MLB
Armadillo's Write-Up
Thursday, September 5
National League
Phillies (72-66) @ Reds (65-75)
Vargas is 0-2, 5.13 in six Phllly starts; he is 1-2, 6.30 in five starts vs Cincy. Team in his starts: 2-4
5-inning record: 2-4 Allowed run in 1st inning: 1-6 Over/under: 2-4
Gray is 4-0, 0.98 in his last six starts; he is 0-0, 4.76 in one start vs Philly. Team in his starts: 7-1 last eight
5-inning record: 16-7-4 Allowed run in 1st inning: 6-27 Over/under: under 3-1 last four
Phillies won five of last eight road games; under is 8-5 in their last 13 road games. Over/under 1st 5 innings: under 7-3 last ten games.
Cincy lost six of its last eight games; under is 4-2 in their last six games. Over/under 1st 5 innings: under 4-2 last six games.
Giants (69-72) @ Cardinals (78-61)
Webb is 1-0, 4.40 in three starts. Team in his starts: 2-1
5-inning record: 2-1 Allowed run in 1st inning: 1-3 Over/under: 1-2
Hudson is 4-0, 1.37 in his last four starts; he is 1-0, 3.52 in three games (1 start) vs SF. Team in his starts: 19-8
5-inning record: 13-9-5 Allowed run in 1st inning: 10-27 Over/under: under 6-2 last eight
Giants lost seven of their last nine games; under is 6-3 in their last nine road games. Over/under 1st 5 innings: under 7-4-1 last 12 games.
St Louis won 11 of its last 14 games; over is 7-5 in their last 12 games. Over/under 1st 5 innings: under 6-3 last nine games.
Marlins (49-89) @ Pirates (61-78)
Hernandez is 1-1, 5.32 in his last four starts. Team in his starts: 5-7
5-inning record: 3-7-2 Allowed run in 1st inning: 2-12 Over/under: 5-6-1
Agrazal is 2-2, 7.23 in his last four starts. Team in his starts: 5-5
5-inning record: 4-4-2 Allowed run in 1st inning: 6-10 Over/under: 4-5-1
Miami lost seven of their last nine games; under is 5-3-1 in their last nine road games. Over/under 1st 5 innings: over 5-1-3 last nine games.
Pittsburgh won nine of its last 12 games; under is 10-8-1 in their last 19 games. Over/under 1st 5 innings: under 7-5-1 last 13 games.
Cubs (75-63) @ Brewers (71-67)
Quintana is 4-1, 2.52 in his last six starts; he is 2-2, 6.86 in five starts vs Milwaukee this year. Team in his starts: 16-10
5-inning record: 15-9-2 Allowed run in 1st inning: 7-26 Over/under: under 4-1-1 last six
Anderson is 1-2, 11.91 in his last three starts; he is 0-1, 7.00 in two starts vs Chicago this year. Team in his starts: 10-12
5-inning record: 10-8-4 Allowed run in 1st inning: 7-22 Over/under: under 5-2 last seven
Cubs won six of last eight games; they?re 4-10 in last 14 road series openers- under is 6-0 in their last six games. Over/under 1st 5 innings: under 5-1 last six games.
Milwaukee won four of last six games; they?re 4-12 in last 16 home series openers- under is 6-0 in their last six games. Over/under 1st 5 innings: under 5-2 last seven games.
Nationals (78-59) @ Braves (86-54)
Strasburg is 2-0, 2.02 in his last four starts; he is 3-0, 3.93 in three starts vs Atlanta this year. Team in his starts: 18-10
5-inning record: 13-10-5 Allowed run in 1st inning: 5-28 Over/under: over 7-2 last nine
Fried is 6-0, 4.53 in his last eight starts; he is 0-1, 5.19 in three games (2 starts) vs Washington. Team in his starts: won last eight
5-inning record: 14-10-2 Allowed run in 1st inning: 6-26 Over/under: 16-8-2
Washington won 10 of last 13 games; they?re 10-1 in last 11 road series openers- over is 8-2-1 in their last 11 games. Over/under 1st 5 innings: over 5-1-1 last seven games.
Braves won their last six games; they?re 5-1 in last six home series openers- under is 7-2-1 in their last 10 home games. Over/under 1st 5 innings: under 12-4-1 last 17 games.
