college plays for 8/28 - 9/1...

AR182

Registered User
Forum Member
Nov 9, 2000
18,654
87
0
Scottsdale,AZ
some of these plays were made earlier in the week.

all plays are 2* unless noted otherwise....

under 48(120) ncst/ so. car.....

here is an article that i read on the ncst. situation...

Injuries threaten NC State before season starts
By ASSOCIATED PRESS / August 21, 2008 / RALEIGH, N.C. (AP)

North Carolina State's most reliable receiver missed all of Tom O'Brien's debut season with a serious injury. The team's top two rushers were severely banged up and barely played for their new coach.And as O'Brien prepares to start his second year in Raleigh, some of his best players are once again carrying crutches instead of helmets.

''I'm pretty sure we're used to it now,'' tight end Anthony Hill said.Hill didn't play a down last year after leading the team in receptions in 2006 and then tearing a knee ligament in the offseason, one of the most prominent casualties of an injury-riddled year that never really got going until it was too late.The health concerns that kept 10 starters out of games last season have threatened to derail Year 2 of O'Brien's reconstruction project, leading the former Marine to quip of his defensive line that ''we don't want to be in a situation where we're playing a German and a walk-on the second or third game of the year.''We're almost there at safety,'' he added, ''except we don't have a German.''O'Brien was referring to Markus Kuhn, who never started, but saw action in 11 games last season at tackle and end.N.C. State fans have to wonder what O'Brien's team can accomplish if the veteran coach ever has a full complement of players on the depth chart. While every team deals with the bumps and bruises that come with preseason camp, the Wolfpack have been particularly cursed:-

Running back Toney Baker, still recovering from the knee injury he suffered in the '07 opener, had a subsequent operation to clean out extra cartilage in his knee. That procedure likely will sideline him for a few more weeks.-

Safety Clem Johnson is out with a broken jaw suffered during a preseason scrimmage, further thinning the depth at a position that had few bodies already.-

Top returning receiver Donald Bowens will miss the season with a hairline fracture in his spine.Even though the injuries have forced players to learn how to adjust to the loss of a teammates, the Wolfpack clearly can't afford any more casualties.''They take things in stride much better (this year), which is good,'' O'Brien said. ''Surely there are going to be injuries, but hopefully none this significant as the (ones) we've had in camp.''Bowens caught 41 passes for 598 yards and three touchdowns last year. His injury robs the Wolfpack of their leading returning receiver and most capable return man while also leaving an unsettled quarterback situation without its most dependable target.''When you lose your most experienced and best receiver, that certainly hurts you when you're trying to find a quarterback,'' O'Brien said. ''It's a tough situation to be in and it's a tough situation for him to sit out this year. But we faced, and in my past we faced, these situations and one man's misfortune is another man's opportunity. So (I'm) just waiting for another man to step up and take that opportunity.

''There are plenty of other questions up and down the lineup for N.C. State, which rebounded from a 1-5 start last season to win four straight and threaten to win bowl eligibility before ending the season with losses to Wake Forest and Maryland.One-time third-stringer Jamelle Eugene emerged as the team's go-to back last year when Baker and Andre Brown went down, but can he carry the load all season? The defense ranked among the nation's worst last season, so is the loss of seven starters actually a good thing?And just who will throw the ball to the thinned group of receivers?An open five-man quarterback competition has been whittled to three, with third-year starter Daniel Evans vying for his old job against redshirt freshman Russell Wilson and freshman Mike Glennon. Evans, the only candidate with game experience, led the Wolfpack's four-game winning streak last season but there remain lingering concerns about the 6-foot-2 player's arm strength.O'Brien plans to settle on a starter by the team's final scrimmage of the preseason, roughly a week before N.C. State opens the season with a difficult test at South Carolina.''You're going to have to learn to play before a crowd sooner or later, so why not start off the bat and go do it?'' O'Brien said. ''Maybe it's not the most ideal way you want to start. ... But they're all competitors. They all want to play against the best, and that's part of being at that position too, is accepting challenges to be the guy to go down there and play.''

i have read that spurrier is not happy (never is) with the way that the so. car. offense has looked in practices. & with them breaking in a new qb, i look for them to run the ball (nc st. gave up an average of 186 yds. on the ground last year) in this game & rely on their 10 returning starters on defense to contain the ncst. offense.

a few systems that pertain to the under....

play under - all teams where the total is between 42.5 and 49 (nc st) - in the first month of the season, after closing out last season with 2 or more straight losses, with 4 or fewer defensive starters returning, in the first month of the season.

