college plays for 9/20-9/22....
- Thread starter AR182
- Start date
GL This weekend ar, I really like wisky to cover the seven this weekend gonna stay away from that total.
thanks guys...appreciate it...
i've decided to get off my so. carolina play...i just think that there is too big gap between the top 3 teams in the country (usc,okla, & lsu) & the rest of the schools & don't think 17 points is enough to move the game to so. car's favor...so i took lsu-17(120)....
some of these games i got a few days ago but didn't have time to post them until now...sorry if that upsets some people...
adding...
lafayette+10...
troy coming off that dd upset win over okla. st. last week may be a little flat for this game...while laf. is coming off a bye & has had 2 weeks to prepare for this game....i also read that sunbelt conf. dogs were 17-10 ats across the board last year....
u53 clemson/ncst.....
think clemson will try to run on ncst & their #101 rushing defense...
a few trends....
clemson is 19-3 under after gaining 6.25 or more yards/play in their previous game since 1992.....the average score was clemson 22.4,opponent20.4.....
nc st is 9-1 under after failing to cover the spread in 2 out of their last 3 games over the last 3 seasons.....the average score was nc st 16.4,opponent 18.4....
nc st is 8-1 under after playing their last game on the road over the last 3 seasons.....the average score was nc st 17.5,opponent 20.2.....
u53 oregon st/az. st.....
don't see this game breaking the 40's...
a few trends....
oregon st is 7-0 under in road games in the first half of the season over the last 2 seasons....the average score was oregon st 26.9,opponent 20.1..
oregon st is 7-0 under in road games in road lined games over the last 2 seasons....the average score was oregon st 19.0,opponent23.9....
oregon st is 6-0 under in road games when playing with 6 or less days rest over the last 2 seasons....the average score was oregon st. 16.3,opponent 22.5 - (Rating = 1*)
az .st is 6-0 under in home games when the total is between 49.5 and 56 over the last 2 seasons......the average score was az st 29.2,opponent 15.8
u44(120)conn/pitt.....
both teams are winning because of defense...conn. # 8 in total defense & pitt.#9 in scoring defense & while conn. may not have...& while conn. hasn't played a tough schedule i think that they should be able to keep pitts. offense somewhat in check considering pitt's qb play....
system....
play under - all teams where the total is between 42.5 and 49 (conn.) - an excellent offensive team (>=34 ppg) against an excellent defensive team (<=16 ppg), in conference games.....
ats record is 30-6 over the last 5 seasons.....83%..
the average total posted in these games was...46.1...the average score in these games was...team 18.8,opponent 19.8 (total points scored = 38.6)....the number of games in which this system covered the total by 7 or more points was 21......58.3% of all games.....
the situation's record this season is....1-0...
over the last 3 seasons the situation's record is...14-1.....
good luck.
i've decided to get off my so. carolina play...i just think that there is too big gap between the top 3 teams in the country (usc,okla, & lsu) & the rest of the schools & don't think 17 points is enough to move the game to so. car's favor...so i took lsu-17(120)....
some of these games i got a few days ago but didn't have time to post them until now...sorry if that upsets some people...
adding...
lafayette+10...
troy coming off that dd upset win over okla. st. last week may be a little flat for this game...while laf. is coming off a bye & has had 2 weeks to prepare for this game....i also read that sunbelt conf. dogs were 17-10 ats across the board last year....
u53 clemson/ncst.....
think clemson will try to run on ncst & their #101 rushing defense...
a few trends....
clemson is 19-3 under after gaining 6.25 or more yards/play in their previous game since 1992.....the average score was clemson 22.4,opponent20.4.....
nc st is 9-1 under after failing to cover the spread in 2 out of their last 3 games over the last 3 seasons.....the average score was nc st 16.4,opponent 18.4....
nc st is 8-1 under after playing their last game on the road over the last 3 seasons.....the average score was nc st 17.5,opponent 20.2.....
u53 oregon st/az. st.....
don't see this game breaking the 40's...
a few trends....
oregon st is 7-0 under in road games in the first half of the season over the last 2 seasons....the average score was oregon st 26.9,opponent 20.1..
oregon st is 7-0 under in road games in road lined games over the last 2 seasons....the average score was oregon st 19.0,opponent23.9....
oregon st is 6-0 under in road games when playing with 6 or less days rest over the last 2 seasons....the average score was oregon st. 16.3,opponent 22.5 - (Rating = 1*)
az .st is 6-0 under in home games when the total is between 49.5 and 56 over the last 2 seasons......the average score was az st 29.2,opponent 15.8
u44(120)conn/pitt.....
both teams are winning because of defense...conn. # 8 in total defense & pitt.#9 in scoring defense & while conn. may not have...& while conn. hasn't played a tough schedule i think that they should be able to keep pitts. offense somewhat in check considering pitt's qb play....
system....
play under - all teams where the total is between 42.5 and 49 (conn.) - an excellent offensive team (>=34 ppg) against an excellent defensive team (<=16 ppg), in conference games.....
ats record is 30-6 over the last 5 seasons.....83%..
the average total posted in these games was...46.1...the average score in these games was...team 18.8,opponent 19.8 (total points scored = 38.6)....the number of games in which this system covered the total by 7 or more points was 21......58.3% of all games.....
the situation's record this season is....1-0...
over the last 3 seasons the situation's record is...14-1.....
good luck.