American League
White Sox (61-78) @ Indians (81-59)
Lopez is 1-3, 9.53 in his last four starts; he is 1-0, 3.29 in two starts vs Cleveland this year. Team in his starts: 12-16
5-inning record: 12-13-3 Allowed run in 1st inning: 11-28 Over/under: 15-13
Plesac is 1-2, 5.87 in his last three starts; he is 0-1, 1.29 vs Chicago this year. Team in his starts: 12-5
5-inning record: 7-6-4 Allowed run in 1st inning: 2-17 Over/under: over 5-2 last seven
White Sox lost eight of their last nine games; over is 6-1 in their last seven games. Over/under 1st 5 innings: under 6-5 last 11 games.
Cleveland is 9-12 in its last 21 games; over is 5-0 in their last five games. Over/under 1st 5 innings: under 6-5-1 last 12 home games.
Tigers (40-97) @ Royals (51-89)
Boyd is 1-1, 6.16 in his last three starts; he is 1-2, 6.97 in four starts vs KC this year. Team in his starts: 9-19
5-inning record: 13-11-4 Allowed run in 1st inning: 7-28 Over/under: last five over
Sparkman is 0-2, 8.40 in his last three starts. Team in his starts: lost last eight
5-inning record: 5-11-2 Allowed run in 1st inning: 10-18 Over/under: 10-8
Tigers lost nine of last ten games; over is 8-3 in their last 11 games. Over/under 1st 5 innings: over 4-1 last five games.
Kansas City is 6-4 in its last ten games; over is 5-1-1 in their last seven games. Over/under 1st 5 innings: over 6-2-1 last nine games.
Angels (65-75) @ A?s (80-58)
Suarez is 0-4, 9.41 in his last five starts. Team in his starts: 4-8
5-inning record: 3-7-2 Allowed run in 1st inning: 6-12 Over/under: over 3-1 last four
Anderson is 1-1, 4.76 in his last three starts; he is 2-0, 0.00 in two starts (13.2 IP) vs LAA this year. Team in his starts: 17-10
5-inning record: 14-11-2 Allowed run in 1st inning: 7-27 Over/under: last four under
Angels lost 15 of last 18 road games; under is 8-5 in their last 13 games. Over/under 1st 5 innings: over 4-1 last five games.
Oakland is 12-6 in its last 18 games; under is 4-1 in their last five games. Over/under 1st 5 innings: under 4-1 last five games.
Rangers (68-72) @ Orioles (46-93)
Allard is 2-0, 1.50 in his last two starts. Team in his starts: 4-1
5-inning record: 2-2-1 Allowed run in 1st inning: 3-5 Over/under: 2-3
Means is 2-0, 1.93 in his last two starts. Team in his starts: 10-12
5-inning record: 12-10 Allowed run in 1st inning: 5-22 Over/under: 10-12
Rangers lost three of last four games; they?re 3-7 in last 10 road series openers- under is 9-2 in their last 11 games. Over/under 1st 5 innings: under is 10-1 in last 11 games.
Baltimore lost four of last five games; they?re 2-9 in last 11 home series openers- over is 4-2-1 in their last seven games. Over/under 1st 5 innings: under 3-0 last three games.
Blue Jays (55-85) @ Rays (82-59)
Thornton is 0-2, 5.14 in his last four starts. Team in his starts: 8-18
5-inning record: 15-7-5 Allowed run in 1st inning: 7-27 Over/under: over 10-3 last 13
Pruitt is 2-0, 4.78 in 11 games (1 start). Team in his starts: 1-0
5-inning record: 0-0-1 Allowed run in 1st inning: 0-1 Over/under: 0-1
Blue Jays lost five of last six games; they?re 4-12 in last 16 road series openers- under is 3-0-1 in their last four games. Over/under 1st 5 innings: under 4-1 last five games.
Tampa Bay won six of last seven games; they?re 4-8 in last 12 home series openers- over is 6-3 in their last nine home games. Over/under 1st 5 innings: under 3-0 last three games.
Twins (86-53) @ Red Sox (75-64)
Perez is 1-1, 5.95 in his last four starts; he is 2-2, 5.68 in seven starts vs Boston. Team in his starts: 14-10
5-inning record: 15-8-1 Allowed run in 1st inning: 6-24 Over/under: over 5-1 last six
Eovaldi is 0-0, 6.90 in seven starts; he is 3-3, 5.50 in six starts vs Minnesota. Team in his starts: 6-1
5-inning record: 3-4 Allowed run in 1st inning: 2-7 Over/under: 5-1-1
Twins won nine of last 11 games; over is 5-3 in their last eight games. Over/under 1st 5 innings: over 6-2 last eight games.
Red Sox won seven of last ten games; under is 7-1 in their last eight home games. Over/under 1st 5 innings: over 4-1 last five games.
