deep during the rally and Alex Verdugo had four hits. Joe Kelly (5-3) pitched the eighth inning to earn the win.

Rockies starter German Marquez was helped off the field at the start of the seventh inning with what the team said was full-body cramping. The right-hander fanned 10 through six innings.

The Rockies lost because of a bad ninth inning. Closer Wade Davis (1-5) walked Cody Bellinger and gave up a single to Corey Seager with one out. Smith followed with a homer to center, his fifth of the season. Verdugo then singled and Negron homered for the second straight game.

BLUE JAYS 4, ROYALS 1

KANSAS CITY, Mo. (AP) - Freddy Galvis and rookie Bo Bichette hit solo home runs as Toronto completed a three-game sweep over Kansas City.

Bichette hit his first career homer to open the eighth against Royals starter Jakob Junis. Galvis cleared the center field wall with his 16th to open the seventh.

Cavan Biggio followed Bichette's homer with a double, chasing Junis (6-10). Reliever Kevin McCarthy surrendered a run-scoring double to Teoscar Hernandez.

Rookie Jacob Waguespack (2-1) went six innings for his second win in his fourth big-league start. He held the Royals to three hits and one run.

RAYS 8, RED SOX 5

BOSTON (AP) - Kevin Kiermaier homered on the first pitch he saw after coming off the injured list, and Austin Meadows hit a three-run shot to lead Tampa Bay over Boston.

The Rays jumped to a 5-0 lead against Boston starter Rick Porcello (9-8). He allowed six runs on nine hits and one walk, striking out seven in 5 2/3 innings.

Willy Adames also homered for Tampa Bay, which won for the fifth time in six games since losing seven of eight to fall behind Boston in the wild-card race.

Michael Chavis homered for Boston. J.D. Martinez had three hits, including his 23rd homer of the season, and Mookie Betts also had three hits.

Ryan Yarbrough (10-3) went 4 1/3 innings for the win, allowing four runs and six hits with three strikeouts. Chaz Roe earned his first save.

TIGERS 9, ANGELS 1

ANAHEIM, Calif. (AP) - Jake Rogers, Brandon Dixon and Gordon Beckham went deep, Daniel Norris picked up his first win since May 12 and Detroit swept the three-game series.

Rogers opened the scoring in the third with his first big league homer.

Dixon and Beckham homered during a five-run eighth inning off Luis Garcia. Dixon - who ended up with four RBIs - had a two-run blast to left-center and Beckham's was a three-run shot to right center.

Norris (3-8) allowed only three hits over five innings with five strikeouts.

American League home run leader Mike Trout supplied the Angels' lone run with a solo shot in the sixth.

Suarez (2-2) didn't allow a hit the first two innings then surrendered four runs on four hits over 4 1/3 innings.

TWINS 7, MARLINS 4

MIAMI (AP) - Jose Berrios struck out a season-high 11 in seven innings and Minnesota hit three homers in a win over Miami.

Max Kepler hit his 29th homer of the season, Mitch Garver added a three-run shot and Eddie Rosario had a two-run home run as the Twins won for the fifth time in six games.

Berrios (10-5) retired the first 12 batters he faced, including six on strikeouts, before Neil Walker led off the fifth inning with a dribbler down the third-base line. Starlin Castro followed with a base hit to center.

Miami's Brian Anderson hit a grand slam in the ninth inning for the Marlins.

Marlins starter Sandy Alcantara (4-10) allowed seven runs in 4 2/3 innings.

GIANTS 5, PHILLIES 1

PHILADELPHIA (AP) - Jeff Samardzija tossed three-hit ball over six scoreless innings, Buster Posey, Pablo Sandoval and Kevin Pillar homered in a five-run fifth and short-handed San Francisco beat Philadelphia.

The Giants were down three relievers after a flurry of moves before the trade deadline, but Samardzija (8-8) handcuffed Philadelphia for his fifth straight road win.

Vince Velasquez (3-6) took a three-hitter into the sixth before walking Mike Yastrzemski. Posey then ripped a 2-1 fastball out to left field for only his sixth homer in 273 at-bats this season.

Adam Morgan replaced Velasquez, and Sandoval went deep to right for his 14th homer. Brandon Crawford followed with a single and then Pillar connected, sending his 13th homer out to left.

The Phillies only managed one run on Adam Haseley's RBI groundout.

METS 4, WHITE SOX 2

CHICAGO (AP) - Todd Frazier hit a tiebreaking single in the ninth inning, Michael Conforto added a two-run single and New York beat Chicago for its season-best sixth straight victory.

Mets ace Jacob deGrom struck out 11 in a tight pitching duel with Lucas Giolito. Both 2019 All-Stars allowed just one run in seven innings.

Justin Wilson (2-1) pitched out of a bases-loaded jam in the eighth to get the win. Diaz gave up a solo homer to Leury Garcia but got three outs for his 24th save in 29 chances.

White Sox closer Alex Colome (3-2) took the loss. Chicago has dropped seven of eight.

