Cnotes53 2017 College Football Picks-Trends-News Etc. !

[Cnotes53]

Wednesday, November 8

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KENT ST (2 - 7) at W MICHIGAN (5 - 4) - 11/8/2017, 7:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
W MICHIGAN is 6-16 ATS (-11.6 Units) in home games off a loss against a conference rival since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
KENT ST is 1-0 against the spread versus W MICHIGAN over the last 3 seasons
W MICHIGAN is 1-0 straight up against KENT ST over the last 3 seasons
1 of 1 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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TOLEDO (8 - 1) at OHIO U (7 - 2) - 11/8/2017, 7:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
OHIO U is 24-12 ATS (+10.8 Units) in all games over the last 3 seasons.
OHIO U is 24-12 ATS (+10.8 Units) in all lined games over the last 3 seasons.
OHIO U is 7-1 ATS (+5.9 Units) in games played on turf this season.
TOLEDO is 31-16 ATS (+13.4 Units) as a favorite of 3.5 to 10 points since 1992.
TOLEDO is 81-55 ATS (+20.5 Units) as a favorite since 1992.
TOLEDO is 11-3 ATS (+7.7 Units) in road games over the last 3 seasons.
TOLEDO is 11-3 ATS (+7.7 Units) in road lined games over the last 3 seasons.
TOLEDO is 14-5 ATS (+8.5 Units) when playing with 6 or less days rest over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
OHIO U is 1-0 against the spread versus TOLEDO over the last 3 seasons
OHIO U is 1-0 straight up against TOLEDO over the last 3 seasons
0 of 0 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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E MICHIGAN (3 - 6) at C MICHIGAN (5 - 4) - 11/8/2017, 8:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
E MICHIGAN is 17-5 ATS (+11.5 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
E MICHIGAN is 17-5 ATS (+11.5 Units) in all lined games over the last 2 seasons.
E MICHIGAN is 10-1 ATS (+8.9 Units) in road games over the last 2 seasons.
E MICHIGAN is 10-1 ATS (+8.9 Units) in road lined games over the last 2 seasons.
E MICHIGAN is 6-0 ATS (+6.0 Units) in road games against conference opponents over the last 2 seasons.
E MICHIGAN is 11-2 ATS (+8.8 Units) when playing with 6 or less days rest over the last 2 seasons.
E MICHIGAN is 10-2 ATS (+7.8 Units) after playing a conference game over the last 2 seasons.
E MICHIGAN is 16-5 ATS (+10.5 Units) in games played on turf over the last 2 seasons.
E MICHIGAN is 10-1 ATS (+8.9 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
E MICHIGAN is 2-0 against the spread versus C MICHIGAN over the last 3 seasons
C MICHIGAN is 1-1 straight up against E MICHIGAN over the last 3 seasons
1 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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Wednesday, November 8

KENT STATE @ WESTERN MICHIGAN
Kent State is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Western Michigan
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Kent State's last 7 games
Western Michigan is 10-2 SU in its last 12 games at home
Western Michigan is 20-5 SU in its last 25 games

TOLEDO @ OHIO
Toledo is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
Toledo is 7-1 SU in its last 8 games when playing Ohio
Ohio is 6-1 ATS in its last 7 games
Ohio is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games

EASTERN MICHIGAN @ CENTRAL MICHIGAN
Eastern Michigan is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games on the road
Eastern Michigan is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games
Central Michigan is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing Eastern Michigan
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Central Michigan's last 5 games when playing at home against Eastern Michigan

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NCAAF
Armadillo's Write-Up

Week 11

Wednesday?s games
Western Michigan lost two of three games since its epic 71-68 OT win over Buffalo; four of their last six games went over total. Western ran ball for 315 yards in 35-28 home loss to Central Mich LW- they?re 1-3 as a home favorite this year. Kent State lost five of last six games; they allowed 563 yards in last two games, are 2-3 as road dogs. Favorites covered eight of last nine Kent-WMU games; Flashes lost three of last four visits to Kalamazoo, with all three losses by 23+ points- Kent covered last three series games. Under is 5-2 in last seven Kent games.

Ohio (+16) upset Toledo 31-26 LY, in teams? first meeting since 2010; total yardage was 560-512. Rockets won last three visits to Athens, by 7-9-7 points. Toledo won its last five games, covering last four; they?re 3-1 on road, with all three wins by 13+ points- they lost 52-30 at unbeaten Miami, FL. Ohio won three in row, six of last seven games; they?re 4-1 at home, with a 26-23 loss to Central Michigan. Four of Bobcats? last five games went over the total. MAC home underdogs are 3-9 vs spread this season.

Eastern Michigan snapped a 6-game skid LW with 56-14 win over Ball St; all is of those losses were by 7 or less points. Eagles are 1-4 on road, with win 16-13 at Rutgers. Central Michigan won three of its last four games- they scored 91 points in winning last two games. CMU won six of last eight games with Eastern Michigan, winning three of last four here, winning by 7-32-48 points. EMU outgained Central 538-383 in LY?s win. Over is 3-1 in last four EMU games, 2-5 in last seven Chippewa games.

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NCAAF
Dunkel

Week 11

Wednesday, November 8

Kent State @ Western Michigan

Game 105-106
November 8, 2017 @ 7:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Kent State
56.414
Western Michigan
83.600
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Western Michigan
by 27
49
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Western Michigan
by 21
46 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Western Michigan
(-21); Over

Toledo @ Ohio

Game 107-108
November 8, 2017 @ 7:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Toledo
91.467
Ohio
83.599
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Toledo
by 8
66
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Toledo
by 3 1/2
64 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Toledo
(-3 1/2); Over

Eastern Michigan @ Central Michigan

Game 109-110
November 8, 2017 @ 8:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Eastern Michigan
82.535
Central Michigan
82.120
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Central Michigan
Even
55
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Eastern Michigan
by 2
48 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Central Michigan
(+2); Over

 

[Cnotes53]

Wednesday's MAC Action
November 7, 2017

There are three games on tap in the MAC on Wednesday night. That means college football bettors have six options with sides and totals. Let?s get you ready for the action with in-depth previews of two games and some notes on the other.

**Toledo at Ohio**

-- In what might be a preview of the MAC Championship Game, Ohio (7-2 straight up, 7-2 against the spread) will play host to Toledo in a battle between division leaders. The Bobcats were in a first-place tie with Akron (pending the Zips? Tuesday night result at Miami (OH) in the East with identical 4-1 league records. Meanwhile, Toledo holds a one-half game lead over Northern Illinois in the West. The Rockets are 5-0 in conference play, while the Huskies are 4-1.

-- As of Tuesday night, most betting shops had Toledo (8-1 SU, 5-4 ATS) listed as a four-point road ?chalk? with a total of 65. The Bobcats were +155 on the money line (risk $100 to win $155).

-- Toledo took its only loss at Miami by a 52-30 count as a 13.5-point road underdog. However, this was a misleading final, as the Rockets led 16-10 at halftime and trailed by only eight midway through the fourth quarter.

-- Jason Candle?s team is 3-0 both SU and ATS as a road favorite this season. The Rockets are 4-1 ATS in five such spots since Candle took over for current Iowa State head coach Matt Campbell going into the 2016 campaign.

-- Toledo has ripped off five consecutive wins since the loss at Miami. The Rockets have covered the number in four straight, winning each of those games by double-digit margins. They?re off last week?s 27-17 win over No. Illinois last Thursday as 7.5-point home favorites. Senior quarterback Logan Woodside completed 23-of-31 passes for 361 yards, while senior RB Terry Swanson rushed for 116 yards and three TDs on 29 carries. Sophomore WR Diontae Jonson had 10 receptions for 166 yards, while sophomore TE Jordan Fisher brought down six catches for 102 yards.

-- Woodside, a first-team All-MAC selection in 2016 when he threw for 4,129 yards with a stellar 45/9 TD-INT, hasn?t missed a beat despite losing his favorite target Cody Thompson to a season-ending injury. Thompson, a senior WR who was also a first-team All-MAC pick in ?16, went down in early October. He had 28 catches for 537 yards and four TDs in the team?s first four games (and change; he was injured early in a 20-15 home win over Eastern Michigan). Woodside has connected on 64.3 percent of his throws for 2,656 yards with a 19/2 TD-INT ratio.

-- Diontae Jonson has a team-best 46 receptions for 859 yards and eight TDs. Jon?Vea Johnson, a second-team All-MAC selection last season, has 24 grabs for 354 yards and three TDs.

-- Toledo is three-deep in the backfield. Swanson gets the bulk of the touches and he?s rushed for 844 yards and 11 TDs, averaging 5.3 yards per carry. Shakif Seymour has run for 468 yards and six TDs with a 6.6 YPC average, while Art Thompkins has rushed for 466 yards and one TD with a 5.5 YPC average.

-- Toledo is sixth in the nation in total offense, averaging 519.7 yards per game. The Rockets are ranked 19th in the country in passing offense, 23rd in rushing and 14th in scoring with a 39.0 points-per-game average.

-- Since losing 26-23 to Central Michigan as a 10.5-point home favorite on Oct. 7, Frank Solich?s 13th team at Ohio has won three consecutive games both SU and ATS. Solich?s squad has won those three games by margins of 17 points or more, including last Tuesday?s 45-28 win over Miami (OH.) as a 6.5-point home favorite. The 73 combined points soared above the 54-point total to provide the Bobcats with their third straight ?over.? Nathan Rourke completed 21-of-33 passes for 294 yards and three TDs without an interception. Rourke absolutely dominated the game, rushing for 54 yards and three TDs on 10 attempts as well. RB A.J. Ouellette added 80 rushing yards on 20 carries, while senior WR Brendan Cope had five catches for 80 yards and one TD. Papi White contributed five receptions for 80 yards and one TD.

-- Ohio?s only other loss of the year came in Week 2 when it dropped a 44-21 decision at Purdue. The Bobcats hosted Kansas in non-conference play, defeating the Jayhawks 42-20 as 7.5-point home ?chalk.?

-- Rourke has completed 56.7 percent of his passes for 1,517 yards with a 13/3 TD-INT ratio. He has also run for 548 yards and 16 TDs, averaging 6.2 YPC. Ouellette has run for a team-best 832 yards and six TDs with a 5.9 YPC average. Dorian Brown has added 458 rushing yards, four TDs on the ground and a 5.7 YPC average.

-- Cope has been Rouke?s favorite target, making 31 catches for 436 yards and three TDs. Andrew Meyer has 25 receptions for 361 yards and two TDs, while White has 17 grabs for 312 yards and two TDs.

-- During Solich?s tenure, Ohio has compiled an 11-5 spread record in 16 games as a home underdog.

-- Toledo saw its 12-game winning streak over Ohio snapped in a 31-26 loss as a 15-point home favorite in last season?s meeting. Brown was the catalyst for the winners, rushing for 212 yards and one TD on 29 carries. White had three catches for 64 yards and one TD, in addition to five rushing attempts for 54 yards. In the losing effort, Woodside threw for 438 yards and three TDs with one interception. Swanson ran for 58 yards on 10 carries, while J-Johnson had six receptions for 156 yards and two TDs.

-- The ?over? is 7-2 overall for the Bobcats, 4-1 in their home outings. They?ve watched their games net combined scores of 66.9 PPG.

-- The ?over? is 5-4 overall for the Rockets, 2-2 in their four road assignments. They?ve seen their games average combined scores of 63.4 PPG.

-- Kickoff is scheduled for 7:00 p.m. Eastern on ESPN2.

**Eastern Michigan at Central Michigan**

-- As of Tuesday night, most spots had Eastern Michigan (3-6 SU, 7-2 ATS) installed as a two-point road favorite. The Chippewas were +105 to win outright.

-- Eastern Michigan brought its brutal six-game losing streak to an end with last week?s 56-14 bludgeoning of Ball St. as a 25-point home favorite. Presuming you?d like me to define a ?brutal? six-game losing streak, here goes: EMU lost three of the six games in overtime, including back-to-back OT setbacks before the win over the Cardinals. The six defeats came by 23 combined points and the OT home loss to Ohio was the widest margin (seven; 27-20).

-- EMU started the season 2-0 both SU and ATS with a home win vs. Charlotte (24-7) and a 16-13 triumph at Rutgers. In the victory over Ball State, senior QB Brogan Roback connected on 15-of-21 passes for 263 yards and three TDs without an interception. Ian Eriksen ran 21 times for 114 yards and one TD, while Sergio Bailey contributed two catches for 110 yards and one TD.

