NCAAB
Armadillo's Write-Up
Saturday, December 16
Seton Hall won its last four games with Rutgers, by 6-11-27-29 points; they won last two visits here, 77-71/84-55. Pirates are 9-1 vs schedule #109; they?re experience team #76 that won by a hoop at Louisville, in their only true road game. Rutgers is 9-3 vs schedule #345; best team they beat this year is #231 Fordham. Knights are 0-3 vs top 100 teams, losing by 5 to Florida State, 22 at Minnesota, 10 at home to Michigan State. #229 experience team that is Big East favorites are 14-8 vs spread away from home; Big 14 underdogs are 5-13.
Louisville-Memphis used to be bitter conference rivals, but last time they met was 2014. Cards are 7-2 vs schedule #290; they?re 6-0 vs teams ranked outside top 100, with all six wins by 9+ points. Louisville lost by 9 at Purdue, in their only game away from home. Memphis is 7-2 vs schedule #289; they won last four games, are 2-1 vs top 100 teams, beating Northern Kentucky, Mercer, losing by 12 to Alabama. ACC favorites are 15-9 vs spread on neutral floors; AAC underdogs are 7-7 on neutral floors.
Georgetown is 8-0 vs the worst schedule in recent memory; 2-8 Richmond is only team they?ve played ranked in top 300. Hoyas beat Syracuse the last two years, both by 7 points; their defense eFG% is #18 in country, holding teams to 27.7% on arc. Syracuse is 8-1 vs schedule #195; this is their first true road game. Orange split pair of neutral floor tiltes, losing by 16 to Kansas, beating UConn by 9. Syracuse is is #333 experience team that is playing pace #335- they split couple of top 100 games. ACC road favorites are 6-1 vs spread; Big East underdogs are 6-9.
Virginia Tech is 9-1 vs schedule #340; they won by 3 in OT at Ole Miss in their only true road game so far. Hokies are shooting 46.8% on arc, have best eFG% in country this year. Tech is 2-0 vs top 100 teams, beating Iowa by 24 at home. Kentucky is 8-1 vs schedule #204; they?re least inexperienced team in country. Wildcats? only top 100 win was by 4 over #70 Vermont- they?re turning ball over 21.4% of time, playing pace #165. SEC home favorites are 15-23 vs spread; ACC underdogs are 6-10 away from home.
UCLA beat Cincinnati 79-67 in 2nd round of NCAAs in Sacramento last March; Bearcats led that game by 1 at half. Cincy is 8-2 this year vs schedule #276; they?re 1-2 vs top 100 teams, losing to Xavier by 13, Florida by 6- they beat Miss State in last game. UCLA lost its last game at Michigan in OT, blowing 15-point 2nd half lead; Bruins are 7-2 vs schedule #226- they?re 1-2 vs top 100 teams, losing by 11 to Creighton, beating Wisconsin by hoop in their other two top 100 games. AAC road favorites are 3-3; Pac-12 home underdogs are 1-3.
Wichita State beat Oklahoma 76-73 in OKC LY despite being outscored 27-17 on foul line. Shockers are 8-1 vs schedule #69- they?re #8 experience team in country that is playing pace #177. Wichita?s only loss was by point to Notre Dame in Maui final, when they led by 16 at one point. Sooners won last five games, beating USC at Staples (made 15-31 on arc) in last game; Oklahoma is 7-1 vs schedule #159; they?re shooting 59.4% inside arc. AAC home favorites are 10-12 vs spread; Big X underdogs are 2-5 away from home.
Oregon is 8-3 vs schedule #304; Ducks are #290 experience team that has played schedule #73. Ducks are 0-3 vs top 100 teams, losing to UConn, Oklahoma, Boise State- their best win was in OT over #119 DePaul. This is Oregon?s first true road game. Fresno State is 9-2 vs schedule #320; they won their last seven games, but lost by 8 at Arkansas in their only true road game this season. Bulldogs are shooting 40.6% behind arc. Mountain West home favorites are 22-9 vs spread; Pac-12 road underdogs are 2-5.
Middle Tennessee is 7-1 vs schedule #63, with four true road wins; Blue Raiders are 2-0 vs top 100 teams, with pair of wins over SEC teams (Vandy/Ole Miss). MTSU is #13 experience team; they?re shooting only 28.2% outside arc. Auburn is 8-1 vs schedule #262; Tigers lost by 14 to Temple in Charleston in their only top 100 game this season. Auburn is #316 experience team that is #4 offensive rebounding team in country- they?re playing pace #42. SEC home favorites are 15-23 vs spread; C-USA road underdogs are 15-9.
Utah won its last three games with BYU, by 8-4-17 points; teams didn?t meet LY. Utes are 7-2 vs schedule #191; they?re #45 experience team that is 0-2 on road this year, losing at Butler by 12, at UNLV by 27 in T-Mobile Arena. BYU won its last five games; they?re 8-2 vs schedule #169, losing by 14 to Tex-Arlington, 12 to Alabama on a neutral floor. Cougars are #298 experience team that is 3-1 at home, losing to UTA. BYU?s best win this season is over #136 Illinois State. WCC home favorites are 9-14 vs spread; Pac-12 road underdogs are 2-5.
