I changed my mind on the So.Fla. play & bought it back....It now looks like this....
So.Fla.+11(120)....
W. Virginia-9(130)....
Good luck....
So.Fla.+11(120)....
W. Virginia-9(130)....
Good luck....
College Plays From 10/13 - 10/16....
- Thread starter AR182
- Start date
Thanks Joe....Good luck also....
Wash....ml....
Oregon St. has been very good to me so far this year, but don't like the situation they are in for this game....This is their 3rd road game in 4 weeks & they have done poorly in the 2nd of b2b road games, as they are 4-13(23.5%) ATS in those games....They also have lost WR Rodgers for at least this game & in the process lose his 177 all-purpose ypg....In addition, OSU has been out-stated in 4 of their 5 games....
This is a big game for Wash.if they have desire of making a bowl game this year....They have lost 2 straight home games so I expect Jake to rally his team to a strong showing in this game....
Play Against - A road team vs. the money line (OSU) - off a win over a conference rival as an underdog of 6 or more points, in weeks 5 through 9....
Over the last 5 seasons, the SU record of this system is....21-6....77.8%....
The system's record this season is....1-0....
Over the last 3 seasons the systems's record is....12-2....85.7%....
Good luck....
Wash....ml....
Oregon St. has been very good to me so far this year, but don't like the situation they are in for this game....This is their 3rd road game in 4 weeks & they have done poorly in the 2nd of b2b road games, as they are 4-13(23.5%) ATS in those games....They also have lost WR Rodgers for at least this game & in the process lose his 177 all-purpose ypg....In addition, OSU has been out-stated in 4 of their 5 games....
This is a big game for Wash.if they have desire of making a bowl game this year....They have lost 2 straight home games so I expect Jake to rally his team to a strong showing in this game....
Play Against - A road team vs. the money line (OSU) - off a win over a conference rival as an underdog of 6 or more points, in weeks 5 through 9....
Over the last 5 seasons, the SU record of this system is....21-6....77.8%....
The system's record this season is....1-0....
Over the last 3 seasons the systems's record is....12-2....85.7%....
Good luck....
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Illinois+7....
I like playing against a team who won last week as a dog (won su the last 2 weeks as a dog) & is now home as a favorite....Imo they become a little too complacent....Michigan St. is 1-3 su & 0-4 ATS at home the game after playing Michigan & 4-9 ATS as Big-10 favorites....
Illinois is a tough team, they are ranked #20 in the nation in total defense & are allowing an average of 117 rushing yds. per game (3.7 ypr) & has held 4 of their 5 opponents this year to season low or 2nd low in yardage....These opponents have a combined su record of 15-5 vs. FBS opponents.... They are also 9-1 ATS in their last 10 as away dogs & are recently 5-0 ATS in the 2nd of b2b road games & are 6-1 ATS the week after playing Penn. St....
Play On - Underdogs of 3.5 to 10 points (Illinois) - after beating the spread by more than 21 points in their previous game, in the first half of the season....
Over the last 10 seasons the ATS record for this system is....49-22....69%....
The average line posted in these games was.... Opponent favored by 7.3....The average score in these games was....Team 24.9, Opponent 28.3....
Good luck....
I like playing against a team who won last week as a dog (won su the last 2 weeks as a dog) & is now home as a favorite....Imo they become a little too complacent....Michigan St. is 1-3 su & 0-4 ATS at home the game after playing Michigan & 4-9 ATS as Big-10 favorites....
Illinois is a tough team, they are ranked #20 in the nation in total defense & are allowing an average of 117 rushing yds. per game (3.7 ypr) & has held 4 of their 5 opponents this year to season low or 2nd low in yardage....These opponents have a combined su record of 15-5 vs. FBS opponents.... They are also 9-1 ATS in their last 10 as away dogs & are recently 5-0 ATS in the 2nd of b2b road games & are 6-1 ATS the week after playing Penn. St....
Play On - Underdogs of 3.5 to 10 points (Illinois) - after beating the spread by more than 21 points in their previous game, in the first half of the season....
Over the last 10 seasons the ATS record for this system is....49-22....69%....
The average line posted in these games was.... Opponent favored by 7.3....The average score in these games was....Team 24.9, Opponent 28.3....