BREWERS 4, A'S 2

 

[Cnotes53]

SCHEDULE FOR THURSDAY AUGUST 1, 2019
Time (ET) Away Home Site
12:10 PM Minnesota Twins Miami Marlins Marlins Park
1:05 PM San Francisco Giants Philadelphia Phillies Citizens Bank Park
2:10 PM New York Mets Chicago White Sox Guaranteed Rate Field
3:37 PM Milwaukee Brewers Oakland Athletics Ring Central Coliseum
7:05 PM Toronto Blue Jays Baltimore Orioles Oriole Park at Camden Yards
7:10 PM Houston Astros Cleveland Indians Progressive Field
7:10 PM Tampa Bay Rays Boston Red Sox Fenway Park
7:15 PM Chicago Cubs St. Louis Cardinals Busch Stadium
7:20 PM Cincinnati Reds Atlanta Braves SunTrust Park
10:10 PM San Diego Padres Los Angeles Dodgers Dodger Stadium


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MLB JULY'S OPINIONS AND BEST BETS: ALL BASED ON 5 UNITS

DATE W-L-T % UNITS RECORD

07/31/2019 9-9-0 50.00% +2.40
07/30/2019 12-9-0 57.14% +14.55
07/29/2019 7-3-1 70.00% +26.45
07/28/2019 12-11-0 52.17% +8.20
07/27/2019 7-12-1 36.84% -25.50
07/26/2019 16-7-1 69.57% +54.40
07/25/2019 6-6-1 50.00% +11.70
07/24/2019 8-15-0 34.78% -34.00
07/23/2019 16-13-1 55.17% +18.05
07/22/2019 3-7-2 30.00% -22.50
07/21/2019 8-16-0 33.33% -37.00
07/20/2019 8-14-0 36.36% -40.75
07/19/2019 10-12-1 45.45% -4.25
07/18/2019 6-9-2 40.00% -16.50
07/17/2019 12-10-1 54.55% +15.50
07/16/20195-10-033.33% -27.00
07/07/2019 10-13-0 43.48% -15.40
07/06/2019 10-12-2 45.45% -5.65
07/05/2019 8-10-1 44.44% -13.15
07/04/2019 10-7-0 58.82% +12.40
07/03/2019 11-12-1 47.83% -2.85
07/02/2019 10-6-2 62.50% +21.10
07/01/2019 4-3-1 57.14% + 6.75


Totals............203-202......50.12%..... -32.04


*****************************


BEST BETS:


DATE........................ATS................... ..UNITS..................O/U..................UNITS.............TOTALS


07/31/2019.............2 - 3......................-3.25..................6 - 6.................-3.00..............-6.25
07/30/2019.............3 - 3.....................+2.55..................9 - 6................+12.00............+14.55
07/29/2019.............3 - 2.....................+11.95.................4 - 1..............+14.50.............+26.45
07/28/2019.............4 - 4.....................+6.70..................7 - 7................-3.50...............+3.20
07/27/2019.............1 - 3.....................-17.00..................6 - 7................-8.50..............-25.50
07/26/2019.............6 - 4....................+20.50.................10 - 3..............+33.50............+54.00
07/25/2019.............3 - 2....................+18.70..................3 - 4................-7.00..............+11.70
07/24/2019.............2 - 6....................-14.50...................5 - 8................-24.50.............-39.00
07/23/2019.............6 - 3....................+39.65..................6 - 9................-14.00.............+25.65
07/22/2019.............1 - 2.....................-5.00....................2 - 5................-17.50..............-22.50
07/21/2019.............3 - 5.....................-1.50....................4-11................-40.50..............-42.00
07/20/2019.............1 - 4.....................-14.25..................7 - 7................-3.50...............-17.75
07/19/2019.............5 - 3....................+20.25..................5 - 9................-24.50.............-4.25
07/18/2019.............0 - 6.....................-30.00..................8 - 1...............+34.50.............+4.50
07/17/2019.............3 - 6.....................-2.50....................7 - 4................+13.00............+10.50
07/16/2019.............2 - 3.....................-3.50....................3 - 7................-23.50..............-27.00
07/07/2019.............2 - 3.....................+0.95...................5 - 10..............-30.00..............-29.05
07/06/2019.............2 - 4......................-4.05...................4 - 9.................-29.50.............-33.55
07/05/2019.............2 - 3......................-0.80...................6 - 6.................-3.00...............-3.80
07/04/2019.............1 - 1.....................+0.30...................6 - 5.................+2.50..............+2.80
07/03/2019.............2 - 6.....................-14.85..................9 - 6.................+12.00.............-2.85
07/02/2019.............3 - 2.....................+8.10...................8 - 4................+18.00.............+26.10
07/01/2019.............1 - 2......................-2.75...................3 - 1.................+9.50..............+ 6.75


Totals....................58 - 82..................+15.70..................133 - 136..........-83.00..............-67.30

 

[Cnotes53]

Thursday?s 6-pack

? Robinson Cano hit three HR?s on July 23; he is 1-26 since then.

? Dodgers 5, Rockies 1? LA?s rookie C Will Smith has 15 RBI in his first 13 career games.

? Cubs traded C Martin Maldonado to the Astros for OF Tony Kemp.

? WR Michael Thomas signed a 5-year, $100M extension with the Saints.

? Reds? rookie manager David Bell has been ejected an MLB-high eight times this season.

? First five innings under is 35-11-2 in Jacob deGrom?s last 48 starts.

Quote of the Day
?I never expected to be somewhere else until that happened. Nothing has changed for me. I don?t look at it as being past a hurdle. I?ve got a job to do, and I?m going to do it. That?s why we all show up here. Nobody is here collecting paychecks. We?re trying to win games.?
Madison Bumgarner

Thursday?s quiz
SF Giants have won three World Series in this decade; who did they beat?

Wednesday?s quiz
New Hampshire is known as the Granite State.

Tuesday?s quiz
Tennessee Volunteers play their home games in Neyland Stadium.


****************************


Thursday?s List of 13: Doing some thinking out loud??.

13) Biggest baseball trade happened right at the 4:00 trade deadline.

Zack Greinke goes to Houston; he is their #3 starter, behind Verlander/Cole. Good luck beating the Astros in a short series.

Arizona is footing $24M of the $77M that Greinke is still owed on his contract. One of the pitchers Arizona got in this deal, Corbin Martin, had Tommy John surgery a few weeks ago and likely won?t pitch again until 2021.