Butler won its last three games with Purdue by 2-6-6 points. Bulldogs are 8-2 vs schedule #148; their losses are by 14 to Maryland, 13 to Texas- they?re 2-2 vs top 100 teams, beating Ohio St, Utah. Butler is #214 experience team that is shooting 31.3% on arc. Purdue won its last six games, with four those top 50 wins; Boilers are 10-2 vs schedule #77; they?re #52 experience team that is 5-1 vs top 100 teams. Purdue is 3-2 away from home. Big 14 favorites are 16-10 vs spread away from home; Big East underdogs are 5-7.
Indiana won two of last three games with Notre Dame; Hoosiers lost three of last four games this year- they?re 1-4 vs top 100 teams, with all four losses by 9+ points- their only top 100 win was over Iowa by 13. Notre Dame split its four game since winning Maui Classic; Irish are #61 experience team hat is 2-1 vs top 100 teams, beating LSU/Wichita, losing by 18 to Michigan State. ND is playing slow pace (#324); they?re shooting 42.4% on arc. ACC favorites are 15-9 vs spread on neutral floors; Big 14 underdogs are 2-6.
Florida lost three of its last four games since beating Gonzaga in double OT in PK80 tourney; Gators are 6-3 vs schedule #40, 2-3 vs top 100 teams, with losses to Duke, Florida St, Loyola. Florida?s possessions are 20th-shortest in country; they don?t pass a lot in half-court sets. ACC favorites are 15-9 vs spread on neutral floors; SEC underdogs are 7-8. Clemson is experience team #68 that is 8-1 vs #80 schedule; Tigers shooting 59.7% inside arc- they?re 1-1 vs top 100 teams, losing to Temple by 7 on a neutral floor, beating Ohio State by 14.
Northern Iowa won four of its last five games with Iowa State; Panthers are 8-2 vs schedule #36, with eFG% defense #22. UNI is 4-2 vs top 100 teams- their only losses are vs North Carolina, Villanova- they?re 2-2 away from home. Iowa State won its last seven games after an 0-2 start; Cyclones are 2-1 vs top 100 teams, losing to Missouri by 15, beating Iowa/Boise State. State is #206 experience team that to this point has played schedule #239. Big X favorites are 11-10 vs spread on neutral floors; MVC underdogs are 7-3.
Armadillo's Write-Up
Saturday, December 16
Seton Hall won its last four games with Rutgers, by 6-11-27-29 points; they won last two visits here, 77-71/84-55. Pirates are 9-1 vs schedule #109; they?re experience team #76 that won by a hoop at Louisville, in their only true road game. Rutgers is 9-3 vs schedule #345; best team they beat this year is #231 Fordham. Knights are 0-3 vs top 100 teams, losing by 5 to Florida State, 22 at Minnesota, 10 at home to Michigan State. #229 experience team that is Big East favorites are 14-8 vs spread away from home; Big 14 underdogs are 5-13.
Louisville-Memphis used to be bitter conference rivals, but last time they met was 2014. Cards are 7-2 vs schedule #290; they?re 6-0 vs teams ranked outside top 100, with all six wins by 9+ points. Louisville lost by 9 at Purdue, in their only game away from home. Memphis is 7-2 vs schedule #289; they won last four games, are 2-1 vs top 100 teams, beating Northern Kentucky, Mercer, losing by 12 to Alabama. ACC favorites are 15-9 vs spread on neutral floors; AAC underdogs are 7-7 on neutral floors.
Georgetown is 8-0 vs the worst schedule in recent memory; 2-8 Richmond is only team they?ve played ranked in top 300. Hoyas beat Syracuse the last two years, both by 7 points; their defense eFG% is #18 in country, holding teams to 27.7% on arc. Syracuse is 8-1 vs schedule #195; this is their first true road game. Orange split pair of neutral floor tiltes, losing by 16 to Kansas, beating UConn by 9. Syracuse is is #333 experience team that is playing pace #335- they split couple of top 100 games. ACC road favorites are 6-1 vs spread; Big East underdogs are 6-9.
Virginia Tech is 9-1 vs schedule #340; they won by 3 in OT at Ole Miss in their only true road game so far. Hokies are shooting 46.8% on arc, have best eFG% in country this year. Tech is 2-0 vs top 100 teams, beating Iowa by 24 at home. Kentucky is 8-1 vs schedule #204; they?re least inexperienced team in country. Wildcats? only top 100 win was by 4 over #70 Vermont- they?re turning ball over 21.4% of time, playing pace #165. SEC home favorites are 15-23 vs spread; ACC underdogs are 6-10 away from home.
