college plays for 9/3-9/7...

AR182

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since it worked very well for me, i'm going to use the same money management that i used during last season's bowl games...all plays will be 2* unless noted...& best bets are 5*....

played 2 games so far....here are some quick thoughts but hopefully will have writeups later on for them...

under 49 (120) conn. / ohio....

conn. loses their great back brown this year & has 6 returning starters from last seasons offense & is undecided who will be their new starting qb this year... & are also returning 6 starters from last season's defense...& edsall always has his team play well on defense....

ohio is also returning 6 & 6 from last year....


illinois-6(120)....

missouri is in a rebuilding year..they lost on offense their qb, daniel, wr, maclin, & their te, coffman....& on defense they lost 7 all big 12 defenders....

illinois is returning 8 players from offense including the juice at qb & will be very potent...& 6 on defense which should be able to control the rebuilding missouri offense...


good luck....& it's great talking college football again !!
 
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IE

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UConn Has Question Marks As It Prepares To Open Camp


The Hartford Courant
August 10, 2009


The media picked UConn to finish sixth in the Big East primarily because of losses at key positions, while not having much knowledge of the players waiting to step in.

As good as the defense is expected to be, the Huskies must get more offensive production, particularly at quarterback. UConn has brought in an innovative, lively and charismatic offensive coordinator in Joe Moorhead.

Here are a few questions facing the Huskies as they open practice Monday.

? Who will be the starting quarterback and will he be a threat with his arm?

Not since Dan Orlovsky left after the 2004 season have the Huskies been a productive passing team. It may be hard to believe but UConn was 10th in the country in passing offense in 2003 (297.92) and again in '04 (281.33), which is way off the 105.5 average ranking they hold over the last four seasons, including the 109th best ? or worst ? passing offense of 119 Division I-A teams last season. One can only imagine how much better the Huskies (8-5) would have been last season, a season in which Donald Brown rushed for over 2,000 yards, if they averaged more than an anemic 139.6 yards passing. New offensive coordinator Joe Moorhead has a penchant for balance and moving the ball in the air. The Huskies have the players with the arms to do it in Zach Frazer, a redshirt junior and Cody Endres, a redshirt sophomore. The big-arm Frazer starts camp as the No. 1 quarterback but Endres is expected to make a push for the job. Frazer and Endres also come in slimmer as they compete to guide a new fast-paced offense. Neither Frazer nor Endres are runners and that's a good thing. The Huskies have been there and done the dual threat thing ? much of the last four seasons.

? Are the receivers capable of making big plays?

They're capable or they wouldn't be on scholarship, right? But capable and doing are two different things. There were encouraging signs during spring practice. Senior Marcus Easley had a 10-catch, 169-yard, two-touchdown effort. It was encouraging because the Huskies need a legitimate go-to guy. Actually, they need several of them and that is supposed to be the point of the offense Moorhead has installed. It is designed to take advantage of the receivers' speed and skill and get them into open space against the defense. The hope is that big plays come as a result and the Huskies will be looking for Easley, Kashif Moore, the team's leading receiver last year (27 catches, 273 yards, one TD), Brad Kanuch and Isiah Moore to emerge. Gerrard Sheppard, a redshirt freshman who turned down basketball scholarship offers from ACC schools, looks like a playmaker. The freshman class includes four receivers, led by Dwayne Difton and Mike Lang. If they are what they're supposed to be, they could elevate the play of the entire group.

? What is the strength of the team?

