Cnotes53 2017 NFL Trends/Stats/News/Picks Thru The Super Bowl

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december nfl best bets & opinions ( based on 5 units )

date w-l-t % units record

12/10/2017 16-11-0 59.25% +19.50
12/07/2017 0-2-0 0.00% -11.00
12/04/2017 0-1-1 0.00% -5.50
12/03/2017 11-17-0 39.29% -38.50

Totals..........27 - 31........46.55%............-35.50

best bets:......................ats.................... ..units.........................o/u....................units

12/10/2017..................6 - 3....................+13.50..........................5 - 3.................+8.50
12/07/2017..................0 - 1.....................-5.50............................0 - 1.................-5.50
12/03/2017..................0 - 1.....................-5.50............................0 - 0..................push
12/03/2017..................5 - 5.....................-2.50............................5 - 5..................-2.50

Totals..........................11 - 10.................+0.00...........................10 - 9.................+ 0.50
 
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Betting Recap - Week 14
December 11, 2017

Overall Notes

NATIONAL FOOTBALL LEAGUE WEEK 14 RESULTS

Wager Favorites-Underdogs

Straight Up 10-5
Against the Spread 9-6

Wager Home-Away
Straight Up 9-6
Against the Spread 8-7

Wager Totals (O/U)
Over-Under 5-9-1

The largest underdogs to win straight up
Bears (+6, ML + ) at Bengals, 33-7
Cardinals (+3, ML + ) vs. Titans, 12-7
Panthers (+2.5, ML + ) vs. Vikings, 31-24

The largest favorite to cover
Chargers (-6) vs. Redskins, 30-13
Chiefs (-4.5) vs. Raiders, 26-15
Cowboys (-4) at Giants, 30-10

Packing It In?

-- The Green Bay Packers posted their second consecutive victory, and third straight cover, with an overtime win on the road against the Cleveland Browns. The Packers entered the fourth quarter down 21-7, but backup QB Brett Hundley led them to the 14-point comeback, forcing OT. Then, QB DeShone Kizer was picked off in Cleveland territory, and the Pack had a short field to work with in the extra session. The Packers were 0-3 SU/ATS in the first three games QB Aaron Rodgers was hurt and/or he missed, but they have won three out of the past five while going 4-1 ATS to stay in the playoff hunt. Now, Rodgers is primed and ready to return for the final three games with a playoff spot within reach. The 'over' is 3-0 in the past three for Green Bay, and 5-1 over their past six outings, too.

Positive Charge

-- The Los Angeles Chargers blasted the Washington Redskins so badly (30-13) that head coach Jay Gruden was "at a loss for words" in his post-game presser. The Bolts have now won four in a row, and they're 7-2 SU/ATS since starting out 0-4 SU/0-3-1 ATS over their first four outings. The Chargers have found a way to win the close games, something that eluded them earlier in the season. Defense has also been a major part of their turnaround, as they're allowing just 9.7 PPG over the past three. The 'under' is an impressive 7-1 over their past eight outings, and 9-3 over the past 12 contests.
Total Recall

-- It was a strange week for totals, as the games Vegas expected to be shootouts were filled with defense, and some of the games expected to be lower-scoring turned into offensive showcases. And, of course, we had a snow-filled battle in the Indianapolis-Buffalo (36.5). Several inches of snow fell on the heads of the Colts and Bills, and we had a 7-7 battle go to overtime before the Bills ripped off a game-winning TD scamper through the flakes.

-- Sunday's game with the highest total (48.5), Oakland-Kansas City, never quite got off the ground and 'over' bettors were fighting to get back into it all day. That's because the teams totaled just three points in the first quarter because rallying for 41 total points. The Miami-New England (48) is still pending, but the Detroit-Tampa Bay (48) game also never quite got off the ground to develop as an offensive shootout. And, of course, Thursday's New Orleans-Atlanta (52) battle was an unexpected defensive battle. The only game Vegas fingered as a high-scoring showcase which turned out to be that, and more, was the Philadelphia-L.A. Rams (47.5) battle.

-- The three lowest totals on the board from Sunday -- Indianapolis-Buffalo (36.5), Green Bay-Cleveland (38.5) and Chicago-Cincinnati (40) -- went 1-1-1 to the 'under'. We covered the snow game above, and the Pack spoiled the 'under' with two fourth-quarter touchdowns to force OT and kill 'under' bettors. With :17 left in regulation, the Packers scored a TD. And the Bears-Bengals game opened at 37.5 before closing at 40. Anyone who bet the 'over' in this game before Sunday likely cashed a winning ticket.

-- The 'Over/under' finished 1-1 in the first two primetime games during Week 14, and the 'over' is 25-17-1 (59.5%) through the first 43 primetime games of the 2017 season with Monday's New England Patriots-Miami Dolphins game pending. Officially, the 'over' finished 27-24 (52.9%) through 51 games under the lights in 2016. In 2015, the over finished 20-28-1 (41.7%) in 49 primetime games. In 2014, the over went 33-17 (66.0%) in primetime games, and the over was 28-22 (56.0%) in 2013.

Injury Report

-- Eagles QB Carson Wentz (knee) is feared to have suffered a torn anterior cruciate ligament to his left knee in the NFC showdown against the Rams. He'll have an MRI on Monday to confirm the results.

-- Jets QB Josh McCown (hand) suffered a broken left (non-throwing hand) and he might be done for the remainder of the season.

-- Titans QB Marcus Mariota (knee) was playing through a knee injury, although he said after the game that he is expected to be fine.

Looking Ahead

-- The Bears travel to meet the Lions (-6.5) on Saturday afternoon, and the Bears haven't been doing well against division foes lately. Chicago is 1-3-1 ATS in their past five against NFC North teams, and 0-4-1 ATS in their past five against NFC teams overall. The Lions are 3-0-1 ATS in their past four against teams with a losing overall mark, but just 1-4 ATS across their past five at home. In this series, Chicago is 4-1-1 ATS in the past six meetings, but just 2-5 ATS in their past seven trips to Detroit. The 'over' is 4-1 in the past five meetings at Ford Field, too.

-- The red-hot Chargers hit the road to battle the Chiefs (-1) in a key AFC West battle. Both teams are going in completely different directions than when they met back on Sept. 24 in Southern California. The Chiefs came away with a 24-10 win, dropping the Bolts to 0-3 SU/0-2-1 ATS at the time. The road team is 5-0 ATS in the past five meetings in this series. The Chargers are 4-1 ATS in their past five trips to Arrowhead, although just 2-6 ATS in the past eight meetings in this series. The 'under' is also 5-2 in the past seven meetings.

-- The Jaguars are heavily favored (-11.5) to knock off the division rival Texans. Houston is 4-9 ATS in their past 13 against teams with a winning record, 1-5 ATS in their past six AFC South battles and 1-7 ATS in their past eight road games against a team with a winning home record. The Jags are 6-1 ATS in their past seven division battles, and 5-2 ATS in the past seven overall. The road team has hit in six of the past seven meetings, with Houston 5-1 ATS in the past six trips to J'ville.

-- The Ravens have a bitter taste in their mouth after letting a big win slip away in Pittsburgh on Sunday night. They'll look to take out their frustration on the winless Browns. Baltimore is 11-2 ATS in their past 13 AFC North battles, and 4-1-1 ATS in the past six games overall. Cleveland is 2-13-1 ATS in their past 16 divisional games, and 7-20 ATS across their past 27 home outings. The Ravens have covered four straight in this series, and they're 7-1-1 ATS in the past nine trips to Cleveland. The 'over' has hit in four straight in Cleveland, too.

-- The Rams look to rebound after a disappointing home loss against the Eagles. They're 6-2 ATS in their past eight overall, and 4-1 ATS in their past five on the road. The Seahawks have had a knack for covering in Week 15, going 5-0-1 ATS over their past six seasons. In this series, the 'under' is 5-0 in the past five in Seattle, and 15-5-1 in the past 21 meetings. The Rams are 2-8 ATS in the past 10 trips to Seattle, and the home team is 7-2 ATS in the past nine in this series.

-- The Patriots and Steelers square off in an important game with plenty of playoff implications in the AFC. New England has covered four of their past five trips to Heinz Field, and they're 12-4 ATS in the past 16 meetings overall. The 'over' is 5-2 in the past seven battles in the Steel City, and 9-4 in the past 13 meetings overall between these teams.

-- The Falcons meet the Buccaneers on Monday night. Atlanta has covered six of their past eight NFC South battles, and they're 4-1 ATS in their past five overall. On the flip side, the Bucs are 1-10 ATS in their past 11 against NFC foes and 0-3-1 ATS in their past four against teams with a winning mark. They're also 0-5 ATS in their past five divisional outings.
 
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Books win small in Week 14
December 11, 2017

Las Vegas sports books got a bit of a break with the Baltimore Ravens (+6) covering the spread in their 39-38 loss at Pittsburgh, which helped most betting shops show a small profit on the day.

However, the big story Sunday was the Philadelphia Eagles (-1) possibly losing quarterback Carson Wentz for the season with an ACL injury suffered in their 43-35 win at the Los Angeles Coliseum against the Rams. The books lost a bunch on the decision, but the Wentz injury drastically changed the entire complexion of the NFC playoff race and the odds offered around town.

"We bumped the Eagles up to 10-to-1 to win after the injury and we'll review on Monday to decide where we go from there," said Westgate Las Vegas SuperBook VP Jay Kornegay shortly after the injury. "The NFC really is jammed packed with Super Bowl contenders on top and when you look at the other QB's in comparison to (back-up) Nick Foles you've guys like Case Keenum and Jared Goff. There's no Tom Brady-type in the NFC."

Korngay also noted Cam Newton and Drew Brees, but his point was that the NFC is deep and there are a lot of green QB's put at the forefront with just three weeks to go until the playoffs start. It's not such a crazy idea seeing the Rams, Saints or Vikings in the Super Bowl. But on Sunday morning, it appeared the Eagles were on their way which is why they the NFC's top choice to the Super Bowl at 4/1 odds. That's all up in the air now.