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adding....
cin.-24...
cinn. is one of the most improved teams in the country...they are ranked in the top 10 in both scoring offense & defense...so far this year they are outscoring their opponents by 41 points per game....they have also forced 17 turnovers in their 3 games....marshall has a mediocre offense & a terrible defense & i think they are a reeling team after losing to new hampshire last week...
marshall is 2-15 ats in their last 17 road games...& 1-10 on the road when not getting 28 points...
system....
play on - favorites of 21.5 to 31 points (cin.) - off 1 or more straight overs, a top caliber team (>=+14 ppg differential) against a terrible team (<=-10 ppg differential).
ats record is....25-4 over the last 10 seasons.....86.2%
the average line posted in these games was: team favored by.....26.7
the average score in these games was: team 46.3, opponent 11.8 (average point differential = +34.5)....the number of games in which this system covered the spread by 7 or more points was 16 (55.2% of all games.)
the situation's record this season is....2-0...
over the last 3 seasons the situation's record is....8-0....
over the last 5 seasons the situation's record is....13-2...
good luck.
cin.-24...
cinn. is one of the most improved teams in the country...they are ranked in the top 10 in both scoring offense & defense...so far this year they are outscoring their opponents by 41 points per game....they have also forced 17 turnovers in their 3 games....marshall has a mediocre offense & a terrible defense & i think they are a reeling team after losing to new hampshire last week...
marshall is 2-15 ats in their last 17 road games...& 1-10 on the road when not getting 28 points...
system....
play on - favorites of 21.5 to 31 points (cin.) - off 1 or more straight overs, a top caliber team (>=+14 ppg differential) against a terrible team (<=-10 ppg differential).
ats record is....25-4 over the last 10 seasons.....86.2%
the average line posted in these games was: team favored by.....26.7
the average score in these games was: team 46.3, opponent 11.8 (average point differential = +34.5)....the number of games in which this system covered the spread by 7 or more points was 16 (55.2% of all games.)
the situation's record this season is....2-0...
over the last 3 seasons the situation's record is....8-0....
over the last 5 seasons the situation's record is....13-2...
good luck.
its no surprise that Cinci has improved vastly after luring in coach Kelly from CMU. The guy is as sharp as they come. He had a decent defense in place and the new spread offense has been really producing despite the fact that he has not had the chance to get his own kids in there to run it yet. Just wait till he gets a couple of his own recruiting classes in there, The Bearcats are on the fast track.
Best of luck
Best of luck
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thanks spang...
i read somewhere (can't remember where) that mich. will be going after kelly very hard after the season...
Interesting for sure, Kelly would be a very wise choice but I doubt if he would move so quickly. I wonder what the escape clause is in his contract with the Bearcats?? If he builds the Bearcats into a major player in the football wars in a short period of time, he can pretty much get a top twenty job anywhere he wishes and name his price.
adding....
arkansas-7....
i read that kentucky's whole season was geared to beating louisville....& with their dramatic win last week over louey,the cats may have a letdown for this game...also this was the cats 1st win over a top 10 team since 1977......i expect ark. to control the line of scrimmage with their rushing attack since kentucky is allowing an average of 185ypg at 4.8 ypc per game on the ground.....
kent. has lost 14 straight road games when it has been outrushed, which will be likely for this game since the net rushing yardage differential between the 2 is 122 yards in favor of ark...
here is a system that i read on another forum...i don't know how accurate it is but thought that some might find it interesting...
play against any college dog (kentucky),in game 4 of the season if they are 3-0 and were a bowl team last year vs. opp. that won 8 or more games the previous year.in this general spot teams are 4-25 su and 7-22 ats......if the play against team (kentucky) is off a win or loss of less than 30 pts,. these teams are 0-19 su and 2-17 ats since 1980.
good luck.
arkansas-7....
i read that kentucky's whole season was geared to beating louisville....& with their dramatic win last week over louey,the cats may have a letdown for this game...also this was the cats 1st win over a top 10 team since 1977......i expect ark. to control the line of scrimmage with their rushing attack since kentucky is allowing an average of 185ypg at 4.8 ypc per game on the ground.....
kent. has lost 14 straight road games when it has been outrushed, which will be likely for this game since the net rushing yardage differential between the 2 is 122 yards in favor of ark...
here is a system that i read on another forum...i don't know how accurate it is but thought that some might find it interesting...
play against any college dog (kentucky),in game 4 of the season if they are 3-0 and were a bowl team last year vs. opp. that won 8 or more games the previous year.in this general spot teams are 4-25 su and 7-22 ats......if the play against team (kentucky) is off a win or loss of less than 30 pts,. these teams are 0-19 su and 2-17 ats since 1980.
good luck.
Always look forward to your insights AR. I grabbed Lafayette and Arkansas earlier this week for the same reason you mentioned, letdown factor for their opponents. Glad to see you on both. Good luck tomorrow and the rest of the year!
hey glenn...thanks appreciate it...
adding....
b.g.-21(120)...
bg has had 2 weeks to prepare for this revenge game...bg's 9th rated passing attack will throw all over temple's defense...
good luck..
adding....
b.g.-21(120)...
bg has had 2 weeks to prepare for this revenge game...bg's 9th rated passing attack will throw all over temple's defense...
good luck..
i bought back my minn. play because somebody i respect is very high on purdue tday...
i now have..
purdue-13(120)
minn.+14
good luck.
i now have..
purdue-13(120)
minn.+14
good luck.
adding....
u60(120) ark. st./tenn...
looking for tenn. to tighten their defense after their humiliating loss to fla. last week....
good luck.
u60(120) ark. st./tenn...
looking for tenn. to tighten their defense after their humiliating loss to fla. last week....
good luck.