-- For the season, Roback has completed 60.8 percent of his passes for 2,347 yards with a 14/8 TD-INT ratio. Bailey is his favorite target, hauling in 46 receptions for 763 yards and six TDs. Meanwhile, Antoine Porter has 38 catches for 464 yards and four TDs, while John Niupalau has 24 grabs for 328 yards and three TDs.

-- Eriksen, EMU?s junior RB, has produced a team-high 535 yards and five TDs with a 4.4 YPC average.

-- Eastern Michigan has lost four of its five games on the road, but it has hooked up its backers with an incredible 5-0 spread record.

-- This is only the second time Eastern Michigan has been a road favorite during Chris Creighton?s four-year tenure. The Eagles took the cash in the lone prior such situation by beating Charlotte 37-19 last year as three-point road ?chalk.?

-- Central Michigan (5-4 SU, 4-5 ATS) has won three of its last four games both SU and ATS since dropping three consecutive games. John Bonamego?s squad won 35-28 at Western Michigan last week as a 3.5-point road underdog. The Chippewas rallied from a 28-14 deficit with less than 10 minutes remaining in the fourth quarter. Shane Morris threw both of his TD passes in the final stanza, including a 77-yard scoring strike to Corey Willis with 2:37 left. Jonathan Ward rushed for 130 yards and one TD on 18 carries. Morris threw for 243 yards without a pick and he also had a pair of scoring runs. Willis caught five balls for 148 yards and one TD, while Ward added four receptions for 81 yards.

-- For the season, Morris has completed 55.2 percent of his passes for 2,209 yards with an 18/11 TD-INT ratio. He?s also run for 136 yards and three scores. Ward has run for 590 yards and five TDs with a 5.2 YPC average. Willis, a second-team All-MAC selection last season, has 28 receptions for 441 yards and five TDs. He missed four games with an injury, though. Mark Chapman has a team-best 44 catches for 593 yards and three TDs, while Ward has 38 grabs for 326 yards and one TD.

-- CMU has limped to a 1-2 SU record and a 0-3 ATS mark at home. The Chippewas are 2-3 ATS as home ?dogs on Bonamego?s watch, failing to cover in their lone such spot this year in a 30-10 loss to Toledo.

-- CMU has won four in a row over EMU until losing 26-21 last year. The Eagles prevailed thanks to Roback?s 24-yard scoring strike to Bailey with 21 ticks remaining.

-- The ?under? is 6-3 overall for CMU, 3-0 in its home contests. The Chippewas have seen their games produce average combined scores of 53.9 PPG.

-- The ?under? is 6-3 overall for EMU, 3-2 in its five road assignments. Their games have netted average combined scores of 45.0 PPG.

-- ESPNU will have the broadcast at 8:00 p.m. Eastern.

**B.E.?s Bonus Nuggets**

-- Western Michigan will host Kent State in a third #MACtion game on Wednesday night. This 7:00 p.m. Eastern kick will be on the CBS Sports College Network. As of Tuesday night, most spots had the Broncos installed as 21.5-point favorites with a total of 46.5. The Golden Flashes haven?t scored more than 17 points against an FBS foes all year long. Their team total was 13 at most books as of Tuesday night.

-- Miami junior DE Demetrious Jackson had season-ending knee surgery on Monday. This is a big loss for the ?Canes, who are poised to take on Notre Dame in South Florida on Saturday. Jackson had recorded 18 tackles, 3.5 sacks, four TFL?s, one interception with a four-yard return, one QB hurry and two passes broken up.

-- 5Dimes.eu has Alabama listed as a seven-point favorite over Georgia for a potential matchup at the SEC Championship Game in Atlanta during the first weekend of December.

 

[Cnotes53]

WEDNESDAY, NOVEMBER 8
GAME TIME(ET) PICK UNITS

TOL at OHIO 07:00 PM
OHIO +3.5
O 64.5 *****

KENT at WMU 07:00 PM
KENT +21.5 *****
U 48.5 *****

EMU at CMU 08:00 PM
EMU -2.0
U 48.0 *****

 

[Cnotes53]

Western Michigan crushes Kent, 48-20
November 8, 2017

KALAMAZOO, Mich. (AP) Darius Phillips had one of Western Michigan's three defensive touchdowns to extend his FBC record, and Jarvion Franklin ran for 191 yards and a touchdown in the Broncos' 48-20 victory over Kent State on Wednesday night.

Phillips made it 31-14 late in the first half with a 43-yard interception return, his FBC-record 12th touchdown on runbacks. He has scored on five kickoff returns, five interceptions, a punt return and a fumble return. Allen Rossum (Notre Dame, 1994-97) and Adoree' Jackson (USC, 2014-16) are second with nine each.

Phillips had a 100-yard kickoff return called back in the first quarter.

Four rushers combined for 292 yards for Western Michigan (6-4, 4-2 Mid-American Conference), which is bowl eligible for a fourth straight season.

WMU went on a 12-play, 92-yard scoring drive to open the game. On Kent State's first possession, Robert Spillane returned an interception 35 yards for a 14-point lead. Kent State punted on its next possession, but Erik Simpson forced a fumble and recovered it, and the Golden Flashes got on the board with Justin Rankin's 21-yard touchdown run on a reverse.

Franklin gave Western Michigan a 21-14 lead on a career-long, 72-yard run up the middle. He had 149 yards rushing in the first quarter.

Rankin rushed for 67 yards and two touchdowns on 14 carries for Kent State (2-8, 1-5). He took a direct snap and stretched out at the goal line for a 3-yard touchdown to tie it at 14.

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Ohio runs all over Toledo, 38-10
November 8, 2017

ATHENS, Ohio (AP) Dorian Brown had 142 yards rushing and two touchdowns, Ohio quarterback Nathan Rourke added 115 yards on the ground and a score, and the Bobcats handed Toledo its first conference loss, 38-10 on Wednesday night.

On the first possession of the second half, Ohio went 73 yards and Rourke ran it in from the 8 for a 17-7 lead. Brown made it 24-7 on a 62-yard, untouched touchdown run and the Bobcats' third straight scoring drive was capped by Brendan Cope's 12-yard grab in the middle of the end zone.

Rourke was 7-of-15 passing for 139 yards and one touchdown and one interception for Ohio (8-2, 5-1, Mid-American Conference), which rushed for 393 yards.

In the first half, A.J. Ouellette gave Ohio a 7-0 lead late on a 6-yard run. Javon Hagan returned a fumble 34 yards and Ohio's Louie Zervos kicked a 44-yard field goal for a 10-7 lead with 11 seconds left before halftime.

Logan Woodside completed 24 of 35 passes for 263 yards and a touchdown for Toledo (8-2, 5-1), which lost for the first time since a 52-30 defeat at then-No. 14 Miami on Sept. 23. Four plays after Toledo's Toled Ja'Wuan Woodley recovered a fumble, Diontae Johnson caught a 34-yard touchdown pass to tie it at 7.

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Central Michigan has 5 interceptions, tops EMU 42-30
November 8, 2017

MOUNT PLEASANT, Mich. (AP) Shane Morris threw three touchdown passes in the first half, Sean Bunting had two of Central Michigan's five interceptions, and the Chippewas held off Eastern Michigan 42-30 on Wednesday night.

Central Michigan was ahead 28-10 late in the second quarter, but the Chippewas' only first down of the second half came with 6:27 remaining in the game.

EMU scored on back-to-back drives in the fourth to pull to 35-30. The Eagles punted on their next two possessions, but got the ball back at their 26 with 1:03 left. Two plays later, Amari Coleman sealed it with his eighth career interception, returning it for a 32-yard TD.

Jonathan Ward rushed for 159 yards and two touchdowns, including a career-long 79-yarder, for Central Michigan (6-4, 4-2 Mid-American Conference), which is bowl eligible for the 10th time in 12 years. Morris was 9-of-12 passing for 141 yards before halftime and finished with 155 yards on 11 completions.

Tyler Conklin made a 4-yard catch to set a CMU record for tight ends with 11 TDs, topping David Blackburn (2008-11). Corey Willis had back-to-back touchdown catches, of 12 and 4 yards, to make it 28-10. Willis has six touchdowns this season - all in the last three games.

Brogan Roback was 23 of 39 for 204 yards with two touchdowns and five interceptions for Eastern Michigan (3-7, 1-5).

Roback's second fourth-quarter touchdown pass set the program record with 54 passing TDs, topping former Pittsburgh Steeler Charlie Batch. Roback found Mathew Sexton over the middle from 18 yards out to pull to 35-30 and set the mark with 7:24 remaining.

 

[Cnotes53]

Inside the Stats - Week 11
November 8, 2017

Stats don?t lie. People who interpret them do.

Let?s take a look at how teams are performing this season ?Inside The Stats?.

LOOKING INSIDE THE STATS

Here are the teams who won phony games ?inside-out? ITS (In The Stats) but were out-gained by 100 or more yards in their last game.

This week includes:

College Football: Florida State, Kansas State

NFL: Pittsburgh Steelers, Washington Redskins

PUTTIN? ON THE STATS PLAY LIST

Listed below are the qualifying teams to date with their respective ITS win-loss records that have either won or lost all - or all but one ? of their games in the stats. Play accordingly as long as these teams remain on this list from now thru the end of the season.

Play On ITS teams: Alabama 8-1, Central Florida 8-0, Georgia 9-0, LSU 8-1, Michigan 8-1, Michigan State 8-1, Oklahoma 9-0, Oklahoma State 8-1, South Florida 9-0, Toledo 8-1, Washington 8-1, Washington State 9-1 and Wisconsin 9-0.

Play Against ITS teams: Connecticut 0-8-1, East Carolina 1-7-1, Kent State 1-8, Kentucky 1-8, Rutgers 1-8, and UTEP 1-8.

WHAT HAVE YOU DONE FOR ME LATELY

From this week?s MIDWEEK ALERT it?s apparent that certain teams are in current form that is diametrically opposite to that of their overall season-to-date team stats.

The net differential of their overall team stats, with a net difference of 100 YPG or more since Game Five, as opposed to the overall season-to-date team stats, are contained below. You would be wise to observe these opposite-form comparison teams.

Positive Game Five Out Net Stats: Arkansas State +100, Temple +128

Negative Game Five Out Net Stats: Clemson -116, Duke -140, Georgia Tech -145, Kansas State -115, Maryland -100, Navy -101, Oregon -104, Rutgers -103

LEAKING OIL

Each week on the football card each we isolate favorites that have been out-gained in each of their last three games.

We call them ?leaking oil? favorites for reasons that are self-explanatory. Here are this week?s Pennzoil favorites and their current ITS losing skein record.

College Football: Duke 0-5, Kansas State 0-6, Navy 0-4, Texas A&M 0-4, Tulane 0-4

NFL: New York Giants 0-5, New York Jets 0-3

SEASON-HIGH; SEASON-LOW

One of the gauges of how a team can be expected to perform on the field is how they go toe-to-toe with other teams throughout the course of a season.

When a team holds another to season-low yardage it?s an indicator that their defense is legit. Conversely, when they allow foes season-high yards their defense is waning and trouble is generally looming.

With that thought in mind, below is a list of teams that have held four or more FBS opponents to either season-low marks, or season-high yards this campaign, along with the amount of times they have accomplished the feat this season to date:

Season-lows: Alabama 5, Boston College 4, Clemson 5, Michigan 6, Michigan State 5, Ohio State 5, TCU 6, Texas 4, Virginia Tech 4, Washington 5, Washington State 5.

Season-highs: Bowling Green 4, Tulsa 4, UL Lafayette 4, UL Monroe 5.

Keep in mind that season-lows are season-lows, and season-highs are season-highs. It doesn?t matter against whom they were recorded.

STAT OF THE WEEK

The success of the Jacksonville Jaguars this season can be largely attributed to its top ranked rush offense. The real strength of the team, though, is a defense that has surrendered season-low yards in five games, including sub 200-yard efforts on three occasions, more than any other team in the league.

 

[Cnotes53]

Thursday?s six-pack

NFL trends with Week 10 approaching:

? Minnesota is 1-6 vs spread in last seven post-bye games.

? Cleveland is 4-14 vs spread in its last 18 games.

? 49ers are 2-16 vs spread in last 18 non-divisional games.