As for Sunday's Week 14 action, the books showed a small profit on the day thanks to the Ravens covering the spread that ran up from Pittsburgh being a 5.5-point favorite up to -6 by kickoff. After the first 13 games of the day it ended up being a grind for both the bettors and bookmakers.

"It was pretty much a wash with the Eagles covering," said MGM Resorts race and sports VP Jay Rood prior to the Steelers decision. "We needed the Eagles early in the week, but it flipped."

Large money had come in on the favored Rams pushing the number to as high as -2.5, but sharp money flooded the books with Eagles money making them as high as -2 by kickoff. In a playoff-type atmosphere in Los Angeles, the Eagles came away with the win aided by back-up QB Nick Foles making a few key throw to seal the win.

While the action was large on the Eagles-Rams game, one of the major books in town saw a slight dip in volume. "Handle was short this week from what we've been seeing, but that's typical when the rodeo is in town," said Rood.

The National Finals Rodeo basically takes over the Las Vegas Strip when their annual event comes to town, and it's a pretty cool vibe they bring all over the casinos, but the reality is that the crowd takes over a bunch of rooms and they don't bet the NFL as much a regular folks for some reason. However, Kornegay said he didn't see as much of a drop off as Rood who has 10 books lined up and down the prime strip.

"We (needed) the Ravens to show a small profit on the day, and the Steelers make us a small loser. But this has been the lightest action on a Sunday night game all season," said Rood.

CG Technology books and Station Casinos also reported a small win on the day thanks to the Ravens covers despite both chain of books also taking it on the chin with Eagles. Philadelphia is now sitting alone atop the NFC at 11-2 (10-3 against the spread) following the Panthers (+2.5) 31-24 home win over the Vikings (10-3).

The Vikings had covered their last seven games and won eight straight prior to the loss. In Week 15, they get to face the hapless Bengals who lost 33-7 at home in the Jungle to the Bears (+6), a game that turned out well for the house. MGM books had the Bears +230 on the money-line, the highest price among the five underdogs that covered on the day.

Favorites went 8-6 ATS overall and the 'under' cashed in eight of the 14 games.

"One of our biggest losses of the day was the Bills," said Rood. The Bills captured an improbable 13-7 overtime home win against the Colts (+3.5). The total dropped from 40 to 36 because of a wild storm in Buffalo where the snow kept piling on.

"I think it was one of those things that snuck up on us where both the sharps and us didn't realize the magnitude of how bad the weather actually was," said Kornegay. "We were monitoring the weather by the minute, but it was way worse than we expected. And the fact we didn't get a lot of sharp play on the 'under' shows they didn't realize it either."

The Jaguars 30-24 home win over the Seahawks (+2.5) turned out to be Station Casinos best win of the day. This was game between two stout defenses that had Jacksonville up 3-0 at the half making 'under' 40.5 look to be a great bet. But then the flood gates opened as the Jaguars used defense, special teams and offense to secure the win that was much large than the score indicates.

The biggest roar of the day from the sports book crowd was when the Packers (-2.5) scored a touchdown in overtime to win 27-21 at winless Cleveland (0-13). Sharps loved the Browns, again, and drove the number down from +3.5 to +2.5, but the public loved the Packers against the Browns. Most bettors would have their Packers bet by a hook had the Packers simply kicked a field goal in overtime to win, but the theme stayed true and Cleveland got the worst of it. With the Broncos 23-0 home victory against the Jets (-1), the Browns are once again the worst cover team in football at 3-10 ATS. The Broncos are now 3-9-1 ATS.

Other notes from Week 14 saw the 49ers win for the third time in four weeks and two straight behind QB Jimmy Garoppolo with their spirited 26-16 win at Houston. The Chiefs and Chargers stayed tied atop the AFC West at 7-6 with their wins as favorites and the Cowboy's buried the Giants (+3.5) in Eli Manning's return as the starter, 30-10.

Moving forward into Week 15 is the big question is about the health of Eagles QB Carson Wentz. The very thing we all love about Wentz is his toughness and willingness to throw his body around for a first down is the very thing that may cost him his season. In possibly his last play of 2017, he threw his body over the goal-line for a TD, but finally paid the price. Hopefully it all turns out well, but based on 10/1 adjusted Super Bowl odds, the Westgate is showing they believe he's done.
 
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Doctors think Eagles QB Wentz tore ACL
December 11, 2017

PHILADELPHIA (AP) Eagles coach Doug Pederson has confirmed that star quarterback Carson Wentz has a torn left ACL and will miss rest of the season and playoffs.

Wentz, a favorite in the NFL MVP race, had an MRI on Monday that confirmed the severity of the injury. Wentz was hurt late in the third quarter at Los Angeles. Backup Nick Foles rallied the Eagles (11-2) to a win that secured the NFC East title and put them in first place in the conference with three games remaining.

The Eagles have overcome several key injuries and now have to move forward without their most indispensable player. Nine-time Pro Bowl left tackle Jason Peters, return specialist/running back Darren Sproles, star linebacker Jordan Hicks and special-teams captain Chris Maragos already went down for the season.
 
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Week 15 Opening Odds
December 11, 2017

Eagles Adjusted

Prior to Week 14, the Philadelphia Eagles were favorites (+200) to win the NFC and carried the second-lowest odds (+500) to win Super Bowl LII at BookMaker.eu.

If Wentz suffered a season-ending knee injury Sunday, oddsmakers at BookMaker.eu would adjust the Eagles? chances to win the NFC to +400 and the Super Bowl to +1000.

Regarding the weekly odds for Philadelphia, there would be a 3- to 4-point dropoff in terms of value to the spread between Wentz and Nick Foles.

Western PA Showdown

Since 1998, the Patriots are 11-3 against Pittsburgh.

Over the last four years, New England is 4-0 straight up and 3-0-1 against the spread against the Steelers, averaging 36.5 points during that stretch.

With the Pats still to play Monday night, the Week 15 matchup is off the board. If there are no major injuries Monday, BookMaker.eu will open the Patriots as 2- to 3-point favorites.

NFC West Matchup

The Rams opened as 1.5-point favorites at Seattle in Week 15.

This marks just the second time since 1985 that the Rams have been favored on the road against the Seahawks (1/2/11, 9/10/00). Early action on the home team has moved the spread to a pick ?em.

Jimmy G to the Rescue

Prior to Week 15, San Francisco had not been favored all season. The 49ers opened as 1-point favorites at home against the Titans, and became the last NFL team to be favored in a game this year.

Early action has come on the Niners, moving the spread to -2.

Jaguars gaining Respect

The surging Jaguars were tagged with their largest spread in the last 10 years. On December 23, 2007, they were 14-point chalk against the Oakland Raiders.

Jacksonville is favored by 13 points hosting Houston this week. Early action is on Houston, moving the spread to -12.

NFL Week 15 Opening Odds - per BookMaker.eu

Broncos at Colts (+1.5, 41.5)
Bears at Lions (-7, 44)
Chargers at Chiefs (-1, 46)
Eagles at Giants (OFF)
Packers at Panthers (OFF)
Bengals at Vikings (-10, 41)
Dolphins at Bills (OFF)
Texans at Jaguars (-13, 40)
Jets at Saints (OFF)
Cardinals at Redskins (-6, 44)
Ravens at Browns (OFF)
Rams at Seahawks (+1.5, 48)
Patriots at Steelers (OFF)
Titans at 49ers (PK, 44.5)
Cowboys at Raiders (+1, 45)
Falcons at Buccaneers (+5, 47.5)
 
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Patriots win streak ends with 27-20 loss at Dolphins
December 12, 2017

MIAMI GARDENS, Fla. (AP) New England coach Bill Belichick was asked if the Patriots' eight-game winning streak ended because they looked past the Miami Dolphins to Sunday's showdown between division leaders at Pittsburgh.

Belichick dismissed the idea.

''Give me a break,'' he said with a glare.

So how to explain New England's 27-20 loss Monday night? The Patriots (10-3) were 11-point favorites but missed a chance to clinch their ninth consecutive AFC East title - at least for another week.

The upset erased some of the sting to a disappointing season for the Dolphins (6-7), who have won two in a row.

''We've been waiting for this to happen,'' coach Adam Gase said.

Here are some things to know about the Patriots' first loss since Oct. 1:

ORDINARY BRADY

New England failed to convert a third down for the first time since 1991, and Tom Brady looked like the quarterback that season, Hugh Millen.

Brady was intercepted twice by Xavien Howard and had his lowest passer rating since 2013.

''It starts with me,'' Brady said. ''I've got to throw the ball better.''

The Dolphins sacked him twice and broke up seven passes.

''We were trying to keep them a little bit off balance,'' Gase said. ''The guys did a good job of playing team defense. It really starts with our front. They just played well together.''

Brady went 24 for 43 for 233 yards and one touchdown. New England was 0 for 11 on third down.

HEAVY LOAD

Kenyan Drake ran for 26 yards on his first carry for Miami and kept going. He finished with 114 yards rushing to top the 100 mark for the second consecutive game, and added 79 receiving.

''We saw him running past linebackers, and he breaks tackles in the hole,'' quarterback Jay Cutler said. ''He's becoming one of those complete backs you can do a lot with.''

Drake has emerged as Miami's workhorse back following the midseason trade of Jay Ajayi to Philadelphia.

STOUT RUN DEFENSE

The Patriots ran for 196 yards to beat the Dolphins in Week 12. In the rematch, Miami allowed only 25 yards on 10 carries.

''Two weeks ago they were a lot more physical than us,'' defensive tackle Ndamukong Suh said. ''We wanted to play to the whistle and impose our will.''

The Patriots totaled 248 yards in their worst effort since Week 17 of the 2015 season - also a loss at Miami.

