I haven't posted much on this site this season, but I decided to post my thread for tomorrow's games here this week. Just to do something different.
Last week: 9-7 (+22*) Made out good with stars, hitting 2 of 3 10*s and 3 of 4 7*s. If you're the type who likes fewer plays, then simply zero in on the highest rated games and ignore the rest. Most people like to see opinions on many games, especially the ones they are considering, so that's what I do. I do, however, play all the games I pick.
YTD: 94-80 (+55*)
Got off to a good start this week with West Virginia as a 7* pick. Intend to keep it going throughout the weekend.
Saturday:
10* Florida State -4.5 over North Carolina State.
I play most of my games early in the week, many on Sunday night, so the spread I played might be a little different than what's available now. However, a couple of points one way or another does not decrease the value of my picks, as I wouldn't pick them that close. FSU is a more talented team than the Wolfpack, and they will put it all together in this game. Still smarting from last year's loss to the Pack, FSU will dish out one more serving of revenge, as they have to all their other losses last year, even though the Miami game came up a wide left short. I would prefer this game be in Tallahassee, but I feel the Noles cover this small spread rather easily no matter where it's played.
10* Boise St -15 over Nevada.
Spread has gone up since I played it, but this will be an old-fashioned blowout. You should feel comfortable taking anything under 3 touchdowns.
10* South Florida -10 over Houston.
See Boise St over Nevada and play accordingly.
7* Ole Miss +12 over LSU.
I jumped on this number Sunday night and I'm glad I did. Ole Miss has beaten LSU in Baton Rouge 4 consecutive times. The Rebs have had a week to rest, heal, and install some new sets on offense and defense, while LSU was having a slugfest with Alabama. Would prefer that the Tigers have won last week, but even so this game will be close, with another Ole Miss upset not entirely out of the question.
7* Arkansas -11.5 over Mississippi State
This year's State team has no resemblance to those of just a couple of years ago. They're starting 5 true freshmen! Once a great defensive team against the run, they're now getting run over by everyone. They're so banged up on their D-line that a starting DT is a true freshmen who 3 weeks ago was the 4th string fullback! Anyway, there's no way I can back this team. I've gone against them all year and the only time I've lost was against Bama, which as far as I know is the only spread they covered. Arkansas can run with the best of them, and State can't stop it. Hogs win by 17.
7* Washington +9 over Washington State.
The Huskies make a lousy favorite and a dangerous underdog. How many years has WSU spoiled a UW season with a huge upset in the last game? Seems not too long ago it was the tradition. Now the tables are turned. Huskies will give a supreme effort to spoil their rival's season. Close, close game, with either team capable of winning.
7* Alabama -9.5 over Auburn.
You might want to buy this down a half-point. Alabama is playing as good as anyone in the country. They almost beat Oklahoma early in the season and are playing even better now than then. Auburn would love to win this game, but they don't have the hosses, and some of the hosses they do have are hurting. Tide will crush them and Tuberville will start sending out resumes to prospective employers.
5* Oklahoma St -27.5 over Baylor.
Baylor has been everyone's punching bag this year. They're just hoping the season ends as quickly as possible and that they get a better coach for next year. Cowboys will enjoy running wild in this game.
5* Kansas St -13.5 over Missouri.
Texas A&M beat Oklahoma then gets upset by Missouri. Missouri upsets Texas A&M then gets crushed by Kansas St. Kansas St just enjoys crushing people, no matter who beat who. It's the way of the world.
5* Penn State -20.5 over Michigan St.
Mich St flexed their muscles for a few games after their QB got strung out, their TB arrested, and their coach fired. They come back to earth in Happy Valley where the Nittony Lions enjoy running it up and showing folks they're almost a powerhouse once again. Buy the half point if you have to.
5* Hawaii -4 over Cinncinati.
Only thing that keeps this from being rated higher is that the Bearcats are actually the better team. Still, it's very difficult for a team to fly to Hawaii, take in the sights, and focus on a football game. Hawaii is more high-flying than most teams Cincy plays, and the Bearcats will be punch-drunk after this game.
5* TCU -8 over East Carolina.
Don't see how ECU can slow down the boys from Texas. Two programs going in opposite directions. TCU back on level when Franchione was there. ECU has fallen far. This game shouldn't even be close.
