COLORADO AND SF -- i see some value here

Crookity

Registered
Forum Member
Nov 11, 2014
2,834
227
63
Toronto
lets break it down

Colorado 47-31 vs Giants 27-51

- Rockies have beaten Giants 9 straight times and 10 of 11 this season...Won 3 of 4 earlier in Colorado, and swept a four game home series from Giants earlier this month.

- Marquez has allowed two or fewer runs in seven of his past 8 starts, he is pitching on an extra day rest
? In his only time pitching in SF he was hit for 12 hits and 6 runs in 4 1/3
? Samardzija is 0-3 vs Rockies this season ? ERA is 9.33 ?was hit for 8 runs and 11 hits in their last meeting

Career vs Samardzija:

Arenado .462 with 26 Abs
Desmond .444 with 18 AB
LeMahieu .417 in 24 AB
Blackman .296 with 27 AB

I see nice value here:

COLORADO +115 & OVER 7.5

:0074
 
Last edited:

REDSKIN

Registered User
Forum Member
Jan 21, 2008
498
9
18
lets break it down

Colorado 47-31 vs Giants 27-51

- Rockies have beaten Giants 9 straight times and 10 of 11 this season...Won 3 of 4 earlier in Colorado, and swept a four game home series from Giants earlier this month.

- Marquez has allowed two or fewer runs in seven of his past 8 starts, he is pitching on an extra day rest
? In his only time pitching in SF he was hit for 12 hits and 6 runs in 4 1/3
? Samardzija is 0-3 vs Rockies this season ? ERA is 9.33 ?was hit for 8 runs and 11 hits in their last meeting

Career vs Samardzija:

Arenado .462 with 26 Abs
Desmond .444 with 18 AB
LeMahieu .417 in 24 AB
Blackman .296 with 27 AB

I see nice value here:

COLORADO +115 & OVER 7.5

:0074

Crook, thanks for posting the great info. The only problem I have here is the guys who make these lines have access to all of that info and more yet they still lined the game like this. Either this is a huge sucker bet and somebody knows something or the books are giving away free money tonight. Guess we'll find out in about 10 hours. GL tonight! 👍
 

Crookity

Registered
Forum Member
Nov 11, 2014
2,834
227
63
Toronto
Crook, thanks for posting the great info. The only problem I have here is the guys who make these lines have access to all of that info and more yet they still lined the game like this. Either this is a huge sucker bet and somebody knows something or the books are giving away free money tonight. Guess we'll find out in about 10 hours. GL tonight! 👍

Trust me I was thinking the same thing, i just can't ignore those #'s, too many factors pointing in this direction. Hell i just added the Colorado over 3.5 team total, we will see what comes of this LOL.
 

OWENS81

Registered
Forum Member
Nov 2, 2013
2,605
21
38
Wisconsin
Yeah man I hit it at -105...-115...-120.... hitting it hard...lets get it early!!! By end of 3rd inning sounds good!!! Good luck fellas
 

Crookity

Registered
Forum Member
Nov 11, 2014
2,834
227
63
Toronto
Yeah man I hit it at -105...-115...-120.... hitting it hard...lets get it early!!! By end of 3rd inning sounds good!!! Good luck fellas

Sounds good to me brother...I should add that I see the weather as showing wind gusts strong at times out to Centre in SF, just an added element that hopefully goes in our favor here for that team total and the game total :0074:0003:popcorn2
 

jl39

Registered User
Forum Member
Aug 23, 2011
1,738
40
48
After yesterday when the Giants got 1 run off Montero, who is absolute trash, I am done with their games. I like where you're going, either bet against them or nothing
 

kenman

Registered User
Forum Member
Aug 17, 2002
2,400
10
38
East Coast
only thing worries me on this total Opened at 8 and down to 7.5 ... the % on the OV and line still goes down ???

TIME OVER UNDER
06/26 02:31 PM 7? +100 71% 7? -110 29%
06/26 01:33 PM 7? +105 70% 7? -115 30%
06/26 01:15 PM 7? +100 69% 7? -110 31%
06/26 11:10 AM 7? +105 70% 7? -115 30%
06/26 09:26 AM 7? +100 97% 7? -110 3%
06/26 09:00 AM 7? -115 96% 7? +105 4%
06/26 08:04 AM 7? -110 96% 7? +100 4%
06/26 04:32 AM 8 +105 97% 8 -115 3%
06/26 01:28 AM 7? -112 97% 7? +102 3%
06/26 01:23 AM 7? -111 97% 7? +101 3%
06/25 10:58 PM 7? -110 97% 7? +100 3%
06/25 09:39 PM 8 +100 100% 8 -110 0%
06/25 09:18 PM 8 -105 100% 8 -105 0%