SHUTDOWN CORNER

Howard now has four career interceptions, all in the past two weeks. He also broke up three throws by Brady.

''We knew what we could take advantage of,'' the second-year pro said. ''I just wanted to go out there and make big plays for the team.''

COMING UP

If the Patriots weren't looking ahead to the Steelers before the loss, they were immediately afterward. Pittsburgh (11-2) leads by one game in the race for the best AFC record.

''We can't go up there and play as poorly as we did tonight,'' Brady said. ''We have to do a lot of things better.''
 
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Overreaction: Cancel the Super Bowl parade plans in Philly
December 12, 2017

PHILADELPHIA (AP) There won't be a Super Bowl parade in Philadelphia this season.

The Eagles' championship hopes went down with Carson Wentz when the star quarterback tore his left ACL in a 43-35 win over the Rams. The NFC East champions have the best record in the conference, but home-field advantage isn't going to help them overcome losing Wentz.

Hey, Nick Foles is no slouch.

Foles was the last quarterback to lead Philadelphia to the playoffs in 2013 and had one of the best seasons ever, tossing 27 touchdown passes and only two interceptions on his way to the third-highest passer rating (119.2) in NFL history.

His career in Philly fizzled afterward and Chip Kelly traded him away, but he is back with the Eagles and in position to steer them into the playoffs.

Foles is no Wentz. But he has talented receivers and an outstanding group of running backs to lean on.

And he is capable of a spectacular performance. Foles once threw seven TD passes in a game.

Here are more overreactions following Week 14:

---

OVERREACTION: The Browns are going to make touchdown sunglasses a new trend.

REALISTIC REACTION: They're 0-13. Nobody should imitate anything they do.

---

OVERREACTION: The NFL is turning into the WWE with all the taunting and fighting .

REALISTIC REACTION: It's not scripted, though.

---

OVERREACTION: James Stewart and Carolina (9-4) exposed Minnesota's defensive weaknesses.

REALISTIC REACTION: The Vikings (10-3) played their third straight road game. They had to be weary.

---

OVERREACTION: The Chiefs (7-6) are back. An impressive win over the Raiders (6-7) put them in control in the AFC West.

REALISTIC REACTION: They have to beat the Chargers (7-6) on Saturday night to stay on top.

---

OVERREACTION: Marcus Mariota should be benched. He is hurting Tennessee's playoff chances.

REALISTIC REACTION: Backup Matt Cassel is 5-13 in his last 18 starts since 2015.

---

OVERREACTION: The Seahawks (8-5) showed they can't win big games on the road.

REALISTIC REACTION: There's no shame in losing to these Jaguars (9-4).

---

OVERREACTION: The Rams (9-4) aren't ready for prime time just yet.

REALISTIC REACTION: They beat the Saints (9-4) two weeks ago.

---

OVERREACTION: Miami gave the rest of the league a blue print on how to beat the Patriots (10-3).

REALISTIC REACTION: It was a classic letdown with a showdown for the AFC's No. 1 seed coming up at Pittsburgh (11-2).
 
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Titans latest NFL team to choose week on road over jet lag
December 12, 2017

NASHVILLE, Tenn. (AP) The Tennessee Titans are out of town this week, and veteran linebacker Brian Orakpo couldn't be happier.

The franchise decided once the NFL schedule came out in mid-April to spend the week between back-to-back road games against the Cardinals and the San Francisco 49ers in Arizona.

The main reason? Cut down the travel to keep players a bit fresher for the final month of the season.

It's a decision made by lots of NFL teams over the years. New England spent the week after beating Denver in Colorado for high-altitude training at the Air Force Academy before playing in Mexico City last month - and winning. Philadelphia spent the past week in the Los Angeles area after a loss in Seattle - and then beat the Rams.

''I totally agree with what we're doing because the jet lag is vicious,'' Orakpo said. ''There's definitely a setback, and also the time difference, getting used to the time difference on the West Coast, there's all these different elements. It really helps if we just stayed out there, not have to worry so much traveling back and forth because it's a lot of mileage, especially when you're trying to play at a high level in a football game.''

Spending a week away from home during the season is something that neither the Titans nor coach Mike Mularkey had ever done. The Titans, who relocated to Tennessee from Houston in 1997, are among the six NFL teams yet to play in London, and they left Nashville for training camp only once in 21 seasons.

The motivation is simple.

''We're trying to eliminate distractions,'' Philadelphia coach Doug Pederson said. ''It's hard when you've got back-to-back West Coast trips like this, to be able to fly back home and then practice and come back out this way at the end of the week. So, try to keep the week as normal as possible for the guys, for the coaches.''

The actual process of relocating an NFL team for a week during the regular season requires months of planning. Brent Akers, the director of team operations for the Titans, and his colleagues made at least seven trips to the hotel where the team is staying. They even rewired the building, so the Titans could simply plug in Monday and start working as if back home at the team's headquarters.

Packing wasn't easy either.

A 53-foot truck left Nashville on Dec. 5 headed to Arizona filled with 40,000 pounds of equipment including:

-A Juggs machine for firing balls at players at practice.

-Down markers.

-Six water coolers for practices.

-New computers, projectors and TV monitors to be ready and waiting for the Titans rather than pack up all that gear.

-Tape and other gear needed by trainers to treat injuries between games.

-Cleats.

-Uniforms.

-And, yes, weights. Strength coach Steve Watterson has an area set aside for workouts because the Titans must lift between games.

At the hotel in Arizona, the Titans are using about 80,000 square feet of meeting space, not counting rooms for sleeping:

-Offices for everyone from general manager Jon Robinson and Mularkey and position coaches to the media relations department preparing for their next game in San Francisco.

-A ballroom now is a locker room.

-Meeting rooms turned into a cafeteria.

-A training room.

-And yes, a workout space for all those weights.

The Titans will only have to travel to Arizona State for practices, though Tuesday remains the players' off day. Safety Johnathan Cyprien, who spent a week in London with the Jaguars, knew what to expect.

''Oh yeah, we're stuck together,'' Cyprien said. ''We'll be stuck together kind of like college. You know, where you go to practice, you go to class and you sleep in the same room with the same guys all day. You have no choice but to get closer when you're put in those situations.''

Lastly, lots and lots of bags for essentially three separate trips in the span of 10 days. Usually, a road trip features 125 to 130 people, but this extended stay has 171 with the practice squad and other employees needed for a game week. Players alone will have at least three bags apiece.

On Sunday night, the Titans will board their third different airplane, which must be big enough to carry home all that gear.

Only time, and the three remaining games, will determine how helpful the travel plans were for Tennessee. Of course, both the Patriots and Eagles won after spending a week away, and Philadelphia went home as NFC East champs . The Titans (8-5) are hoping for a similar benefit trying to end an eight-season playoff drought coming off a 12-7 loss to Arizona.

''It's an opportunity for us to get away together as a team,'' Titans quarterback Marcus Mariota said. ''I think that's going to benefit us and bring this team closer. I do think it will help us down the stretch.''
 
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december nfl best bets & opinions ( based on 5 units )

date w-l-t % units record

12/11/2017 NO PLAYS
12/10/2017 16-11-0 59.25% +19.50
12/07/2017 0-2-0 0.00% -11.00
12/04/2017 0-1-1 0.00% -5.50
12/03/2017 11-17-0 39.29% -38.50

Totals..........27 - 31........46.55%............-35.50

best bets:......................ats.................... ..units.........................o/u....................units

12/11/2017................................N O P L A Y S.......................................................
12/10/2017..................6 - 3....................+13.50....................... ...5 - 3.................+8.50
12/07/2017..................0 - 1.....................-5.50............................0 - 1.................-5.50
12/03/2017..................0 - 1.....................-5.50............................0 - 0..................push
12/03/2017..................5 - 5.....................-2.50............................5 - 5..................-2.50

Totals..........................11 - 10.................+0.00.......................... .10 - 9.................+ 0.50
 
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NFL notebook: Patriots close to signing WR Britt
December 12, 2017

Kenny Britt is getting another shot, and with the defending Super Bowl champions no less.

Britt, a veteran wide receiver who was waived by the Cleveland Browns last Friday, visited with the Patriots in Foxborough, Mass., on Tuesday and agreed to a two-year deal with the Patriots, according to multiple reports.

The 29-year-old was a first-round pick in 2009 out of Rutgers, a school Patriots coach Bill Belichick has shown affinity for throughout the years.

Britt had 18 catches for 233 yards and two touchdowns in nine games with the Browns before being waived.

Last season, Britt logged his first career 1,000-yard receiving season with the Los Angeles Rams, collecting a career-high 68 receptions for 1,002 yards and five scores.

--Devin Hester, the all-time leader in combined kickoff and punt returns for touchdowns, announced his retirement from the NFL on Twitter.

"I have good news and bad news," the 35-year-old Hester wrote. "Good news: Commissioner Goodell, you can put the kickoff back at the 30. Bad news: Y'all will have to find a new favorite returner."

Hester could have a case for becoming the first return man to be named to the Pro Football Hall of Fame. He returned 14 punts, five kickoffs and a missed field goal for touchdowns in his career for an NFL record 20 return TDs.

A four-time Pro Bowl selection, Hester played for the Baltimore Ravens and Seattle Seahawks last season. He hasn't suited up for a team this year.

--Washington Redskins safety Su'a Cravens has received medical clearance to resume football activities and wants to return next season, his agent said in a statement.

Agent Fadde Mikhail said Cravens, who was suffering from post-concussion syndrome, was treated by Dr. Michael Collins at the University of Pittsburgh Medical Center's Sport Medicine Concussion Program.

The Redskins had placed Cravens on the exempt/left squad list on Sept. 3 after the 22-year-old said he wanted to retire. Cravens was then placed on the reserve/left squad list 15 days later, meaning he was ineligible to return during the 2017 regular season or postseason.