? Colts are 12-3 vs spread in last 15 games as a home dog.

? Saints covered eight of their last eleven games.

? Arizona is 5-14 vs spread in its last 19 games.

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Thursday?s List of 13: Doing some thinking out loud??

13) Funny/not funny story of the day:

A Qatar Airways pilot was forced to make an emergency landing after a passenger found out her husband was cheating on her, leading to a violent reaction in midair; the woman reportedly used her sleeping husband?s finger to unlock his phone and discovered his cheating ways.

Officials say she started fighting with her husband, and also fought with crew members who tried to calm her down.

The flight was forced to land in India on the way to Bali; the woman and her family members were escorted off the plane there.

Morals of this story:
a) Don?t cheat on your spouse.
b) Don?t leave your cellphone within reach of your spouse, especially if you?re cheating.

12) Here is a breakdown of where major league ballplayers come from; players used here are from 2017 Opening Day rosters:
4-year colleges: 43.8%
International: 26.5%
High school: 23.9%
2-year colleges: 5.8%

11) Coming into this year, in five NBA seasons, Detroit?s Andre Drummond was 683-1,793 (38.1%) on the foul line? really bad.

So far this year, Drummond is 30-47 (63.8%) on the charity stripe. I applaud his hard work in the offseason to strengthen his game, but after I added this, he went 0-7 on the line Wednesday against the Pacers, so it is an ongoing struggle.

10) Sounds like Auburn basketball coach Bruce Pearl is on the way out; one of his assistants (Chuck Person) just got fired because of SneakerGate, and Pearl isn?t cooperating with the school?s internal investigation. That not good.

9) I?m wondering how much Dak Prescott?s success in the NFL helps Mississippi State when they recruit young quarterbacks?

8) DeShaun Watson?s injury figures to help the Cleveland Browns, since they have the Texans? first-round draft pick in April. Now all Cleveland needs is someone in charge who has a clue on how to draft productive players.

7) Vikings activated QB Teddy Bridgewater and put Sam Bradford on IR; both those guys? contracts are up after the season, so Minnesota has some decisions to make, especially since they?re 6-2 and Case Keenum has been playing well for them.

6) Our country does a census every ten years; so, you know, everyone knows how many people live here. Apparently the 2020 census will cost $15.6B, which seems a little excessive, but that is just me.

5) Royals manager Ned Yost, 63, broke his pelvis recently when he fell while trying to fix a tree stand on his property in Georgia.

4) Joe Buck has a good interview show called Undeniable, on the Audience Network (channel 500 on DirecTV); he has had an interesting cross-section of guests, but why in God?s name would he have Robert M Knight on as a guest? Knight is a bully, a creep; he was a really good coach at one time, but that time has passed. Now he adds nothing but negative energy.

3) Minnesota?s Taj Gibson is the first NBA player EVER to wear number 67; turns out he went to PS 67 in Brooklyn. Used to be in high school, no digits above 5 could be on a uniform, to make it easier for refs to signal fouls to the scorer?s table.

2) How many college basketball coaches spent time at Wednesday preaching to their teams about how they represent their families, their friends, their school whenever they go on a road trip?

Three UCLA kids are stuck in China now after they got caught shoplifting from a Louis Vuitton store. There is no ?easy out? for athletes there? this is a foreign country that isn?t real fond of America- they have their own laws, and they?re tougher laws than we have here.

1) Never thought I?d spend an hour in the middle of the night reading up on Chinese law, but that was me at 3am Tuesday night, trying to learn more about the situation the UCLA kids are in. I?m pretty sure Bill Walton is on the mike for UCLA-Georgia Tech game Friday night from China; he is pretty much unfiltered all the time, and he is obviously a UCLA alum, so this broadcast could be interesting, to say the least.

 

[Cnotes53]

CFB November's Best Bets & Opinions ( All Best Bets Based On 5 Units Per Play )

DATE W-L-T % UNITS RECORD

11/08/2017 1-5-0 16.67% -22.50
11/07/2017 1-3-0 25.00% -11.50
11/04/2017 26-28-2 48.15% -24.00
11/03/2017 2-4-0 33.33% -12.00
11/02/2017 4-4-0 50.00% -2.00
11/01/2017 2-0-0 100.00% +10.00

Totals.............36 - 44.........45.00%.....-62.00


Best Bets:*****
Best Bets :........................ATS............TOTALS.... .............O/U................TOTALS

11/08/2017......................0 - 1............-5.50...................0 - 3..................-16.50
11/07/2017......................0 - 2............-11.00..................1 - 1..................-0.10
11/04/2017....................11 - 10..........+0.00...................5 - 2.................+14.00
11/03/2017......................2 - 1............+4.50..................0 - 2..................-11.00
11/02/2017......................2 - 0............+10.00................1 - 3..................-11.50
11/01/2017......................1 - 0............+5.00..................1 - 0 .................+5.00

Totals.............................16 - 14..........+3.00..................8 - 11...................-20.10

 

[Cnotes53]

Thursday, November 9

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

BALL ST (2 - 7) at N ILLINOIS (6 - 3) - 11/9/2017, 7:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
BALL ST is 6-15 ATS (-10.5 Units) against conference opponents over the last 3 seasons.
N ILLINOIS is 55-34 ATS (+17.6 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
N ILLINOIS is 2-0 against the spread versus BALL ST over the last 3 seasons
N ILLINOIS is 2-0 straight up against BALL ST over the last 3 seasons
1 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

GA SOUTHERN (0 - 8) at APPALACHIAN ST (5 - 4) - 11/9/2017, 7:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
GA SOUTHERN is 5-14 ATS (-10.4 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
GA SOUTHERN is 5-14 ATS (-10.4 Units) in all lined games over the last 2 seasons.
APPALACHIAN ST is 2-12 ATS (-11.2 Units) in a home game where the total is between 49.5 and 56 since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
APPALACHIAN ST is 2-0 against the spread versus GA SOUTHERN over the last 3 seasons
APPALACHIAN ST is 2-0 straight up against GA SOUTHERN over the last 3 seasons
2 of 2 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

N CAROLINA (1 - 8) at PITTSBURGH (4 - 5) - 11/9/2017, 7:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
N CAROLINA is 1-7 ATS (-6.7 Units) in games played on a grass field this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
PITTSBURGH is 1-1 against the spread versus N CAROLINA over the last 3 seasons
N CAROLINA is 2-0 straight up against PITTSBURGH over the last 3 seasons
1 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

Thursday, November 9

BALL STATE @ NORTHERN ILLINOIS
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Ball State's last 6 games
Ball State is 8-4 ATS in its last 12 games on the road
Northern Illinois is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Ball State
Northern Illinois is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing Ball State

NORTH CAROLINA @ PITTSBURGH
North Carolina is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games when playing Pittsburgh
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of North Carolina's last 6 games
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Pittsburgh's last 6 games
Pittsburgh is 9-3 SU in its last 12 games at home

GEORGIA SOUTHERN @ APPALACHIAN STATE
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Georgia Southern's last 6 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Georgia Southern's last 6 games
Appalachian State is 8-1 SU in its last 9 games at home
Appalachian State is 14-5 SU in its last 19 games

-------------------------------------------

Thursday?s games

Northern Illinois won its last eight games with Ball State, covering four of last five. Cardinals lost last four visits to DeKalb, losing 59-41/48-27 in last two trips here. NIU had 4-game win streak snapped by Toledo LW; Huskies are 3-1 at home, with MAC wins by 21-3 points- they lost 23-20 at home to Boston College. NIU is 0-2 vs spread as a home favorite. Ball State lost its last six games (0-5-1 vs spread)- they gave up 55+ points in four of last five games, with 28 points the closest of those five losses.

Georgia Southern is 0-8 but they?ve got a good, mobile freshman QB and are still competing; they?re 2-2 vs spread as a road underdog, covering at Auburn/Troy. Eagles lost 34-10/31-13 to Appalachian State the last two years. Favorites are 2-1 vs spread in this series. App State is 5-4, needs one more win to be bowl eligible; Mountaineers are 3-1 at home, 1-1 as a home favorite- their only home loss was 20-19 to Wake Forest. Five of last six Ga Southern games went over total; over is 3-1-1 in last five App State games.

North Carolina lost its last six games, is having a dreadful 1-8 season; they?re 0-2 as road underdogs, getting outscored 92-14 at Ga Tech/Virginia- they did win on road at Old Dominion. Pittsburgh is 4-5, needs two wins to get to a bowl; Panthers beat Duke/Virginia last two weeks, allowing 17-14 points. Pitt lost six of last seven games with UNC, losing last four in row, all by 7 or less points. Tar Heels won last three visits here, by 7-7-3 points. Five of last six UNC games stayed under the total; under is 5-0-1 in last six Panther games.

-----------------------------------

NCAAF
Dunkel

Week 11

Thursday, November 9


Ball State @ Northern Illinois

Game 113-114
November 9, 2017 @ 7:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Ball State
57.762
Northern Illinois
82.757
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Northern Illinois
by 25
48
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Northern Illinois
by 32
52 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Ball State
(+32); Under

Georgia Southern @ Appalachian St

Game 115-116
November 9, 2017 @ 7:30 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Georgia Southern
60.974
Appalachian St
76.414
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Appalachian St
by 15 1/2
53
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Appalachian St
by 18 1/2
54 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Georgia Southern
(+18 1/2); Under

North Carolina @ Pittsburgh

Game 117-118
November 9, 2017 @ 7:30 pm

Dunkel Rating:
North Carolina
85.422
Pittsburgh
92.325
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Pittsburgh
by 7
51
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Pittsburgh
by 9 1/2
48 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
North Carolina
(+9 1/2); Under

 

[Cnotes53]

UNC at Pittsburgh
November 7, 2017

While Thursday?s ACC matchup isn?t going to make a dent on the national scene or even the ACC standings, North Carolina and Pittsburgh have played four consecutive tight games as ACC foes including one of the better games of the season last year.

Two teams in disappointing seasons look for a big late season win in Thursday?s national TV game to start the college football weekend.

Matchup: North Carolina Tar Heels at Pittsburgh Panthers
Venue: At Heinz Field in Pittsburgh, Pennsylvania
Time/TV: Thursday, Nov. 9, 7:30 PM ET ESPN
Line: Pittsburgh -9, Over/Under 52?
Last Meeting: 2016, at North Carolina (-7) 37, Pittsburgh 36

Since Pittsburgh joined the ACC in 2013 the matchup with North Carolina has been an entertaining series with four single-score results and an average of more than 63 points scored per game. The past two seasons this Coastal matchup has carried some weight with both teams in the division race as these teams combined to go 24-9 in ACC games in 2015 and 2016, with North Carolina appearing in the ACC championship in the 2015 season. North Carolina sits at 0-6 in ACC play this season while Pittsburgh is just 2-3 as it has been step-back season for both programs.

A North Carolina program that was routinely stocked with NFL talent but seemed to plateau at 7 or 8 wins in the best years in the 2000s finally had a breakthrough season in 2015, going 11-1 in the regular season and giving Clemson a great game in the ACC championship. The Tar Heels fell back to a modestly successful 8-5 campaign last season and in Larry Fedora?s sixth season in Chapel Hill very little has gone right.

The Tar Heels had to replace the #2 pick in the NFL draft at quarterback and it has been a challenge to replace Mitch Trubisky. Former LSU quarterback Brandon Harris was expected to lead the team but after early season struggles, freshman Chazz Surratt has been the team?s main quarterback. Sophomore Nathan Elliott took the bulk of the snaps two weeks ago in the narrow homecoming loss to Miami after Surratt was injured however as it isn?t clear what will happen under center this week.

The Tar Heels were a great rushing team two years ago posting 6.0 yards per rush and still a decent ground team last season. This year?s team has gained just 3.8 yards per carry as the poor quarterback play has deteriorated the potential of the entire offense. Sophomore Jordon Brown leads the team in carries and yards but freshman Michael Carter has been a big play threat with seven touchdowns on 6.0 yards per carry.

Ryan Switzer had 96 catches for the Tar Heels last season as Trubisky?s favorite target but this year?s team lacks a receiver with more than 20 catches. Brown has 24 catches out of the backfield but the young receiving corps has struggled with the lack of consistency at quarterback and the unit has been beset with several injuries including losing four scholarship receivers to season-ending injuries.

