- Jul 6, 2008
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Commercialbank Qatar Masters January 27 - 31, 2010
- Thread starter DerrickTulips
- Start date
- Jul 6, 2008
- 3,219
- 3
- 0
Round 1 play (2pts):
Johan Edfors to beat Richie Ramsay +100 @ Extrabet
Ramsay may have won the South African Open last month, but he missed the cut the week before that and missed the cut on his return to the Tour last week. He is clearly a great prospect, but has yet to achieve a consistent level on this Tour and that should be hard to attain this week on his course debut. Not so for Edfors who has finished 27th, 4th and 16th in the last three years here and beat Ramsay by six shots over 36 holes last week.
Johan Edfors to beat Richie Ramsay +100 @ Extrabet
Ramsay may have won the South African Open last month, but he missed the cut the week before that and missed the cut on his return to the Tour last week. He is clearly a great prospect, but has yet to achieve a consistent level on this Tour and that should be hard to attain this week on his course debut. Not so for Edfors who has finished 27th, 4th and 16th in the last three years here and beat Ramsay by six shots over 36 holes last week.
- Jul 6, 2008
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Bought back a 1/3 of that play.. not feeling confident based on quiros not feeling confident. :sadwave:
Still a play though... just not as big.
Still a play though... just not as big.
Outrights:
Chris Wood(66/1) e.w.
- - I'm confident his game is very solid at the moment, and despite struggling to figure out how to close out events, he's due to do a better job of precisely that, and good driving and putting and "reputed to ridiculous" winds of Doha are a well matched spot for a solid start that sets up a chance to close.
Ian Poulter(20/1) e.w.
- - I was at least a little bit surprised that Poulter's game was sharp enough to chase down Kaymer last week (before being passed back at the end). Much going for him this week, IMO.
Paul Lawrie(150/1) e.w.
- - This would be the spot I would have circled last October as the best spot for Lawrie to get a little bit encouraged about where his game is at, but as ever he needs to hole those few more putts from all situations over the course of all four rounds to get where winners generally emerge from.
Nick Dougherty(125/1) e.w.
- -
Shane Lowry(80/1) e.w.
- -
GL
Chris Wood(66/1) e.w.
- - I'm confident his game is very solid at the moment, and despite struggling to figure out how to close out events, he's due to do a better job of precisely that, and good driving and putting and "reputed to ridiculous" winds of Doha are a well matched spot for a solid start that sets up a chance to close.
Ian Poulter(20/1) e.w.
- - I was at least a little bit surprised that Poulter's game was sharp enough to chase down Kaymer last week (before being passed back at the end). Much going for him this week, IMO.
Paul Lawrie(150/1) e.w.
- - This would be the spot I would have circled last October as the best spot for Lawrie to get a little bit encouraged about where his game is at, but as ever he needs to hole those few more putts from all situations over the course of all four rounds to get where winners generally emerge from.
Nick Dougherty(125/1) e.w.
- -
Shane Lowry(80/1) e.w.
- -
GL
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Round 2 play (2pts):
Paul Casey to beat Lee Westwood +110 @ Paddy Power
Can't see why Casey should be such a clear underdog in this matchup, starting the 2nd round in 15th place he would tend to outperform a player starting the 2nd round in 3rd place. And it is not as though there was any notable difference in their stats today to show that Casey was playing poorly. So, with their h2h records showing that Westwood has shot the lower 2nd round score just three times since the start of 2009, I'll back the underdog in this match.
Paul Casey to beat Lee Westwood +110 @ Paddy Power
Can't see why Casey should be such a clear underdog in this matchup, starting the 2nd round in 15th place he would tend to outperform a player starting the 2nd round in 3rd place. And it is not as though there was any notable difference in their stats today to show that Casey was playing poorly. So, with their h2h records showing that Westwood has shot the lower 2nd round score just three times since the start of 2009, I'll back the underdog in this match.
Round 3 play (2pts):
Retief Goosen to beat Louis Oosthuizen -110 @ SkyBet
Oosthuizen has been very poor so far: he ranks 62nd in driving distance, 51st in driving accuracy and 99th in greens in regulation. Surely his putter can't save him for a third day. But even if it does, he hardly ever beats Goosen on the third day: they played in 11 common events last year and Oosthuizen didn't shoot the lower 3rd round once.
Retief Goosen to beat Louis Oosthuizen -110 @ SkyBet
Oosthuizen has been very poor so far: he ranks 62nd in driving distance, 51st in driving accuracy and 99th in greens in regulation. Surely his putter can't save him for a third day. But even if it does, he hardly ever beats Goosen on the third day: they played in 11 common events last year and Oosthuizen didn't shoot the lower 3rd round once.
Round 4 play (2pts):
Sergio Garcia to beat Charl Schwartzel +100 @ Pinnacle [also available @ Five Dimes and Bet365]
Schwartzel started the 3rd round in 7th place, but having won his last two starts on the European Tour it should be no surprise that he shot an over-par round today, there must be some mental fatigue after those wins. And it has shown in his game: he ranks 50th in greens in regulation so is clearly not playing well enough to make up the six shot deficit to the leaders. No such problems for Garcia who is striking the ball much better and may still win this event if his putting improves.
Sergio Garcia to beat Charl Schwartzel +100 @ Pinnacle [also available @ Five Dimes and Bet365]
Schwartzel started the 3rd round in 7th place, but having won his last two starts on the European Tour it should be no surprise that he shot an over-par round today, there must be some mental fatigue after those wins. And it has shown in his game: he ranks 50th in greens in regulation so is clearly not playing well enough to make up the six shot deficit to the leaders. No such problems for Garcia who is striking the ball much better and may still win this event if his putting improves.
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