Cnotes53 College Basketball Best Bets/Trends/ News Thru The Madness !

Cnotes53

Registered
Forum Member
Nov 5, 2017
32,095
55
48
Chalkiest region gives no confidence to No. 1 seed Villanova
March 22, 2018


BOSTON (AP) �� Sporting the No. 1 seed in the NCAA Tournament's chalkiest region doesn't give Villanova coach Jay Wright any special confidence heading into Friday night's game against West Virginia.

The Wildcats were together in a Pittsburgh hotel room last weekend when they watched top overall seed Virginia's unprecedented first-round loss to No. 16 seed University of Maryland-Baltimore County.

When it was over, there was no need for Wright to harp on the lesson.

"It was so impactful that you didn't have to say it," he said Thursday as Villanova hoped to avoid joining the slew of deposed favorites when it plays the fifth-seeded Mountaineers for the East Region's spot in the national quarterfinals.

"I had talked about it so many times, saying: 'This is going to happen. You've got to respect these guys,'" said Wright, who since 2010 has lost in the round of 32 twice as a No. 1 seed and twice as a No. 2 seed. "It wasn't a matter of fear like, 'Don't let it happen to us.' It's just: You just have to respect these teams."

Along with Kansas in the Midwest, Villanova is one of two No. 1 seeds remaining in this year's bracket. Joining the Wildcats and Mountaineers in Boston are second-seeded Purdue and third-seeded Texas Tech.

Each of the other three regions has at least one team seeded ninth or higher; none of the top four in the South is still playing.

"I don't think we need a wake-up call at all," said Purdue's Vincent Edwards. "We're not overlooking any opponent that we have, and we're not going to overlook the game. It can show you from the start of this tournament it doesn't even matter."

Villanova (32-4) and West Virginia (26-10) will meet in the early game in Boston, where both teams were frequent visitors in the original Big East. Purdue (30-6) and Texas Tech (26-9) will play in the nightcap.

Here is a look at the regional semifinal games:

VILLANOVA VS. WEST VIRGINIA


With all those low seeds in the tournament, West Virginia doesn't seem like much of an underdog. But the Mountaineers are hitting that angle hard, saying they don't get the respect they deserve as a senior class that has reached the Sweet 16 three times in four years.

"I felt like ever since our freshman year, we've always been underrated," guard Jevon Carter said "We've always been the underdogs coming into any game we've played. So we've always had an extra chip on our shoulder."

Coach Bob Huggins, who is seventh on the NCAA's all-time victory list, said the lack of hype goes back to when his players were recruited. Rather than guys with the potential to go to the NBA after one year, he has to pick the ones who might otherwise attend a mid-major school.

"I told my athletic director that really he had two choices: Either fire me for recruiting the guys I recruited, or give me a raise for being able to win with them," Huggins said. "We got a bunch of guys that really were looking for an opportunity to play at the highest level."

Villanova isn't buying it.

"If you're at this point, you're just as good as the team in front of you," Villanova guard Phil Booth said. "West Virginia is playing as good as anybody else or any other team."

The Mountaineers rely on a stifling full-court defense that has earned them the nickname "Press Virginia." Villanova's ability to pull up for 3-pointers in transition is seen as the key to breaking the West Virginia pressure.

"I don't think we're going to change our defense. We're going to press," Mountaineers forward Esa Ahmad said. "We're going to try to take them out of what they do well and just try to take everything away from them."

PURDUE VS. TEXAS TECH

Texas Tech's Chris Beard made it a point to watch the video of the last time he faced Purdue, when he was coaching Arkansas-Little Rock and it upset the Boilermakers in the opening round of the 2016 tournament.

Purdue's Matt Painter doesn't need a reminder, thank you.

"Sometimes you don't like to live those bad dreams," he said, adding that he left that up to his assistants. "It was definitely one of those moments that you'll never forget as a coach. He'll never forget it on a positive side, and I'll never forget it on a negative side."

Purdue is expected to be without Isaac Haas, who broke his elbow in the second half of the first-round game against Cal State-Fullerton. The 7-foot-2, 290-pound center has been trying to get back onto the court, but Painter said it's unlikely he will play.

"It's very difficult in those situations, but you also have to be a truth-teller. That's your job as a coach," he said. "You've got to be diplomatic about it because it's really hard. You play 130 games to get to your senior year for this moment, but as a coach, you've got to do what's best for your team."
 

Cnotes53

Registered
Forum Member
Nov 5, 2017
32,095
55
48
Midwest has a strong ACC flavor
March 22, 2018


OMAHA, Neb. (AP) The ACC is looming large in downtown Omaha earlier than usual this year.

The Atlantic Coast Conference regularly sends a couple baseball teams to the College World Series each June. But the field for the NCAA Midwest Region semifinals at CenturyLink Center, across the street from where the CWS is played, is an anomaly.

Duke, Clemson and Syracuse making it past the first weekend of the tournament means three teams from the same conference will be playing at the same regional site for only the second time since the tournament expanded to 64 teams in 1985. The other occasion was in 1986, when the Southeastern Conference had three teams in Atlanta.

''We obviously always have our blue-blood powerhouses,'' Clemson coach Brad Brownell said, ''but if you can get into the tournament, as competitive as our league is, you're going to have a chance to advance. It's just the type of teams we play, the quality of coaching, the quality of play. The different styles of play that are in our league make it unique, or more unique than some of the other leagues where I think a lot of the teams play almost the same. All of those things help the teams in our league do well in this tournament.''

No. 2 seed Duke (28-7) advanced after blowing out Iona and Rhode Island. No. 11 seed Syracuse (23-13), the Blue Devils' opponent Friday night, survived against Arizona State in the First Four before upsetting sixth-seeded TCU and third-seeded Michigan State.

No. 5 seed Clemson (25-9), which plays top-seeded Kansas (29-7) of the Big 12 in the early game Friday, won over New Mexico State before hammering fourth-seeded Auburn by 31 points.

Syracuse coach Jim Boeheim said he never likes to play an opponent in the NCAA Tournament that he had already faced in the regular season - which was the case in 2016 when the Orange beat Virginia to get to the Final Four.

Syracuse will be playing Duke for the second time in a month. The Blue Devils won the first game 60-44 in Durham, North Carolina.

Boeheim said he talked to members of the NCAA selection committee on Thursday about the quirkiness of the regional. He added that with his team being the last to receive an at-large bid, he didn't voice any complaints.

''Trust me, when I got in I didn't care where we were going or who we were playing or what day it was,'' Boeheim said. ''We were happy to be in the tournament this year.''

Duke is one of the top scoring teams in the nation at 85 points a game. Senior Grayson Allen, who played on Duke's 2015 national championship team, leads a lineup that starts four freshmen, including projected high-first round NBA draft picks in big men Marvin Bagley III and Wendell Carter.

Even with one of the most talented teams in the nation, it takes good fortune to survive and make it to the Sweet 16, coach Mike Krzyzewski said.

''Some of it is luck and you're healthy, you've got a matchup that was more conducive to you than the other guy,'' he said. ''And sometimes, just like for us, we're playing well. So we're playing our best basketball.''

Though not as big an underdog as Syracuse, Clemson has been a surprise after finishing 12th in the ACC a year ago. Brownell said he saw potential in his team after early road wins over Florida and Ohio State.

''I told our staff I felt we were good enough to be in the Sweet 16 and maybe more,'' Brownell said.

He didn't necessarily feel that way after Donte Grantham, the team's second-leading scorer and rebounder, was lost to a major knee injury in January.

''Maybe that's why this is even sweeter,'' Brownell said. ''Our guys have had to overcome significant adversity.''

An upset of Kansas would set up an all-ACC regional final against Duke or Syracuse. Brownell said he hadn't imagined that possibility because his focus has been on Kansas. He did note that his team's last regular-season game was at Syracuse, a 55-52 loss, and that it had only been five weeks since a home game against Duke, a 66-57 loss.

''So the preparation in terms of a quick turnaround won't be as challenging as if it was somebody completely different like it was last week with Auburn,'' Brownell said.
 

Cnotes53

Registered
Forum Member
Nov 5, 2017
32,095
55
48
Texas Tech looks for 1st Elite 8 berth
March 22, 2018


BOSTON (AP) No. 3 seed Texas Tech (26-9) vs. No. 2 seed Purdue (30-6)

Third round, East Region; Boston; Friday at 9:57 p.m. EDT.

BOTTOM LINE:
The Boilermakers are back in the Sweet 16 for the second straight season, and they're looking for their first Elite Eight berth since 2000. The Red Raiders are in the Sweet 16 for the first time since 2005 and are hoping to make it to the Elite Eight for the first time in program history.

EVANS SHOW: Texas Tech senior guard Keenan Evans has continued to be the Red Raiders' go-to scoring threat. He comes in averaging 17.8 points per game and has posted 23 and 22 points in their first two tournament wins.

STILL NO HAAS: Matt Haarms, a 7-foot-3 redshirt freshman, is expected to start again at center for the Boilermakers even though senior Isaac Haas got fitted with a new brace to protect his fractured right elbow. He hasn't been cleared to play but is holding out hope the new brace will allow him to compete at some point. Haas has been out since suffering the injury in the first round against Cal State Fullerton. But his teammates have figured things out without him, coming off a 76-73 win over Butler.

STATS WATCH: Purdue is ranked second nationally in 3-point percentage (42 percent). That is its highest 3-point percentage since 1988. The Boilermakers' offense is ranked second in KenPom's offensive efficiency ratings, behind Villanova. Two of Texas Tech's top scoring threats are freshmen Jarrett Culver and Zhaire Smith, who have combined for 798 points this season. That makes them the highest scoring freshman duo in program history.

QUOTABLE: ''Definitely took a nap. That was on the list for sure.'' - Purdue forward Vincent Edwards, on what he did with his downtime after the team arrived early ahead of East Coast snowstorm.
 

Cnotes53

Registered
Forum Member
Nov 5, 2017
32,095
55
48
Villanova can expect test against WVU
March 22, 2018


BOSTON (AP) No. 5 seed West Virginia (26-10) vs. No. 1 seed Villanova (32-4)

Third round, East Region; Boston; Friday at 7:27 p.m. EDT.