Mariners (58-82) @ Astros (90-50)
Gonzales is 2-2, 4.94 in his last four starts; he is 0-4, 7.50 in six games (5 starts) vs Houston. Team in his starts: 15-14
5-inning record: 16-11-2 Allowed run in 1st inning: 11-29 Over/under: under 5-1 last six
Miley is 2-0, 3.14 in his last three starts; he is 3-0, 2.33 in five starts vs Seattle this year Team in his starts: 20-8
5-inning record: 16-9-3 Allowed run in 1st inning: 8-28 Over/under: 10-18
Mariners lost seven of their last nine games; they?re 10-14 in road series openers- under is 8-1-1 in their last ten games. Over/under 1st 5 innings: under 5-1 last six games.
Houston won nine of last 12 games; they?re 19-3 in home series openers- under is 4-0 in their last four games. Over/under 1st 5 innings: under 4-1 last five games.
%age of times teams score in first inning (road/home/total)
Team (road-home-total)- thru 8/30
Ariz 21-71??17-64??38
Atl 21-69?..21-67??42
Cubs 17-66??25-67?..42
Reds 24-65??25-68?..49
Colo 16-69??26-66??42
LA 19-66??23-70??42
Mia 11-63??20-70?..31
Milw 21-66?..24-68?..45
Mets 25-60??21-66?..46
Philly 17-62?..21-69??38
Pitt 24-70?..16-65??40
StL 17-68?..18-64??.35
SD 18-64??21-68?..39
SF 10-67??14-65??24
Wash 22-68?..20-63??42
Orioles 19-67??.23-68..?.42
Boston 19-68??.23-67??42
W Sox 16-66??.18-68??.34
Clev 20-68?..18-67??..38
Det 21-68??17-63??..38
Astros 26-67?..17-68??..43
KC 19-68?..23-68??..42
Angels 24-69??15-66??.39
Twins 27-66??18-68??45
NYY 21-66??26-71??47
A?s 17-65?..18-68??.35
Sea 17-67?..17-69??.34
TB 24-70?..21-65??.45
Texas 16-69?..23-66??.39
Toronto 17-68?..19-69??.36
Interleague play- 2019
NL @ AL? 75-55 NL, favorites -$1,213 under 61-60-3
AL @ NL? 64-58 NL, favorites -$1,296 over 66-54-7
Total: 139-113 NL, favorites -$2,509 Over 126-115-10
Armadillo's Write-Up
Thursday, September 5
National League
Phillies (72-66) @ Reds (65-75)
Vargas is 0-2, 5.13 in six Phllly starts; he is 1-2, 6.30 in five starts vs Cincy. Team in his starts: 2-4
5-inning record: 2-4 Allowed run in 1st inning: 1-6 Over/under: 2-4
Gray is 4-0, 0.98 in his last six starts; he is 0-0, 4.76 in one start vs Philly. Team in his starts: 7-1 last eight
5-inning record: 16-7-4 Allowed run in 1st inning: 6-27 Over/under: under 3-1 last four
Phillies won five of last eight road games; under is 8-5 in their last 13 road games. Over/under 1st 5 innings: under 7-3 last ten games.
Cincy lost six of its last eight games; under is 4-2 in their last six games. Over/under 1st 5 innings: under 4-2 last six games.
Giants (69-72) @ Cardinals (78-61)
Webb is 1-0, 4.40 in three starts. Team in his starts: 2-1
5-inning record: 2-1 Allowed run in 1st inning: 1-3 Over/under: 1-2
Hudson is 4-0, 1.37 in his last four starts; he is 1-0, 3.52 in three games (1 start) vs SF. Team in his starts: 19-8
5-inning record: 13-9-5 Allowed run in 1st inning: 10-27 Over/under: under 6-2 last eight
Giants lost seven of their last nine games; under is 6-3 in their last nine road games. Over/under 1st 5 innings: under 7-4-1 last 12 games.
St Louis won 11 of its last 14 games; over is 7-5 in their last 12 games. Over/under 1st 5 innings: under 6-3 last nine games.
Marlins (49-89) @ Pirates (61-78)
Hernandez is 1-1, 5.32 in his last four starts. Team in his starts: 5-7
5-inning record: 3-7-2 Allowed run in 1st inning: 2-12 Over/under: 5-6-1
Agrazal is 2-2, 7.23 in his last four starts. Team in his starts: 5-5
5-inning record: 4-4-2 Allowed run in 1st inning: 6-10 Over/under: 4-5-1
Miami lost seven of their last nine games; under is 5-3-1 in their last nine road games. Over/under 1st 5 innings: over 5-1-3 last nine games.