12) Houston also acquired Aaron Sanchez, who is 0-13, 7.71 in 17 starts since May 1st.

11) Cubs added OF/3B Nicholas Castellano from Detroit for prospects.

10) Tigers also traded closer Shane Greene to the Braves.

9) A?s acquired P Tanner Roark from the Reds; Roark found out he got traded in an Arby?s parking lot, where he was ordering a beef and cheddar with curly fries.

Reds also dealt 2B Scooter Gennett to the Giants for cash.

8) Brewers traded 1B Jesus Aguilar to Tampa Bay for P Jake Faria.

7) Roberto P?rez started this season with 21 career homers in 963 career plate appearances; this year, he has 18 HR?s in 297 PA.

6) Miami Marlins traded P Zac Gallen to Arizona for SS prospect Jazz Chisholm.

Marlins also traded P?s Nick Anderson, Trevor Richards to Tampa Bay for P Ryan Stanek, OF Jesus Sanchez.

Chisholm, Sanchez are both 21-year old prospects, but Sanchez is batting only .206 at AAA Durham, Chisholm is hitting .204 in AA ball.

5) Baseball stuff:
? A?s put OF Ramon Laureano (stress reaction/shin) on IL.
? White Sox put 3B Yoan Moncada (hamstring) on IL.

4) Since 2011, teams are 181-97 when Zack Greinke starts for them, for a profit of $3,562, which makes him the most profitable pitcher to wager on during since 2011.

3) Seahawks? LB Bobby Wagner acted as his own agent, got himself a 3-year, $54M contract extension with $40.25M in guarantees, and he didn?t have to pay his agent a 3% fee, since he was the agent. Good for him.

2) Jack Flaherty, Max Fried, Lucas Giolito were all on the same HS baseball team; three major league pitchers on one high school team.

1) A 79-year-old Ohio woman is going to be spending 10 days in jail next month for the crime of giving food to stray cats; that sentence was handed down by an judge in a town called Garfield Heights, which makes it all the more strange.

10 days in jail for ignoring orders not to feed cats. Wow.

 

[Cnotes53]

August Pitchers Report
July 31, 2019

With the MLB trading deadline closed, and the NFL preseason whetting our palates, the month of August sets the table for the stretch run of the baseball season. The question is which pitchers can we count on to satisfy our tastes, and which ones figure to sour our stomachs? Take a look below.

Listed below are hurlers that have enjoyed a two-to-one or better success ratio in team-starts over the course of the last three seasons during the month of August. On the flip side, we've also listed pitchers that struggle in August, winning 33% percent or less of their team-start efforts. To qualify pitchers must have made a minimum of 10 starts, with at least one start each April over the last three years. And for your convenience alongside each record we break down each pitcher?s greatest success or greatest failure rate either home (H) or away (A) within his good or bad month.

Note: * designates a categorical repeat appearance by this pitcher, maintaining status quo from last season?s August list.

I?ll be back next month with September?s Good Month Pitchers. Until then, make like legendary singer and songwriter Neil Diamond and enjoy the hot August nights.

GOOD MONTH PITCHERS:

*Bauer, Trevor - 12-3 (6-1 A)

In Bauer's last start in July, he added a whole new dimension to the phrase "control pitcher". With that behind him, the right-hander can focus on being a top-notch pitcher like he's frequently been in the latter stages of the season. Bauer can have a big month if he cuts back on silly mistakes now that he?s joined a pitching-rich Reds? staff.

Hamels, Cole - 14-3 (7-1 H)

The Cubs left-hander was in the midst of a fine season at 6-3 with a 2.98 ERA when he suffered aleft oblique strain. He made one rehab start on July 26th and if the next one goes well, he'll be back with Chicago in the early part of this month. If the Cubs are to return to the playoffs, they will need a healthy Hamels.

*Kluber, Corey - 15-2 (9-1 H)

The Cleveland right-hander is getting close to returning after breaking his right arm early in the season. Last month he tossed off the bullpen mound and is inching closer to a couple of rehab starts. If all goes well, he'll be back with the Indians in the second half of August and could be a major factor for the Tribe when the postseason starts, especially now that Bauer has been shipped off to Cincinnati.

Pomeranz, Drew - 9-3 (7-1 A)

The Giants lefty was afforded every opportunity to turn his season around, but with an ERA of 6.42 after another terrible start, manager Bruce Boche pulled the plug. Pomeranz is now working out of the bullpen, where he will stay barring an injury to a San Francisco starter.

*Porcello, Rick - 12-6 (7-2 H)

It has been an extremely long season for the former Cu Young winner. A good outing now for Porcello is three runs allowed in five or six innings. In an era of low batting averages, opposing batters are knocking him around for over a .280 average. As bad as he's pitched, on the road he's surrendered a .313 BA on the road. Boston could use a typical August from Porcello, but that seems unlikely.

Roark, Tanner - 13-4 (7-2 A)

After a 16-10 season with career-best 2.87 ERA in 2016, Roark was 22-26 the next two years with an ERA of 4.50. He was traded to Cincinnati in the off-season and was pitching well through June with a 3.36 ERA, but with only a .500 record due to a lack of run support. At the end of July, his ERA had zoomed to 4.24. Let's see if the right-hander can turn it around this month.

Scherzer, Max - 11-5 (5-2 A)

After being one baseball's most durable starting pitcher, Mad Max begins the month on the IL, his second stint since July. He has something called a rhomboid strain (upper back). Because this is a stretch or tear of these muscles, rest is the only real cure and there is no timetable for Scherzer return. Needless to say, Washington needs its ace.