Also, the Redskins placed tight end Jordan Reed (hamstring), linebacker Chris Carter (fractured leg) and running back Byron Marshall (hamstring) on injured reserve. Reed, who signed a five-year, $50-million extension in the offseason, has missed the past six games.

--The Pittsburgh Steelers placed linebacker Ryan Shazier on injured reserve nearly one week after he underwent spinal stabilization surgery.

"Unfortunately Ryan will not be able to contribute on the field during the remainder of this season," Steelers president Art Rooney II said in a statement. "However, even off the field Ryan will continue to be one of our team leaders. We know his spirit and positive outlook will help him to continue in his recovery, as well as serve as an inspiration to our team."

The 25-year-old had surgery on Wednesday.

--The Denver Broncos placed right guard Ron Leary on injured reserve, the team announced.

Leary, who is nursing a back injury, started all 11 games this season after joining the tram as an unrestricted free agent from the Dallas Cowboys.

--Detroit Lions center Travis Swanson was placed in the NFL's concussion protocol after reporting symptoms following the team's 24-21 win over the Tampa Bay Buccaneers, the team announced.

Swanson also sustained a concussion with delayed symptoms last season against the New Orleans Saints on Dec. 4, 2016. The 26-year-old appeared on the injury report days later with a concussion and sat out the final four games of the season as well as the club's playoff game versus the Saints.

--The Tampa Bay Buccaneers promoted linebacker Riley Bullough to the active roster from the practice squad and waived cornerback Ayodeji Olatoye, the team announced.

The 24-year-old Bullough has been on the Buccaneers' practice squad since the beginning of the season. He went unselected in last year's NFL Draft after playing college football at Michigan State.
 
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Packers' Rodgers says he is cleared to play
December 13, 2017

The uncertainty about whether Green Bay Packers quarterback Aaron Rodgers would be ready to return this week was resolved Tuesday night when Rodgers announced on Instagram that he was medically cleared to play football.

That presumably means that Rodgers, sidelined the past two months due to a broken right collarbone, will play Sunday in a pivotal game against the Carolina Panthers.

Following a day of consultation with a medical team led by Pat McKenzie, the team physician, Rodgers posted on his Instagram account: "It's been a long road from that day to this, but I'm happy to say I've been medically cleared to return. Thanks for all the love, support, prayers, and well wishes over the past 8 weeks (heart) and a big thank you to Dr McKenzie and our incredible training staff. #riseagain"

Rodgers sustained the injury in Week 6 against the Minnesota Vikings, when he was tackled by linebacker Anthony Barr. It was the second time in five years that Rodgers broke his collarbone.

Green Bay put him on injured reserve, hoping he could return in Week 15. Last week it became apparent Rodgers might return this week, although there was some concern early this week that Rodgers might not be cleared.

The Packers went 3-4 in Rodgers' absence with Brett Hundley serving as the quarterback.

Green Bay is still in the playoff hunt with a 7-6 record, but Rodgers will not have an easy task as his first two games will be at Carolina (9-4) and home against the Minnesota Vikings (10-3).

The Packers, who might need to win their remaining three games to make the postseason, finish at Detroit (7-6).
 
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The Latest: ESPN pulls McNabb, Davis amid misconduct suit
December 12, 2017

NEW YORK (AP) The Latest on a sexual misconduct lawsuit filed against the NFL Network by a former employee (all times local):

3 p.m.

ESPN says former NFL players Donovan McNabb and Mike Davis have been pulled from the air while it investigates a sexual misconduct lawsuit filed against NFL Network.

ESPN spokesman Josh Krulewitz said Tuesday in a statement that neither McNabb nor Davis would appear on any of the networks while the investigation proceeds.

A woman who worked as a wardrobe stylist at NFL Network accuses McNabb and Davis of various sexually inappropriate encounters. She also made accusations against former players Marshall Faulk, Ike Taylor and Heath Evans, and former NFL Network executive Eric Weinberger. None of the men accused responded to messages seeking comment from The Associated Press.

Jami Cantor worked at the NFL Network for a decade until she was fired in October 2016. In the suit against NFL Enterprises, she alleges age and sex discrimination, sexual harassment that created a hostile work environment, wrongful termination and defamation.

---

9:45 a.m.

Hall of Fame player Marshall Faulk and two other NFL Network analysts have been suspended after a former employee alleged sexual misconduct in a lawsuit.

NFL spokesman Brian McCarthy on Tuesday identified the three as Faulk, Ike Taylor and Heath Evans. He says they have been ''suspended from their duties at NFL Network pending an investigation into these allegations.''

According to court documents first reported by Bloomberg , former wardrobe stylist Jami Cantor described several sexually inappropriate encounters with the three retired NFL players and others who have worked for the NFL Network.

Former NFL Network executive Eric Weinberger and former NFL Network analyst Donovan McNabb are among those named in the suit. McNabb now works for ESPN.

None of the men accused responded to messages seeking comment from The Associated Press.

Cantor worked at the NFL Network for a decade. She filed an amended complaint originally filed in Los Angeles Superior Court in October.
 
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Thursday?s 6-pack

? Wisconsin 81, Western Kentucky 80? Hilltoppers will make noise in C-USA.

? LSU 80, Houston 77? Highly entertaining game; Tigers are 6-2.

? Detroit traded 2B Ian Kinsler to the Angels for minor leaguers.

? Loyola, Chi G Clayton Custer will miss 3-to-5 weeks (ankle). Good player.

? RP Joe Smith signed with the Astros; they?ll be his 8th team in a 12-year career.

? In 4th quarter of Steelers? last three games, Antonio Brown has caught 13 balls for 268 yards and two TD?s- thats in only three quarters.


***********************


Thursday?s Den: Doing some thinking out loud??.

13) How would you like to be a season ticket salesman for the Miami Marlins? They?ve traded Stanton, Gordon and now Marcell Ozuna, who heads to St Louis. Maybe the ushers in Miami?s ballpark will get fired too, since there won?t be many fans to lead to their seats next year.

12) I mentioned last month how the Marlins fired TV announcer Rich Waltz, who had been in Miami for 13 years. Now it doesn?t matter to me anymore; I have Stanton/Ozuna in my fantasy league, so now I have zero reason to watch the Marlins anyway.

11) I?m watching the 76ers-Wolves game on ESPN Tuesday night; good game, it is 94-94 in the 4th quarter and then I realize, Ben Simmons hasn?t scored a point in this game. 33 minutes, 0-4 from the floor, no foul shots. How can this be?

76ers won in OT; Simmons wound up with 7 points, 8 assists, 7 turnovers. He is an unusual player, almost seems to dislike shooting, but he is a great passer.

10) Twitter can be fun; I posted something about ?How can Simmons play 33:00 and not score?? during the 4th quarter. I get one reply, from a 76ers? fan in Texas:

?Good (bleep)ing question.?

9) Arizona State media relations director Doug Tammaro made a promise to his daughter this summer, that if ASU beat Kansas in basketball the year, he?d give her $500 to spend at a mall. Unknown to him, she taped the promise on her phone.

Sun Devils won 95-85 in Lawrence Sunday and Tammaro?s daughter posted the video of her dad?s promise on Twitter. He says he will happily pay up.

8) Sounds like no matter who Manny Machado plays for next season, he will be a shortstop and not a third baseman.

7) Couple years ago, I rent a car in Las Vegas in July; it is freakin? hot in the desert in July. So I go to the hotel?s parking garage to pick up the car, and I realize it is a push-button ignition? had never seen one of those.

So I?m sitting in the car and I push the button and nothing happens. I?m looking around- no idea what to do. No owner?s manual, nothing. Push the button again, nothing happens. It is too damn hot to walk back into the hotel and ask them, but it is getting really hot in the car too and I?m sweating and getting aggravated.

Finally I realized that if I pushed the button while stepping on (kicking) the brake pedal, the freakin? car will start. Not one of my finer moments.

6) With bowl season starting Saturday, keep in mind that since 2013, the MAC is 5-18 in bowl games. No bueno.

5) I?m looking forward to when kids can jump from high school to the NBA again; think it will be healthier for everyone; the NBA, college ball and the G-League.

4) Twins signed Michael Pineda to a 2-year, $10M contract, but Pineda had Tommy John surgery in July and figures to miss most of the 2018 season.

3) Lookalikes: Cincinnati Reds? manager Bryan Price and Phil Mickelson.

2) Daytime TV gets a huge positive jolt this week, with baseball?s winter meetings on MLB Network. Actual interesting stuff.

1) It is so difficult to win a championship; you have to dance thru a minefield of potential disasters, avoiding injuries in addition to playing well enough to win.

Think about the Eagles; they lose their starting QB for the year, moments after they got the benefit of a terrible taunting penalty against Trumaine Johnson. Had that penalty not been called, Eagles try a 50-yard FG on next play and Wentz is on the sidelines, healthy.

Wentz didn?t get hurt when he was hit, by the way. Apparently the injury happened earlier on that play when he planted his foot and cut. Kind of like Teddy Bridgewater?s injury.
 
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published 12/11


NFL opening line report: Patriots at Steelers highlights Week 15
Patrick Everson

'We?ll look to open the Patriots as 2- or 3-point favorites. They are simply the most dominant club in the league, and the next team isn?t that close."

As the NFL season hits Week 15, the playoff push is reaching full throttle. Patrick Everson checks in on the opening lines for a quartet of key contests, with insights from Scott Cooley, odds consultant for offshore sportsbook Bookmaker.eu.

New England Patriots at Pittsburgh Steelers (no line)

New England is very much rounding into the form of a defending Super Bowl champion, though it still has some Week 14 work to do, playing in the Monday nighter at Miami. The Patriots (10-2 SU, 8-4 ATS) are on an eight-game winning streak, cashing for bettors in seven of those contests. In Week 13, the Pats stumped Buffalo 23-3 as a 7.5-point road favorite.