North Carolina is surrendering 33.4 points per game on 447 yards per game ranking 104th nationally in scoring defense and 111th in total defense. The Tar Heels have surrendered 205 yards per game rushing this season on 4.6 yards per carry. The secondary has lost two starters to injury as well as it has been a tough-luck season for the North Carolina roster.

North Carolina has also taken on one of the nation?s most difficult schedules playing non-conference games with California and Notre Dame to add to the 1-8 record on the season. From the Atlantic the Tar Heels played Louisville in September and will face NC State in the season finale for a difficult crossover pull.

While North Carolina doesn?t have a bowl game to play for the Tar Heels have an opportunity on a national stage this week and certainly this is a team that can perform at a higher level than the 1-8 record indicates. Five losses have been decided by 12 or fewer points and the 24-19 late October loss to undefeated Miami shows the potential of this group. Despite playing most of the game with an inexperienced third-string quarterback, North Carolina out-gained Miami 428-415 and might have won if not for four turnovers.

Pittsburgh started the season needing overtime to defeat FCS Youngstown State and most of the first half of the season was a struggle with the Panthers going 2-5 in the first seven games. Pittsburgh played Penn State and Oklahoma State in non-conference action for a very difficult start to the season but with wins in the final two games of October the Panthers are 4-5 and still have bowl aspirations.

This looks like a must-win game in the postseason goal as the Panthers will close the regular season with games against the top two ACC Coastal squads, at Virginia Tech next week and closing the season lurking as a potential spoiler hosting undefeated Miami.

The Panthers also had to replace a NFL quarterback with Nathan Peterman drafted by the Bills in the fifth round. Peterman actually led the ACC in quarterback rating last season ahead of Trubiksy and Deshaun Watson and he was a key to the success the Panthers have had in Pat Narduzzi?s first two seasons at Pittsburgh with matching 8-5 campaigns and winning ACC seasons.

Pittsburgh thought they had a quick-fix replacement at quarterback with USC transfer Max Browne. Once the most sought after high school quarterback in the nation, Browne struggled as the USC starter early last season facing great expectations. With Sam Darnold clearly establishing himself he looked for another opportunity and wound up at Pittsburgh. His senior season hasn?t worked out as planned who began to split time with sophomore Ben DiNucci after the 1-2 start to the season and then Browne suffered a season ending injury in early October.

DiNucci?s numbers haven?t been stronger than Browne?s even through a lighter schedule but the Panthers are playing better ball in recent weeks. Pittsburgh also lost top running back James Conner to the NFL and the rushing attack took awhile to develop this season. Moving junior Darrin Hall into a more prominent role has paid dividends as he rushed for 365 yards in the wins over Duke and Virginia with four touchdowns.

Pittsburgh?s defensive numbers are only slightly better than the numbers for North Carolina though allowing 92 points in the losses to Penn State and Oklahoma State skew the numbers a bit. In ACC play Pittsburgh has allowed 25.6 points per game compared to 35.0 points per game allowed by North Carolina. Pittsburgh?s run defense was a strength last season allowing only 3.6 yards per rush despite deficiencies against the pass but this year the Panthers have shown improvement against the pass but are allowing 4.5 yards per rush.

Both teams entered this season appearing to head towards rebuilding seasons and certainly Pittsburgh has had a better run towards that aim heading into the final three weeks. A win this week and an upset in one of the final two games can get the Panthers into a bowl game for a 10th consecutive season. For North Carolina this is an opportunity to avoid a winless ACC season with a tough finale at NC State as the only other opportunity. For two teams caught in the middle of the ACC pecking order in now a wide swath of recruiting territory in a 14-team conference, any positive national TV exposure can help the cause.

Last Season: These teams met in late September in Chapel Hill for an early ACC opener. Both teams were 2-1 with North Carolina losing to Georgia but Beating Illinois and James Madison. Pittsburgh had a marquee win over Penn State but had lost in a shootout with Oklahoma State the previous week. A game that ended with 73 points actually started with a safety and a 50-yard field goal as Pittsburgh led 5-0 at the end of the first quarter. Early in the second half Pittsburgh still had a slight advantage with a 26-16 lead and the Panthers appeared on their way to victory after a fourth quarter field goal made the score 36-23 and the Pittsburgh defense forced a 3-and-out. Pittsburgh had to punt back to the Tar Heels halfway through the final frame and a marginal punt with a strong return shifted momentum back to the Tar Heels. Trubisky converted a big 4th down play with about six minutes remaining and eventually put the Tar Heels in the end zone to close to within six. Conner and Peterman weren?t able to pick up a first down and Trubisky led one of the drives of the season needing 17 plays and three 4th down conversions to eventually score with two seconds remaining for a one-point win.

Historical Trends:

-- North Carolina has won all four meetings as ACC Coastal foes with last season?s one-point win the only missed cover.

-- Since 1982 North Carolina is 6-2 S/U and ATS in this series though Pittsburgh won the only postseason meeting with a 2009 Meineke Car Care Bowl win.

-- North Carolina is 11-7 S/U and ATS in road games since 2014 and riding a 15-11-1 ATS run when dogged by 7 or more points going back to 2006.

-- Pittsburgh is just 5-14-2 ATS as a home favorite since 2013, though splitting the two instances this season.

-- Since 2013 Pittsburgh is also just 4-11-1 ATS as a favorite of 7 or more points though losing S/U just twice in that span.

 

[Cnotes53]

THURSDAY, NOVEMBER 9
GAME TIME(ET) PICK UNITS

BALL at NIU 07:00 PM
BALL +29.5 *****
U 51.0

UNC at PITT 07:30 PM
PITT -8.5 *****
O 52.0

GASO at APP 07:30 PM
APP -18.0 *****
U 52.0 *****

 

[Cnotes53]

Childers' 4 TD passes help N. Illinois beat Ball St., 63-17
November 9, 2017

DEKALB, Ill. (AP) Marcus Childers threw a career-high four touchdown passes and Jackson Abresch scored twice on blocked punts to help Northern Illinois beat Ball State 63-17 on Thursday night.

Sutton Smith, who came in leading the FBS with 20 tackles for losses this season, had two Thursday to set the Northern Illinois single-season record. The Huskies (7-3, 5-1 Mid-American Conference) finished with a school-record 18 TFLs (the most in an FBS game this season), including a season-high-tying seven sacks.

Childers threw touchdown passes to Shane Wimann and Jordan Huff before Trayshon Foster blocked a punt which Jackson Abresch returned 13 yards for a score to make it 21-7 at the end of the first quarter. Jauan Wesley blocked another Ball State (2-8, 0-6) punt, from inside its own end zone, and Abresch covered it to cap the scoring with 4:18 to play. The Huskies have blocked four punts in their last three games.

Drew Plitt, Ball State's fourth-string quarterback, made his second career start and completed 9 of 14 passes for 89 yards and a score before being replaced by Jack Milas at halftime.

Northern Illinois has won nine in a row against the Cardinals.

********************

Lamb, Appalachian State beat Georgia Southern 27-6
November 9, 2017

BOONE, N.C. (AP) Taylor Lamb threw two touchdown passes and Jalin Moore had 28 carries for 130 yards to help Appalachian State beat Georgia Southern 27-6 on Thursday night.

Lamb was 7-of-13 passing for 161 yards and added 62 yards rushing on five carries for Appalachian State (6-4, 5-1 Sun Belt Conference).

Collin Reed's 23-yard touchdown reception gave the Mountaineers their first lead midway through the second quarter and freshman Chandler Staton hit a career-long 53-yard field goal as time in the first half expired to make it 10-3.

On Appalachian State's first play from scrimmage in the second half, Lamb hit Thomas Hennigan for a 51-yard gain to set up a 28-yard field goal by Staton. Georgia Southern (0-9, 0-5) answered with an 11-play, 36-yard drive capped by Tyler Bass' 44-yard field goal to make it 13-6 late in the third quarter.

On Appalachian State's next possession, defensive end Caleb Fuller, on fourth-and-1 from midfield, ran 23 yards on a fake punt and, three plays later, Lamb hit Ike Lewis for a 20-yard touchdown. The Eagles went three-and-out on their ensuing drive and, after Lamb connected with Lewis for a 30-yard gain on fourth-and-6, Daetrich Harrington's 3-yard scoring run capped the scoring with 9:40 to go.

********************

Ratliff-Williams stars as North Carolina trips up Pitt 34-31
November 9, 2017

PITTSBURGH (AP) Anthony Ratliff-Williams returned the opening kickoff for a touchdown, threw for another on a trick play and hauled in the eventual go-ahead score midway through the fourth quarter to lift North Carolina to a 34-31 over Pittsburgh on Thursday night.

Ratliff-Williams accounted for 230 all-purpose yards for the Tar Heels (2-8, 1-6 Atlantic Coast Conference), who ended a six-game losing streak by rallying repeatedly against the Panthers. Nathan Elliott completed 20 of 31 passes for 235 yards and two scores in his first start for North Carolina, which beat the Panthers for the fifth straight time thanks to Ratliff-Williams' playmaking.

Darrin Hall ran for 121 yards and four touchdowns for Pitt (4-6, 2-4), but the Panthers saw their modest two-game winning streak come to an end and now face an uphill battle if they want to lock down a bowl berth for a 10th consecutive year. Pitt finishes the regular season against No. 17 Virginia Tech and No. 7 Miami.

North Carolina has struggled this season thanks in large part to an avalanche of injuries, including one to freshman quarterback Chazz Surratt last month against the Hurricanes that forced Elliott to get extensive playing time.

Elliott more than held his own against the Panthers, though it was Ratliff-Williams who did the majority of the damage. He took the opening kick and broke through several arm tackles while racing down the sideline for a 98-yard touchdown to give the Tar Heels the lead just 16 seconds in. He floated a 35-yard score to Josh Cabrera in the second quarter then hauled home on the winning score on a 3-yard flip from Elliott with 6:18 to go.

The Panthers responded repeatedly behind Hall, whose four touchdowns were the most by a Pitt player since James Conner scored four times against the Tar Heels in 2014. The Panthers lost that afternoon and fell again when quarterback Ben DiNucci couldn't get Pitt past midfield on the possession after Ratliff-Williams' touchdown grab.

Pitt punted with 2:54 to go and three timeouts but never got the ball back.

THE TAKEAWAY

UNC: Elliott likely deserves another look. The sophomore needs work as a passer but his mobility kept Pitt's improved pass rush in check for long stretches. He was at his best late while leading the Tar Heels on the late drive that put them ahead to stay.

Pitt: The Panthers are going to need something miraculous to keep their bowl streak alive. Virginia Tech and Miami will both have something significant to play for and Pitt will need to win both if it wants to extend its' season beyond the day after Thanksgiving.

UP NEXT

UNC: Welcomes Western Carolina to Chapel Hill on Nov. 18.

Pitt: travels to No. 17 Virginia Tech on Nov. 18.

 

[Cnotes53]

CFB November's Best Bets & Opinions ( All Best Bets Based On 5 Units Per Play )

DATE W-L-T % UNITS RECORD

11/09/2017 3-3-0 50.00% -1.50
11/08/2017 1-5-0 16.67% -22.50
11/07/2017 1-3-0 25.00% -11.50
11/04/2017 26-28-2 48.15% -24.00
11/03/2017 2-4-0 33.33% -12.00
11/02/2017 4-4-0 50.00% -2.00
11/01/2017 2-0-0 100.00% +10.00

Totals.............39 - 47.........44.82%.....-63.50

Best Bets:*****
Best Bets :........................ATS............TOTALS.... .............O/U................TOTALS

11/09/2017......................1 - 2............-6.00...................1 - 0..................+5.00
11/08/2017......................0 - 1............-5.50...................0 - 3..................-16.50
11/07/2017......................0 - 2............-11.00..................1 - 1..................-0.10
11/04/2017....................11 - 10..........+0.00...................5 - 2.................+14.00
11/03/2017......................2 - 1............+4.50..................0 - 2..................-11.00
11/02/2017......................2 - 0............+10.00................1 - 3..................-11.50
11/01/2017......................1 - 0............+5.00..................1 - 0 .................+5.00

Totals.............................17 - 16..........-3.00..................9 - 11...................-15.10

 

[Cnotes53]

Friday?s six-pack

More NFL trends with Week 10 upon us:

? Denver covered four of last five tries as a home underdog.

? Falcons are 5-16 vs spread in last 21 games as a home favorite.