Taillon, Jameson - 11-5 (7-1 A)

The right-hander has been out since the beginning of May because of a flexor strain and started to throw in July. On the 24th he felt tightness in his elbow and was shut down. Taillon is likely done for 2019.

BAD MONTH PITCHERS:

Cashner, Andrew - 5-10 (2-5 H)

Cashner's ERA was about the same this season with Baltimore to match career numbers, but thanks to run support he had a 9-3 record. Traded to Boston, Cashner immediately began to get hit like a drum in a marching band, having to pitch with pressure. Unless the Red Sox hit, Cashner will not win many games for his new club.

Cole, Gerrit - 5-10 (3-6 H)

Don't expect Cole to continue to fight for wins this month. The righty is having a terrific season as 12-5 with a 2.94 ERA as August commences and with Houston's offense, he'll pile up the victories.

Matz, Steven - 2-8 (0-4 A)

Strictly a back of the rotation hurler who is a fly ball pitcher and in today's game, that's a problem. Matz is in the Top 15 of long balls allowed in the senior circuit and will likely stay there for the rest of 2019.

Sanchez, Anibal - 5-11 (2-6 H)

Thought as just an innings-eater and 5th starter for Washington, Sanchez has an ERA under 3.00 since May. With alittle better run support, he and the Nationals would have a better than 8-5 record in the span. As good as he's pitched, the numbers suggest regression going forward.

 

[Cnotes53]

901San Francisco -902 Philadelphia
SAN FRANCISCO is 18-6 SU (10.6 Units) vs. NL teams scoring 4.5 or more runs/game in the second half of the season in the current season.

903Chicago Cubs -904 St Louis
ST LOUIS are 10-3 SU (10.6 Units) in home games vs. a starting pitcher with good control (less than 1.75 BB's/start) in the current season.

905Cincinnati -906 Atlanta
CINCINNATI is 53-38 SU (7.9 Units) vs. an overused bullpen that pitches more than 3.2 innings per game in the current season.

907San Diego -908 La Dodgers
SAN DIEGO is 30-47 SU (-26.6 Units) vs. poor baserunning teams - averaging 0.5 or less SB's/game in the current season.

909Toronto -910 Baltimore
BALTIMORE is 20-35 SU (-19.2 Units) vs. an AL team with a team batting average of .255 or worse in the current season.

911Tampa Bay -912 Boston
BOSTON is 8-24 SU (-17.7 Units) in home games vs. good fielding teams - averaging <=0.6 errors/game in the current season.

913Houston -914 Cleveland
CLEVELAND is 33-22 SU (12.7 Units) vs. poor baserunning teams - averaging 0.5 or less SB's/game in the current season.

915Minnesota -916 Miami
MIAMI is 34-22 SU (7.2 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record in the current season.

917Ny Mets -918 Chi White Sox
NY METS are 26-35 SU (-16.7 Units) vs. a team with a poor bullpen whose ERA is 4.20 or worse in the current season.

919Milwaukee -920 Oakland
MILWAUKEE is 11-30 SU (-19.4 Units) vs teams who strand 6.9 or less runners on base per game in the current season.

 

[Cnotes53]

MLB
Armadillo's Write-Up

Thursday, August 1

National League
Giants (55-53) @ Phillies (56-51)
Rodriguez is 1-3, 9.50 in his last four starts; he is 1-0, 1.50 in one start vs Philly. Team in his starts: 4-5
5-inning record: 3-4-2 Allowed run in 1st inning: 3-9 Over/under: 3-5-1

Arrieta is 0-2, 5.85 in his last four starts; he is 5-3, 2.60 in eight starts vs SF. Team in his starts: 12-9
5-inning record: 8-11-2 Allowed run in 1st inning: 6-21 Over/under: 11-8-2

Giants are 16-5 in last 21 games; under is 5-1 in their last six games. Over/under 1st 5 innings: under 5-1 last six games.

Philly won seven of last 11 games; over is 6-3 in their last nine home games. Over/under 1st 5 innings: over 5-3-1 last nine home games.

Cubs (57-50) @ Cardinals (57-50)
Lester is 2-0, 3.46 in his last four starts; he is 8-5, 3.02 in 19 starts vs StL. Team in his starts: 13-7
5-inning record: 11-7-2 Allowed run in 1st inning: 6-20 Over/under: 13-6-1

Flaherty is 0-1, 1.48 in his last four starts; he is 0-1, 5.65 in three starts vs Chicago this season. Team in his starts: 9-12
5-inning record: 7-8-6 Allowed run in 1st inning: 6-21 Over/under: last four under

Cubs are 9-21 in last 30 road games; under is 5-1 in their last six games. Over/under 1st 5 innings: over 6-5 last 11 games.

St Louis lost four of last six games; under is 10-2 in their last 12 home games. Over/under 1st 5 innings: under 4-1 last five games.

Reds (50-56) @ Braves (64-45)
DeSclafani is 2-1, 2.48 in his last five starts; he is 1-1, 4.15 in four starts vs Atlanta. Team in his starts: 10-10
5-inning record: 6-6-8 Allowed run in 1st inning: 5-20 Over/under: under 8-2 last 10

Fried is 2-1, 5.87 in his last four starts. Team in his starts: 14-6
5-inning record: 10-8-2 Allowed run in 1st inning: 5-20 Over/under: 13-6-1

Cincy won six of last nine games; they?re 11-6 in road series openers- under is 7-4 in their last 11 road games. Over/under 1st 5 innings: over 5-3 last eight games.

Braves won four of their last six games; they?re 8-9 in home series openers- four of their last six games went over. Over/under 1st 5 innings: under 7-3-1 last 11 games.