Pittsburgh barely kept alive its winning streak in the Week 14 Sunday nighter. The Steelers (10-2 SU, 6-6 ATS) snagged their eighth consecutive victory (4-4 ATS), edging Baltimore 39-38 on a last-minute field goal while failing to cash as a 6-point home chalk.

With Pittsburgh playing late Sunday and New England yet to play, Bookmaker.eu is holding off on posting this line.

?As long as nothing out of the ordinary happens in the final two games of the week, we?ll look to open the Patriots as 2- or 3-point favorites,? Cooley said. ?They are simply the most dominant club in the league, and the next team isn?t that close. This game will command a huge handle, and hopefully we?ll get a great game.?

Los Angeles Chargers at Kansas City Chiefs (-1)

Kansas City finally got out of its rut, halting a four-game losing streak and a 1-6 SU and ATS slide overall. The Chiefs (7-6 SU and ATS) dropped Oakland 26-15 on Sunday as a 4.5-point home fave.

Thanks to K.C.?s slide, Los Angeles (7-6 SU, 7-5-1 ATS) has surged into contention in the AFC West. The Chargers rolled Washington 30-13 laying 6 points at home Sunday.

?The Chiefs finally flexed their muscles this week, but wow, the Chargers have certainly impressed,? Cooley said. ?And really that?s been the case all season. We have L.A. ranked higher in our ratings at this point, which is probably surprising to some. Early smart money is on the Chargers.?

That took the opening line of Chiefs -1 down to pick ?em at Bookmaker.eu. Both teams will go on slightly shorter rest, as this is a Saturday night game.

Los Angeles Rams at Seattle Seahawks (+1.5)

Los Angeles had a great opportunity to take a two-game lead in the NFC West, but couldn?t find a way to handle Philadelphia, even after knocking QB Carson Wentz out of the game. The Rams (9-4 SU, 8-5 ATS) rebounded from a 21-7 first-half deficit and took a 35-31 lead early in the fourth quarter, but ultimately fell short 43-35 laying 1 point at home.

The reason L.A. could have taken a two-game lead: Seattle lost at Jacksonville 30-24 as a 3-point pup Sunday. The Seahawks beat the Rams 16-10 as a 2-point road ?dog on Oct. 8, so a win this week would create a tie at the top of the division, with Seattle owning the tiebreaker on head-to-head.

?Early sharp money suggests this should have opened closer to a pick,? Cooley said, noting the line indeed moved down to pick ?em on Seattle money. ?I could certainly see this game going either way. Seattle got the best of the Rams earlier this season, but that Los Angeles squad has made leaps-and-bounds improvement since then.?

Green Bay Packers at Carolina Panthers (no line)

Carolina moved back into a tie atop the NFC South, taking advantage of New Orleans? Thursday night loss at Atlanta. The Panthers (9-4 SU, 8-5 ATS) slowed down red-hot Minnesota, claiming a 31-24 home victory getting 2.5 points Sunday.

Green Bay nearly gave up Cleveland?s first win of the year, pulling out a 27-21 overtime victory giving 2.5 points on the road. Now, there?s the expectation that star quarterback Aaron Rodgers returns for the Week 15 clash with Carolina. But since that?s not yet certain, Bookmaker.eu isn?t posting a number.

?We?re expecting Rodgers to be back in action, but you never know. So we?ll wait to get confirmation before putting up a line,? Cooley said. ?Rodgers is worth so much to the line, we can?t risk hanging a bad number. If he does suit up, we?re probably looking at Carolina being a small favorite, possibly down to even a pick ?em.?
 
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Sharps are advising that these Week 15 NFL lines are going to move
Art Aronson

No one thought the meeting between the Chargers and Chiefs in Week 15 would turn out to be the most important game in the AFC West this season.

Game to bet now

Los Angeles Chargers at Kansas City (-1)

When the Chargers and Chiefs met nearly three months ago it was Kansas City?s third win in what would be a five-game win streak, and Los Angeles? third consecutive loss in what would be a season-opening four-game losing streak - the two teams then headed in opposite directions. No one thought their meeting in mid-December would turn out to be the most important in the AFC West this season.

Both teams are now 7-6, both have winnable games in Weeks 16 and 17, and the second-place team in the division will likely not get a wild-card playoff spot ? so this game is basically "it" in the division.

The line hasn?t budged since opening at -1 on Sunday night, but bettors should be aware that the Chargers should have a little extra motivation due to their earlier loss to the Chiefs. If the Chargers fall a game back with two to go, and KC has the first tie-breaker due to beating LA twice, it?s basically over for the Chargers.

Game to wait on

New England at Pittsburgh (+2.5)

It?s likely that the Patriots were 35,000 feet someplace over Georgia when they forgot about Monday night?s unexpected loss to Miami. In the grand scheme of things, win or lose the Pats still would have to beat the Steelers this coming Sunday to maintain home-field advantage in the playoffs, so it?s not likely they would empty the playbook in Miami. Then there is the matter of TE Rob Gronkowski who, due to suspension, will have had two weeks to rest before going at the Steelers.

Books apparently didn?t pay the Miami game too much heed, since the line didn?t move an inch after New England turned in perhaps its worst game since Tom Brady was serving the final game of his four-week suspension in Week 4 last season. Early money did fatten the line from Pittsburgh +1 to the current +2.5, so bettors might want to see if public money stays on the Steelers, perhaps nudging the number down a bit.

Total to watch

Los Angeles Rams at Seattle (47.5)

LA has been one of the top-scoring teams in the league on the road this season, averaging more than 32 points away from home. And that number balloons to more than 37 if a Week 11 seven-point hiccup is eliminated from the mix. Much of the credit goes to RB Todd Gurley, who has been both healthy and productive.

Gurley figures to get the ball early and often against a Seahawks defense that is only a shadow of the unit that it was over the last half-decade. Seattle gave up 30 points in a ugly loss to Jacksonville on Sunday and needs to step up big-time at home against the Rams. The 47.5 is the highest posted total for a Seahawks home game this season and the highest overall since the 49.5 on opening day at Green Bay.
 
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NFL's Top ATS Teams:

1. Eagles 10-3
2. Vikes 9-4
t3. Panthers 8-5
t3. Jags 8-5
t3. Rams 8-5
t3. Pats 8-5
t3. Saints 8-5

NFL's Worst ATS Teams:

32. Browns 3-10
t31. Bucs 3-9-1
t31. Broncos 3-9-1
t29. Raiders 4-8-1
t29. Cards 4-8-1
 
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NFL
Long Sheet

Week 15

Thursday, December 14

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DENVER (4 - 9) at INDIANAPOLIS (3 - 10) - 12/14/2017, 8:25 PM
Top Trends for this game.
DENVER is 0-6 ATS (-6.6 Units) in road games this season.
DENVER is 0-6 ATS (-6.6 Units) in road lined games this season.
DENVER is 0-6 ATS (-6.6 Units) in a road game where the total is between 38.5 and 42 points this season.
DENVER is 1-8 ATS (-7.8 Units) in all games where the total is between 35.5 and 42 points this season.
DENVER is 2-9 ATS (-7.9 Units) in road games against conference opponents over the last 2 seasons.
DENVER is 59-83 ATS (-32.3 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record since 1992.
INDIANAPOLIS is 11-2 ATS (+8.8 Units) when playing on a Thursday since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
INDIANAPOLIS is 1-1 against the spread versus DENVER over the last 3 seasons
INDIANAPOLIS is 1-1 straight up against DENVER over the last 3 seasons
2 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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Saturday, December 16

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CHICAGO (4 - 9) at DETROIT (7 - 6) - 12/16/2017, 4:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
CHICAGO is 0-7 ATS (-7.7 Units) in a road game where the total is between 42.5 and 45 points over the last 2 seasons.
CHICAGO is 4-13 ATS (-10.3 Units) in all games where the total is between 42.5 and 49 points over the last 2 seasons.
CHICAGO is 14-33 ATS (-22.3 Units) in road games in December games since 1992.
CHICAGO is 17-32 ATS (-18.2 Units) in road games in the last 4 weeks of the regular season since 1992.
DETROIT is 29-51 ATS (-27.1 Units) as a favorite of 3.5 to 9.5 points since 1992.
DETROIT is 60-84 ATS (-32.4 Units) as a favorite since 1992.
DETROIT is 133-173 ATS (-57.3 Units) when playing with 6 or less days rest since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
CHICAGO is 3-1 against the spread versus DETROIT over the last 3 seasons
DETROIT is 4-1 straight up against CHICAGO over the last 3 seasons
3 of 5 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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LA CHARGERS (7 - 6) at KANSAS CITY (7 - 6) - 12/16/2017, 8:25 PM
Top Trends for this game.
LA CHARGERS is 118-89 ATS (+20.1 Units) in road games since 1992.
LA CHARGERS is 118-89 ATS (+20.1 Units) in road lined games since 1992.
LA CHARGERS is 95-68 ATS (+20.2 Units) in road games when playing with 6 or less days rest since 1992.
LA CHARGERS is 49-31 ATS (+14.9 Units) in road games when playing against a team with a winning record since 1992.
LA CHARGERS is 35-17 ATS (+16.3 Units) in road games when playing against a team with a winning record in the second half of the season since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
KANSAS CITY is 3-2 against the spread versus LA CHARGERS over the last 3 seasons
KANSAS CITY is 5-0 straight up against LA CHARGERS over the last 3 seasons
3 of 5 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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Sunday, December 17

