As usual great information. Love the Ga. Tech and South Carolina writeups. Good luck on your plays. I'm with you on both games! 
college plays for 9/24 - 9/26.....
- Thread starter AR182
- Start date
Watched all three PSU games , and totally agree. Unless they were saving half of their playbook, i think this is a winner.
thanks guys...appreciate it...
here are 2 short writups....
tcu+3....
i am never impressed with clemson everytime that i watch them play...last week against bc, clemson was unable to score any offensive td's....& of their 7 td's this season only 4 were score by the offense....in addition their top guy on offense, spiller is hurting with a toe injury, which can effect his play....the veteran tcu qb is the best qb that clemson has faced so far this year & i like the way tcu goes after their opposition on defense...
clemson is now 8-17 ats as home favs of 3-6.5 points.....& they are 2-11 ats with this line situation when they're coming in off a su win.....
oregon st+1....
this is the 2nd road game in a row for arizona....they are 8-19 su playing on the road...
osu has owned this series of late winning 3 straight & 9 of the last 10....osu took it on the chin last week vs.cin., but that was with a very good veteran qb, the az qb will be making his 2nd road start of his career....last week he was 4-14 for 50 yards with 1 pick....osu is 12-3-1 ats as a home favorite when off a home game winning by an average of 18.5 ppg....az is 3-11 ats as dogs when coming in off a su....
good luck....
here are 2 short writups....
tcu+3....
i am never impressed with clemson everytime that i watch them play...last week against bc, clemson was unable to score any offensive td's....& of their 7 td's this season only 4 were score by the offense....in addition their top guy on offense, spiller is hurting with a toe injury, which can effect his play....the veteran tcu qb is the best qb that clemson has faced so far this year & i like the way tcu goes after their opposition on defense...
clemson is now 8-17 ats as home favs of 3-6.5 points.....& they are 2-11 ats with this line situation when they're coming in off a su win.....
oregon st+1....
this is the 2nd road game in a row for arizona....they are 8-19 su playing on the road...
osu has owned this series of late winning 3 straight & 9 of the last 10....osu took it on the chin last week vs.cin., but that was with a very good veteran qb, the az qb will be making his 2nd road start of his career....last week he was 4-14 for 50 yards with 1 pick....osu is 12-3-1 ats as a home favorite when off a home game winning by an average of 18.5 ppg....az is 3-11 ats as dogs when coming in off a su....
good luck....
...just lettin' you know I dropped by. Great stuff, as always. Wish I couldda got you on SC tonight.
Keep up the great work, my friend. :toast:
Great stuff, as always. Wish I couldda got you on SC tonight. Keep up the great work, my friend. :toast:
Loaded up on the Under in the Carolina game and even threw a little on the Gamecocks +4. Thanks my man!
thanks for the comments guys...appreciate it....
tide...glad that i could help out...
taoist...long time no speak...good to see you around....in addition to liking the under i also liked so. car. but don't like betting sides & totals in the same game...makes me too neurotic...lol..
tide...glad that i could help out...
taoist...long time no speak...good to see you around....in addition to liking the under i also liked so. car. but don't like betting sides & totals in the same game...makes me too neurotic...lol..
started the week off by hitting the under last night....only if all plays can be that easy...lol...
adding....
under 51(125) so. fla / fla.st....
so. fla will be without their starting qb, grothe for this game & for the remainder of the season....from what i have read, the replacement qb has a lot of potential, but have to think that the so. fla. coach, leavitt will play this game relatively conservative....last week fla. st scored 54 points & rushed for over 300 yds. againt byu but i think the so. fla defense can match fla. st's offensive speed to slow fsu down....
since 1992 so. fla. is 16-2 under vs good rushing defenses - allowing <=120 rushing yards/game....the average score was so. fla 16.2, opponent 23.9....
since 1992 fla. st is 11-1 under after playing 2 straight non-conference games....the average score was fla.st 35.6, opponent 12.0....
here is an up to date list of who i have played so far this week....
akron+17(120)....i may buy off this...
maryland+3....
miami o+10(130)....
sd st.+17....
c.fla.+11(130)....
iowa+11(120)....
oregon st+1....
ark.+17(125)....
army+11(125)....
bc+3(120)....
tcu+3....
n.tex.+7....
minn.+3(120).....
new mexico-9(120)....
marshall+4(120)....
georgia tech..ml....
tex. tech+1....
under 55(125) az st / georgia....
under 51(125) so. fla. / fla. st....
good luck....
adding....
under 51(125) so. fla / fla.st....
so. fla will be without their starting qb, grothe for this game & for the remainder of the season....from what i have read, the replacement qb has a lot of potential, but have to think that the so. fla. coach, leavitt will play this game relatively conservative....last week fla. st scored 54 points & rushed for over 300 yds. againt byu but i think the so. fla defense can match fla. st's offensive speed to slow fsu down....
since 1992 so. fla. is 16-2 under vs good rushing defenses - allowing <=120 rushing yards/game....the average score was so. fla 16.2, opponent 23.9....
since 1992 fla. st is 11-1 under after playing 2 straight non-conference games....the average score was fla.st 35.6, opponent 12.0....
here is an up to date list of who i have played so far this week....
akron+17(120)....i may buy off this...
maryland+3....
miami o+10(130)....
sd st.+17....
c.fla.+11(130)....
iowa+11(120)....
oregon st+1....
ark.+17(125)....
army+11(125)....
bc+3(120)....
tcu+3....
n.tex.+7....
minn.+3(120).....
new mexico-9(120)....
marshall+4(120)....
georgia tech..ml....
tex. tech+1....
under 55(125) az st / georgia....
under 51(125) so. fla. / fla. st....
good luck....
adding another total....
under 45(120) lsu / miss. st....
to me it looks like lsu is not as explosive on offense as past teams....while miss. st is playing from the spread offense, they are relying more on their running game(they are averaging 222 ypg at 4.8 ypr)....lsu has georgia & fla. up next....
since 1992 miss.st is 18-7 under off a win against a conference rival....the average score was msu 20.8, opponent 19.7....
since 1992 miss. st. is 7-0 under in home games off a road....the average score was miss. st 23.9, opponent 19.0....
here is an interview with the head coach on the state of the miss. st. program....
By AARON SEIDLITZ, The Associated Press
Dan Mullen gave his state of the union in regards to his offense at Monday?s press conference.
And the new Mississippi State head coach, who brought a version of the spread offense with him from Gainesville, is the first to say that his Bulldogs still need to keep adjusting.
Mullen and the coaching staff have said time and again that the pace with which the offense is picked up by the players will be crucial. In that sense the coach feels that the passing game still has a ways to go, but the rushing attack has become the bread and butter.
He said on Sunday that the Bulldogs were a running team, and on Monday he elaborated on that thought.
The reason for that being the way it is right now, according to the coach, is the effectiveness with which the offense is being run.
He referred to the quarterbacks and said he wants them to manage the game, he referred to the wide receivers and said they are still learning, he mentioned the offensive line and said they have started to gel and, finally, he believes the group as a whole needs to continue to get a grasp of the basics.
?I think we?re coming. It?s always going to be a little slow, because usually it?s a little bit slower offensively than defensively. I think we?ve progressed offensively from game to game,? Mullen said. For starters, he believes the team needs to finish off drives. The Bulldogs had a perfect scenario to do just that to end the first half against Vanderbilt. Leading 6-3, State was driving and just completed a pass to move into the Commodores? territory.
With the ball on the Vandy 30-yard line, quarterback Tyson Lee was sacked. He then bounced back to complete a pass to Brandon Heaves, but it went for just three yards.
Lee then took another sack, which ran the clock out as State was without a timeout.
Mullen met the quarterback near midfield to explain the situation to Lee, and on Monday the coach detailed why those types of drives are crucial to an outcome of a game.
What it boils down to in the coach?s mind is the quarterbacks understanding the game situationally.
?They?re both doing a good job of managing the offense, and one of the things I ask of the position is to lead and to manage the offense. You don?t have to be the play maker on every single play,? Mullen said of his quarterbacks. ?There?s going to be situations like at the end of the first half where hopefully if he gets in that situation again he?ll throw the ball away and try a field goal.?
Dixon thinks backs can help in passing game
Mississippi State?s rushing attack has had no problem producing so far this season.
In fact it has produced so much so that it is now ranked 20th in the country. While helping the team to 221.7 yards per game on the ground, running back Anthony Dixon also believes one of the bright spots of his teammates at the position is versatility.
On Monday, he stated his case for why they should be thrown to more often. ?I?m still waiting some to catch some passes, you know, to show of that part of my game,? Dixon said. ?But I think that?s really going to help out the team if we do get involved in the passing game, because I just think that?s going to help us get the victory.?
The last couple of days, Mullen has been critical of his wide receivers by saying they need to sharpen their route running, blocking and overall effectiveness. Dixon has taken note of that as well, and he wants the head coach to rely on, perhaps, the most experienced group on the field ? running back. To add to Dixon, State boasts of two more seniors at the position in Christian Ducre and Arnil Stallworth. ?Sometimes our receivers struggle, and we?re seniors,? Dixon said. ?We?re game ready, and I think some of those guys are still kind of young, and I think they still just don?t get it right off the bat. ?But, you know, at the beginning of the game me, Ducre and Stallworth are some of the most ready players on the team.?