Padres (50-57) @ Dodgers (71-39)
Lucchesi is 1-1, 4.98 in his last four starts; he is 1-0, 3.18 in two starts vs LA this year. Team in his starts: 15-5
5-inning record: 11-6-3 Allowed run in 1st inning: 3-20 Over/under: under 5-2-1 last eight

Kershaw is 2-0, 1.80 in his last four starts; he is 1-0, 3.60 in three starts vs SD this year. Team in his starts: 14-4
5-inning record: 12-4-2 Allowed run in 1st inning: 6-18 Over/under: over 6-2 last eight

San Diego lost right of last 12 games; they?re 2-11 in last 13 road series openers- their last three games went over. Over/under 1st 5 innings: over 3-0 last three games.

Dodgers are 7-4 in their last 11 games; they?re 12-5 in home series openers- under is 7-2 last nine home games. Over/under 1st 5 innings: under 6-1-1 last eight games.

American League
Blue Jays (43-67) @ Orioles (36-71)
Thornton is 1-1, 7.84 in his last three starts. Team in his starts: 8-13
5-inning record: 4-8-9 Allowed run in 1st inning: 5-21 Over/under: 12-8-1

Wojchiechowski is 2-0, 1.26 in his last two starts. Team in his starts: 2-3
5-inning record: 2-3 Allowed run in 1st inning: 2-5 Over/under: 1-3-1

Toronto won its last three games; they?re 7-11 in road series openers- over is 3-1-1 in their last five games. Over/under 1st 5 innings: under 6-1-1 last eight road games.

Orioles are 8-5 in last 13 games, 7-10 in home series openers; over is 5-1 in their last six games. Over/under 1st 5 innings: over 4-0-1 last five games.

Rays (62-48) @ Red Sox (59-50)
McKay is 1-1, 4.19 in his four starts. Team in his starts: 1-3
5-inning record: 2-2 Allowed run in 1st inning: 2-4 Over/under: 2-2

Cashner is 1-2, 6.88 in three starts for Boston; he is 2-1, 4.03 in five starts vs TB. Team in his starts: 1-2
5-inning record: 1-1-1 Allowed run in 1st inning: 6-20 Over/under: 2-1

Rays won five of last six games; over is 6-2 in their last eight games. Over/under 1st 5 innings: over 7-1 last eight games.

Boston lost five of last six games; over is 10-2 in their last 12 games. Over/under 1st 5 innings: over 9-1-2 last 12 games.

Astros (69-40) @ Indians (63-44)
Cole is 6-0, 1.72 in his last seven starts; he is 1-1, 3.27 in three starts vs Cleveland. Team in his starts: 15-7
5-inning record: 13-6-3 Allowed run in 1st inning: 8-22 Over/under: last four over

Salazar is making his first start since 2017; he is expected to be capped around 70 pitches here. Salazar is 38-33, 3.82 in 104 career starts, 1-0, 2.25 in four starts vs Houston. Team in his starts: 0-0
5-inning record: 0-0 Allowed run in 1st inning: 0-0 Over/under: 0-0

Astros won 10 of last 13 games; under is 9-3 in their last 12 games. Over/under 1st 5 innings: over 9-3 last 12 road games.

Cleveland won 13 of its last 17 games; over is 4-1 in their last five games. Over/under 1st 5 innings: under 6-2 last eight games.

Interleague
Twins (66-41) @ Marlins (42-65)
Pineda is 3-1, 2.97 in his last five starts. Team in his starts: 12-8
5-inning record: 10-9-1 Allowed run in 1st inning: 5-20 Over/under: 11-8-1

Yamamoto is 0-2, 12.38 in his last two starts. Team in his starts: 5-3
5-inning record: 4-3-1 Allowed run in 1st inning: 2-8 Over/under: 6-2

Twins won seven of last nine road games; over is 7-3 in their last ten games. Over/under 1st 5 innings: over 8-2 last ten games.

Miami is 5-3 in its last eight games; under is 5-3 in their last eight home games. Over/under 1st 5 innings: over 16-5-1 last 22 home games.

Mets (52-55) @ White Sox (46-59)
Wheeler is 1-1, 4.76 in his last four starts. Team in his starts: 10-10
5-inning record: 7-9-4 Allowed run in 1st inning: 5-20 Over/under: over 5-2-1 last 8

Cease is 0-3, 8.44 in his last three starts. Team in his starts: 1-3
5-inning record: 1-3 Allowed run in 1st inning: 2-4 Over/under: 2-2

Mets won seven of last eight games; under is 8-3-2 in their last 13 games. Over/under 1st 5 innings: under 4-1-1 last six games.

White Sox lost eight of their last nine games; under is 8-3 in their last 11 games. Over/under 1st 5 innings: under 3-1 last four games.

Brewers (57-52) @ A?s (61-48)
Gonzalez is 0-0, 5.40 in his last three starts. Team in his starts: 6-2
5-inning record: 3-4-1 Allowed run in 1st inning: 4-8 Over/under: 2-6

Mengden is 1-1, 5.17 in his last three starts. Team in his starts: 6-3
5-inning record: 5-3-1 Allowed run in 1st inning: 3-9 Over/under: over 4-1 last five

Brewers won four of last six games; over is 6-3 in their last nine games. Over/under 1st 5 innings: under 14-5 last 19 games.

A?s won three of their last four games; under is 9-4 in their last 13 games. Over/under 1st 5 innings: under 12-5-1 last 18 games.

