College Ball Week 7

[Mr. Poon]

YTD Record: 18-15 for +4.0 units

Starting off the weekend with one small play tonight:

USF +2 for 2 units ? USF at home on a week night, yeah I?ll take the points. Though Cincy has performed well I?m still a bit pessimistic about them this year. They have beat average squads in Oregon State and Rutgers on the road and Fresno at home. Fresno is the best offense they have faced and the bulldogs fared quite well against Cincy, just couldn?t convert when they needed. A nice combo of BJ Daniels and Mike Ford will help the Bulls move the ball tonight and put up enough points to be in this. Ball control has definitely been stressed by Leavitt in the week and a half to prep for this game (Cincy had the same amount of time off) as turnovers have been the main reason for USF?s current 3 game losing streak to the Bearcats. Pike has been good for Cincy, but those DE?s for USF are going to give him some issues tonight.

And one I know I?m playing for Saturday:

Texas Tech +11 for 2 units ? I think Nebraska will win but its going to be close. Everyone is raving about Nebraska?s D after the Mizzou game, but there are definitely still some holes in it. Specifically at LB and in the secondary. Issue is that QB?s like Tyrrod Taylor and Blaine Gabbert weren?t reacting quick enough to expose that, and they of course met the fate of Ndamukong Suh. Sheffield has shown that he is of the same mold as the other Tech gunslingers and quick hitters are going to show the soft underbelly of the Nebraska D and Tech will be putting up some points and staying in this game.

GL guys.

 

[Mr. Poon]

Other Saturday games:

Texas -3 for 3 units - I like that Texas slipping in the polls hasn't phased them. They are a focussed team and the only spot where Oklahoma has the clear advantage is at the RB position. Alright and the d-line. We all know Oklahoma has a good D, but they have had a good the last few years and Texas has still put up points on them. At the beginning of the year I would have thought Texas was about a FG favorite. Oklahoma's injuries and inability to play well in their big games so far tilt it more in Texas favor imo. It's a big rivalry, so unlikely Texas just runs them out of Dallas, but they will win and cover.

Clemson -6.5 for 3 units - This game reminds of when Clemson took on BC a month ago. Coming off a loss and an of week Clemson is at home vs. a conference opponent that they are betting than, on paper at least, or in my mind at least. Anyway, Clemson's D and special team are their strength's as the offense is still struggling under frosh QB Willie Parker. Wake's weak D will help Parker and Spiller put some points on the board. Wake's offense has been good but on the road against the best D they have faced to date, I'm expecting Skinner to have some issues.

Ohio -14 for 2 units - I have been on the Bobcats the last couple of weeks and I see no reason to go away from them now. After two road conference wins, this week's tilt against Miami is a true homecoming. Everyone know's how bad Miami is. Former coach Shane Montgomery really left the program in poor shape. They may go winless this year and 0-for their first 10 is definite in my mind. Ohio is a little banged up but they can win this going away to be able to stay unbeaten in conference play.

USC/ND Over 48.5 for 2 units - USC has an outstanding D but it is definitely missing in South Ben . Chance of some bad weather in the area on Friday but Saturday will be a clear but cold day for this anticipated shoot out. I expect USC to get out to an early lead and knowing that ND has a potent aerial attack, they are not going to let off the gas.

Idaho -8 for 3 units - watched the Hawaii/Fresno game last weekend and took away 2 important items. Hawaii's rush D is putrid and Bryant Moniz (making his first start that game) isn't going to have the Warrior offense as explosive as normal. Idaho is a surprise team and getting some pub for their start. Their offense is well balanced and as noted should run all over Hawaii. Idaho's weak link on D is their pass defense, but they can overcome that in my mind and get a victory that will make them bowl eligible and ecstatic in the dome.

Illinois -3 for 6 units - Nothing says slumpbuster like a game against the Hoosiers. There is no way to sugarcoat a 1-4 start for the Illini, but their opening schedule wasn't filled with many clear cut wins. Illinois' D is bad but so is Indiana. Actually the only category that Indiana beats Illinois is they were expected to have a record this bad halfway through the year. Moral's victory don't get you very far. Illinois very big in a game not many will notice.

Chalky taste in my mouth but that's what I'm going with. GL guys.

 

[hawkeye]

Lets hope we nail that USC over--GL

 

[Mr. Poon]

adding one:

USC -10 for 2 units - I think the scoring gets going early and often for the Trojans.

GL guys

 

[PJ12]

Like it, GL poon

 

[Mr. Poon]

5-3-1 for +1.0 unit on the weekend. I'll take it considering I lost the big play on the Illini. Geez, is Ron Zook fired yet?

Updated YTD Record: 23-18 for +5.0 units