College Ball Regionals
- Thread starter Mr. Poon
- Start date
Hey Poon. Which book(s) do you use? 5 dimes seem to have a $100 max on college......and they move the lines massively. Some games are not even available.
The greek, 5dimes, sportsbetting.com and betus are the ones I use. Others will have lines for the world series in 2 weeks. And most of those have small limits unless you have been with them for awhile and call and ask about increasing it.
Also have Arizona to win the regional. Haven't seen a line yet, but it looks like A&M is throwing Brandon Parrent (2-4 3.65) vs. Vince Littleman (2-3 8.10). Both spot starters/relievers, however Parrent has a 2-1 innings advantage and is pitching at home under the lights.
Will you be hedging this one or do you think the Wildcats still have a good chance of winning? Thanks and good luck!
:toast:
Will you be hedging this one or do you think the Wildcats still have a good chance of winning? Thanks and good luck!
:toast:
A&M is at -150 right now, still looking into this, but will likely just let it be and root for Zona.
missed the Under play in the late one last night. Starting off the day with:
Kent +380 (@ Texas) for 1/2 unit - unreal line for this game, not that Texas shouldn't be favored but this amount is huge. Kent is going to pitch Junior righty Ryan Mace. Mace who was a midweek/spot starter and reliever had the following stats on the year: 2.45 ERA; 1.23 WHIP; .258 OBA and 48 K's in 58.2 IP (9 starts, 4 relief appearances). He will be opposed on the mound by Junior Lefty Sam Stafford, who is Texas #3/usual Sunday starter. Stafford on the year: 1.66 ERA; 1.22 WHIP; .186 OBA and 80 K's in 70.2 IP. Now the stats would say the edge goes to Stafford, except he is falling prey to a trend of many Longhorn pitchers over the year, overuse/abuse by Auggie Garrido. Stafford is making this start on 2 days rest after throwing 108 pitches on Friday night. For a guy that has issues with his accuracy (40 BB's on the year), I think Kent can take advantage in the early going. Now Texas does have a great pen, so it should be close, but with the Longhorn offense being sporadic, may be tough for them to mount a comeback despite being at home.
looking into the other games now.
Gl guys
Kent +380 (@ Texas) for 1/2 unit - unreal line for this game, not that Texas shouldn't be favored but this amount is huge. Kent is going to pitch Junior righty Ryan Mace. Mace who was a midweek/spot starter and reliever had the following stats on the year: 2.45 ERA; 1.23 WHIP; .258 OBA and 48 K's in 58.2 IP (9 starts, 4 relief appearances). He will be opposed on the mound by Junior Lefty Sam Stafford, who is Texas #3/usual Sunday starter. Stafford on the year: 1.66 ERA; 1.22 WHIP; .186 OBA and 80 K's in 70.2 IP. Now the stats would say the edge goes to Stafford, except he is falling prey to a trend of many Longhorn pitchers over the year, overuse/abuse by Auggie Garrido. Stafford is making this start on 2 days rest after throwing 108 pitches on Friday night. For a guy that has issues with his accuracy (40 BB's on the year), I think Kent can take advantage in the early going. Now Texas does have a great pen, so it should be close, but with the Longhorn offense being sporadic, may be tough for them to mount a comeback despite being at home.
looking into the other games now.
Gl guys
adding:
A&M/Zona Under 9.5 (+110) for 1 unit - should be a good game as I'm going to stick to my original opinion that the winner of this one will make it to Omaha past Florida St. Though both offenses are decent, both pitching staff's are deep and I expect at least one to pretty much shut down the opposition.
Baylor +160 (vs. Cal) for 1/2 unit - Cal's pitching staff is better on paper than Baylor's, but it is not as deep. And now that this is their 5th game in 4 days, opposed to Baylor's 4th, it will show up. Baylor is going to start Senior Jon Rigenberg (2.25 ERA; 1.25 WHIP; .227 OBA and 16 K's in 28 IP). By the innings you can tell he wasn't used often but as in most of these games today, don't expect the starters to go that deep. Cal hasn't named a starter, and whomever goes for them should only go for a few innings. However, their top end guys I don't foresee coming to the mound given their use the last couple of days.
That is likely it, can't find starting pitcher info on the other two games, if I do I may have a play on them.
Gl guys
A&M/Zona Under 9.5 (+110) for 1 unit - should be a good game as I'm going to stick to my original opinion that the winner of this one will make it to Omaha past Florida St. Though both offenses are decent, both pitching staff's are deep and I expect at least one to pretty much shut down the opposition.
Baylor +160 (vs. Cal) for 1/2 unit - Cal's pitching staff is better on paper than Baylor's, but it is not as deep. And now that this is their 5th game in 4 days, opposed to Baylor's 4th, it will show up. Baylor is going to start Senior Jon Rigenberg (2.25 ERA; 1.25 WHIP; .227 OBA and 16 K's in 28 IP). By the innings you can tell he wasn't used often but as in most of these games today, don't expect the starters to go that deep. Cal hasn't named a starter, and whomever goes for them should only go for a few innings. However, their top end guys I don't foresee coming to the mound given their use the last couple of days.