UCLA beat Cincinnati 79-67 in 2nd round of NCAAs in Sacramento last March; Bearcats led that game by 1 at half. Cincy is 8-2 this year vs schedule #276; they?re 1-2 vs top 100 teams, losing to Xavier by 13, Florida by 6- they beat Miss State in last game. UCLA lost its last game at Michigan in OT, blowing 15-point 2nd half lead; Bruins are 7-2 vs schedule #226- they?re 1-2 vs top 100 teams, losing by 11 to Creighton, beating Wisconsin by hoop in their other two top 100 games. AAC road favorites are 3-3; Pac-12 home underdogs are 1-3.
Wichita State beat Oklahoma 76-73 in OKC LY despite being outscored 27-17 on foul line. Shockers are 8-1 vs schedule #69- they?re #8 experience team in country that is playing pace #177. Wichita?s only loss was by point to Notre Dame in Maui final, when they led by 16 at one point. Sooners won last five games, beating USC at Staples (made 15-31 on arc) in last game; Oklahoma is 7-1 vs schedule #159; they?re shooting 59.4% inside arc. AAC home favorites are 10-12 vs spread; Big X underdogs are 2-5 away from home.
Oregon is 8-3 vs schedule #304; Ducks are #290 experience team that has played schedule #73. Ducks are 0-3 vs top 100 teams, losing to UConn, Oklahoma, Boise State- their best win was in OT over #119 DePaul. This is Oregon?s first true road game. Fresno State is 9-2 vs schedule #320; they won their last seven games, but lost by 8 at Arkansas in their only true road game this season. Bulldogs are shooting 40.6% behind arc. Mountain West home favorites are 22-9 vs spread; Pac-12 road underdogs are 2-5.
Middle Tennessee is 7-1 vs schedule #63, with four true road wins; Blue Raiders are 2-0 vs top 100 teams, with pair of wins over SEC teams (Vandy/Ole Miss). MTSU is #13 experience team; they?re shooting only 28.2% outside arc. Auburn is 8-1 vs schedule #262; Tigers lost by 14 to Temple in Charleston in their only top 100 game this season. Auburn is #316 experience team that is #4 offensive rebounding team in country- they?re playing pace #42. SEC home favorites are 15-23 vs spread; C-USA road underdogs are 15-9.
Utah won its last three games with BYU, by 8-4-17 points; teams didn?t meet LY. Utes are 7-2 vs schedule #191; they?re #45 experience team that is 0-2 on road this year, losing at Butler by 12, at UNLV by 27 in T-Mobile Arena. BYU won its last five games; they?re 8-2 vs schedule #169, losing by 14 to Tex-Arlington, 12 to Alabama on a neutral floor. Cougars are #298 experience team that is 3-1 at home, losing to UTA. BYU?s best win this season is over #136 Illinois State. WCC home favorites are 9-14 vs spread; Pac-12 road underdogs are 2-5.
Butler won its last three games with Purdue by 2-6-6 points. Bulldogs are 8-2 vs schedule #148; their losses are by 14 to Maryland, 13 to Texas- they?re 2-2 vs top 100 teams, beating Ohio St, Utah. Butler is #214 experience team that is shooting 31.3% on arc. Purdue won its last six games, with four those top 50 wins; Boilers are 10-2 vs schedule #77; they?re #52 experience team that is 5-1 vs top 100 teams. Purdue is 3-2 away from home. Big 14 favorites are 16-10 vs spread away from home; Big East underdogs are 5-7.
Indiana won two of last three games with Notre Dame; Hoosiers lost three of last four games this year- they?re 1-4 vs top 100 teams, with all four losses by 9+ points- their only top 100 win was over Iowa by 13. Notre Dame split its four game since winning Maui Classic; Irish are #61 experience team hat is 2-1 vs top 100 teams, beating LSU/Wichita, losing by 18 to Michigan State. ND is playing slow pace (#324); they?re shooting 42.4% on arc. ACC favorites are 15-9 vs spread on neutral floors; Big 14 underdogs are 2-6.
Florida lost three of its last four games since beating Gonzaga in double OT in PK80 tourney; Gators are 6-3 vs schedule #40, 2-3 vs top 100 teams, with losses to Duke, Florida St, Loyola. Florida?s possessions are 20th-shortest in country; they don?t pass a lot in half-court sets. ACC favorites are 15-9 vs spread on neutral floors; SEC underdogs are 7-8. Clemson is experience team #68 that is 8-1 vs #80 schedule; Tigers shooting 59.7% inside arc- they?re 1-1 vs top 100 teams, losing to Temple by 7 on a neutral floor, beating Ohio State by 14.
Northern Iowa won four of its last five games with Iowa State; Panthers are 8-2 vs schedule #36, with eFG% defense #22. UNI is 4-2 vs top 100 teams- their only losses are vs North Carolina, Villanova- they?re 2-2 away from home. Iowa State won its last seven games after an 0-2 start; Cyclones are 2-1 vs top 100 teams, losing to Missouri by 15, beating Iowa/Boise State. State is #206 experience team that to this point has played schedule #239. Big X favorites are 11-10 vs spread on neutral floors; MVC underdogs are 7-3.
