College Ball Week 14

[Mr. Poon]

YTD Record: 43-34 for +19.9 units

Well here it goes for the last week of the regular season and trying to build on a pretty ho-hum wagering season for me. Couple of small ones for tonight:

Ohio +15 for 1 unit - think Solich and the Bobcats can make this more of a grind it out game and keep it within two scores. Ohio has done well not turning the ball over the last couple of games, and if they continue with that tonight, they have a good shot of pulling off the upset.

Ohio/C. Mich Under 54 for 2 units

Also playing these two for tomorrow, will provide write-ups in a bit:

Texas -14 for 5 units

Nebraska/Texas Under 46.5 for 3 units

 

[Cie]

GL tonight. Wish I'd held off on the neb total. I am down at un44.

 

[Mr. Poon]

GL tonight. Wish I'd held off on the neb total. I am down at un44.

I'm really suprised it got bet up, but I feel confident in it.

 

[Mr. Poon]

Texas play and the Under- this is coming from a Nebraska fan by the way. Best word I can use to describe the offense is anemic. Best offensive output for them in conference play was against Kansas (ranked 74th nationally in total D) for 31 pts. and 410 yards. Rest of the games they didn't do much and was epitomized by the last contest vs. Colorado, putting up 217 yards and 14 offensive points against the 60th ranked D.

The one somewhat consistent part of the Nebraska offense is the running game, and unfortunately that is Texas' D specialty. Expect quite a few 3 and outs for Nebraska's offense. That is going to hurt their one strength, continually putting their D on the field with little rest. People rave about the Nebraska D, but it is predominantly due to the front 4. They are really good/borderline great. The LB's are good, the DB's average at best. As the game goes on and the pass rush gets less pressure/effective, you are going to see McCoy pick apart that secondary. Texas isn't going to put up their season avg. of 43, but they are going to be around 30.

 

[Mr. Poon]

good start to the weekend going 2-0 and picking up 3 units.

 

[Full court press]

Nice job, between this and your hoops plays you have been doing very well.

 

[Destructor D]

Wow! Leaning Huskers myself @ +14.5 or better. I have to think Texas might be a little tight. I guess we should know early as Texas jumps on them, this could get ugly quick. What kind of a score are you predicting? I was thinking Texas could win 31-10 in a perfect game, but could also see a 24-17 type of game if Nebraska can get a cheap score and their defense plays to their potential.

I also have to believe Nebraska will be sky high knowing a BCS bowl berth is awaiting with an upset.

I also have to believe Nebraska was looking ahead against Colorado. They had already clinched the North and built an early lead. They also would have covered if not for a miracle by CU.

 

[Mr. Poon]

Wow! Leaning Huskers myself @ +14.5 or better. I have to think Texas might be a little tight. I guess we should know early as Texas jumps on them, this could get ugly quick. What kind of a score are you predicting? I was thinking Texas could win 31-10 in a perfect game, but could also see a 24-17 type of game if Nebraska can get a cheap score and their defense plays to their potential.

I also have to believe Nebraska will be sky high knowing a BCS bowl berth is awaiting with an upset.

I also have to believe Nebraska was looking ahead against Colorado. They had already clinched the North and built an early lead. They also would have covered if not for a miracle by CU.

I believe the score will be around 30-10. Just don't see Nebraska scoring much unless their D gives them a short field. Also I don't believe they were looking ahead against Colorado. It's just the offensive play calls was very similar to what they have done the last few games. Their QB Lee still has some shaken confidence and doesn't look to stretch the field much downfield (play calling by the OC contributing to this too). They look for the TE on short out routes way too much. Texas is going to be looking for that and I just don't give the Nebraska OC enough credit to make proper adjustments.

Nebraska may be sky high, but almost every team that faces Texas is sky high to start as they want to knock off a top 5 team.

Would love to be wrong and see a close contest with Nebraska in it. I'll still be rooting for them, as the saying goes, root with your heart bet with your head. If they pull off the upset or even just cover and keep it close I can afford the loss. I rarely go against Nebraska, so we will see. GL whatever you play man.

 

[Mr. Poon]

adding:

Bama +5.5 for 2 units

USC -7 for 3 units

GaTech/Clemson Under 57 for 3 units

GL guys

 

[thadchr]

Mind if I inquire about your reasoning for the Bama pick? I really like Florida today, but I don't wanna be on the other side of you. kurby

 

[Mr. Poon]

Mind if I inquire about your reasoning for the Bama pick? I really like Florida today, but I don't wanna be on the other side of you. kurby

Sorry that I didn't have write-ups on those other ones. Having family in town and getting ready to head out. In short, I just like Bama's D to keep it close throughout. Florida is definitely capable of winning by a TD or more, but I just foresee it being a close game with one of the squads winning by a FG. Not a strong play though, but I think Bama's running game and D can keep it more of a grind it out than Florida is use to.

GL regardless man.

 

[Mr. Poon]

4-3 on the weekend, but dropped 4.1 units losing the bigger play of Texas and going 1-2 on the 3 unit plays. Went slightly negative the last two weekends of the season, but still finished positive enough considering the whole year. Now bring on the bowls. :mj06:

Final Regular Season Record: 47-37 (56%) for +15.8 units