Best of luck to everyone, and enjoy your weekend!
Last week: 9-7 (+22*) Made out good with stars, hitting 2 of 3 10*s and 3 of 4 7*s. If you're the type who likes fewer plays, then simply zero in on the highest rated games and ignore the rest. Most people like to see opinions on many games, especially the ones they are considering, so that's what I do. I do, however, play all the games I pick.
YTD: 94-80 (+55*)
Got off to a good start this week with West Virginia as a 7* pick. Intend to keep it going throughout the weekend.
Saturday:
10* Florida State -4.5 over North Carolina State.
I play most of my games early in the week, many on Sunday night, so the spread I played might be a little different than what's available now. However, a couple of points one way or another does not decrease the value of my picks, as I wouldn't pick them that close. FSU is a more talented team than the Wolfpack, and they will put it all together in this game. Still smarting from last year's loss to the Pack, FSU will dish out one more serving of revenge, as they have to all their other losses last year, even though the Miami game came up a wide left short. I would prefer this game be in Tallahassee, but I feel the Noles cover this small spread rather easily no matter where it's played.
10* Boise St -15 over Nevada.
Spread has gone up since I played it, but this will be an old-fashioned blowout. You should feel comfortable taking anything under 3 touchdowns.
10* South Florida -10 over Houston.
See Boise St over Nevada and play accordingly.
7* Ole Miss +12 over LSU.
I jumped on this number Sunday night and I'm glad I did. Ole Miss has beaten LSU in Baton Rouge 4 consecutive times. The Rebs have had a week to rest, heal, and install some new sets on offense and defense, while LSU was having a slugfest with Alabama. Would prefer that the Tigers have won last week, but even so this game will be close, with another Ole Miss upset not entirely out of the question.
7* Arkansas -11.5 over Mississippi State
This year's State team has no resemblance to those of just a couple of years ago. They're starting 5 true freshmen! Once a great defensive team against the run, they're now getting run over by everyone. They're so banged up on their D-line that a starting DT is a true freshmen who 3 weeks ago was the 4th string fullback! Anyway, there's no way I can back this team. I've gone against them all year and the only time I've lost was against Bama, which as far as I know is the only spread they covered. Arkansas can run with the best of them, and State can't stop it. Hogs win by 17.
7* Washington +9 over Washington State.
The Huskies make a lousy favorite and a dangerous underdog. How many years has WSU spoiled a UW season with a huge upset in the last game? Seems not too long ago it was the tradition. Now the tables are turned. Huskies will give a supreme effort to spoil their rival's season. Close, close game, with either team capable of winning.
7* Alabama -9.5 over Auburn.
You might want to buy this down a half-point. Alabama is playing as good as anyone in the country. They almost beat Oklahoma early in the season and are playing even better now than then. Auburn would love to win this game, but they don't have the hosses, and some of the hosses they do have are hurting. Tide will crush them and Tuberville will start sending out resumes to prospective employers.
5* Oklahoma St -27.5 over Baylor.
Baylor has been everyone's punching bag this year. They're just hoping the season ends as quickly as possible and that they get a better coach for next year. Cowboys will enjoy running wild in this game.
5* Kansas St -13.5 over Missouri.
Texas A&M beat Oklahoma then gets upset by Missouri. Missouri upsets Texas A&M then gets crushed by Kansas St. Kansas St just enjoys crushing people, no matter who beat who. It's the way of the world.
5* Penn State -20.5 over Michigan St.
Mich St flexed their muscles for a few games after their QB got strung out, their TB arrested, and their coach fired. They come back to earth in Happy Valley where the Nittony Lions enjoy running it up and showing folks they're almost a powerhouse once again. Buy the half point if you have to.
5* Hawaii -4 over Cinncinati.
Only thing that keeps this from being rated higher is that the Bearcats are actually the better team. Still, it's very difficult for a team to fly to Hawaii, take in the sights, and focus on a football game. Hawaii is more high-flying than most teams Cincy plays, and the Bearcats will be punch-drunk after this game.
5* TCU -8 over East Carolina.
Don't see how ECU can slow down the boys from Texas. Two programs going in opposite directions. TCU back on level when Franchione was there. ECU has fallen far. This game shouldn't even be close.
Best of luck to everyone, and enjoy your weekend!
