Just like every year, made a list (9) of plays, BUT just on paper cause it's the first week. And AGAIN, just like previous yrs. I woulda had a lot more papers (green ones) around here if I did playem for real. Next yr. I'm jumping right in FER SHO.
No I ain't a genius, but here's the idea that I'm pretty sure has worked year after year and it worked yesterday AGAIN - just consider the top rated teams in your capping for the first week, forget about all the crapola. That should give you only about 9-10 plays to handicap. Cap those games and list what you like, then PUT A LINE THROUGH any underdog (gets pts.) on the list and play what's left. Don't be concerned about all the points you're laying.
Yesterday, MOST of my paper picks followed this and some (I got lucky) like Pitt and Wisc. were just capped. Since it did so good yesterday maybe the two that are left for today from the list are good as welll, so here they are:
Kentucky/Lousville UNDER 30 1st half: REALLY like this play. QB Brohm had ACL surgery and "appears" be ok, but does that mean he gonna startup right from where he left off last yr. I think NOT, especially with 3 or 4 holes in the offensive line. They've also had a couple of staff changes which is a negative right at the start of the season. Yes, Kentucky has a terrible defense rating from last yr. but with the additional yrs'. experience and the fact that virtually all of the defense is back this yr. I think 30 pts. in a half is way too high. Kentucky ain't no scroring machine so no problem there.
TCU -255 straight up: Pretty much of - noting a SOLID edge when comparing man to man (the better players from each team, only) stats for the returning players. This team impresses nearly every yr. of past few seasons and Baylor appears to be a bunch of plodders and have an inexperienced defensive crew. Buying a half point (-6 1/2) should work just as easily.
Good luck today with all the action going on.
No I ain't a genius, but here's the idea that I'm pretty sure has worked year after year and it worked yesterday AGAIN - just consider the top rated teams in your capping for the first week, forget about all the crapola. That should give you only about 9-10 plays to handicap. Cap those games and list what you like, then PUT A LINE THROUGH any underdog (gets pts.) on the list and play what's left. Don't be concerned about all the points you're laying.
Yesterday, MOST of my paper picks followed this and some (I got lucky) like Pitt and Wisc. were just capped. Since it did so good yesterday maybe the two that are left for today from the list are good as welll, so here they are:
Kentucky/Lousville UNDER 30 1st half: REALLY like this play. QB Brohm had ACL surgery and "appears" be ok, but does that mean he gonna startup right from where he left off last yr. I think NOT, especially with 3 or 4 holes in the offensive line. They've also had a couple of staff changes which is a negative right at the start of the season. Yes, Kentucky has a terrible defense rating from last yr. but with the additional yrs'. experience and the fact that virtually all of the defense is back this yr. I think 30 pts. in a half is way too high. Kentucky ain't no scroring machine so no problem there.
TCU -255 straight up: Pretty much of - noting a SOLID edge when comparing man to man (the better players from each team, only) stats for the returning players. This team impresses nearly every yr. of past few seasons and Baylor appears to be a bunch of plodders and have an inexperienced defensive crew. Buying a half point (-6 1/2) should work just as easily.
Good luck today with all the action going on.
