The Division I-AA lines are really volatile. 5Dimes (and Pinny sometimes) throws out what they think is a good number and then quickly adjusts it based on the money coming in. A big bet early can really move the number. If you get the lines when they are first posted you can find some real good plays.
College Football Picks (8/31-9/4) YTD: 0-0, +0.0 units
- Thread starter BGFalcon
- Start date
Final plays (I think)
Final plays (I think)
Michigan -7 (1st Qtr.) over Vandy: I think the Wolverines come out smoking in the Big House and will throw deep early. I also got it at +105 so I couldn't resist.
Notre Dame -0.5 and USC -2.5: I don't usually tease college games but this looked too good. USC should put a pretty good beating on Arkansas once they get their offense settled in. Razorbacks return plenty of starters but I'm not sure they wanted them back. Irish won't have an easy time at GT but I really don't see them losing this one. Quinn is a player and will make enough of them to get the win.
ECU +13 over Navy and under 51.5: Strictly a numbers play. I don't know if Navy has the offense to cover 13 in what should be a fairly low scoring game.
Final plays (I think)
Michigan -7 (1st Qtr.) over Vandy: I think the Wolverines come out smoking in the Big House and will throw deep early. I also got it at +105 so I couldn't resist.
Notre Dame -0.5 and USC -2.5: I don't usually tease college games but this looked too good. USC should put a pretty good beating on Arkansas once they get their offense settled in. Razorbacks return plenty of starters but I'm not sure they wanted them back. Irish won't have an easy time at GT but I really don't see them losing this one. Quinn is a player and will make enough of them to get the win.
ECU +13 over Navy and under 51.5: Strictly a numbers play. I don't know if Navy has the offense to cover 13 in what should be a fairly low scoring game.
Thursday-Saturday results: 8-5, +1.3 units (Division I-AA games are at -115)
Why don't I listen to myself?
Sunday pick:
Sunday pick:
Louisville/Kentucky under 60: Seems like too high of a number for this rivalry game. In the last five years this game has only gone over this number once. Wildcats didn't score last year and probably won't score much this year. Rich Brooks is determined to run the ball and will keep trying to develop the running game even when playing from behind. I also don't see Louisville beating up on Kentucky's defense for 50. Combine all these random thoughts with the report that the new timing rules resulted in 15-20 less plays per game, I like under 60.
Sunday pick:
Louisville/Kentucky under 60: Seems like too high of a number for this rivalry game. In the last five years this game has only gone over this number once. Wildcats didn't score last year and probably won't score much this year. Rich Brooks is determined to run the ball and will keep trying to develop the running game even when playing from behind. I also don't see Louisville beating up on Kentucky's defense for 50. Combine all these random thoughts with the report that the new timing rules resulted in 15-20 less plays per game, I like under 60.
