College 130pm Maryland plus Afternoon and Evening Plays 9/27

[Mr Rattler]

My apologies for not posting the Noon starts. Had a little family crisis. (Cat died)

Indiana Team Total UNDER 37.5 Win

This has to be a letdown spot for Indiana coming off the big road win against Missouri. Their recipe for success is to run, run, run. They had 50 attempts vs Missouri last week and 69 rushing attempts week 1 vs Indiana St, both wins. In their lone loss to Bowling Green, they had more pass attempts (41) than rush attempts (37). Maryland's defense is inviting to run against. Last week Syracuse ran 51 times for 370 yards.

Maryland's threat is with the big play (combination of 8 special teams/defensive/ 40+ yard plays for touchdowns). If I am the coach for Indiana, I am going to pound the ball today and keep it out of the Terps hands. Also, I am not kicking the ball anywhere near Diggs, Likely or Long. It is difficult to handicap what the Terps will do offensively. They have lived and died with the big play all year. Last week they were out gained 589 to 369 yards... but won the game. Without the big play, the Terps get their asses handed to them today, but they seem to just keep hitting them. I see the Hoosiers getting right around 28-31 points today. Maryland, this year, has given up more than 37 points once against WVa who passed for over 500 yards. As for Maryland's output, it all depends on the home run.



**** Back by 3pm with the afternoon card****

 

[Mr Rattler]

Afternoon Games:

Texas -10 Win

Texas might be in for a long year. Kansas will DEFINITELY be having a long year. This may be one of the few highlights of 2014 season for the Longhorns. They have had 2 weeks to stew over back to back defeats and now face the Jayhawks who are just over matched here. Texas will shut down any passing game and be able to focus on the run.

The Longhorns come out and bully the Jayhawks today. Texas by 20+

 

[Mr Rattler]

Texas A&M Team Total OVER 40.5 Loss


Two explosive offenses. The Aggies are just a machine on offense. Razorbacks will bend, then break. A&M has hit 50+ points in 3 out of 4 games. The game against Rice where the Aggies only scored 38, they called off the dogs and brought in the 2nd string in the 4th.

Arkansas should get some scoring also, forcing the Aggies to keep it going offensively.

Like playing it this way better than the game over because I'm not 100% convinced in the Razorbacks offense quite yet. My hunch is that A&M is on another level.

 

[Mr Rattler]

***Back by 6:30p for tonight's card***

 

[Four Corners]

My apologies for not posting the Noon starts. Had a little family crisis. (Cat died)

Indiana Team Total UNDER 37.5

This has to be a letdown spot for Indiana coming off the big road win against Missouri. Their recipe for success is to run, run, run. They had 50 attempts vs Missouri last week and 69 rushing attempts week 1 vs Indiana St, both wins. In their lone loss to Bowling Green, they had more pass attempts (41) than rush attempts (37). Maryland's defense is inviting to run against. Last week Syracuse ran 51 times for 370 yards.

Maryland's threat is with the big play (combination of 8 special teams/defensive/ 40+ yard plays for touchdowns). If I am the coach for Indiana, I am going to pound the ball today and keep it out of the Terps hands. Also, I am not kicking the ball anywhere near Diggs, Likely or Long. It is difficult to handicap what the Terps will do offensively. They have lived and died with the big play all year. Last week they were out gained 589 to 369 yards... but won the game. Without the big play, the Terps get their asses handed to them today, but they seem to just keep hitting them. I see the Hoosiers getting right around 28-31 points today. Maryland, this year, has given up more than 37 points once against WVa who passed for over 500 yards. As for Maryland's output, it all depends on the home run.



**** Back by 3pm with the afternoon card****

Wish I had seen this...I got pulled into the Hoosier love today.:sadwave: Good luck this w/e!!

 

[Mr Rattler]

Duke +6 -120 (buy 1/2 pt)

Duke has been impressive against 4 weak teams. However, they have been consistent, they don't turn the ball over and their defense has been solid.

Miami has had two solid test, Nebraska last week; they lost 41-31 and against Louisville in week 1, also losing 31-13. In those 2 games, Miami has not run the ball well, averaging under 3 yards per carry and 73 yards a game. Miami has been a disaster with turnovers this year. They have turned the ball over 11 times in 4 games. If this is a close game, that may very well be the deciding factor.

The Canes have owned this series winning 8 of the last 9 games. However, there is something about this untested, relatively unknown Duke team that I like.

 

[LUNCH PAIL]

Duke +6 -120 (buy 1/2 pt)

Duke has been impressive against 4 weak teams. However, they have been consistent, they don't turn the ball over and their defense has been solid.

Miami has had two solid test, Nebraska last week; they lost 41-31 and against Louisville in week 1, also losing 31-13. In those 2 games, Miami has not run the ball well, averaging under 3 yards per carry and 73 yards a game. Miami has been a disaster with turnovers this year. They have turned the ball over 11 times in 4 games. If this is a close game, that may very well be the deciding factor.

The Canes have owned this series winning 8 of the last 9 games. However, there is something about this untested, relatively unknown Duke team that I like.

:0074....GOOD LUCK MR RATTLER :toast:

 

[Mr Rattler]

New Mexico +43

Auburn and Florida await the Tigers the next 2 weeks. I see the dogs being called of early here with a nice 30-35 point win for LSU.

LSU is 2-4 ATS last 6 when a 30 point favorite or higher. (They were 1-4 ATS to start the year)

New Mexico St can actually score some points, especially in the 2nd half when the game is in hand and the 2nd and 3rd string are in and maybe a few cheerleaders.

This is nothing more than a scrimmage for LSU