college plays for week #4....
- Thread starter AR182
- Start date
thanks guys...
adding....
marshall+10 (120)....
going back to try marshall after they let me down last week....i also know that all of the trends are against marshall & that they have been terrible on the road for the past few years...i just think that they have improved this year, while so. miss. has a young team & is not as good as past years.....so. miss. has just 10 returning starters from last years team while marshall has 17.....also so. miss. has a bye on deck and is 3-8 ats (found a trend that is against sm...lol) before a bye....although marshall has w. virginia next week, i don't think they will look ahead because so. miss has owned marshall the last few years......in the past games so. miss was able to have big rushing games against marshall....don't think that will happen this year because of marshall's experience on defense......think marshall keeps it within a td...
a system supporting this play....
play on - underdogs of 3.5 to 10 points (marshall) - with 6+ more total starters returning than opponent, in the first month of the season.
since 1992 the ats record is.......34-10......77.3%
good luck
adding....
marshall+10 (120)....
going back to try marshall after they let me down last week....i also know that all of the trends are against marshall & that they have been terrible on the road for the past few years...i just think that they have improved this year, while so. miss. has a young team & is not as good as past years.....so. miss. has just 10 returning starters from last years team while marshall has 17.....also so. miss. has a bye on deck and is 3-8 ats (found a trend that is against sm...lol) before a bye....although marshall has w. virginia next week, i don't think they will look ahead because so. miss has owned marshall the last few years......in the past games so. miss was able to have big rushing games against marshall....don't think that will happen this year because of marshall's experience on defense......think marshall keeps it within a td...
a system supporting this play....
play on - underdogs of 3.5 to 10 points (marshall) - with 6+ more total starters returning than opponent, in the first month of the season.
since 1992 the ats record is.......34-10......77.3%
good luck
AR if you have any thoughts on Ohio, could you share?
They look great to me. 0-3 vs 3-0. Northwestern has given up an average of over 4.5 yds per carry to some pretty shitty teams and Ohio's rushing numbers, although not great, are skewed by the quality of opponents to this point.
Cheers,
They look great to me. 0-3 vs 3-0. Northwestern has given up an average of over 4.5 yds per carry to some pretty shitty teams and Ohio's rushing numbers, although not great, are skewed by the quality of opponents to this point.
Cheers,
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I hope everyone takes notice of this strategy play. Very nicely capped.
Thanks 182,
Record is strong and here's to continued success :toast:
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Whoa!! One minute I am looking at SJST+8' and then the next minute it is +5. What is up here? Big move from +10 to +5. Major money or major player. What is your take now?
i don't know where you saw 5...i just saw anywhere between 8.5 at pinnacle to 9.5 at bookmaker & betonline....
Hey Al - keep up the good work
Thing that scares me about the Thundering Herd is their date w/ the "Neers on deck - these 2 schools seem to really hate each other and I know Marshall is always up for WV - tough to overlook the CUSA dynasty though
GL - LA Burns
Thing that scares me about the Thundering Herd is their date w/ the "Neers on deck - these 2 schools seem to really hate each other and I know Marshall is always up for WV - tough to overlook the CUSA dynasty though
GL - LA Burns
tp...
i just came across this trend that is against nw...
When Northwestern played as any home/road team - During Last 5 Years - Won Last Game by 4 Points or More; The Wildcats are 3-17-0 ATS in this role the L5Y.
nw also has a revenge game next week against iowa...so you may be on to something...but i am not sure if i am playing this...
good luck with whatever you decide..
thanks...
yeah i hear you about the herd may looking ahead to their game against w. vir....but i don't think that will be the case because so. miss has beaten marshall so often that i think they will be up for the game...
adding....
c. mich+11(120).....
this is a tough spot for pudue...last week they blew a 17 point lead & lost in ot vs. oregon...& next week they have a rivalry game against notre dame...so besides being down from that loss, i think it's possible that they may overlook this game vs. a team that they beat twice last year & who is from the lowly mac conference....but c. mich. can trade points with purdue & may be able to get more rushing yards than purdue...& if purdue is not careful, c.mich could win this game su....