Pittsburgh won nine of its last 12 games; under is 10-8-1 in their last 19 games. Over/under 1st 5 innings: under 7-5-1 last 13 games.
Cubs (75-63) @ Brewers (71-67)
Quintana is 4-1, 2.52 in his last six starts; he is 2-2, 6.86 in five starts vs Milwaukee this year. Team in his starts: 16-10
5-inning record: 15-9-2 Allowed run in 1st inning: 7-26 Over/under: under 4-1-1 last six
Anderson is 1-2, 11.91 in his last three starts; he is 0-1, 7.00 in two starts vs Chicago this year. Team in his starts: 10-12
5-inning record: 10-8-4 Allowed run in 1st inning: 7-22 Over/under: under 5-2 last seven
Cubs won six of last eight games; they?re 4-10 in last 14 road series openers- under is 6-0 in their last six games. Over/under 1st 5 innings: under 5-1 last six games.
Milwaukee won four of last six games; they?re 4-12 in last 16 home series openers- under is 6-0 in their last six games. Over/under 1st 5 innings: under 5-2 last seven games.
Nationals (78-59) @ Braves (86-54)
Strasburg is 2-0, 2.02 in his last four starts; he is 3-0, 3.93 in three starts vs Atlanta this year. Team in his starts: 18-10
5-inning record: 13-10-5 Allowed run in 1st inning: 5-28 Over/under: over 7-2 last nine
Fried is 6-0, 4.53 in his last eight starts; he is 0-1, 5.19 in three games (2 starts) vs Washington. Team in his starts: won last eight
5-inning record: 14-10-2 Allowed run in 1st inning: 6-26 Over/under: 16-8-2
Washington won 10 of last 13 games; they?re 10-1 in last 11 road series openers- over is 8-2-1 in their last 11 games. Over/under 1st 5 innings: over 5-1-1 last seven games.
Braves won their last six games; they?re 5-1 in last six home series openers- under is 7-2-1 in their last 10 home games. Over/under 1st 5 innings: under 12-4-1 last 17 games.
American League
White Sox (61-78) @ Indians (81-59)
Lopez is 1-3, 9.53 in his last four starts; he is 1-0, 3.29 in two starts vs Cleveland this year. Team in his starts: 12-16
5-inning record: 12-13-3 Allowed run in 1st inning: 11-28 Over/under: 15-13
Plesac is 1-2, 5.87 in his last three starts; he is 0-1, 1.29 vs Chicago this year. Team in his starts: 12-5
5-inning record: 7-6-4 Allowed run in 1st inning: 2-17 Over/under: over 5-2 last seven
White Sox lost eight of their last nine games; over is 6-1 in their last seven games. Over/under 1st 5 innings: under 6-5 last 11 games.
Cleveland is 9-12 in its last 21 games; over is 5-0 in their last five games. Over/under 1st 5 innings: under 6-5-1 last 12 home games.
Tigers (40-97) @ Royals (51-89)
Boyd is 1-1, 6.16 in his last three starts; he is 1-2, 6.97 in four starts vs KC this year. Team in his starts: 9-19
5-inning record: 13-11-4 Allowed run in 1st inning: 7-28 Over/under: last five over
Sparkman is 0-2, 8.40 in his last three starts. Team in his starts: lost last eight
5-inning record: 5-11-2 Allowed run in 1st inning: 10-18 Over/under: 10-8
Tigers lost nine of last ten games; over is 8-3 in their last 11 games. Over/under 1st 5 innings: over 4-1 last five games.
Kansas City is 6-4 in its last ten games; over is 5-1-1 in their last seven games. Over/under 1st 5 innings: over 6-2-1 last nine games.
Angels (65-75) @ A?s (80-58)
Suarez is 0-4, 9.41 in his last five starts. Team in his starts: 4-8
5-inning record: 3-7-2 Allowed run in 1st inning: 6-12 Over/under: over 3-1 last four
Anderson is 1-1, 4.76 in his last three starts; he is 2-0, 0.00 in two starts (13.2 IP) vs LAA this year. Team in his starts: 17-10
5-inning record: 14-11-2 Allowed run in 1st inning: 7-27 Over/under: last four under
Angels lost 15 of last 18 road games; under is 8-5 in their last 13 games. Over/under 1st 5 innings: over 4-1 last five games.
Oakland is 12-6 in its last 18 games; under is 4-1 in their last five games. Over/under 1st 5 innings: under 4-1 last five games.