BOTTOM LINE:
Villanova is one of two top seeds left in the tournament following losses by Big East Conference rival Xavier and Virginia. The Wildcats were a No. 1 seed in last year's tournament when they lost to eighth-seeded Wisconsin in the second round. West Virginia has been one of the best-looking teams in the field so far, with wins of 17 and 23 points in the first two rounds. The Mountaineers are trying to get to the Elite Eight for the first time since their Final Four run in 2010.

FAMILIAR POSITION: The Mountaineers have reached the Sweet 16 in eight of their last 12 NCAA appearances, including last season. Coach Bob Huggins is 4-4 in this round for his career, but just 1-3 at West Virginia. His lone victory was a 69-56 win over Washington in 2010.

FRIENDLY CONFINES: Villanova had good luck the last time it played in the East regional in Boston. The Wildcats were a No. 3 seed in 2009 when they beat second-seeded Duke in the Sweet 16 and top-seeded Pittsburgh in the regional final to earn a Final Four berth under Jay Wright.

OFFENSE VS. DEFENSE: West Virginia shot over 50 percent in both of its tournament wins. It is 68-5 under Huggins when shooting 50 percent or better. Villanova held its first two opponents - Radford and Alabama - to 40 of 107 shooting from the field (37.4 percent) and 59.5 points per game.

QUOTABLE: ''I steal everything I can. I watch tape, and if somebody's doing something pretty good, we're doing it the next day. I've never had an original thought in my life.'' - West Virginia coach Bob Huggins on he's how changed since he coached at Cincinnati. He also coached previously as Kansas State and Akron.
 

Cnotes53

Registered
Forum Member
Nov 5, 2017
32,095
55
48
ACC rivals Duke, Syracuse to match zones
March 22, 2018


OMAHA, Neb. (AP) No. 2 seed Duke (28-7) vs. No. 11 seed Syracuse (23-13)

Midwest Region semifinal; Omaha, Nebraska; Friday, 10:30 p.m. EDT.

BOTTOM LINE:
Duke has been at its best in rolling to first- and second-round wins over Iona and Rhode Island. Now the 85-points-per-game Blue Devils go against an ACC rival that has held three straight opponents to 60 or less after coming out of the First Four in Dayton.

ZONE VS. ZONE: It's a rare meeting of two teams that play zone defenses. The 2-3 long has been Syracuse's staple under Jim Boeheim. The Blue Devils went to the 2-3 in mid-February after their lineup of four freshmen and one senior struggled defensively.

LAST TIME: Duke won the regular-season meeting 60-44 at home on Feb. 24. Hopefully this one is easier to watch. The teams combined to miss their first 24 3-pointers, and Duke didn't reach 30 points until 13 + minutes remained. Duke has won six of 11 all-time meetings.

SHORT BENCH: The zone defense and slow-paced offense allow Syracuse's starters to play almost the entire game, barring foul trouble. The Orange have three of the nation's top six players in minutes logged. Tyus Battle ranks first with an average of 38 minutes, 58 seconds per game; Frank Howard is second at 38:25 and Oshae Brissett is sixth at 38:05.

DID YOU KNOW: The game matches the Nos. 1 and 2 active wins leaders in Division I. Duke's Mike Krzyzewski has 1,099 wins and Syracuse's Boeheim has 926.
 

Cnotes53

Registered
Forum Member
Nov 5, 2017
32,095
55
48
KU faces Clemson, Duke gets 'Cuse in S16
March 22, 2018


OMAHA, Neb. (AP) Everything seems to be in place yet again for Kansas. For the second straight year, the Wildcats need just two wins - in a gym its rabid fans can reach in less than half a day's drive - to reach the Final Four.

It didn't work for the Jayhawks a year ago, though, and winning this year's Midwest Region could be an even bigger challenge.

Top-seeded Kansas (29-7) faces fifth-seeded Clemson (25-9) on Friday night in a Sweet 16 matchup just 200 miles up the interstate from Allen Fieldhouse. A year ago, the top-seeded Jayhawks lost to Oregon in nearby Kansas City in the Elite Eight. In 2016, Jayhawks were eliminated in the regional finals by eventual national champion Villanova in Louisville.

''One of the benefits of being seeded high is (that) you get an opportunity to possibly play close to home. And I don't think it will have much to do with the outcome of this weekend, though,'' Kansas coach Bill Self said. ''I really believe that sometimes playing close to home can actually be a little bit more of a distraction or bring a little bit of pressure.''

The Jayhawks will face a red-hot Clemson team picked to finish 13th out of 14 teams in the ACC - a team that routed Auburn 84-53 last weekend in the third-biggest blowout by a lower-seeded team since 1979. The Tigers are playing in their first regional semifinal in 21 years, and as such have almost nothing to lose.

Kansas, a basketball school if there ever was one, has won 14 consecutive Big 12 titles - but it hasn't reached the Final Four since 2012. Still, Self has been getting the most out of a team without as many sure-fire future pros as he usually has at his disposal.

''I've seen Bill (Self's) teams from afar, because I'm a basketball junkie and I study everything,'' Clemson coach Brad Brownell said. ''But to watch him do what he's doing with this group, (it's an) unbelievable coaching job to take a different kind of team and to still win the conference.''

The nightcap will feature good friends Mike Krzyzewski and Jim Boeheim squaring off when second-seeded Duke faces ACC rival Syracuse, the No. 11 seed that has once again advanced deep into the tournament behind its lockdown defense.

The Blue Devils beat a good Rhode Island team 87-62 to reach its 26th regional. And although four of the top five scorers are freshmen, led by likely lottery pick Marvin Bagley III (21.2 points, 11.3 boards a game), they also have perhaps the most experienced player in the tournament in senior Grayson Allen.

Syracuse was the last team added to the tournament and has yet to look pretty this March, but that's what the Orange does. The 55-53 victory over Michigan State showed that they might be re-discovering the magic that lifted them to the Final Four in 2016 as a No. 10 seed.

Duke easily handled Syracuse 60-44 in their only meeting back on Feb. 24.

''We're expecting to see a completely different team than the last time,'' Bagley said. ''Syracuse is going to be a completely different team. Last game we both had pretty bad games as a team, as a whole.''

KANSAS vs. CLEMSON

The Tigers have reached the Sweet 16 behind a strong defense - and they hit their free throws. Clemson ranked third among ACC teams in allowing just 65.5 points a game and second from the line at 75.5 percent. The Tigers also spread the ball around, with four starters averaging at least 10 points a game led by junior guard Marcquise Reed (15.9 ppg.).

The Jayhawks are a guard-oriented bunch led by senior guard Devonte Graham, the Big 12 player of the year, and fellow senior wing Svi Mykhailiuk. Kansas has also gotten a major boost from sophomore Malik Newman, who averaged 24 points while leading the Jayhawks to their league tournament title. Newman leads KU with 19 points a game so far in the NCAA Tournament.

The Jayhawks lost some head scratchers this season, getting swept by Oklahoma State in the regular season and dropping back-to-back games to Arizona State and Washington.

''I think we have moments where we don't play very tough. But I also think we have some moments where our experience and our toughness definitely shows,'' Self said.

DUKE vs. SYRACUSE

The key to beating the Orange is to find ways to get enough open looks against their vaunted 2-3 zone. Syracuse is among the best defensive teams left playing - and arguably the worst offensive one. The Orange can't afford to get behind early against Duke, which is one of the most efficient and explosive scoring teams in America.

''The key really for us against Duke is we have to play better than we've played down there and than we've played in this tournament,'' Boeheim said. ''I think we're perfectly capable of playing better even though the record doesn't look like that.''

The Blue Devils can kill teams from the perimeter, where they shoot 38.3 percent on 3s, or dump it in to Bagley for an easy bucket. Despite its familiarity with Duke, Syracuse is the biggest underdog of the Sweet 16 for a reason.

''We're healthy, excited and playing very good basketball right now,'' Krzyzewski said.
 

Cnotes53

Registered
Forum Member
Nov 5, 2017
32,095
55
48
Kansas to face upstart Clemson
March 22, 2018


OMAHA, Neb. (AP) No. 1 seed Kansas (29-7) vs. No. 5 seed Clemson (25-9)

Midwest Region semifinal; Omaha, Nebraska; Friday, 7 p.m. EDT

BOTTOM LINE:
The Jayhawks are the top seed and will have what should amount to a home game on a neutral floor. But Clemson raised eyebrows with a 31-point thrashing of Auburn to reach the Sweet Sixteen, and the Tigers have the kind of deep and experienced backcourt that can lead a tourney run in March.

AZUIBUKE'S STATUS: The Jayhawks' four-guard lineup works in part because of the presence of big man Udoka Azubuike, who leads the nation by shooting 77.5 percent from the floor. Azubuike missed the Big 12 Tournament because of a minor knee injury, but he played 22 minutes in an 83-79 win over Seton Hall last weekend. Coach Bill Self said Azubuike will likely start against the Tigers.

''I'm feeling good, feeling pretty good. I'm better than I was last week. I'm ready,'' Azubuike said.

A BASKETBALL SCHOOL?: Clemson has made three consecutive College Football Playoff appearances and won it all following the 2016 season. But the Sweet Sixteen is a rarity for the Tigers, who haven't been here in 21 years. Coach Brad Brownell, who entered 2017-18 on the hot seat after six years between NCAA appearances, feels like this run could be the start of something big.

It ''took us some time to get the money that we wanted and to get the support that we needed to change our facility and make the kind of adjustments that you have to have,'' said Brownell, whose school poured $63.5 million into a renovation of Littlejohn Coliseum that finished in 2016. ''To follow that up with a really good season shortly thereafter...will help us to build our brand.''

DID YOU KNOW: The Tigers and Jayhawks have never played each other, and Clemson has only played once in Omaha. The Tigers lost to Creighton 87-67 in 1962. ...Kansas has been in the NCAA Tournament 47 times and reached the Final Four 14 times.
 

Cnotes53

Registered
Forum Member
Nov 5, 2017
32,095
55
48
Friday's Sweet 16 Action
March 22, 2018


Betting Friday?s Sweet Sixteen Matchups

It?s very easy to get caught up in the maelstrom of the 2018 March Madness storm, especially after a rip roaring opening four days that turned everyone?s bracket in to a bucket of shattered crab shells.

Just remember that by the time we get to the Sweet Sixteen, the premier teams sort things out and get their affairs in order.