? Chicago is 2-6-1 vs spread coming off its last nine byes.

? Jets are 6-0-1 vs spread in their last seven games.

? Detroit is 9-4-1 vs spread in last tries as a home favorite.

? Cincinnati is 8-17 vs spread in its last 25 games.

*************************

Friday?s List of 13: Random stuff with weekend here??.

13) I?m tired of writing about lawyers; Ezekiel Elliott?s suspension finally kicks in this week- he is out for the Cowboys? next six games, which are against:

Atlanta-Eagles-Chargers-Redskins-Giants-Raiders.

Dallas is 5-3, currently tied for the second Wild Card spot in the NFC.

12) Interesting article on CBSSports.com Thursday about North Carolina?s Theo Pinson, a senior who is the only top 15 recruit from the Class of 2014 who is still in college.

12 of the other 14 went to the NBA one year after graduating high school; one other played two years of college, another played three years of college.

11) Baseball?s offseason will be fascinating, but what I don?t want to read are articles where the author guesses what will happen. Let us know when real news occurs.

10) 149 ballplayers became free agents this week; they don?t have to file for free agency anymore. Players can start negotiating with other teams next week; they can negotiate with the current team from now until Tuesday.

9) Jeff Van Gundy was saying on ESPN the other night that NBA games are being officiated much better this season than in previous years. Interesting comment- the flow of games is a lot better, this I know from watching games on League Pass every night.

8) Free agent OF Jay Bruce will be asking for a 5-year deal in the $80-90M range; sounds like agent Scott Boras might ask for a $200M deal for free agent OF JD Martinez.

7) Lonzo Ball is struggling with his shooting; he is 11-47 outside the arc (23.4%), 24-70 inside the arc (34.3%), 7-13 on the foul line. Not good.

Ball shot 41.2% behind the (college) arc last year at UCLA, he shot 67.3% on the foul line. Still think he?s going to be a very good NBA player, but the shooting does need to improve.

6) Duke?s pre-conference schedule is a little shaky; they play Michigan State in Chicago, and they go to Indiana in the ACC/Big 14 Challenge, but other than that, here is who they play:

Elon-Utah Valley-Michigan State-Southern-Furman-Portland St-Indiana-South Dakota, St Francis, not exactly a murderer?s row of a pre-conference schedule.

5) The night Wilt Chamberlain scored 100 points for the Philadelphia Warriors in 1962, former Golden State coach Al Attles scored 17 points, the next-highest amount for the Warriors. Attles is 81 years old now and was at the Minnesota-Golden State game in Oakland Wednesday.

4) Sounds like the Bulls will likely choose Bobby Portis over Nikola Mirotic when it comes to getting rid of one of the two players who got into a fight in practice, which resulted in Mirotic breaking his cheekbone. Problem is, Bulls can?t trade Mirotic until Jan 15, and he is expected to be ready to play before then, so much like Eric Bledsoe with the Suns, Mirotic is likely to sit idle for a while after he is healthy, until he can be traded.

3) Wisconsin?s leading WR, Quintez Cephus is done for the season with a right leg injury. Cephus has caught 30 passes for 501 yards and six touchdowns this season.

2) Seahawks 22, Cardinals 16? Arizona scored TD in last 2:00 but PAT was blocked, so spread pushed. Seattle is now 6-3 and half-game behind Rams in NFC West. Cardinals are 4-5 and in deep trouble with an aging roster- they have 11 players who are older than Rams? coach Sean McVay.

1) RIP to the great actor John Hillerman 84, who passed away Thursday in Houston. The son of a gas station owner, Hillerman appeared in movies like Chinatown and Blazing Saddles, but is best known for playing Jonathan Higgins, major domo of the estate in Magnum, PI. He was nominated for four Emmy awards for playing Higgins? he won one in 1987.

RIP, sir.

 

[Cnotes53]

Washington at Stanford
November 9, 2017

Stanford (6-3 straight up, 3-5-1 against the spread) will be in revenge mode Friday night in Palo Alto, where it will take on Washington at 10:30 p.m. Eastern on Fox Sports 1. Both teams are vying for the Pac-12 North division title, with the Huskies holding a half-game lead over both the Cardinal and Washington State.

Washington (8-1 SU, 6-3 ATS) is 5-1 in league play, while Stanford and the Cougars both own identical 5-2 conference records. Chris Petersen?s team will face Washington St. in the Apple Cup at home in both team?s regular-season finale in two weeks.

As of late Thursday afternoon, most betting shops had Washington installed as a six-point favorite with a total of 45. Bettors could take Stanford on the money line for a +200 return (risk $100 to win $200).

UW is 3-1 SU and 2-2 ATS in four road assignments this year. Since taking their only only loss 13-7 at Arizona St. as 17.5-point road ?chalk,? the Huskies have won back-to-back home games both SU and ATS vs. UCLA (44-23) and Oregon (38-3). They smashed the Ducks last week as 17.5-point favorites.

Oregon drew first blood with a 30-yard field goal midway through the first quarter, only to see UW score 38 unanswered points. Jake Browning threw for 204 yards and two touchdowns, while Myles Gaskin rushed for 123 yards and one TD on 17 attempts. True freshman running back Salvon Ahmed turned six carries into 84 rushing yards and one TD.

Dante Pettis had a 64-yard punt return for a TD and also grabbed four receptions for 87 yards and one TD. Aaron Fuller contributed four catches for 76 yards, while reserve senior RB Lavon Coleman had a 31-yard TD grab.

For the season, Browning has completed 67.8 percent of his throws for 1,907 yards with a 16/5 touchdown-to-interception ratio. The junior signal caller has also rushed for five TDs to bring his career total to 10. However, Browning hasn?t been sharp in the last three games. He has just two TD passes compared to a pair of interceptions during this span. In addition, Browning threw for only 139 yards in the loss at ASU and just 98 yards vs. UCLA.

Gaskin is now Washington?s third all-time leading rusher behind only Napoleon Kaufman and Chris Polk. The junior RB has produced 918 rushing yards and 10 TDs this year with a 6.2 yards-per-carry average. Gaskin also has 12 catches for 114 yards and two TDs. Coleman (4.8 YPC) has rushed for 325 yards and four TDs, in addition to making eight receptions for 122 yards and two TDs. Ahmed has 298 rushing yards and three TDs while averaging 6.1 YPC.

Pettis is UW?s leading receiver, snaring 49 balls for 571 yards and seven TDs. He is the nation?s leader in all punt-return stats, netting 412 yards on 19 of them with four TDs. That?s good for an incredible 21.7 yards per punt return average.

Washington is ranked No. 1 in the nation in total defense, giving up merely 242.1 yards per game. The Huskies are second in the country in scoring defense (11.1 PPG), sixth at defending the run and third versus the pass. Thanks to Pettis?s spectacular special-teams production, they are 14th in the nation in scoring offense (38.6 PPG) despite having mostly mediocre numbers in other offensive categories.

The UW stop unit is led by junior linebacker Ben Burr-Kirven, who has recorded a team-high 59 tackles to go with two forced fumbles, two tackles for loss, one sack and two passes broken up. Taylor Rapp, a sophomore safety, has 40 tackles, two sacks, 1.5 TFL?s and one forced fumble.

Washington lost starting junior CB Jordan Miller to a season-ending ankle injury in mid-October. Miller had 23 tackles, two interceptions, one forced fumble and a team-high five PBU before going down in the Huskies? seventh game. Also, starting junior WR Chico McClatcher sustained a season-ending ankle injury in late September. He had 10 catches for 128 yards before getting hurt in a Week 4 win at Colorado by a 37-10 count.

Petersen?s team has three others starters that are done for the year in CB Byron Murphy, OT Trey Adams and WR Quinten Pounds. Adams was a second-team All-American last year, but he suffered a bad knee injury in mid-October. Pounds had 10 receptions for 133 yards and one TD before going down last month.

Stanford is undefeated in three home games with a 2-1 spread record. As a home underdog during David Shaw?s seven-year tenure, the Cardinal has compiled a 2-0 record both SU and ATS. This is Stanford?s first home underdog situation since beating Oregon 26-20 as a 10.5-point puppy in 2013.

Going back even further, Stanford has posted a 7-0 spread record with six outright wins as a home ?dog since its 2007 regular-season finale, a 20-13 win over California as a 14-point puppy.

Stanford saw its five-game winning streak snapped last Saturday when it dropped a 24-21 decision at Washington St. as a 1.5-point road ?chalk.? The Cardinal drew first blood on a 52-yard TD run by star RB Bryce Love early in the second quarter, but the Cougars would score 17 unanswered points before a 22-yard TD run by redshirt freshman QB K.J. Costello trimmed the deficit to 17-14 midway through the third.

Then with 2:52 left in the third, Bobby Okereke intercepted Luke Falk and returned it 52 yards for a TD to give Stanford a 21-17 advantage. The lead wouldn?t hold up, though, as Falk found Jamire Calvin for an 11-yard scoring strike with 6:56 remaining. The Cougars held on to preserve the victory.

Washington State actually enjoyed a 430-198 edge in total offense. Love, who sat out a 15-14 come-from-behind win at Oregon State the previous week due to an ankle sprain, wasn?t himself other than the aforementioned TD run. He finished with just 69 rushing yards on 16 attempts, meaning he netted only 19 yards on 15 carries if we left out the 52-yard dash to paydirt.

Costello, who will get the starting nod vs. UW, completed only 9-of-20 passes at WSU for merely 105 yards, and he threw one interception without a TD pass. For the season, Costello has connected on 53-of-87 throws (60.9%) for 622 yards with a 4/1 TD-INT ratio. He adds a scrambling dimension as well, evidenced by 58 rushing yards and three TDs on just eight attempts.

Costello and Keller Chryst have been in and out of the lineup at QB. Chryst has connected on only 53.8 percent of his passes for 937 yards with an 8/4 TD-INT ratio. He has one rushing TD, but his negative five total for rushing yards shows that he isn?t nearly a threat with his legs compared to Costello.

Love was a leading Heisman Trophy candidate before getting injured in late October. The loss and his so-so numbers last week probably eliminated him from that conversation. Nevertheless, Love has been nothing short of sensational in replacing Christian McCaffrey, the school?s third all-time leading rusher despite leaving for the NFL after three seasons. Love has run for 1,456 yards and 12 TDs with an eye-popping 9.6 YPC average. Cameron Scarlett has rushed for 291 yards and six TDs while averaging 4.9 YPC.

J.J. Arcega-Whiteside has 25 receptions for 386 yards and five TDs, while Trenton Irwin has 28 catches for 308 yards and one TD. Kaden Smith, a redshirt freshman TE who was a five-star recruit out of the Dallas area, has 13 catches for 226 yards and one TD.

Stanford will be without three contributors on defense, although it hasn?t had two of those players (CB Terrence Alexander and LB Sean Barton) since September. More recently, CB Alijah Holder was sidelined by a season-ending knee injury. Holder had recorded 26 tackles, two TFL?s, one interception with a 32-yard return, three PBU and three forced fumbles.

Stanford had won three in a row and seven of the last eight in this rivalry, but Washington absolutely demolished the Cardinal by a 44-6 count as a 3.5-point home favorite last season. The 50 combined points went ?over? the 46.5-point total on Coleman?s 25-yard TD run with 1:38 remaining in the final stanza.

Browning was the catalyst, hitting on 15-of-21 pass attempts for 210 yards and three TDs without an interception. Gaskin rushed for 100 yards and two TDs on 18 carries, while Coleman added 74 rushing yards and one TD on 11 attempts. Pettis contributed four receptions for 60 yards.

The ?under? is 6-3 overall for Stanford after cashing in each of its last five games. The Cardinal has seen the ?under? go 2-1 in its home outings. Stanford?s games have averaged combined scores of 55.0 PPG.

The ?under? is 6-3 overall for the Huskies, 4-0 in their road contests and 5-1 in their last six games (regardless of the venue). UW?s games have averaged combined scores of 49.7 PPG.

The ?under? has cashed at a 9-4 clip in the last 13 head-to-head meetings between these long-time conference adversaries.

**B.E.?s Bonus Nuggets**

-- There are two other games on Friday?s slate: Temple (-2.5) at Cincinnati and BYU at UNLV (-4). After failing to cover the number in their first eight games, the Cougars have picked up their first two ATS winners in back-to-back fashion.