The Huskies' offensive and defensive lines are as deep as they've ever been in coach Randy Edsall's first 10 seasons. Some linemen lack experience but they've been good enough to compete for starting jobs against returning starters. On the offensive line, the coaching staff has been chomping at the bit to play guard Eric Kuraczea (6 feet 1, 328 pounds) of Ansonia, Jimmy Bennett, a 6-7, 298-pound tackle, and tackle Mike Ryan, a 6-5, 313-pound sophomore. Kuraczea and Bennett are redshirt freshmen. Bennett and Ryan battled redshirt seniors Mike Hicks (6-6, 323) and Dan Ryan (6-8, 313) so well in the spring that both tackle positions are open going into camp. A healthy competition is expected there. On the defensive line, the Huskies are strong at the tackle positions, led by Twyon Martin and Kendall Reyes. While senior Lindsey Witten is poised to start at one defensive end spot, the jury is out on the other. When Bloomfield's Marcus Campbell was ruled ineligible this season it meant inexperience was coming. The Huskies have been solid at end for years with Cody Brown and Julius Williams. Now, freshmen are going to have to step up. Fortunately, the Huskies had two, Jesse Joseph and Trevardo Williams, join the program in January. A.J. Portee, a redshirt freshman, has an opportunity.

? What areas need to be strengthened the most?

The secondary and, perhaps, at linebacker. The front line of these units is excellent. If injuries don't become a problem, UConn could have one of the best defenses in the Big East, certainly one of the best the program has had. There are some question marks in the secondary. The reserves looked OK during the spring but they're young. They also looked like they could use more work. Scott Lutrus, Greg Lloyd Jr. and Lawrence Wilson make up one of the best linebacking crews in the game but Edsall is a little concerned about depth. One player who should give him reason for optimism is redshirt freshman Sio Moore (6-1, 221), who had 16 tackles in the spring game.

? Will the Huskies be better on special teams?

They need to be. Particularly at decision-making and catching the ball on punts and kickoff returns. Mishaps cost the Huskies a win at Rutgers. Breakdowns in punt protection helped lead to a disheartening loss at North Carolina.

? How good can the defense be?

The unit finished sixth in the country, ninth against the pass, 16th against the run. If some of the talented yet inexperienced players step up, the answer is very good. The Huskies lost five highly productive starters. Four of them (CB Darius Butler, DE Cody Brown, DE Julius Williams and SS Dahna Deleston) are currently on NFL rosters. But the six starters who return were quite productive as well. Lutrus led the team in tackles (106) and Wilson was second with (73) and had three interceptions. Cornerback Jasper Howard led the team in interceptions (four) and Robert McClain, who replaces Butler, had three.
 

Cie

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Good luck, A. I looked into Ill/Mizz and favor Ill ats. Ill has defensive questions, and a new OC, but Mizzou secondary should provide ample opportunities for Juice & co. to put up some points. Seems like a long season awaits Mizz, as I do not recall a team losing this many offensive weapons at once.

Here is to a 'fast' start to your season:toast:
 

AR182

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thanks guys...appreciate it..

adding 2 more plays in case the lines move....& again i should have writeups on these games shortly....

basically i am playing against 2 teams that have new coaches with new schemes which i feel will take sometime to learn.....

texas a & m -13(120)....

a & m is in the 2nd year of coach sherman's systems & is returning 9 on offense, including their qb (johnson had a 18/10 td/int ratio) & 4 on the offensive line...on defense they are returning 7 starters....

new mex.has a new coach teaching drastically new schemes, have 9 starters back (6 on offense & 3 on defense) & lose 23 lettermen....


minn. -6 (120).....

usually am not inclined to lay points on the road but really like this matchup..minn. is in the 3rd year of their coach & return 10 on offense, including their qb & wide receiver who caught 84 passes last & their entire offensive line.....on defense minn returns 8 starters from last year....

this is the first year for syracuse's new coach & he has his work cut out for him because syracuse has gone 10-37 over the last 4 seasons.....they are returning 6 on offense & 7 on defense....


good luck...
 

freelancc

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does your wife know that college football does not start for anotherrrrr 3 weeks...:shrug:
 

#cruncher

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Some nice insights AR...You've made me want to take a strong look at Minny...like that experience factor across the board...Good Luck this season...:)
 

thebsmanofkent

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I haven't established my week 1 picks yet, but I would definitely lean to Illini -6 in that one.....
I don't know about laying points with Minny on
the road...:scared But, GL on your plays for
this week as well as the season