There?s a much different tempo to Sweet Sixteen and Elite Eight rounds, so keep that mind when you?re betting at BetOnline.ag this weekend.

Let?s roll through the picks!

#1 Kansas Jayhawks -5 over #5 Clemson Tigers (CBS, 7:05 p.m. ET)


This is going to be an ?Oh yeah? kind of night. Sometimes the fury of upsets in the earlier rounds leads us to believe that this is going to be a trend. But the truth is that after the excitement and novelty of that crazy, first weekend passes, teams settle in. The upsets happen much less frequently.

Clemson is in deep trouble here. What they tapped in to against New Mexico State and Auburn was some shooting touch that they?ve never really duplicated. The Tigers shot 51.6 percent over the weekend, which is nearly six ticks higher than their usual average of 45.7 percent.

Kansas did show a few flaws in their perimeter defence against Seton Hall, but it?s hard to bet against Bill Self not trying to shore up that gap in his game plan. Kansas wins here with a comfortable cover. If Udoka Azubuike is healthy, this is a landslide.

#5 West Virginia Mountaineers +5 over #1 Villanova Wildcats (TBS, 7:25 p.m. ET)

Big fat warning here: this is my bet. I am a huge fan of the West Virginia Mountaineers right now, and it?s hard not to be considering their 4-1 SU and ATS run in tournament play over the past few weeks. I think that the recruiting effort at West Virginia has been terrific, and what I love about this matchup is that they have the horses to pace with Villanova. Jevon Carter is out here slaying cats, and is coming off a weekend where he scored 28-5-4 against Marshall and 21-8-6 against Murray State.

Obviously, Villanova is a whole different ball game. Aside from burying Radford and thwarting Alabama?s run, Villanova has long postured rightfully as the best team in the country. When they get going, nobody can touch them. The 70-81 loss that West Virginia suffered against Kansas is a big leaner here, meaning that you should definitely bet Villanova if you have your head screwed on properly.

The thing is, I like to get wiley sometimes. I do think that Friday?s Sweet Sixteen slate goes chalk, but as a gambler you have to pick your shots. So bet Villanova. Please. I?m just going with West Virginia on a gut feeling. Join me if you feel like it. I?m willing to pay to find out just how good this team is.

#2 Duke Blue Devils -11.5 over #11 Syracuse Orange (CBS, 9:35 p.m. ET)

When Duke plays like they did against Iona and Rhode Island, they are the best of both worlds. A team that is ferocious on defence and unstoppable offensively is a wonderful thing to have. Everyone has been waiting for the bow to break with Duke, because everyone hates them. It?s only gotten stronger. Syracuse earned a berth to the Sweet Sixteen on hustle points, and they won?t be able to rely on that as they face better teams deeper in the tournament. I don?t like teams that have trouble playing defence and can?t shoot threes. Syracuse put up 12.5 percent from beyond the arc, which wouldn?t be criminal if they didn?t also shoot 35 percent from the field overall. The spread is what it is for a reason. They don?t have the talent to spark a lucky run despite a nice win over Michigan State.

#2 Purdue Boilermakers -1.5 over #3 Texas Tech Red Raiders (TBS, 9:55 p.m. ET)

Maybe not so surprisingly, this is the most agonizing game to bet on, so I?m sort of glad it?s last on the Friday Sweet Sixteen schedule. Purdue is probably going to be without Isaac Haas, who is praying for his fractured elbow to experience a miracle. He?s the engine for the Boilermakers and without him, Purdue had definitive trouble dispatching Butler.

This is a golden ticket for Texas Tech, who showed a glaring weakness for points in the paint so the sort of obvious choice is to take the dog in this fight. But that underpins how deep and gritty Purdue is overall. Keenan Evans of Texas Tech is a big problem, and might now be the best player on the floor if Haas is out of contention. But having the best player doesn?t necessarily mean much in the tournament of tournaments.

This game would be a complete mismatch if Haas is able to play (which I don?t think he will), but Purdue has the depth to shore up for his absence. Plus they?ve had a full week to prepare. Texas Tech will be focusing on their interior defence after a rough going against Florida which exposed them in the paint. The problem is that Purdue will be switching gears. Betting against Purdue here is the common sense thing to do. They?ve lost their best and most important player. I just have faith that the team around him was pretty damn good too.
 

Cnotes53

Registered
Forum Member
Nov 5, 2017
32,095
55
48
Friday's Best Bets
March 22, 2018


Friday Sweet 16 Best Bets

For all the upsets we've seen in this NCAA tournament already, the Sweet 16 board on Friday looks rather ?normal.? We don't have seeds 1 through 4 across the board, but only one team playing on Friday is seeded higher than #5 - #11 Syracuse ? and even they aren't at a huge disadvantage as they've actually faced their opponent (Duke) already this year. It didn't go well for the Orange but that's not really the point. Give them nearly a full week to scout an opponent they already know really well and this magical run by Syracuse may not be over yet.

All four of these games should be highly competitive, and with the oddsmakers sharpening up their numbers as this tournament goes on as they typically do, where can you find some winners on Friday? Let's get right to the two plays I've already invested in.

Best Bet #1: West Virginia +5

The Big East conference was spoken about as being overrated by one of my colleagues last week here, and if it wasn't for a meaningless 3-pointer at the buzzer, Kansas would have cashed that ticket against Seton Hall. I am of the same mindset that the Big East is nowhere near what it's cracked up to be, and after having six teams in the NCAA field ? including two #1 seeds ? all that's left by the time the Sweet 16 shows up is Villanova. Compare that to the two teams left from the SEC , two from the Big 10, four from the Big 12, and four from the ACC, you'll see that the Big East really hasn't lived up to its billing. Most of those numbers (except for the SEC) from those other conferences equate to nearly half of their entrants getting to this stage, so really is the Big East that strong.

Which leads me to this game between West Virginia and Villanova as I believe this is where we see the final Big East team bid adieu. Villanova has looked impressive with a pair of 20+ point victories through the first round, but that's probably what you are supposed to do as a #1 seed playing a #16 and then a team like Alabama who many questioned should even be in the field. Now you are up against a Mountaineers squad that has just as much depth as you, just as much tournament experience as you, and a system that frustrates anyone and everyone in a one-and-done format when West Virginia is on their game.

The Mountaineers press defense will give Villanova fits and while the Wildcats are lauded for their versatility within their roster in being able to switch everything and have everyone carry the ball up the floor, that should change in a hurry when they are getting pressed the entire length of the court for 40 minutes against guys who are arguably just as talented. West Virginia has no problems about playing games in the 80's as we've seen all year ? the Mountaineers average 80.2 points per game this year ? and like Villanova, they enter the Sweet 16 with two wins by basically 20+ (17 and 23) and scored 80+ in each victory. So where's the real advantage Villanova has?

Some will say Guard play with guys like Jalen Brunson, Mikal Bridges and Donte Di Vincenzo all wearing Villanova colors, but West Virginia is no slouch in that department either with Jevon Carter leading the way. I just don't see how the Wildcats deserve to be laying this big of a number here outside of a seeding bias and that can steer a lot of bettors down a dangerous path. And while it can be argued that both teams are facing a huge step up in class of competition here, we can go back to the fact that the Big 12 still has three other teams alive at this stage and those are the types of talent West Virginia went against every night for the better part of two months. It will be that experience that puts the Mountaineers over the top here as they probably win this game outright, but I'm taking the points for more units to be safe.

Best Bet #2: Syracuse/Duke Over 133.5

I referenced the fact that this Syracuse/Duke game brings a lot of familiarity to both sides and when all is said and done that should lead us to seeing plenty of points in this game. These two met earlier this year in a 60-44 Duke win that would have stayed easily under this total, but seeing the Syracuse zone in live action for the second time in less than a month is a huge advantage that many bettors are discounting here.

Yes, Syracuse's zone has stifled everyone they've faced so far in this tournament and propelled them to their three victories, but that won't be the case here. Duke's coach Mike Krzyzewski has spent a lot of time coaching WITH Syracuse's Jim Boeheim during stints with USA Basketball at the Olympic level etc and has no doubt learned the ins and outs of that zone and how to attack it. Transferring that knowledge and executing it to his young players is a different story, but the fact that those same Duke players now have a specific point of reference to lean on after seeing it once this season should make Duke's offensive execution come in at an excellent rate here.

From Syracuse's perspective, they've got to know that for as much as they know their defense can carry them, in order to get by Duke in the Sweet 16, they've got to shoot a hell of a lot better than the 29.2% they put up against the Blue Devils in the first meeting. The Orange hit a grand total of 14 shots that day and their best scores like Tyus Battle (4-for-12), Frank Howard (2-for-11) and Oshae Brissett (1-for-10) had just awful days. Those are the only three guys Syracuse has that averaged more than 5.6 points per game this year with each of them at 14.6 or higher and it's those three that will need to put in 20+, probably by all three, to have a shot at winning this game. Remember this is a Duke defense that really isn't all that good as they give up nearly 70 points per game this year and the Orange made them look like an All-World defensive bunch in that first meeting. That won't happen the second time around and Syracuse's improved offensive execution here will force Duke to do the same against the Orange's defensive unit.

Sadly for Orange fans, I don't believe Duke will have any trouble dissecting the zone this time around and while the time off the past few days may have cooled off Dukes 88 points/game average in this tournament a bit, the Blue Devils could threaten that number here. If you look at the ACC regular season games Syracuse had this year against teams they saw twice, you'll see that fast paced teams like Pittsburgh and Boston College were able to improve their point totals by 10 and 22 points respectively, while Wake Forest scored 70 or more on them both times, and Virginia (68 points at home, 59 vs Syracuse on the road) is an entirely different case study for the most part.

Duke has plenty of film of the Tar Heels scoring 78 points against the Orange in both regular season and conference tournament play and given how comparable those two teams along Tobacco Road are, don't be surprised to see the Blue Devils reach 75+ here with Syracuse coming in around that 65 number. That's more than enough room for error to cash this ticket.
 

Cnotes53

Registered
Forum Member
Nov 5, 2017
32,095
55
48
Friday?s NCAA games

Under Bill Self, Kansas is 7-2 in Sweet 16 games; Jayhawks won 10 of last 11 games- they?re 12-2 outside Big X (#72 NC schedule).Kansas makes 40.3% of its 3?s (#9); 37% of their points come from behind the arc. Jayhawks beat Syracuse by 16 in only ACC game this season. Clemson is #61 experience team that won five of its last seven games; they were up 41 on Auburn at one point Sunday. Clemson?s last Sweet 16 was in 1997. Opponents shoot only 43.8% inside arc vs Tigers; their 3-point defense is average. Last three years, #1-seeds are 9-0-1 vs spread in this round.