GL
 

Terryray

Say Parlay
Forum Member
Dec 6, 2001
9,857
2,357
113
Kansas City area for who knows how long....
basically, SF been lousy all season, CO been just as lousy this past week - so who will be the least lousy tonight? I'd think SF at home, what with CO playing 7th game in 7 days, I dunno, so I tossed SF in a parlay (also liking this crooked line)....not list any pitchers.

but looking at the pitchers - German Marquez been been getting good results, but on road most that against poor teams, or teams in a slump, and he does sport a 4.46 xFIP, has poor soft vs hard contact %, so I'd say he's over due for a poor start, tho I'd predict that more likely to happen vs better offense than SF...Samardzija been pitching fine, except those darn home runs he gives up! He's due for a good outing, but I'd predict that more likely to happen vs team who doesn't smack as many HR as Colorado...

I read "Tonight's most heavily bet game also most lopsided. #Rockies getting 72% yet they've gone from +104 to +117 at SF 🤔🤔" (via SportsInsights)
 

hammer1

Registered User
Forum Member
Jun 17, 2002
7,791
127
63
Wisconsin and Dorado Puerto Rico
basically, SF been lousy all season, CO been just as lousy this past week - so who will be the least lousy tonight? I'd think SF at home, what with CO playing 7th game in 7 days, I dunno, so I tossed SF in a parlay (also liking this crooked line)....not list any pitchers.



I read "Tonight's most heavily bet game also most lopsided. #Rockies getting 72% yet they've gone from +104 to +117 at SF 🤔🤔" (via SportsInsights)

One of the most telling numbers and moves.... it's illogical !! 72 % on Rockies but line going the other way.. Ya can cap your ass off and hard to take Giants best to pass because of the $$ move but giants if at all.. I have preached for 15 years ya play as close to game as possible but no one listens at least u saw the warning flags. Ya will never beat this shit if u dont watch where the money is going.. and why !!!


Hammer comandment 1 of many ""Better to pass a winner than catch a loser ya lose ya now need 2 winners
 

Crookity

Registered
Forum Member
Nov 11, 2014
2,834
227
63
Toronto
One of the most telling numbers and moves.... it's illogical !! 72 % on Rockies but line going the other way.. Ya can cap your ass off and hard to take Giants best to pass because of the $$ move but giants if at all.. I have preached for 15 years ya play as close to game as possible but no one listens at least u saw the warning flags. Ya will never beat this shit if u dont watch where the money is going.. and why !!!


Hammer comandment 1 of many ""Better to pass a winner than catch a loser ya lose ya now need 2 winners

ya the red flags were going up, but thought I would take my chances. I figured worst case the Rockies and Over would split, I guess i was right on that front :shrug::shrug:
 

hammer1

Registered User
Forum Member
Jun 17, 2002
7,791
127
63
Wisconsin and Dorado Puerto Rico
ya the red flags were going up, but thought I would take my chances. I figured worst case the Rockies and Over would split, I guess i was right on that front :shrug::shrug:



Yup Rocks sure looked like right side if ya cap. I have learned the hardway not to go ag $$ most times. Esp when it seems illogical. Ex: Kershaw is .2.90 and drops to $2.30
 

SixFive

bonswa
Forum Member
Mar 12, 2001
18,889
339
83
54
BG, KY, USA
One of the most telling numbers and moves.... it's illogical !! 72 % on Rockies but line going the other way.. Ya can cap your ass off and hard to take Giants best to pass because of the $$ move but giants if at all.. I have preached for 15 years ya play as close to game as possible but no one listens at least u saw the warning flags. Ya will never beat this shit if u dont watch where the money is going.. and why !!!


Hammer comandment 1 of many ""Better to pass a winner than catch a loser ya lose ya now need 2 winners

You have to be the best after the fact/post-game handicapper on Madjacks. Your insights on the game after the game is over are almost always impeccable and spot on.
 

DZ

Urban Achiever
Forum Member
Oct 22, 2009
11,819
119
63
310/917
You have to be the best after the fact/post-game handicapper on Madjacks. Your insights on the game after the game is over are almost always impeccable and spot on.

Great Hammer trend: He posts 100% winners on all games broadcasted on ESPN Classic. Very impressive
 
Bet on MyBookie
Top