College Plays From 10/13 - 10/16....

[AR182]

I have played a few games already where the line has moved a few points, so will not post those.... Since I normally play a lot of games in college, I'll post as many as I can....I flat bet all of these games....

So.Miss-14....

Last week So.Miss blew a 20 point lead & lost to E.Carolina by 1 point....& that is the reason why I am taking them in this game....Memphis was blown out last week by Louisville, which is emblematic of their season....They have lost their last 2 games (Tulsa & UL) by 73 points & that was just to the spread !!....They were outscored in those 2 games 104-7 & outgained by 591 yds.... For the season, Memphis is ranked #113in total offense & #107 in total defense....

Even with their loss last week, So.Miss. has been playing well over the last few games....They have held each of their last 4 opponents to season low or 2nd low yardage & have allowed an average of 33 rypg in those games....They are rated #16 in total defense, allowing an average of 292 ypg....On offense, SM averages close to 30 ppg....

SM has akways done well at Memphis as they are 10-5 SU & 10-3 ATS there....Recently they are 4-0ATS away off a SU favorite loss vs. a conference opponent....Memphis is 4-14 ATs in their last 18 games....

Play On - A road team (So.Miss.) - after a game with a turnover margin of +4 or better against opponent after 2 consecutive games with a turnover margin of -1 or worse....

Since 1992, the ATS record for this system is....45-18....71.4%.....


Good luck....

 

[DR STRANGELOVE]

good luck mr al

 

[AR182]

Thanks Dr Love....Hope all is well with you....

 

[Corley1011]

GL buddy :toast:

 

[Bucknut1]

Like it, GL AR..

:toast:

 

[#cruncher]

I have played a few games already where the line has moved a few points, so will not post those....

I wouldn't be worried about that AR. I'm more interested in who a man has than the price he got it at. We can't be policeing each other to death. As long as its somewhere between the opening and closing lines that's all that really mattters. It's not always possible to make a bet and then turn right around and post. GL this week, So Miss does seem the way to go, Memphis has had a rough go of it so far.

 

[kcwolf]

Good luck this week Al. I hope your wife is doing better, a special lady. We need to hook up some time, maybe this winter in Vegas?

 

[LDB]

gl this week ar...

 

[AR182]

I have played a few games already where the line has moved a few points, so will not post those....

I wouldn't be worried about that AR. I'm more interested in who a man has than the price he got it at. We can't be policeing each other to death. As long as its somewhere between the opening and closing lines that's all that really mattters. It's not always possible to make a bet and then turn right around and post. GL this week, So Miss does seem the way to go, Memphis has had a rough go of it so far.

Hey cruncher....Somebody on another forum asked me to post those plays also....So I will....

 

[AR182]

Good luck this week Al. I hope your wife is doing better, a special lady. We need to hook up some time, maybe this winter in Vegas?

Thanks guys....

kc....I'll next be attending a wedding in Vegas (right now at the Mirage) during superbowl weekend from that Thursday (2/3) to the Monday after the game (2/7)....It'll be great to meetup with you if you are in town....

Hope things are now going well for you & your wife (who I never met)....

 

[StevieD]

Thanks guys....

kc....I'll next be attending a wedding in Vegas (right now at the Mirage) during superbowl weekend from that Thursday (2/3) to the Monday after the game (2/7)....It'll be great to meetup with you if you are in town....

Hope things are now going well for you & your wife (who I never met)....

That's why she is still an honorable woman!

 

[AR182]

Some people have asked me to post as many plays as I can, no matter what the points were when I played the game....

C. Michigan-11....

Had C. Michigan last week vs.VT & came away pretty impressed with them, so I took them this week as soon as the lines came out....Besides missing 2 fg's, they lost last week because they couldn't match VT's speed....But this game is against a very weak Miami-O team, who's season is sinking fast is the perfect opponent for them....Miami has struggled offensively all season, as they have exceeded 70 YR only against E. Michigan, while their qb, Dysert has thrown just 1 TD pass in the last 3 games & has thrown more ints. than TDs during his career....Their defense is not doing much better, as they have allowed 117 pts. & either season high or 2nd high yds. over the last 3 games....On the other side of the ball, CM.s qb, Radcliff has averaged 284 ypg passing ypg, this season, their top back is averaging 5.4 ypc (ran for 105 yds. vs. VT), & their top receiver has 27 catches for the season....CM has the 18th-ranked passing attack & are 41st on defense....

CM is 6-2 ATS in their last 8 times they have been a dd favorite....This is CM's homecoming game & they have won & covered 5 straight homecoming games , winning all by dd, with an average margin of 24 points.....

CM has lost 3 straight & they should be in a bad mood & have the perfect opponent to take out their anger on....This should be a blowout....


Good luck....

 

[AR182]

That's why she is still an honorable woman!

:mj07: Hey Stevie, it's good to see you taking your humor to the forum....

 

[the addict]

good luck this week AR....lets cash cent. mich

 

[BadAngel]

GL AR

 

[AR182]

Thanks addict....Appreciate it....

Under 54(120) Utah / Wyoming....

Wyom. is another team that is impotent on offense as they are last in the nation in total offense at 240.7 ypg & in rushing yards with 69.2per game....They also are tied for 118th out of 120 FBS teams in scoring with 12.5 ppg....Utah is giving up an average of 15.6 ppg....I have read that the head coaches from these teams are pretty close so think that Utah will put on the brakes if & when they take a big lead....

Play Under - All teams where the total is between 49.5 and 56 (Wyom.) - after allowing 24 points or more in the first half last game against opponent after scoring 20 points or more in the first half in 2 straight games....

Over the last 5 seasons the record for this system is....84.6%....

The average total posted in these games was....53.3....The average score total points scored in these games....44.2....


Good luck....

 

[redsfann]

C. Michigan-11....

.

My favorite play for Saturday, Ar. Got it at -13.5--anything less than 21 here is a good line, IMO. Good luck to us....:toast:

 

[AR182]

Tonight I'm taking....

Under 23 1st half C.Fla / Marshall....

After last week's offensive explosion, I think C Fla's offense comes out flat in the beginning of the game....

Play Under - Road teams where the first half total is between 21.5 and 24.5 (C. Fla) - off a home win by 17 points or more, in the first half of the season....

Over the last 5 seasons the record for this system is....88-43....67.2%....

The average first half total posted in these games was....23.1....The average first half total points scored in these games was....20.2....

Good luck....

 

[Morris]

GL tonite AR!

 

[AR182]

Thanks Morris....

I am going to play the 3 dogs for the remaining weeknight games....

Kansas+3....
So.Fla+11(120)....
Louisville+3....


Good luck....