Villanova shot 31-78 on arc (39.7%) in two wins last week, lower than its season %age (40.2%). Wildcats are 15-0 outside Big East (#61 NC schedule). West Virginia is 2-6 in last eight games where it shot less than 35% from arc; Villanova?s opponents shoot 32.6% on arc (#39). Mountaineers won seven of last nine games; they?re #196 experience team that is 13-2 outside Big X (#298 NC schedule). Mountaineers force turnovers 23.4% of time (#2), but Villanova is #11 in country at protecting ball. Last three years, #1-seeds are 9-0-1 vs spread in this round.

Syracuse is 14-4 in its last 18 NCAA tourney games; they won three games LW, holding teams to 22-86 (25.6%) on arc. Duke beat Syracuse 60-44 Feb 24, in brickfest where teams combined to shoot 8-43 on arc. Duke is 4-3 vs Orange since they became ACC rivals; Syracuse beat team two of last three years. Blue Devils won 9 of last 11 games; they start four freshmen (#350 experience team). Blue Devils shoot 38.3% on arc for season, but were 2-18 vs Orange last month. Duke is 3-5 in its last eight Sweet 16 games, and they were favored in all five of the losses. These teams play same 2-3 defense, so not lot of secrets here.

Purdue big man Haas (elbow) is out here; Boilers made 11-24 on arc to nip Butler by 3 in their first game without him. Purdue won seven of last eight games; they?re 13-2 outside Big 14 (#144 NC schedule)- they?re #52 experience team. Texas Tech forces turnovers 21.8% of time (#17); Red Raiders are 14-1 outside Big X, hammering Northwestern 85-49 in only Big 14 game. Purdue lost its last three Sweet 16 games, with last win in 2000. Last 10 years, favorites are 7-6 vs spread in games with #2-3 seeds meeting in Sweet 16. Last three years overall in Sweet 16, favorites were 18-6 vs spread.
 

Cnotes53

Registered
Forum Member
Nov 5, 2017
32,095
55
48
Armadillo: Friday's six-pack

Six unusual seeding matchups in previous regional finals

? 2000: 8-seed North Carolina (+2.5) 59, 7-seed Tulsa 55

? 2002: 5-seed Indiana (-3.5) 81, Kent State 69

? 2000: 8-seed Wisconsin (+1) 64, 6-seed Purdue 60

? 1990: 4-seed Arkansas (-4) 88, 10-seed Texas 85

? 1997: 4-seed Arizona (-3) 96, 10-seed Providence 92 OT

? 2010: 5-seed Michigan St (+2), 70, 6-seed Tennessee 69

**********

Armadillo: Friday's List of 13: Clearing out a cluttered mind??.


13) Kansas State 61, Kentucky 58? Kansas State is capitalizing on the first-ever #1-16 upset in the NCAA?s; they get to a regional final in large part because they got to play a 16-seed UMBC in their 2nd round game, instead of #1-seed Virginia.

In this 3-point game, Kentucky?s PJ Washington was 8-20 on the foul line. He also grabbed 15 rebounds and had three steals, but 8-20 on the line in a 61-58 game is no bueno.

12) Loyola 69, Nevada 68? Ramblers made their first 13 shots in the second half, mostly on reverse layups. Nevada led 20-8 early but didn?t score for the last 8:00 of the first half- their lack of depth, foul trouble and refusal to play zone defense doomed them here.

Loyola?s three NCAA tournament wins have come by a combined four points; it is funny that Wichita State, Creighton bolted the MVC for bigger leagues, but Loyola (which took Creighton?s place in the Valley) is in the Elite 8 after winning its first MVC title.

11) Florida State 75, Gonzaga 60? Seminoles tied Louisville for 8th place in the ACC; Cardinals didn?t get in the tournament. FSU played 12 guys in first half of this game? 10 guys played 10+ minutes, which in this day and age of thin rosters, is really unusual.

10) Michigan 99, Texas A&M 72? Complete no-show by the Aggies, who trailed 52-28 at the half. Wolverines made 14-24 on the arc.

A&M?s Robert Williams declared for the NBA about 90 seconds after this game ended; he scored in double figures twice in his last seven games. Good luck in the G-League.

9) Johnny Manziel was at the A&M-Michigan game, after he threw at U of San Diego?s pro day during the afternoon. Johnny Football might play for the Hamilton Tiger-Cats in the CFL this summer, unless some NFL team gets goofy and offers him a tryout.

8) Reminder to fans drooling over Sam Darnold; no USC QB has ever started in a Super Bowl. Not that he can?t be the first, but I?m just sayin???.

7) Bidding for the NFL?s Carolina Panthers is up to $2.5B; thats billion, with a B.

6) Minnesota Twins? #1-4 hitters Thursday were all switch-hitters, which is very unusual.

5) College basketball coaching carousel:
? UConn hired Danny Hurley away from Rhode Island
? Evansville hired Celtics assistant coach Walter McCarty
? Missouri State hires Dana Ford away from Tennessee State

4) There was another coaching move which annoys me a little; Colorado State hired Niko Medved away from Drake. Medved went 62-71 in four years at Furman, going 42-28 his last two years there, then bolted to Drake at this time last year.

Senior-dominated Drake (#7 experience team in country) was only 17-17 this year, 10-8 in the MVC, but with four senior starters graduating, Medved bolt$ for greener pa$ture$ after only one season in Des Moines. Not the classiest thing to do.

3) Sounds like there is some drama in San Antonio, with Spurs players trying to convince star Kawhi Leonard to actually play ball, so the Spurs can make the playoffs. Leonard injured his quad last year, came back and played nine games this season, but has been out since December 12, despite his being cleared by the Spurs doctors.

Leonard will make $60M combined between this year and the next two years; would be nice if he actually tried to earn it.

2) Kansas City Royals? over/under win total this year is 67.5; that sound you heard was the Royals? ?window of opportunity? to win another championship slamming shut.

1? You don?t have to be Columbo to deduce that the Giants trading Jason Pierre-Paul to the Buccaneers means there is a strong probability Big Blue will draft NC State linebacker Bradley Chubb with the #2 pick in the draft next month.
 

Cnotes53

Registered
Forum Member
Nov 5, 2017
32,095
55
48
NCAAB
Dunkel

Friday, March 23



Syracuse @ Duke

Game 875-876
March 23, 2018 @ 9:35 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Syracuse
67.166
Duke
75.674
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Duke
by 8 1/2
138
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Duke
by 11 1/2
133
Dunkel Pick:
Syracuse
(+11 1/2); Over

Clemson @ Kansas


Game 877-878
March 23, 2018 @ 7:05 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Clemson
68.495
Kansas
75.509
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Kansas
by 7
147
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Kansas
by 4
141 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Kansas
(-4); Over

West Virginia @ Villanova


Game 871-872
March 23, 2018 @ 7:25 pm

Dunkel Rating:
West Virginia
74.209
Villanova
77.186
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Villanova
by 3
147
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Villanova
by 5 1/2
153 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
West Virginia
(+5 1/2); Under

Texas Tech @ Purdue


Game 873-874
March 23, 2018 @ 9:55 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Texas Tech
70.452
Purdue
74.511
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Purdue
by 4
134
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Purdue
by 1 1/2
138 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Purdue
(-1 1/2); Under





NCAAB
Long Sheet

Friday, March 23


--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

W VIRGINIA (26 - 10) vs. VILLANOVA (32 - 4) - 3/23/2018, 7:35 PM
Top Trends for this game.
VILLANOVA is 24-12 ATS (+10.8 Units) in all games this season.
VILLANOVA is 24-12 ATS (+10.8 Units) in all lined games this season.
VILLANOVA is 24-12 ATS (+10.8 Units) as a favorite this season.
VILLANOVA is 9-2 ATS (+6.8 Units) in all neutral court games this season.
VILLANOVA is 12-3 ATS (+8.7 Units) after a non-conference game this season.
VILLANOVA is 9-2 ATS (+6.8 Units) when playing on a neutral court this season.
VILLANOVA is 12-3 ATS (+8.7 Units) in non-conference games this season.
VILLANOVA is 112-79 ATS (+25.1 Units) after allowing 60 points or less since 1997.
VILLANOVA is 22-9 ATS (+12.1 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record this season.
VILLANOVA is 13-6 ATS (+6.4 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record after 15 or more games this season.
VILLANOVA is 14-6 ATS (+7.4 Units) versus good offensive teams - scoring 77+ points/game this season.
W VIRGINIA is 22-8 ATS (+13.2 Units) in a NCAA tournament games since 1997.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

TEXAS TECH (26 - 9) vs. PURDUE (30 - 6) - 3/23/2018, 9:55 PM
Top Trends for this game.
TEXAS TECH is 135-181 ATS (-64.1 Units) as an underdog since 1997.
TEXAS TECH is 30-49 ATS (-23.9 Units) in all neutral court games since 1997.
TEXAS TECH is 1-12 ATS (-12.2 Units) in a neutral court game where the total is 135 to 139.5 since 1997.
TEXAS TECH is 1-8 ATS (-7.8 Units) in road games in March games over the last 3 seasons.
TEXAS TECH is 30-49 ATS (-23.9 Units) when playing on a neutral court since 1997.
TEXAS TECH is 108-140 ATS (-46.0 Units) in road games when playing against a team with a winning record since 1997.
PURDUE is 19-8 ATS (+10.2 Units) after a non-conference game over the last 2 seasons.
PURDUE is 19-8 ATS (+10.2 Units) in non-conference games over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

SYRACUSE (23 - 13) vs. DUKE (28 - 7) - 3/23/2018, 9:35 PM
Top Trends for this game.
SYRACUSE is 6-15 ATS (-10.5 Units) in road games against conference opponents over the last 2 seasons.
DUKE is 22-11 ATS (+9.9 Units) in all games this season.
DUKE is 22-11 ATS (+9.9 Units) in all lined games this season.
DUKE is 21-10 ATS (+10.0 Units) as a favorite this season.
DUKE is 9-2 ATS (+6.8 Units) in March games over the last 2 seasons.
DUKE is 216-159 ATS (+41.1 Units) after scoring 80 points or more since 1997.
SYRACUSE is 80-56 ATS (+18.4 Units) in all neutral court games since 1997.
SYRACUSE is 80-56 ATS (+18.4 Units) when playing on a neutral court since 1997.