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PHILADELPHIA (11 - 2) at NY GIANTS (2 - 11) - 12/17/2017, 1:00 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
PHILADELPHIA is 3-2 against the spread versus NY GIANTS over the last 3 seasons
PHILADELPHIA is 4-1 straight up against NY GIANTS over the last 3 seasons
4 of 5 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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GREEN BAY (7 - 6) at CAROLINA (9 - 4) - 12/17/2017, 1:00 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
CAROLINA is 1-0 against the spread versus GREEN BAY over the last 3 seasons
CAROLINA is 1-0 straight up against GREEN BAY over the last 3 seasons
1 of 1 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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CINCINNATI (5 - 8) at MINNESOTA (10 - 3) - 12/17/2017, 1:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
MINNESOTA is 32-14 ATS (+16.6 Units) in all games over the last 3 seasons.
MINNESOTA is 32-14 ATS (+16.6 Units) in all lined games over the last 3 seasons.
MINNESOTA is 19-9 ATS (+9.1 Units) as a favorite over the last 3 seasons.
MINNESOTA is 11-3 ATS (+7.7 Units) in home games over the last 2 seasons.
MINNESOTA is 11-3 ATS (+7.7 Units) in home lined games over the last 2 seasons.
MINNESOTA is 23-10 ATS (+12.0 Units) when playing with 6 or less days rest over the last 3 seasons.
MINNESOTA is 7-1 ATS (+5.9 Units) in dome games this season.
MINNESOTA is 7-1 ATS (+5.9 Units) in games played on turf this season.
CINCINNATI is 8-1 ATS (+6.9 Units) after 2 or more consecutive losses over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

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MIAMI (5 - 7) at BUFFALO (7 - 6) - 12/17/2017, 1:00 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
BUFFALO is 2-2 against the spread versus MIAMI over the last 3 seasons
BUFFALO is 2-2 straight up against MIAMI over the last 3 seasons
4 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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HOUSTON (4 - 9) at JACKSONVILLE (9 - 4) - 12/17/2017, 1:00 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
HOUSTON is 3-2 against the spread versus JACKSONVILLE over the last 3 seasons
HOUSTON is 4-1 straight up against JACKSONVILLE over the last 3 seasons
3 of 5 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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NY JETS (5 - 8) at NEW ORLEANS (9 - 4) - 12/17/2017, 1:00 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

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ARIZONA (6 - 7) at WASHINGTON (5 - 8) - 12/17/2017, 1:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
ARIZONA is 1-7 ATS (-6.7 Units) in all games where the total is between 42.5 and 49 points this season.
WASHINGTON is 14-5 ATS (+8.5 Units) when playing with 6 or less days rest over the last 2 seasons.
WASHINGTON is 32-52 ATS (-25.2 Units) as a favorite of 3.5 to 9.5 points since 1992.
WASHINGTON is 60-94 ATS (-43.4 Units) as a favorite since 1992.
WASHINGTON is 14-28 ATS (-16.8 Units) as a home favorite of 3.5 to 7 points since 1992.
WASHINGTON is 85-116 ATS (-42.6 Units) in home games since 1992.
WASHINGTON is 85-116 ATS (-42.6 Units) in home lined games since 1992.
WASHINGTON is 63-88 ATS (-33.8 Units) in all games where the total is between 42.5 and 49 points since 1992.
WASHINGTON is 85-116 ATS (-42.6 Units) in home games in games played on a grass field since 1992.
WASHINGTON is 23-46 ATS (-27.6 Units) in home games when playing against a team with a losing record since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
ARIZONA is 1-0 against the spread versus WASHINGTON over the last 3 seasons
ARIZONA is 1-0 straight up against WASHINGTON over the last 3 seasons
1 of 1 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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BALTIMORE (7 - 6) at CLEVELAND (0 - 13) - 12/17/2017, 1:00 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
BALTIMORE is 4-1 against the spread versus CLEVELAND over the last 3 seasons
BALTIMORE is 4-1 straight up against CLEVELAND over the last 3 seasons
3 of 5 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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LA RAMS (9 - 4) at SEATTLE (8 - 5) - 12/17/2017, 4:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
LA RAMS is 183-229 ATS (-68.9 Units) in all games since 1992.
LA RAMS is 183-229 ATS (-68.9 Units) in all lined games since 1992.
LA RAMS is 83-118 ATS (-46.8 Units) in all games where the total is between 42.5 and 49 points since 1992.
LA RAMS is 131-181 ATS (-68.1 Units) against conference opponents since 1992.
LA RAMS is 142-181 ATS (-57.1 Units) when playing with 6 or less days rest since 1992.
LA RAMS is 67-97 ATS (-39.7 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record since 1992.
LA RAMS is 40-60 ATS (-26.0 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record in the second half of the season since 1992.
SEATTLE is 67-38 ATS (+25.2 Units) in December games since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
LA RAMS is 3-2 against the spread versus SEATTLE over the last 3 seasons
LA RAMS is 3-2 straight up against SEATTLE over the last 3 seasons
4 of 5 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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NEW ENGLAND (10 - 2) at PITTSBURGH (11 - 2) - 12/17/2017, 4:25 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
NEW ENGLAND is 2-0 against the spread versus PITTSBURGH over the last 3 seasons
NEW ENGLAND is 3-0 straight up against PITTSBURGH over the last 3 seasons
2 of 3 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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TENNESSEE (8 - 5) at SAN FRANCISCO (3 - 10) - 12/17/2017, 4:25 PM
Top Trends for this game.
TENNESSEE is 11-22 ATS (-13.2 Units) when playing with 6 or less days rest over the last 3 seasons.
TENNESSEE is 13-26 ATS (-15.6 Units) in road games in December games since 1992.
TENNESSEE is 5-16 ATS (-12.6 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 3 seasons.
TENNESSEE is 48-28 ATS (+17.2 Units) in non-conference games since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

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DALLAS (7 - 6) at OAKLAND (6 - 7) - 12/17/2017, 8:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
DALLAS is 38-60 ATS (-28.0 Units) in the last 4 weeks of the regular season since 1992.
OAKLAND is 50-81 ATS (-39.1 Units) in games where the line is +3 to -3 since 1992.
OAKLAND is 10-23 ATS (-15.3 Units) as a home underdog of 3 points or less since 1992.
OAKLAND is 76-105 ATS (-39.5 Units) in home games since 1992.
OAKLAND is 76-105 ATS (-39.5 Units) in home lined games since 1992.
OAKLAND is 60-84 ATS (-32.4 Units) in home games when playing with 6 or less days rest since 1992.
OAKLAND is 76-105 ATS (-39.5 Units) in home games in games played on a grass field since 1992.
OAKLAND is 33-60 ATS (-33.0 Units) in December games since 1992.
OAKLAND is 32-57 ATS (-30.7 Units) in the last 4 weeks of the regular season since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

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Monday, December18

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ATLANTA (8 - 5) at TAMPA BAY (4 - 9) - 12/18/2017, 8:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
ATLANTA is 31-50 ATS (-24.0 Units) off a win against a division rival since 1992.
ATLANTA is 16-7 ATS (+8.3 Units) against conference opponents over the last 2 seasons.
TAMPA BAY is 0-6 ATS (-6.6 Units) as an underdog this season.
TAMPA BAY is 1-8 ATS (-7.8 Units) against conference opponents this season.
TAMPA BAY is 23-39 ATS (-19.9 Units) in home games after 2 or more consecutive losses since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
TAMPA BAY is 3-2 against the spread versus ATLANTA over the last 3 seasons
TAMPA BAY is 3-2 straight up against ATLANTA over the last 3 seasons
3 of 5 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons
 
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Week 15

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Trend Report
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Thursday, December 14

DENVER @ INDIANAPOLIS
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Denver's last 5 games when playing on the road against Indianapolis
The total has gone OVER in 10 of Denver's last 12 games when playing Indianapolis
Indianapolis is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games when playing at home against Denver
Indianapolis is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Denver


Saturday, December 16

CHICAGO @ DETROIT
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Chicago's last 5 games when playing on the road against Detroit
Chicago is 4-1-1 ATS in its last 6 games when playing Detroit
Detroit is 8-1 SU in its last 9 games when playing Chicago
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Detroit's last 7 games at home

LA CHARGERS @ KANSAS CITY
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of LA Chargers's last 8 games
LA Chargers is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Kansas City
Kansas City is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing LA Chargers
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Kansas City's last 5 games


Sunday, December 17

CINCINNATI @ MINNESOTA
Cincinnati is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games
Cincinnati is 6-2 ATS in its last 8 games on the road
Minnesota is 8-1 SU in its last 9 games
Minnesota is 7-1 ATS in its last 8 games

NY JETS @ NEW ORLEANS
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of NY Jets's last 8 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 5 of NY Jets's last 7 games
New Orleans is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home
New Orleans is 9-2 SU in its last 11 games

MIAMI @ BUFFALO
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Miami's last 5 games
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Miami's last 5 games when playing Buffalo
The total has gone OVER in 12 of Buffalo's last 15 games at home
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Buffalo's last 5 games when playing Miami

GREEN BAY @ CAROLINA
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Green Bay's last 5 games when playing Carolina
The total has gone OVER in 9 of Green Bay's last 10 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Carolina's last 5 games when playing Green Bay
Carolina is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games

BALTIMORE @ CLEVELAND
Baltimore is 17-2 SU in its last 19 games when playing Cleveland
Baltimore is 8-1 ATS in its last 9 games when playing on the road against Cleveland
The total has gone UNDER in 10 of Cleveland's last 12 games at home
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Cleveland's last 6 games

HOUSTON @ JACKSONVILLE
Houston is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games when playing Jacksonville
Houston is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games when playing on the road against Jacksonville
Jacksonville is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games
Jacksonville is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games at home

PHILADELPHIA @ NY GIANTS
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Philadelphia's last 5 games when playing on the road against NY Giants
Philadelphia is 10-1 SU in its last 11 games
The total has gone OVER in 5 of NY Giants's last 5 games when playing at home against Philadelphia
The total has gone OVER in 5 of NY Giants's last 6 games when playing Philadelphia

ARIZONA @ WASHINGTON
Arizona is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Washington
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Arizona's last 5 games on the road
Washington is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Arizona
Washington is 8-2 SU in its last 10 games when playing Arizona

LA RAMS @ SEATTLE
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of LA Rams's last 5 games when playing on the road against Seattle
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of LA Rams's last 6 games when playing Seattle
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Seattle's last 5 games when playing at home against LA Rams
Seattle is 11-1 SU in its last 12 games when playing at home against LA Rams