the ats record over the last 10 seasons is.......39-13.......75%

the average total posted in these games was......46.4

the average score in these games was....team 21.4, opponent 19.5....total points scored.....40.9

the number of games in which this system covered the total by 7 or more points was 29.......55.8% of all games

over the last 3 seasons the situation's record is.....7-2

another system....

play under - all teams where the total is between 42.5 and 49 (so. car) - in the first month of the season, after closing out last season with 2 or more straight losses, average team from last season that won between 45-55% of their games.

the ats record over the last 10 seasons is.......30-8......78.9%

the average total posted in these games was: 45.7

the average score in these games was...team 19.8, opponent 16.8...total points scored.....36.7

the number of games in which this system covered the total by 7 or more points was 25....65.8% of all games

over the last 3 seasons the situation's record is.....13-4

over the last 5 seasons the situation's record is.....20-5

some trends....

so. car. is 13-4 under in the first two weeks of the season since 1992.

Spurrier is 6-0 under in the first two weeks of the season as the coach of so. car.


good luck
 

AR182

Registered User
Forum Member
Nov 9, 2000
18,654
87
0
Scottsdale,AZ
adding....

under 56 troy/mid tenn st.......

got this a couple of days ago, but was preoccupied with the nfl & i forgot to post it.....it's now down to 55 & that is what i will grade the play on...anyway i don't think the total score will get into the 50's.

although troy is probably the class of the sun belt conf., they are a team in transition with 7 starters returning on both the off.(line is intact) & def., including a new qb. so i think it will take time for the offense to jell.

in league play last year, troy allowed about 15 points per game...& they don't expect much of a drop off because they brought in juco transfers to fill the positions on the defense.

mtsu was ravaged with offseason losses along the offensive & defensive lines & eventhough they are returning a veteran qb, they also appear to be a team in transition (returning 6 on off. & 6 on def.).....but the vet qb should be able to limit the mistakes.

here is a system that pertains to this play....

play under - all teams where the total is between 49.5 and 56 (troy/ mts) - in august games.

the ats record over the last 10 seasons is......46-18......71.9%

the average total posted in these games was: 52.6

the average score in these games was...team 23.5, opponent 23.5.....total points scored = 47.1

the number of games in which this system covered the total by 7 or more points was 32.......53.3% of all games

over the last 5 seasons the situation's record is.....12-2....85.7%


good luck
 

AR182

Registered User
Forum Member
Nov 9, 2000
18,654
87
0
Scottsdale,AZ
adding....

pitt.-12(120)......

this is a make or break year for wannstedt...& it looks like he has pitt.ready to compete for a nid-level bowl game. pitt. should have no problem running with mccoy & howling vs. a bg defense that gave up about 200 rushing yards per game last year...but this year they have their starting qb back (stull) back after being out much of last year because of injury...& he will be able to keep the bg defense off balance.

defensively pitt has 7 returning starters back....& they showed last year vs. the wv spread offense that they can effectively defend it.

pitt has covered 3 straight home openers vs. mac teams & have won 10 of 11 home openers by an average of 24 ppg.

i expect pitt. to wear bg down & eventually pull away......


under 53(120) ohio / wyom.....

both of these teams are making changes to their offense..incorporating more spread offense....with ohio's change more of a makeover...so i think it will take time for these teams to run their new offenses more effectively. so i think both defenses (they are not bad) at this stage will be able to get a few stops during this game.

a system....

play under - all teams where the total is between 49.5 and 56 (ohio & wyom)) - in august games.

the ats record over the last 10 seasons is.......46-18......71.9%

the average total posted in these games was.....52.6

the average score in these games was...team 23.5, opponent 23.5...total points scored.....47.1

the number of games in which this system covered the total by 7 or more points was 32......53.3% of all games

over the last 5 seasons the situation's record is.....12-2....85.7%

good luck
 

AR182

Registered User
Forum Member
Nov 9, 2000
18,654
87
0
Scottsdale,AZ
adding....

ark.st.+20(120)......

this play is more of a play against a & m who is learnig new systems on both sides of the ball. they are going from an option run based type of attack to a pro-style pass off.....so i think it will take a few games before they get the new offense..... on defense a & m is returning just 1 player on the front 7 so i look for ark. st to be able to keep it close with an experienced qb & running back.


good luck
 

AR182

Registered User
Forum Member
Nov 9, 2000
18,654
87
0
Scottsdale,AZ
i was afraid you were going to do this & credit the plays for yourself....:142smilie

good luck this season bbc...
 
Bet on MyBookie
Top