Head-to-Head Series History
SYRACUSE is 2-1 against the spread versus DUKE over the last 3 seasons
SYRACUSE is 2-1 straight up against DUKE over the last 3 seasons
2 of 3 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

CLEMSON (25 - 9) vs. KANSAS (29 - 7) - 3/23/2018, 7:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
KANSAS is 28-15 ATS (+11.5 Units) in non-conference games over the last 3 seasons.
KANSAS is 25-10 ATS (+14.0 Units) in road games after scoring 80 points or more over the last 3 seasons.
KANSAS is 35-21 ATS (+11.9 Units) in road games when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 3 seasons.
CLEMSON is 19-11 ATS (+6.9 Units) in all games this season.
CLEMSON is 19-11 ATS (+6.9 Units) in all lined games this season.
CLEMSON is 9-2 ATS (+6.8 Units) after a non-conference game this season.
CLEMSON is 9-2 ATS (+6.8 Units) in non-conference games this season.
CLEMSON is 7-1 ATS (+5.9 Units) after scoring 80 points or more this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------




NCAAB
Armadillo's Write-Up

Friday, March 23


Under Bill Self, Kansas is 7-2 in Sweet 16 games; Jayhawks won 10 of last 11 games- they?re 12-2 outside Big X (#72 NC schedule).Kansas makes 40.3% of its 3?s (#9); 37% of their points come from behind the arc. Jayhawks beat Syracuse by 16 in only ACC game this season. Clemson is #61 experience team that won five of its last seven games; they were up 41 on Auburn at one point Sunday. Clemson?s last Sweet 16 was in 1997. Opponents shoot only 43.8% inside arc vs Tigers; their 3-point defense is average. Last three years, #1-seeds are 9-0-1 vs spread in this round.

Villanova shot 31-78 on arc (39.7%) in two wins last week, lower than its season %age (40.2%). Wildcats are 15-0 outside Big East (#61 NC schedule). West Virginia is 2-6 in last eight games where it shot less than 35% from arc; Villanova?s opponents shoot 32.6% on arc (#39). Mountaineers won seven of last nine games; they?re #196 experience team that is 13-2 outside Big X (#298 NC schedule). Mountaineers force turnovers 23.4% of time (#2), but Villanova is #11 in country at protecting ball. Last three years, #1-seeds are 9-0-1 vs spread in this round.

Syracuse is 14-4 in its last 18 NCAA tourney games; they won three games LW, holding teams to 22-86 (25.6%) on arc. Duke beat Syracuse 60-44 Feb 24, in brickfest where teams combined to shoot 8-43 on arc. Duke is 4-3 vs Orange since they became ACC rivals; Syracuse beat team two of last three years. Blue Devils won 9 of last 11 games; they start four freshmen (#350 experience team). Blue Devils shoot 38.3% on arc for season, but were 2-18 vs Orange last month. Duke is 3-5 in its last eight Sweet 16 games, and they were favored in all five of the losses. These teams play same 2-3 defense, so not lot of secrets here.

Purdue big man Haas (elbow) is out here; Boilers made 11-24 on arc to nip Butler by 3 in their first game without him. Purdue won seven of last eight games; they?re 13-2 outside Big 14 (#144 NC schedule)- they?re #52 experience team. Texas Tech forces turnovers 21.8% of time (#17); Red Raiders are 14-1 outside Big X, hammering Northwestern 85-49 in only Big 14 game. Purdue lost its last three Sweet 16 games, with last win in 2000. Last 10 years, favorites are 7-6 vs spread in games with #2-3 seeds meeting in Sweet 16. Last three years overall in Sweet 16, favorites were 18-6 vs spread.




NCAAB

Friday, March 23


------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Trend Report
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

CLEMSON @ KANSAS
Clemson is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games
Clemson is 5-2 SU in its last 7 games
Kansas is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
Kansas is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games

WEST VIRGINIA @ VILLANOVA
The total has gone OVER in 7 of West Virginia's last 8 games
West Virginia is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games
Villanova is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
Villanova is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games

SYRACUSE @ DUKE
Syracuse is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games
Syracuse is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games
Duke is 9-2 ATS in its last 11 games
Duke is 9-2 SU in its last 11 games

TEXAS TECH @ PURDUE
Texas Tech is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Texas Tech's last 8 games
Purdue is 7-1 SU in its last 8 games
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Purdue's last 5 games
 

Cnotes53

Registered
Forum Member
Nov 5, 2017
32,095
55
48
Friday's NCAA Tournament Sweet 16 betting preview: Midwest Region

Games to be played at CenturyLink Center Omaha in Omaha, Nebraska.

(5) Clemson Tigers vs (1) Kansas Jayhawks (-5, 142.5)

Clemson was picked to finish 13th out of 15 teams in the preseason ACC poll and lost their second-leading scorer Donte Grantham to a season-ending knee injury in January, but the 5th-seeded Tigers find themselves two wins from the Final Four. Clemson, making its first Sweet 16 appearance since 1997, takes on top-seeded Kansas on Friday night in the Midwest Region semifinal at Omaha, Neb.

?I think we?re excited that we went to the Sweet 16, and we don?t do that here at Clemson very often, but why not more?? Tigers coach Brad Brownell told The State. ?And that?s what we?re thinking about. ? I want to do what we can to get ready and try to beat one of the best teams in the country, one of the best programs in the country.? Clemson rolled to an 84-53 victory over Auburn in the second round while allowing 25.8 percent shooting from the field and will have to raise its game defensively against the Jayhawks, who boast five players averaging at least 12 points. Big 12 champion Kansas rallied from an early 10-point deficit to beat Pennsylvania in the first round and outlasted Seton Hall 83-79 in the second to reach the Sweet 16 for the ninth time in the last 12 years. ?They are so well-coached and sound,? Jayhawks coach Bill Self told reporters of Clemson. ?Playing in the ACC they?ve played against some unbelievable teams all year long. This will be a difficult game, a game that will require us to play a lot better than we did this past weekend.?

TV: 7:07 p.m. ET, CBS

LINE HISTORY: Kansas opened the betting week as 4-point favorites and heading into game day they have been bet up to -5. The total hit betting boards at 143 and has dropped slightly to 142.5.

BETTING STATS:

2hn6qom.jpg


ABOUT CLEMSON: Senior guard Gabe DeVoe became the first Tiger to score at least 20 in consecutive NCAA Tournament games since Elden Campbell in 1989 by recording 22 in both contests on 18-of-28 shooting. Junior guard Marcquise Reed leads the team in scoring (15.9) and is second in assists (3.4) while DeVoe (14.2 points) has drained a team-best 83 from 3-point range. Junior point guard Shelton Mitchell (12.3 points, team-high 3.7 assists) scored 23 in the first round against New Mexico State and junior forward Elijah Thomas (10.9 points, 8.1 rebounds) had a double-double versus Auburn.

ABOUT KANSAS: Sophomore center Udoka Azubuike, who missed the Big 12 Tournament with a knee injury, is expected to be back in the starting lineup Friday after recording 10 points and seven rebounds in 22 minutes against Seton Hall. Senior guard Devonte? Graham, the Big 12 Player of the Year, leads the team in scoring (17.4) and assists (7.5) but must rebound from a 1-for-7 shooting effort in the second round. Sophomore guard Malik Newman, who averaged 24 points in the Big 12 Tournament, scored 28 on 8-of-14 shooting (4-of-8 from 3-point range) against Seton Hall to raise his season mark to 13.4.

MATCHUP CHART:

jgmjhf.jpg


TRENDS:

* Tigers are 7-0 ATS in their last 7 non-conference games.
* Jayhawks are 8-1-1 ATS in their last 10 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600.
* Under is 5-1 in Tigers' last 6 non-conference games.
* Over is 6-2-1 in Jayhawks' last 9 overall.

CONSENSUS: Consensus data is showing 63 percent of bettors taking the favorites from Kansas, while 64 percent of totals wagers are on the Over.




(11) Syracuse Orange vs (2) Duke Blue Devils (-11.5, 133.5)

Jim Boeheim's 2-3 zone has flustered opponents during this NCAA Tournament just like it seems to whenever Syracuse makes the Big Dance, but it has been Mike Krzyzewski's use of the same defense that has made Duke equally stingy. The two winningest coaches in Division I college basketball history will attempt to outwit one another yet again Friday in Omaha, Neb., as the No. 2 seed Duke meets the 11th-seeded Orange in a Sweet 16 matchup.

Krzyzewski (1,099-337) made the move to the zone as his team's primary defense 11 games ago, and the Blue Devils, who surrendered 72.8 points per game over their first 24 games, have allowed an average of 61.7 points since. Duke's defensive renaissance may been best illustrated five games after the switch as the Blue Devils held Syracuse to 31.5 percent shooting and forced 17 turnovers in a 60-44 victory on Feb. 24. While Duke has won its first two NCAA Tournament games by an average of 23.5 points, the Orange has claimed their three victories - by a total of 11 points - by riding a defense that has kept each of its opponents at least 25 points below their season scoring average. Syracuse, where Boeheim has posted a 925?367 record (minus 101 vacated victories), pulled off the biggest upset of its run Sunday, forcing Michigan State to miss its final 13 shots en route to a 55-53 win.

TV: 9:37 p.m. ET, CBS

LINE HISTORY: Duke opened as big 11.5-point favorites and that number has been steady heading into game day. The total hit betting boards at 133.5 and has also yet to move.

BETTING STATS:

293fv4o.jpg


ABOUT SYRACUSE: Tyus Battle (1,403), Frank Howard (1,383) and Oshae Brissett (1,371) rank first, second and fourth, respectively in Division I in total minutes and are responsible for 73.2 percent of the team's offensive production this season. Battle (team-high 19.3 points) is the highest-scoring sophomore in Orange history with 693 points and has played all 40 minutes in 14 of the last 17 games, but he is shooting only 27.4 percent from the field over his last four outings. Brissett (14.9 points, 8.9 rebounds) needs 11 more points to move into fourth place on the school's freshman scoring list and has accounted for 31.6 percent of the team's points over the last four contests.