That is likely it, can't find starting pitcher info on the other two games, if I do I may have a play on them.
Gl guys
0-2 yesterday as Kent doesn?t bring anything offensively (5-0) and Baylor blows a 7-1 lead, including 4 in the bottom of the 9th to lose 9-8. A&M/Zona was postponed due to weather.
Updated Record: 59-46 for +20.30 units
For Tuesday:
A&M/Zona Under 9.5 (+100) for 2 units ? with the extra days rest, and my hunch that they will be going with regular starters, like the Under even more.
Zona +1.5 (-110) for 2 units ? debated heavily on this play, given the small future I have on them already. End of the day, I think they can win but this price on a run-line is really attractive. The extra day really gives Zona a big advantage. They already have a decidedly edge offensively and the teams are pretty even defensively in the field. On the mound, the Zona pen is more talented, but depth is a question with them having to play one more game than the Aggies. However, the extra days rest helps them out in that department. Also I?m presuming both clubs will go with the pitchers they threw on Friday, likely not for the length of a regular start, but at least for a few innings. For Zona that would be Kurt Heyer and for the Aggies Michael Wacha. Wacha on the year was 2.24 ERA; 1.13 WHIP; .246 OBA and 106 K?s in 108.2 IP. As shown by those numbers he is a strikeout pitcher, however that is negated by the fact that one of the best disciplined teams at the plate averaging less than 5 strikeouts per game on the offensive side. I backed Heyer on Friday and though he was definitely not on his game (7 H?s, 3 ER, 1 BB, 1 K in 6.2 IP), he simply had no run support in a 4-0 loss. I expect him to bounce back in a big way. Heyer also has some practice going on short rest as Zona used him three times for mid-week games for a few innings. Two of the three outings were against high-quality clubs in Rice and ASU. He pitched 2.2 scoreless innings against Rice on 3 days rest, but gave up 4 ER on 9 H?s in 6 IP vs. ASU. Learning from that latter outing, I believe you will not see Zona?s coach push him and just look to get 3, maybe 4 innings and then turn it over to the pen, led by Bandilla and Chaffee. Those are the Wildcat?s two main guys out of the pen, and they would have been limited on Monday as both put in 40-some pitches on Sunday. The thing that Heyer, Bandilla and Chaffee all bring is the ability to get the outs via the K. Heyer has 128 in 130.2 IP, Bandilla has 48 in 46.2 IP and Chaffee has 59 in 42.2 IP. A&M is a pretty free swinging club getting sat down almost 7 times a game. Ok, that is enough verbage about this one.
gl guys
Updated Record: 59-46 for +20.30 units
For Tuesday:
A&M/Zona Under 9.5 (+100) for 2 units ? with the extra days rest, and my hunch that they will be going with regular starters, like the Under even more.
Zona +1.5 (-110) for 2 units ? debated heavily on this play, given the small future I have on them already. End of the day, I think they can win but this price on a run-line is really attractive. The extra day really gives Zona a big advantage. They already have a decidedly edge offensively and the teams are pretty even defensively in the field. On the mound, the Zona pen is more talented, but depth is a question with them having to play one more game than the Aggies. However, the extra days rest helps them out in that department. Also I?m presuming both clubs will go with the pitchers they threw on Friday, likely not for the length of a regular start, but at least for a few innings. For Zona that would be Kurt Heyer and for the Aggies Michael Wacha. Wacha on the year was 2.24 ERA; 1.13 WHIP; .246 OBA and 106 K?s in 108.2 IP. As shown by those numbers he is a strikeout pitcher, however that is negated by the fact that one of the best disciplined teams at the plate averaging less than 5 strikeouts per game on the offensive side. I backed Heyer on Friday and though he was definitely not on his game (7 H?s, 3 ER, 1 BB, 1 K in 6.2 IP), he simply had no run support in a 4-0 loss. I expect him to bounce back in a big way. Heyer also has some practice going on short rest as Zona used him three times for mid-week games for a few innings. Two of the three outings were against high-quality clubs in Rice and ASU. He pitched 2.2 scoreless innings against Rice on 3 days rest, but gave up 4 ER on 9 H?s in 6 IP vs. ASU. Learning from that latter outing, I believe you will not see Zona?s coach push him and just look to get 3, maybe 4 innings and then turn it over to the pen, led by Bandilla and Chaffee. Those are the Wildcat?s two main guys out of the pen, and they would have been limited on Monday as both put in 40-some pitches on Sunday. The thing that Heyer, Bandilla and Chaffee all bring is the ability to get the outs via the K. Heyer has 128 in 130.2 IP, Bandilla has 48 in 46.2 IP and Chaffee has 59 in 42.2 IP. A&M is a pretty free swinging club getting sat down almost 7 times a game. Ok, that is enough verbage about this one.
gl guys