here are a few trends....
c. mich is 20-8 ats in all games over the last 3 seasons.
c. mich is 13-4 ats off 1 or more straight overs over the last 3 seasons.
c. mich is 14-1 ats after playing their last game on the road over the last 3 seasons.
good luck
c. mich+11(120).....
this is a tough spot for pudue...last week they blew a 17 point lead & lost in ot vs. oregon...& next week they have a rivalry game against notre dame...so besides being down from that loss, i think it's possible that they may overlook this game vs. a team that they beat twice last year & who is from the lowly mac conference....but c. mich. can trade points with purdue & may be able to get more rushing yards than purdue...& if purdue is not careful, c.mich could win this game su....
here are a few trends....
c. mich is 20-8 ats in all games over the last 3 seasons.
c. mich is 13-4 ats off 1 or more straight overs over the last 3 seasons.
c. mich is 14-1 ats after playing their last game on the road over the last 3 seasons.
good luck
adding....
toledo+7...
last week fresno played & lost what their coach termed the most important game ever in fresno's history.....now they have to fly across the country & play a team from the mac conference & then fly back to cali to play ucla.....this is not a good sandwhich spot for fresno...& it could cause their cach heartburn....this is toledo's home opener where they are 41-6 su in the last 8 years.....while fsu is 3-9 ats as a road favorite under this coach.
additional trends....
fsu is 2-11 ats in road games off a home loss since 1992.
fsu is 1-11 ats after 1 or more consecutive straight up losses over the last 3 seasons.
fsu is 0-9 ats after playing a non-conference game over the last 3 seasons.
toledo is 10-1 ats in home games after a win by 21 or more points since 1992.
a system.....
play against - favorites of 3.5 to 10 points (fsu) - off a home loss against opponent off a double digit road win.
since 1992 the ats record is......31-8.......79.5%
over the last 10 seasons the situation's record is.....21-3......87.5%
good luck
toledo+7...
last week fresno played & lost what their coach termed the most important game ever in fresno's history.....now they have to fly across the country & play a team from the mac conference & then fly back to cali to play ucla.....this is not a good sandwhich spot for fresno...& it could cause their cach heartburn....this is toledo's home opener where they are 41-6 su in the last 8 years.....while fsu is 3-9 ats as a road favorite under this coach.
additional trends....
fsu is 2-11 ats in road games off a home loss since 1992.
fsu is 1-11 ats after 1 or more consecutive straight up losses over the last 3 seasons.
fsu is 0-9 ats after playing a non-conference game over the last 3 seasons.
toledo is 10-1 ats in home games after a win by 21 or more points since 1992.
a system.....
play against - favorites of 3.5 to 10 points (fsu) - off a home loss against opponent off a double digit road win.
since 1992 the ats record is......31-8.......79.5%
over the last 10 seasons the situation's record is.....21-3......87.5%
good luck
adding....
under 28 1st half kst/lou....
i am basically following 2 fine cappers at different forums with this play....but the more i studied the game the more i liked this play....
louisville is really struggling offensively due to a lack of experience at the receiver position & i feel that they will try to run the ball to try to shorten the game...while kst is stepping up in competition compared to their previous opponents, their defense seems to be pretty good & i also think it will take time for the kst offense to adapt to the speed of lousiville....
good luck
under 28 1st half kst/lou....
i am basically following 2 fine cappers at different forums with this play....but the more i studied the game the more i liked this play....
louisville is really struggling offensively due to a lack of experience at the receiver position & i feel that they will try to run the ball to try to shorten the game...while kst is stepping up in competition compared to their previous opponents, their defense seems to be pretty good & i also think it will take time for the kst offense to adapt to the speed of lousiville....
good luck
AR, thank you sir. I like it as long as you arent withholding any trends that support NW in this game.
:toast:
