adding.....
texas tech +4 (120).......
i was caught short on this.....i was tempted in playing tt at 6 but was hoping it would go to 7...but instead it went the other way....
this is texas 4th straight game against an undefeated opponent & by beating okla, missouri, & ok st b2b2b is, imo one of the greatest feats in college football history....& because texas has played so many consecutive big games with no rest is one of the reasons why i am playing texas tech. now the texas defense has to chase one of the best offenses in the nation all over the home field of tex. tech, where tt has won 34 of its last 40 games.....i think this will be too much for texas.
here is an ap article about this game...
Texas is a deserving No.1 in the BCS rankings after defeating Oklahoma, Missouri and Oklahoma State - all ranked in the top 11 of the AP poll at the time - in the past three weeks. But Mack Brown is concerned his Longhorns (8-0, 4-0) may not have enough energy left when they travel to Lubbock Saturday to play high-scoring, sixth-ranked Texas Tech (8-0, 4-0) in the final game of this brutal four-game Big 12 gauntlet. "We're telling our guys to get in bed, get off your feet," Brown said. "We're trying our best to make sure they can handle this stretch physically and emotionally."
The powerful Longhorns started to show signs of fatigue during their 28-24 victory over Oklahoma State last Saturday in Austin. Junior quarterback Colt McCoy completed a school record 38 passes for 391 yards and two touchdowns, but he threw an interception and fumbled a ball away near the Cowboys' goal line in the fourth quarter of a close game. Turnovers such as those could be fatal in a shootout against the Raiders. McCoy also has a bruised non-throwing hand. Meanwhile, the Texas defense started to break down, missing 12 tackles against Oklahoma State as the Cowboys rushed for 217 yards. Texas Tech, which scored 63 points against Kansas last week, is averaging 48points per game and 556.9 yards of total offense. Senior quarterback Graham Harrell, who leads the country with 3,147 passing yards and is fifth with 28 touchdown passes, completed 34 of 42 passes for 386 yards, five touchdowns and no interceptions, leading the Red Raiders to 49 straight points after the first quarter ended with the teams tied at 14. "When we play like that, we're tough to beat," Harrell said. This is the biggest game of the year in West Texas, and tickets are going for as much as $1,250 on eBay. Texas and Texas Tech are the two remaining unbeaten teams in the dangerous Big 12 South. If the Longhorns win, they should have a clear path to the BCS Championship Game. If Tech wins, the Raiders still have division games left against Oklahoma and Oklahoma State but they will definitely be in the mix and Harrell could emerge as a front-runner, along with McCoy, for the Heisman Trophy.
Harrell should be salivating at the thought of playing against Texas' young, banged-up secondary that is giving up 266.6 yards passing and played without cornerback Chykie Brown, who missed the game with a sore ankle. Tech's passing offense is predicated on getting the ball to receivers such
as Michael Crabtree in space looking for one-on-one matchups.
some trends....
mike leach (tt coach) is 12-0 su at home when undefeated.
texas tech is 8-2 ats as single digit home dogs under leach.
texas tech is 12-1 ats in home games after a game where they forced 4 or more turnovers since 1992.
home dogs that have scored 37 or more pts in consecutive games are 67-30 ATS since 1980.
texas is also just 5-12-1 ats under coach mack brown as a road favorite against a team with a winning record.....& 2-9 ats as a single digit conference road favorite.
unbeaten college football teams at 5-0 or better that are playing as road favorites of -20 or less pts are 37-67 ats since 1980 if they beat this same opponent last year.
undefeated road favorites from game 7 on are 12-31 ats against teams off b2b wins.
imo, getting points at home at night with an undefeated team that is playing like texas tech is too good to pass up.....looking forward to watching it.....& if texas wins this game they should give them the bcs trophy right there.
good luck