:mj06:
 

AR182

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another favorite i am taking....

calif.-20(130)....

i got this last night at 21 & bought a points to get it to 20...i wanted to post this now because this line is starting to move.....

phil steele picks cali.as a dark horse for the national championship....but as past years they will only go as far as their qb play....i made this play because i think cali has been pointing to this game all through their off-season camp to get revenge from last year's loss at maryland...cali offense has 7 starters back from last years team including the starting qb who must come through for them to do any damage natinally & a very explosive running attack that can score from anywhere on the field...they averaged 186 yds per game at 5.6 ypr last year & will be running behind 3 starters from last years offense line, which is very deep, as is the d-line which has 3 starters back from last year's team & all told have 8 starters back from last year's defense including the starting 4 in the 2ndary which should be very strong this year...

on the other hand md. has 9 staters back from last year's team ( the starting qb & running back are returning) including 2 from the o-line & 1 from the d-line...in total md. lost 31 lettermen from last year's team & the 56% of the lettermen returning are the fewest for a non-service college in the nation......

i look for cali to run right through maryland & win this game by at least 4 tds....

and as with the other games that i have posted i will have additional info on this game as it gets closer to the start of the season....

good luck....& call me mr. favorite...lol
 

Kramer

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Great to see your posts again 182!!! Best of luck this
year. Totally agree will Illinois -6. And to a slightly
lesser extent Cali (hate 20 pt spreads).

Looking forward to your weekly contributions. You
are a must read. May the gambling Gods smother
us with affection this year :toast: :toast: :toast:
 

AR182

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Great to see your posts again 182!!! Best of luck this
year. Totally agree will Illinois -6. And to a slightly
lesser extent Cali (hate 20 pt spreads).

Looking forward to your weekly contributions. You
are a must read. May the gambling Gods smother
us with affection this year :toast: :toast: :toast:

hey kramer...

good to see you back for another go-around...hope things are well with you....looking forward in reading your sandwhich threads....

good luck
 

AR182

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and yet another favorite....

utep-6....

buffalo had a magical season last year...& the 2 main reasons for their surprising year was because of their coach (turner gill) & their qb (drew willy).....also what helped the bulls last year was their plus-20 in turnovers, which covered up a porous defense, which ranked 94th in the country......their offense relied very heavily on willy, who threw just 12ints. in 845 attempts over the last two seasons.....but he's gone....as are 3 from the o-line, while the d-line returns only one starter....but they do have a very good back returning in starks & he is expected to carry the load on offense, especially in the early part of the season....all told buffalo returns 5 from last years starters on offense & 8 on defense....

last year utep opened their season at buffalo & got thumped 42-17 but they may have been looking ahead to their big game with texas the following week......but like buffalo, utep's defense also played very poorly (gave up 469 yards per game) last season but they were ravaged by numerous injuries & was learning a new defense......this year they will be in their 2nd year playing in the 3-3-5 defense & should perform considerably better...

on the other side of the ball, utep is led by their very good experienced qb (vittatoe), who has thrown for over 6300 yards, 58 tds and 16 ints in his first 2 seasons & will have their top 2 runners & their top receiver back from last year as well as 4 starters from last year's o-line...in total, utep will be returning 8 on offense & 7 on defense from last year's starters...

imo buffalo's offense will have some serious growing pains this year,especially for this 1st game, & won't be able to keep up with utep's potent attack......in addition buffalo is 1-11 in road openers & 0-6 the last 6....

utep has had plenty of time to remember last year's humiliation....& should win this game very comfortably......


good luck...
 

AR182

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adding.....

under 52 utah st / utah...

i wanted to post this play because i just saw pinnacle & a few other books dropped it to 51.5....i am basically tailing another capper on this play but will have a writeup when i get a chance....


good luck
 
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