TENNESSEE @ SAN FRANCISCO
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Tennessee's last 5 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Tennessee's last 5 games when playing San Francisco
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of San Francisco's last 6 games
The total has gone OVER in 4 of San Francisco's last 5 games when playing Tennessee

NEW ENGLAND @ PITTSBURGH
New England is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games on the road
New England is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games
Pittsburgh is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
Pittsburgh is 9-1 SU in its last 10 games at home

DALLAS @ OAKLAND
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Dallas's last 6 games
Dallas is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Oakland's last 5 games
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Oakland's last 5 games at home


Monday, December 18

ATLANTA @ TAMPA BAY
Atlanta is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games
Atlanta is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Tampa Bay's last 6 games when playing at home against Atlanta
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Tampa Bay's last 9 games when playing Atlanta
 
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Armadillo's Write-Up

Week 15

Thursday's game
Broncos (4-9) @ Colts (3-10)? Denver snapped its 8-game skid with shutout of Jets; Broncos are a road favorite despite being 0-6 on road (0-6 vs spread, 0-3 as road dog), losing away from home by 10-21-10-28-7-26 points. Denver has only 13 offensive TD?s in its last 10 games. Colts lost last four games (three by 4 or less points), are 0-3 vs spread in last three; they?re 2-4 at home, with both wins by a FG. Indy is 3-2 as a home underdog. Home side won four of last five series games; Broncos lost their last six visits here- their last win in Indy was in ?03. AFC West non-divisional road favorites are 2-5-1 vs spread this year; AFC South underdogs are 7-5-1, 3-1 at home. Under is 3-1 in last four Denver games, 5-0 in Colts? last five games.

Saturday's games
Bears (4-9) @ Lions (7-6)? Chicago snapped 5-game skid with 33-7 win in Cincy LW; Bears are 2-4 on road, 3-3 as a road underdog. Chicago had four offensive TD?s LW, after having only one in its last two games combined. Lions lost four of last five home games; they ran ball for only 62.3 ypg in their last four games. Detroit had five takeaways in Tampa LW, after having one takeaway in previous three games. Detroit (-3) beat the Bears 27-24 at home four weeks ago, despite Chicago running ball for 222 yards. Lions won eight of last nine series games; their 17-14 loss here LY was their first in last four visits to the Windy City. Dogs are 4-2 vs spread in NFC North divisional games this season. Under is 8-5 in Chicago games, 1-5 in last six Detroit games.

Chargers (7-6) @ Chiefs (7-6)? Teams are tied for first in AFC West. Chiefs (-3) beat Chargers 24-10 back in Week 3 for their 7th straight series win, running ball for 189 yards with a +3 turnover ratio. Bolts lost last three visits to Arrowhead, by 12-7-6 points. Chargers won four in a row, are 7-2 since their 0-4 start- they?ve allowed only 29 points in their last three games. Bolts are 3-3 on road, 4-1 as road underdogs, with losses by 3-8-3 points. Chiefs lost six of their last eight games; they?re 4-2 at home, 4-2 as home favorites. Home teams are 5-2-1 vs spread in AFC West games this season. Four of Chiefs? last five games stayed under total, as did seven of last eight Charger games. Under for Chargers? opponents is 8-1 in their last nine games.

Sunday's games
Eagles (11-2) @ Giants (2-11)? Nick Foles is 20-16 as an NFL starter, 15-9 with Philly; he has the reins to Eagle offense with Wentz out for year. Philly won 10 of last 11 games; they?re 5-2 on road, 3-1 as a road favorite. Giants lost last three games by 10-7-20 points, scoring three TD?s on last 36 drives- they?re 16 for last 57 on 3rd down conversions. Eagles (-6) beat Giants 27-24 at home back in Week 3; Philly ran ball for 193 yards, in game where both teams had 100+ penalty yards. Giants lost despite 14-yard edge in field position. Philly won six of last seven series games; they?re 8-2 in last ten visits here. Favorites are 6-2 vs spread in NFC East divisional games this season. Three of last four Eagle games, and last four Giant games stayed under total.

Packers (7-6) @ Panthers (9-4)? Aaron Rodgers has been cleared to play in this game. Green Bay won its last two games with TD?s in OT; Packers are 3-3 on road, 3-1 as road underdogs, with losses by 11-13-3 points on foreign soil. Carolina won five of last six games; they?re 4-2 at home, 2-3 vs spread as home favorites- they ran ball for 200+ yards in three of last five games. Panthers are 11-39 on 3rd down in last three games, after going 11-14 vs Miami in Week 10- they?ve turned ball over only twice in last four games (+4). Teams split last six series games overall, split last eight played here. Average total in last four series games, 60.0. NFC South home favorites are 5-9 vs spread; NFC North road underdogs are 7-6. Five of last six Green Bay games went over total, as did last four Carolina games.

Bengals (5-8) @ Vikings (10-3)? Cincinnati lost four of last six games; they got crushed at home by the Bears LW, giving up 232 rushing yards. Cincy is 2-4 on road, 3-2 as road underdogs, with road losses by 3-15-16-4 points. Minnesota had its 8-game win streak snapped LW; Vikings are 5-1 at home, 3-1 as home favorites, with wins by 10-17-13-8-17 points at home. Teams split their 12 all-time meetings; home team won 11 of those 12 games. Bengals are 0-5 in their visits to the Twin Cities. AFC North non-divisional road underdogs are 5-5-1 vs spread; NFC North home favorites are 6-3. Over is 3-1-1 in last five Bengal games, 5-2 in last seven Minnesota games. Viking coach Zimmer was DC for Bengals before coming to Minnesota.

Dolphins (6-7) @ Bills (7-6)? Last two times Miami beat the Patriots and then played the next week, they lost both games, 19-0/29-10, both times in Buffalo. Short week for warm-weather Dolphins coming north to visit western NY after upsetting Pats Monday night, which snapped Miami?s 4-game losing streak. Dolphins are 2-4 on road; they were outscored 120-38 in last three road games. Buffalo is 6-1 when it allows 17 or less points, 1-5 when they allow more; Bills are 5-2 at home, 3-0-1 as home favorites, with home wins by 9-10-3-20-6 points. Miami swept Bills LY, winning both games by FG, after losing five of previous six series games. Dolphins lost four of last five visits to western NY. Home teams are 6-1-1 vs spread in AFC East divisional games this season. Last six Miami games went over total; last three Buffalo games stayed under.

Texans (4-9) @ Jaguars (9-4)? Jaguars won six of last seven games, are 5-2 at home, 3-2 as home favorites- they lost to Titans/Rams at home. Jax has 12 takeaways in its last four games (+7); in their last nine games, they outscored opponents 128-61 in second half. Jacksonville (+5.5) had four takeaways (+4), upset Texans 29-7 in season opener; it was only Jags? third win in last 14 series games. Houston won five of its last six visits here. Texans are 1-6 in their last seven games, losing last three in row, by 7-11-10 points; they lost their last three road games, by 26-7-11 points. Favorites are 5-3 vs spread in AFC South divisional games this year. Four of last six Houston games stayed under total, as have five of last seven Jaguar games.

Jets (5-8) @ Saints (9-4)? Jets lost six of last eight games, are screwed with QB McCown out for season; new QB Petty is 1-3 as an NFL starter, his backup Hackenberg has yet to play in the NFL. Jets are 1-5 on road, 1-2-1 as road underdogs, with road losses by 9-25-3-5-23 points- their road win was in Cleveland. New Orleans lost two of last three games; they have rematch with rival Falcons next week. Saints won last five home games; they?re 3-2 as home favorites this year, winning games in Superdome by 14-8-20-3-10 points, with loss to Patriots. Saints won five of last seven series games; Jets are 3-2 in five visits to Bourbon Street. AFC East non-divisional road underdogs are 6-5 vs spread; NFC South home favorites are 5-9.

Cardinals (6-7) @ Redskins (5-8)? Washington lost six of last eight games; they?re 3-3 at home, 1-1 as home favorites. Redskins were outrushed 356-151 in last two games. Cardinals are 2-3 in true road games, 0-3 vs spread as road underdogs, with road losses by 12-27-10 points, and wins at Indy/SF. Arizona won last two series games, 30-20/31-23; Washington is 4-9 in its last 13 trips to the desert. NFC West road underdogs are 5-8 vs spread; NFC West favorites are 7-8 vs spread 5-5 at home. Over is 6-3 in last nine Redskin games, 3-1 in last four Arizona games.

Ravens (7-6) @ Browns (0-13)? Baltimore lost 39-38 thriller in Pittsburgh LW, snapping their 3-game win streak; Ravens scored 82 points in last two games, scoring 9 TD?s on their last 22 drives. Baltimore is 3-3 in true road games, 1-0 as a road favorite. Winless Cleveland is 3-10 vs spread, 2-5 at home; they lost two of last there home games in OT. In there last six games, Browns were outscored 90-37 in 2nd half. Ravens (-7.5) had five takeaways (+3), beat Cleveland 24-10 at home back in Week 2; Baltimore is 17-2 in last 19 series games, winning last three visits here, by 2-6-5 points. Favorites are 5-4 vs spread in AFC North divisional games this season. Four of Browns? last six games went over total, as have seven of last nine Raven games.

Rams (9-4) @ Seahawks (8-5)? First place in NFC West is at stake here. LA turned ball over five times (-3) in 16-10 home loss to Seattle in Week 5; teams split last eight series games, but Rams are 1-11 in last 12 visits here. LA figures to get WR Woods (shoulder) back, which helps; in their last four games. Rams are 11-43 on 3rd down, but they?ve also scored TD on defense/special teams the last two weeks. LA is 5-1 on road, 2-1 as road underdogs. Seattle split its last six games; they?re 4-2 at home, 1-4 vs spread as home favorites. Seahawks haven?t allowed a first half TD in their last three games. Home side is 0-7-1 vs spread in NFC West divisional games this season. Over is 5-1 in Rams? road games, 3-6 in last nine Seattle games.