ABOUT DUKE: ACC Player of the Year Marvin Bagley III (21.2 points, 11.3 rebounds) has tallied 22 points in each of the first two rounds, and he is shooting 67.4 percent from the floor since he returned against the Orange following a four-game absence. Fellow freshman forward Wendell Carter Jr. (13.6, 9.2) produced the last of his 15 double-doubles this season with 16 points and 10 boards last month versus Syracuse and was the only other player beside Bagley (19) to score more than 10 points in the contest. Following a month-long stretch in which he failed to reach double figures six times in 10 outings, senior guard Grayson Allen (15.6 points) is averaging 18.5 points over his last 11 games.

MATCHUP CHART:

zv3hg.jpg


TRENDS:

* Orange are 7-1 ATS in their last 8 NCAA Tournament games.
* Blue Devils are 9-2 ATS in their last 11 games overall.
* Under is 6-0 in Orange's last 6 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600.
* Under is 7-1 in Blue Devils' last 8 vs. Atlantic Coast.

CONSENSUS: Consensus data is showing 67 percent of bettors taking the underdogs from Syracuse, while 51 percent of totals wagers are on the Over.
 

Cnotes53

Registered
Forum Member
Nov 5, 2017
32,095
55
48
Friday's NCAA Tournament Sweet 16 betting preview: East Region

Games to be played at TD Garden in Boston, Massachusetts.

(5) West Virginia Mountaineers vs (1) Villanova Wildcats (-5, 152.5)

Few NCAA Tournament teams, if any, looked better than Villanova during the opening weekend. The top-seeded Wildcats aim for a third straight blowout Friday when they take on East Region fifth seed West Virginia in a Sweet 16 matchup in Boston.

Villanova has opened its tournament by beating 16th-seeded Radford by 26 and ninth-seeded Alabama by 23 behind more fabulous work from Mikal Bridges. The junior swingman is averaging 18 points for the tournament (and the season) and has made 8-of-14 from 3-point range through the first two rounds of this event. West Virginia and its havoc defense will pose a legitimate threat for Villanova, which enters leading the nation in scoring (86.9) and may have its hands full against a Mountaineers squad that has won its first two Big Dance games by a combined 40 points. ?The pressure they bring with all the guys they play. It?s 40 minutes of pressure; they?re a very physical team, they?re quick, athletic and play so fast paced," Villanova guard Phil Booth told reporters. "They have one of the most rare styles of play in all of college basketball. The preparation for that is going to be big for us.?

TV: 7:27 p.m. ET, TBS

LINE HISTORY: Villanova opened as 4.5-point favorites and steady action on the Wildcats has pushed that number up to -5. The total hit betting boards at 153 and has been dropped slightly to 152.3.

BETTING STATS:

14096kj.jpg


ABOUT WEST VIRGINIA: The Mountaineers are a better offensive team than they typically are, although their defense isn't the top 20 unit that coach Bob Huggins has had many times throughout his career. Senior guard Jevon Carter is the team's on-court leader and has maintained that status through the first two rounds of the tournament, averaging 24.5 points, 6.5 assists, 5.5 steals and 4.5 rebounds on 54.3 percent shooting. "We're just happy to keep playing," Carter told reporters. "This is March. This is what we came to do. We don't just want to go to the Sweet 16 - we want to win it all, go back, prepare for Villanova, watch a lot of film, and get ready for the next game."

ABOUT VILLANOVA: The Wildcats only made eight two-pointers against Radford but thankfully went 17-of-41 from 3-point range in the second round with Bridges (five), Donte DiVincenzo (five) and Jalen Brunson (three) doing the heavy lifting from long distance. Brunson has recovered from a brutal February from 3-point range to shoot 50 percent from the arc over the last six contests. Booth averages 10.6 points but has only totaled 14 in the last three games, while DiVincenzo also endured a quiet stretch before scoring 18 points - his most in a month - against the Crimson Tide.

MATCHUP CHART:

bg5lsk.jpg


TRENDS:

* Mountaineers are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600.
* Wildcats are 8-1 ATS in their last 9 neutral site games.
* Over is 7-1 in Mountaineers' last 8 overall.
* Under is 8-2 in Wildcats' last 10 vs. Big 12.

CONSENSUS: Consensus data is showing 65 percent of bettors taking the favorites from Villanova, while 60 percent of totals wagers are on the Over.




(3) Texas Tech Red Raiders vs (2) Purdue Boilermakers (-1.5, 137.5)

Purdue and Texas Tech last met on a basketball court in 1988 at Municipal Coliseum in Lubbock. But the Boilermakers, seeded No. 2 in the East Regional, have a much more recent history with the coach of Friday night's Sweet Sixteen opponent at TD Garden Arena in Boston, Chris Beard of the third-seeded Red Raiders.

It was just two years ago when Beard's 12th-seeded Arkansas-Little Rock squad overcame a 13-point deficit in the final 3:33 or regulation to pull off a 85-85 double overtime upset of the fifth-seeded Boilermakers in first round of the Midwest Regional in Denver. "Every team is different, that was two years ago," Beard told the Lubbock Avalanche-Journal. "I don't think there's really any similarities. ... What I see from Purdue is just a really well-coached team. They're a team that's been in this position before. We're a team that's new to this as a unit." Senior forward Vincent Edwards had 24 points and 13 rebounds in 41 minutes in the loss for the Boilermakers while guard Dakota Mathias (12 points), center Isaac Haas (seven points) and guards P.J. Thompson (five points) and Ryan Cline also saw substantial action. "I don't know if there's much you take from that," Purdue coach Matt Painter said. "It's just that you're going to have to go in there and compete and play hard and rebound the basketball."

TV: 9:57 p.m. ET, TBS

LINE HISTORY: Purdue opened as 1.5-point favorites and as of Friday night that number has not moved. The total hit betting boards at 137.5 and also remains on the opening number.

BETTING STATS:

taqvkj.jpg


ABOUT TEXAS TECH: The Red Raiders lead the nation with seven top-25 wins and have done it with a defense that leads the Big 12 in points allowed (64.6) and field goal percentage defense (40.2). Senior guard Keenan Evans leads the team in scoring (17.8) and assists (3.2) and is the first Red Raider since former All-American Jarrius Jackson (2003-07) to earn first team all-Big 12 honors. Freshman guard Jarrett Culver is second in scoring (11.5) while another freshman guard, Zhaire Smith (11.3), also is averaging in double figures while shooting 44.4 percent from 3-point range and has been one of the stars of the tournament for Tech, flirting with a triple-double with 18 points, nine rebounds and seven assists in Saturday's 69-66 second round victory over No. 6 seed Florida.

ABOUT PURDUE: The Boilers got past Butler, 76-73, in the second round despite the loss of the 7-foot-2 Haas to a fractured right elbow suffered in the team's 74-48 first round win over Cal State Fullerton, but the finalist for the Kareem Abdul-Jabbar Award that goes to the nation's top center, who averages 14.7 points, 5.7 rebounds and 1.3 blocks per game, was showing off a special elbow brace designed by some of the school's mechanical engineering students that he hopes the NCAA will approve so he can try and play Friday. "I don't see him playing," Painter said at a Thursday press conference. "Until he can practice and show me a right-handed free throw and get a rebound with two hands. The last two days he hasn't practiced so I don't see it." Purdue ranks second in the nation in 3-point shooting percentage (42.1) with sophomore guard Carsen Edwards, who leads the team in scoring (18.2), Vincent Edwards (14.7), Mathias (12.3) and Thompson (7.4) all shooting 40 percent or better from 3-point range.

MATCHUP CHART:

5w8eh.jpg


TRENDS:

* Red Raiders are 1-7-1 ATS in their last 9 games overall.
* Boilermakers are 3-12-1 ATS in their last 16 games overall.
* Under is 12-4 in Red Raiders' last 16 neutral site games.
* Over is 6-1 in Boilermakers' last 7 NCAA Tournament games.

CONSENSUS: Consensus data is showing 59 percent of bettors taking the chalk with Purdue, while 56 percent of totals wagers are on the Over.
 

Cnotes53

Registered
Forum Member
Nov 5, 2017
32,095
55
48
Updated March Madness betting stats after last night's action

* Underdogs 3-1 SU/ATS last night *

Faves:
37-18 SU (67.3%)
25-29-1 ATS (46.3%)

O/U: 22-34 (Under 60.7%)
 

Cnotes53

Registered
Forum Member
Nov 5, 2017
32,095
55
48
FRIDAY, MARCH 23
GAME TIME(ET) PICK UNITS


CLEM at KU 07:07 PM
CLEM +5.0
U 143.5


WVU at VILL 07:27 PM
WVU +5.0
O 152.5


SYR at DUKE 09:37 PM
DUKE -11.0
U 132.0


TTU at PUR 09:57 PM
TTU +2.0
U 137.5
 

Cnotes53

Registered
Forum Member
Nov 5, 2017
32,095
55
48
Beard, Texas Tech oust Purdue 78-65 in NCAA East Region
March 23, 2018


BOSTON (AP) Chris Beard has done it to Purdue again.

The Texas Tech coach knocked the Boilermakers out of the NCAA Tournament for the second time in three years, this time leading the third-seeded Red Raiders to a 78-65 victory in the Sweet 16. Keenan Evans scored 12 of his 16 points in the second half, when Texas Tech scored 11 straight points to pull away.

The Red Raiders (27-9) will play No. 1 seed Villanova on Sunday in the East regional final for a spot in the Final Four. The Wildcats advanced earlier Friday night with a 90-78 victory over West Virginia.

Beard is in his second year in Lubbock after leaving Arkansas-Little Rock, where he led the Trojans to a double overtime upset over fifth-seeded Purdue in the first round of the 2016 NCAA Tournament.

This time, No. 2 seed Purdue (30-7) was hoping to join Villanova in the Elite Eight, getting 30 points from Carsen Edwards and 12 points and 13 rebounds from Vincent Edwards.

But Beard was in their way again.

Texas Tech trailed for most of the first before scoring the last 10 points of the half to turn a five-point deficit into a 30-25 lead. The Red Raiders led 58-55 with 5:44 left when Evans hit two free throws and then a three pointer to start an 11-0 run that put the game away.