Good luck....
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Thanks MC....Appreciate it....
Clemson-13(120)....
Made this play earlier in the week....
Most of the trends in this game favor Maryland, but revenge (Md. has won the last 2 times these teams have played) & the situation favors Clemson & that is why I like this play....
Maryland's stats are all based on a weak schedule & because they played 4 of their 5 games this season at home....They played Navy, Morgan St, Fla. Int'l & Duke at home & won those games.... They played W. Virginia on the road & lost by 14 points....& eventhough Md. played a weak schedule, they were out-stated in 4 of the 5 games, & in 4 of 4 games against FBS opponents....In addition, in the 4 lined games (no line on Morgan st.game), the opponents ran 134 more plays, generated 40 more first downs, & gained 723 more yards.....On defense against these weak teams, Md. has shown nothing special vs. the run (Navy rushed for 312 yds,), or the pass (Florida Int. & Duke both threw for over 350 yds.)....In Clemson, they face an offense that brings balance, much like WV, which gained over 200 both running & passing.....
Believe it or not & despite their record, Clemson has played pretty good football this season, & even in games that they lost, CU was just 1 play away in the 4th qtr. vs. Auburn, Miami F. & N. Carolina (CU committed 6 turnovers)....Even playing a tougher schedule, CU has a better offense (by over 50 ypg) & defense then Md....
I look for Clemson to win this game by at least 17 points....
Good luck....
Clemson-13(120)....
Made this play earlier in the week....
Most of the trends in this game favor Maryland, but revenge (Md. has won the last 2 times these teams have played) & the situation favors Clemson & that is why I like this play....
Maryland's stats are all based on a weak schedule & because they played 4 of their 5 games this season at home....They played Navy, Morgan St, Fla. Int'l & Duke at home & won those games.... They played W. Virginia on the road & lost by 14 points....& eventhough Md. played a weak schedule, they were out-stated in 4 of the 5 games, & in 4 of 4 games against FBS opponents....In addition, in the 4 lined games (no line on Morgan st.game), the opponents ran 134 more plays, generated 40 more first downs, & gained 723 more yards.....On defense against these weak teams, Md. has shown nothing special vs. the run (Navy rushed for 312 yds,), or the pass (Florida Int. & Duke both threw for over 350 yds.)....In Clemson, they face an offense that brings balance, much like WV, which gained over 200 both running & passing.....
Believe it or not & despite their record, Clemson has played pretty good football this season, & even in games that they lost, CU was just 1 play away in the 4th qtr. vs. Auburn, Miami F. & N. Carolina (CU committed 6 turnovers)....Even playing a tougher schedule, CU has a better offense (by over 50 ypg) & defense then Md....
I look for Clemson to win this game by at least 17 points....
Good luck....
Thanks Big Ray....
Miss.+21....
Miss.is off a bye, which they are 5-0 ATS, while Bama is playing in their 7th straight week & is off their 1st regular season loss since 2007....Under Saban, Bama is 1-6 ATS off a SU loss & 3-9 ATS at home vs. a rested conference opponent....Nutt is 12-2 ATS as a dog of 10.5 to 21 points in all games he has coached since 1992....The average score was Nutt 20.8, Opponent 26.1....He is also 7-0 ATS vs. top 10 teams & has upset the #2, #1(twice),#4 & #18 outright in that span....As a team, Miss. is 10-1 ATS as an away dog....
For the season, Miss. has averaged 37.2 ppg & 434.4 ypg....
Play against any favorite (Bama) who was 5-0 SU or greater, off its 1st loss of the season if they were favored & allowed 35> points in the loss, allows >13 ppg on the season & won ATS in the game before the loss....
Since 1980 the record for this system is....16-1....95%....
Good luck....
Miss.+21....
Miss.is off a bye, which they are 5-0 ATS, while Bama is playing in their 7th straight week & is off their 1st regular season loss since 2007....Under Saban, Bama is 1-6 ATS off a SU loss & 3-9 ATS at home vs. a rested conference opponent....Nutt is 12-2 ATS as a dog of 10.5 to 21 points in all games he has coached since 1992....The average score was Nutt 20.8, Opponent 26.1....He is also 7-0 ATS vs. top 10 teams & has upset the #2, #1(twice),#4 & #18 outright in that span....As a team, Miss. is 10-1 ATS as an away dog....