%age of times teams score in first inning (road/home/total)
Team (road-home-total)- thru 7/31
Ariz 18-60??12-49??30
Atl 17-56?..19-53??36
Cubs 14-53??19-54?..33
Reds 18-51??18-55?..36
Colo 12-56??19-53??31
LA 16-56??20-54??36
Mia 8-50??15-56??23
Milw 16-52?..19-57?..35
Mets 20-59??15-48?..35
Philly 13-51?..19-57??32
Pitt 17-58?..14-50??31
StL 14-54?..12-53??.26
SD 16-50??15-54?..31
SF 6-54??10-52??.16
Wash 13-52?..16-54??,29

Orioles 14-55??.17-51..?..31
Boston 13-54??.18-53??31
W Sox 11-51??.17-54??.28
Clev 16-52?..16-55??..32
Det 16-55??14-48??..30
Astros 21-55?..11-53??..32
KC 15-52?..21-58??..36
Angels 17-53??13-56??.30
Twins 21-55??13-52??34
NYY 16-50??17-58??33
A?s 12-52?..15-57??.27
Sea 14-53?..16-58??.30
TB 20-56?..16-52??.36
Texas 15-54?..19-54??.34
Toronto 12-55?..16-55??.28

Interleague play- 2019
NL @ AL? 60-42 NL, favorites -$1,463 under 48-48-3
AL @ NL? 42-40 AL, favorites -$1,787 over 42-38-5
Total: 100-84 NL, favorites -$3,250 Over 90-86-8

 

[Cnotes53]

MLB

Thursday, August 1

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Trend Report
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Minnesota Twins
Minnesota is 4-2 ATS in its last 6 games
Minnesota is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games
The total has gone OVER in 7 of Minnesota's last 10 games
Minnesota is 7-2 ATS in its last 9 games on the road
Minnesota is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 8 of Minnesota's last 11 games on the road
Minnesota is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing Miami
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Minnesota's last 5 games when playing Miami
Minnesota is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games when playing on the road against Miami
Miami Marlins
Miami is 6-2 ATS in its last 8 games
Miami is 7-2 ATS in its last 9 games at home
Miami is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games when playing Minnesota
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Miami's last 5 games when playing Minnesota
Miami is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games when playing at home against Minnesota

San Francisco Giants
San Francisco is 17-8 ATS in its last 25 games
San Francisco is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games
San Francisco is 13-4 SU in its last 17 games
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of San Francisco's last 6 games
San Francisco is 16-3 ATS in its last 19 games on the road
San Francisco is 8-2 SU in its last 10 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of San Francisco's last 5 games on the road
San Francisco is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Philadelphia
San Francisco is 6-16 ATS in its last 22 games when playing Philadelphia
San Francisco is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing Philadelphia
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of San Francisco's last 5 games when playing Philadelphia
San Francisco is 1-7 ATS in its last 8 games when playing on the road against Philadelphia
San Francisco is 1-7 SU in its last 8 games when playing on the road against Philadelphia
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of San Francisco's last 5 games when playing on the road against Philadelphia
Philadelphia Phillies
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Philadelphia's last 10 games
Philadelphia is 3-9 ATS in its last 12 games at home
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Philadelphia's last 6 games at home
Philadelphia is 16-6 ATS in its last 22 games when playing San Francisco
Philadelphia is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games when playing San Francisco
Philadelphia is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games when playing San Francisco
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Philadelphia's last 5 games when playing San Francisco
Philadelphia is 7-1 ATS in its last 8 games when playing at home against San Francisco
Philadelphia is 7-1 SU in its last 8 games when playing at home against San Francisco
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Philadelphia's last 5 games when playing at home against San Francisco

New York Mets
NY Mets is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games
NY Mets is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of NY Mets's last 6 games
NY Mets is 9-1 ATS in its last 10 games on the road
NY Mets is 7-3 SU in its last 10 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of NY Mets's last 6 games on the road
NY Mets is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games when playing Chi White Sox
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of NY Mets's last 6 games when playing Chi White Sox
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of NY Mets's last 5 games when playing on the road against Chi White Sox
Chicago White Sox
Chi White Sox is 1-7 ATS in its last 8 games
Chi White Sox is 1-7 SU in its last 8 games
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Chi White Sox's last 5 games
Chi White Sox is 1-7 ATS in its last 8 games at home
Chi White Sox is 1-7 SU in its last 8 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Chi White Sox's last 5 games at home
Chi White Sox is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games when playing NY Mets
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Chi White Sox's last 6 games when playing NY Mets
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Chi White Sox's last 5 games when playing at home against NY Mets

Milwaukee Brewers
Milwaukee is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games
Milwaukee is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Milwaukee's last 6 games
Milwaukee is 6-1 ATS in its last 7 games on the road
Milwaukee is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Milwaukee's last 9 games on the road
Milwaukee is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Oakland
Milwaukee is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games when playing Oakland
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Milwaukee's last 5 games when playing Oakland
Milwaukee is 2-5 SU in its last 7 games when playing on the road against Oakland
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Milwaukee's last 5 games when playing on the road against Oakland
Oakland Athletics
Oakland is 0-5 ATS in its last 5 games
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Oakland's last 5 games
Oakland is 0-5 ATS in its last 5 games at home
Oakland is 9-3 SU in its last 12 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Oakland's last 5 games at home
Oakland is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Milwaukee
Oakland is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games when playing Milwaukee
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Oakland's last 5 games when playing Milwaukee
Oakland is 5-2 SU in its last 7 games when playing at home against Milwaukee
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Oakland's last 5 games when playing at home against Milwaukee

Toronto Blue Jays
Toronto is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games
Toronto is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Toronto's last 5 games
Toronto is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games on the road
Toronto is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Toronto's last 6 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Toronto's last 8 games when playing Baltimore
Toronto is 4-2 ATS in its last 6 games when playing on the road against Baltimore
Toronto is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games when playing on the road against Baltimore
Baltimore Orioles
Baltimore is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games
Baltimore is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Baltimore's last 6 games
Baltimore is 6-13 ATS in its last 19 games at home
Baltimore is 6-13 SU in its last 19 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Baltimore's last 6 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Baltimore's last 8 games when playing Toronto
Baltimore is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games when playing at home against Toronto
Baltimore is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games when playing at home against Toronto