-- Oklahoma State star WR James Washington is listed as ?questionable? at Iowa State. Washington has a team-best 52 catches for 1,133 yards and nine TDs. The Cowboys were favored by 6.5 as of Thursday afternoon. The Cyclones own a 6-2 spread record in eight games as home underdogs since Matt Campbell took over prior to the 2016 campaign.

-- Since 2012, Michigan State owns an 8-2 spread record in its last 10 games as a road underdog. The Spartans are catching 17 at Ohio State. They won outright in their last visit to The ?Shoe in ?15 even though Connor Cook was sidelined with an injury. Looking for a Coach of the Year candidate? Mark Dantonio has to be on your radar after returning only eight of 22 starters following last year?s stunning 3-9 debacle.

-- The ?over? has hit in six straight games for both Ohio St. and Maryland.

-- TCU owns a 13-3 spread record as a road underdog since 2009. The Horned Frogs were catching 6.5 at Oklahoma as of Thursday.

-- Florida State was a 17-point underdog at Clemson on Wednesday. This is the Seminoles? richest spot as underdogs since a 37-10 loss at Florida as 25-point underdogs in Tim Tebow?s final game at The Swamp in 2009. In the words of retired ESPN broadcaster Chris Berman, ?we remember?..because we were there!?

-- The ?under? has cashed in four straight games for Purdue to improve to 7-2 overall. The Boilermakers are at Northwestern as 4.5-point underdogs Saturday. The total was 48.5 as of Thursday afternoon.

-- The ?under? is 8-1 overall for New Mexico, which has lost four in a row while going 1-3 ATS. The Lobos are in College Station to face Texas A&M as 18-point underdogs. The total was 51.5 as of Thursday. Seven of UNM?s last eight games have had 50 combined points or fewer. The ?under? had hit in five in a row for the Aggies, but their 42-27 home loss to Auburn last week saw the ?over? emerge north of 52.

-- Wake Forest sophomore starting safety and leading tackler Jessie Bates has been downgraded to ?out? for Saturday?s game at Syracuse. Without Bates last week, the Demon Deacons gave up 710 yards of total offense at Notre Dame. The Orange has seen the ?under? hit in five consecutive games to improve to 8-1 overall. Dino Babers?s squad is in the midst of a 6-0-1 ATS tear in its last seven outings. The ?Cuse was favored by one as of Thursday afternoon.

-- UCLA is mired in a 1-6 ATS slump with only two outright victories ? both at home vs. Colorado and Oregon ? in this seven-game stretch. Even worse, star WR Darren Andrews was lost to a season-ending knee injury in last Friday?s 48-17 loss at Utah. Andrews, a second-team All Pac-12 selection in 2016, finished his senior campaign with 60 receptions for 773 yards and 10 TDs. The Bruins? second-best WR, Jordan Lasley, is ?questionable? for Saturday?s home game vs. Arizona St. due to a potential suspension. Lasley has 32 catches for 543 yards and three TDs. On the bright side for UCLA, star QB Josh Rosen is ?probable? against the Sun Devils. The Bruins have lost 16 of their 25 games to leave Jim Mora Jr. on a boiling hot seat.

-- Memphis has won 14 in a row in non-Saturday games. Unfortunately for the Tigers, they are at home on Saturday in their last two games. Mike Norvell?s squad has played four of its last five games on Thursday or Friday, including last week?s 41-14 victory at Tulsa. Memphis is off this week before closing with SMU and East Carolina at the Liberty Bowl.

-- Costal Carolina starting QB Tyler Keane is ?out? for Saturday?s home game vs. Troy due to a thumb injury. Keane has thrown for 1,440 yards with an 11/5 TD-INT ratio.

-- The visitor has won outright in six straight Iowa-Wisconsin meetings. The Hawkeyes are 6-0 ATS in their last six games as double-digit underdogs going back to the 2012 regular-season finale when they lost 13-7 vs. Nebraska as 16-point ?dogs. Wisconsin is a 12-point home favorite versus Kirk Ferentz?s 6-3 squad Saturday at Camp Randall on ABC at 3:30 p.m. Eastern.

-- Three key Rutgers starters are listed as ?questionable? at Penn State WR/special-teams ace Janarion Grant, LB Deonte Roberts and DE Kemoko Turay compose this important trio. RU owns a 6-1 spread record in its last seven games and has lost by more than 21 just once this season. In bounce-back mode after losing in East Lansing, PSU was installed as a 31-point home ?chalk? as of Thursday afternoon.

 

[Cnotes53]

NCAAF opening line report: Week 11 betting opens with massive line move
Patrick Everson

?Early bettors got some great value, as top-ranked Georgia quickly moved from small ?dogs to 2.5-point favorites.?

It?s the final month of college football?s regular season, and the push for the big prize ? a spot in the four-team College Football Playoff ? is getting turned on its head with each passing week. Everson checks in on the opening lines and early action for four key Week 11 matchups, with insights from Dave Mason, brand manager for offshore sportsbook BetOnline.ag.

No. 2 Georgia Bulldogs at No. 10 Auburn Tigers (-2)

Georgia is No. 2 in the polls, but No. 1 where it really matters ? in the prestigious CFP ranking. The Bulldogs (9-0 SU, 6-3 ATS) remained on a collision course with Alabama for the SEC title by dispatching South Carolina 24-10 on Saturday, though they fell way short of cashing as 23.5-point chalk.

Auburn (7-2 SU, 4-3-2 ATS) could certainly upset Georgia?s apple cart this week. The Tigers? two losses this season weren?t bad ones by any means ? at Clemson and at Louisiana State ? and they?ve won and covered on the road in their last two games. On Saturday at Texas A&M, Auburn won 42-27 as a 14.5-point favorite.

?Early bettors got some great value, as top-ranked Georgia quickly moved from small ?dogs to 2.5-point favorites,? Mason said. ?Georgia is by far the most popular bet on the entire betting board so far, with 93 percent of early bettors on the Dawgs. Even with the line move, bettors are still pounding Georgia and are counting on them to cover and beat Auburn for the sixth time in the last seven years.?

No. 5 Notre Dame Fighting Irish at No. 6 Miami Hurricanes (+1.5)

Notre Dame found itself at No. 3 in the initial CFP ranking released last Tuesday, after eye-catching victories over Southern California and North Carolina State. The Fighting Irish (8-1 SU, 7-2 ATS) kept rolling in Week 10, topping Wake Forest 48-37 as a 15.5-point home fave.

Miami is undefeated and trying to make its way into the CFP. The Hurricanes (8-0 SU, 4-4 ATS) certainly helped their cause in Week 10 by rolling over Virginia Tech 28-10 laying 2 points at home.

?Outside of Georgia-Auburn, no other game is getting as much early action as this top-10 showdown,? Mason said. ?The Irish have been very generous to their loyal bettors this season, racking up a 7-2 record against the spread. The public will be counting on another Notre Dame cover ? just 30 percent of the early tickets are on Miami.?

BetOnline.ag opened Notre Dame -1.5 and saw some upward movement, even getting to 4 momentarily, before dialing back to 2.5 and settling at 3 late Sunday night.

No. 9 Texas Christian Horned Frogs at No. 7 Oklahoma Sooners (-8)

If the Big 12 is to be represented in the CFP, one of these two teams will be doing said representing, and Oklahoma surely has the offensive firepower. On Saturday, the Sooners (8-1 SU, 5-4 ATS) hung a 62-burger on Bedlam rival Oklahoma State, holding on for a defensively challenged 62-52 victory as a 1-point road pup.

Texas Christian is also 8-1 SU and 5-4 ATS, and its lone loss was to Iowa State, just like Oklahoma. The Horned Frogs stubbed their collective toe in Week 9, but bounced back in Week 10 with a 24-7 home win over Texas giving 7.5 points.

?Dating back to last season, Oklahoma has been a covering machine in front of its home crowd, compiling an 8-1 record against the spread over their last 9 (home) games,? Mason said. ?Despite this lopsided trend, 63 percent of early bettors hit TCU and the points. However, I believe the action will be pretty even come kickoff.?

No. 8 Washington Huskies at Stanford Cardinal (+5.5)

The Pac-12 is fading like a pair of 20-year-old jeans, with Washington ? which made it to the CFP a season ago ? the last best hope to reach the playoff this season. The Huskies (8-1 SU, 6-3 ATS) plastered Oregon 38-3 in Week 10, easily covering as a 17.5-point road chalk.

Stanford already has three losses on its resume, something even Heisman Trophy candidate Bryce Love can?t mask. The Cardinal (6-3 SU, 3-5-1 ATS) went to Washington State on Saturday as a 1.5-point favorite and left with a 24-21 outright loss, halting a five-game SU win streak.

?The Huskies have been on a covering tear recently, going 5-1 ATS over their last six games. Stanford, on the other hand, only covered the number once in its last five games,? Mason said. ?The early bettors are split 50/50 on this one, although there hasn?t been too much early action. By comparison, there are more than three times the bets on Georgia alone than Washington and Stanford combined. Despite the lack of early action, Washington quickly moved to 7-point chalk.?

 

[Cnotes53]

College football's biggest betting mismatches: Week 11
Monty Andrews

Virginia Tech isn't messing around in the pass defense department, allowing a minuscule 177.8 passing yards per game.

Florida State Seminoles at Clemson Tigers (-16, 46)

Florida State's O-line troubles vs. Clemson's top-flight pass rush

Clemson looks to continue its surge toward the College Football Playoff as it hosts lowly Florida State on Saturday afternoon. The Tigers outlasted a game NC State Wolfpack team last weekend, escaping with a 38-31 road victory. The Seminoles are also coming off a victory - edging Syracuse 27-24 - but are one of just a handful of FBS teams that has failed to cover a spread this season (0-6-2 ATS). Clemson has a significant edge in this one, particularly when Florida State has the football.

The Seminoles' quarterbacks have had a rough go of it this season, with James Blackman and Deondre Francois combining for nine touchdown passes and nine interceptions through eight games. Part of the problem has been a leaky Florida State offensive line that has surrendered a whopping 25 sacks - an average of 3.13 per game, ahead of only nine NFL teams. The O-line struggles have also played a role in the Seminoles ranking 90th in the nation in rushing yards per contest (143.8).

Florida State's beleaguered line might be facing its biggest test of the season Saturday against a Clemson pass rush that has made bettors smile - and opposing teams cringe. The Tigers' 33 sacks on the season rank second behind only USC, while their 3.67 sacks per game put them slightly behind NCAA-leading Arkansas State (3.71). Florida State could be in for a long afternoon if it can't figure out a way to slow a Clemson D-line that has the Tigers on the path to a CFP berth.

Oklahoma State Cowboys at Iowa State Cyclones (+6.5, 61.5)

Oklahoma State's turnover troubles vs. ISU's elite thievery

Bedlam took on a life of its own this past weekend, as the Cowboys and Oklahoma combined to score an absurd 114 points in a game the Sooners eventually won 62-52. The Cowboys' ransacked defense will look to recover this Saturday against an Iowa State team that saw its four-game winning streak halted with a 20-16 loss at West Virginia. But the Cyclones could make this a closer game than expected if they can exploit their advantage in securing - and preventing - turnovers.

The Cowboys need to take better care of the ball if they have any hope of playing in a marquee bowl game this December. Oklahoma State lost the turnover battle 3-2 against rival Oklahoma and has coughed up the ball 19 times through its first nine games; only 12 Division I teams have been worse at hanging onto the football. The Sooners are one of 14 FBS teams to have lost 10 or more fumbles, and QB Mason Rudolph has thrown three interceptions over his past two games.

That trend could very well continue this weekend, with Iowa State among the league's best at forcing turnovers. The Cyclones have recovered seven fumbles and snagged 11 interceptions through eight games, giving them a total of 18 takeaways - just outside the top 20 nationally. Three of those came in a stunning 14-7 win over then-No. 4 TCU two weekends ago, a victory that put Iowa State in the elite bowl picture. Look for a similar performance this weekend against a Cowboys team susceptible to turnovers.

Virginia Tech Hokies at Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets (+3, 50.5)

VT's vaunted pass defense vs. GT's anemic air assault

The Hokies met their match this past weekend, getting throttled 28-10 by a Miami Hurricanes team that all but secured a spot in the ACC title game. Virginia Tech will look to bounce back against a Georgia Teach roster that fell to 0-4 on the road with a 40-36 setback at Virginia. The Yellow Jackets have been a completely opposite team in their own stadium - boasting a flawless 4-0 home record - but that could be in jeopardy if they can't overcome a significant mismatch in the passing game.