Patriots (10-3) @ Steelers (11-2)? Since 2013, New England is 12-2 vs spread coming off a loss. Winner here will own home field advantage for top seed in AFC; if game were to go to OT, Pitt could play for tie, since they lead Pats by a game. Patriots scored 34.5 ppg in winning last four series games- they beat Steelers twice LY, 27-16 here, then 36-17 at home in playoffs. Short week for Pats after loss in Miami Monday; NE is 5-1 in true road games, 4-2 as road favorites. Steelers won their last eight games; five of their last six wins are by 5 or less points. Pitt is still without LB Shazier, so their defense is vulnerable. AFC East non-divisional road favorites are 3-2 vs spread; AFC North underdogs are 7-6-1, 1-2 at home. Under is 6-2 in last eight Patriot games; over is 3-0-1 in last four Steeler games.

Titans (8-5) @ 49ers (3-10)? Tennessee is game behind Jaguars in AFC South; they play J?ville in Week 17. Titans won six of last eight games, are 3-4 on road, 0-2 as a road dog. Tennessee did not score in second half in Arizona LW; they allowed total of only 41 points in last three games. 49ers won three of last four games after an 0-9 start; 49ers are 1-5 at home, they?re favored here for first time this season. Garoppolo is now 4-0 as an NFL starter. Titans/49ers split last six meetings; Tennessee won two of last three visits here. NFC West non-divisional home favorites are 4-3 vs spread; AFC South road underdogs are 4-4-1. Five of last six 49er games stayed under total, as did last three Titan games. Tennessee is 7-0 when it scores 20+ points.

Cowboys (7-6) @ Raiders (6-7)? Dallas won its last two games, scoring 38-30 points; they?re 4-2 on road, 4-1 as road favorites- they scored three TD?s in 8:00 span of 4th quarter to break tie game in New Jersey LW. Cowboys were held to 7-9-6 points in last three losses; they scored 8 TD?s on 22 drives in last two games. Dallas converted 20 of last 39 plays on 3rd down. Raiders are 4-3 in last seven games; they won last three home games, are 1-0 as home underdogs. Home side won last four series games; Dallas lost 19-13 in last visit here, in 2005. NFC East non-divisional favorites are 7-8 vs spread, 2-3 on road. AFC West underdogs are 6-5, 2-1 at home. Five of last six Dallas games stayed under total, as did last four Oakland games.

Monday's game
Falcons (8-5) @ Buccaneers (4-9)? 8-5 Falcons won four of last five games, are game behind Saints/Panthers in NFC South- they play those teams the last two weeks. Atlanta is 4-2 on road, 2-1 as road favorites. Tampa Bay lost three in row, eight of last nine games; they?re 3-3 at home, 1-2 as home underdogs. Buccaneers haven?t led at halftime since Week 4. Atlanta (-10) beat Bucs 34-10 at home three weeks ago; Falcons converted 11-14 on 3rd down, averaged 10.2 yds/pass attempt. Tampa Bay won three of last four series games- teams split last six series games played here. Home side is 5-2 vs spread in NFC South divisional games this season. Under is 8-2 in last ten Falcon games, 4-2 in Bucs? last six games.

2017 week-by-week results
HF HU Totals O/U AFC-NFC
1) 5-5 3-2 4-11 1-0N
2) 6-6 2-2 6-9-1 3-2A
3) 1-4 8-2 10-5 3-0N
4) 4-7 2-3 8-7-1 2-2
5) 4-7 1-1 6-8 3-0A
6) 3-8 3-0 8-6 3-1N
7) 5-0-2 3-4 7-8 1-1
8) 5-4 0-4 7-6 3-1N
9) 5-2-1 0-3-1 5-8 2-0N
10) 4-3 3-3-1 8-6 5-0N
11) 4-4 1-5 7-7 2-2
12) 7-2-1 1-5 8-8 2-2
13) 5-4 5-2 7-9 2-0A
14) 5-4 4-3 7-8 4-2N

T) 63-60-2 36-37-2 99-106-2 31-19N
 
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NFL's biggest betting mismatches: Week 15
Monty Andrews

Chicago's 61.54-percent touchdown success rate in the red zone ranks behind only the Eagles, Raiders, Packers and Cowboys.

Chicago Bears at Detroit Lions (-5.5, 44)

Bears' red-zone success vs. Lions' downtrodden defense

The Detroit Lions can ill afford a letdown this weekend as they look to bolster their playoff chances against the division-rival Chicago Bears on Saturday afternoon at Ford Field. The Lions ended a two-game losing skid with a pivotal 24-21 win over the Buccaneers in Tampa Bay last weekend, and already have a three-point win in Chicago on their 2017 resume. But the Bears saw a major offensive breakout in Sunday's 33-7 win over Cincinnati, and have a major edge when it comes to red-zone performance.

The Bears hadn't done much with the football this season prior to last weekend, when they established a season high in points while racking up nearly 500 yards of total offense. And yet, Chicago has been one of the league's most prolific teams inside the opposition 20-yard line even before last week's drubbing; its 61.54-percent touchdown success rate in the red zone ranks behind only the Eagles, Raiders, Packers and Cowboys - and it's a significant step up from the 51.02-percent success rate it posted in 2016.

The Lions will need to tighten up a few areas if they aspire to make some noise in the NFC postseason picture - and among those is a deficiency when it comes to limiting opposing teams in the red zone. Detroit has surrendered six points on 63.83 percent of red-zone defensive stands; only the Browns, Packers and Dolphins have been more generous. The Lions scored enough points for that not to matter in their first go-around with the Bears - but they might not be so fortunate this time.

Houston Texans at Jacksonville Jaguars (-11.5, 39)

Texans' terrible pass defense vs. Jaguars' sensational sack ability

Injuries have completely unravelled the Texans' season as they continue to play out the string this weekend against the playoff-hungry Jacksonville Jaguars. Houston has suffered a litany of injury losses on both sides of the ball, and reached the low point of their campaign last weekend with a 15-14 home defeat at the hands of the lowly San Francisco 49ers. In order to prevent anyone else from winding up on the sidelines, they'll need to figure out how to slow down the league's most dominant pass rush.

Last weekend was a scary one for Texans fans, and the result was only part of the issue. Quarterback Tom Savage was removed from the game after a frightening hit, only to be re-inserted a short time later; he was removed again for good immediately afterward and subsequently diagnosed with a concussion. Whoever takes snaps this weekend will need to deal with an offensive line that has already yielded 41 sacks, tied for fourth-most in the NFL. Houston's 14 interceptions against are tied for fifth-most in the league.

Regardless of who Houston starts under center, the Jaguars will be ready - and certainly able - to drag him to the turf. Jacksonville has run roughshod over opposing quarterbacks in 2017, leading the league with 47 sacks - six more than runner-up Pittsburgh - for 305 sack yards lost. Not surprisingly, all that QB pressure has led to Jacksonville snagging 19 interceptions, second only to Baltimore. Look for the Jaguars to make life absolutely miserable for Houston's beleaguered offensive line this weekend.

Tennessee Titans at San Francisco 49ers (-2, 44.5)

Titans' tremendous discipline vs. 49ers; penalty-flag party

The Titans have overcome inconsistency on both side of the ball to remain the AFC playoff hunt entering this weekend's showdown with the host 49ers. Tennessee is coming off a 12-7 setback to the Arizona Cardinals; it's just the second loss in the last eight games for the Titans, who feared they had lost quarterback Marcus Mariota to a knee injury but learned he should play this weekend. And while the 49ers are slight favorites, they're giving plenty away in the penalty flag department.

Tennessee hasn't been flashy this season, but it has exhibited tremendous discipline through its first 13 games. The Titans come into the week having been flagged just 75 times, the fourth-fewest accepted penalties in the league. Combined with being on the positive side of 101 accepted penalties from the opposition, and Tennessee's plus-26 penalty flag margin leads the NFL. The Titans also rank ninth in the NFL in total penalty yard margin at plus-93.

When things go bad, it can be hard to keep one's composure. And that certainly appears to be the case in San Francisco, where the 49ers have seen 104 accepted penalties go against them; only the rival Seattle Seahawks and Miami Dolphins have accrued more yellow flags. Combine that with the fact that San Francisco has drawn just 76 opposition flags, and their minus-28 differential ranks ahead of only the Seahawks; they also rank second-last in penalty yard differential (minus-202).

Atlanta Falcons at Tampa Bay Buccaneers (+6, 47.5)

Falcons' drive-extension prowess vs. Buccaneers' third-down troubles

The Atlanta Falcons' quest to return to the Super Bowl hit a major speed bump in a five-week span earlier in the season - but the defending NFC champions have returned to form at the right time as they look to rise to the top of the competitive South division with a win Monday night at Tampa. The Falcons have won four of five and are coming off a critical 20-17 win over rival New Orleans; they also come into this one with a sizeable edge when it comes to third-down situations.

The Falcons were no doubt aided by an early injury to electrifying Saints running back Alvin Kamara, but they were still facing a formidable New Orleans defense - and they did exactly what they had to do, controlling the clock (34:41 time of possession) thanks in large part to a 7-for-12 showing on third down. That's nothing new to Atlanta, which leads the NFL in third-down conversion rate at 46.4 percent and has been even more effective over the last three games, converting at a 52.8-percent clip.

That bodes poorly for a Buccaneers team that has completely unravelled on third-down defense this season after leading the NFL in that category last season. Tampa Bay is allowing opponents to score or extend drives on a whopping 48.3 percent of third-down situations, after posting a 34.4-percent mark in 2016. The Lions extended the Bucs' misery by going 5-for-11 on third down in Sunday's win, and Tampa Bay would be fortunate to hold Atlanta to a similar success rate in the Monday nighter.
 
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