Houston Astros
Houston is 7-3 ATS in its last 10 games
Houston is 10-3 SU in its last 13 games
The total has gone UNDER in 9 of Houston's last 12 games
Houston is 5-2 ATS in its last 7 games on the road
Houston is 5-2 SU in its last 7 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Houston's last 6 games on the road
Houston is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games when playing Cleveland
Houston is 6-3 SU in its last 9 games when playing Cleveland
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Houston's last 6 games when playing Cleveland
Houston is 10-4 ATS in its last 14 games when playing on the road against Cleveland
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Houston's last 7 games when playing on the road against Cleveland
Cleveland Indians
Cleveland is 13-4 SU in its last 17 games
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Cleveland's last 5 games
Cleveland is 6-3 ATS in its last 9 games at home
Cleveland is 8-2 SU in its last 10 games at home
Cleveland is 4-2 ATS in its last 6 games when playing Houston
Cleveland is 3-6 SU in its last 9 games when playing Houston
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Cleveland's last 6 games when playing Houston
Cleveland is 4-10 ATS in its last 14 games when playing at home against Houston
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Cleveland's last 7 games when playing at home against Houston

Tampa Bay Rays
Tampa Bay is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Tampa Bay's last 5 games
Tampa Bay is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Tampa Bay's last 5 games on the road
Tampa Bay is 8-3 ATS in its last 11 games when playing Boston
Tampa Bay is 8-3 SU in its last 11 games when playing Boston
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Tampa Bay's last 5 games when playing Boston
Tampa Bay is 8-1 ATS in its last 9 games when playing on the road against Boston
Tampa Bay is 8-1 SU in its last 9 games when playing on the road against Boston
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Tampa Bay's last 10 games when playing on the road against Boston
Boston Red Sox
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Boston's last 5 games
Boston is 8-17 ATS in its last 25 games at home
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Boston's last 5 games at home
Boston is 3-8 ATS in its last 11 games when playing Tampa Bay
Boston is 3-8 SU in its last 11 games when playing Tampa Bay
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Boston's last 5 games when playing Tampa Bay
Boston is 1-8 ATS in its last 9 games when playing at home against Tampa Bay
Boston is 1-8 SU in its last 9 games when playing at home against Tampa Bay
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Boston's last 10 games when playing at home against Tampa Bay

Chicago Cubs
Chi Cubs is 3-8 ATS in its last 11 games
Chi Cubs is 3-6 SU in its last 9 games
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Chi Cubs's last 6 games
Chi Cubs is 3-6 ATS in its last 9 games on the road
Chi Cubs is 8-17 SU in its last 25 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Chi Cubs's last 6 games on the road
Chi Cubs is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing St. Louis
Chi Cubs is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing St. Louis
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Chi Cubs's last 6 games when playing St. Louis
Chi Cubs is 3-6 ATS in its last 9 games when playing on the road against St. Louis
Chi Cubs is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games when playing on the road against St. Louis
The total has gone UNDER in 8 of Chi Cubs's last 9 games when playing on the road against St. Louis
St. Louis Cardinals
St. Louis is 9-4 ATS in its last 13 games
St. Louis is 13-5 SU in its last 18 games
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of St. Louis's last 5 games
St. Louis is 2-5 ATS in its last 7 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 10 of St. Louis's last 12 games at home
St. Louis is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Chi Cubs
St. Louis is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games when playing Chi Cubs
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of St. Louis's last 6 games when playing Chi Cubs
St. Louis is 6-3 ATS in its last 9 games when playing at home against Chi Cubs
St. Louis is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Chi Cubs
The total has gone UNDER in 8 of St. Louis's last 9 games when playing at home against Chi Cubs

Cincinnati Reds
Cincinnati is 6-3 ATS in its last 9 games
Cincinnati is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games
Cincinnati is 8-1 ATS in its last 9 games on the road
Cincinnati is 4-9 SU in its last 13 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 15 of Cincinnati's last 22 games on the road
Cincinnati is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games when playing Atlanta
Cincinnati is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing Atlanta
Cincinnati is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games when playing on the road against Atlanta
Cincinnati is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games when playing on the road against Atlanta
Atlanta Braves
Atlanta is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Atlanta's last 6 games
The total has gone UNDER in 14 of Atlanta's last 21 games
Atlanta is 2-7 ATS in its last 9 games at home
Atlanta is 16-8 SU in its last 24 games at home
Atlanta is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Atlanta's last 5 games at home
Atlanta is 1-5 ATS in its last 6 games when playing Cincinnati
Atlanta is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games when playing Cincinnati
Atlanta is 1-5 ATS in its last 6 games when playing at home against Cincinnati
Atlanta is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games when playing at home against Cincinnati