Pernell McPhee earns SEC honor
After earning his first sack, and actually recording 1.5 sacks against Vanderbilt, Pernell McPhee was named the SEC Defensive Lineman of the Week.
The 275-pound pass rusher offers Mullen size and speed on the outside, and enough of it to be versatile. The head coach has often discussed putting McPhee in the middle of the defensive front during rotations.
?Obviously, he?s a critical part of our defensive line. He makes plays, gives us some explosiveness at the defensive end, and has the size and ability to, I guess, move him inside if we need to to play defensive tackle,? Mullen said.
McPhee added three tackles and one more quarterback hurry to his stats against Vanderbilt on Saturday.
good luck....
under 45(120) lsu / miss. st....
to me it looks like lsu is not as explosive on offense as past teams....while miss. st is playing from the spread offense, they are relying more on their running game(they are averaging 222 ypg at 4.8 ypr)....lsu has georgia & fla. up next....
since 1992 miss.st is 18-7 under off a win against a conference rival....the average score was msu 20.8, opponent 19.7....
since 1992 miss. st. is 7-0 under in home games off a road....the average score was miss. st 23.9, opponent 19.0....
here is an interview with the head coach on the state of the miss. st. program....
By AARON SEIDLITZ, The Associated Press
Dan Mullen gave his state of the union in regards to his offense at Monday?s press conference.
And the new Mississippi State head coach, who brought a version of the spread offense with him from Gainesville, is the first to say that his Bulldogs still need to keep adjusting.
Mullen and the coaching staff have said time and again that the pace with which the offense is picked up by the players will be crucial. In that sense the coach feels that the passing game still has a ways to go, but the rushing attack has become the bread and butter.
He said on Sunday that the Bulldogs were a running team, and on Monday he elaborated on that thought.
The reason for that being the way it is right now, according to the coach, is the effectiveness with which the offense is being run.
He referred to the quarterbacks and said he wants them to manage the game, he referred to the wide receivers and said they are still learning, he mentioned the offensive line and said they have started to gel and, finally, he believes the group as a whole needs to continue to get a grasp of the basics.
?I think we?re coming. It?s always going to be a little slow, because usually it?s a little bit slower offensively than defensively. I think we?ve progressed offensively from game to game,? Mullen said. For starters, he believes the team needs to finish off drives. The Bulldogs had a perfect scenario to do just that to end the first half against Vanderbilt. Leading 6-3, State was driving and just completed a pass to move into the Commodores? territory.
With the ball on the Vandy 30-yard line, quarterback Tyson Lee was sacked. He then bounced back to complete a pass to Brandon Heaves, but it went for just three yards.
Lee then took another sack, which ran the clock out as State was without a timeout.
Mullen met the quarterback near midfield to explain the situation to Lee, and on Monday the coach detailed why those types of drives are crucial to an outcome of a game.
What it boils down to in the coach?s mind is the quarterbacks understanding the game situationally.
?They?re both doing a good job of managing the offense, and one of the things I ask of the position is to lead and to manage the offense. You don?t have to be the play maker on every single play,? Mullen said of his quarterbacks. ?There?s going to be situations like at the end of the first half where hopefully if he gets in that situation again he?ll throw the ball away and try a field goal.?
Dixon thinks backs can help in passing game
Mississippi State?s rushing attack has had no problem producing so far this season.
In fact it has produced so much so that it is now ranked 20th in the country. While helping the team to 221.7 yards per game on the ground, running back Anthony Dixon also believes one of the bright spots of his teammates at the position is versatility.
On Monday, he stated his case for why they should be thrown to more often. ?I?m still waiting some to catch some passes, you know, to show of that part of my game,? Dixon said. ?But I think that?s really going to help out the team if we do get involved in the passing game, because I just think that?s going to help us get the victory.?
The last couple of days, Mullen has been critical of his wide receivers by saying they need to sharpen their route running, blocking and overall effectiveness. Dixon has taken note of that as well, and he wants the head coach to rely on, perhaps, the most experienced group on the field ? running back. To add to Dixon, State boasts of two more seniors at the position in Christian Ducre and Arnil Stallworth. ?Sometimes our receivers struggle, and we?re seniors,? Dixon said. ?We?re game ready, and I think some of those guys are still kind of young, and I think they still just don?t get it right off the bat. ?But, you know, at the beginning of the game me, Ducre and Stallworth are some of the most ready players on the team.?