For the season, Miss. has averaged 37.2 ppg & 434.4 ypg....
Play against any favorite (Bama) who was 5-0 SU or greater, off its 1st loss of the season if they were favored & allowed 35> points in the loss, allows >13 ppg on the season & won ATS in the game before the loss....
Since 1980 the record for this system is....16-1....95%....
Good luck....
Calif.+3(120)....
Imo USC will be flat for this game as they are coming off 2 heartbreaking last minute losses, & it appears the loss to Stanford, which USC put an all out effort into, has really bothered the team....The quote by the USC qb, Matt Barkley shows this....
?For us and our team, it?s the highest of highs we?ve been all year and then it shoots down to the lowest of lows?....
In comparing defenses, USC allows 26 ppg, while Calif's defense allows 15.8 ppg 7 have held all 5 opponents to season low or 2nd low yds. this season....
Play Against - Home teams where the line is +3 to -3 (USC) - off a close loss by 7 points or less to a conference rival against opponent off a home win by 17 points or more....
Since 1992 the ATS record for this system is....38-11....77.6%....
The average line posted in these games was.... Opponent favored by 0.5....The average score in these games was....Team 26.7, Opponent 22.4....
Good luck....
Imo USC will be flat for this game as they are coming off 2 heartbreaking last minute losses, & it appears the loss to Stanford, which USC put an all out effort into, has really bothered the team....The quote by the USC qb, Matt Barkley shows this....
?For us and our team, it?s the highest of highs we?ve been all year and then it shoots down to the lowest of lows?....
In comparing defenses, USC allows 26 ppg, while Calif's defense allows 15.8 ppg 7 have held all 5 opponents to season low or 2nd low yds. this season....
Play Against - Home teams where the line is +3 to -3 (USC) - off a close loss by 7 points or less to a conference rival against opponent off a home win by 17 points or more....
Since 1992 the ATS record for this system is....38-11....77.6%....
The average line posted in these games was.... Opponent favored by 0.5....The average score in these games was....Team 26.7, Opponent 22.4....
Good luck....
Boy, that Kansas play was for the birds....Can't believe they beat GT....1-1 so far on the weekday plays....
Louisville+3....
Imo UL is playing better than they were forecast during the preseon, while Cin. is performing worse....Ul averages over 200 ypg rushing & passing, while Cin. is pretty close to that....
Cin. is 2-8 ATS in their last 10 games.....UL is 23-10ATS after running for over 200 yards in their last game....
2 systems....
Play Against - A road team (Cin) - after gaining 475or more total yards in their previous game against opponent after gaining 6.75 or more yards/play in 2 consecutive games....
Over the last 10 seasons the system's record is....31-11....73.8%....
Play On - Home underdogs (UL) - after beating the spread by more than 21 points in their previous game, in the first half of the season....
Over the last 5 seasons the situation's record is....18-4....81.8%....
Good luck....
Louisville+3....
Imo UL is playing better than they were forecast during the preseon, while Cin. is performing worse....Ul averages over 200 ypg rushing & passing, while Cin. is pretty close to that....
Cin. is 2-8 ATS in their last 10 games.....UL is 23-10ATS after running for over 200 yards in their last game....
2 systems....
Play Against - A road team (Cin) - after gaining 475or more total yards in their previous game against opponent after gaining 6.75 or more yards/play in 2 consecutive games....
Over the last 10 seasons the system's record is....31-11....73.8%....
Play On - Home underdogs (UL) - after beating the spread by more than 21 points in their previous game, in the first half of the season....
Over the last 5 seasons the situation's record is....18-4....81.8%....
Good luck....
Thanks mw, appreciate it....
The same birdie who told me to get off the So. Fla play last night has told me to get off the Louisville play....Since that worked out well for me, I decided to follow the birdie & get off Louisville....
The play now looks like this....
Louisville+3....
Cin-2(120)....
Good luck....
The same birdie who told me to get off the So. Fla play last night has told me to get off the Louisville play....Since that worked out well for me, I decided to follow the birdie & get off Louisville....
The play now looks like this....
Louisville+3....
Cin-2(120)....
Good luck....