San Diego Padres
San Diego is 5-12 SU in its last 17 games
The total has gone UNDER in 15 of San Diego's last 21 games
San Diego is 4-2 ATS in its last 6 games on the road
San Diego is 2-5 SU in its last 7 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of San Diego's last 8 games on the road
San Diego is 6-3 ATS in its last 9 games when playing LA Dodgers
San Diego is 5-12 SU in its last 17 games when playing LA Dodgers
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of San Diego's last 5 games when playing LA Dodgers
San Diego is 6-14 ATS in its last 20 games when playing on the road against LA Dodgers
San Diego is 5-15 SU in its last 20 games when playing on the road against LA Dodgers
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of San Diego's last 5 games when playing on the road against LA Dodgers
Los Angeles Dodgers
LA Dodgers is 4-2 ATS in its last 6 games
LA Dodgers is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of LA Dodgers's last 8 games
LA Dodgers is 2-6 ATS in its last 8 games at home
LA Dodgers is 18-7 SU in its last 25 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of LA Dodgers's last 9 games at home
LA Dodgers is 3-6 ATS in its last 9 games when playing San Diego
LA Dodgers is 12-5 SU in its last 17 games when playing San Diego
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of LA Dodgers's last 5 games when playing San Diego
LA Dodgers is 14-6 ATS in its last 20 games when playing at home against San Diego
LA Dodgers is 15-5 SU in its last 20 games when playing at home against San Diego
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of LA Dodgers's last 5 games when playing at home against San Diego

 

[Cnotes53]

Weekly Total Talk
Joe Williams

Thursday, Aug. 1

The Cubs and Cardinals wrap up their set in St. Louis on Thursday evening with LHP Jon Lester working for Chicago against RHP Jack Flaherty of St. Louis. The under connected in Wednesday's game with the Cubs taking it 2-0, and the under is now 5-1 in the past six road games for Chicago. The under is also 11-2-1 in their past 14 games overall, while going 7-1-1 in the past nine against a right-handed starting pitcher while going 7-1 in the past eight games inside the National League Central Division. In addition, the under is 5-1 in their past six games against winning teams. However, the over is 8-2 in Lester's past 10 on the road against winning teams, and 13-4 in his past 17 outings away from home.

For the Cardinals, the under is 22-6 in the past 28 games at Busch Stadium II, while cashing in eight of the past nine at home against teams with a winning overall mark. However, the over is 15-5-1 in the past 21 at home against a left-handed starting pitcher, while going 12-4 in Flaherty's past 16 against teams with a winning record. The over is also 5-1 in his past six outings when working on five days of rest. In this series, the under is 8-1 in the past nine meetings in St. Louis, and 5-1 in the past six battles overall. However, the over is 5-1 in Lester's past six against the Cards, while the over is 4-1 in Flaherty's past five against the Cubbies.

It's a lefty-on-lefty battle in Los Angeles when LHP Joey Lucchesi takes the ball for the Padres against LHP Clayton Kershaw of the Dodgers. The under has been the play for the Padres lately, going 7-1 in their past eight road outings, and 6-1 in the past seven games inside the National League West. In addition, the under is 15-6 in their past 21 games overall, while hitting in 14 of the past 17 against teams with a winning record. With Lucchesi, the under is 3-1-1 in his past five outings, and 4-0 in his past four inside the division while cashing in four of the past five against teams wit ha winning overall mark.

For the Dodgers, the under cashed in their afternoon matinee in Denver, and is now a perfect 7-0 in their past seven inside the NL West. The under has also connected in seven of their past nine games at home, while going 5-2-1 in the past eight at Dodger Stadium against teams with a losing road record. However, with Kershaw, the over is actually 6-2 across his past eight starts overall, and 10-3-1 in his past 14 against teams with a losing mark. The over is also 6-0 in his past six after posting a quality start in his previous appearance. In this series, the under is 5-0 in the past five, and 5-0 in the past five in Chavez Ravine, too. The over is 6-2 in Kershaw's past eight starts at home against the Padres, however, and 10-4 in his past 14 outings overall against San Diego.

Wind Report
The Mets and White Sox will face wins from 9-12 mph out of left field at Guaranteed Rate Field on the south side of Chicago in matinee action.

As far as precipitation, the Reds and Braves will face a 30 percent chance of preciptation in the later innings, so a rain-shortened game is possible. Be careful.


Friday, Aug. 2

Reds LHP Alex Wood will face his former and original organization when he meets the Braves and RHP Kevin Gausman. It will be just his second start of the season after spending the first few months on the 60-day injured list due to a back injury. He allowed two earned runs, seven hits and a walk with four strikeouts against Colorado at home on July 28, an under result. This will be his first road outing of 2019. For the Braves, the over is 5-1 in Gausman's past six outings, although the under is a perfect 5-0 in the past five at home overall, and 7-1-1 in the past nine at home.

The Royals use RHP Glenn Sparkman against Twins LHP Martin Perez in the Twin Cities in the series opener. The over and under has alternated in each of the past five outings with Sparkman, while the total pushed in his last start in Minnesota back on June 15 when he allowed five runs - four earned - and five hits over five innings, and the under cashed on June 20 in his most recent start against the Twins. The over has hit in three of the past four start by Perez, while going 8-2 across his past 10 outings, including 5-1 in his past six outings at Target Field.

The Nationals and Diamondbacks square off in the desert with RHP Joe Ross and LHP Robbie Ray locking horns. This will be just the second start of the season for Ross, and the under cashed in that outing on July 21 in Atlanta when he allowed three earned runs, eight hits and two walks with six strikeouts over 5 1/3 innings. For the Snakes, Ray enters with a 9-7 record, 3.91 ERA and .310 opponent on-base percentage with 173 strikeouts over 129 innings. The under is 3-1-1 in the past five starts by Ray. Since July 5, the under is 11-8-2 across the past 21 outings. In the past six starts at home, the under is 4-1-1 for Ray and the D-Backs, too.

Wind Report
At Progressive Field in Cleveland, the winds will be blowing 9-12 mph in from the right-center field power alley to affect the Angels and Indians, particularly left-handed power hitters. The Tigers and Rangers will also be battling a stiff 11-14 mph wind blowing in from right field into the face of the batters. Other than that, winds will be rather light and variable at all of the other MLB venues.