Pernell McPhee earns SEC honor
After earning his first sack, and actually recording 1.5 sacks against Vanderbilt, Pernell McPhee was named the SEC Defensive Lineman of the Week.
The 275-pound pass rusher offers Mullen size and speed on the outside, and enough of it to be versatile. The head coach has often discussed putting McPhee in the middle of the defensive front during rotations.
?Obviously, he?s a critical part of our defensive line. He makes plays, gives us some explosiveness at the defensive end, and has the size and ability to, I guess, move him inside if we need to to play defensive tackle,? Mullen said.
McPhee added three tackles and one more quarterback hurry to his stats against Vanderbilt on Saturday.
good luck....
adding another total....
under 48(120) miami / vt.....
so far this year miami has looked very good on offense, but it was against a very young fla. st pass rush and a non-existent one with gt....with a veteran defensive coordinator like foster, i look for the vt defense to blitz from all different places so that they can disrupt the rhythm of the young miami qb.....miami looked good running the ball against gt but their front 7 is undersized and was pushed around by the miami o-line.....vt is stronger along the d- line 7 i think they will be able to contain the miami running....for the year vt is ranked 5th in pass efficiency, allowing just 164 ypg on 45.2% completions....they did a good job of containing the nebraska offense, & i think they will be able to slow the miami offense down....for the year vt has allowed 19.7 ppg on the year.....
on offense, the vt qb taylor is a a below 50% passer who is more dangerous with his feet than with his arm....look for the miami def. to try to contain him to stay in the pocket....the miami defense held the gt offense to 228 total yards last week & i think that they can do the same to the vt offense....
in addition here is something from the national weather service....
THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN BLACKSBURG HAS ISSUED A* FLASH FLOOD WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF SOUTHWEST VIRGINIA ANDS OUTHEAST WEST VIRGINIA...INCLUDING THE FOLLOWING AREAS...INSOUTHWEST VIRGINIA...BLAND...
GILES...SMYTH AND TAZEWELL. INSOUTHEAST WEST VIRGINIA...GREENBRIER...MERCER...
MONROE AND SUMMERS.* FROM SATURDAY MORNING THROUGH SATURDAY EVENING* RAINFALL OF UP TO 3 INCHES IS POSSIBLE ACROSS THE WATCH AREA...WITH THE HEAVIEST OCCURRING SATURDAY AFTERNOON AND EARLY EVENING.
FLASH FLOOD GUIDANCE INDICATES THAT MINOR FLOODING COULD OCCUR WITH AROUND 2.5 INCHES OF RAIN IN 6 HOURS OR LESS.* THERE IS ALSO A CHANCE FOR THUNDERSTORMS SATURDAY AFTERNOON ANDEVENING WITH VERY HEAVY DOWNPOURS. IF THUNDERSTORMS DEVELOP...THE HEAVY DOWNPOURS WOULD BRING RAPID RISES ON CREEKS AND STREAMS.
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...A FLASH FLOOD WATCH MEANS THAT CONDITIONS MAY DEVELOP THAT LEADTO FLASH FLOODING. FLASH FLOODING IS A VERY DANGEROUS SITUATION.YOU SHOULD MONITOR LATER FORECASTS AND BE PREPARED TO TAKE ACTIONSHOULD FLASH FLOOD WARNINGS BE ISSUED.
play under - road teams where the total is between 42.5 & 49 (miami) - after scoring 31 points or more in 2 straight games.....
over the last 5 seasons the record for this system is....49-16....75.4%....
the average total posted in these games was....46
the average score in these games was....team 18.1, opponent 19.3....the system's record this season is....1-0....
since 2003 this series has averaged just 35.5 ppg....& i don't see this changing much for this game....
good luck....
under 48(120) miami / vt.....
so far this year miami has looked very good on offense, but it was against a very young fla. st pass rush and a non-existent one with gt....with a veteran defensive coordinator like foster, i look for the vt defense to blitz from all different places so that they can disrupt the rhythm of the young miami qb.....miami looked good running the ball against gt but their front 7 is undersized and was pushed around by the miami o-line.....vt is stronger along the d- line 7 i think they will be able to contain the miami running....for the year vt is ranked 5th in pass efficiency, allowing just 164 ypg on 45.2% completions....they did a good job of containing the nebraska offense, & i think they will be able to slow the miami offense down....for the year vt has allowed 19.7 ppg on the year.....
on offense, the vt qb taylor is a a below 50% passer who is more dangerous with his feet than with his arm....look for the miami def. to try to contain him to stay in the pocket....the miami defense held the gt offense to 228 total yards last week & i think that they can do the same to the vt offense....
in addition here is something from the national weather service....
THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN BLACKSBURG HAS ISSUED A* FLASH FLOOD WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF SOUTHWEST VIRGINIA ANDS OUTHEAST WEST VIRGINIA...INCLUDING THE FOLLOWING AREAS...INSOUTHWEST VIRGINIA...BLAND...
GILES...SMYTH AND TAZEWELL. INSOUTHEAST WEST VIRGINIA...GREENBRIER...MERCER...
MONROE AND SUMMERS.* FROM SATURDAY MORNING THROUGH SATURDAY EVENING* RAINFALL OF UP TO 3 INCHES IS POSSIBLE ACROSS THE WATCH AREA...WITH THE HEAVIEST OCCURRING SATURDAY AFTERNOON AND EARLY EVENING.
FLASH FLOOD GUIDANCE INDICATES THAT MINOR FLOODING COULD OCCUR WITH AROUND 2.5 INCHES OF RAIN IN 6 HOURS OR LESS.* THERE IS ALSO A CHANCE FOR THUNDERSTORMS SATURDAY AFTERNOON ANDEVENING WITH VERY HEAVY DOWNPOURS. IF THUNDERSTORMS DEVELOP...THE HEAVY DOWNPOURS WOULD BRING RAPID RISES ON CREEKS AND STREAMS.
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...A FLASH FLOOD WATCH MEANS THAT CONDITIONS MAY DEVELOP THAT LEADTO FLASH FLOODING. FLASH FLOODING IS A VERY DANGEROUS SITUATION.YOU SHOULD MONITOR LATER FORECASTS AND BE PREPARED TO TAKE ACTIONSHOULD FLASH FLOOD WARNINGS BE ISSUED.
play under - road teams where the total is between 42.5 & 49 (miami) - after scoring 31 points or more in 2 straight games.....
over the last 5 seasons the record for this system is....49-16....75.4%....
the average total posted in these games was....46
the average score in these games was....team 18.1, opponent 19.3....the system's record this season is....1-0....
since 2003 this series has averaged just 35.5 ppg....& i don't see this changing much for this game....
good luck....
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adding....
illinois+14....
illinois is coming off a bye week & expect juice & martez wilson to be ready for this game vs ohio st....osu is coming off a shutout win last week vs. toledo....
illinois seems to match up pretty well with ohio st....with juice as qb, ill.is 1 point away from being 3-0 ats vs osu....& has gained 855 total yards over the last 2 meetings with an average of 24 ppg....
they are also 6-2 ats in the last 8 games....the visitor is 8-1 su in the last 9 with illinois winning 4 of 5 at osu....il is 7-0 as league dog of 14 or more points....
here is an up to date list of who i have played so far for saturday....
akron+17(120)....i may buy off this...
maryland+3....
sd st.+17....
c.fla.+11(130)....
miami o+10(130)....
iowa+11(120)....
oregon st+1....
ark.+17(125)....
army+11(125)....
bc+3(120)....
tcu+3....
n.tex.+7....
minn.+3(120).....
new mexico-9(120)....
marshall+4(120)....
georgia tech..ml....
tex. tech+1....
under 55(125) az st / georgia....
under 51(125) so. fla. / fla. st....
under 45(120) lsu / miss. st....
under 48(120) miami / vt....
illinois+14....
good luck....
illinois+14....
illinois is coming off a bye week & expect juice & martez wilson to be ready for this game vs ohio st....osu is coming off a shutout win last week vs. toledo....
illinois seems to match up pretty well with ohio st....with juice as qb, ill.is 1 point away from being 3-0 ats vs osu....& has gained 855 total yards over the last 2 meetings with an average of 24 ppg....
they are also 6-2 ats in the last 8 games....the visitor is 8-1 su in the last 9 with illinois winning 4 of 5 at osu....il is 7-0 as league dog of 14 or more points....
here is an up to date list of who i have played so far for saturday....
akron+17(120)....i may buy off this...
maryland+3....
sd st.+17....
c.fla.+11(130)....
miami o+10(130)....
iowa+11(120)....
oregon st+1....
ark.+17(125)....
army+11(125)....
bc+3(120)....
tcu+3....
n.tex.+7....
minn.+3(120).....
new mexico-9(120)....
marshall+4(120)....
georgia tech..ml....
tex. tech+1....
under 55(125) az st / georgia....
under 51(125) so. fla. / fla. st....
under 45(120) lsu / miss. st....
under 48(120) miami / vt....
illinois+14....
good luck....
Last edited:
- Nov 30, 2003
- 3,727
- 241
- 63
thanks johnny....
you think that's too many games johnny ? :142smilie
i use different parameters in my capping & play whatever comes up...this is the way i have been doing it for years....