Purdue star center Isaac Haas, the team's No. 2 scorer and rebounder, could only be a cheerleader - and a one-armed cheerleader, at that. After breaking his right elbow in the first-round game against Cal State-Fullerton, he tried to convince Painter he could play; the Purdue engineering department even pitched in, designing a special brace for his right arm.

But Haas remained on the bench, replaced by Matt Haarms, a redshirt freshman who at 7-foot-3 measures an inch taller but at 40 pounds lighter is hardly the force under the basket of that his senior teammate has been.

Haarms finished with four points and three rebounds.

*****************

Duke turns back Orange 69-65, sets up matchup with Kansas
March 23, 2018


OMAHA, Neb. (AP) Duke found a way to crack Syracuse's zone defense, and now the Blue Devils are a game away from the Final Four for the first time since the 2015 team won it all.

Gary Trent Jr., made two clutch free throws with 6.3 seconds left to help second-seeded Duke hold off the 11th-seeded Orange for a 69-65 chess match of a victory in the Midwest Region semifinals Friday night.

All that talk about busted brackets and the maddest March ever - not happening in the Midwest.

The win by Duke (29-7) set up a 1 vs. 2 showdown Sunday against Kansas, which also escaped with a four-point victory earlier against Clemson.

Syracuse (23-14), the last at-large team invited to the tournament, saw its unlikely run to the Sweet 16 end - unable to overcome 16 turnovers against a Mike Krzyzewski-designed zone that was every bit as pesky as Jim Boeheim's vaunted 2-3.

Early in the second half, Krzyzewski tore off his jacket and threw it to the floor, calling a timeout after Syracuse scored two quick baskets to trim its deficit to three.

''It set the tone for me,'' said Coach K, who has two freshmen, Marvin Bagley III and Wendell Carter Jr., who will likely be NBA lottery picks later this spring. ''You could see. I coach `em, so I could see, they were real young. They had young looks. Thank goodness they got out of it.''

Syracuse was looking for a near-repeat of two seasons ago when it made the Final Four as a 10 seed. This year, the Orange was an 11, but the Elite Eight already has one of those - Loyola-Chicago in the South.

Syracuse is no typical 11, and this was a zone-centric battle of wits between two of the most renowned coaches in the game.

No lead ever reached double digits, and not until Trent Jr. swished his free throws was the game sealed for Duke, which will try to take Krzyzewski to his 13th Final Four.

Bagley III scored 13 of his 22 points and had all eight of his rebounds in the second half. Seven of those boards were on the offensive end and led to second-chance baskets.

Tyus Battle led the Orange with 19 points.

BIG PICTURE

Syracuse's 2-3 zone flummoxed its first three opponents in the tournament, but Duke found holes, throwing lobs behind Syracuse's big men in the middle for layups and dunks. Meanwhile, Grayson Allen was quick to shoot the 3 in the second half. All but one of his 15 attempts from the floor were from 3. He went 3 for 14 from behind the arc and finished with 15 points.

WHAT HE SAID (AND DIDN'T SAY)


''Battle is one of the best players in the country...He's a big-time player. I love Tyus,'' Coach K said. ''I love their team. I love their coach even more. He does such a great job with them.'' But when asked about Kansas, Krzyzewski demurred, saying it was out of respect for Syracuse and his good buddy, Boeheim. Krzyzewski said he'll talk KU Saturday.
 

Cnotes53

Registered
Forum Member
Nov 5, 2017
32,095
55
48
Villanova 3s shoot down West Virginia pressure 90-78
March 23, 2018


BOSTON (AP) Villanova's 3-point party rolled past the intense pressure of West Virginia to bring the Wildcats to the doorstep of another Final Four two seasons after winning a national championship.

The top-seeded Wildcats continued their outside feast in the NCAA Tournament, downing the fifth-seeded Mountaineers 90-78 on Friday night to earn their second trip to the regional finals in three seasons.

Jalen Brunson led Villanova with 27 points and Omari Spellman had 18 with eight rebounds as Villanova overcame the West Virginia press by hitting 13 of 24 shots from 3-point range.

Daxter Miles had 16 points to lead West Virginia. Jevon Carter and Sagaba Konate added 12 each.

Villanova (33-4) has now made 44 3-pointers for the tournament. The outside barrage helped the Wildcats overcome 16 turnovers and played into their Sweet 16 plan for their opponents nicknamed ''Press Virginia'': Attack the stifling defense head-on.

''What a game, man. I hope that looked as good as it did from the bench, man,'' Villanova coach Jay Wright said. ''That was the most physically demanding, mentally draining 40 minutes we've played in a long time. They are so relentless.''

The Wildcats struggled at times, especially in the first half, but dug out of a six-point hole in the second half with an 11-0 run.

The Mountaineers (26-11) stayed close throughout, ramping up the pressure and making Villanova play faster than it wanted to early. But foul trouble throughout the second half was too much for West Virginia to overcome after it gave up the lead.

Carter was called for his third with 17:33 left in the game. That was followed by Miles being whistled for his third and fourth fouls over a two minute stretch that sent him to the bench with 15 minutes remaining.

Coach Bob Huggins said the fouls ''absolutely'' stifled the Mountaineers' ability to keep pressure on Villanova.

''When the whistle keeps blowing it really takes away your aggression,'' he said.

West Virginia adjusted for a while, taking advantage of a more than three-minute Villanova scoring drought to take a 60-54 edge with just over 11 minutes left.

But Villanova heated up again. Its 11-point run was capped by a thunderous block and dunk on the other end by Omari Spellman that pushed the Wildcats back in front 65-60.

The Wildcats kept the momentum going, stretching the lead to 76-66 on a 3-pointer by Brunson.

''The deeper you go, the better the teams are going to be,'' Brunson said. ''For us, most importantly, nothing changes no matter who we play, where we play, what time we play. We play every game like it's our last.''

West Virginia never got closer than 4 points the rest of the way.

''I felt like we gave it everything we had,'' Carter said. ''We just didn't make shots tonight and Villanova did.''

Villanova led 44-42 at the half after a fast-paced opening 20 minutes. Brunson led all scorers with 16 points in the half, with West Virginia getting 11 points from Daxter Miles.

The Wildcats came out firing, connecting on their first seven field goals. They handled the Mountaineers' pressure well early. But the Wildcats had three turnovers over a 65-second stretch during an 8-0 Mountaineers run that put them in front 33-30.

Wright said he never lost faith in his team.

''I just looked at Jalen, Mikal (Bridges) and Phil (Booth) and I could see in their eyes we were good,'' he said.

BIG PICTURE

West Virginia: It's a tough loss for the Mountaineers, but it doesn't diminish the incredible effort by a senior class that reached the Sweet 16 three times in four years.

Villanova: The Wildcats are primed for another title run with their talent led by player of the year contender Brunson, the experience of the 2016 title and the lessons learned from early tournament departures in several years, including a second-round loss to Wisconsin last year.

MILESTONE WATCH


The Wildcats' 13 3-pointers give them 432 for the season, putting them 11 away from a Division I record. VMI hit 442 3-pointers in 2006-07.

NO REGRETS


Despite the outcome, Carter said he is proud of his classmates' four-year run. Friday's game marked the 10th career NCAA Tournament game for Carter and Miles - tying them for the most in school history.

Carter said the tournament will always mean a lot to both of them.

''It's everything. Everybody is in tune with March Madness. I feel like it's bigger than the NBA playoffs,'' he said. ''Anything can happen in March. ... Unfortunately we lost in the Sweet 16.''

UP NEXT


Villanova awaits the winner of Texas Tech and Purdue in Sunday's regional final.


********************

Kansas brings sanity back to March in 80-76 win over Clemson
March 23, 2018


OMAHA, Neb. (AP) For the third year in a row, Kansas made it through the Sweet 16 - although not before Clemson tried its hardest to add another wild chapter to an already unbelievable tournament.

The top-seeded Jayhawks brought at least a temporary halt to the insanity of this March, withstanding a ferocious rally by fifth-seeded Clemson on Friday for a too-close-for-comfort, 80-76 victory.

Malik Newman led the Jayhawks (30-7) with 17 points in a one-time runaway that got much closer and, quite frankly, won't mean much to KU fans if their team can't finish the job in the Midwest Region final Sunday.

As a top seed the last two seasons, Kansas made it through the regional semifinals, only to flop a game shy of the Final Four both times. In fact, this marks the sixth time Bill Self's team has been seeded first since KU won it all in 2008; the Jayhawks haven't made the Final Four one of those times.

''I think about it all the time. I just told the guys in the locker room...this year, we've got to get over the hump,'' said senior Devonte' Graham, who had 16 points.

Still, it could've ended on Friday - in horrifying fashion - after Clemson stormed back from a 20-point deficit that stunned a crowd filled mostly with fans from Lawrence and surrounding areas, which are only a few hours from Omaha.

''We just kind of played not to lose down the stretch,'' Self said.

Clemson trailed 62-42, but climbed to within six with 2:27 left. Graham's offensive rebound after a Svi Mykhailiuk miss at the 1:57 mark allowed the Jayhawks to run almost a minute off the clock.

Kansas didn't score after Graham's rebound, and the Tigers got the next board for a chance to cut it to a one-possession game. But Shelton Mitchell and Gabe DeVoe each missed from beyond the arc. From there, Kansas overcame a dogged Clemson press just long enough to ensure that the Tigers couldn't pull any closer until the tail end.

DeVoe had a career-high 31 for Clemson (25-10), which couldn't replicate the magic it showed in beating Auburn by 31 to reach its first Sweet 16 in 21 years.

''We didn't have our best game. Sometimes that's not easy to keep fighting like that,'' Clemson coach Brad Brownell said.

PIVOTAL MOMENT

Clemson had scored five straight points to cut KU's lead to 35-27 late in the first half when Elijah Thomas, after a review, was called for a flagrant foul. Silvio De Sousa knocked down the free throws, Lagerald Vick buried a 3 and Kansas cruised into halftime ahead 40-27. Vick, Newman and Graham then opened the second half with 3s to extend the lead to 20.

BIG PICTURE

One of the most encouraging signs for Kansas was that it jumped ahead by 13 at halftime despite a 1-for-7 start by Graham, the Big 12 player of the year. Big man Udoka Azubuike looked strong in his first start of the tournament with 14 points and 11 rebounds in a tournament-high 25 minutes.

FOR REAL?