Virginia Tech isn't messing around in the pass defense department, allowing a minuscule 177.8 passing yards per game - tied with UTSA for the 13th-lowest mark in Division I. The Hokies have forced more than their share of bad passes; opponents are completing just 45.2 percent of their total attempts, the lowest mark in the nation. In consecutive wins over Boston College, North Carolina and Duke, Virginia Tech limited opposing quarterbacks to 391 total yards on 32-of-79 passing.

Georgia Tech is known primarily for an incredibly run-heavy attack, but with the Hokies boasting a top-20 run defense that has allowed just four rushing scores all season, the Yellow Jackets will need to do something through the air. And that could be a problem: Georgia Tech has completed fewer than 40 percent of its passes on the season, ahead of only Army in all of Division I. Look for the Yellow Jackets offense to struggle in all areas this weekend - particularly in the passing department.

Michigan Wolverines at Maryland Terrapins (+15.5, 46.5)

Michigan's third-down dominance vs. Terrapins' drive-extension troubles

The Wolverines appear to have righted the ship following a disheartening loss to rival Penn State, reeling off consecutive blowout victories over Rutgers and Minnesota. With a pivotal game against hated Ohio State on the horizon, Michigan will look to build even more momentum this weekend in Maryland. The Terrapins have been one of the worst defensive teams in the nation, and haven't done themselves any favors by struggling to sustain drives on offense.

Michigan gets things done with a stout defense that ranks among the Division I leaders in a number of categories - including third-down defense. Only Syracuse and Washington State have been better at forcing punts when facing third-down situations than the Wolverines, who have limited opponents to a 24.4-percent success rate. The Scarlet Knights and Golden Gophers combined to make good on just seven of their 24 third-down opportunities in their respective losses to Michigan.

Third-down success has been elusive for the Terrapins in 2017 - and while that might not be the primary reason for Maryland's defense spending so much time on the field, it's certainly a contributing factor. Maryland comes into the weekend having extended drives or scored points on just 32.2 percent of their third-down situations - ranking it 115th in the nation. The chances of that success rate rising this weekend isn't good - and that could result in even more time on the gridiron for the Terrapins' weary D.

 

[Cnotes53]

Friday, November 10

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

TEMPLE (4 - 5) at CINCINNATI (3 - 6) - 11/10/2017, 7:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
TEMPLE is 16-7 ATS (+8.3 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
TEMPLE is 16-7 ATS (+8.3 Units) in all lined games over the last 2 seasons.
TEMPLE is 12-2 ATS (+9.8 Units) against conference opponents over the last 2 seasons.
TEMPLE is 11-2 ATS (+8.8 Units) after playing a conference game over the last 2 seasons.
CINCINNATI is 2-9 ATS (-7.9 Units) in home games over the last 2 seasons.
CINCINNATI is 2-9 ATS (-7.9 Units) in home lined games over the last 2 seasons.
CINCINNATI is 3-11 ATS (-9.1 Units) when playing with 6 or less days rest over the last 2 seasons.
CINCINNATI is 2-9 ATS (-7.9 Units) in home games in games played on turf over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
TEMPLE is 2-0 against the spread versus CINCINNATI over the last 3 seasons
TEMPLE is 2-0 straight up against CINCINNATI over the last 3 seasons
1 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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WASHINGTON (8 - 1) at STANFORD (6 - 3) - 11/10/2017, 10:30 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
STANFORD is 1-1 against the spread versus WASHINGTON over the last 3 seasons
STANFORD is 1-1 straight up against WASHINGTON over the last 3 seasons
1 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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BYU (2 - 8) at UNLV (4 - 5) - 11/10/2017, 10:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
BYU is 2-8 ATS (-6.8 Units) in all games this season.
BYU is 2-8 ATS (-6.8 Units) in all lined games this season.
BYU is 2-8 ATS (-6.8 Units) in non-conference games this season.
BYU is 16-6 ATS (+9.4 Units) in a road game where the total is between 49.5 and 52 since 1992.
UNLV is 25-43 ATS (-22.3 Units) as a favorite since 1992.
UNLV is 57-82 ATS (-33.2 Units) after playing a conference game since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

---------------------------------

Friday, November 10

TEMPLE @ CINCINNATI
Temple is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games
Temple is 8-3 ATS in its last 11 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 9 of Cincinnati's last 12 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 12 of Cincinnati's last 16 games

WASHINGTON @ STANFORD
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Washington's last 5 games on the road
Washington is 8-1 SU in its last 9 games
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Stanford's last 5 games
Stanford is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home

BRIGHAM YOUNG @ NEVADA-LAS VEGAS
Brigham Young is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing Nevada-Las Vegas
Brigham Young is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Nevada-Las Vegas
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Nevada-Las Vegas's last 7 games when playing Brigham Young
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Nevada-Las Vegas's last 6 games

---------------------------------------

NCAAF
Armadillo's Write-Up

Week 11

Friday?s games

Temple beat Cincinnati 34-13/34-26 last two years- they outgained Bearcats 474-186 in LY?s meeting. Owls upset Navy last week; they?re 4-5, need two more wins to go bowling. Temple covered four of last five games, including last two road games, at ECU/Army. Cincy snapped a 5-game skid with upset win at Tulane LW: Bearcats? last two games were decided by total of four points- they?re 1-2 vs spread at home. Under is 5-2 in last seven Temple games, 3-0 in Cincinnati?s last three. AAC home underdogs are 8-6 vs spread.

Washington scored 82 points in winning its last two games since their only loss, 13-7 at ASU in their last road game. Huskies are 2-7 in last nine games with Stanford, losing last four visits to The Farm- three of those four losses were by 17+ points. Washington is 3-1 on road, with all three wins by 16+ points. Stanford is 4-0 at home, with all four wins by 10+ ? they struggled on road last two weeks, nipping Oregon State 15-14, losing at Washington State. Five of Huskies? last six games stayed under total. Pac-12 home underdogs are 13-5 vs spread this season.

This is worst BYU team in almost 50 years; they?re 1-8 SU vs I-A teams, 1-4 vs spread on road, but they have covered last two games overall. Cougars scored 17 or less points in four of last five games. UNLV won its last two games, is 4-5, needs two more wins to go to a bowl (Las Vegas Bowl???); Rebels are 2-1 vs spread as a favorite this season. Five of last six UNLV games stayed under the total, as have four of last five BYU games. Mountain West home favorites are 2-5 vs spread outside the conference.

--------------------------------------

NCAAF
Dunkel

Week 11

Friday, November 10

FRIDAY NOVEMBER 10, 2017

Temple
@
Cincinnati
Game 119-120
November 10, 2017 @ 7:00 pm

Dunkel Rating: Temple
79.075
Cincinnati
77.920
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total: Temple
by 1
45
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total: Temple
by 3
48
Dunkel Pick: Cincinnati
(+3); Under

Washington
@
Stanford
Game 121-122
November 10, 2017 @ 10:30 pm

Dunkel Rating: Washington
106.351
Stanford
105.948
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total: Stanford
Even
46
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total: Washington
by 6
44 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Stanford
(+6); Over

Brigham Young
@
UNLV
Game 123-124
November 10, 2017 @ 10:30 pm

Dunkel Rating: Brigham Young
70.550
UNLV
79.749
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total: UNLV
by 9
58
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total: UNLV
by 4
49 1/2
Dunkel Pick: UNLV
(-4); Over

Dartmouth
@
Brown
Game 301-302
November 10, 2017 @ 8:00 pm

Dunkel Rating: Dartmouth
56.892
Brown
37.675
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total: Dartmouth
by 19
39
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total: Dartmouth
by 16 1/2
36
Dunkel Pick: Dartmouth
(-16 1/2); Over

 

[Cnotes53]

NCAAF

Friday, November 10

------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
NCAAF Game of the Day: Washington at Stanford betting preview and odds
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

Washington Huskies at Stanford Cardinal (+6, 44.5)

Eighth-ranked Washington knows it must win out to have a chance at reaching the four-team College Football Playoff as it enters Friday's Pac-12 road contest at Stanford. The Huskies are ranked ninth in the CFP rankings and lead the Pac-12 North Division by a half-game over Washington State and Stanford.

Washington features the nation's top-ranked defense (240.9 yards per game) and stands sixth in rushing defense (91.1) as it attempts to slow down Cardinal star Bryce Love. The junior has rushed for 1,456 yards -- second nationally behind San Diego State's Rashaad Penny (1,602) -- and has recorded 11 runs of 50 or more yards this season. "He's just one of those guys that's really fast, strong, keeps his legs going at all times," Huskies coach Chris Petersen said of Love. "He's hard to tackle. He bounces off, runs through hard tackles, really powerful. Obviously, he's got really good vision." Stanford's special teams unit will have their collective eyes on Huskies senior punt returner Dante Pettis, who has four return touchdowns this season and an NCAA-record nine during his career.

TV: 10:30 p.m. ET, Fox Sports 1.

LINE HISTORY: Washington opened as eight-point road favorites but as of Thursday night that spread was down to six points. The total hit betting boards at 47 and was bet down to 44.5 heading into game day.

INJURY REPORT:

Washington - WR Quinten Pounds (Out For Season, Knee), TE Hunter Bryant (Out Indefinitely, Leg), OL Trey Adams (Out For Season, Knee), DB Jordan Miller (Out For Season, Ankle), WR Chico McClatcher (Out For Season, Ankle), DB Byron Murphy (Late Nov, Foot), TE David Ajamu (Out For Season, Leg).

Stanford - RB Bryce Love (Probable, Ankle), LB Curtis Robinson (Probable, Undisclosed), T Walker Little (Probable, Undisclosed), CB Alijah Holder (Out For Season, Knee), CB Terrence Alexander (Out Indefinitely, Forearm), LB Sean Barton (Out For Season, Knee).

ABOUT WASHINGTON (8-1 SU, 6-3 ATS, 3-6 O/U): Junior running back Myles Gaskin (918 yards, 10 touchdowns) has topped 100 yards in four of the past six games and is on pace to top 1,300 rushing yards for the third straight season. Junior quarterback Jake Browning is tied for the school record of 75 touchdown passes (Keith Price, 2010-13), with 16 of them coming this season against just five interceptions. Junior inside linebacker Ben Burr-Kirven has registered a team-leading 59 tackles while senior Keishawn Bierria matched the school record of eight career fumble recoveries.

ABOUT STANFORD (6-3 SU, 3-5-1 ATS, 3-6 O/U): Love was held to a season-low 69 yards last Saturday in a loss to Washington State but still managed a 52-yard scoring run to keep his streak alive of having at least one 50-yard gain in each game this season. Redshirt freshman quarterback K.J. Costello is making his second career start and he struggled in the snowy conditions in Pullman, Wash., by going 9-for-20 passing for 105 yards and one interception. The Cardinal allow an average of 21.3 points per game but the defense features two standouts in junior strong safety Justin Reid (tied for second nationally with five interceptions) and senior defensive tackle Harrison Phillips (team-best figures of 68 tackles and five sacks).

TRENDS:

* Huskies are 7-1 ATS in their last 8 conference games.
* Cardinal are 12-3 ATS in their last 15 games following a straight up loss.
* Under is 8-1-1 in Huskies last 10 conference games.
* Under is 5-0 in Cardinal last 5 conference games.
* Home team is 5-1 ATS in their last 6 meetings.

CONSENSUS: The road favorites from Washington are picking up 59 percent of the action on the spread and Over is getting 61 percent of the totals wagers.