Rangers (68-72) @ Orioles (46-93)
Allard is 2-0, 1.50 in his last two starts. Team in his starts: 4-1
5-inning record: 2-2-1 Allowed run in 1st inning: 3-5 Over/under: 2-3
Means is 2-0, 1.93 in his last two starts. Team in his starts: 10-12
5-inning record: 12-10 Allowed run in 1st inning: 5-22 Over/under: 10-12
Rangers lost three of last four games; they?re 3-7 in last 10 road series openers- under is 9-2 in their last 11 games. Over/under 1st 5 innings: under is 10-1 in last 11 games.
Baltimore lost four of last five games; they?re 2-9 in last 11 home series openers- over is 4-2-1 in their last seven games. Over/under 1st 5 innings: under 3-0 last three games.
Blue Jays (55-85) @ Rays (82-59)
Thornton is 0-2, 5.14 in his last four starts. Team in his starts: 8-18
5-inning record: 15-7-5 Allowed run in 1st inning: 7-27 Over/under: over 10-3 last 13
Pruitt is 2-0, 4.78 in 11 games (1 start). Team in his starts: 1-0
5-inning record: 0-0-1 Allowed run in 1st inning: 0-1 Over/under: 0-1
Blue Jays lost five of last six games; they?re 4-12 in last 16 road series openers- under is 3-0-1 in their last four games. Over/under 1st 5 innings: under 4-1 last five games.
Tampa Bay won six of last seven games; they?re 4-8 in last 12 home series openers- over is 6-3 in their last nine home games. Over/under 1st 5 innings: under 3-0 last three games.
Twins (86-53) @ Red Sox (75-64)
Perez is 1-1, 5.95 in his last four starts; he is 2-2, 5.68 in seven starts vs Boston. Team in his starts: 14-10
5-inning record: 15-8-1 Allowed run in 1st inning: 6-24 Over/under: over 5-1 last six
Eovaldi is 0-0, 6.90 in seven starts; he is 3-3, 5.50 in six starts vs Minnesota. Team in his starts: 6-1
5-inning record: 3-4 Allowed run in 1st inning: 2-7 Over/under: 5-1-1
Twins won nine of last 11 games; over is 5-3 in their last eight games. Over/under 1st 5 innings: over 6-2 last eight games.
Red Sox won seven of last ten games; under is 7-1 in their last eight home games. Over/under 1st 5 innings: over 4-1 last five games.
Mariners (58-82) @ Astros (90-50)
Gonzales is 2-2, 4.94 in his last four starts; he is 0-4, 7.50 in six games (5 starts) vs Houston. Team in his starts: 15-14
5-inning record: 16-11-2 Allowed run in 1st inning: 11-29 Over/under: under 5-1 last six
Miley is 2-0, 3.14 in his last three starts; he is 3-0, 2.33 in five starts vs Seattle this year Team in his starts: 20-8
5-inning record: 16-9-3 Allowed run in 1st inning: 8-28 Over/under: 10-18
Mariners lost seven of their last nine games; they?re 10-14 in road series openers- under is 8-1-1 in their last ten games. Over/under 1st 5 innings: under 5-1 last six games.
Houston won nine of last 12 games; they?re 19-3 in home series openers- under is 4-0 in their last four games. Over/under 1st 5 innings: under 4-1 last five games.
%age of times teams score in first inning (road/home/total)
Team (road-home-total)- thru 8/30
Ariz 21-71??17-64??38
Atl 21-69?..21-67??42
Cubs 17-66??25-67?..42
Reds 24-65??25-68?..49
Colo 16-69??26-66??42
LA 19-66??23-70??42
Mia 11-63??20-70?..31
Milw 21-66?..24-68?..45
Mets 25-60??21-66?..46
Philly 17-62?..21-69??38
Pitt 24-70?..16-65??40
StL 17-68?..18-64??.35
SD 18-64??21-68?..39
SF 10-67??14-65??24
Wash 22-68?..20-63??42
Orioles 19-67??.23-68..?.42
Boston 19-68??.23-67??42
W Sox 16-66??.18-68??.34
Clev 20-68?..18-67??..38
Det 21-68??17-63??..38
Astros 26-67?..17-68??..43
KC 19-68?..23-68??..42
Angels 24-69??15-66??.39
Twins 27-66??18-68??45
NYY 21-66??26-71??47
A?s 17-65?..18-68??.35
Sea 17-67?..17-69??.34
TB 24-70?..21-65??.45
Texas 16-69?..23-66??.39
Toronto 17-68?..19-69??.36
Interleague play- 2019
NL @ AL? 75-55 NL, favorites -$1,213 under 61-60-3
AL @ NL? 64-58 NL, favorites -$1,296 over 66-54-7
Total: 139-113 NL, favorites -$2,509 Over 126-115-10