What a wild 12 months it's been for Brownell, the Clemson coach. He entered the season on the hot seat after six straight seasons without even making the NCAA Tournament. But the Tigers reached the regional semifinals for the first time since 1997 even after losing Donte Grantham, arguably their best player. The big question next is whether 2017-18 will prove a one shot wonder or the start of something big in the Upstate. Clemson has spent money on facilities to become a basketball school - but will it ever get out of the shadow cast by Dabo Swinney's football team?

TIGERS CLAW BACK

For the final 12 minutes, Clemson played like the team that throttled Auburn to earn a crack at the Jayhawks. The Tigers didn't turn it over once down the stretch, and they finished 14 of 19 at the free throw line - which was a strong point all year. But while Kansas hardly looked like a No. 1 seed down the stretch, it did improve to 25-1 this season when leading at the break.

DOKE LOOKED DOPE

Azubuike finished with his sixth double-double of the season. His presence forced Clemson to give more space to KU's shooters, who went 10 of 22 on 3s.

HE SAID IT

''This is the team everyone would have thought ... would not be in this game. We've got a legitimate shot to go to San Antonio. I think we'll play with no `what ifs.' I think we'll be loose,'' Self said.

VEGAS KNOWS


Kansas came in as a 4 1/2-point favorite - a number that didn't look to be in play ... until it was.
 

Cnotes53

Registered
Forum Member
Nov 5, 2017
32,095
55
48
Saturday?s 6-pack

Since 1987, eight lowest-seeded teams to make the Final Four:

2006? #11-seed George Mason

2011? #11-seed VCU

2016? #10-seed Syracuse

2013? #9-seed Wichita State

2000? #8-seed Wisconsin

2000? #8-seed North Carolina

2011? #8-seed Butler

2014? #8-seed Kentucky

Quote of the Day
?I knew there was a lot of time. We just thought it was necessary at that time because they were getting on a good run. And I just wanted to make sure we kept our confidence and stayed committed to our game plan. I just looked at Jalen [Brunson], Mikal and Phil [Booth], and I could see in their eyes we were good.?
Jay Wright, on calling a timeout with 11:08 left Friday

Saturday?s quiz
Who was the first player from the AFL inducted into the Pro Football Hall of Fame?

Friday?s quiz
Kevin Bacon played the losing lawyer in the climactic scene of A Few Good Men.

Thursday?s quiz
Topeka is the capital of Kansas.

**************************

Saturday?s List of 13: Wrapping up the Sweet 16

13) Here is our Elite 8: Both #1-seeds won Friday, are now 10-1-1 vs spread in this round the last four years. Rest of the Elite 8? Two #9-seeds, an 11-seed, two 3-seeds and 2-seed Duke.

12) Duke 69, Syracuse 65? Duke won first meeting 60-44; teams combined to go 8-43 in that game. This game snuck over total; teams combined to go 9-39 on arc, but Duke was 20-28 on foul line as they held on at the end.

Turns out that Jim Boeheim?s last game as a Syracuse player was a 91-81 loss to Duke in the NCAA tournament back when the game were televised in black-and-white. Boeheim played at Syracuse with the great Dave Bing, who was a really good player with the Detroit Pistons.

11) Villanova 90, West Virginia 78? Mountaineers went 7-28 on the arc; they lost seven of last nine games this season when shooting less than 35% on the arc. Villanova plays better defense than you?d think. And they have multiple guys who make 3-pointers- they were 13-24 here.

10) Kansas 80, Clemson 76? If you had the Jayhawks (-5), this was brutal. Clemson rallied back from a 62-42 deficit with 11:00 left and cut lead to 4 with 0:04.5 left, called timeout, but never fouled after Kansas inbounded the ball. Very bad beat for Kansas backers.

Bill Self is 8-2 in Sweet 16 games at Kansas; he is 2-5 in regional finals.

9) Texas Tech 78, Purdue 65? Teams that make the Final Four sometimes make it because they get lucky; Purdue big man Haas couldn?t play because he broke his elbow last week, which made the Boilermakers a far less formidable opponent.

Purdue made 11-24 on arc when they beat Butler without Haas; they were 7-18 in this game, and took only six foul shots the whole game.

8) How #11-seeds (or lower) have done in regional finals:
2017? Xavier (+8.5) L83-59 vs Gonzaga
2014? Dayton (+10.5) L52-62 vs Florida
2011? VCU (+11.5) W71-61 over Kansas
2006? George Mason (+8) W86-84 over UConn
2002? #12-seed Missouri (+6.5) L75-81 vs Oklahoma
2001? Temple (+6.5) L62-69 vs Michigan State
1990? LMU (+5) L131-101 vs UNLV

4-3 vs spread, all as underdogs, with two SU wins.

7) Random trend; over last 20 years, in the West Region final, underdogs are 16-4 against the spread. Michigan is -4.5 over Florida State in Staples Center tonight.

6) Generally, if an 8 or 9-seed gets this far, they had to beat the #1-seed to get here, but not this year because UMBC pulled their upset. Here is how #8 or #9-seeds have done in the Elite 8:
2014: Kentucky (-2.5) W75-72 vs Michigan
2013: Wichita State (+6) W70-66 vs Ohio State
2011: Butler (+3.5) W74-71 Florida OT
2004: Alabama (+8.5) L87-71 vs UConn
2000: North Carolina (+2.5) W59-55 vs Tulsa
2000: Wisconsin (+1) W64-60 vs Purdue
1998: Rhode Island (+4.5) L79-77 vs Stanford
1994: Boston College (+1.5) L74-66 vs Florida

6-2 vs spread, 5-3 SU

5) Dayton Flyers went 14-17 this season, its first losing season in 12 years; they had only one senior, but since the season ended, five other players have left the program, two to explore pro possibilities, three others to transfer to other schools.

Next season?s Flyers will be very young, and will take time to get to know each other.

4) Took the NHL?s Pittsburgh Penguins 25 years to get 100 points in a season; Las Vegas Golden Knights have done it in their first year in the NHL, a tremendous accomplishment.

3) As you know if you read this space at all, I watch a ton of sports on TV, but one thing I?ve lost my appetite for is pre and post-game shows and halftime shows. Mostly they just exist to amuse the people who are on the show, and usually, there are too many people on them anyway.

Highlight shows late at night? Still enjoy them.

2) Traded Marcell Ozuna for Madison Bumgarner in my fantasy baseball league this winter; Bumgarner broke his left pinkie Friday when he was hit by a line drive. Bleepin? awesome.

Of course, guy who hit the ball that broke his finger is on my team, too. No bueno.

1) On a happier note, Sunday night is the last Sunday night in 2018 without football or baseball, so thats a good thing.
 
Last edited:

Cnotes53

Registered
Forum Member
Nov 5, 2017
32,095
55
48
Saturday's Elite 8 Action
March 23, 2018

Betting Saturday?s Elite Eight Matchups

Thursday was absolutely amazing, and now we know what the Elite Eight in the South and West bracket are going to look like. Can FSU and Loyola-Chicago keep their incredible runs going?

Spoiler alert: I think so!

#11 Loyola-Chicago Ramblers +1.0 over #9 KSU Wildcats (6:09pm ET)

The Cinderella story continues, and we all know how this usually goes. A team like Florida Golf Coast or Loyola-Chicago sweeps us off our feet, so we climb in the pumpkin and think that it?s going to take us all the way to the throne. At best, Cinderella teams usually reach the Elite Eight and then the clock strikes midnight. It?s a tired and true recipe for the bracket. So you should probably bet on Kansas State.

But where?s the fun in that. The path to the Elite Eight for both teams has been cool, but Kansas State sort of waltzed in by squashing Creighton and UMBC before barely surviving Kentucky. To be clear, Loyola-Chicago is not Kentucky.

However, their path to the this point is quite remarkable. They?ve been slipping through by the skin of their teeth and eventually this streak has to break. I?m just not wholly convinced that Kansas State is the team to do it. The Wildcats are undisciplined, and are constantly getting in to foul trouble.

The fact that the oddsmakers have pegged this game as a pick ?em says a lot. Where Kansas State really excels is in the perimeter game, but Loyola-Chicago is one of the best defensive teams in the country. That is not a typo.

Bettors who scour the world to find great values know the Ramblers well ? they?re 22-9 ATS overall, and I know that matters less when there?s basically no spread on the game but the point is that they?re a much better team than their lack of name recognition and metrics represent.

Kansas State doesn?t have a point of difference that can expose the talent gap that the Ramblers have, and I hate the way they responded to their first big challenge in Kentucky. I?ll happily stay aboard this bandwagon knowing full well it?s a pumpkin. It?s a weird year. Why not have an #11 seed in the Final Four?

#9 FSU Seminoles +4.5 over #3 Michigan Wolverines (8:49pm ET)


An immense volume of the BetOnline.ag community has already thundered in to the corner of the Wolverines, who shook off a rough opening weekend and buried a scrappy Texas A&M comeback time and again. On paper, a 99-72 point blowout looks great. But that belies the truth about what happened here.

Michigan exploded from beyond the arc in the first stanza, and never really stopped. They set an unbelievable rate of 58.7 percent from range, when their average overall this season has been 37.0 percent. Do you really think that?s sustainable? Even with that, the Wolverines didn?t really have a shut down effort on defence and the Aggies? rallied to the very end, refusing to let them off the hook (which I love by the way).

We all know that Michigan can shoot the lights out, but FSU has morphed in to something amazing in this tournament. The Seminoles just stuffed Gonzaga in to a set of matched luggage on Thursday night, limiting them to just 60 points when they had averaged 83.5 all season long. Range, length, athleticism and depth from every corner of their bench gives FSU a dangerous mix. They have the perimeter defense and height to disrupt the Wolverines from distance, which isn?t something a shorter A&M team had in the bag.

This line does seem a bit disrespectful to FSU. I know that the bracket stats and trends will probably say this or that about 9th seeds and 3rd seeds advancing to the Final Four, but from a vacuum standpoint, FSU is just playing a more reliable brand of basketball. They?ve just run through Missouri, Xavier and Gonzaga which boast three of the best programs in the nation. What?s it going to take to get some respect?

Dusting the Wolverines should do it. Yes, I?m advocating a moneyline take on this team but if you?re feeling sheepish, that?s a generous amount of points to lie your head on.
 
Bet on MyBookie
Top