 

[Cnotes53]

NCAAF
Dunkel

Week 11

Saturday, November 11

Michigan @ Maryland

Game 125-126
November 11, 2017 @ 3:30 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Michigan
105.829
Maryland
80.544
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Michigan
by 25 1/2
43
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Michigan
by 16 1/2
45 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Michigan
(-16 1/2); Under

Florida @ South Carolina

Game 127-128
November 11, 2017 @ 12:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Florida
86.344
South Carolina
94.613
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
South Carolina
by 8
50
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
South Carolina
by 5 1/2
44 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
South Carolina
(-5 1/2); Over

Virginia Tech @ Georgia Tech

Game 129-130
November 11, 2017 @ 12:20 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Virginia Tech
106.263
Georgia Tech
95.079
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Virginia Tech
by 11
57
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Virginia Tech
by 3
50
Dunkel Pick:
Virginia Tech
(-3); Over

Tulane @ East Carolina

Game 131-132
November 11, 2017 @ 7:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Tulane
72.915
East Carolina
74.275
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
East Carolina
by 1 1/2
70
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Tulane
by 5 1/2
62 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
East Carolina
(+5 1/2); Over

NC State @ Boston College

Game 133-134
November 11, 2017 @ 12:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
NC State
99.100
Boston College
101.029
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Boston College
by 2
49
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
NC State
by 3
52 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Boston College
(+3); Under

Connecticut @ Central Florida

Game 135-136
November 11, 2017 @ 12:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Connecticut
66.722
Central Florida
100.188
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Central Florida
by 33 1/2
58
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Central Florida
by 40 1/2
64
Dunkel Pick:
Connecticut
(+40 1/2); Under

Wake Forest @ Syracuse

Game 137-138
November 11, 2017 @ 3:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Wake Forest
96.961
Syracuse
93.328
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Wake Forest
by 2 1/2
67
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Syracuse
by 1
66
Dunkel Pick:
Wake Forest
(+1); Over

Rutgers @ Penn State

Game 139-140
November 11, 2017 @ 12:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Rutgers
88.111
Penn State
109.576
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Penn State
by 21 1/2
56
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Penn State
by 31
52 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Rutgers
(+31); Over

Duke @ Army

Game 141-142
November 11, 2017 @ 12:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Duke
85.979
Army
89.510
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Army
by 3 1/2
44
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Duke
by 3
48
Dunkel Pick:
Army
(+3); Under

Michigan State @ Ohio State

Game 143-144
November 11, 2017 @ 12:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Michigan State
95.104
Ohio State
120.697
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Ohio State
by 25 1/2
49
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Ohio State
by 16 1/2
54 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Ohio State
(-16 1/2); Under

Indiana @ Illinois

Game 145-146
November 11, 2017 @ 12:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Indiana
86.555
Illinois
76.358
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Indiana
by 10
57
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Indiana
by 7 1/2
49 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Indiana
(-7 1/2); Over

Troy @ Coastal Carolina

Game 147-148
November 11, 2017 @ 4:30 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Troy
83.944
Coastal Carolina
57.462
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Troy
by 26 1/2
62
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Troy
by 17
51 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Troy
(-17); Over

Middle Tennessee St @ Charlotte

Game 149-150
November 11, 2017 @ 2:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Middle Tennessee
75.528
Charlotte
57.250
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Middle Tennessee
by 18 1/2
44
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Middle Tennessee
by 12
51
Dunkel Pick:
Middle Tennessee
(-12); Under

Wyoming @ Air Force

Game 151-152
November 11, 2017 @ 10:15 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Wyoming
82.163
Air Force
88.380
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Air Force
by 6
40
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Air Force
by 3
54
Dunkel Pick:
Air Force
(-3); Under

San Jose St @ Nevada

Game 153-154
November 11, 2017 @ 4:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
San Jose St
50.394
Nevada
75.038
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Nevada
by 24 1/2
69
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Nevada
by 18
67
Dunkel Pick:
Nevada
(-18); Over

Texas Tech @ Baylor

Game 155-156
November 11, 2017 @ 12:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Texas Tech
94.900
Baylor
80.732
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Texas Tech
by 14
72
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Texas Tech
by 7 1/2
71
Dunkel Pick:
Texas Tech
(-7 1/2); Over

West Virginia @ Kansas State

Game 157-158
November 11, 2017 @ 3:30 pm

Dunkel Rating:
West Virginia
93.348
Kansas State
100.739
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Kansas State
by 7 1/2
64
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Kansas State
by 2 1/2
62 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Kansas State
(-2 1/2); Over

TCU @ Oklahoma

Game 159-160
November 11, 2017 @ 8:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
TCU
107.136
Oklahoma
111.111
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Oklahoma
by 4
37
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Oklahoma
by 7
62 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
TCU
(+7); Under

Oklahoma State @ Iowa State

Game 161-162
November 11, 2017 @ 12:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Oklahoma State
102.599
Iowa State
105.903
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Iowa State
by 3 1/2
83
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Oklahoma State
by 7
61 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Iowa State
(+7); Over

Virginia @ Louisville

Game 163-164
November 11, 2017 @ 3:30 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Virginia
82.008
Louisville
98.517
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Louisville
by 16 1/2
69
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Louisville
by 11 1/2
66
Dunkel Pick:
Louisville
(-11 1/2); Over

Notre Dame @ Miami-FL

Game 165-166
November 11, 2017 @ 8:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Notre Dame
111.841
Miami-FL
106.460
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Notre Dame
by 5 1/2
44
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Notre Dame
by 3
57 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Notre Dame
(-3); Under

SMU @ Navy

Game 167-168
November 11, 2017 @ 3:30 pm

Dunkel Rating:
SMU
81.907
Navy
87.395
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Navy
by 5 1/2
61
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Navy
by 3 1/2
68
Dunkel Pick:
Navy
(-3 1/2); Under

Washington St @ Utah

Game 169-170
November 11, 2017 @ 5:30 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Washington St
98.570
Utah
94.412
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Washington St
by 4
54
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Washington St
by 1
51 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Washington St
(-1); Over

Purdue @ Northwestern

Game 171-172
November 11, 2017 @ 7:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Purdue
89.208
Northwestern
100.862
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Northwestern
by 11 1/2
53
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Northwestern
by 4 1/2
48 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Northwestern
(-4 1/2); Over

LA-Lafayette @ Mississippi

Game 173-174
November 11, 2017 @ 12:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
LA-Lafayette
65.051
Mississippi
92.003
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Mississippi
by 27
71
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Mississippi
by 20
67 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Mississippi
(-20); Over

Nebraska @ Minnesota

Game 175-176
November 11, 2017 @ 12:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Nebraska
88.055
Minnesota
87.972
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Nebraska
Even
41
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Minnesota
by 2 1/2
48
Dunkel Pick:
Nebraska
(+2 1/2); Under

Alabama @ Mississippi St

Game 177-178
November 11, 2017 @ 7:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Alabama
113.537
Mississippi St
106.950
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Alabama
by 6 1/2
52
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Alabama
by 14
51
Dunkel Pick:
Mississippi St
(+14); Over

Florida Atlantic @ Louisiana Tech

Game 179-180
November 11, 2017 @ 3:30 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Florida Atlantic
81.910
Louisiana Tech
82.982
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Louisiana Tech
by 1
69
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Florida Atlantic
by 6
70 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Louisiana Tech
(+6); Under

Southern Miss @ Rice

Game 181-182
November 11, 2017 @ 3:30 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Southern Miss
68.475
Rice
65.321
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Southern Miss
by 3
43
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Southern Miss
by 10 1/2
49
Dunkel Pick:
Rice
(+10 1/2); Under

USC @ Colorado

Game 183-184
November 11, 2017 @ 4:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
USC
99.685
Colorado
95.651
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
USC
by 4
63
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
USC
by 13 1/2
65
Dunkel Pick:
Colorado
(+13 1/2); Under

Iowa @ Wisconsin

Game 185-186
November 11, 2017 @ 3:30 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Iowa
99.817
Wisconsin
108.420
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Wisconsin
by 8 1/2
49
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Wisconsin
by 12
46
Dunkel Pick:
Iowa
(+12); Over

Georgia @ Auburn

Game 187-188
November 11, 2017 @ 3:30 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Georgia
114.824
Auburn
102.944
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Georgia
by 12
48
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Georgia
by 2
47
Dunkel Pick:
Georgia
(-2); Over

Tennessee @ Missouri

Game 189-190
November 11, 2017 @ 7:30 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Tennessee
78.321
Missouri
97.298
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Missouri
by 14
68
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Missouri
by 11 1/2
61
Dunkel Pick:
Missouri
(-11 1/2); Over

New Mexico @ Texas A&M

Game 191-192
November 11, 2017 @ 7:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
New Mexico
73.317
Texas A&M
95.817
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Texas A&M
by 22 1/2
56
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Texas A&M
by 17 1/2
51 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Texas A&M
(-17 1/2); Over

Arizona State @ UCLA

Game 193-194
November 11, 2017 @ 9:30 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Arizona State
88.209
UCLA
94.175
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
UCLA
by 6
65
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
UCLA
by 2 1/2
67 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
UCLA
(-2 1/2); Under

Kentucky @ Vanderbilt

Game 195-196
November 11, 2017 @ 4:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Kentucky
87.368
Vanderbilt
80.937
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Kentucky
by 6 1/2
59
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Vanderbilt
by 3
52 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Kentucky
(+3); Over

Arkansas St @ South Alabama

Game 197-198
November 11, 2017 @ 5:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Arkansas St
79.801
South Alabama
76.326
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Arkansas St
by 3 1/2
59
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Arkansas St
by 11
53
Dunkel Pick:
South Alabama
(+11); Over

Georgia State @ Texas State

Game 199-200
November 11, 2017 @ 4:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Georgia State
65.971
Texas State
68.325
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Texas State
by 2 1/2
44
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Georgia State
by 6 1/2
47
Dunkel Pick:
Texas State
(+6 1/2); Under

UTEP @ North Texas

Game 201-202
November 11, 2017 @ 5:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
UTEP
57.113
North Texas
77.363
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
North Texas
by 20
69
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
North Texas
by 23
54
Dunkel Pick:
UTEP
(+23); Over

Kansas @ Texas

Game 203-204
November 11, 2017 @ 6:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Kansas
68.134
Texas
97.373
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Texas
by 29
53
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Texas
by 34
55
Dunkel Pick:
Kansas
(+34); Under

Western Kentucky @ Marshall

Game 205-206
November 11, 2017 @ 6:30 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Western Kentucky
75.814
Marshall
81.357
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Marshall
by 5 1/2
52
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Marshall
by 13
50
Dunkel Pick:
Western Kentucky
(+13); Over

Old Dominion @ FIU

Game 207-208
November 11, 2017 @ 7:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Old Dominion
71.308
FIU
73.502
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
FIU
by 2
46
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
FIU
by 9 1/2
48
Dunkel Pick:
Old Dominion
(+9 1/2); Under

UAB @ TX-San Antonio

Game 209-210
November 11, 2017 @ 7:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
UAB
76.675
TX-San Antonio
76.714
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
UAB
Even
57
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
TX-San Antonio
by 8
51
Dunkel Pick:
UAB
(+8); Over

Florida State @ Clemson

Game 211-212
November 11, 2017 @ 3:30 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Florida State
95.559
Clemson
107.083
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Clemson
by 11 1/2
48
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Clemson
by 16
46
Dunkel Pick:
Florida State
(+16); Over

Arkansas @ LSU

Game 213-214
November 11, 2017 @ 12:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Arkansas
82.278
LSU
97.210
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
LSU
by 15
46
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
LSU
by 17
56
Dunkel Pick:
Arkansas
(+17); Under

Oregon State @ Arizona

Game 215-216
November 11, 2017 @ 10:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Oregon State
73.808
Arizona
104.714
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Arizona
by 31
83
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Arizona
by 21 1/2
71 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Arizona
(-21 1/2); Over

Boise State @ Colorado State

Game 217-218
November 11, 2017 @ 10:30 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Boise State
95.605
Colorado State
85.939
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Boise State
by 9 1/2
53
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Boise State
by 5 1/2
58
Dunkel Pick:
Boise State
(-5 1/2); Over

Fresno State @ Hawaii

Game 219-220
November 11, 2017 @ 11:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Fresno State
81.533
Hawaii
67.853
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Fresno State
by 13 1/2
55
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Fresno State
by 10
53 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Fresno State
(-10); Over

Maine @ Massachusetts

Game 221-222
November 11, 2017 @ 4:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Maine
63.353
Massachusetts
82.589
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Massachusetts
by 19
62
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Massachusetts
by 10
55
Dunkel Pick:
Massachusetts
(-10); Over

 

[Cnotes53]

FRIDAY, NOVEMBER 10
GAME TIME(ET) PICK UNITS

TEM at CIN 07:00 PM
CIN +3.0 *****
U 48.0 *****

WASH at STAN 10:30 PM
STAN +6.0 *****
U 49.0 *****

BYU at UNLV 10:30 PM
UNLV -1.0 *****
O 49.0 *****